BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

[GOLDENGREEK]

Sys #1 - Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31. 49-24 ATS L9 yrs

East Carolina +7.5
Arizona +5.5
Army +7
USF +4
UcF +7




Sys #2 - Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm. 17-1 ATS



None



Sys #3 - Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg. 17-2 ATS


Unknown



Sys #4 - Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10

None



Sys #5 - Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts. 14-0 SU,ATS

San Diego State -3
TCU -3
AUBURN -3



Sys #6 - Play Against FAVS of more than 6pts that won its last bowl gm, and not off 4 favored Wins vs opp not off conf RF SU win,ats Loss. 1-22 ATS

PLAY AGAINST:

BYU
BOISE
MARYLAND
NEB
T.TECH
FLOR
Oklahoma -17
ALA





Sys #7 - From 12/22 on, Play Against FAVS of 1.5 to 8.5pts, w/less than 43 days of rest off 3 wins and not an ATS loss of 8+pts in last gm vs opp not off shut-out W. 1-20 ATS


PLAY AGAINST:


AF
WV
TCU
STAN
OHIO ST
Mia OH
NEV
AUB



Sys #8 - Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins. 0-15 ATS

Couldn't find any




Sys # 9 - Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts. 17-1 ATS

Illinois +3
IOWA +3
Northwestern + 9.5





Sys #10- Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf. 13-37

UNDERS:

UTEP-BYU
No. Illinois-Fresno State
Ohio-Troy
Utah-Boise State
Navy-San Diego State
Tulsa-Hawaii
Florida Int.-Toledo
Army-SMU
Middle Tennessee-Miami (OH)

[GOLDENGREEK]

Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

1) Favs of 3.5< pts are 18-3 SU, 17-4 ATS ( 2-1 IN 2009)


2010:

LOUISVILLE - 3
TROY - 3
N.ILL - 1.5



2) Totals of 63.5> pts are 12-3 OVER (avg score 82 ppg) ( 0-1 IN 2009)

2010:

OVER TULSA / HAWAII





Bowls from 12/25 to 12/31:

1) DD dogs are 17-3 ATS L20 ( 1-0 IN 2009 )

2010:

WASH + 14


Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

1) Favs are 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS L11 in LOWER TIER Bowl games



2) MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )

2010:
MIDDLE TENN ST + 1

[GOLDENGREEK]

Dogs in bowl games that won the previous year are 23-12 ats, including 15-3 ats vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year

** THOSE RECORDS ABOVE ARE PRIOR TO LAST YEARS RESULTS

2008: 5-4 ATS
2009: 5-2 ATS



2010:

Mid Tenn St. *
Utah
Wisconsin
Navy *
Virginia Tech
Florida St. *
Penn St.
South Florida
UCONN
Arkansas
Iowa *

* denotes a team playing a team that won 8 or less games last year

[GOLDENGREEK]

PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games

58-36-1, 61.7% since 1980


PLAY AGAINST: BYU, Hawaii, West Virginia, Nevada,Auburn,
PLAY ON: UTEP, Tulsa, NC State, BC, Oregon



Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite 9-3, 75.0% since 1988

PLAY AGAINST: BYU, Hawaii,
PLAY ON: UTEP, Tulsa

[Goose]

Thanks for posting this and all your plays.

Looks to me like FSU is the play tonight on most of the trends.

[GOLDENGREEK]

.......

[soxx9]

Bump...so I don't have to dig again

[soxx9]

Dogs in bowl games that won prior year (* - playing team that won 8 or less games last year)

Toledo*
SMU*
Baylor*(may not be a dog)
Ohio*
Rutgers
Texas*
MichiganSt
NCState*
Purdue
Michigan
NIllinois
Oklahoma*

[soxx9]

PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games
Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite

SMU (play against Fresno State)

[soxx9]

Running Dogs....

Differential >=.5 YPC
San Diego St
Bowling Green
Baylor(if dog)
Navy
Texas
Georgia Tech
Tulsa
Northwestern
Michigan
Nebraska
Wisconsin

<.5 YPC differential
Ball St, C Mich, Mich St, Clemson, Kent St.

[soxx9]

Higher ranked Sagarin teams that are dogs....

Washington
Rutgers
Rice
Northwestern

(UCLA would fit if they end up an underdog)

[jcindaville]

Running Dogs....

Differential >=.5 YPC
San Diego St
Bowling Green
Baylor(if dog)
Navy
Texas
Georgia Tech
Tulsa
Northwestern
Michigan
Nebraska
Wisconsin

<.5 YPC differential
Ball St, C Mich, Mich St, Clemson, Kent St.

So what do the last teams mean?

[soxx9]

JC - They still fall into the system. I just seperated them for my purposes (most of the teams only had a +0.1 or +0.2 RYPA advantage over the team that is favored)

[Thomasj]

Hey guys great bit of information here and I say thanks for all the time and effort as it's much appreciated. I shake my head though when I see a post saying I wish someone would just post the plays everyday, I mean really you guys do all this work and then they want you to tell em what to play. Bizarre

[Alafan]

Bump