The Bum's College Basketball Best Bets Thru March Madess !

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 6

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
DEPAUL vs. SYRACUSE
DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against DePaul
Syracuse is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

7:00 PM
GEORGETOWN vs. VILLANOVA
Georgetown is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgetown is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Villanova is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Georgetown
Villanova is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Georgetown

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. MARYLAND
North Carolina is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Maryland
Maryland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Maryland is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games

7:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. FORDHAM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games on the road
Temple is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Fordham
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fordham's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Fordham's last 10 games

7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. PURDUE
Michigan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Purdue is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Purdue is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. DAYTON
St. Bonaventure is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dayton's last 6 games
Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Bonaventure

7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. IOWA STATE
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Iowa State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State

7:00 PM
TENNESSEE-MARTIN vs. MOREHEAD STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Morehead State's last 6 games
Morehead State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee-Martin

7:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. UAB
Central Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Central Florida is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
UAB is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UAB's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. DUQUESNE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Duquesne is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games
Duquesne is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

7:00 PM
TULANE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Tulane is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
Tulane is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Tulane
The total has gone OVER in 8 of East Carolina's last 10 games

7:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. LA SALLE
George Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of George Washington's last 7 games on the road
La Salle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against George Washington
La Salle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing George Washington

7:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
Rhode Island is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
Rhode Island is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Rhode Island
Saint Joseph's is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Rhode Island

7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
South Carolina is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
South Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
RICHMOND vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Richmond's last 7 games on the road
Richmond is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Commonwealth's last 6 games when playing Richmond

8:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games when playing Vanderbilt

8:00 PM
RICE vs. HOUSTON
Rice is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rice

8:00 PM
LSU vs. TEXAS A&M
LSU is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

8:05 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TULSA
Southern Methodist is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Tulsa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Methodist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 7 games when playing Southern Methodist

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEBRASKA
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Nebraska is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Nebraska is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

9:00 PM
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT vs. PORTLAND
No trends available
Portland is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Portland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games

9:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Wake Forest is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games on the road
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wake Forest
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

9:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. MIAMI
Georgia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Georgia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. AUBURN
Tennessee is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Auburn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. OKLAHOMA
West Virginia is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of West Virginia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Connecticut's last 16 games on the road
South Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Connecticut
South Florida is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

9:00 PM
SAINT LOUIS vs. XAVIER
Saint Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Xavier
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Xavier's last 7 games at home
Xavier is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saint Louis

9:30 PM
UCLA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
UCLA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UCLA's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Washington State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington State's last 8 games when playing at home against UCLA

9:30 PM
EASTERN ILLINOIS vs. SE MISSOURI STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 9 of SE Missouri State's last 10 games
SE Missouri State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

10:00 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. NEVADA
New Mexico is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nevada's last 8 games
Nevada is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:00 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. SEATTLE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. WYOMING
Colorado State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado State
Wyoming is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

11:00 PM
STANFORD vs. CALIFORNIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing on the road against California
Stanford is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

11:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Air Force is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Air Force is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego State's last 8 games when playing at home against Air Force

11:30 PM
USC vs. WASHINGTON
USC is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
USC is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against USC

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 6

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Study group: Wednesday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
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DePaul Blue Demons at Syracuse Orange (-22, 148)

Syracuse will try to stop its slide down the Big East standings and snap a three-game skid when the 16th-ranked Orange host DePaul on Wednesday night. Syracuse has slipped into a tie for fifth in the conference with three straight losses to ranked opponents, but it has a prime opportunity to get on track with a visit from struggling DePaul.

The Blue Demons have lost four straight and 13 of 14 after an 83-73 loss at South Florida on Sunday. DePaul has lost 42 consecutive games against ranked opponents since knocking off No. 16 Villanova on Jan. 3, 2008. Syracuse has won the past six meetings dating to 2006. The Orange have lost two straight at the Carrier Dome after a 38-game home winning streak.

Michigan Wolverines at Purdue Boilermakers (+6, 134)

Michigan’s Trey Burke has been a model of consistency. The sophomore guard has scored at least 15 points in all 16 Big Ten games as the eighth-ranked Wolverines prepare to play at Purdue on Wednesday. Burke came through with 21 points and had two clutch steals late as Michigan beat rival Michigan State 58-57 on Sunday, rebounding from a damaging loss at Penn State. The Wolverines need help to catch Indiana for a share of the league title, but would like to break out of a four-way tie for second in the conference.

Purdue helped Michigan by winning at second-place Wisconsin 69-56 on Sunday and has won two of three as it attempts to find a way into postseason play. The Boilermakers, who led by a point at halftime on Jan. 24 in Michigan before losing 68-53, stand first in the Big Ten in rebounding and Michigan is eighth.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones (-2, 151)

Oklahoma State looks to win its fourth straight game when the No. 14 Cowboys visit Iowa State on Wednesday night. Oklahoma State, which is 5-4 on the road, is coming off a 78-65 victory at home against Texas on Saturday. The Cowboys are 63-53 in the series against Iowa State and have won the last two meetings, including a 78-76 victory Jan. 30 in Stillwater.

Iowa State is on a two-game losing streak. The Cyclones are coming off an 86-69 loss at Oklahoma on Saturday. Iowa State is 15-1 at home, its only loss a 108-96 overtime defeat to Kansas on Feb. 25.

Georgetown Hoyas at Villanova Wildcats (+1, 118)

On the doorstep of its longest winning streak in over a decade, No. 5 Georgetown can also clinch at least a share of its first regular-season Big East title since 2007-08 on Wednesday with a win at Villanova. The Hoyas, who have twice amassed 11-game winning streaks under coach John Thompson before this season, have a shot of enjoying their longest streak since the 2000-01 team opened up its season with 16 straight victories. Georgetown holds a half-game lead over second-place Louisville and can win the conference outright with two more victories.

Each of the Hoyas’ aforementioned winning streaks have come to an end on the road against Big East foes – a fate they hope to avoid against the Wildcats, who have already defeated two top-five teams this season. Villanova registered consecutive home wins against then-No. 5 Louisville and then-No. 4 Syracuse in late January, but is 5-5 since and has dropped two straight after Sunday’s 73-64 overtime loss at Pittsburgh.

Richmond Spiders at VCU Rams (-13, 136)

No. 19 Virginia Commonwealth doesn't control its own destiny for an Atlantic 10 regular-season championship, but a win over Richmond at home Wednesday would keep the Rams' chances alive. The last time these crosstown rivals met, Jan. 24, the Spiders snapped Virginia Commonwealth's 13-game win streak with an 86-74 overtime victory.

The Rams enter this edition of the Black & Blue Classic having won two of three in a crucial stretch against first-place No. 15 Saint Louis, Butler and Xavier. For Richmond, the win over VCU wasn't the turning point it had hoped. Since then, the Spiders have gone 4-5 with just one road win. But with wins in their last two games -- Richmond closes with last-place Duquesne on Saturday -- the Spiders can improve their conference tournament seed.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators (-21, 113)

Ninth-ranked Florida seeks consistency as it takes the floor for its final regular-season home game Wednesday against Vanderbilt. The Gators have dropped two of their past four games, but hold a two-game lead over Kentucky and Alabama and already have clinched a share of the SEC’s regular-season title. Florida needed a 15-0 run to overtake Alabama on Saturday, 64-52, as the Gators shot 2-for-13 from 3-point range.

Vanderbilt is tied with Texas A&M for 10th in the conference, but the Commodores have won three in a row and four of their past five. Vanderbilt beat Georgia and Auburn last week by a combined eight points.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes (-14, 120)

After losing at Duke on Saturday, Miami (Fla.) has a chance for a big celebration at home. The seventh-ranked Hurricanes can clinch their first outright ACC title with a victory over visiting Georgia Tech on Wednesday. Miami has dropped its last two on the road, but has yet to lose in 13 games at its BankUnited Center. Sophomore point guard Shane Larkin continues to enhance his candidacy for ACC player of the year, recording 25 and 22 points in the last two games for the Hurricanes.

Georgia Tech has shown progress, going 5-6 in the last 11 games since starting with five straight losses in ACC play. The Yellow Jackets struggle offensively, but have played pretty well on the other side of the court -- ranking fourth in the league in scoring defense and field-goal percentage defense.

Saint Louis Billikens at Xavier Musketeers (+3.5, 118)

No. 15 Saint Louis can claim at least a share of its first regular-season conference title in 42 seasons on Wednesday when it travels to Xavier. The Billikens, who have won 11 straight, are on their longest winning streak since a 14-game winning streak during the 1993-94 season. St. Louis owns a one-game lead over second-place Virginia Commonwealth and can also gain the top seed in the Atlantic-10 Conference tournament with a victory in one of its final two regular-season games.

In order for the Billikens to secure a share of its first regular-season title since finishing in a three-way tie for first in the Missouri Valley Conference during the 1970-71 season, Billikens interim coach Jim Crews will need to get a win over Musketeers coach Chris Mack, who he coached as a player at Evansville for two seasons. Xavier is 1-2 heading into the final game of its four-game homestand and coming off Saturday’s 77-72 loss against Massachusetts after ending Memphis’ 18-game winning streak on Feb. 26.

New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack (+7.5, 131)

No. 11 New Mexico can rest easy heading into the final week of Mountain West play after clinching its fourth conference title in five seasons as well as the No. 1 seed for next week's Mountain West tourney in Las Vegas. "This is a special group of young men to be in a league that's arguably the best in the country and to lead it wire to wire and win it speaks volumes," head coach Steve Alford told the Albuquerque Journal after the Lobos' title-clinching 53-42 victory over visiting Wyoming on Saturday. The Lobos, who are hoping to garner at least a No. 2 seed for the NCAA Tournament with a strong finish, have won five straight since a 64-55 loss at UNLV on Feb. 9.

It's a entirely different story for Nevada, which limps into the contest in ninth (last) place in its first year in the Mountain West and needs a sweep of the Lobos and at Colorado State on Saturday to have any chance of avoiding the dreaded 8 vs. 9 play-in game on Tuesday. The Wolf Pack have dropped a season-high five straight, including a 80-63 home loss to in-state rival UNLV on Saturday, and eight of their last nine. This despite returning three starters from a squad that went 13-1 and won the WAC a year ago.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 6

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Handicapping this week's mid-major conference tournaments
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For some, March Madness doesn’t begin until Selection Sunday. For others, it starts with the big conference tournaments. But for numerous mid-major leagues around the country, March Madness starts this week with conference tournaments kicking off.

Here’s what to watch for in the mid-major conference tournaments beginning this week:

America East – March 9-16

Favorite: Stony Brook (23-6 SU, 1-1 ATS) – The Seawolves have been the class of the America East since jumping to Div. I in 1999 but have never gone to the NCAA.

Upset watch: Vermont (19-10 SU, 3-0 ATS) – The Catamounts won the America East last year and split the season series with Stony Brook this season.

Atlantic Sun – March 6-9

Favorite: Mercer (21-10 SU, 0-3 ATS) – The Bears not only come into the A-Sun tournament as the top seed but are also playing hosts at the Hawkins Center.

Upset watch: Stetson (14-15 SU, 0-0 ATS) – The Hatters come in as a No. 3 seed and took a recent win over No. 2 Florida Gulf Coast. Stetson can run up the score in a hurry.

Big South – March 5-10

Favorite: Charleston Southern (17-11 SU, 0-1 ATS) – The Buccaneers have the offensive firepower to leave the other contenders in the dust. They caught a break with the injury to High Point’s John Brown.

Upset watch: Coastal Carolina (14-14 SU, 0-1 ATS) – The Chanticleers play host to the Big South tournament and were nearly unbeatable on their home court during conference play.

Colonial Athletic Association – March 9-11

Favorite: Northeastern +200 (19-11 SU, 13-12 ATS) – The Huskies clinched the No. 1 seed before last weekend’s loss to Old Dominion, however, their wheels have wobbled with a 2-3 record (1-4 ATS) in their last five.

Upset watch: Delaware +220 (18-13 SU, 13-13-1 ATS) – The Blue Hens enter the CAA tournament on fire, winning four straight and eight of their last 10 games.

Horizon League – March 5-12

Favorite: Valparaiso -200 (24-7 SU, 17-10-1 ATS) – The Crusaders took advantage of a down year and Butler’s defection this season. It’s them or Detroit +175.

Upset watch: Green Bay +350 (16-14, 16-12 ATS) – The Phoenix, the No. 4 seed, will turn to big man Alec Brown and Keifer Sykes to shake up the Horizon postseason.

MAAC – March 8-11

Favorite: Niagara +250 (18-12, 13-13 ATS) – The Purple Eagles enter as a slight favorite, having won the MAAC regular season title – just one game in front of Iona (+275).

Upset watch: Loyola-Maryland +275 (21-10 SU, 12-12-1 ATS) – The Greyhounds are kind of the odd man out when it comes to MAAC contenders. They defeated Niagara and were a solid 7-4-1 ATS on the road this season.

Missouri Valley Conference – March 7-10

Favorite: Creighton EVEN (24-7 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) – The Bluejays took their spot back atop the MVC with a dominant win over Wichita State last weekend.

Upset watch: Evansville +1,000 (18-13 SU, 17-11 ATS) – The Purple Aces could be a wildcard in the MVC tournament. Evansville has thrived as an underdog and has two wins over WSU.

Northeast Conference – March 6-12

Favorite: Robert Morris (22-9 SU, 2-1 ATS) – The Colonials ran away with the NEC regular season crown and are looking to get over the postseason hump after losing in the title game the past two years.

Upset watch: Bryant (19-10 SU, 0-1 ATS) – The Bulldogs nearly took both meetings with Robert Morris this season, winning back in January and losing by two points last week.

Ohio Valley Conference – March 6-9

Favorite: Belmont -300 (24-6 SU, 14-13 ATS) – The Bruins played a who’s-who of mid-major darlings as well as Kansas, Stanford and VCU in non-conference play before dominating the OVC.

Upset watch: Murray State +350 (20-9 SU, 11-15 ATS) – The Racers will need to win the OVC to get back into the NCAA, losing their last two games. That should be more than enough motivation for star guard Isaiah Canaan.

Patriot League – March 6-13

Favorite: Bucknell (25-5 SU, 2-1 ATS) – The Bison benefit from the injury to Lehigh star C.J. McCollum, who isn’t expect to play in the tournament.

Upset watch: Lafayette (17-14, 1-0 ATS) – The Leopards roll into the postseason on a five-game winning streak which started with an upset win over Bucknell – one of only two conference losses for the Bison.

Southern Conference – March 8-11

Favorite: Davidson -300 (23-7, 14-14-1 ATS) – The Wildcats remain the class of the SoCon and strut into the postseason on a 13-game winning streak.

Upset watch: Charleston +350 (22-9 SU, 11-15-1 ATS) – If momentum is the maker of upsets, the Cougars may present some upset value after winning four of their last five and eight of 10 to end the season.

Summit League – March 9-12

Favorite: North Dakota State +125 (22-8, 16-11 ATS) – The Bison boast the No. 8 defense in the country, limiting opponents to 55.4 points per game. They’re just ahead of rival South Dakota State at +140.

Upset watch: Oakland +400 (16-15 SU, 13-15 ATS) – The Grizzlies have wins over NDSU, SDSU and Western Illinois this year and have a potent offense that spreads the love around.

Sun Belt Conference – March 8-11

Favorite: Middle Tennessee State -375 (27-4 SU, 14-13 ATS) – The Blue Raiders are fueled by last year’s upset in the conference tournament and lost just one game in league play.

Upset watch: Arkansas Little Rock +1,500 (17-14 SU, 15-13 ATS) – The Trojans enter the postseason off a big win over Arkansas State. WKU’s run last year proves anything can happen in the Sun Belt tournament.

West Coast Conference – March 6-11

Favorite: Gonzaga -400 (29-2 SU, 16-11-2 ATS) – The new No. 1 team in the nation could get caught looking ahead to a top seed in the NCAA in the WCC tournament.

Upset watch: St. Mary’s +280 (26-5 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) – The Gaels come into the tournament on a five-game winning run, with their only loss in the past 10 outings coming to Gonzaga.

Odds courtesy of the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 6

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Revolving-door top spot could mean more NCAA upsets
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The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the latest team to reign over the college basketball Top 25, becoming the fifth different program to be ranked No. 1 so far this season.

Gonzaga, which is ranked No. 1 for the first time in school history, joins Indiana, Duke, Louisville, and Michigan (Kansas was ranked No. 1 in the USA Today Coaches Poll in Week 13) among those that have shared top billing in the country.

The last time the top spot saw such a turnover was the 2003-04 season, when five different schools split time as the nation’s No. 1. That year’s NCAA tournament was ripe with early-round upsets and many are predicting a wide-open bracket this March.

Here’s a look at the four biggest Cinderella schools from the 2004 tournament and which teams could follow in their footsteps when the Madness begins on March 19:

No. 9 UAB upset No. 8 Washington (+1) and No. 1 Kentucky (+10.5)

Who could do it this year?: Creighton Bluejays (24-7 SU, 15-13-1 ATS)

Numerous bracket predictors have the Bluejays pegged as a No. 9 seed in the NCAA. Creighton was a regular in the Top 25 until hitting a three-game skid in early February. The Bluejays have the experience and star power – forward Doug McDermott – to shock their way into the Sweet 16.

No. 12 Pacific upset No. 5 Providence (+7)

Who could do it this year?: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (27-4 SU, 14-13 ATS)

Barring another collapse in the Sun Belt tournament, MTSU should be dancing come Selection Sunday. The Blue Raiders cut their postseason teeth with a strong run in the NIT last year and are among the toughest defensive programs in the country (57.4 points allowed per game – 16th overall).

No. 10 Nevada upset No. 7 Michigan State (+2.5) and No. 2 Gonzaga (+9)

Who could do it this year?: Oklahoma Sooners (19-9 SU, 16-8 ATS)

Some bracketologist have the Sooners on the NCAA bubble but stamped as a No. 10 seed. Oklahoma has upset potential, knocking off Kansas, and has been one of the best bets in college hoops this year. The Sooners’ biggest weapon may be their free-throw shooting (76 percent), which is key in tournament upsets.

No. 12 Manhattan upset No. 5 Florida (+4.5)

Who could do it this year?: Akron Zips (23-5 SU, 13-9-1 ATS)

The Zips had a 19-game winning streak snapped this past weekend, a nice wakeup call heading into the final week of the schedule. Akron is one of the better balanced teams – offense and defense – in the country and nearly knocked off No. 14 Oklahoma State in overtime early in the season.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Stanford at California
The Bears look to take advantage of a Stanford team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at California. California is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: California (-5). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 6

Game 729-730: DePaul at Syracuse (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 52.821; Syracuse 73.936
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 21
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 20
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-20)

Game 731-732: Michigan at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 71.039; Purdue 62.072
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 136
Vegas Line: Michigan by 6; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-6); Over

Game 733-734: Georgetown at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 72.936; Villanova 69.400
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 3 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Villanova by 1 1/2; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+1 1/2); Under

Game 735-736: Oklahoma State at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 68.939; Iowa State 73.399
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 3 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-3 1/2); Over

Game 737-738: Central Florida at UAB (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 54.884; UAB 56.808
Dunkel Line: UAB by 2
Vegas Line: UAB by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+4 1/2)

Game 739-740: North Carolina at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 71.060; Maryland 66.712
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Pick; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina; Over

Game 741-742: George Washington at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 57.408; LaSalle 70.050
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 9
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-9)

Game 743-744: Temple at Fordham (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 62.188; Fordham 52.861
Dunkel Line: Temple by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+10 1/2)

Game 745-746: St. Bonaventure at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 58.042; Dayton 67.136
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 9
Vegas Line: Dayton by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-7 1/2)

Game 747-748: Rhode Island at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 54.184; St. Joseph's 65.396
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 11
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-8 1/2)

Game 749-750: Mississippi State at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 48.196; South Carolina 54.483
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+8 1/2)

Game 751-752: Charlotte at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 56.202; Duquesne 52.509
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2)

Game 753-754: Tulane at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.057; East Carolina 61.263
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 6
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-4)

Game 755-756: Vanderbilt at Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 62.900; Florida 81.842
Dunkel Line: Florida by 19
Vegas Line: Florida by 18
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-18)

Game 757-758: LSU at Texas A&M (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 61.151; Texas A&M 64.022
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 5
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+5)

Game 759-760: Rice at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 44.461; Houston 56.248
Dunkel Line: Houston by 12
Vegas Line: Houston by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+13 1/2)

Game 761-762: SMU at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 54.527; Tulsa 57.085
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 4
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+4)

Game 763-764: Richmond at VCU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 60.646; VCU 74.237
Dunkel Line: VCU by 13 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: VCU by 12 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-12 1/2); Over

Game 765-766: Wake Forest at NC State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 58.843; NC State 72.182
Dunkel Line: NC State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+14 1/2)

Game 767-768: Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 58.314; Miami (FL) 73.453
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 15
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 13
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-13)

Game 769-770: West Virginia at Oklahoma (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 57.903; Oklahoma 72.216
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 14 1/2; 147
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 11; 140
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-11); Over

Game 771-772: Connecticut at South Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 63.880; South Florida 60.817
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 3; 117
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 4; 122
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+4); Under

Game 773-774: Minnesota at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 68.277; Nebraska 63.372
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 5; 119
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 123
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+7 1/2); Under

Game 775-776: Tennessee at Auburn (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 64.172; Auburn 61.108
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 5
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+5)

Game 777-778: St. Louis at Xavier (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 68.325; Xavier 66.649
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 4
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+4)

Game 779-780: UCLA at Washington State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 66.588; Washington State 61.530
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 5
Vegas Line: UCLA by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-2 1/2)

Game 781-782: New Mexico at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 66.437; Nevada 59.416
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 7; 129
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 8 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+8 1/2); Under

Game 783-784: Colorado State at Wyoming (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 63.674; Wyoming 60.892
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 3
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+5)

Game 785-786: Stanford at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 62.864; California 72.148
Dunkel Line: California by 9 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: California by 5; 134
Dunkel Pick: California (-5); Over

Game 787-788: USC at Washington (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 60.705; Washington 65.811
Dunkel Line: Washington by 5
Vegas Line: Washington by 4
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4)

Game 789-790: Air Force at San Diego State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 58.019; San Diego State 71.769
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 14
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 12
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-12)

Game 791-792: Loyola Marymount vs. Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 48.755; Portland 50.221
Dunkel Line: Portland by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Portland

Game 793-794: Tennessee-Martin vs. Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 37.604; Morehead Sate 48.098
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+12 1/2)

Game 795-796: Eastern Illinois vs. SE Missouri State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 47.677; SE Missouri State 47.921
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+4)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Wednesday, March 6

DePaul at Syracuse, 6:00 ET
DePaul: 1-7 ATS after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Syracuse: 8-2 ATS as a home favorite of 10+ points

Michigan at Purdue, 7:00 ET BTN
Michigan: 16-6 ATS after scoring and allowing 65 points or less
Purdue: 8-1 Over revenging a loss by 10+ points

Georgetown at Villanova, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Georgetown: 12-3 ATS vs. conference opponents
Villanova: 0-6 ATS off BB road games

Oklahoma State at Iowa State, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Oklahoma State: 6-16 ATS as a road underdog
Iowa State: 12-2 ATS at home in March

Vanderbilt at Florida, 8:00 ET
Vanderbilt: 6-19 ATS off ATS wins in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Florida: 14-7 ATS off a win by 10+ points

Richmond at Virginia Commonwealth, 8:00 ET CBSS
Richmond: 2-8 ATS after playing as an underdog
VA Commonwealth: 8-1 ATS playing with revenge

Georgia Tech at Miami FL, 9:00 ET
Georgia Tech: 17-27 ATS as an underdog
Miami FL: 10-1 ATS in home games

St. Louis at Xavier, 9:00 ET
St. Louis: 8-0 ATS off 3+ conference wins
Xavier: 8-2 Under as an underdog

UCLA at Washington State, 9:30 ET
UCLA: 2-9 ATS off an ATS win
Washington State: 8-1 ATS at home off a loss by 6 points or less

New Mexico at Nevada, 10:00 ET CBSS
New Mexico: 9-1 ATS off BB home games
Nevada: 6-0 Over revenging a road loss by 10+ points


College Basketball Tournament Betting Trends for Wednesday, March 6, 2013

WCC Tournament, First Round
Loyola Marymount vs. Portland, 9:00 ET
Loyola Marymount: 2-10 ATS off a home game
Portland: 7-1 Over off BB losses by 10+ points

OVC Tournament, First Round
Tennessee Martin vs. Morehead State, 7:00 ET
TN Martin: 10-20 ATS off a conference game
Morehead State: 35-18 ATS away off a conference loss

OVC Tournament, First Round
Eastern Illinois vs. SE Missouri State, 9:30 ET
Eastern Illinois: 3-16 ATS off 3+ games allowing 65 points or less
SE Missouri State: 6-0 ATS away off a road conference win

Atlantic Sun Tournament, Quarterfinals
North Florida vs. Florida Gulf Coast, 2:30 ET
North Florida: 12-3 ATS in tournament games
FL Gulf Coast: 1-3 ATS off BB road games

Atlantic Sun Tournament, Quarterfinals
Lipscomb vs. Mercer, 8:30 ET
Lipscomb: 5-1 Under vs. conference opponents
Mercer: 11-3 ATS off a win

Northeast Tournament, Quarterfinals
St. Francis NY at Robert Morris, 7:00 ET
St. Francis NY: 3-6 ATS in tournament games
Robert Morris: 6-1 ATS after playing as a favorite

Northeast Tournament, Quarterfinals
Central Connecticut State at Wagner, 7:00 ET
Central CT State: *No Trends Available*
Wagner: *No Trends Available*

Northeast Tournament, Quarterfinals
Quinnipiac at LIU Brooklyn, 7:00 ET
Quinnipiac: 2-8 ATS in March
LIU Brooklyn: 4-0 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Northeast Tournament, Quarterfinals
Mount St. Mary's at Bryant, 7:00 ET
Mount St. Mary's: *No Trends Available*
Bryant: *No Trends Available*

Patriot League Tournament, Quarterfinals
Navy at Bucknell, 7:00 ET
Navy: 0-4 ATS in road games
Bucknell: 17-10 ATS off a home game

Patriot League Tournament, Quarterfinals
American at Army, 7:00 ET
American: 11-6 ATS after playing as a favorite
Army: 1-7 ATS in tournament games

Patriot League Tournament, Quarterfinals
Holy Cross at Lafayette, 7:00 ET
Holy Cross: 9-2 ATS in road games
Lafayette: 3-7 ATS off a SU win

Patriot League Tournament, Quarterfinals
Colgate at Lehigh, 7:00 ET
Colgate: 6-1 Under in tournament games
Lehigh: 14-4 ATS off a conference game

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, March 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

DePaul - 6:00 PM ET Syracuse -19.5 500
Syracuse -

Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Michigan -6 500 POD
Purdue - Under 133.5 500

Central Florida - 7:00 PM ET UAB -4.5 500
UAB -

Tulane - 7:00 PM ET East Carolina -4 500
East Carolina -

Oklahoma St. - 7:00 PM ET Iowa St. -3.5 500
Iowa St. - Over 147.5 500

Mississippi St. - 7:00 PM ET South Carolina -9 500
South Carolina -

Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Duquesne +2.5 500
Duquesne -

North Carolina - 7:00 PM ET Maryland +0 500
Maryland - Over 144 500

Georgetown - 7:00 PM ET Georgetown +0 500
Villanova - Over 123 500

St. Bonaventure - 7:00 PM ET Dayton -7.5 500
Dayton -

Temple - 7:00 PM ET Fordham +11 500
Fordham -

George Washington - 7:00 PM ET La Salle -9 500 POD # 2
La Salle -

Rhode Island - 7:00 PM ET St. Joseph's -8.5 500
St. Joseph's -

Tenn-Martin - 7:00 PM ET Tenn-Martin +12.5 500
Morehead St. -

Louisiana State - 8:00 PM ET Texas A&M -5 500
Texas A&M -

Rice - 8:00 PM ET Rice +12.5 500
Houston -

Richmond - 8:00 PM ET Richmond +12.5 500
VCU - Over 135 500

Vanderbilt - 8:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +19 500
Florida -

Southern Methodist - 8:05 PM ET Tulsa -3.5 500
Tulsa -

Minnesota - 9:00 PM ET Nebraska +8 500
Nebraska - Under 125 500

Connecticut - 9:00 PM ET South Florida +3 500
South Florida - Under 123.5 500

Georgia Tech - 9:00 PM ET Georgia Tech +12.5 500
Miami-Florida -

West Virginia - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma -10 500 POD # 3Oklahoma - Under 138.5 500

Tennessee - 9:00 PM ET Tennessee -5 500
Auburn -

Wake Forest - 9:00 PM ET Wake Forest +13.5 500
N.C. State -

Saint Louis - 9:00 PM ET Saint Louis -3.5 500
Xavier -

Eastern Illinois - 9:00 PM ET Eastern Illinois +3.5 500
SE Missouri St. -

Loyola Marymount - 9:00 PM ET Loyola Marymount -1.5 500
Portland -

UCLA - 9:30 PM ET UCLA -2.5 500
Washington St. -

Colorado St. - 10:00 PM ET Wyoming +5 500
Wyoming -

New Mexico - 10:00 PM ET Nevada +8 500 POD # 4
Nevada - Under 134 500

Stanford - 11:00 PM ET California -5.5 500 POD # 5
California - Over 133.5 500

Southern California - 11:30 PM ET Washington -6 500
Washington -

Air Force - 11:30 PM ET San Diego St. -12.5 500 POD # 6
San Diego St. -

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday's Tips

March 6, 2013


**Kentucky at Georgia**

--BetOnline.com opened Kentucky (20-9 straight up, 10-16 against the spread) as a four-point road ‘chalk.’

--UK is on the bubble with two regular-season games remaining, including a home tilt vs. Florida this weekend. The defending national champions are No. 51 in the RPI Rankings with only one win (at home vs. Missouri) over a Top 50 opponent. The Wildcats are 1-4 against the RPI Top 50, 6-9 versus the RPI Top 100.

--John Calipari’s team saw its three-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s costly 73-60 loss at Arkansas as a 2.5-point road underdog. UK committed 18 turnovers, got beat 43-36 on the boards, missed 10 free throws and hit only 3-of-14 shots from 3-point land. Archie Goodwin finished with a team-high 14 points in the losing effort. Willie Cauley-Stein had a double-double with 13 points, 10 boards and four blocked shots.

--Georgia (14-15 SU, 15-10 ATS) is on fire for our purposes, posting an incredible 10-1 spread record in its last 11 games. The Bulldogs are coming off Saturday’s 78-68 win over Tennessee as two-point home underdogs. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope scored 25 points, grabbed nine rebounds, made four steals and dished out a pair of assists. Charles Mann added 18 points and eight assists without committing a turnover. Mann put the game on ice with his free-throw shooting down the stretch, finishing 12-of-14 from the charity stripe.

--Mark Fox’s team is 11-6 SU and 7-6 ATS at home inside of Stegeman Coliseum. The Bulldogs have won four of their last five both SU and ATS at home.

--UGA is led by Caldwell-Pope, a sophomore guard with a future at the next level. ‘KCP’ is currently listed as the final pick (#30) in the first round of NBADraft.net’s 2013 mock draft. The former McDonald’s All-American is averaging team-highs in scoring (18.0 points per game), rebounding (6.9 RPG), field-goal percentage (44.1%) and steals (2.1 per game).

--Since losing its best player Nerlens Noel to a season-ending ACL tear, Kentucky has gone 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS.

--Kentucky owns a 1-4 spread record in five games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, Georgia has a 1-2 record both SU and ATS as a home underdog.

--The ‘under’ is 13-9-1 overall for UGA, 9-3 in its 12 home games with a total.

--The ‘over’ is 14-11 overall for UK, 4-1 in its last five games. However, the ‘Cats have seen the ‘under’ go 6-4 in their 10 true road assignments.

--The road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 UK-UGA games.

--ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Oregon at Colorado**

--BetOnline.com opened Colorado (19-9 SU, 15-11 ATS) as a 3.5-point favorite.

--Oregon (23-6 SU, 11-15-1 ATS) is No. 48 in the RPI Rankings, going 3-4 against RPI Top 50 opponents and 8-5 versus RPI Top 100 foes.

--Dana Altman’s team has won five of its last six games but is mired in an abysmal 3-10-1 ATS slide. Oregon is coming off Saturday’s 85-75 comeback win over Oregon St. as a 10-point home ‘chalk.’ The Ducks trailed the Beavers 41-34 at intermission but they rallied to outscore their arch rivals 51-34 in the second half. Carlos Emory scored a team-high 21 points, while Arsalan Kazemi produced 17 points and 12 rebounds.

--CU has won 11 of its 13 home games, going 6-5 ATS at home. The Buffaloes are 3-3 ATS in their six games as single-digit home favorites.

--Thad Boyle’s squad had won five of its last six games before dropping a 62-46 decision Saturday at California as a five-point underdog. Xavier Johnson had 14 points and seven rebounds in CU’s losing effort.

--Colorado is led by sophomore guard Spencer Dinwiddie and junior forward Andre Roberson. Dinwiddie averages 15.2 points, 3.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game, while Roberson is averaging 10.8 points, 11.5 rebounds, 2.2 steals and 1.4 blocked shots per contest.

-CU is on the right side of the bubble and is probably safe thanks to an RPI of 30 with a 4-4 record against Top 50 opponents. The Buffs have a 9-8 ledger against the RPI Top 100.

--When these schools met in Eugene on Feb. 7, Colorado captured a 48-47 win over the Ducks as a seven-point road underdog. Roberson led CU’s balanced offense with a team-high 10 points and 13 rebounds. Emory and E.J. Singler scored 14 points apiece for Oregon.

--Oregon freshman point guard Dominic Artis missed nine games and more than a month of action with a foot injury before coming off the bench and contributing in Saturday’s come-from-behind win over Oregon St. Artis was limited to 12 minutes of playing time, but he produced six points by draining both of his attempts from beyond the arc.

--The ‘under’ has cashed in eight consecutive games for Colorado to improve to 14-5 overall. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in the Buffs’ seven home games with a total.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--When I was at Harrah’s Casino during Final Four weekend in New Orleans last year, I walked past Arkansas head coach Mike Anderson and Missouri head coach Frank Haith standing against the wall chatting. About an hour later as I was playing blackjack, I noticed the two of them walk past my table. I found that a bit odd and tweeted as much the following day. To run into each other and have a quick cordial convo was one thing, but it seemed strange that they were still hanging out an hour later. Anyway, after Haith had to be restrained by his assistants from going after Anderson in Tuesday’s blowout victory in Columbia, I found it even odder that they were hanging out last year. Obviously, things have changed since then. Here’s to a rubber game between the two schools in Nashville next weekend at the SEC Tournament.

--Alabama provided me with one of my most fortunate winners of the season in Tuesday’s 87-83 loss at Ole Miss as a five-point underdog. This was the definition of a wrong-side winner for the Crimson Tide, which trailed by 15 with 3:42 left and by 10 with 49 seconds remaining. What made the backdoor cover even luckier was how the Rebels were clutch at the free-throw line when the foul-fest began. Nevertheless, trading 3’s for a pair at the stripe worked for ‘Bama backers thanks to six 3-pointers in the last 1:52 of the game. Trevor Lacey knocked down three of the late treys.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Sports Illustrated did a thing on the 50 most powerful people in sports this week; here are some of their choices:

1) Roger Goodell—I’m really surprised he isn’t a lawyer; you'd think all commissioners were either lawyers or used car salesmen.

4) John Skipper—Boss of ESPN oversaw $9B in subscriber fees and advertising revenue LY.

5) Alan R. Selig—Former used car dealer oversees a sport when an average franchise sells for $605M.

6) Stan Kroenke—Owns Rams, Nuggets, Avalanche and a soccer team in England. I talked his ear off once out in Las Vegas about the Rams; he’s a good guy.

9) Phil Knight—Turned Nike into a powerhouse, and is generous with his money to schools and hospitals.

11) Mark Walter—Head of the Guggenheim Partners, who paid over $2B for the Dodgers; how do people get that wealthy?

Interesting Note: SI included no active players on their list of 50.


*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random Lists of Three............

13) Three best QB’s in 2:00 drill; in other words, my team is down three points, 2:00 to go, we've got the ball on our 20. These are the three QB’s I would I want on my side: John Elway-Kurt Warner-Tom Brady.

People who know me will howl because I’m a Ram fan, but in all three Super Bowls Warner played in, he led his team to the tying/go-ahead TD in the last 3:00. He has the three highest passing yardage games in Super Bowl history, out of 46 games. I rest my case.

12) If I could go back to age 17 and make my college choice all over again, I’d be a smart human and narrow it down to these three schools: Arizona State-Pepperdine-Cal-Santa Barbara. I mean really, only a damn fool puts Oneonta State down as a potential college destination.

As it was, I stayed home and went to UAlbany which worked out OK, just that with a little effort, I could’ve given myself a major weather upgrade.

11) My three favorite places to eat: Battista’s on Flamingo in Las Vegas (across from Bally’s), Delmonico’s here in beautiful downtown Colonie and any Steak ‘n Shake (one in Kissimmee, FL is good, as is the one in South Point Hotel in Las Vegas).

10) If I could invite any three people to dinner, so I could pick their brains, I’d choose Bob Uecker, Bill James and Billy Beane.

9) Three best helmets in the NFL: Rams-Chargers-Saints. Whoever decided San Diego should go back to the white helmets deserves a raise.

8) Three best events I’ve been lucky enough to see in person: 2000 NFC title game, Rams-Bucs in St Louis; 2008 World Series Game 3, Rays-Phillies; Alabama at Tennessee in Knoxville, in 2004. SEC football is an event unique in its intensity.

7) Vacation bucket list, and I intend to do all three of these after I retire from the day job: A’s spring training in Arizona; an LSU home night football game; a day at the 16th hole at the Phoenix Open golf tournament.

6) My three all-time favorite movie scenes:
-- Nick Nolte/Bob Cousy talking while Cousy shoots free throws in a dimly hit gym in Blue Chips. Some of the dialogue was ad-libbed and it was done in one take.
-- In the movie Dave, at the end, when Secret Service guy Ving Rhames tells Kevin Kline, who was an actor standing in for the President, that he would’ve taken a bullet for him. Dave is an underrated movie.
-- Al Pacino’s “Game of Inches” speech in Any Given Sunday. Actually, the scene with Pacino and Robert Deniro talking in a diner in Heat is also a very good scene, two heavyweights working together.

5) Three underrated sports rivalries....
-- Falcons-Saints-- They came into the NFL a year apart, and have best rivals in same division most of that time.
-- Richmond-VCU-- Teams are in same city, same league again, and they play contrasting styles.
-- Seton Hall-Rutgers-- Teams recruited against each other as they both tried to become relevant in Big East; now Rutgers is moving on to the Big Dozen, and they'll still recruit against each other. You can't win games on the floor until you win a few recruiting battles.

4) Three people I’d like to see get inducted into Baseball’s Hall of Fame: Charles Oscar Finley, former owner/GM of the A’s, Bill James, who is responsible for the increased use of numbers/analytics and Dr Frank Jobe, who pioneered Tommy John surgery in 1974.

Who has done more for baseball than that guy? (You could have a medical wing to the HOF with Dr James Andrews in it, too).

3) Three best college mascots: Chanticleers (Coastal Carolina), Anteaters (Cal-Irvine) and Horned Frogs (TCU).

2) Three best baseball caps: Oakland A’s (same hat since 1972), the black Arizona Diamondbacks batting practice cap and the 1971 Pittsburgh Pirates hat, with gold crown and black brim.

1) My three favorite announcers to listen to on TV: Mike Tirico/Brent Musberger on play-by-play, Jeff Van Gundy as an analyst.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wisconsin at Michigan State
The Badgers look to bounce back from their 69-56 loss to Purdue on Sunday and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Wisconsin is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Badgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MARCH 7

Game 505-506: Penn State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 57.049; Northwestern 58.747
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 5; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+5); Over

Game 507-508: Virginia at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 68.485; Florida State 64.705
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Virginia by 4 1/2; 125
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Kentucky at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 67.025; Georgia 60.117
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 7; 130
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 3; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-3); Over

Game 511-512: Butler at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 60.094; Massachusetts 66.537
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 6 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 1; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-1); Under

Game 513-514: Oregon at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 64.016; Colorado 69.212
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Colorado by 3; 129
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3); Over

Game 515-516: Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 63.953; New Mexico State 62.725
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 1
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+2 1/2)

Game 517-518: Texas State at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 45.198; Utah State 55.545
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13)

Game 519-520: TX-Arlington at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 53.194; Denver 68.702
Dunkel Line: Denver by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 12
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-12)

Game 521-522: Wisconsin at Michigan State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 76.665; Michigan State 76.010
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 117
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 4 1/2; 120
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: UC-Irvine at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 56.854; Pacific 56.740
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Pacific by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+4 1/2)

Game 525-526: Long Beach State at UC-Davis (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 58.900; UC-Davis 57.651
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 1; 142
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 1 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+1 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: UC-Riverside at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 44.171; Cal Poly 59.405
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 15
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 14
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-14)

Game 529-530: CS-Fullerton at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 50.727; UC-Santa Barbara 50.801
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara 4
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+4)

Game 531-532: TX-San Antonio at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 48.905; San Jose State 49.530
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+1 1/2)

Game 533-534: Hawaii at CS-Northridge (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 49.739; CS-Northridge 53.512
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 4
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-2 1/2)

Game 535-536: Oregon State at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 57.886; Utah 60.922
Dunkel Line: Utah by 3; 132
Vegas Line: Pick; 136
Dunkel Pick: Utah; Under

Game 537-538: Drake vs. Bradley (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 54.302; Bradley 53.132
Dunkel Line: Drake by 1
Vegas Line: Drake by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+2 1/2)

Game 539-540: Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 54.043; Missouri State 52.452
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 5
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-3)

Game 541-542: Loyola-Marymount vs. San Francisco (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 50.536; San Francisco 57.651
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 543-544: Pepperdine vs. San Diego (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.792; San Diego 52.714
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+3)

Game 545-546: Southern Utah at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 42.932; Northern Colorado 47.818
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 5; 141
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 8 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+8 1/2); Under

Game 547-548: Sacramento State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 44.853; Montana 57.325
Dunkel Line: Montana by 12 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Montana by 10; 127
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-10); Over

Game 549-550: Portland State at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 43.639; Weber State 62.700
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 19; 146
Vegas Line: Weber State by 16 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-16 1/2); Over

Game 551-552: Eastern Washington at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 44.919; Idaho State 45.964
Dunkel Line: Idaho State by 1; 118
Vegas Line: Idaho State by 3; 122
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+3); Under

Game 553-554: Northern Arizona at Montana State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 40.814; Montana State 44.733
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 4; 148
Vegas Line: Montana State by 2 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-2 1/2); Over

Game 555-556: Morehead State vs. Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.749; Tennessee State 53.589
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 557-558: SE Missouri State vs. Eastern Kentucky (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.455; Eastern Kentucky 57.177
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 561-562: Winthrop vs. Charleston Southern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 46.171; Charleston Southern 52.367
Dunkel Line: Charleston Southern by 6; 119
Vegas Line: Charleston Southern by 8; 125
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+8); Under

Game 563-564: Longwood vs. VMI (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Longwood 38.012; VMI 47.392
Dunkel Line: VMI by 9 1/2; 167
Vegas Line: VMI by 7 1/2; 173
Dunkel Pick: VMI (-7 1/2); Under

Game 565-566: Campbell vs. Gardner-Webb (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 42.421; Gardner-Webb 54.234
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 12; 128
Vegas Line: Gardner-Webb by 8; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gardner-Webb (-8); Over

Game 567-568: Liberty vs. High Point (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 49.439; High Point 48.253
Dunkel Line: Liberty by 1; 144
Vegas Line: High Point by 3 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Liberty (+3 1/2); Over

Game 569-570: East Tennessee State vs. Stetson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Tennessee State 44.220; Stetson 48.929
Dunkel Line: Stetson by 4 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Stetson by 5 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: East Tennessee State (+5 1/2); Under

Game 571-572: USC-Upstate vs. Jacksonville (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC-Upstate 48.264; Jacksonville 46.616
Dunkel Line: USC-Upstate by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 7

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PENN ST (9 - 19) at NORTHWESTERN (13 - 16) - 3/7/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (20 - 9) at FLORIDA ST (15 - 14) - 3/7/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 52-80 ATS (-36.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA ST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 3-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (20 - 9) at GEORGIA (14 - 15) - 3/7/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
KENTUCKY is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-2 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUTLER (22 - 7) at MASSACHUSETTS (18 - 9) - 3/7/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BUTLER is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (23 - 6) at COLORADO (19 - 9) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
COLORADO is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-1 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (26 - 3) at NEW MEXICO ST (19 - 10) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
NEW MEXICO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISIANA TECH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISIANA TECH is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (9 - 20) at UTAH ST (19 - 9) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season.
TEXAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
TEXAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
TEXAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
TEXAS ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons

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TX-ARLINGTON (17 - 10) at DENVER (19 - 8) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DENVER is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
DENVER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DENVER is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (20 - 9) at MICHIGAN ST (22 - 7) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UC-IRVINE (17 - 13) at PACIFIC (17 - 12) - 3/7/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PACIFIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PACIFIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-IRVINE is 3-2 against the spread versus PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
UC-IRVINE is 3-2 straight up against PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (17 - 11) at CAL DAVIS (14 - 14) - 3/7/2013, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 4-2 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 6-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UC-RIVERSIDE (6 - 23) at CAL POLY-SLO (15 - 12) - 3/7/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CAL POLY-SLO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
CAL POLY-SLO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
CAL POLY-SLO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CAL POLY-SLO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAL POLY-SLO is 4-3 against the spread versus UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
CAL POLY-SLO is 5-2 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CS-FULLERTON (14 - 15) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (9 - 19) - 3/7/2013, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
CS-FULLERTON is 3-2 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TX-SAN ANTONIO (8 - 20) at SAN JOSE ST (9 - 18) - 3/7/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all home games this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-1 straight up against TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons

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HAWAII (17 - 12) at CS-NORTHRIDGE (13 - 17) - 3/7/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-1 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON ST (13 - 16) at UTAH (11 - 17) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 3-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DRAKE (14 - 16) vs. BRADLEY (16 - 15) - 3/7/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BRADLEY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRADLEY is 4-4 against the spread versus DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 5-3 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ILLINOIS (14 - 16) vs. MISSOURI ST (10 - 21) - 3/7/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MISSOURI ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
MISSOURI ST is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSOURI ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI ST is 3-3 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 6-1 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PEPPERDINE (12 - 17) vs. SAN DIEGO (14 - 17) - 3/7/2013, 11:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 6-2 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 5-3 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (11 - 17) at N COLORADO (11 - 17) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 1-0 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN UTAH is 1-0 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO ST (14 - 13) at MONTANA (21 - 6) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 4-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND ST (8 - 18) at WEBER ST (22 - 5) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
PORTLAND ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
PORTLAND ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
WEBER ST is 125-89 ATS (+27.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WEBER ST is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WEBER ST is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
WEBER ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 4-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 5-1 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E WASHINGTON (9 - 20) at IDAHO ST (5 - 23) - 3/7/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 134-181 ATS (-65.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 134-181 ATS (-65.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 23-50 ATS (-32.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 85-120 ATS (-47.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 82-116 ATS (-45.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 4-2 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 6-0 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ARIZONA (11 - 18) at MONTANA ST (11 - 16) - 3/7/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA ST is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 4-2 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 3-3 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINTHROP (14 - 16) vs. CHARLESTON SO (17 - 11) - 3/7/2013, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLESTON SO is 3-2 straight up against WINTHROP over the last 3 seasons

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LONGWOOD (8 - 24) vs. VMI (13 - 16) - 3/7/2013, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VMI is 3-1 straight up against LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons

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CAMPBELL (13 - 19) vs. GARDNER WEBB (20 - 11) - 3/7/2013, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAMPBELL is 2-1 straight up against GARDNER WEBB over the last 3 seasons

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LIBERTY (12 - 20) vs. HIGH POINT (17 - 12) - 3/7/2013, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HIGH POINT is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
HIGH POINT is 3-3 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons

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E TENN ST (10 - 21) vs. STETSON (14 - 15) - 3/7/2013, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
STETSON is 1-0 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
STETSON is 3-3 straight up against E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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USC UPSTATE (15 - 16) vs. JACKSONVILLE (14 - 17) - 3/7/2013, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus USC UPSTATE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 4-2 straight up against USC UPSTATE over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 7

-- Virginia (-6) beat Florida State 56-36 Jan 19; Seminoles were 1-15 on arc, Cavaliers 7-13, as UVa ended 7-game series skid- they've lost seven games in row here, by 19-5-14-2-11-7-3 points. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 16-9 vs spread. Virginia is 2-3 in last five games, getting upset at BC after beating Duke; they're 2-5 in ACC road. FSU is 2-5 in last seven games, 3-5-1 vs spread as an ACC underdog.
-- Kentucky won five of last six games vs Georgia, winning four of last five visits here, winning by 5-23-12-13 points, but Wildcats lost all three road games since Noel got hurt, losing by 17-30-13 points. UK split last six games, turning ball over 23%+ of time in losses, less than 20% in the wins. Georgia won four of last five home games- they covered 10 of last 11 overall. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 13-9 vs spread.
-- Butler is 2-3 in last five games, scoring 61-52 points in losing last two, to St Louis/VCU; Bulldogs are 2-3 in last five road games. UMass is 4-1 in last five home games, losing to Temple by a point; they've scored 77+ points in six of its last seven games. A-16 home teams are 4-13 if spread is 2 or less points. UMass plays fastest tempo in league; Butler has best FG% defense in league; can Minutemen get easy hoops against them?
-- Colorado (+6.5) outscored Oregon 8-0 over last 4:26 to edge Ducks by point Feb 7, Buffs' third win in last four series games, with all three wins by a point. Oregon is 5-1 since then; PG Artis played 12 minutes in last game, after missing previous nine games (foot). Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-19 vs spread. Colorado is 8-3 in last 11games, 4-1 in last five at home- underdogs covered five of their seven home games.

-- Louisiana Tech won its last 18 games, with five of seven WAC road wins by 6 or less points; Tech (-5.5) beat New Mexico State 81-72 Dec 31, just its second series win in last 13 series games- they lost seven in a row in Las Cruces, losing last two by 18-11 points. Aggies won all seven WAC home games, with last three home wins by 2-3-4 (4-3 as favorite at home). WAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-11 vs spread.
-- Denver won eight games in row, 15 of last 16, with three of last four by 6 or less points; Pioneers (+2) won 50-35 in Arlington Dec 31- they were 11-35 from arc that day, only 6-10 inside arc. Pioneers held UTA to 27.7% from floor, forced 18 turnovers. Mavericks have now won last six WAC games- they're 5-2-1 vs spread as WAC dog. WAC double digit home favorites are 7-11 against the spread.
-- Michigan State won four in row, eight of last 10 vs Wisconsin, beating Badgers 49-47 (+5) Jan 22, in brickfest where Wisconsin shot 29.6% on both 2/3 pointers, 7-18 from foul line. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 15-8 vs spread. Spartans lost last three games, are 3-3 as home favorites, with four of six home wins by 10+ points. Badgers won six of last eight games, but they they've lost three of last five on road.
-- Pacific's five starters shot 5-22 (22.7%) from floor in 68-59 loss Feb 20 at Cal-Irvine, Anteaters' third win in last four series games. UCI won here LY, after losing its previous four visits to Stockton by 6-10-13-24 points. Pacific is 7-0 at home in league, 4-3 as home favorite, with last five home wins by 7+. Big West home favorites of less than 5 points are 14-21 vs spread. Irvine lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.
-- Long Beach (-8) beat Cal-Davis 71-65 Feb 20, after trailing by 11 in second half; 49ers won eight in row, 15 of last 16 series games, winning last seven visits here, last two by 24-20 points. First ESPN game for the Aggies, who've won five of last six games, last three by 1-7-3. Big West home teams are 11-16 if spread is 3 or less points. Davis makes 40.2% behind arc (#8 in nation). 49ers lost last two games, by 8-3 points.

-- Home side won both Drake-Bradley games this year; Drake had 38-17 edge from foul line in OT win Feb 20, after losing by 10 in Peoria, with a -10 (18-8) turnover ratio. Bradley lost five of last seven games, eight of last nine on road. Drake won three of last four games, but lost six of last nine on road. Bulldogs have only one MVC tourney win last four years. MVC underdogs are 20-14 if spread is 5 or less points.
-- Southern Illinois coach Hinson was formerly coach at Missouri State; Salukis won six of last eight games, winning last three by 6-6-3. Home side won both SIU-Missouri State games, with Bears 10-17 from arc in 70-59 home win, 2-12 in 62-54 road loss. MVC underdogs are 20-14 if spread is 5 or less points. Last six State games were decided by 8 or less points- they've lost seven of last eight games away from home.
-- San Diego lost nine of last 12 games after starting 4-0 in WCC; they've won five games in row vs Pepperdine, beating Waves by 7-12 points in this year's games. Pepperdine lost four in row, nine of last 12; three of its four WCC wins were by 4 or less points. Toreros won first tourney game seven of last eight years. WCC favorites are 8-6 if spread is 5 or less points. San Diego just beat Waves 76-69 five days ago.
-- LMU snapped 14-game losing streak with win over Portland last nite, while San Francisco had night off; Lions lost twice to USF this year, by 7-2 points. LMU played three guys 35+ minutes last night, with couple subs playing 17-27 minutes. Dons won five of last seven games; they're 3-2 in this event last two years, after winning only once in previous six WCC tourneys. USF beat LMU 67-60 in this event LY, after getting swept by Lions during season.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, March 7

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BUTLER vs. MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games on the road
Butler is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Massachusetts is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Massachusetts is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games

7:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. NORTHWESTERN
Penn State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Penn State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northwestern is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State
Northwestern is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State

7:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Virginia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Florida State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Virginia
Florida State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. GEORGIA
Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Georgia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 7 games when playing Kentucky

7:05 PM
DRAKE vs. BRADLEY
No trends available
Bradley is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Bradley is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drake

9:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Mexico State
New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Mexico State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO STATE vs. MONTANA
Sacramento State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montana
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montana's last 6 games at home
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
OREGON vs. COLORADO
Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oregon is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

9:00 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. WEBER STATE
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Weber State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Weber State's last 10 games when playing at home against Portland State
Weber State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland State

9:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Wisconsin is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
Michigan State is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

9:00 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. DENVER
Texas-Arlington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 11-2-1 ATS in its last 14 games

9:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. UTAH
Oregon State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 7 games on the road
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Utah is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State

9:05 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. IDAHO STATE
Eastern Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Eastern Washington is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Idaho State is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Eastern Washington
Idaho State is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games

9:05 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. UTAH STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games on the road
Texas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Utah State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Utah State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

9:05 PM
SOUTHERN UTAH vs. NORTHERN COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Utah's last 6 games on the road
Southern Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games
Northern Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:35 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MISSOURI STATE
No trends available
Missouri State is 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Southern Illinois
Missouri State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Southern Illinois

10:00 PM
NORTHERN ARIZONA vs. MONTANA STATE
Northern Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Northern Arizona is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Montana State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Montana State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

10:00 PM
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Texas-San Antonio is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Jose State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games

10:00 PM
UC RIVERSIDE vs. CAL POLY
UC Riverside is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cal Poly
UC Riverside is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cal Poly's last 6 games when playing at home against UC Riverside
Cal Poly is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
CS FULLERTON vs. SANTA BARBARA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of CS Fullerton's last 8 games when playing on the road against Santa Barbara
CS Fullerton is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Santa Barbara
Santa Barbara is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Santa Barbara is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

10:00 PM
UC IRVINE vs. PACIFIC
UC Irvine is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
UC Irvine is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pacific is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Pacific is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games

10:30 PM
HAWAII vs. CS NORTHRIDGE
Hawaii is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
CS Northridge is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
CS Northridge is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

11:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. UC DAVIS
Long Beach State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Long Beach State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UC Davis
UC Davis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
UC Davis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Long Beach State

11:30 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. SAN DIEGO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pepperdine

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, March 7

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Study group: Thursday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
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Oregon Ducks at Colorado Buffaloes (-4, 126)

Oregon continues its run at the Pac-12 regular-season title when it visits Colorado on Thursday. The No. 25 Ducks are tied for first place with UCLA with two games remaining and will win the crown if they win both games, no matter how UCLA or third-place California fare. The Buffaloes are tied for fifth place and seeking a regular-season sweep of the Ducks. Colorado notched a 48-47 victory on Oregon’s homecourt on Feb. 7.

The Buffaloes are 2-2 over their last four games after suffering a 16-point loss to California last Saturday. Colorado’s NCAA tournament prospects would be bolstered by a second victory over Oregon. The Buffaloes close the regular season by hosting Oregon State on Saturday. Oregon is 6-3 on the road entering the two-game swing against Colorado and then Utah on Saturday. The Ducks have won five of their last six games and haven’t played since beating Oregon State on Feb. 28. Oregon won its lone meeting against UCLA and holds the tiebreaker edge with the Bruins.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT OREGON (23-6, 12-4 Pac-12, 11-15-1 ATS): Senior forward Carlos Emory scored a career-best 21 points against Oregon State and is averaging 16.6 points over the last five games. Emory is shooting 54.4 percent over the hot stretch. Freshman point guard Dominic Artis played 12 minutes off the bench against the Beavers after missing the previous nine games with a foot injury. Artis averages 10 points per game and could see more action with junior Johnathan Loyd battling an illness this week. Artis ranks fourth on the squad behind senior forward E.J. Singler (11.5), Emory (11.2) and freshman guard Damyean Dotson (11 per game). Dotson injured his hip in the Oregon State contest and is expected to play against Colorado. Senior forward Arsalan Kazemi (9.4 points, 9.9 rebounds) has eight double-doubles this season.

ABOUT COLORADO (19-9, 9-7 Pac-12, 15-11-0 ATS): The Buffaloes seek a fast rebound from a poor effort against California in which they set season lows for points scored (46) and field-goal percentage (23.1). Freshman forward Josh Scott was back in the lineup after missing two games with a concussion and had 11 rebounds for his third double-digit effort on the boards. Scott ranks third on the Buffaloes in scoring at 11.2 per game. Sophomore guard Spencer Dinwiddie averages a team-best 15.2 points, sophomore guard Askia Booker contributes 12.8 points and junior forward Andre Roberson averages 10.8 points and leads the nation in rebounding (11.5). Roberson ranks second in school history with 1,019 career rebounds and is 36 away from surpassing leader Stephane Pelle (1999-2003).

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
* Buffaloes are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 4-1 in Ducks last five road games.
* Under is 12-3 in Buffaloes last 15 home games.

TIP-INS:

1. Colorado has won the last two meetings and holds a 6-3 series edge against the Ducks.

2. Dinwiddie has topped 20 points seven times this season.

3. Singler and Loyd each have 105 career steals, tying for 10th on Oregon’s all-time steals list.



Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (-4.5, 116)

Seeding for the conference tournament — and perhaps even a shot at a conference title — will be on the line when No. 12 Michigan State hosts No. 21 Wisconsin in a Big Ten showdown Thursday. Both teams are one game behind league leader Indiana in the loss column and caught in a logjam for the Nos. 2-5 seeds. It's the fourth consecutive meeting with a ranked team for Michigan State, which is trying to snap a three-game losing streak.

The Badgers are looking to bounce back after having a three-game winning streak snapped with a 69-56 home loss to Purdue. It was a rare home defeat for Wisconsin, which closes the regular season with road contests at Michigan State and Penn State. The Spartans have won the past four meetings, including a 49-47 slugfest earlier this season in Madison. Michigan State has won 32 of its last 34 games at Breslin Center.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT WISCONSIN (20-9, 11-5 Big Ten, 11-15-1 ATS): The Badgers are experienced, especially in the frontcourt where three seniors start. Big man Jared Berggren (11.6 points, 7 rebounds) and junior guard Ben Brust (11.3 points, 5.4 rebounds) are the team's top scorers, but freshman reserve Sam Dekker is an outstanding outside shooter and one of the top sixth men in the Big Ten. Dekker has scored in double figures in six straight games. The Badgers' real strength, though, is their defense. They hold opponents to 55.8 points per game (ninth in the nation) and 39.4 percent shooting (42nd).

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (22-7, 11-5, 11-13-2 ATS): The Spartans also are terrific at the defensive end, holding opponents to 59.8 points (32nd) and 39.3 percent shooting (40th), but they also boast four double-digit scorers and another on the cusp. Outstanding freshman Gary Harris (13.3 points) and junior Keith Appling (13.2 points) form one of the top backcourt duos in the Big Ten, and junior forward Adreian Payne (10.1 points, 7.4 rebounds) has come up big lately. Payne has six double-doubles this season and has averaged 15.3 points and 12 rebounds over the past four games.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Michigan St.
* Badgers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Michigan St.
* Badgers are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. The home team has won 13 of the past 15 meetings played on campus, with the exceptions being Michigan State's wins at Wisconsin the past two seasons.

2. Wisconsin has won its past two road games against top-10 teams, beating No. 8 Ohio State in 2012 and No. 2 Indiana earlier this season.

3. Payne has 102 blocks, the fourth-most in school history. He needs four more to tie Delvon Roe for third all-time.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, March 7

Oregon at Colorado, 9:00 ET ESPN2
Oregon: 1-7 ATS off BB conference wins
Colorado: 8-1 ATS after scoring 60 points or less

Wisconsin at Michigan State, 9:00 ET ESPN
Wisconsin: 0-6 ATS away revenging a loss as a favorite
Michigan State: 7-0 ATS at home off BB games scoring 60 points or less


College Basketball Tournament Betting Trends for Thursday, March 7, 2013

MVC Tournament, First Round
Drake vs. Bradley, 7:00 ET
Drake: 2-9 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Bradley: 5-1 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

MVC Tournament, First Round
Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State, 9:30 ET
Southern Illinois: 6-0 ATS off a SU win as an underdog
Missouri State: 3-12 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

WCC Tournament, Second Round
Loyola Marymount vs. San Francisco, 9:00 ET
Loyola Marymount: 4-13 ATS after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
San Francisco: 12-4 ATS vs. conference opponents

WCC Tournament, Second Round
Pepperdine vs. San Diego, 11:30 ET
Pepperdine: 19-8 ATS off a road loss
San Diego: 16-6 Under after losing 3 of their last 4 games

OVC Tournament, Quarterfinals
Morehead State vs. Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Morehead State: 2-9 ATS after playing as a favorite
Tennessee State: 11-2 ATS off a SU win as a home underdog

OVC Tournament, Quarterfinals
SE Missouri State vs. Eastern Kentucky, 9:30 ET
SE Missouri State: 16-6 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games
Eastern Kentucky: 8-2 Over after allowing 85+ points

Big South Tournament, Quarterfinals
Winthrop vs. Charleston Southern, 12:00 ET
Winthrop: 1-5 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Charleston Southern: 5-1 Under off a home game

Big South Tournament, Quarterfinals
Longwood vs. VMI, 2:30 ET
Longwood: 4-1 ATS in tournament games
VMI: 4-12 ATS off BB games scoring 75+ points

Big South Tournament, Quarterfinals
Campbell vs. Gardner Webb, 6:00 ET
Campbell: 1-3 ATS after playing as a favorite
Gardner Webb: 8-0 ATS off a SU win

Big South Tournament, Quarterfinals
Liberty vs. High Point, 8:30 ET
Liberty: 1-6 ATS after playing as an underdog
High Point: 2-0 ATS off a home win by 3 points or less

Atlantic Sun Tournament, Quarterfinals
ETSU vs. Stetson, 2:30 ET
ETSU: 0-6 ATS away after having 9 or less assists
Stetson: 6-1 ATS off a home game

Atlantic Sun Tournament, Quarterfinals
USC Upstate vs. Jacksonville, 8:30 ET
USC Upstate: 5-1 Under off a conference game
Jacksonville: 1-6 ATS in conference tournament games