BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

[GOLDENGREEK]

2010 College Football Bowl Game Trends:

Saturday, Dec. 18

New Mexico Bowl -UTEP (6-6) vs. BYU (6-6), 2 p.m. (ESPN)

BYU is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games on a neutral site while UTEP is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a cover in their last game.

Humanitarian Bowl - Northern Illinois (10-3) vs. Fresno State (8-4), 5:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Northern Illinois is 0-6 against the spread in their last 6 games on a neutral site while Fresno State has covered in their last four bowl games as an underog.

New Orleans Bowl - Ohio (8-4) vs. Troy (7-5), 9 p.m. (ESPN)

Ohio is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games as an underdog while Troy is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the Mid-American Conference.

Tuesday, Dec. 21

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl - Louisville (6-6) vs. Southern Mississippi (8-4), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Louisville is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 meetings against Southern Miss while the Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Wednesday, Dec. 22

MAACO Bowl - Utah (10-2) vs. Boise State (11-1), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Utah is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 bowl games while Boise State is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December.

Thursday, Dec. 23

Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego State (8-4) vs. Navy (8-3), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Navy is 14-2 against the spread in their last 16 games against the Mountain West Conference while San Diego State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover.

Friday, Dec. 24

Hawaii Bowl - Hawaii (10-3) vs. Tulsa (9-3), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Hawaii has covered the spread in their last 7 home games while Tulsa is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

Sunday, Dec. 26

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl - Toledo (8-4) vs. Florida International (6-6), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Toledo is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games as a favorite while Florida International is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a failed cover.

Monday, Dec. 27

Independence Bowl - Georgia Tech (6-6) vs. Air Force (8-4), 5 p.m. (ESPN2)

Air Force is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 non-conference games while Georiga Tech is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Tuesday, Dec. 28

Champs Sports Bowl - North Carolina State (8-4) vs. West Virginia (9-3), 6:30 p.m. (ESPN)

N.C. State is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games after a loss while West Virginia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as a favorite.

Insight Bowl - Missouri (10-2) vs. Iowa (7-5), 10 p.m. (ESPN)

Missouri is 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 games in December while Iowa is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.

Wednesday, Dec. 29

Military Bowl - East Carolina (6-6) vs. Maryland (8-4), 2:30 p.m. (ESPN)

East Carolina is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 non-conference games while Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Texas Bowl - Baylor (7-5) vs. Illinois (6-6), 6 p.m. (ESPN)

Illinois is 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 games as an underdog while Baylor is 1-4 ATS int heir last 5 games overall.

Alamo Bowl - Arizona (7-5) vs. Oklahoma State (10-2), 9:15 p.m. (ESPN)

Arizona is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games following a loss while Oklahoma State is 24-6-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite of 3.5-to-10 points.

Thursday, Dec. 30

Armed Forces Bowl - SMU (7-6) vs. Army (6-5), Noon (ESPN)

SMU is just 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 games against Independent teams while Army is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Conference USA opponents.

Pinstripe Bowl - Syracuse (7-5) vs. Kansas State (7-5), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Syracuse is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games following a loss while Kansas State has failed to cover in their last 4 bowl games.

Music City Bowl - North Carolina (7-5) vs. Tennessee (6-6), 6:40 p.m. (ESPN)

Tennessee has failed to cover in their last 4 games against the ACC while North Carolina has covered in their last four games against SEC opponents.

Holiday Bowl - Nebraska (10-3) vs. Washington (6-6), 10 p.m. (ESPN)

Nebraska is 7-1-1 against the spread in their last 9 non-conference games while Washington is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a cover.

Friday, Dec. 31

Meineke Bowl - Clemson (6-6) vs. South Florida (7-5), Noon (ESPN)

South Florida is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 against the ACC while the Tigers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Sun Bowl - Notre Dame (7-5) vs. Miami (7-5), 2 p.m. (CBS)

Notre Dame is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games as an underdog while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight up loss.

Liberty Bowl - Georgia (6-6) vs. UCF (10-3), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Georgia is just 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while Central Florida is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

Chick-fil-A Bowl - South Carolina (9-4) vs. Florida State (9-4), 7:30 p.m. (ESPN)

South Carolina is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games at a neutral site while Florida State is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.

Saturday, Jan. 1

TicketCity Bowl - Northwestern (7-5) vs. Texas Tech (7-5), Noon (ESPNU)

Arizona is 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games and Texas Tech is currently 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on fieldturf.

Capital One Bowl - Michigan State (11-1) vs. Alabama (9-3), 1 p.m. (ESPN)

Alabama is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 games following a loss while Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a victory.

Outback Bowl - Florida (7-5) vs. Penn State (7-5), 1 p.m. (ABC)

Florida is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games at a neutral site while Penn State is just 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games out of conference.

Gator Bowl - Michigan (7-5) vs. Mississippi State (8-4), 1:30 p.m. (ESPN2)

Michigan has covered the spread in their last 6 non-conference games while Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover.

Rose Bowl - TCU (12-0) vs. Wisconsin (11-1), 5 p.m. (ESPN)

Wisconsin is just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games against the Mountain West Conference while TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Fiesta Bowl - Connecticut (8-4) vs. Oklahoma (11-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Oklahoma is 0-4 against the spread in their last four bowl games while Connecticut is 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underog.

Monday, Jan. 3

Orange Bowl - Stanford (11-1) vs. Virginia Tech (11-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Stanford is 4-0-1 against the spread in their last 5 games following a win while Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Tuesday, Jan. 4

Sugar Bowl - Ohio State (11-1) vs. Arkansas (10-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Arkansas is just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 bow games while Ohio State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.

Thursday, Jan. 6

GoDaddy.com Bowl - Miami (Ohio) (9-4) vs. Middle Tennessee (6-6), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Miami is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games while Middle Tennessee is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Friday, Jan. 7

Cotton Bowl - Texas A&M (9-3) vs. LSU (10-2), 8 p.m. (FOX)

Texas A&M is 0-7 against the spread in their last 7 neutral site games while LSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Saturday, Jan. 8

BBVA Compass Bowl - Pittsburgh (7-5) vs. Kentucky (6-6), Noon (ESPN)

Pittsburgh is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 bowl games while Kentucky is 12-3-1 in their last 16 non-conference games.

Sunday, Jan. 9

Fight Hunger Bowl - Boston College (7-5) vs. Nevada (12-1), 9 p.m. (ESPN)

Boston College is 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 neutral site games while Nevada is 1-4 AS in their last 5 bowl games.

Monday, Jan. 10

BCS National Championship - Auburn (13-0) vs. Oregon (12-0), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

Auburn has covered in 6 of their last 7 games while Oregon is just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

[GOLDENGREEK]

2010-11 BOWL TRENDS:


UTEP is 17-11 in the last 28 games as DD dogs – BYU is 5-10 in the last 15 as DD favorites
Northern Illinois is 7-1-1 in the last nine as favorites – Fresno State is 40-29 as dogs since ‘97
Ohio is 9-16-3 as dogs of less than 7 since ’98 – Troy is 2-7 as favorites this season
Louisville is 5-0 vs. Southern Miss since ’99 – Southern Miss is 20-30-1 as dogs since ‘97
Utah is 26-16 as DD underdogs since ’82 – Boise State is 18-11 as favorites of -10 to -20
Navy is 11-3 in the last 14 games as dogs – San Diego State is 12-23-2 as non-home favorites
Tulsa is 16-27-2 as DD dogs since ’97 – Hawaii is 18-11 as DD favorites since ‘05
Florida International is 3-7 in the last ten as dogs – Toledo is 10-5 in the last 15 as favorites
Georgia Tech is 11-5 as underdogs since ’07 – Air Force is 11-6 in bowls since ‘82
NC State is 21-8-1 in the last 30 as dogs – West Virginia is 4-15 in bowls since ’82
Missouri is 2-6 in the last eight neutral site games – Iowa is 8-3 in bowls since ‘95
East Carolina is 12-6 as dogs of 7 or more since ’06 – Maryland is 8-20 as favorites since ‘04
Illinois is 2-8 in the last ten neutral site games – Baylor is 17-6 in the last 23 as favorites
Arizona is 10-5 in the last 15 as underdogs – Oklahoma State is 45-21-1 as favorites since ‘99
Army is 4-12 in neutral site games since ’97 – SMU is 4-15 in the last 19 as favorites
Kansas State is 1-6 in bowls since ’98 – Syracuse is 9-4 in bowls since ‘88
North Carolina is 16-27 as favorites since ’01 – Tennessee is 2-6 in the last eight as dogs
Washington is 4-1 in the last five as DD dogs – Nebraska is 2-11 in the last 13 as DD favs
South Florida is 12-8 in the last 20 as underdogs – Clemson is 1-4 in the last five bowl games
Notre Dame is 1-7 in bowl games since ’97 – Miami, FL is 8-4 in bowl games since ‘96
Central Florida is 7-2 in the last nine as dogs – Georgia is 12-4 in bowl games since ‘91
Florida State is 18-9-2 in bowl games since ’81 – South Carolina is 4-7 in bowls since ‘80
Northwestern is 14-9 in the last 23 as 7+ dogs – Texas Tech is 29-21-1 as favs of 7+ since ‘02
Penn State is 16-8 in bowl since ’80 – Florida is 24-10-1 in the last 35 as favorites of 7 or more
Michigan State is 30-20-1 as DD dogs since ’80 – Alabama is 13-5 in the last 18 as DD favs
Michigan is 4-11 in the last 15 as underdogs – Mississippi State is 5-9 in the last 14 as favs
TCU is 6-9 as favs of less than 3 since ’80 – Wisconsin is 7-4 a bowl underdogs since ‘94
Connecticut is 16-10 as dogs of 14+ since ’00 – Oklahoma is 3-9 in bowls since ’94
Virginia Tech is 18-7 in the last 25 as underdogs – Stanford is 0-3 as bowl favorites since ‘91
Arkansas is 11-3-1 in the last 15 as underdogs – Ohio State is 6-2 in the last eight bowls
MTSU is 5-9 in the last 14 as underdogs – Miami, OH is 2-11-1 as favorites since ‘06
Texas A&M is 5-0 S/U vs. LSU since ’91 – LSU is 10-5 in bowls since ‘87
Kentucky is 5-2 as bowl underdogs since ’83 – Pittsburgh is 4-8 in bowls since ‘83
Boston College is 0-4 in bowls since ’06 – Nevada is 27-14 as favorites of 7 or more since ‘99
Oregon is 24-12 as underdogs since ’00 – Auburn is 13-4 as favorites of less than 6 since ‘02

[GOLDENGREEK]

College Bowl Info....

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Bowl Specific:

New Orleans Bowl- 4-0 OVER L4

Las Vegas- 1-3 UNDER L4

Poinsettia- Fav is 2-910 ATS L12

Hawaii Bowl- 8-2 OVER L10

Meineke Car Care- Fav is 6-1 SU L7

Emerald- Fav is 2-5 ATS L7

Music City - Dog is 9-3 SU,ATS L12 / 2-7 UNDER L8

Independance - 4-2 OVER L6 / SEC is 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS L13

Champs - Fav is 7-2 SU L9

Humanitarian - Fav is 7-2 SU L9

Armed Forces - Fav is 5-2 SU,ATS L6 / 2-5 UNDER L7

Sun - Dog is 13-2 ATS L15

Texas -Fav is 3-1 ATS L4 / 0-4 UNDER L4

Insight -11-3 OVER L14 / Dog is 9-4 ATS L13

Chick-fil-A -Fav is 4-12 ATS L16

Outback -Dog is 8-3 ATS L11

Capital One -Big 10 is 5-1 SU L6

Gator -Fav is 11-3 SU, 9-5 ATS L14

Rose Bowl -Fav is 11-5 ATS L16

Sugar -Fav is 10-3 ATS L13

International -Fav is 4-0 SU L4 / 3-1 OVER L4

Papajohns - 0-4 UNDER L4

Cotton - 3-12 UNDER

Liberty -4-14 UNDER L18

Alamo -Dog is 6-3 ATS L9 / Big 10 is 10-5 ATS L15

Fiesta - Better SU record is 10-2 ATS

Orange - Home team is 13-5 ATS

GMAC -CUSA is 2-6 SU,ATS L8 / Fav is 7-0 ATS L7

Little Ceasers- 3-8 UNDER L11

BCS Championship- Fav is 3-1 ATS L4, 3-1 OVER L4

[GOLDENGREEK]

Conference Specific:

ACC-

1) The ACC is 17-1 SU vs opp who allows 28.5>pts/gm on season

2) The ACC is 26-11 SU as fav/dog 6
3) The ACC is 1-6 SU,ATS as favs vs opp off SU fav loss

4) The ACC is 12-1 ATS dogs off L

Big East-

1) The Big East is 28-8 SU vs opp who allows 23>pts/gm

2) The Big East is 3-15 SU, 4-14 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

3) The Big East is 3-10 ATS vs opp off L

Big 10-

1) The Big 10 is 17-4 SU, 13-8 ATS vs opp who allow 28>pts/gm

2) The Big 10 is 1-6 ATS favs 2>pts vs opp off BB su,ats W

Big 12-

1) The Big 12 is 35-9 SU, 28-16 ATS vs opp who allow 25>pts/gm

2) The Big 12 is 12-4 ATS as dogs 3>pts vs opp off BB Wins

3) The Big 12 is 5-18 ATS as favs off ATS loss

4) The Big 12 is 6-18 ATS as favs of 7 or more

Pac 10-

1) The Pac 10 is 14-1 ATS as DOGS off su,ats Loss

2) The Pac 10 is 17-4 L17 gms as dogs

3) The Pac 10 is 4-13 ATS as favs 6>pts

4) The Pac 10 is on a run of 51-22 ATS L73 bowl games

5) Pac 10 dogs vs opp off DD win that scored 30>pts in that win are 16-1 ATS

6) The Pac 10 is 17-4 ATS vs Big 10

7) The Pac 10 is 0-9 ATS vs WAC

SEC

1) The SEC is 31-5 SU vs opp who allow 27>pts/gm

2) The SEC is 16-4 ATS as dogs 10
3) The SEC is 17-8 SU, 19-6 ATS, 8-28 UNDER L18 bowls as DOGS

4) SEC favs w/ win % of .750< are 10-20 ATS

5) The SEC is 15-4 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

6) The SEC is 1-11 ATS as Favs off BB L

MAC

1) The MAC is 13-8 ATS off Win

2) The MAC is 11-8 ATS as dogs 7>pts

3) The MAC is 23-3 SU, 19-7 ATS as Favs

4) The MAC is 0-15 SU, 2-13 ATS as Dogs

CUSA

1) The CUSA is 8-4 ATS vs opp off su,ats Loss

2) The CUSA is 3-14 ATS off DD W vs opp off Win

3) The CUSA is 24-6 SU, 19-11 ATS as FAVS in L30 bowl gms

4) The CUSA is 3-16 SU, 4-15 ATS as dogs of 7 or less

5) The CUSA is 0-11 SU, 2-8-1 ATS vs BCS conf teams

6) The CUSA is 5-18 UNDER vs MAC and MWC conf

MWC-

1) The MWC is 24-13 ATS L37 bowls

Independants

1) 11-1 SU,10-2 ATS L12 bowls as FAVS, 3-10 SU,4-9 ATS L12 as DOGS

WAC

1) The WAC is 15-3 ATS as dogs 4>pts off BB Wins

2) The Wac is 0-10 ATS as neutral site FAVS

3) The Wac is 2-11 ATS as favs if allowed 35>pts last gm

4) The Wac is 21-13 OVER , 13-21 ATS L34 Bowl gms

[GOLDENGREEK]

Team Specific:


Boston College- 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS L12, has not allowed more than 25>pts in L10 bowl gms.

Utah- 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS L7 / 4-7 UNDER L11

Wake Forest- 5-1 SU,ATS L6

Fresno St- Dog is 10-2 SU, 11-1 ATS in Frenso bowls, Fresno is 0-5 SU,ATS as favs

Georgia- 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS, Have scored between 24-44pts in 13 of 14 bowl gms.

ND- 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS L10

Louisville- 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS L9

WV- 5-9 SU, 4-10 ATS L14 / 9-1 OVER L10

N.Mexico- 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS L6

Purdue- 2-6 SU, 1-6-1 ATS L8

K.State- 1-6 ATS L7

Oregon- Dog is 8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS L11

UCLA- 4-8 SU L12

Alabama- 3-6 ATS L9

Michigan- 9-1 OVER L10

Texas- 8-3 OVER L11

Florida- 8-3 OVER L11

California- 8-0 OVER L8

G.Tech- 6-1 OVER L7

Arizona 0-6 UNDER L6

Ariz St.- 2-7 UNDER L9

Oklahoma- 4-9 UNDER L13, 1-6 ATS L7

Auburn 1-7 UNDER L8, 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS L6

Penn St- 1-9 UNDER L10, 10-3 SU L13

Florida St- 5-0 ATS, 5-1 OVER, Avg 34ppg L5 bowls

LSU- 10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS

Navy- 7-2 ATS, 5-1 OVER, Avg 33ppg L6 bowls

Miss- 8-1 SU, 7-1-1 ATS, Dogs are 5-1 ATS in Miss bowls

Oreg St- 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS

Ark- 3-7 SU, ATS , 0-6 UNDER L6

BYU- Fav is 7-1 ATS in BYU bowls, 3-9 UNDER L12

Cincy- 1-7 ATS, 2-6 UNDER L8

N.Western- 0-7 SU L7

Texas A&M- 1-8 SU L9

Hou- Fav is 6-1 SU in Hou Bowls

E.Car- Dogs are 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS in ECU Bowls

Clemson- 2-10 UNDER L12

Stanford- 1-7 UNDER L8

[jcheckers]

Can't believe with all the interest that there's been no response. Thanks Greek, I know you put alot of work into this...

[soxx9]

Can't believe with all the interest that there's been no response. Thanks Greek, I know you put alot of work into this...

Thanks Greek.

[Mark Richt]

Good information. I just filled out my Bowl Mania on ESPN and used a lot of this info. to pick my games. Good luck to all!

[bigjimt]

Nice work GG. It must have taken you quite some time to type this up.

[Pitt37]

Make it a sticky! Great info! Thanks Greek!!

[Sirporkie]

so you have all your plays listed for bowl season already correct?

[Sirporkie]

I am just confused what your exact plays are under these systems

[GOLDENGREEK]

i am just confused what your exact plays are under these systems

this is just info... A tool

last year it sucked ( barely .500 )

three years in a row prior to that it was really helpful

it dosent spit out picks for me , just pushes me one way or another

[rocko]

THANKS DINO GREAT SHITT BUT what WOULD BE REAL NICE IF SOME ONE COULD POST WHAT PLAYS ARE THE TEAMS TO BET ON EACH DAY-----LIKE TOMMM I KNOW OR I THINK -- UTEP--N.ILL AND TROY WOULD BE THE BEST SYSTEM PLAYS 4 TOMM...PLEASE CORRECT ME IF I AM WRONG
THANKS AGAIN AND I AGREE MODS SHOULD MAKE THIS A STICKY
GLLLLLLL
GETER DONE PEACE

[Winton]

just a tip take Auburn ! I like you buddy!