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  • #16
    NFL odds: Week 5 opening line report

    There are three undefeated teams left standing after four weeks of football. The Atlanta Falcons, Arizona Cardinals and Houston Texans improved to 4-0 this past Sunday, but books are treating them all very differently heading into Week 5 of the NFL schedule.

    The Falcons (3-1 ATS) are 3-point road favorites in D.C. Sunday, taking on the Washington Redskins. The Sports Club, a Nevada-based odds service, originally sent out Atlanta -2. But sportsbooks tabbed on an additional point, making the spread a clean field goal and forcing bettors to take a long look at the underdog.

    “We're definitely low here and we like the higher number we see out there,” Peter Korner, founder of The Sports Club, says. “After a lot of hype, the Skins have settled down to the team we had medium expectations for. The Falcons are every bit as good as they appear.”

    The Cardinals nearly lost their first game of the season against the Miami Dolphins last Sunday, needing overtime to stay perfect. Arizona (3-1 ATS), a profitable underdog through the first three weeks, is again the betting favorite, sitting as slight 1-point chalk in St. Louis Thursday night. The Sports Club suggested an opening number of Cardinals -2. Online books opened with Arizona as high as -2.5 which has since been bet down as low as pick'em.

    "We're right there with this line. In fact, we're a little higher and that's where we prefer to be," says Korner. "Entering undefeated, the Cardinals are the better team and we recommend to keep the parlay cards above the current line as well."

    As for the Texans (4-0 ATS), some books are dealing Houston -9 heading to the Meadowlands to face the New York Jets on Monday Night Football. The Sports Club originally suggested Texans -7 and many books followed suit, opening the spread around a touchdown.

    However, with the Jets’ dismal offensive effort against the San Francisco 49ers – another stout defensive team like Houston – early money is fading the home side and has driven the spread as high as -9 at some online markets.

    Korner has suggested his clients stay high on this game and expects the sharp money to lay the big favorite for this prime time matchup. The Jets have a loyal public following and the murmurs surrounding a QB switch from Mark Sanchez to Tim Tebow will only fuel the fire.

    Here are the opening odds for some of the biggest NFL games on the Week 5 schedule:

    Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-7, 51.5)

    This game will get a ton of media coverage thanks to the Manning vs. Brady angle. The early money has moved this spread from as low as 6.5 to as high as 7.5. The Sports Club sent out a suggested spread of -8 on Sunday and expects to see a lot of parlay cards tied into this game.

    “This is a no-brainer with the -7.5. Being a late game with few options for bettors at this point, (books should) stay clear of Patriot money as much as (they) can,” says Korner. “Denver has shown they are Jekyll-and-Hyde at home versus the road.”

    Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 44)

    The Battle for Pennsylvania is leaning slightly in favor of the Steelers, who welcome their state rivals to Heinz Field Sunday. The Sports Club’s oddsmakers sent out Pittsburgh -4, however, some online books are already down to a field goal with money on Philadelphia.

    Korner says the numbers are pretty solid for this AFC North-NFC East showdown. The Steelers are coming off the bye while the Eagles escaped with a home win against the New York Giants in Week 4 to lead the division at 3-1 (0-3-1 ATS).

    Philadelphia is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in its last seven meeting with Pittsburgh, going back to 1988.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      NFL
      Dunkel

      Week 5

      Arizona at St. Louis
      The Cardinals look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is coming off a 19-13 win over Seattle and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win. Arizona is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-1). Here are all of this week's picks.

      THURSDAY, OCTOBER 4

      Game 301-302: Arizona at St. Louis (8:20 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 132.310; St. Louis 129.430
      Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 35
      Vegas Line: Arizona by 1; 39 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-1); Under

      SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

      Game 411-412: Atlanta at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 134.442; Washington 133.740
      Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 54
      Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 50 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Over

      Game 413-414: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 134.390; Pittsburgh 135.289
      Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 47
      Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 44
      Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3 1/2); Over

      Game 415-416: Green Bay at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 134.537; Indianapolis 129.704
      Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 5; 45
      Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7; 47 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+7); Under

      Game 417-418: Cleveland at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.455; NY Giants 140.563
      Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 16; 41
      Vegas Line: NY Giants by 9; 44
      Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-9); Under

      Game 419-420: Tennessee at Minnesota (4:25 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 126.511; Minnesota 128.259
      Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 47
      Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 44
      Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+6); Over

      Game 421-422: Miami at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Miami 131.864; Cincinnati 132.551
      Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 48
      Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4; 45
      Dunkel Pick: Miami (+4); Over

      Game 423-424: Baltimore at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.469; Kansas City 130.795
      Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 42
      Vegas Line: Baltimore by 5; 46 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+5); Under

      Game 425-426: Seattle at Carolina (4:05 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.001; Carolina 135.952
      Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5; 41
      Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 43 1/2;
      Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Under

      Game 427-428: Chicago at Jacksonville (4:05 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 136.891; Jacksonville 126.543
      Dunkel Line: Chicago by 10 1/2; 43
      Vegas Line: Chicago by 5 1/2; 40
      Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5 1/2); Over

      Game 429-430: Denver at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Denver 131.425; New England 143.404
      Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 48
      Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2); Under

      Game 431-432: Buffalo at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 129.662; San Francisco 138.350
      Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 8 1/2; 47
      Vegas Line: San Francisco by 10; 44 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+10); Over

      Game 433-434: San Diego at New Orleans (8:20 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 131.591; New Orleans 133.820
      Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 2; 58
      Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 54
      Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3 1/2); Over

      MONDAY, OCTOBER 8

      Game 435-436: Houston at NY Jets (8:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Houston 139.692; NY Jets 132.154
      Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 38
      Vegas Line: Houston by 9; 41 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+9); Under
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        NFL
        Long Sheet

        Week 5

        Thursday, October 4

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (4 - 0) at ST LOUIS (2 - 2) - 10/4/2012, 8:20 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 121-158 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 121-158 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 88-124 ATS (-48.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        ARIZONA is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Sunday, October 7

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ATLANTA (4 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 10/7/2012, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ATLANTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHILADELPHIA (3 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 2) - 10/7/2012, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PITTSBURGH is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        GREEN BAY (2 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 2) - 10/7/2012, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CLEVELAND (0 - 4) at NY GIANTS (2 - 2) - 10/7/2012, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CLEVELAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TENNESSEE (1 - 3) at MINNESOTA (3 - 1) - 10/7/2012, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TENNESSEE is 39-17 ATS (+20.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MIAMI (1 - 3) at CINCINNATI (3 - 1) - 10/7/2012, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 106-139 ATS (-46.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BALTIMORE (3 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 3) - 10/7/2012, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
        BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SEATTLE (2 - 2) at CAROLINA (1 - 3) - 10/7/2012, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SEATTLE is 51-79 ATS (-35.9 Units) off a division game since 1992.
        SEATTLE is 24-49 ATS (-29.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
        SEATTLE is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
        SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO (3 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 3) - 10/7/2012, 4:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DENVER (2 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 2) - 10/7/2012, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW ENGLAND is 148-109 ATS (+28.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BUFFALO (2 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 1) - 10/7/2012, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
        BUFFALO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN DIEGO (3 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 4) - 10/7/2012, 8:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN DIEGO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in dome games since 1992.
        SAN DIEGO is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Monday, October 8

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (4 - 0) at NY JETS (2 - 2) - 10/8/2012, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
        NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          NFL
          Short Sheet

          Week 5

          Thursday, October 4, 2012

          Arizona at St. Louis, 8:20 ET NFL
          Arizona: 17-5 Under as a road favorite
          St. Louis: 0-8 ATS off a home game


          Sunday, October 7, 2012

          Atlanta at Washington, 1:00 ET
          Atlanta: 27-9 ATS away after allowing 400+ total yards
          Washington: 2-6 ATS off a road win

          Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
          Philadelphia: 6-1 Over after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
          Pittsburgh: 9-0 ATS off a loss

          Green Bay at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
          Green Bay: 10-2 Under away off a home win
          Indianapolis: 5-17 ATS at home off a loss by 6 points or less

          Cleveland at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
          Cleveland: 6-0 ATS away off BB losses
          NY Giants: 1-6 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

          Tennessee at Minnesota, 4:25 ET
          Tennessee: 39-17 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
          Minnesota: 2-9 ATS off a win

          Miami at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
          Miami: 7-1 ATS playing on artificial turf
          Cincinnati: 13-2 Over vs. conference opponents

          Baltimore at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
          Baltimore: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS loss
          Kansas City: 0-6 ATS at home off a home game

          Seattle at Carolina, 4:05 ET
          Seattle: 6-0 ATS off BB games scoring 17 points or less
          Carolina: 7-0 Over off a raod game

          Chicago at Jacksonville, 4:05 ET
          Chicago: 28-12 Under away vs. non-conference opponents
          Jacksonville: 2-11 ATS at home off 3+ Unders

          Denver at New England, 4:25 ET
          Denver: 12-2 Over off an Under
          New England: 6-0 ATS vs. NFC West opponents

          Buffalo at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
          Buffalo: 17-6 ATS vs. NFC West opponents
          San Francisco: 13-27 ATS after allowing 9 points or less

          (TC) San Diego at New Orleans, 8:30 ET NBC
          San Diego: 10-2 Over away after having a TO margin of +3 or better
          New Orleans: 6-0 ATS at home off an ATS win


          Monday, October 8, 2012

          Houston at NY Jets, 8:35 ET ESPN
          Houston: 7-0 ATS after scoring 30+ points
          NY Jets: 2-10 ATS at home off a loss by 21+ points

          ** Week 5 Byes: Dallas, Detroit, Oakland, Tampa Bay **


          (TC) = Time Change
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            NFL

            Week 5

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Thursday, October 4

            8:20 PM
            ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
            St. Louis is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
            St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona


            Sunday, October 7

            1:00 PM
            MIAMI vs. CINCINNATI
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
            Cincinnati is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
            Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

            1:00 PM
            PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
            Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
            Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games

            1:00 PM
            GREEN BAY vs. INDIANAPOLIS
            Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            Green Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games at home
            Indianapolis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home

            1:00 PM
            ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
            Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
            Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
            Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

            1:00 PM
            BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
            Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
            The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games

            1:00 PM
            CLEVELAND vs. NY GIANTS
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
            Cleveland is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            NY Giants are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games at home

            4:05 PM
            CHICAGO vs. JACKSONVILLE
            Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

            4:05 PM
            SEATTLE vs. CAROLINA
            Seattle is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
            Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games
            Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

            4:15 PM
            DENVER vs. NEW ENGLAND
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
            Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
            New England is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Denver
            New England is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games

            4:15 PM
            BUFFALO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
            San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

            4:25 PM
            TENNESSEE vs. MINNESOTA
            Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Tennessee is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
            Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
            Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

            8:20 PM
            SAN DIEGO vs. NEW ORLEANS
            San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 12 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing San Diego
            New Orleans is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games


            Monday, October 8

            8:30 PM
            HOUSTON vs. NY JETS
            Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
            NY Jets are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              NFL
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 5

              Thursday's game
              Cardinals (4-0) @ Rams (2-2)-- Arizona has now won last 10 games that were decided by less than 7 points; three of their four wins this year came down to last minute, so long travel on short work week could be dicey, seeing how Rams won both home games (albeit both wins came vs rookie QBs). Cardinals won 10 of last 11 series games, winning last seven visits here by average score of 29-20, but these Rams aren't those Rams, having forced 8 turnovers in four games (+2). Problem for St Louis is porous OL; they've run ball for just 134 yards on 44 carries (3.0/carry) in last two games, scoring one TD, and that on 52-yard drive. Home teams are 10-12 vs spread in divisional games so far this season. Average total in last four series games was 32.5.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                NFL

                Week 5

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Thursday Night Football: Cardinals at Rams
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (+1, 39.5)

                THE STORY: The Arizona Cardinals try to become the first team to five wins as they bring their perfect record into the Edward Jones Dome to face the NFC West-rival St. Louis Rams on Thursday.

                Arizona remained one of three undefeated clubs in the league with a wild 24-21 overtime victory at home over Miami in Week 4. The Cardinals extended their home winning streak to eight games, the longest run for the franchise since the 1925 Chicago Cardinals captured nine in a row.

                St. Louis is coming off a spirited home triumph over Seattle in which it scored its only touchdown on a fake field-goal attempt. The rest of the offense came from rookie kicker Greg Zuerlein, who booted four field goals. Zuerlein twice set the franchise record for the longest field goal, booting a 58-yarder in the first quarter before hitting from 60 yards in the third. The Rams had lost four straight and 13 of 14 against the Seahawks prior to Sunday.

                TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

                LINE: Oddsmakers opened the Rams as high as 2.5-point home underdogs but that spread has been bet down to +1. The total has climbed from 38.5 to 39.5.

                CONSENSUS: 60 percent of consensus players are on Arizona Thursday night.

                ABOUT THE CARDINALS (4-0, 3-1 ATS): The team is off to its best start since 1974, when it won its first seven games while based in St. Louis. Quarterback Kevin Kolb overcame eight sacks against the Dolphins to throw three touchdown passes, including a 15-yarder to Andre Roberts on 4th-and-2 with 22 seconds remaining in regulation. The Cardinals' running game was virtually non-existent as they gained 28 yards on the ground. Safety Adrian Wilson returned to action after missing a game with an ankle injury and made eight tackles while also recording a sack. Arizona registered four sacks, marking the NFL-best 10th straight game it has notched at least two.

                ABOUT THE RAMS (2-2, 3-1 ATS): Rookie punter Johnny Hekker, who was a quarterback in high school, threw St. Louis' lone touchdown pass Sunday. With Seattle expecting Zuerlein to boot his second field goal of the game, Hekker tossed the ball to a wide-open Danny Amendola for a 2-yard score. The Rams already have matched their win total from last season, when they finished tied with Indianapolis with a league-worst 2-14 record. They are 2-0 this year at home, where they were victorious just once in 2011.

                TRENDS:

                * Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
                * Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
                * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
                * Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings in St. Louis.

                EXTRA POINTS:

                1. Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald matched Mel Gray's franchise record Sunday by catching a pass in his 121st consecutive game.

                2. Zuerlein is a perfect 12-for-12 on field-goal attempts.

                3. Arizona has posted five overtime victories during its eight-game home winning streak.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  NFL

                  Week 5

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Tale of the tape: Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  The NFC West takes the Thursday night stage for a showdown between the undefeated Arizona Cardinals and the improving St. Louis Rams. Here’s the tale of the tape for this divisional matchup:

                  Offense

                  The Cardinals are on their second QB of the season after No. 1 John Skelton went down with an ankle injury in Week 1. Kevin Kolb has stepped in under center, helping Arizona to a 4-0 mark. Kolb has a 7-2 TD-to-INT ratio, a 62.6 percent completion rate and a QB rating of 97.6. It helps having a WR like Larry Fitzgerald (245 yards, two TDs) and a budding target in Andre Roberts, who has hauled in four TD catches. The Cardinals' rushing attack is ranked 28th in the league, averaging only 68.8 yards per game. Rookie Ryan Williams leads the team with 131 yards but has already fumbled twice.

                  The Rams offense is among the worst in the NFL, averaging only 19.8 points on 287 yards per game. Quarterback Sam Bradford has struggled the past two games, posting a 52.4 completion rate, zero TDs and three INTs. St. Louis’ big offensive weapon, RB Steven Jackson, has been slowed due to injury, rushing for only 195 yards - 3.3 yards per carry – and has failed to find the end zone.

                  Edge: Arizona


                  Defense

                  Arizona’s stop unit has a bend-but-don’t-break mentality, sitting 17th in yards allowed (357 per game) but third in points allowed (15.2 per game). The Cardinals’ speedy pass rush is getting to opposing QBs, totaling 16 sacks on the year so far – second most in the NFL. Linebacker Sam Acho leads the team with three QB kills. Arizona is allowing 101 yards on the ground per game, 14th in the NFL, and locked Miami down for just 86 yards rushing in Week 4. The Cardinals have forced seven fumbles, recovering six of those – one for a TD.

                  St. Louis is among the best ball-hawking teams in the league, picking off eight passes through the first four weeks of the schedule. Three of those came against Detroit last week. Corner Cortland Finnegan has three INTs in his first four games since being acquired this offseason. While the pass defense has been respectable, the Rams have been rolled by the run, giving up 135.2 yards per game on the ground. Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch rumbled for 118 yards and a TD against St. Louis last Sunday.

                  Edge: St. Louis


                  Special teams

                  Arizona kicker Jay Feely gave the Cardinals a 24-21 win over Miami in overtime with a 46-yard FG. He’s 7-for-7 on the season and is 3-for-3 on FGs of more than 40 yards this season. Arizona has punted a league-high 26 times, averaging 47.5 yards per punt. On the other side of that, the Cardinals have averaged only 7.9 yards per punt return and 24.9 yards per kickoff return. Top return man Patrick Peterson’s longest punt return has been 17 yards.

                  The Rams have also been perfect on FGs with kicker Greg Zuerlein going 12 for 12, including going 3 for 3 from 50-plus yards. St. Louis is averaging 46.6 yards per punt while allowing foes to return those for just 8.2 yards per punt. The Rams return team ranks last in the league in kickoff returns (17.8 yards per) and 18th in punt returns (9.1 yards per). Receiver Danny Amendola has been fielding punts, with his biggest return standing at 22 yards this season.

                  Edge: Draw


                  Word on the street

                  “Honestly, it’s going to feel the same as any other game. It doesn’t matter how many people are watching, you just go out there play the game." – St. Louis K Greg Zuerlein about kicking under the pressure of a primetime game.

                  “That’s the confidence we have late in games. Our offense believes in our defense and our defense believes in our offense. That’s what helps us win.” – Arizona WR Andre Roberts on the team’s success late in games.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                  • #24
                    NFL

                    Thursday, October 4

                    Game Score Status Pick Amount

                    Arizona - 8:20 PM ET St. Louis +2 500

                    St. Louis - Over 39 500
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                    • #25
                      NFL Week 5 Preview: Broncos at Patriots

                      DENVER BRONCOS (2-2)

                      at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (2-2)


                      Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EDT
                      Line: New England -6½, Total: 52

                      The Peyton Manning-Tom Brady rivalry resumes Sunday afternoon when Denver visits New England, a matchup of 2-2 teams coming off lopsided victories.

                      While Bill Belichick and the Patriots defense once had Manning’s number, Manning (with the Colts) has beaten them in five of his past seven meetings, SU and ATS. Manning is coming off his best game with the Broncos, going 30-for-38 for 338 yards, 3 TD and no turnovers in a win over Oakland. The Pats offense looked human before Brady and Company exploded for 45 second-half points in last week’s win in Buffalo. Wes Welker was worked back into the game plan, and the Pats’ 52 points came despite two lost fumbles and two missed field goals.

                      Who will win the battle of future Hall of Fame quarterbacks? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

                      Although Peyton Manning hasn’t had great success in Foxboro, he has exploded in his past three visits to Gillette Stadium, completing 86-of-125 passes (69%) for 1,043 yards (348 YPG), 9 TD and 5 INT. He’s also coming into this game with great confidence after his Week 4 explosion, where he didn’t take a single sack. Although Manning got all the headlines, the running game was also outstanding last week with 165 rushing yards, including 112 on just 19 carries (5.9 YPC) by Willis McGahee. Denver’s defense has been much improved under new defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio, allowing just 88 rushing YPG (9th in NFL) and 221 passing YPG (13th in league). Last year, the team allowed 126 rushing YPG (22nd in NFL) and 232 passing YPG (18th in league). Houston is the only team that has rushed for more than 75 yards against the Broncos this year, and is the only club that gained at least 210 yards on them through the air.

                      Brady is 8-4 all-time versus Manning, including a 2-1 record in the playoffs. Last season, Brady lit up Denver in the postseason, throwing for 363 yards and six touchdowns. He also burned the Broncos for 320 passing yards and 3 total TD in a 41-23 win in the mile-high altitude last December. Last week, Brady orchestrated six straight touchdown drives in Buffalo. New England had great balance on offense, as both RBs Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden surpassed 100 yards rushing and WR Wes Welker and TE Rob Gronkowski had more than 100 receiving yards against the Bills. Although New England’s pass defense has allowed a whopping 722 passing yards over the past two weeks, the team has forced 11 turnovers on the season, including six in Buffalo
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                      • #26
                        NFL Week 5 Preview: Eagles at Steelers

                        PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (3-1)

                        at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (1-2)


                        Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
                        Line: Pittsburgh -3, Total: 43

                        The two Pennsylvania NFL teams square off Sunday at Heinz Field when Pittsburgh hosts Philadelphia.

                        The Steelers had issues in their two road games losing both games after holding fourth-quarter leads. But they shut down the Jets in their only home tilt and should have S Troy Polamalu (calf) and OLB James Harrison (knee), their two best defensive players, back in the lineup. Michael Vick continues to take a ton of hits. The Eagles have barely eked out their three wins, though last week’s win over the Giants was turnover-free after they gave it away 12 times in their first three games. Philly has gained 400-plus yards of offense in its three wins; the Steelers haven’t allowed 400-plus at home since November 2010, a span of 15 games.

                        Who will win the battle of Pennsylvania on Sunday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

                        Vick’s numbers are pretty poor right now, throwing 4 TD and 6 INT (72.7 QB rating). Much of this has to do with him being knocked to the turf a league-most 44 times already. However, his best receiver, Jeremy Maclin, finally appears to be 100 percent recovered from his hip injury he suffered in Week 2, as he is not even on the team’s injury report this week. Maclin’s improved health should also help WR DeSean Jackson see less double-teaming. Maclin’s return to the field last week helped Jackson have a great game against New York, catching six passes for 99 yards and a touchdown. RB LeSean McCoy is dealing with a sore knee, but he will start on Sunday. McCoy is coming off his best game of the season, rushing for 123 yards on 23 carries (5.3 YPC) in the win over the Giants. Defensively, the Eagles have been sound in both defending the pass (207 YPG, 7th in NFL) and also the run (92 YPG, 12th in NFL). However, the team has forced just one turnover in the past two games, after taking away six footballs in the opening two weeks of the season. A couple of key injured defenders should also be ready for this one with CB Nnamdi Asomugha (eye) and S Colt Anderson (knee) both listed as probable.

                        Ben Roethlisberger has played extremely well in 2012, completing 68.3% of his passes for 904 yards (284 YPG), 8 TD and just one interception. However, the Eagles sacked him eight times when they last met in 2008, and he has already taken nine sacks in his three games this year. Part of that is because of an injury-riddled offensive line, and part of that is because defenses have been teeing off on Roethlisberger because the Steelers are having so much trouble running the football with 65 rushing YPG (3rd-fewest in NFL) on a league-low 2.6 yards per carry. The probable return of Rashard Mendenhall coming off knee surgery can only help. He rushed for 928 yards and 9 TD last season. On defense, Polamalu and Harrison look to shore up a run defense that allowed 119 yards on just 21 carries (5.7 YPC) to Oakland in the last game. Harrison is also one of the better pass rushers on the team, and his absence is a big reason why the Steelers have a mere five sacks in three games. Pittsburgh has been one of the league’ best passing defenses, allowing just 190 yards per game (3rd in NFL), but the team has given up a subpar 48.5% third-down conversion rate.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                        • #27
                          NFL Week 5 Preview: Falcons at Redskins

                          ATLANTA FALCONS (4-0)

                          at WASHINGTON REDSKINS (2-2)


                          Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
                          Line: Atlanta -3, Total: 50

                          The high-flying Falcons look to start their season with a fifth straight victory when they visit the Redskins on Sunday.

                          Robert Griffin III gets his toughest challenge yet against a Falcons defense that’s playing very well under first-year coordinator Mike Nolan, allowing just 19.0 PPG. Atlanta has effectively contained Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers so far this year, and they’re coming off a game against a dual threat quarterback (Cam Newton), beating Carolina last week. Griffin has already led the ‘Skins to two road wins, but they played terribly in their only home game so far, a 38-31 loss to Cincinnati. Their suspect pass defense will have its hands full against WRs Roddy White and Julio Jones.

                          Can the Falcons start the season with their fifth straight victory? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

                          Atlanta has scored at least 27 points in each of its four victories, thanks mostly to Matt Ryan who leads the NFL in QB rating (112.1) by completing 69.4% of his passes for 1,162 yards, 11 TD and just 2 INT. He has spread the wealth of passes mostly between three players, targeting Roddy White, Julio Jones and TE Tony Gonzalez in excess of 30 times each this season. That has resulted in each of the three players scoring three touchdowns this year. RB Michael Turner has really picked up his game in the past two games, following up dud performances in Weeks 1-2 (74 yards on 28 carries) into two productive ones (183 yards on 27 carries, 69 yards on five catches). Turner exploded on the Redskins when he last faced them in 2009, rushing for 166 yards and 2 TD. The Falcons have been better than expected in defending the pass (207 YPG allowed, 8th in NFL), especially after losing starting CB Brent Grimes for the season in Week 1 with an Achilles injury. However, the run-stop unit has been one of the worst in football, allowing 146 rushing YPG (fourth-most in NFL).

                          Griffin’s statistics are truly remarkable for a rookie quarterback on an average team. He has scored eight touchdowns already, completing 69.4% of his passes (same rate as Ryan) for 1,070 yards (8.6 YPA) and just one interception in 124 pass attempts. He and fellow rookie Alfred Morris (376 rushing yards, 4.6 YPC, 4 TD) have comprised 89 percent of the league’s second-best rushing offense (171 YPG). Unlike Atlanta, which has three main receivers, the Redskins have seven players with at least seven catches so far this year. TE Fred Davis leads the team with 15 catches, but has not yet scored a touchdown. WR Pierre Garcon is their most explosive weapon, but his injured foot is still causing him to play a limited snap count. Washington’s defense has had an awful time trying to stop its opponents. The Redskins rank second-to-last in passing defense (326 YPG), allowing 20 gains of 20-plus yards already this season. They have also been unable to put forth a strong pass rush, tallying just seven sacks over the four games.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • #28
                            NFL Week 5 Preview: Chargers at Saints

                            SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (3-1)

                            at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (0-4)


                            Kickoff: Sunday, 8:25 p.m. EDT
                            Line: New Orleans -3½, Total: 54

                            The Saints are in dire straits, looking for their first win of the season as they welcome the surprising Chargers to the Bayou on Sunday night.

                            Typically slow starters, San Diego has jumped out to a 3-1 record as they’ve committed multiple turnovers in a game just once through four games. They haven’t quite been explosive on offense, but QB Philip Rivers and especially RB Ryan Mathews will have a chance to get going against a Saints defense that is the NFL’s worst (463 total YPG allowed). They have allowed 400-plus yards in each of their four games. New Orleans had a chance to steal a win in Green Bay last week, but lost on a late missed field goal. That gives the Saints four defeats of eight points or less this year.

                            Can the Saints finally win a game this season? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

                            Rivers bounced back from rough Week 3 game against Atlanta (45.2 QB rating, 4.6 YPA, 0 TD, 2 INT), by completing 18-of-23 passes (78%) for 209 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT in the 37-20 win over Kansas City last Sunday. RB Ryan Mathews had another solid day as he works his way back from a broken clavicle, compiling 61 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and 21 receiving yards. RB Jackie Battle is sharing the rushing workload for now, but he gained just 39 yards on 15 carries (2.6 YPC) at Kansas City. On the defensive side of the ball, San Diego’s secondary is hurting, with just three healthy cornerbacks. But the Chargers have really stopped the run effectively all season, allowing just 79 rushing YPG (5th in NFL). The defense also forced six Chiefs turnovers in last week’s win.

                            Saints QB Drew Brees has thrown a touchdown pass in 47 straight games, tying the record set by Johnny Unitas in 1960. The last time he faced his former team was 2008 when New Orleans and San Diego met in London. Brees threw for 339 yards and 3 TD that day, leading his team to a 37-32 win. He’s also coming off his best performance of 2012, posting a 109.0 QB rating (446 pass yds, 3 TD, 0 INT) against Green Bay. It helped to have a healthy Marques Colston back on the field, as the duo connected nine times for 153 yards and 1 TD. One of the reasons New Orleans has allowed 32.5 PPG and 167 more yards than any other NFL team is the lack of a pass rush. The Saints have just six sacks, which is the fourth-lowest total in the league. Injuries have also been a big factor to the front seven. LB David Hawthorne (hamstring) and DE Turk McBride (ankle) are doubtful to play on Sunday, while DT Brodrick Bunkley (illness) and LB Jonathan Casillas (neck) are both questionable. S Roman Harper (hip) is also questionable to suit up in Week 5.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • #29
                              NFL Week 5 Preview: Texans at Jets

                              HOUSTON TEXANS (4-0)

                              at NEW YORK JETS (2-2)


                              Kickoff: Monday, 8:35 p.m. EDT
                              Line: Houston -8, Total: 41½

                              After losing another star to a season-ending injury, the Jets have the unenviable task of hosting the unbeaten Texans on Monday night.

                              One week after losing their best defensive player, CB Darrelle Revis (ACL), Gang Green has lost their best offensive player for the entire season, as WR Santonio Holmes suffered a Lisfranc foot injury in Week 4. New York was embarrassed at home by the 49ers in that 34-0 defeat, and now takes on a Houston team that has a very similar profile to San Francisco. The Texans have an elite defense to go along with an outstanding ball-control offense.

                              Can the Texans roll to another victory? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

                              Houston has outscored its opponents 126 to 56 this season, winning three games by 20+ points. QB Matt Schaub has been magnificent in his past two games, throwing for 492 yards, 6 TD and just 1 INT. Revis took star WR Andre Johnson out of the past two meetings, holding him to less than 40 yards each time. However, Johnson should be more accessible for Schaub this time around with Revis sidelined. Johnson has been bothered by a groin injury during 2012, and has just eight catches in his past three contests. Despite Schaub’s recent heroics, the Texans will likely use a run-heavy approach on offense. Although Tennessee held them to 95 yards on 31 carries (3.1 YPC) last week, Houston has galloped for 368 yards in its two road games this season. Another great aspect of the Texans offense has been ball protection, as they have had zero turnovers in three of their four games this season. Two of their better offensive players are likely out for this game though -- RB Ben Tate (toe) and WR Lestar Jean (knee). On defense, Houston has been very opportunistic, forcing nine turnovers already, including three in last week’s victory. DE J.J. Watt has been wreaking havoc all season with a league-best 7½ sacks to go along with 20 tackles (16 solo) and five passes defensed. Houston ranks second in the NFL in passing defense (183 YPG), and 11th in rushing defense (90 YPG) despite allowing 158 rushing yards to Tennessee last week.

                              The Jets offense was dreadful against San Francisco last week, as they rushed for 45 yards on 17 carries (2.6 YPC), while QB Mark Sanchez finished 13-of-29 for 103 yards (3.6 YPA), 0 TD and 1 INT. Considering Houston’s outstanding passing defense and the likely absence of both WR Stephen Hill and TE Dustin Keller because of hamstring injuries, it could be another rough game for Sanchez. His passer rating has been below 70 for three straight games, as he’s 44-for-101 for 547 yards (5.4 YPA), 2 TD and 3 INT during this stretch. Top RB Shonn Greene has also been terrible in his past three games, rushing for just 97 yards on 41 carries (2.4 YPC) with zero touchdowns. This may cause backup Bilal Powell to get more carries, but he has not flourished in his second year, rushing for just 99 yards on 26 carries (3.8 YPC). Although the Jets have been steamrolled by opposing rushing offenses (173 rushing YPG allowed, 2nd-most in NFL), they do rank fourth in the NFL in passing defense (198 YPG). New York’s defensive injury bug extends beyond Revis. DT Sione Po’uha (back) and LBs Bart Scott (toe) and Bryan Thomas (hamstring) are all listed as questionable to play on Monday night.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • #30
                                NFL | CLEVELAND at NY GIANTS
                                Play Over - Road teams against the total after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
                                34-11 over the last 10 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
                                2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )


                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                NFL | MIAMI at CINCINNATI
                                Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CINCINNATI) with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points
                                64-34 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 0.0 units )


                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                NFL | BUFFALO at SAN FRANCISCO
                                Play Over - Home teams against the 1rst half total after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers
                                41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
                                1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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