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  • Boynton, UF in SEC finals

    March 16, 2013

    This had nothing to do with redemption, nor did it have anything to do with silencing critics or proving any sort of point. All Saturday represented was another day at the office for Florida senior guard Kenny Boynton, one of the greatest to ever lace ‘em up for the orange and blue.

    Boynton has been a terrific defender since the day he arrived in Gainesville from Pompano Beach. Ask former BYU first-team All-American Jimmer Fredette about Boynton’s ferocious defense.

    In the Sweet 16 round of the 2011 NCAA Tournament, I sat two rows behind BYU’s bench. I watched Boynton use his muscle, quickness and intensity to keep Fredette scoreless for the first 13 minutes.

    I was right there zoned in on the Boynton-Fredette matchup every single possession. The Gators would win 83-74 in overtime thanks to 17 points and five assists compared to two turnovers from Boynton. Fredette missed 12 of his 15 attempts from 3-point range because Boynton was in his grill for nearly every launch.

    Fredette would end up scoring 32 points thanks to free throws, the extra session and several baskets in transition. But he made only 11-of-29 shots from the floor and Boynton forced him to commit six turnovers. In OT, Fredette was worn out and ineffective, while Boynton delivered the dagger with a deep trey.

    My point is that Boynton has been the difference for UF in countless games even when matched up with one of the country’s best players.

    Yes, he is a streaky/inconsistent shooter and pundits are always poised to point this out.

    But he’s not selfish, never has been. The only knock on Boynton’s game is a shaky shooting percentage, especially this season when he had made only 38.9 percent of his shots from the field going into Saturday’s SEC Tournament semifinals matchup against Alabama.

    But Boynton’s senior campaign hasn’t been anything close to resembling the way Brett Nelson lost his shot, confidence and entire game during his senior year. Boynton has continued to play hard at both ends and has dished out 96 assists compared to only 36 turnovers. And, oh yeah, he passed Gator legend Andrew Moten (1984-1987) as UF’s second all-time leading scorer.

    Nevertheless, plenty of critics have been on Boynton’s case for a lack of scoring lately. When Alabama led Florida 28-25 at halftime Saturday and Boynton was scoreless, head coach Billy Donovan challenged his senior leader to fight through his shooting slump and to play with confidence.

    Boynton responded. With ‘Bama leading by eight, Boynton drained a pair of free throws. Next, he pulled down a defensive rebound and darted down the court to score a layup in transition. Then he splashed the nets from 3-point range. A run of nine straight points was capped by a leaner in the lane that he kissed home off of the glass to give UF the lead.

    Suddenly the Gators had energy. The bench went nuts watching Boynton explode. When he stroked another trey with 8:11 remaining, UF led 50-42 and stayed in control the rest of the way in collecting a 61-51 win. The Crimson Tide took the cash, though, as an 11.5-point underdog.

    The 10-point win was the narrowest margin in a Florida (26-6 straight up, 16-13 against the spread) victory this season. That’s right, the Gators have won all 26 of their games by double digits.

    With that in mind, most books opened UF as an 11-point ‘chalk’ for Sunday’s SEC Tournament finals matchup against Ole Miss in Nashville. The total opened at 138.

    At long last, Ole Miss (25-8 SU, 16-12 ATS) is going to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2002 during the Rod Barnes Era. And I’m happy for Andy Kennedy, who has always recruited well and has produced several 20-win campaigns, but until now he has been unable to get the Rebels to the Big Dance.

    That will change on Sunday. Following an incomprehensible loss at Mississippi St. two weeks ago, Ole Miss bounced back to beat Alabama, LSU, Missouri and Vanderbilt.

    Friday’s win over Missouri was the big one. Saturday’s victory over Vandy removed all doubt.

    Kennedy appears to have reigned in Marshall Henderson a little bit, and that’s a good thing. As I’ve said all year, Henderson gives you a chance every night. But he too often takes terrible shots and he should pass the ball more.

    Finally, in last Saturday’s 81-67 victory at LSU, Henderson produced one of his most efficient games. The juco transfer who started his career at Utah made 6-of-13 shots from the field and hit 4-of-9 from beyond the arc. Most importantly, though, Henderson dished out five assists compared to only one turnover. He also had five steals.

    Ole Miss rallied from a 13-point deficit to win a 64-62 decision over Missouri thanks to Derrick Millinghaus’s game-winning jumper with 1.1 ticks left. The Rebels won outright as 4.5-point underdogs, hooking up money-line backers with a +170 payout (risk $100 to win $170).

    Henderson finished with 27 points against the Tigers.

    In the second half Saturday against Vandy, Ole Miss pulled away to win by a 64-52 count as a four-point ‘chalk.’ Henderson scored a game-high 23 points, while Reginald Buckner produced 15 points and nine rebounds.

    The Gators and Rebels met just once this year in Gainesville, where UF collected a 78-64 victory. However, Ole Miss covered the spread as a 17.5-point underdog. The 142 combined points went ‘over’ the 134-point tally.

    Erik Murphy drained 5-of-6 shots from 3-point land on his way to scoring a team-high 19 points. Patric Young had a double-double with 13 points and 12 rebounds. Henderson scored a game-high 25 points in the losing effort, hitting 7-of-11 treys.

    The ‘over’ is 15-10-1 overall for the Rebels, but they have seen the ‘under’ go 3-1 in their last four contests.

    The ‘under’ is on a 7-2 run in UF’s last nine games. The Gators have seen the ‘under’ go 15-11 overall.

    Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    --As of early Saturday night, most books had Miami favored by two over North Carolina in the ACC Tournament finals. The Hurricanes advanced to their first ACC finals by beating North Carolina St. 81-71 as two-point favorites. The Tar Heels advanced but failed to cover in their 79-76 win over Maryland as 4.5-point ‘chalk.’

    --Most spots opened VCU as a one-point favorite for Sunday’s A-10 Tournament finals matchup against Saint Louis. However, as of early Saturday evening, most books had adjusted the number and had the Billikens as 1.5-point ‘chalk.’

    --Most deserving bubble team in that last-four-in-or-out mix: Boise St.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Sunday's Title Games

      March 17, 2013


      The final pieces of this season's NCAA Tournament's 68-piece puzzle will be put in place this Sunday as the final four conference tournaments stage their championship games. The following betting guide will take a closer look at the title game matchups in the Big Ten, ACC and Atlantic 10.

      Big Ten Championship - No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. CBS)

      Ohio State earned the No.2 seed for this tournament with a 5-0 straight-up run to close out the regular season while covering in four of the five games. It ended-up 13-5 SU in conference play and went 25-7 SU (18-11-1 against the spread). Including the Buckeyes two victories in this tournament, they are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven games with the total staying UNDER in six of those games. They come into this matchup as 1 ½-point favorites on 5Dimes opening line with the total set at 117 ½.

      There is little doubt that Ohio State owes much of its success this season to the elevated play of Deshaun Thomas, who leads the team with 19.6 points and 6.2 rebounds a game. However, equally important has been the Buckeyes play on defense; holding opponents to an average of 58.4 points a game.

      Wisconsin might have finished tied for fourth in the Big Ten regular season at 12-6 SU, but it has been a thorn in the side of the top teams in the conference all season long. Adding to a two-game sweep of Indiana, the Badgers beat Michigan twice both SU and ATS while earning a split against both Michigan State and Ohio State during the regular season.

      To end this impressive run with a conference tournament title, Wisconsin will also turn to a shutdown defense that has held teams to just 56.1 points a game this year. Offensively, the Badgers have trio of quality scorers in Ben Brust (11.4 points), Jared Berggren (11.3 points) and Ryan Evans (10.4 points). Overall, they are averaging 66.2 points a game but shooting just 42.6 percent from the field.

      ACC Championship - No. 1 Miami vs. No. 3 North Carolina (1 p.m. ESPN)

      Miami opened this season as a +500 third-favorite to win the ACC this season but it finds itself just one victory away from adding a tournament title to the regular season title it already earned with a 15-3 SU record in conference play. The Hurricanes have been opened as 3 ½-point favorites to get it done with the total line set at 140 ½. The one concern for anyone betting on Miami to accomplish this feat is a 4-5-1 ATS record in its last 10 games, but it is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS against the Tar Heels this year.

      If the Hurricanes have any serious plans of cutting down the nets at Greensboro Coliseum later this afternoon, they will need another big game from Shane Larkin, Kenny Kadji and Durand Scott. This trio has combined for 41.1 points, 15.7 rebounds and 6.3 assists a game. Miami as a team is averaging 69.4 points while shooting 45.8 percent from the field.

      North Carolina waited quietly in the wings for much of the season while Miami and Duke grabbed all the headlines, but a 6-1 SU run down the stretch proved that once again the Tar Heels are still a force in the ACC. They have also been extremely profitable to wager on this past month or so with an 8-2 record ATS in their last 10 games.

      The Tar Heels have gotten it done behind a potent offense that is averaging 77.2 points a game while shooting an effective 44.4 percent from the field. James Michael McAdoo and Reggie Bullock are each averaging over 14 points a game while controlling the boards with a combined 14.1 rebounds a game. PJ Hairston has also come up big with 13.8 points and 4.2 rebounds.

      Atlantic 10 Championship - No. 1 Saint Louis vs. No. 2 VCU (1 p.m. CBS)

      The No. 16 ranked Saint Louis Billikens have been the top team in the Atlantic 10 all season long and after winning the regular season title with 13-3 SU record in conference play (26-6 SU and 20-10 ATS overall) they will have an opportunity to put an exclamation point on that performance with another victory against VCU as three-point favorites. On Feb. 19 they hammered the Rams 76-62 as two-point favorites at home. The total went OVER the 136 ½-point line.

      This time around, BetOnline has opened on Saint Louis as a three-point favorite with the total set at 136. If the Billikens are going to complete the sweep look for a big afternoon from Dwayne Evans who leads the team with 13.6 points and 7.7 rebounds a game. Overall, the team is averaging 68.9 points a game while holding their opponents to just 58.2 on the other end of the court.

      VCU joined the A 10 this season after a long and successful stint in the Colonial Athletic Association. It quickly proved that it can compete at a higher level with an overall record of 26-7 SU (10-16 ATS) and a solid 12-4 SU record in conference play. The Rams come into this matchup with an 8-2 SU record in their last 10 games but sporting just a 4-6 record ATS.

      Paced by Treveon Graham's 15.4 points a game, VCU is ranked 11th in the nation in scoring with an average of 78 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field. The Rams biggest weapon under the boards is Juvonte Reddic with 14.4 points and a team-high 8.3 rebounds a game. Defensively, VCU is holding teams to an average of 64.9 points a game.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

        Six of the more interesting teams I'll be looking for when they announce the NCAA pairings tonight at 6:00.........

        -- Middle Tennessee-- 28-5 with #39 non-conference schedule; helped by an Ole Miss run in SEC-- they beat the Rebels.

        -- Albany-- Hey!! I was a Great Dane for six years, back in the D-3 days. Albany was 0-6 vs top 3 in America East until it counted, then they beat Stony Book/Vermont to get to NCAAs for third time in eight years.

        -- Kentucky-- Zero road wins since Noel got hurt. Three sellouts at Rupp Arena will help the NIT's bottom line this year.

        -- Boise State-- Were messed up with injuries/illness in January; had terrific win at Creighton, went 9-7 in one of nation's best leagues (MWC).

        -- Saint Louis-- By time brackets are picked apart late Sunday, pundits will have Billikens sounding like the '72 UCLA Bruins. Saint Louis is good, but not Final Four good. They'll be a fashionable sleeper, though.

        -- Gonzaga-- Have played in one regional final, in 1999. Now is their time; they're good enough to make a run to Atlanta.


        *****

        Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.........

        13) Media types whining all weekend about the end of the Big East fail to realize the Big East isn't going away, Syracuse is. Pitt, Rutgers started in Atlantic 10, Notre Dame was an independent, Louisville came over from Conference USA, so Syracuse's bolting for the ACC's football money is the only deep-rooted change here. That, and UConn being left behind.

        Louisville's 44-10 run after trailing by 16 makes them the favorite to win the NCAA tournament; takes pressure off the other #1 seeds.

        12) Pretty cool scene in Big West tournament, as Pacific beat Cal-Irvine, in coach Bob Thomason's last season coaching his alma mater after 25 years. Pacific is moving to the WCC next year, giving that league ten teams.

        11) Refs called a horrible charge on Shabazz Muhammad in first half of UCLA-Oregon game, and Ben Howland made like Al Oerter, tossing his suit jacket into the second row of the stands. He got a technical, and his Bruins got drilled 78-69 by the resurgent Oregon Ducks.

        10) Anybody who had North Carolina lasting longer than Duke in the ACC tourney, raise your hand. Put your hand down, you're lying.

        9) Montana beat Weber State in the Big Sky tournament for the fourth year in a row, 67-64. Weber was the better team this season, with Mathias Ward out for the Griz, but the game was played in Bozeman, and the stripes gave Montana the benefit of the whistle.

        8) With Stephen F Austin/Texas-Arlington both losing Saturday, it means that no teams from Texas will be in the NCAA tournament- when was the last time that happened?

        7) These flagrant fouls on accidental contact are getting ridiculous. Game is becoming too babified. These games have three refs making $1,500 apiece; time to stop video reviewing every little thing. Let the kids play; if the three refs didn't see it, then it didn't happen, the exception being clock issues.

        6) Memphis finished 19-0 in Conference USA, beating Southern Miss in double OT, 91-79. Eagles were hurt by 15-28 foul shooting.

        5) Northwestern finally canned Bill Carmody, who was 192-210 in 13 years with the Wildcats; academics are no excuse for losing in basketball, for example, Vanderbilt has a good team most every year. And Duke, too. For a team that close to Chicago to rarely have a winning record, its just not good.

        4) Why coaches get fired if they lose: they're expensive. Colorado State's Larry Eustachy has a base salary of $750,000; if the Rams win 20+ games and stay off probation, he makes another $100,000. Make it to the NCAA's, Eustachy bags another $250,000. Make the Sweet 16, $100,000 more.

        If Eustachy doesn't cash that $250,000 bonus too many years in a row, he'll be looking for a job, just like Coach Carmody. Its a cruel business, but if you win, its pretty damn lucrative, which is why recruiting is so cutthroat.

        3) Odd Stat of the Day, NBA version: Washington Wizards are 15-2 vs the spread this season if they're on back end of a back-to-back.

        2) Team USA lost in WBC, tickets for the semis/finals in San Francisco Sunday-Tuesday have been discounted to as little as $8. You go to a baseball game in the Bronx, you can't get a beer for $8.

        1) For bubble teams, Sunday is the longest of days; for most of the teams, just getting in the NCAA tournament is a win-- how many can really win six (seven) games in a row and the national championship?

        We'll be here tomorrow with our first impressions on the field of 68.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NCAAB
          Dunkel

          North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)
          The Hurricanes look to follow up yesterday's 81-71 win over NC State and build on their 17-6-1 ATS record in their last 24 games following a SU victory. Miami (FL) is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricans favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

          SUNDAY, MARCH 17

          Game 887-888: North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) (1:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.889; Miami (FL) 72.835
          Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 5; 137
          Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2 1/2; 140 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-2 1/2); Under

          Game 889-890: Mississippi vs. Florida (1:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 66.828; Florida 74.877
          Dunkel Line: Florida by 8; 140
          Vegas Line: Florida by 11 1/2; 135 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Florida (+11 1/2); Over

          Game 891-892: VCU vs. St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: VCU 66.888; St. Louis 70.924
          Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4; 133
          Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 136 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-1 1/2); Under

          Game 893-894: Wisconsin vs. Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 73.608; Ohio State 72.598
          Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 122
          Vegas Line: Ohio State by 1 1/2; 117 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+1 1/2); Over




          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, March 17

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          N CAROLINA (24 - 9) vs. MIAMI (26 - 6) - 3/17/2013, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          N CAROLINA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
          MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
          MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
          MIAMI is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          MIAMI is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
          MIAMI is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
          MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          MIAMI is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
          MIAMI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
          N CAROLINA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
          N CAROLINA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
          N CAROLINA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
          N CAROLINA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MIAMI is 3-3 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          N CAROLINA is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OLE MISS (25 - 8) vs. FLORIDA (26 - 6) - 3/17/2013, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLORIDA is 60-34 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
          OLE MISS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OLE MISS is 3-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 7) vs. SAINT LOUIS (26 - 6) - 3/17/2013, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
          SAINT LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          SAINT LOUIS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAINT LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
          SAINT LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          WISCONSIN (23 - 10) vs. OHIO ST (25 - 7) - 3/17/2013, 3:40 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OHIO ST is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          OHIO ST is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          OHIO ST is 180-140 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
          OHIO ST is 167-131 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
          OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          OHIO ST is 201-155 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          OHIO ST is 130-95 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
          WISCONSIN is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OHIO ST is 3-3 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
          OHIO ST is 3-3 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          NCAAB
          Top 25 Short Sheet

          Sunday, March 17

          ACC Tournament, Championship
          North Carolina vs. (#9) Miami FL, 1:00 ET ESPN
          North Carolina: 3-6 ATS in tournament championship games
          Miami FL: 14-6 ATS as a favorite

          SEC Tournament, Championship
          Mississippi vs. (#13) Florida, 1:00 ET ABC
          Mississippi: 13-2 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points
          Florida: 14-4 Over as a neutral court favorite

          (#25) Virginia Commonwealth vs. (#16) St. Louis, 1:00 ET CBS
          VA Commonwealth: 8-3 Over vs. conference opponents
          St. Louis: 14-4 ATS vs. conference opponents

          Big Ten Tournament, Championship
          (#22) Wisconsin vs. (#10) Ohio State, 3:30 ET CBS
          Wisconsin: 20-8 Under in conference tournament games
          Ohio State: 7-1 ATS playing with same-season revenge




          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Sunday, March 17

          SEC tournament (Nashville)
          Florida hasn't won SEC tourney since '07, when they won national title; Gators are 7-6 in SEC tourney since- they shot 64% inside arc, routed Ole Miss 78-64 (-17.5) Feb 2- Henderson went 7-11 behind arc, rest of Rebels 0-6. Ole Miss is 6-1 in last seven games, has to be little nervous about NCAAs if they lose- loss was at #257 Miss State. Ole Miss used three starters 37+ minutes Saturday. Florida allowed 58 or less points in last eight wins, 61+ points in last four losses.

          ACC tournament (Greensboro)
          Miami is in ACC tournament finals for first time; they beat UNC twice this year, 68-59 in Deandome, 87-61 at home; 'canes were 24-52 on arc in two games, UNC 12-35- Heels took total of 14 FTs in the two games. North Carolina won eight of last nine games, with only loss to Duke in regular season finale. UNC played three starters 34+ minutes Saturday in 79-76 win over Maryland- they lost in ACC finals last two years, to Duke/FSU. Heels are 0-4 vs Duke/Miami, 14-2 vs rest of ACC.

          Atlantic 16 tournament (Brooklyn)
          Veteran-laden Saint Louis (top 6 guys juniors/seniors) won 23 of last 26 games, with last two losses in OT. SLU (-2) beat VCU 76-62 at home Feb 19, tunring ball over only 8 times, shooting 73% (19-26) inside arc. Rams are now 21-5 in last 26 conference tourney games; force turnovers 28.6% of time, most in country, but Billikens are in top 10% in country in ball security. VCU won 10 of their last 12 games overall; they played three subs double digit minutes Saturday. SLU forced 20 turnovers (+12) Saturday in beating Butler for third time this season.

          Big Dozen tourney (Chicago)
          Ohio State is 12-2 in this tourney last 4+ years, they've won last eight games overall, with seven of eight by 8+ points; home side won both its games with Wisconsin this season- Badgers won 71-49 at home Feb 17, after losing 58-49 in first meeting Jan 19. Wisky is in Big Dozen final for first time since '08; Ryan is 2-2 in finals, losing by 11-17 points-- they shot 58% inside arc as they beat Indiana for 12th time in row Saturday. Ryan played three starters 31+ minutes. Buckeyes had only five TO's in tense 61-58 win over Michigan State.




          NCAAB

          Sunday, March 17

          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          1:00 PM
          MISSISSIPPI vs. FLORIDA
          No trends available
          Florida is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
          Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi

          1:00 PM
          NORTH CAROLINA vs. MIAMI
          No trends available
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
          Miami is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina

          1:00 PM
          VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. SAINT LOUIS
          No trends available
          Saint Louis is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 6 games

          3:30 PM
          WISCONSIN vs. OHIO STATE
          No trends available
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ohio State's last 7 games
          Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • NCAAB

            Sunday, March 17

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            ACC tournament final: North Carolina vs. Miami
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes (-2.5, 144)

            North Carolina will attempt to add to its 17 ACC tournament titles and top-seeded Miami goes for its first when the teams meet in Sunday's championship game in Greensboro, N.C. The Hurricanes, who finished the regular season with two wins in their last five games, got back to the solid play that led them to a 13-0 league start by putting away North Carolina State 81-71 in the semifinals Saturday. Guards Durand Scott and Shane Larkin led the way as they have most of the season, combining for 55 points against the Wolfpack.

            The Hurricanes have beaten North Carolina twice this season, including a 26-point thumping in Coral Gables, Fla. The third-seeded Tar Heels have been a much better team since then, winning eight of their last nine. North Carolina has gone with a smaller lineup down the stretch, playing better on both ends.

            TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN, ACC Network.

            ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (24-9): The Tar Heels almost blew a double-digit lead in their 79-76 victory over Maryland in the semifinals, but made enough plays to seal it. North Carolina had 14 turnovers combined in the first two rounds, only two by freshman point guard Marcus Paige. P.J. Hairston, who came back from a nasty cut on his left hand he suffered in the quarterfinals, also continued his strong play. Hairston has averaged 19 points over the last 10 games and Reggie Bullock has averaged 16.1 over the last seven. James Michael McAdoo is a consistent force inside for the Tar Heels, who average 77.2 points.

            ABOUT MIAMI (26-6): Scott poured in a career-best 32 points in the semifinals, slicing through the Wolfpack defense and draining five 3-pointers. The senior leader, who was selected ACC Defensive Player of the Year, had averaged just under 10 points in the previous eight games. Larkin, a finalist for the Bob Cousy Award given to nation’s best point guard, has scored at least 20 points in four of the last six contests. Forward Kenny Kadji has four double-doubles in the last five outings. The Hurricanes need more from burly 6-10 center Reggie Johnson, who has only 17 points the last seven games.

            TRENDS:

            * Tar Heels are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
            * Under is 6-1 in Tar Heels’ last seven games following a S.U. win.
            * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

            TIP-INS

            1. North Carolina coach Roy Williams goes for his 700th career victory. He is 699-178 in his 25th season.

            2. Miami has won two more games than any other Hurricanes’ team in program history.

            3. North Carolina has 90 ACC tournament wins, one shy of matching Duke for the most in league history.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Sunday, March 17

              Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Mississippi - 1:00 PM ET Mississippi +10.5 500
              Florida - Under 135 500

              North Carolina - 1:00 PM ET Miami-Florida -2.5 500 ACC POY
              Miami-Florida - Over 138 500

              VCU - 1:00 PM ET Saint Louis -2 500
              Saint Louis - Under 135.5 500

              Wisconsin - 3:30 PM ET Wisconsin +2 500 BIG 10 DOG
              Ohio St. - Over 117.5 500
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-17-2013, 01:50 PM.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • NCAAB

                Sunday, March 17

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Big Ten final: Wisconsin vs. Ohio State
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5, 118)

                Second-seeded Ohio State goes after its third Big Ten tournament title in four seasons when it meets fourth-seeded Wisconsin in Sunday’s contest in Chicago. The No. 9 Buckeyes won the 2010 and 2011 crowns and advanced by knocking off Michigan State in Saturday’s semifinals. Ohio State has won seven consecutive games dating back to being routed 71-49 by the Badgers on Feb. 17. No. 23 Wisconsin ousted top-seeded Indiana in the semifinals and has won six of its last eight games.

                The Badgers held high-scoring Indiana to a season-low point total in a 68-56 victory. Wisconsin isn’t all that athletic compared to the Hoosiers and the Michigan squad it beat in the quarterfinals but figures out how to get the job done. “Just means we have a bunch of guys that want to play and play hard,” senior forward Mike Bruesewitz said. “Kind of how college basketball has gone this whole year.” The Buckeyes split two games with the Badgers in the regular season but are still smarting over the whipping they took in the second outing. “We’ve got to be ready from the tip-off against them because last game we weren’t ready,” Ohio State junior forward Deshaun Thomas said. “But now we’ve got to be ready and focused because we know Wisconsin is going to hold that ball and try to run the clock to the end.”

                TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

                ABOUT OHIO STATE (25-7): Junior point guard Aaron Craft had an outstanding game against Michigan State with 20 points, a season-high nine assists and four steals. Craft doesn’t typically look to score – the 20-point outing is just the third of his career – but was 9-of-13 shooting against the Spartans. “I think we have a lot of plays that we can execute that either get me open shots or I can help create for somebody else,” Craft said. Craft has 17 assists in the first two games of the tourney as he has stepped up his typical high-level intensity even further. “He loves these types of games,” coach Thad Matta said. “There’s no question about it. He’s big for us.”

                ABOUT WISCONSIN (22-10): Nobody averages even 12 points for the team-oriented Badgers and any one of six players can be the hero on any given night. Senior forward Ryan Evans earned that tag with 16 points, eight rebounds and four blocked shots against the Hoosiers but stellar team defense overshadowed his fine effort. Junior guard Ben Brust makes 3-pointers (75), senior center Jared Berggren blocks shots (68), sophomore guard Traevon Jackson runs the offense (93 assists) and Bruesewitz does a little bit of everything. Freshman forward Sam Dekker had seven of his 11 points in a key second-half sequence.

                TRENDS:

                * Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
                * Under is 6-1 in Buckeyes’ last seven overall.
                * Badgers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a S.U. win.

                TIP-INS

                1. Ohio State averaged 53.5 points in the two meetings against the Badgers, more than 16 points less below its season average of 69.8.

                2. The Badgers are 17-3 when holding opponents under 60 points this season.

                3. The Buckeyes committed five turnovers in the win over Michigan State.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NCAAB

                  Sunday, March 17

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  SEC tournament final: Ole Miss vs. Florida
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Ole Miss Rebels vs. Florida Gators (-11, 138.5)

                  Mississippi is one game away from taking its NCAA Tournament fate out of the hands of the selection committee. The third-seeded Rebels will face off against No. 1 seed Florida on Sunday in the SEC tournament championship game in Nashville, Tenn. Ole Miss entered the conference tournament as a bubble team and would like to ensure its spot in the NCAA Tournament by earning the automatic bid reserved for the SEC champion.

                  The Gators have had little trouble advancing to the championship game, blowing out Louisiana State in the quarterfinals on Friday and using a second-half surge to end Alabama’s tournament run on Saturday. Florida is playing for NCAA Tournament seeding, and is hoping a conference tournament triumph will put it into a No. 2 seed. To get there, the Gators will need to slow down Rebels star Marshall Henderson, who has averaged 25 points in the first two tournament games.

                  TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

                  ABOUT MISSISSIPPI (25-8): The Rebels have won six of their last seven games to surge back onto the top of the bubble. Mississippi had fallen off with a stretch of five losses in seven games from Jan. 29 to Feb. 20, which included a 78-64 setback at Florida on Feb. 2. Henderson scored 20 of his 27 points in the second half and Derrick Millinghaus scored with 1.1 seconds left to give the Rebels a 64-62 win in the quarterfinals over Missouri on Friday. Henderson went for 23 and Ole Miss had an easier time on Saturday with a 64-52 triumph over Vanderbilt. The Rebels were without point guard Jarvis Summers, who was injured on Friday, against the Commodores, and the sophomore is questionable for Sunday’s finale. Henderson hit seven 3-pointers en route to 25 points but the rest of the Ole Miss players combined to shoot 32.5 percent in the loss at Florida last month.

                  ABOUT FLORIDA (26-6): The Gators shot 51.6 percent and had four players with at least 13 points in the win over Ole Miss and have used that same strong defense and balanced offense in the SEC tournament. Erik Murphy starred with a career-high 27 points in the opener against LSU and Kenny Boynton took over on Saturday, keying a 15-0 run in the second half and scoring all 16 of his points after the break in the 61-51 triumph over Alabama. Florida stumbled a bit with three losses in the final six games of the regular season but has turned things around after a series of tough practices earlier in the week. The Gators are trying to secure their first SEC tournament title since 2007.

                  TRENDS:

                  * Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
                  * Under is 4-1 in Rebels’ last five overall.
                  * Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. win.
                  * Under is 7-1 in Gators’ last eight overall.

                  TIP-INS

                  1. Mississippi has not won the SEC tournament since 1981 and has not made the championship game since falling to Kentucky in 2001.

                  2. Boynton snapped a 13-game streak of shooting under 50 percent when he went 6-for-12 on Saturday.

                  3. Henderson has hit at least three 3-pointers in eight straight games.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NCAAB

                    Sunday, March 17

                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Atlantic 10 final: VCU vs. Saint Louis
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens (-1.5, 136.5)

                    No. 22 Virginia Commonwealth will get a shot at revenge — and improving its seed for the NCAA Tournament — when the Rams take on No. 16 Saint Louis in the Atlantic 10 championship game Sunday in Brooklyn, N.Y. Saint Louis easily handled VCU in the regular season, winning 76-62 at home while withstanding the Rams' vaunted "Havoc" defense.

                    The top-seeded Billikens, who won the regular-season title outright, have advanced to their first conference championship game since joining the Atlantic 10 in 2005-06. The second-seeded Rams, however, are playing in their conference title tilt for the third straight year — the last two came in the Colonial Athletic Association.

                    TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

                    ABOUT VCU (26-7, 12-4 Atlantic 10): The Rams can put up the points, thanks in part to the large number of turnovers they force and strong outside shooting. Senior guard Troy Daniels (12.5 points) led the barrage in a 71-62 win over Massachusetts in the semifinals, going 6-for-9 from 3-point range. If the Rams are going to knock off Saint Louis, they'll need leading scorer Treveon Graham (15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds) to bounce back after going 1-for-12 for three points Saturday. Forward Juvonte Reddic (14.4 points, 8.3 rebounds) is coming off a big game, though, with 18 points and 12 rebounds against the Minutemen.

                    ABOUT SAINT LOUIS (26-6, 13-3): The Billikens are one of the top defensive teams in the nation, but they also boast four double-digit scorers. Undersized power forward Dwayne Evans (13.6 points, 7.7 rebounds) has led the way all season, but he has taken over completely in the conference tournament. Evans is 15-of-19 from the floor and 18-of-20 from the foul line through his first two games in the tournament and has compiled 49 points and 20 rebounds. Reserve forward Cody Ellis (10.3 points) also had a solid game in Saturday's 67-56 win over Butler with 13 points off the bench.

                    TRENDS:

                    * Billikens are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
                    * Billikens are 8-0 ATS in their last eight Sunday games.
                    * Over is 4-0 in Rams’ last four games following an ATS win.

                    TIP-INS

                    1. The top two seeds have reached the Atlantic 10 final for the first time since 2005.

                    2. Evans has scored in double figures in 14 consecutive games.

                    3. Graham has failed to reach double digits in scoring only four times this season.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Well I Tried to sweep all the games...that late game caught me...thought those badgers would pull off that upset......

                      Owell 6 - 2 is still good.....................
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

                        Six of the more interesting tournament games this week......these are not selections, just posting the pointspread for information purposes.

                        -- Boise State (-1) vs LaSalle-- Both teams play four guards at a time; this play-in game should be high scoring and fun to watch.

                        -- Michigan (-11.5) vs South Dakota State-- Jackrabbits can score, but have to play Michigan in Auburn Hills, a virtual road game.

                        -- UNLV (-3) vs Cal-- Rebels won at Cal by a point in December; another road game here-- this one is in San Jose.

                        -- NC State (-4) vs Temple-- Owls' senior G Wyatt will determine winner here, for better or worse; he's taken 47 foul shots in last four games, after taking none in a February 24 game with Charlotte.

                        -- Missouri (-3) vs Colorado State-- Not sure if Dorian Green re-injured his ankle at end of game Friday; if he's healthy, Rans are a tough out.

                        -- Creighton (-3) vs Cincinnati-- Great offensive team vs a defensive team from a bigger conference; Bearcats resemble Jays' rival Wichita State.


                        *****

                        Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: First impressions on field of 68............

                        13) Hopefully ESPN or CBS will do a feature on how teams scurry for scouting video after the field of 68 is announced. Its an interesting process; the Charleston, SC newspaper ran an article that credited the sophistication of video scouting as a reason for the deep decline in scoring.

                        I mean, do you think New Mexico has a lot of film on Harvard? Marquette has to be scrambling for knowledge on Davidson, and how much does New Mexico State know about Saint Louis? Lot of scrambling going on.

                        12) My dad's comment while CBS showed the brackets Sunday: "Who the hell is Florida Gulf Coast?" Eagles beat a banged-up Miami team, way back on November 13, but they turn ball over 21% of time, have only two seniors, and are in serious trouble against Georgetown.

                        11) Lon Kruger went 1-8 in his last nine games vs San Diego State when he was coaching at UNLV; now his Oklahoma Sooners will try to solve this defensively-stout Aztec team. Should be low-scoring.

                        10) Oregon is a 12-seed? They wouldn't have been in the tournament had they not beaten UCLA late Saturday night? Wow.

                        9) No Pac-12 team was seeded higher than sixth. Yikes.

                        8) Northwestern State upset Iowa in a 3-14 game in '06, but this Florida team is a lot better than that Iowa team. Not a great draw for the Demons.

                        7) Miami is the first ACC team ever to win the regular season/conference tournament to not get a #1 seed in the NCAAs.

                        6) I'm tired of hearing how NC State underachieved this season; maybe the pundits did a horrible job picking them so high in the preseason, maybe the expectations in Raleigh are placed way too high, the same way they were before Herb Sendek bolted NC State for Arizona State in 2006, after he made the NCAA tournament five years in a row.

                        5) No national champion lost their first conference tournament game, which would rule out Duke; since 1985, only three teams won the national title after not being in the tournament the year before.

                        4) Hats off to Western Kentucky/New Mexico, who looked like they had huge crowds in their arena just to see the brackets unveiled.

                        3) Virginia (#27) has best kenpom.com rating to not make tournament; the lesson? ACC teams shouldn't go 0-3 against CAA teams.

                        2) I got tired of ESPN showing Joe Lunardi's Last 4 in/Last 4 out for a whole month, but dammit, he hit it 100% this year, has missed only 10 teams in the last nine years, so kudos to him on being really good at his job.

                        1) Here's an early Final Four pick off the top of my bald head:
                        Miami-Florida-Louisville-Gonzaga, with Louisville winning it.
                        Reply With Quote
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NCAA tournament opening line report and odds

                          Oddsmakers laced up their dancing shoes Sunday waiting for the NCAA tournament field to be announced so they could begin the frantic process of setting spreads and totals for the biggest betting week of the year.

                          Around 9 p.m. ET Sunday night, lines for the opening matchups of the tournament began to trickle out but oddsmakers started their work the second the Selection Sunday show concluded. They quickly printed off the brackets and schedules and started crunching stats and figures for Tuesday and Wednesday’s play-in games as well as the second-round matchups on Thursday and Friday.

                          “Those play-in games are probably the toughest,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, told Covers. “We don’t know a whole lot about some of those play-in teams. Other than those, we match stats for stats and figure out how high do you want to go.”

                          Korner bounces his projected spreads and totals off his panel of oddsmakers and they debate which numbers suit their clients the best, factoring in public opinion and expected sharp betting patterns.

                          The No. 1 seeds with second-round matchups already set – Gonzaga and Kansas – obviously have the highest spreads of the opening rounds. The Bulldogs, the top seed in the West Regional, are suggested 22-point favorites over No. 16 Southern. The Jayhawks, the No. 1 seed in the South Regional, are 20-point chalk versus No. 16 Western Kentucky. No. 3 Florida is also a 20-point favorite versus No. 14 Northwestern State.

                          As for the tightest spreads on the board, Korner’s oddsmakers sent out a “pick’em” for two No. 7-versus-No. 10 matchups: Illinois vs. Colorado and Notre Dame vs. Iowa State. The play-in game between La Salle and Boise State was also sent out as a pick.

                          For fans of high-scoring hoops, the biggest total on the board belongs to the game between No. 8 North Carolina State and No. 9 Temple, which garnered a 152-point number. Both teams have a potent offense, averaging a combined 150.3 points per game, and rank among the bottom in defense.

                          “We wanted to go with whoever had the highest for that game,” Korner says of the NC State-Temple total. “It’s a game that’s going to be a lot of fun to watch.”

                          The lowest over/under on the board is the 122-point total for the game between No. 3 Saint Louis and No. 13 New Mexico State. The Billikens rode their stout defense – ranked 18th in the country – to the A-10 championship while the Aggies allowed only 62.1 points per game this season.

                          “The toughest totals are the ones where you have one high-scoring team versus a team that plays low,” says Korner. “We usually go with the team that has the strength and should control the flow of the game. But it’s like the playoffs, we are thinking ‘low, low low’.”

                          Here’s the full list of odds for the opening games of the 2013 NCAA tournament:

                          Play-in games

                          March 19, 2013

                          Liberty vs. North Carolina A&T (-3, 127)
                          St. Mary's vs. Middle Tennessee State (+3, 131)

                          March 20, 2013

                          La Salle vs. Boise State (Pick, 138)
                          James Madison vs. LIU Brooklyn (-1, 147)

                          Round 2

                          March 21, 2013

                          No. 9 Missouri vs. No. 8 Colorado State (+2.5, 143)
                          No. 12 Oregon vs. No. 5 Oklahoma State (-3, 135)
                          No. 13 New Mexico State vs. No. 4 Saint Louis (-10, 122)
                          No. 14 Valparaiso vs. No. 3 Michigan State (-9.5, 128)
                          No. 12 Akron vs. No. 5 VCU (-5.5, 138)
                          No. 13 South Dakota State vs. No. 4 Michigan (-12, 141)
                          No. 12 California vs. No. 5 UNLV (-3, 126)
                          No. 13 Montana vs. No. 4 Syracuse (-15, 130)
                          No. 11 Bucknell vs. No. 6 Butler (-4.5, 124)
                          No. 14 Davidson vs. No. 3 Marquette (-3.5, 131)
                          No. 16 Southern vs. No. 1 Gonzaga (-22, 127)
                          No. 9 Wichita State vs. No. 8 Pittsburgh (-5.5, 125)
                          No. 11 Belmont vs. No. 6 Arizona (-5, 142)
                          No. 14 Harvard vs. No. 3 New Mexico (-11.5, 127)

                          March 22, 2013

                          No. 10 Cincinnati vs. No. 7 Creighton (-1.5. 124)
                          No. 15 Albany vs. No. 2 Duke (-19, 133)
                          No. 16 Western Kentucky vs. No. 1 Kansas (-20, 135)
                          No. 9 Villanova vs. No. 8 North Carolina (-4, 137)
                          No. 11 Minnesota vs. No. 6 UCLA (+3, 133)
                          No. 14 Northwestern State vs. No. 3 Florida (-20, 136)
                          No. 10 Oklahoma vs. No. 7 San Diego State (-2, 135)
                          No. 15 Florida Gulf Coast vs. No. 2 Georgetown (-14, 126)
                          No. 9 Temple vs. No. 8 North Carolina State (-4, 152)
                          No. 10 Colorado vs. No. 7 Illinois (Pick, 128)
                          No. 15 Pacific vs. No. 2 Miami (-13, 127)
                          No. 10 Iowa State vs. No. 7 Notre Dame (Pick, 142)
                          No. 15 Iona vs. No. 2 Ohio State (-13, 142)
                          No. 12 Mississippi vs. No. 5 Wisconsin (-3.5, 128)
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                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • 68 stats for 68 NCAA Tournament-bound teams

                            It's tourney time, so here's a few betting stats and notes for all 68 teams vying for the national title:

                            MIDWEST REGION

                            (1) Louisville - Ranks 224th in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage (33.1%)

                            (2) Duke - Went 18-0 in the regular season with forward Ryan Kelly in the lineup (11-7 ATS) but 9-3 SU and 6-7 ATS without him.

                            (3) Michigan State - The Spartans play strong, balanced team defense, finishing 35th or better in four key defensive statistical categories - points allowed per game, opponent field goal percentage, opponent 3-point percentage and opponent free throw percentage.

                            (4) Saint Louis - In seven NCAA tournament appearances, the Billikens have never advanced past their second game.

                            (5) Oklahoma State - The Cowboys lost in the opening round of their last tournament appearance in 2010.

                            (6) Memphis - The Tigers are very efficient from the floor, shooting 37.9% from 3-point range and 47.9 from the field. But their 66.7 percent mark from the free-throw line ranks 260th in the country.

                            (7) Creighton - The Bluejays lead the nation in field goal percentage (.508) and rank fourth in assists per game (17.2).

                            (8) Colorado State - Have only covered once in their last seven games.

                            (9) Missouri - The Tigers are the second-best rebounding team in the country at 41.4 per game.

                            (10) Cincinnati - The Bearcats rank 26th or better in opponent points per game, field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, and free throw percentage.

                            (11) TBD from play-in game.

                            (12) Oregon - The Ducks will make their first tournament appearance since 2008, when they were eliminated in the first round as a No. 9 seed.

                            (13) New Mexico State - Enters the tourney on a five-game winning streak and has now won six straight WAC tournament games by at least nine points, and by an overall average margin of 14.3 points per win.

                            (14) Valparaiso - The Crusaders are making their first NCAA appearance since 2004. They head into the tourney on a six-game winning streak after breaking the school's single-season record for victories.

                            (15) Albany - This will be the third tournament appearance for the Great Danes. They also made it to the Big Dance in 2006 and 2007.

                            (16) TBD from play-in game

                            SOUTH REGION

                            (1) Kansas - Kansas has the best field-goal percentage defense in the country -- and much of it comes from its shot-blocking prowess on the interior. The Jayhawks allow teams to shoot only 38.9 percent inside the arc, and only 35.9 percent overall -- both rank first in the country.

                            (2) Georgetown - The Hoyas rank 297th in experience, making them one of the youngest teams in the field.

                            (3) Florida - The Gators were once seen as a lock for a No. 1 seed. After going 5-4 on the road during the SEC regular season and losing in the tournament title game, the Gators fell to a No. 3 seed

                            (4) Michigan - Posted a 19-12 over/under mark during the regular season - the most overs in the Big Ten.

                            (5) VCU - The Rams lead the country in turnovers forced per game (19.9) and steals per game (11.9).

                            (6) UCLA - Second leading scorer Jordan Adams (15.3 ppg) is out for the rest of the season. He suffered a broken foot Friday night against Arizona.

                            (7) San Diego State - The Aztecs have only covered once in their last six games.

                            (8) UNC - The Tar Heels have advanced to at least the regional final in six of their last seven NCAA tournament appearances, including two national championships in 2009 and 2005.

                            (9) Villanova - The Wildcats were a Big East-best 19-10-1 ATS this season.

                            (10) Oklahoma - The Sooners have played over the total in 10 of their last 11 games.

                            (11) Minnesota - The Gophers have some quality wins over Memphis, Illinois, Michigan State, Wisconsin, and Indiana this season.

                            (12) Akron - The Zips overcame the loss of G Alex Abreu to win the MAC tournament, but their 64.5 percent free throw shooting percentage is a major cause for concern.

                            (13) South Dakota State - The Jackrabbits' sole NCAA appearance came last year, when they earned a trip to the dance but fell in the opener 68-60 to Baylor.

                            (14) Northwestern State - The Demons score 81 points per game and average 72.9 possession - both are tops in college basketball

                            (15) Florida Gulf Coast - The Eagles won the Atlantic Sun's automatic bid with an 88-75 victory over top-seeded Mercer on its floor on March 9. It's the first time for FGCU in the tournament in just its second year of eligibility.

                            (16) Western Kentucky - Went 0-3-1 O/U in the Sun Belt tourney.

                            WEST REGION

                            (1) Gonzaga - Has lost in the second round of the NCAA tournament three years in a row.

                            (2) Ohio State - The Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight.

                            (3) New Mexico - The Lobos' January 9th win over UNLV is their only victory against a team in the RPI Top 20.

                            (4) Kansas State - The Wildcats are 9-2 in games when senior guard Rodney McGruder scores 20+ points.

                            (5) Wisconsin - The Badgers hold opponents to a 10th-best 55.9 points per game.

                            (6) Arizona - The last time Arizona posted seven losses in the regular season (2010-11) it advanced to the Elite Eight.

                            (7) Notre Dame - The Irish have gone over the total in four straight heading into the NCAA Tournament.

                            (8) Pittsburgh - This will be Pitt's first NCAA appearance since 2011, when they were eliminated by Butler in the round of 32 as a No. 1 seed.

                            (9) Wichita State - The Shockers were eliminated in the first round in last season's tournament by VCU. They were an at-large entry and a No. 5 seed.

                            (10) Iowa State - The Cyclones rank fourth in the nation in points per game (79.6).

                            (11) Belmont - This is the third year in a row that Belmont earned an automatic tournament bid as Atlantic Sun tournament winner. They were eliminated in the first round the previous two seasons.

                            (12) Ole Miss - Last made an appearance in the 2002 NCAA tournament and lost in the first round.

                            (13) TBD from play-in game

                            (14) Harvard - The Crimson are a good rebounding team that shoots well from beyond the arc. Harvard ranks seventh in the nation in 3-point percentage (40.1) and 28th in rebounding (27.2).

                            (15) Iona - The Gaels won the MAAC tournament last winter and were eliminated in the first round of the 2012 NCAA tournament by Brigham Young.

                            EAST REGION

                            (1) Indiana - All five of Indiana's losses this season have come against teams in the RPI Top 50.

                            (2) Miami - The Hurricanes broke the program’s record for wins in a season, set by the 2001-02 team. Miami easily covered in all three of its ACC tournament games.

                            (3) Marquette - The Golden Eagles have failed to cover in their last three games.

                            (4) Syracuse - The last time Syracuse lost in the Big East Conference final (2009) it advanced to the Sweet 16 before losing to No. 2 Oklahoma.

                            (5) UNLV - The Runnin' Rebels have been ousted in the opening round of the NCAA tournament three years in a row.

                            (6) Butler - Has been a perennial bracket buster in past tournaments and brings a balanced attack with four players averaging 10 points or more per game.

                            (7) Illinois - The Illini have the third most Top-25 RPI wins in the country with six.

                            (8) N.C. State - The Wolfpack shot 49.5 percent from the field – fourth best in the nation – but only 45.3 percent in their nine losses.

                            (9) Temple - The Owls tangled with some big-name programs in non-conference play, taking on Villanova, Duke, Syracuse and Kansas. Temple was 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in those games.

                            (10) Colorado - Junior forward Andre Roberson is second in the nation with 11.3 rebounds per game. The Buffaloes were a great under play this season, posting a 7-16 O/U mark.

                            (11) Bucknell - The Bison failed to cover as big favorites in all three Patriot League playoff games.

                            (12) Cal - Junior guard Allen Crabbe led the Pac-12 in scoring with 18.7 points per game, but the Golden Bears were a great under play (9-16 O/U) this season.

                            (13) Montana - The Grizzlies were covering machines on the road this season (10-4-1 ATS).

                            (14) Davidson - This team is the best in the nation from the charity stripe (80.1 percent).

                            (15) Pacific - This is Pacific's eighth appearance in the NCAA tournament, and its first since 2006. In the Tigers' last tourney appearance, they lost to Boston College in the first round.

                            (16) TBD from play-in game

                            Play-in teams

                            North Carolina A&T - The Aggies have an aggressive offense that gets to the foul line on a quarter of their possessions.

                            Liberty - The Flames dropped their first eight games of the season and amassed 20 losses. A classic example of a team getting hot at the right time to win its respective conference tourney to earn a berth.

                            Middle Tennessee - The Blue Raiders are headed to the big dance for the first time in 24 years and are 2-6 all-time in the tournament, with the last win coming in the 1989 Southeast Regional appearance.

                            St. Mary's - The last time the Gaels entered the NCAA tournament with an at-large bid was 2008. They were eliminated in the first round.

                            La Salle - The Explorers have been on everybody's NCAA radar since one of the greatest weeks in recent school history when they defeated visiting Butler, 54-53 on Jan. 23 and then earned a 69-61 win at VCU on Jan. 26.

                            Boise State - The Broncos rank 33rd in the nation with 7.8 three pointers made per game and boast an efficient 39.1 three-point percentage.

                            LIU-Brooklyn - The Blackbirds became the first team to win the Northeast Conference tournament three years in a row and are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games.

                            James Madison - The Dukes are 5-0 ATS in their last five Wednesday and neutral site games.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • Liberty, North Carolina A&T open NCAAs on Tuesday

                              NORTH CAROLINA A&T AGGIES (19-16)

                              at LIBERTY FLAMES (15-20)

                              NCAA Tournament - First Round
                              Dayton, OH
                              Tip-off: Tuesday, 6:40 p.m. ET
                              Line: North Carolina A&T -2, Total: 127

                              The 2013 NCAA Tournament tips off Tuesday in Dayton, OH when a pair of 16-seeded teams meet with North Carolina A&T clashing with a sub-.500 Liberty club.

                              After finishing February with three straight losses, the Aggies have put together a stellar March, going 6-1 SU (5-0 ATS) including four wins in five days in the MEAC Tournament. Liberty has also been perfect this month with a 5-0 SU (4-0 ATS) mark and winning by 11 points in the Big South Championship over Charleston Southern. Both of these schools are seeking their first-ever NCAA Tournament victory after extremely long droughts. North Carolina A&T is 0-9 all-time, last losing in 1995 to a Tim Duncan-led Wake Forest team by 32 points. Liberty is 0-2 in the Big Dance with its most recent appearance coming in 2004, an 82-63 loss to Saint Joseph's when Jameer Nelson went for 33 points. North Carolina A&T is 5-1 SU (6-0 ATS) on a neutral court this season, while Liberty is 3-2 (SU and ATS) in neutral-court tilts.

                              Which school will open the NCAA Tournament with a victory? For the answer, connect to 2013 NCAA Tourney Picks for all the Expert picks throughout the entire tournament. The four ******* experts begin the NCAA Tournament on quite a roll, going a collective 75% ATS (35-12-1) in the season's final four days and 67% ATS (67-33-2) since March 9, with ******* Gary going 75% ATS (12-4), ******* Brian posting a 68% ATS mark (19-9-1), ******* Dave also at 68% ATS (17-8) and ******* Scott winning 61% ATS (19-12-1) in those final nine days. Gary has a 68% ATS record (23-11) since Feb. 27 to improve to 56.1% ATS (110-86-4) for the entire college basketball season.

                              North Carolina A&T prides itself on defense, allowing a mere 61.1 PPG on 38.2% FG (11th in nation). This includes an even more stellar 57.0 PPG on 36.9% FG defense during four straight MEAC Tournament victories. A big part of these impressive numbers is the play of 6-foot-8 PF Austin Witter (6.3 PPG) who blocks 3.0 shots per game (9th in nation) and grabs a team-best 7.1 RPG. But there's a good reason this team is a 16 seed. The Aggies do not have a single player taller than the 6-foot-8 Witter, which has led to a minus-1.4 RPG margin for the season. N.C. A&T also turns the ball over way too much (15.1 TOPG, 300th in nation) and shoots horribly from the field (39.9% FG, 315th in D-I) and from behind the three-point arc (29.9% threes). Senior SG Adrian Powell leads the team with 12.5 PPG on offense and 1.8 steals per game on the defensive end. Powell is coming off a huge MEAC Tournament where he averaged 15.3 PPG and 5.0 RPG. Junior SG Lamont Middleton (12.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG) also had a great conference tournament with 12+ points in all four games, averaging 13.8 PPG. He has shot poorly all season (38.3% FG, 26.5% threes), but he has done a nice job driving to the hole and forcing opponents to foul him, attempting 39 free throws in the four-game MEAC tourney.

                              As its 15-20 record (12-20 versus D-I school) suggests, Liberty has many deficiencies. These include a minus-2.6 TO margin (310th in nation), a minus-0.7 RPG margin, 69.9 PPG allowed, and a paltry 5.5 steals per game. The Flames have defended the three-ball pretty well though, giving up a mere 30.0% clip from downtown. Liberty's offense has peaked in March with 72.8 PPG, well above its 68.4 PPG in the first four months of the season. The Flames poured in 87 points in their championship win over Charleston Southern, as their three starting guards combined for 65 points. Junior PG John Caleb Sanders (14.2 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.5 APG) led the way with 27 points on 7-of-13 FG and 11-of-12 FT, while adding seven boards and four assists. Senior SG Tavares Speaks (13.1 PPG) also had a well-rounded 18 points, nine rebounds, four assists and two steals in the March 10 victory, while 5-foot-11 Davon Marshall (13.4 PPG) scored 20 points, hitting 6-of-7 threes. No other player on this team averages more than 7.3 PPG on the season, but PF JR Coronado (8.2 RPG) could have a big day against the undersized Aggies. Coronado averaged 7.3 RPG in just 24.0 MPG in the four wins in the Big South Tournament.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • First Four Tips

                                March 19, 2013


                                **Liberty vs. North Carolina A&T**

                                --As of late this morning, most books were listing North Carolina A&T (19-16 straight up, 7-0 against the spread) as a 2.5-point favorite with the total in the 126-127 range.

                                --North Carolina A&T is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1995 when it lost to Wake Forest in a first-round game. The Aggies won the MEAC Tournament by beating Morgan St. 57-54 as four-point underdogs. The 111 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 122-point total. Adrian Powell scored a team-high 14 points for the Aggies.

                                --North Carolina A&T is a perfect 3-0 ATS as a single-digit favorite. The Aggies faced two teams in the NCAA field this year, losing 93-39 at Cincinnati and falling 86-57 at Iowa St. in a pair of non-lined contests.

                                --Liberty (15-20 SU, 5-3 ATS) is only the second team in NCAA Tourney history to make the field with 20 losses, joining the 2008 Coppin St. squad. The Flames lost their first eight games this season, but they have won five in a row and captured the Big South Tournament title with an 87-76 victory over Charleston Southern as 7.5-point underdogs. John Caleb Sanders was the catalyst with 27 points, seven rebounds and four assists compared to only one turnover.

                                --Liberty is led in scoring by Sanders, who averages a team-high 13.8 points per game. The Flames probably played their best game on Nov. 14 at Georgetown, losing a 68-59 decision in a non-lined affair. Even though the Hoyas shot 50 percent from the field and went to the free-throw line 26 times compared to Liberty’s nine attempts from the charity stripe, the Flames stayed close by draining 11-of-20 from 3-point land.

                                --Liberty has an RPI of 289. Georgetown and Iona (87-69 road loss) were the Flames’ only games against schools in the NCAA field, but they played two other RPI Top 100 opponents. They lost 84-42 at Richmond and dropped a 74-56 decision to So. Miss on a neutral court.

                                --North Carolina A&T has an RPI of 214. The Aggies got their best win on Dec. 19 when they beat Eastern Kentucky (RPI: 66) 78-67 at home. Powell finished with 16 points and eight rebounds.

                                --With a hat tip to USA Today, Liberty has a pair of notable alumni in ESPN’s Samantha Ponder and former Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves first baseman, Sid Bream.

                                --The ‘over’ is 4-1 overall for Liberty.

                                --The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for the Aggies.

                                --Tip-off is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. Eastern on TruTV in Dayton, Ohio.

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                                **Saint Mary’s vs. Middle Tennessee**

                                --As of late this morning, most spots had Saint Mary’s (27-6 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) installed as a three-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 132. The Blue Raiders are +140 on the money line (risk $100 to win $140).

                                --Saint Mary’s has been a single-digit favorite 10 times, posting a 5-5 spread record.

                                --Randy Bennett led the Gaels to the Sweet 16 several years ago, but they lost a first-round game to Purdue last year. Matthew Dellavedova is this team’s senior point guard and one of the best players in WCC history. He averages 16.5 points, 6.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds per game. His leaning buzzer beater to propel the Gales to a win at BYU was probably the difference in this squad getting an at-large bid.

                                --Saint Mary’s had won six in a row before losing 65-51 to Gonzaga in the WCC Tournament finals. The Gaels lost to the ‘Zags three times and their other three defeats came at No. Iowa and to Georgia Tech and Pacific on a neutral court at a tournament in November.

                                --Middle Tennessee (28-5 SU, 14-14-1 ATS) lost 61-57 to Florida International as a 13.5-point favorite in the Sun Belt Tournament semifinals, prompting a long week of angst in Murfreesboro. The Blue Raiders had just one win over an RPI Top 100 foe with 65-62 win over Ole Miss. However, they had the nation’s sixth-best non-conference strength of schedule based on playing at Akron (82-77 loss in overtime), at Belmont (64-49 loss) and vs. Florida (66-45 defeat) in Tampa. Kermit Davis’s team won 75-61 at UCF, beat UAB 84-64 at home and knocked off Vandy 56-52 on a neutral floor.

                                --Middle Tennessee has been an underdog four times, going 1-3 ATS. The Blue Raiders, who had won 17 in a row until the loss to FIU, are 28th in the RPI Rankings.

                                --The ‘over’ is on a 7-3 run for Middle Tennessee to improve to 11-9 overall.

                                --Davis’s top assistant is Monte Towe, the former head assistant at the University of Florida under Norm Sloan in the 1980s. Towe was the floor general and starting point guard for the 1974 North Carolina St. team that won the national championship.

                                --The ‘under’ is 13-11 overall for Saint Mary’s.

                                --TruTV will have the telecast 30 minutes after the conclusion of Liberty-NC A&T.

                                **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

                                --Two of tonight’s CBI games have been postponed until Wednesday: North Dakota at Northern Iowa and Fairfield at Kent St.

                                --Iowa will play host to Indiana St. in the NIT on Wednesday. The Hawkeyes, who are favored by 12.5, have posted a 5-2 spread record in seven games as double-digit favorites this year. The Sycamores slumped down the stretch, limping to a 1-8 ATS mark in their last nine games. However, they went 6-2 ATS in eight games as underdogs of 7.5 points or more. ESPN2 will have television coverage at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

                                --Maryland will host Niagara tonight in the NIT at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. The total is in the 148-149 range.

                                --Kentucky is a 3.5-point favorite tonight at Robert Morris on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. Eastern The Wildcats, the defending national champs who are a No. 1 seed in the NIT, will get the winner of Providence-Charlotte is they advance.

                                --Alabama will take on Northeastern tonight in a 1/8 NIT matchup at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide is favored by 11 or 11.5 with a total of 129.5. The 'over' is on a 6-0-3 run for the Huskies in their last nine games, but the 'under' is 20-7 overall for 'Bama.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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