BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

[Pitt37]

Looks like Wash is a big play today....

[GOLDENGREEK]

Hey guys...have a favor to ask of you. I simply have no time..not being lazy..working about 70 hrs a week...if anyone has done these or is willing to do them please help a brother out..i did these and posted them for 3-4 yrs in a row..if ayone has the time and would like to return the favor plz help a brother out:

P.S...INCLUDE THE GAMES THAT HAVE ALREADY BEEN PLAYED SO WE CAN SEE HOW EACH SYSTEM IS DOING !!
PPS...PLEASE MAKE SURE TO DISTINGUISH WHO TO PLAY "ON" OR "AGAINST"





2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record






3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:





5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units





Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams





Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams





A team not Ranked as a dog to a Ranked Team:






A team not Ranked that is a favorite over a Ranked Team





Teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year





RUNNING DOG SYSTEM





BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS

PLAY OKLAHOMA






Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents






Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls






Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31







Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm.






Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg






Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10






Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts.





Play Against FAVS of more than 6pts that won its last bowl gm, and not off 4 favored Wins vs opp not off conf RF SU win,ats Loss





From 12/22 on, Play Against FAVS of 1.5 to 8.5pts, w/less than 43 days of rest off 3 wins and not an ATS loss of 8+pts in last gm vs opp not off shut-out W





Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins.





Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts.





Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf





Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts






2) PLAY THE OVER...Totals of 63.5> pts





Bowls from 12/25 to 12/31:

1) PLAY ON Double Digit dogs






Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

1) PLAY ON Favs in LOWER TIER Bowl games





2) PLAY AGAINST MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )




PLAY ON: Dogs in bowl games that won the previous year vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year





Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.





PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games
Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite





Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs
PLAY ON:




...

[soxx9]

Annual bump....so I don't have to dig again

[soxx9]

Dogs in bowl games that won prior year (* - playing team that won 8 or less games last year)

Toledo*
SMU*
Baylor*(may not be a dog)
Ohio*
Rutgers
Texas*
MichiganSt
NCState*
Purdue
Michigan
NIllinois
Oklahoma*

Dogs in bowl games that won prior year - playing team that won 8 or less games last year (looking above at the * games - this was 6-1 on the ML last year)

UL Lafayette
Ohio
Syracuse
BYU
Cincinnati
Georgia Tech
Texas Tech
Rice
South Carolina
Central Florida
Oklahoma St.


(for those that would want the non * games trend from prior years - BoiseSt, UtahSt, Texas, VirginiaTech, MichiganSt, ArkansasSt)

[soxx9]

Higher ranked Sagarin teams that are dogs....

UtahSt.
Georgia Tech
Houston

[soxx9]

Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf (under went 8-2 last year...always seems to be an annual winner)

Buffalo-SJState
Tulane-ULLafayette
EastCarolina-Ohio
NIllinois-UtahSt
Navy-MidTennSt
NorthTexas-UNLV
BallSt-ArkansasSt

[BaldTacoLover]

thanks for your work on this!

[cjbay]

This is awesome!! Thanks!

[BaldTacoLover]

Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

2) PLAY AGAINST MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )
The only game 1-1 to 1-10 is Arkansas St against Ball St fyi

Take San Diego St over Buffalo
Take East Carolina over Ohio
Take Pittsburgh over Bowling Green
Take Utah St over N. Illinois
Take Arkansas St over Ball St

[BaldTacoLover]

Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.

Rutgers vs Notre Dame is currently 14.5 to 15.5 point dog depnds on the book
Okahoma vs Alabama is currently 15-16 point dog depends on book

[BaldTacoLover]

BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS

PLAY Auburn

[BaldTacoLover]

Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31
Pittsburgh
Syracuse
Michichan is +3.5 to 4 depending on the book
Middle Tennessee St
Boston College
Virginia Tech
Rice

[BaldTacoLover]

Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts
San Diego St
Tulane
Oregon St
2) PLAY THE OVER...Totals of 63.5> pts
CO St/WA St 66
Oregon St/Boise ST Over 63.5 to 65 depending on book

[BaldTacoLover]

Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls
Ohio
Rutgers
Texas
Texas Tech
Boston College Depending on book 7 to 7.5
Duke

[Sirporkie]

Once all the plays are figured out can we put all of them in one post?