BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

[Kimpo]

I was waiting for this post. Thnx GG!

[MarkLemke]

wow, thank you

[GOLDENGREEK]

bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

1) favs of 3.5< pts are 18-3 su, 17-4 ats ( 2-1 in 2009)


2010:

Louisville - 3
troy - 3
n.ill - 1.5



2) totals of 63.5> pts are 12-3 over (avg score 82 ppg) ( 0-1 in 2009)

2010:

Over tulsa / hawaii






bowls from 12/25 to 12/31:

1) dd dogs are 17-3 ats l20 ( 1-0 in 2009 )

2010:

Wash + 14



bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

1) favs are 9-2 su, 8-3 ats l11 in lower tier bowl games



2) mac teams are 1-8-2 ats l11 ( 0-3-2 in 2009 )

2010:

Fresno + 1.5
troy - 3
florida inter + 1.5
middle tenn st + 1

*** note ***

on the very bottom fresno, troy, and flor inter are not plays as this system is for bowls between 1/1 - 1/10

[vols fan]

Thanks Greek

[aces r wild]

Thanks GG!

[JOHNNYWAD119]

Thanks Golden Snatch, this is such a great tool to follow. Good Luck with the bowl games.

[chris1023]

Wow that was l lot of time and effort. Good luck to all. I am hoping for an early Christmas present today.

[Spark]

Thanks Dino ... Good Luck this bowl season

[hrojeda]

bump

[GOLDENGREEK]

********* updated records**********

[GOLDENGREEK]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System

2007: 33-14 ATS
2008: 29-12 ATS
2009: 28-23 ATS



BROKEN DOWN BY SYSTEM:


2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record

THIS IS THE WEAKEST OF THE BUNCH

2007: 2-3 ATS
2008: 2-5 ATS
2009: 4-4-1 ATS


2010:

UTEP + 11.5
SYRACUSE +1
NOTRE DAME + 3
NORTHWESTERN + 9.5
PENN ST + 7.5
FLORIDA ST + 3


3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:


2007: 19-7 ATS
2008: 12- 3 ATS
2009: 8-5 ATS


2010:

3 UNITS FRESNO ST + 1.5
3 UNITS UTAH + 17
3 UNITS GTECH + 3
3 UNITS NC ST + 3
3 UNITS IOWA + 3
3 UNITS ECAR + 7
3 UNITS ILLINOIS + 1.5
3 UNITS ARIZONA + 5
3 UNITS TENN + 3
3 UNITS WASH + 14
3 UNITS MICH + 4.5
3 UNITS WISKY + 2
3 UNITS UCONN + 17
3 UNITS ARK + 3.5
3 UNITS MIDDLE TENN + 1
3 UNITS TEX A & M + 1
3 UNITS KENTUCKY + 3
3 UNITS BC + 9.5




5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units


2007: 10-2
2008: 8-1 OR 8-2
2009: 6-3


2010:

5 UNITS TROY ON THE MONEYLINE ( OPENED AS A PICK )
5 UNITS LOUIVILLE ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS CLEMSON ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS GEORGIA ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS ALABAMA ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS SD ST ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS on FLA INT on the moneyline


Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams

2007: 3-2 ATS
2008: 5-3 ATS
2009: 6-3 ATS


2010:

UTAH + 17
FLOR ST + 3
UCONN + 17
WISKY + 2
V TECH + 3
ARKANSAS + 3.5
TEX A & M + 1
OREGON + 2.5



Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams

2007: 3-0 ATS
2008: 1-1 ATS
2009: 2-3 ATS

2010:

ALABAMA -10



A team not Ranked as a dog to a Ranked Team:

2007: 6-0 ATS
2008: 2-0 ATS
2009: 1-3 ATS


2010:

IOWA + 3
ARIZONA + 5
WASH + 14
NC ST + 3
TULSA + 10.5
MICHIGAN + 5
BOSTON COLLEGE + 9.5






A team not Ranked that is a favorite over a Ranked Team

2007: 1-1 ATS
2008: 2-0 ATS
2009: 1-2 ATS

2010:

GEORGIA - 6.5

[GOLDENGREEK]

RUNNING DOG SYSTEM

STOLEN / BORROWED FROM THE ORIGINATOR OF THE SYSTEM

I'm pretty much going to follow the same formula as I did last year. ( 2007 ) We had an outstanding bowl season with the running dogs. The better running teams OVERALL in general were 22-10 SU and 23-9 ATS last year. But keep in mind that they aren't going to hit this well every year. In the 2006 bowl season the better running teams were 20-12 SU but only 18-14 ATS. So we have to be careful as we go, and to just remember that none of these Running Dogs are set in granite. The underdogs who had the better run numbers were 10-4 ATS last year. And 7-3 (71%) the season before. So that's why you really need to think hard before you go against a running dog


2007: 10-4 ATS
2008: 9-5 ATS
2009: 7-4 ATS

2010:

Ohio +1.5
Navy +5
Ga Tech +3
Iowa +1
Illinois +1.5
Syracuse +1
UCONN +17
MTSU +1.5
Texas A&M +1.5


Notre Dame, Michigan St, & Michigan's run numbers are very close to Miami, Alabama & Miss. St.

[GOLDENGREEK]

Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents

2009-10 record: 5-2: Wyoming +10 (W), Marshall +3 (W), North Carolina +1 (L), Air Force +4.5 (W) Stanford +10 (W), Florida State +3 (W), Michigan State +9.5 (L)
Historical record: 70-36-2 (66%) since 1997; Z-factor 3.3
Current 2010-11 qualifiers:

Fresno State +1
Ohio +2.5
Utah +17
Navy +4.5
Toledo +1
Georgia Tech +3
NC State +3
Illinois +1
Arizona +5
Washington +14
Notre Dame +3
Wisconsin +2.5
Arkansas +3.5
Texas A&M +1
Boston College +9.5

[GOLDENGREEK]

dogs getting 8 or more and favs giving 6 or less


2003-04 season
dogs of 7 or better(meaning +8......) went 7-3 ats 70%
favs of 6.5 or better(meaning -6,-5.5.....) went 9-6 ats 60%
for a total of 16-9 ats 64% winners

2004-05 season
dogs of 7 or better went 7-2 ats 78%
favs of 6.5 or beter went 10-7 59%
for a total of 17-9 ats 64% winners

2005-06 season
dogs of 7 or better went 13-1 ats 93%
favs of 6.5 or better went 7-5 ats 58%
for a total of 20-6 ats 77% winners

2006-07 season
dogs of 7 or better went 9-5 ats 64%
favs of 6.5 or better went 8-11 ats 42%
for a total of 17-16 ats 52% winners

2007-08 season
dogs of 7 or better went 7-3 ats 70%
favs of 6.5 or better went 15-8 ats 65%
for a total of 23-11 ats 68% winners

2008-09 season
dogs of 7 or better went 6-4 ats 60%
favs of 6.5 or better went 15-11 58%


2009-2010 season
dogs of 7 or better went 3-3
favs of 6.5 or better went 6-13-2



*includes buying .5 hook either way so -7 can be +7.5 or -6.5


.


** watch the lines-- these may change:

UTEP + 11.5
N. ILLINOIS - 1.5
TROY - 3
LOUISVILLE - 3
UTAH + 17
SD ST - 5.5
TULSA + 10
Fla Int - 1
AIR FORCE - 3
W VIRG - 3
MIZZOU - 3
BAYLOR - 1.5
OK ST - 5
ARMY + 8
SYRACUSE -1
NC - 2
WASH + 14
CLEMSON - 5
MIAMI -3
NW + 9.5
MICH ST + 10
MISS ST - 4.5
TCU - 2.5
UCONN + 17
STANFORD - 3
OHIO ST - 3.5
MIAMI OHIO - 1
LSU - 1
PITT - 3
BC + 9.5
AUBURN - 2.5


for these below u can buy a point either way to fit into either system ( dog or fav )


MARYLAND/ E.CAROLINA
GEORGIA / CENTAL FLOR
FLOR / PENN ST

[GOLDENGREEK]

Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls
2009-010 record: 3-1: Wyoming +10 (W), SMU +11 (W), BC +7.5 (L), Stanford +10 (W)

Historical record: 57-28-3 (67%) since 1983; Z-factor 3.1
Current 2010-11 qualifiers:

UTEP +11.5
Utah +17
Tulsa +10
East Carolina +7.5*** WATCH THIS LINE
Army +8
Washington +14