BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

[BaldTacoLover]

that would be ideal. we all need to work together on this!

[Ldawg]

Thanks for your work guys ... let's make this sh*t pay... 2 picked a couple from sides and tot systems, I'll let you know what Stuck

Ya' gotta luv BOWL SEASON

[LVJimmy]

I'll try to post these day of the games.

GAMES (21 DECEMBER)

2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record

N/A

3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog

Fresno St +6

If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units

Wash St - 5.5
SD St -2
Tulane -2

Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams

N/A

Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams

USC -6

A team not Ranked as a dog to a Ranked Team

N/A

A team not Ranked that is a favorite over a Ranked Team

N/A

Teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year

RUNNING DOG SYSTEM

??? Not sure what this one is.

BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS

N/A

Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents

N/A

Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls

N/A

Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31

N/A

Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm.

N/A

Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg

PLAY ON CSU

Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10

??? Not sure about this one either.

Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts.

N/A

Play Against FAVS of more than 6pts that won its last bowl gm, and not off 4 favored Wins vs opp not off conf RF SU win,ats Loss

N/A

From 12/22 on, Play Against FAVS of 1.5 to 8.5pts, w/less than 43 days of rest off 3 wins and not an ATS loss of 8+pts in last gm vs opp not off shut-out W

N/A (BTW, who the f*ck comes up w/sh*t like this?)

Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins.

N/A

Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts.

N/A

Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf

Play UNDER 50 Buffalo / SD St (OPENED AT 53)
Play UNDER 48.5 Tulane / ULL (OPENED AT 49.5)

Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts

Wash St -5.5
USC -6

2) PLAY THE OVER...Totals of 63.5> pts

Play OVER 66.5 Wash St / CSU (OPENED AT 65.5)

Bowls from 12/25 to 12/31: N/A

1) PLAY ON Double Digit dogs

N/A

Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10: N/A

1) PLAY ON Favs in LOWER TIER Bowl games

N/A

2) PLAY AGAINST MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )

PLAY ON: Dogs in bowl games that won the previous year vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year

ULL +2

Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.

N/A

PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games
Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite

PLAY ON CSU +5.5 (Wash St covered 3 straight)
PLAY ON ULL +2 (Tulane covered 3 straight)

Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs
PLAY ON:

Not sure if this means SoS or rank.

Fresno St (ranked 52) SoS is 60.01 and ranked 110 so it's right on the cusp if it means the SoS (so play USC -6)

[LVJimmy]

Here's my tally for today based on the above systems:

Wash St (2...though one is a ML play and for 5 units) / CSU (2)

Fresno St (1...3 unit play) / USC (2...could be 3 based on last system above)

SD St (1...ML play for 5 units) / Buffalo (0)

Tulane (1...ML play for 5 units) / ULL (2)


TOTALS

Play UNDER 50 Buffalo / SD St (OPENED AT 53)
Play UNDER 48.5 Tulane / ULL (OPENED AT 49.5)

According to the system where these Unders came from, Unders were 8-2 last bowl season.

GL everyone and Merry Xmas!!!

[Sirporkie]

1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts

Wash St -5.5
USC -6


I think you misread. this doesnt fall in it

[aces r wild]

I believe the, running dog system, is ...Take the underdog if the rushing yards per game average is larger than the favorites.

[Ldawg]

1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts

Wash St -5.5
USC -6
I think you misread. this doesnt fall in it

Thanks Pork..... < = less than or, > greater than. The two cited are >

Thanks LVJ.... I'm taking 2pick parley's on (Sys plays) Tulane ML to Tulane Und 49.5 and (12/24) Org St. ML to Org St. Ovr 65
On the sides, my book shows a better ML than if you were to BUY down the same points ... therefore to me, it makes it a VALUE Play as well.
Thanks guys BOWLING for Dollars Good luck

[Ldawg]

PS - Anyone who is just jumping into this thread SHOULD READ GoldenGreeks disclaimer on the FIRST page! This thread was started in 2010 and, tracked the 2006 to 2010 Bowl season gl

[LVJimmy]

Updated numbers from yesterday:

Wash St (1...ML play and for 5 units) / CSU (2)

CSU covers and win SU. (CSU (2) > Wash St (1))

Fresno St (1...3 unit play) / USC (1...could be 2 based on last system above)

USC covers and wins SU. (USC (1) = USC (1) no play)

SD St (2...1 is ML play for 5 units) / Buffalo (0)

SD St covers and wins SU. (SD St (2) > Buffalo (0))
*Also, this play fell under the following:Teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year.*

Tulane (2...1 is ML play for 5 units) / ULL (2) (Tulane (2) = ULL (2) no play)

ULL covers and wins SU.


TOTALS

Play UNDER 50 Buffalo / SD St (OPENED AT 53) L
Play UNDER 48.5 Tulane / ULL (OPENED AT 49.5) W
Play OVER 66.5 Wash St / CSU (OPENED AT 65.5) W

[wayne1218]

PS - Anyone who is just jumping into this thread SHOULD READ GoldenGreeks disclaimer on the FIRST page! This thread was started in 2010 and, tracked the 2006 to 2010 Bowl season gl

So this is from just 4 years of Bowl games? I'm assuming numbers are different in every 4 year stretch with the changing of teams. That kind of changes everything IMO.

[Ldawg]

So this is from just 4 years of Bowl games? I'm assuming numbers are different in every 4 year stretch with the changing of teams. That kind of changes everything IMO.

Correct WD .... proceed with caution if followed. Like anything SOME will hold up others WILL NOT. Lord grant us the Wisdom to know the difference.

Kudos to LVJ for tracking....

[BaldTacoLover]

Bump

[LVJimmy]

Haven't updated based on info that these systems were only from '06-'10.

[BaldTacoLover]

Well going against the Mac is 2-0 and the unders in non-bcs conf games are 2-1

[LVJimmy]

Thought the MAC stats were for games from Jan 1st on?