Originally posted by jcheckers
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BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs
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Team Specific:
Boston College- 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS L12, has not allowed more than 25>pts in L10 bowl gms.
Utah- 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS L7 / 4-7 UNDER L11
Wake Forest- 5-1 SU,ATS L6
Fresno St- Dog is 10-2 SU, 11-1 ATS in Frenso bowls, Fresno is 0-5 SU,ATS as favs
Georgia- 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS, Have scored between 24-44pts in 13 of 14 bowl gms.
ND- 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS L10
Louisville- 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS L9
WV- 5-9 SU, 4-10 ATS L14 / 9-1 OVER L10
N.Mexico- 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS L6
Purdue- 2-6 SU, 1-6-1 ATS L8
K.State- 1-6 ATS L7
Oregon- Dog is 8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS L11
UCLA- 4-8 SU L12
Alabama- 3-6 ATS L9
Michigan- 9-1 OVER L10
Texas- 8-3 OVER L11
Florida- 8-3 OVER L11
California- 8-0 OVER L8
G.Tech- 6-1 OVER L7
Arizona 0-6 UNDER L6
Ariz St.- 2-7 UNDER L9
Oklahoma- 4-9 UNDER L13, 1-6 ATS L7
Auburn 1-7 UNDER L8, 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS L6
Penn St- 1-9 UNDER L10, 10-3 SU L13
Florida St- 5-0 ATS, 5-1 OVER, Avg 34ppg L5 bowls
LSU- 10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS
Navy- 7-2 ATS, 5-1 OVER, Avg 33ppg L6 bowls
Miss- 8-1 SU, 7-1-1 ATS, Dogs are 5-1 ATS in Miss bowls
Oreg St- 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS
Ark- 3-7 SU, ATS , 0-6 UNDER L6
BYU- Fav is 7-1 ATS in BYU bowls, 3-9 UNDER L12
Cincy- 1-7 ATS, 2-6 UNDER L8
N.Western- 0-7 SU L7
Texas A&M- 1-8 SU L9
Hou- Fav is 6-1 SU in Hou Bowls
E.Car- Dogs are 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS in ECU Bowls
Clemson- 2-10 UNDER L12
Stanford- 1-7 UNDER L8
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Conference Specific:
ACC-
1) The ACC is 17-1 SU vs opp who allows 28.5>pts/gm on season
2) The ACC is 26-11 SU as fav/dog 6
3) The ACC is 1-6 SU,ATS as favs vs opp off SU fav loss
4) The ACC is 12-1 ATS dogs off L
Big East-
1) The Big East is 28-8 SU vs opp who allows 23>pts/gm
2) The Big East is 3-15 SU, 4-14 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more
3) The Big East is 3-10 ATS vs opp off L
Big 10-
1) The Big 10 is 17-4 SU, 13-8 ATS vs opp who allow 28>pts/gm
2) The Big 10 is 1-6 ATS favs 2>pts vs opp off BB su,ats W
Big 12-
1) The Big 12 is 35-9 SU, 28-16 ATS vs opp who allow 25>pts/gm
2) The Big 12 is 12-4 ATS as dogs 3>pts vs opp off BB Wins
3) The Big 12 is 5-18 ATS as favs off ATS loss
4) The Big 12 is 6-18 ATS as favs of 7 or more
Pac 10-
1) The Pac 10 is 14-1 ATS as DOGS off su,ats Loss
2) The Pac 10 is 17-4 L17 gms as dogs
3) The Pac 10 is 4-13 ATS as favs 6>pts
4) The Pac 10 is on a run of 51-22 ATS L73 bowl games
5) Pac 10 dogs vs opp off DD win that scored 30>pts in that win are 16-1 ATS
6) The Pac 10 is 17-4 ATS vs Big 10
7) The Pac 10 is 0-9 ATS vs WAC
SEC
1) The SEC is 31-5 SU vs opp who allow 27>pts/gm
2) The SEC is 16-4 ATS as dogs 10
3) The SEC is 17-8 SU, 19-6 ATS, 8-28 UNDER L18 bowls as DOGS
4) SEC favs w/ win % of .750< are 10-20 ATS
5) The SEC is 15-4 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more
6) The SEC is 1-11 ATS as Favs off BB L
MAC
1) The MAC is 13-8 ATS off Win
2) The MAC is 11-8 ATS as dogs 7>pts
3) The MAC is 23-3 SU, 19-7 ATS as Favs
4) The MAC is 0-15 SU, 2-13 ATS as Dogs
CUSA
1) The CUSA is 8-4 ATS vs opp off su,ats Loss
2) The CUSA is 3-14 ATS off DD W vs opp off Win
3) The CUSA is 24-6 SU, 19-11 ATS as FAVS in L30 bowl gms
4) The CUSA is 3-16 SU, 4-15 ATS as dogs of 7 or less
5) The CUSA is 0-11 SU, 2-8-1 ATS vs BCS conf teams
6) The CUSA is 5-18 UNDER vs MAC and MWC conf
MWC-
1) The MWC is 24-13 ATS L37 bowls
Independants
1) 11-1 SU,10-2 ATS L12 bowls as FAVS, 3-10 SU,4-9 ATS L12 as DOGS
WAC
1) The WAC is 15-3 ATS as dogs 4>pts off BB Wins
2) The Wac is 0-10 ATS as neutral site FAVS
3) The Wac is 2-11 ATS as favs if allowed 35>pts last gm
4) The Wac is 21-13 OVER , 13-21 ATS L34 Bowl gms
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College Bowl Info....
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Bowl Specific:
New Orleans Bowl- 4-0 OVER L4
Las Vegas- 1-3 UNDER L4
Poinsettia- Fav is 2-910 ATS L12
Hawaii Bowl- 8-2 OVER L10
Meineke Car Care- Fav is 6-1 SU L7
Emerald- Fav is 2-5 ATS L7
Music City - Dog is 9-3 SU,ATS L12 / 2-7 UNDER L8
Independance - 4-2 OVER L6 / SEC is 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS L13
Champs - Fav is 7-2 SU L9
Humanitarian - Fav is 7-2 SU L9
Armed Forces - Fav is 5-2 SU,ATS L6 / 2-5 UNDER L7
Sun - Dog is 13-2 ATS L15
Texas -Fav is 3-1 ATS L4 / 0-4 UNDER L4
Insight -11-3 OVER L14 / Dog is 9-4 ATS L13
Chick-fil-A -Fav is 4-12 ATS L16
Outback -Dog is 8-3 ATS L11
Capital One -Big 10 is 5-1 SU L6
Gator -Fav is 11-3 SU, 9-5 ATS L14
Rose Bowl -Fav is 11-5 ATS L16
Sugar -Fav is 10-3 ATS L13
International -Fav is 4-0 SU L4 / 3-1 OVER L4
Papajohns - 0-4 UNDER L4
Cotton - 3-12 UNDER
Liberty -4-14 UNDER L18
Alamo -Dog is 6-3 ATS L9 / Big 10 is 10-5 ATS L15
Fiesta - Better SU record is 10-2 ATS
Orange - Home team is 13-5 ATS
GMAC -CUSA is 2-6 SU,ATS L8 / Fav is 7-0 ATS L7
Little Ceasers- 3-8 UNDER L11
BCS Championship- Fav is 3-1 ATS L4, 3-1 OVER L4
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2010-11 BOWL TRENDS:
UTEP is 17-11 in the last 28 games as DD dogs – BYU is 5-10 in the last 15 as DD favorites
Northern Illinois is 7-1-1 in the last nine as favorites – Fresno State is 40-29 as dogs since ‘97
Ohio is 9-16-3 as dogs of less than 7 since ’98 – Troy is 2-7 as favorites this season
Louisville is 5-0 vs. Southern Miss since ’99 – Southern Miss is 20-30-1 as dogs since ‘97
Utah is 26-16 as DD underdogs since ’82 – Boise State is 18-11 as favorites of -10 to -20
Navy is 11-3 in the last 14 games as dogs – San Diego State is 12-23-2 as non-home favorites
Tulsa is 16-27-2 as DD dogs since ’97 – Hawaii is 18-11 as DD favorites since ‘05
Florida International is 3-7 in the last ten as dogs – Toledo is 10-5 in the last 15 as favorites
Georgia Tech is 11-5 as underdogs since ’07 – Air Force is 11-6 in bowls since ‘82
NC State is 21-8-1 in the last 30 as dogs – West Virginia is 4-15 in bowls since ’82
Missouri is 2-6 in the last eight neutral site games – Iowa is 8-3 in bowls since ‘95
East Carolina is 12-6 as dogs of 7 or more since ’06 – Maryland is 8-20 as favorites since ‘04
Illinois is 2-8 in the last ten neutral site games – Baylor is 17-6 in the last 23 as favorites
Arizona is 10-5 in the last 15 as underdogs – Oklahoma State is 45-21-1 as favorites since ‘99
Army is 4-12 in neutral site games since ’97 – SMU is 4-15 in the last 19 as favorites
Kansas State is 1-6 in bowls since ’98 – Syracuse is 9-4 in bowls since ‘88
North Carolina is 16-27 as favorites since ’01 – Tennessee is 2-6 in the last eight as dogs
Washington is 4-1 in the last five as DD dogs – Nebraska is 2-11 in the last 13 as DD favs
South Florida is 12-8 in the last 20 as underdogs – Clemson is 1-4 in the last five bowl games
Notre Dame is 1-7 in bowl games since ’97 – Miami, FL is 8-4 in bowl games since ‘96
Central Florida is 7-2 in the last nine as dogs – Georgia is 12-4 in bowl games since ‘91
Florida State is 18-9-2 in bowl games since ’81 – South Carolina is 4-7 in bowls since ‘80
Northwestern is 14-9 in the last 23 as 7+ dogs – Texas Tech is 29-21-1 as favs of 7+ since ‘02
Penn State is 16-8 in bowl since ’80 – Florida is 24-10-1 in the last 35 as favorites of 7 or more
Michigan State is 30-20-1 as DD dogs since ’80 – Alabama is 13-5 in the last 18 as DD favs
Michigan is 4-11 in the last 15 as underdogs – Mississippi State is 5-9 in the last 14 as favs
TCU is 6-9 as favs of less than 3 since ’80 – Wisconsin is 7-4 a bowl underdogs since ‘94
Connecticut is 16-10 as dogs of 14+ since ’00 – Oklahoma is 3-9 in bowls since ’94
Virginia Tech is 18-7 in the last 25 as underdogs – Stanford is 0-3 as bowl favorites since ‘91
Arkansas is 11-3-1 in the last 15 as underdogs – Ohio State is 6-2 in the last eight bowls
MTSU is 5-9 in the last 14 as underdogs – Miami, OH is 2-11-1 as favorites since ‘06
Texas A&M is 5-0 S/U vs. LSU since ’91 – LSU is 10-5 in bowls since ‘87
Kentucky is 5-2 as bowl underdogs since ’83 – Pittsburgh is 4-8 in bowls since ‘83
Boston College is 0-4 in bowls since ’06 – Nevada is 27-14 as favorites of 7 or more since ‘99
Oregon is 24-12 as underdogs since ’00 – Auburn is 13-4 as favorites of less than 6 since ‘02
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2010 College Football Bowl Game Trends:
Saturday, Dec. 18
New Mexico Bowl -UTEP (6-6) vs. BYU (6-6), 2 p.m. (ESPN)
BYU is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games on a neutral site while UTEP is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a cover in their last game.
Humanitarian Bowl - Northern Illinois (10-3) vs. Fresno State (8-4), 5:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Northern Illinois is 0-6 against the spread in their last 6 games on a neutral site while Fresno State has covered in their last four bowl games as an underog.
New Orleans Bowl - Ohio (8-4) vs. Troy (7-5), 9 p.m. (ESPN)
Ohio is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games as an underdog while Troy is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the Mid-American Conference.
Tuesday, Dec. 21
Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl - Louisville (6-6) vs. Southern Mississippi (8-4), 8 p.m. (ESPN)
Louisville is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 meetings against Southern Miss while the Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Wednesday, Dec. 22
MAACO Bowl - Utah (10-2) vs. Boise State (11-1), 8 p.m. (ESPN)
Utah is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 bowl games while Boise State is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December.
Thursday, Dec. 23
Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego State (8-4) vs. Navy (8-3), 8 p.m. (ESPN)
Navy is 14-2 against the spread in their last 16 games against the Mountain West Conference while San Diego State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover.
Friday, Dec. 24
Hawaii Bowl - Hawaii (10-3) vs. Tulsa (9-3), 8 p.m. (ESPN)
Hawaii has covered the spread in their last 7 home games while Tulsa is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Sunday, Dec. 26
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl - Toledo (8-4) vs. Florida International (6-6), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Toledo is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games as a favorite while Florida International is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a failed cover.
Monday, Dec. 27
Independence Bowl - Georgia Tech (6-6) vs. Air Force (8-4), 5 p.m. (ESPN2)
Air Force is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 non-conference games while Georiga Tech is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Tuesday, Dec. 28
Champs Sports Bowl - North Carolina State (8-4) vs. West Virginia (9-3), 6:30 p.m. (ESPN)
N.C. State is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games after a loss while West Virginia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as a favorite.
Insight Bowl - Missouri (10-2) vs. Iowa (7-5), 10 p.m. (ESPN)
Missouri is 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 games in December while Iowa is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Wednesday, Dec. 29
Military Bowl - East Carolina (6-6) vs. Maryland (8-4), 2:30 p.m. (ESPN)
East Carolina is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 non-conference games while Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Texas Bowl - Baylor (7-5) vs. Illinois (6-6), 6 p.m. (ESPN)
Illinois is 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 games as an underdog while Baylor is 1-4 ATS int heir last 5 games overall.
Alamo Bowl - Arizona (7-5) vs. Oklahoma State (10-2), 9:15 p.m. (ESPN)
Arizona is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games following a loss while Oklahoma State is 24-6-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite of 3.5-to-10 points.
Thursday, Dec. 30
Armed Forces Bowl - SMU (7-6) vs. Army (6-5), Noon (ESPN)
SMU is just 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 games against Independent teams while Army is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Conference USA opponents.
Pinstripe Bowl - Syracuse (7-5) vs. Kansas State (7-5), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Syracuse is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games following a loss while Kansas State has failed to cover in their last 4 bowl games.
Music City Bowl - North Carolina (7-5) vs. Tennessee (6-6), 6:40 p.m. (ESPN)
Tennessee has failed to cover in their last 4 games against the ACC while North Carolina has covered in their last four games against SEC opponents.
Holiday Bowl - Nebraska (10-3) vs. Washington (6-6), 10 p.m. (ESPN)
Nebraska is 7-1-1 against the spread in their last 9 non-conference games while Washington is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a cover.
Friday, Dec. 31
Meineke Bowl - Clemson (6-6) vs. South Florida (7-5), Noon (ESPN)
South Florida is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 against the ACC while the Tigers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Sun Bowl - Notre Dame (7-5) vs. Miami (7-5), 2 p.m. (CBS)
Notre Dame is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games as an underdog while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight up loss.
Liberty Bowl - Georgia (6-6) vs. UCF (10-3), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Georgia is just 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while Central Florida is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Chick-fil-A Bowl - South Carolina (9-4) vs. Florida State (9-4), 7:30 p.m. (ESPN)
South Carolina is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games at a neutral site while Florida State is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Saturday, Jan. 1
TicketCity Bowl - Northwestern (7-5) vs. Texas Tech (7-5), Noon (ESPNU)
Arizona is 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games and Texas Tech is currently 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on fieldturf.
Capital One Bowl - Michigan State (11-1) vs. Alabama (9-3), 1 p.m. (ESPN)
Alabama is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 games following a loss while Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a victory.
Outback Bowl - Florida (7-5) vs. Penn State (7-5), 1 p.m. (ABC)
Florida is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games at a neutral site while Penn State is just 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games out of conference.
Gator Bowl - Michigan (7-5) vs. Mississippi State (8-4), 1:30 p.m. (ESPN2)
Michigan has covered the spread in their last 6 non-conference games while Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover.
Rose Bowl - TCU (12-0) vs. Wisconsin (11-1), 5 p.m. (ESPN)
Wisconsin is just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games against the Mountain West Conference while TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Fiesta Bowl - Connecticut (8-4) vs. Oklahoma (11-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Oklahoma is 0-4 against the spread in their last four bowl games while Connecticut is 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underog.
Monday, Jan. 3
Orange Bowl - Stanford (11-1) vs. Virginia Tech (11-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Stanford is 4-0-1 against the spread in their last 5 games following a win while Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Tuesday, Jan. 4
Sugar Bowl - Ohio State (11-1) vs. Arkansas (10-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Arkansas is just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 bow games while Ohio State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Thursday, Jan. 6
GoDaddy.com Bowl - Miami (Ohio) (9-4) vs. Middle Tennessee (6-6), 8 p.m. (ESPN)
Miami is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games while Middle Tennessee is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Friday, Jan. 7
Cotton Bowl - Texas A&M (9-3) vs. LSU (10-2), 8 p.m. (FOX)
Texas A&M is 0-7 against the spread in their last 7 neutral site games while LSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Saturday, Jan. 8
BBVA Compass Bowl - Pittsburgh (7-5) vs. Kentucky (6-6), Noon (ESPN)
Pittsburgh is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 bowl games while Kentucky is 12-3-1 in their last 16 non-conference games.
Sunday, Jan. 9
Fight Hunger Bowl - Boston College (7-5) vs. Nevada (12-1), 9 p.m. (ESPN)
Boston College is 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 neutral site games while Nevada is 1-4 AS in their last 5 bowl games.
Monday, Jan. 10
BCS National Championship - Auburn (13-0) vs. Oregon (12-0), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Auburn has covered in 6 of their last 7 games while Oregon is just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.
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Best ACC Bowl Trend – 12-1 ATS dogs off SU loss: Fla St, Ga Tech, NC State
Worst ACC Bowl Trend – 5-10 ATS aft allow < 10 pts last game: Boston College
Best Big Ten Bowl Trend – 12-3 ATS dogs 6 > pts vs opp off SU loss:
Michigan St, Penn St
Worst Big Ten Bowl Trend – 4-12 ATS off DD ATS loss:
Iowa, Michigan, Northwestern
Best Big 12 Bowl Trend – 6-1 ATS off loss of more than 28 points:
Baylor
Worst Big 12 Bowl Trend – 1-7 ATS favs 6 > pts vs opp off ATS loss:
Texas Tech
Best CUSA Bowl Trend – 14-4 ATS off loss 6 > pts: East Carolina
Worst CUSA Bowl Trend – 1-8 ATS dogs 7 < pts off SUATS win: C Florida
Best MAC Bowl Trend – 4-1 ATS favs vs opp off SU fav loss: Toledo
Worst MAC Bowl Trend – 0-7 ATS dogs < 7 pts: Ohio U
Best MWC Bowl Trend – 6-0 ATS dogs 6 > pts: Utah
Worst MWC Bowl Trend – 1-4 ATS favs vs > .500 opp: San Diego St, TCU
Best PAC-10 Bowl Trend – 6-0 ATS as dogs 9 > pts: Washington
Worst PAC-10 Bowl Trend – 2-7 ATS off SU loss vs opp off SUATS loss: Arizona
Best SEC Bowl Trend – 9-2 ATS dogs vs opp off SU win: Ark, Kentucky, Tenn
Worst SEC Bowl Trend – 2-8 ATS favs after scoring 40 > pts: Auburn, Ga
Best Sun Belt Bowl Trend – 5-1 ATS dogs off SUATS win: Mid Tenn St
Worst Sun Belt Bowl Trend – 0-2 ATS off SU loss vs opp off SUATS win: FIU
Best INDEPENDENT Bowl Trend – 8-2 ATS vs opp off ATS loss: Army, N Dame
Worst INDEPENDENT Bowl Trend – 0-7 ATS vs opp off SU win > 7 pts: Navy
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NEW MEXICO BOWL:
UTEP Price: 5-2 SU ATS vs MWC including 3-0 SUATS as dog
BYU 0-5 SU in bowl games when entering off a loss
HUMANITARIAN BOWL
NO ILLINOIS Bowlers off DD loss as DD favs are 4-11 ATS
FRESNO ST Underdog is 10-0 ATS L10 Bulldogs’ bowl games
NEW ORLEANS BOWL
OHIO U 0-4 SU bowl games… Solich: 6-13 SU vs .580 > opp
TROY Sun Belt bowlers off win 6 > points are 6-2-1 ATS
Tuesday, December 21
ST. PETERSBURG BOWL
LOUISVILLE 2-7 ATS as bowlers, including 1-5 ATS off a win
SO MISS Fedora: 5-1 ATS vs .666 < opp off SU and ATS win
Wednesday, December 22
LAS VEGAS BOWL
UTAH 11-2 ATS dog with rest… Whittingham: 7-1 dog > 7
BOISE ST WAC bowlers are 1-6 ATS as DD favorites
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Stats Matter - A Guide to Handicapping the Bowl Games
by Marc Lawrence on 12/14/2010 7:05 AM
By Marc Lawrence
Smart handicappers alike agree on one thing - preparation is the key to success. The better prepared you are the better chance you stand at succeeding.
With the 2010 College Bowl season now upon us it's time to get ready for the thirty-five games that await. While a myriad of different techniques and approaches exist one simple element is often overlooked and that is how teams are or have been performing on the playing field ‘In The Stats' (ITS) as they enter into its bowl game.
As handicappers we know better than most that the scoreboard does not tell the entire story. Like a doctor examining an MRI or an X-Ray it's vitally important to look inside the patient before rendering a diagnosis.
Listed below are noteworthy results of how the 70 bowl teams have fared ITS overall or most recently this season...
Air Force - 11-1 ITS this season
Alabama - 11-1 ITS this season
Arizona - 10-2 ITS this season
Arkansas - 9-2-1 ITS this season
Army - 0-4 ITS L4 games season
Auburn - 12-1 ITS this season
Baylor - 1-3 ITS L4 games season
Boise State - 11-1 ITS this season
Boston College - 5-1 ITS L6 games season
BYU - 4-1 ITS L5 games season
Central Florida - 2-3 ITS L5 games season
Clemson - 4-7 ITS this season
Connecticut - 1-6 ITS L7 games season
East Carolina -1-4 ITS L5 games season
Florida - held 4 foes season low yards
Florida International - 8-4 ITS this season
Florida State - 1-4 ITS L5 games season
Fresno State - 11-1 ITS this season
Georgia - 1-4 ITS L5 games season
Georgia Tech - 2-3 ITS L5 games season
Hawaii - 11-2 ITS this season
Illinois - held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards
Iowa - 0-3 ITS L3 games season
Kansas State - 0-6 ITS L6 games season
Kentucky - 4-1 ITS L5 games season
LSU -held 3 foes season low yards
Louisville - 8-4 ITS this season
Maryland - 5-7 ITS this season
Miami Fla - 7-0 ITS L7 games season
Miami Oh - 5-0 ITS L5 games season
Michigan - allowed 4 teams season high yards
Michigan State - 10-2 ITS this season
Mid Tennessee State - 2-6 ITS L8 games season
Mississippi State - 3-3 ITS L6 games season
Missouri - 2-3 ITS L5 games season
Navy - 4-5 ITS L9 games season
Nebraska - held 6 foes 1-2 season low yards
Nevada - 10-3 ITS this season
North Carolina - 8-4 ITS this season
NC State - 3-3 ITS L6 games season
Northern Illinois - 10-3 ITS this season
Northwestern - 1-3 ITS L4 games season
Notre Dame - 4-2 ITS L6 games season
Ohio State - held 10 foes 1-2 season low yards
Ohio U - 4-8 ITS this season
Oklahoma - held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards
Oklahoma State - 9-3 ITS this season
Oregon - 11-1 ITS this season
Penn State - 4-1 ITS L5 games season
Pittsburgh - 9-0 ITS L9 games season
San Diego State - 5-1 ITS L6 games season
SMU - 8-1 ITS L9 games season
South Carolina - 8-4 ITS this season
South Florida - 2-6 ITS L8 games season
Southern Miss - 9-3 ITS this season
Stanford - 10-2 ITS this season
Syracuse - 1-6 ITS L7 games season
TCU - 12-0 ITS this season
Tennessee - 4-0 ITS L4 games season
Texas A&M - 9-3 ITS this season
Texas El Paso - 1-5 ITS L6 games season
Texas Tech - allowed 3 teams season high yards
Toledo - 4-2 ITS L6 games season
Troy - 8-4 ITS this season
Tulsa - 9-3 ITS this season
Utah - 9-3 ITS this season
Virginia Tech - held 5 foes season low yards
Washington - 3-0 ITS L3 games season
West Virginia - held 6 foes 1-2 low yards
Wisconsin - 10-2 ITS this season
Given the fact that teams who outgain their opponent win the game better than 80% of the time, and straight-up winners in bowl games being 539-93-10 ATS since 1980, it's crucial to your success when evaluating a team's chance of winning the yardage wars.
Just another slant on handicapping the Bowl contests. Add it to your arsenal and enjoy the games!
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PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games
58-36-1, 61.7% since 1980
PLAY AGAINST: BYU, Hawaii, West Virginia, Nevada,Auburn,
PLAY ON: UTEP, Tulsa, NC State, BC, Oregon
Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite 9-3, 75.0% since 1988
PLAY AGAINST: BYU, Hawaii,
PLAY ON: UTEP, Tulsa
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Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.
Since 1996.....5-0 100%
PLAY ON: UTAH
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Dogs in bowl games that won the previous year are 23-12 ats, including 15-3 ats vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year
** THOSE RECORDS ABOVE ARE PRIOR TO LAST YEARS RESULTS
2008: 5-4 ATS
2009: 5-2 ATS
2010:
Mid Tenn St. *
Utah
Wisconsin
Navy *
Virginia Tech
Florida St. *
Penn St.
South Florida
UCONN
Arkansas
Iowa *
* denotes a team playing a team that won 8 or less games last year
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Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:
1) Favs of 3.5< pts are 18-3 SU, 17-4 ATS ( 2-1 IN 2009)
2010:
LOUISVILLE - 3
TROY - 3
N.ILL - 1.5
2) Totals of 63.5> pts are 12-3 OVER (avg score 82 ppg) ( 0-1 IN 2009)
2010:
OVER TULSA / HAWAII
Bowls from 12/25 to 12/31:
1) DD dogs are 17-3 ATS L20 ( 1-0 IN 2009 )
2010:
WASH + 14
Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:
1) Favs are 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS L11 in LOWER TIER Bowl games
2) MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )
2010:
FRESNO + 1.5
TROY - 3
FLORIDA INTER + 1.5
MIDDLE TENN ST + 1
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