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BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

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  • soxx9
    replied
    Originally posted by jcheckers View Post
    Can't believe with all the interest that there's been no response. Thanks Greek, I know you put alot of work into this...
    Thanks Greek.

    Leave a comment:


  • jcheckers
    replied
    Can't believe with all the interest that there's been no response. Thanks Greek, I know you put alot of work into this...
    Last edited by jcheckers; 12-17-2010, 07:30 PM. Reason: sic

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Team Specific:


    Boston College- 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS L12, has not allowed more than 25>pts in L10 bowl gms.

    Utah- 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS L7 / 4-7 UNDER L11

    Wake Forest- 5-1 SU,ATS L6

    Fresno St- Dog is 10-2 SU, 11-1 ATS in Frenso bowls, Fresno is 0-5 SU,ATS as favs

    Georgia- 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS, Have scored between 24-44pts in 13 of 14 bowl gms.

    ND- 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS L10

    Louisville- 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS L9

    WV- 5-9 SU, 4-10 ATS L14 / 9-1 OVER L10

    N.Mexico- 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS L6

    Purdue- 2-6 SU, 1-6-1 ATS L8

    K.State- 1-6 ATS L7

    Oregon- Dog is 8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS L11

    UCLA- 4-8 SU L12

    Alabama- 3-6 ATS L9

    Michigan- 9-1 OVER L10

    Texas- 8-3 OVER L11

    Florida- 8-3 OVER L11

    California- 8-0 OVER L8

    G.Tech- 6-1 OVER L7

    Arizona 0-6 UNDER L6

    Ariz St.- 2-7 UNDER L9

    Oklahoma- 4-9 UNDER L13, 1-6 ATS L7

    Auburn 1-7 UNDER L8, 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS L6

    Penn St- 1-9 UNDER L10, 10-3 SU L13

    Florida St- 5-0 ATS, 5-1 OVER, Avg 34ppg L5 bowls

    LSU- 10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS

    Navy- 7-2 ATS, 5-1 OVER, Avg 33ppg L6 bowls

    Miss- 8-1 SU, 7-1-1 ATS, Dogs are 5-1 ATS in Miss bowls

    Oreg St- 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS

    Ark- 3-7 SU, ATS , 0-6 UNDER L6

    BYU- Fav is 7-1 ATS in BYU bowls, 3-9 UNDER L12

    Cincy- 1-7 ATS, 2-6 UNDER L8

    N.Western- 0-7 SU L7

    Texas A&M- 1-8 SU L9

    Hou- Fav is 6-1 SU in Hou Bowls

    E.Car- Dogs are 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS in ECU Bowls

    Clemson- 2-10 UNDER L12

    Stanford- 1-7 UNDER L8

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Conference Specific:

    ACC-

    1) The ACC is 17-1 SU vs opp who allows 28.5>pts/gm on season

    2) The ACC is 26-11 SU as fav/dog 6
    3) The ACC is 1-6 SU,ATS as favs vs opp off SU fav loss

    4) The ACC is 12-1 ATS dogs off L

    Big East-

    1) The Big East is 28-8 SU vs opp who allows 23>pts/gm

    2) The Big East is 3-15 SU, 4-14 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

    3) The Big East is 3-10 ATS vs opp off L

    Big 10-

    1) The Big 10 is 17-4 SU, 13-8 ATS vs opp who allow 28>pts/gm

    2) The Big 10 is 1-6 ATS favs 2>pts vs opp off BB su,ats W

    Big 12-

    1) The Big 12 is 35-9 SU, 28-16 ATS vs opp who allow 25>pts/gm

    2) The Big 12 is 12-4 ATS as dogs 3>pts vs opp off BB Wins

    3) The Big 12 is 5-18 ATS as favs off ATS loss

    4) The Big 12 is 6-18 ATS as favs of 7 or more

    Pac 10-

    1) The Pac 10 is 14-1 ATS as DOGS off su,ats Loss

    2) The Pac 10 is 17-4 L17 gms as dogs

    3) The Pac 10 is 4-13 ATS as favs 6>pts

    4) The Pac 10 is on a run of 51-22 ATS L73 bowl games

    5) Pac 10 dogs vs opp off DD win that scored 30>pts in that win are 16-1 ATS

    6) The Pac 10 is 17-4 ATS vs Big 10

    7) The Pac 10 is 0-9 ATS vs WAC

    SEC

    1) The SEC is 31-5 SU vs opp who allow 27>pts/gm

    2) The SEC is 16-4 ATS as dogs 10
    3) The SEC is 17-8 SU, 19-6 ATS, 8-28 UNDER L18 bowls as DOGS

    4) SEC favs w/ win % of .750< are 10-20 ATS

    5) The SEC is 15-4 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

    6) The SEC is 1-11 ATS as Favs off BB L

    MAC

    1) The MAC is 13-8 ATS off Win

    2) The MAC is 11-8 ATS as dogs 7>pts

    3) The MAC is 23-3 SU, 19-7 ATS as Favs

    4) The MAC is 0-15 SU, 2-13 ATS as Dogs

    CUSA

    1) The CUSA is 8-4 ATS vs opp off su,ats Loss

    2) The CUSA is 3-14 ATS off DD W vs opp off Win

    3) The CUSA is 24-6 SU, 19-11 ATS as FAVS in L30 bowl gms

    4) The CUSA is 3-16 SU, 4-15 ATS as dogs of 7 or less

    5) The CUSA is 0-11 SU, 2-8-1 ATS vs BCS conf teams

    6) The CUSA is 5-18 UNDER vs MAC and MWC conf

    MWC-

    1) The MWC is 24-13 ATS L37 bowls

    Independants

    1) 11-1 SU,10-2 ATS L12 bowls as FAVS, 3-10 SU,4-9 ATS L12 as DOGS

    WAC

    1) The WAC is 15-3 ATS as dogs 4>pts off BB Wins

    2) The Wac is 0-10 ATS as neutral site FAVS

    3) The Wac is 2-11 ATS as favs if allowed 35>pts last gm

    4) The Wac is 21-13 OVER , 13-21 ATS L34 Bowl gms

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    College Bowl Info....

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Bowl Specific:

    New Orleans Bowl- 4-0 OVER L4

    Las Vegas- 1-3 UNDER L4

    Poinsettia- Fav is 2-910 ATS L12

    Hawaii Bowl- 8-2 OVER L10

    Meineke Car Care- Fav is 6-1 SU L7

    Emerald- Fav is 2-5 ATS L7

    Music City - Dog is 9-3 SU,ATS L12 / 2-7 UNDER L8

    Independance - 4-2 OVER L6 / SEC is 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS L13

    Champs - Fav is 7-2 SU L9

    Humanitarian - Fav is 7-2 SU L9

    Armed Forces - Fav is 5-2 SU,ATS L6 / 2-5 UNDER L7

    Sun - Dog is 13-2 ATS L15

    Texas -Fav is 3-1 ATS L4 / 0-4 UNDER L4

    Insight -11-3 OVER L14 / Dog is 9-4 ATS L13

    Chick-fil-A -Fav is 4-12 ATS L16

    Outback -Dog is 8-3 ATS L11

    Capital One -Big 10 is 5-1 SU L6

    Gator -Fav is 11-3 SU, 9-5 ATS L14

    Rose Bowl -Fav is 11-5 ATS L16

    Sugar -Fav is 10-3 ATS L13

    International -Fav is 4-0 SU L4 / 3-1 OVER L4

    Papajohns - 0-4 UNDER L4

    Cotton - 3-12 UNDER

    Liberty -4-14 UNDER L18

    Alamo -Dog is 6-3 ATS L9 / Big 10 is 10-5 ATS L15

    Fiesta - Better SU record is 10-2 ATS

    Orange - Home team is 13-5 ATS

    GMAC -CUSA is 2-6 SU,ATS L8 / Fav is 7-0 ATS L7

    Little Ceasers- 3-8 UNDER L11

    BCS Championship- Fav is 3-1 ATS L4, 3-1 OVER L4

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    2010-11 BOWL TRENDS:


    UTEP is 17-11 in the last 28 games as DD dogs – BYU is 5-10 in the last 15 as DD favorites
    Northern Illinois is 7-1-1 in the last nine as favorites – Fresno State is 40-29 as dogs since ‘97
    Ohio is 9-16-3 as dogs of less than 7 since ’98 – Troy is 2-7 as favorites this season
    Louisville is 5-0 vs. Southern Miss since ’99 – Southern Miss is 20-30-1 as dogs since ‘97
    Utah is 26-16 as DD underdogs since ’82 – Boise State is 18-11 as favorites of -10 to -20
    Navy is 11-3 in the last 14 games as dogs – San Diego State is 12-23-2 as non-home favorites
    Tulsa is 16-27-2 as DD dogs since ’97 – Hawaii is 18-11 as DD favorites since ‘05
    Florida International is 3-7 in the last ten as dogs – Toledo is 10-5 in the last 15 as favorites
    Georgia Tech is 11-5 as underdogs since ’07 – Air Force is 11-6 in bowls since ‘82
    NC State is 21-8-1 in the last 30 as dogs – West Virginia is 4-15 in bowls since ’82
    Missouri is 2-6 in the last eight neutral site games – Iowa is 8-3 in bowls since ‘95
    East Carolina is 12-6 as dogs of 7 or more since ’06 – Maryland is 8-20 as favorites since ‘04
    Illinois is 2-8 in the last ten neutral site games – Baylor is 17-6 in the last 23 as favorites
    Arizona is 10-5 in the last 15 as underdogs – Oklahoma State is 45-21-1 as favorites since ‘99
    Army is 4-12 in neutral site games since ’97 – SMU is 4-15 in the last 19 as favorites
    Kansas State is 1-6 in bowls since ’98 – Syracuse is 9-4 in bowls since ‘88
    North Carolina is 16-27 as favorites since ’01 – Tennessee is 2-6 in the last eight as dogs
    Washington is 4-1 in the last five as DD dogs – Nebraska is 2-11 in the last 13 as DD favs
    South Florida is 12-8 in the last 20 as underdogs – Clemson is 1-4 in the last five bowl games
    Notre Dame is 1-7 in bowl games since ’97 – Miami, FL is 8-4 in bowl games since ‘96
    Central Florida is 7-2 in the last nine as dogs – Georgia is 12-4 in bowl games since ‘91
    Florida State is 18-9-2 in bowl games since ’81 – South Carolina is 4-7 in bowls since ‘80
    Northwestern is 14-9 in the last 23 as 7+ dogs – Texas Tech is 29-21-1 as favs of 7+ since ‘02
    Penn State is 16-8 in bowl since ’80 – Florida is 24-10-1 in the last 35 as favorites of 7 or more
    Michigan State is 30-20-1 as DD dogs since ’80 – Alabama is 13-5 in the last 18 as DD favs
    Michigan is 4-11 in the last 15 as underdogs – Mississippi State is 5-9 in the last 14 as favs
    TCU is 6-9 as favs of less than 3 since ’80 – Wisconsin is 7-4 a bowl underdogs since ‘94
    Connecticut is 16-10 as dogs of 14+ since ’00 – Oklahoma is 3-9 in bowls since ’94
    Virginia Tech is 18-7 in the last 25 as underdogs – Stanford is 0-3 as bowl favorites since ‘91
    Arkansas is 11-3-1 in the last 15 as underdogs – Ohio State is 6-2 in the last eight bowls
    MTSU is 5-9 in the last 14 as underdogs – Miami, OH is 2-11-1 as favorites since ‘06
    Texas A&M is 5-0 S/U vs. LSU since ’91 – LSU is 10-5 in bowls since ‘87
    Kentucky is 5-2 as bowl underdogs since ’83 – Pittsburgh is 4-8 in bowls since ‘83
    Boston College is 0-4 in bowls since ’06 – Nevada is 27-14 as favorites of 7 or more since ‘99
    Oregon is 24-12 as underdogs since ’00 – Auburn is 13-4 as favorites of less than 6 since ‘02

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    2010 College Football Bowl Game Trends:

    Saturday, Dec. 18

    New Mexico Bowl -UTEP (6-6) vs. BYU (6-6), 2 p.m. (ESPN)

    BYU is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games on a neutral site while UTEP is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a cover in their last game.

    Humanitarian Bowl - Northern Illinois (10-3) vs. Fresno State (8-4), 5:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Northern Illinois is 0-6 against the spread in their last 6 games on a neutral site while Fresno State has covered in their last four bowl games as an underog.

    New Orleans Bowl - Ohio (8-4) vs. Troy (7-5), 9 p.m. (ESPN)

    Ohio is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games as an underdog while Troy is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the Mid-American Conference.

    Tuesday, Dec. 21

    Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl - Louisville (6-6) vs. Southern Mississippi (8-4), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

    Louisville is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 meetings against Southern Miss while the Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

    Wednesday, Dec. 22

    MAACO Bowl - Utah (10-2) vs. Boise State (11-1), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

    Utah is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 bowl games while Boise State is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December.

    Thursday, Dec. 23

    Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego State (8-4) vs. Navy (8-3), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

    Navy is 14-2 against the spread in their last 16 games against the Mountain West Conference while San Diego State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover.

    Friday, Dec. 24

    Hawaii Bowl - Hawaii (10-3) vs. Tulsa (9-3), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

    Hawaii has covered the spread in their last 7 home games while Tulsa is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

    Sunday, Dec. 26

    Little Caesars Pizza Bowl - Toledo (8-4) vs. Florida International (6-6), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Toledo is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games as a favorite while Florida International is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a failed cover.

    Monday, Dec. 27

    Independence Bowl - Georgia Tech (6-6) vs. Air Force (8-4), 5 p.m. (ESPN2)

    Air Force is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 non-conference games while Georiga Tech is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

    Tuesday, Dec. 28

    Champs Sports Bowl - North Carolina State (8-4) vs. West Virginia (9-3), 6:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    N.C. State is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games after a loss while West Virginia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as a favorite.

    Insight Bowl - Missouri (10-2) vs. Iowa (7-5), 10 p.m. (ESPN)

    Missouri is 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 games in December while Iowa is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.

    Wednesday, Dec. 29

    Military Bowl - East Carolina (6-6) vs. Maryland (8-4), 2:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    East Carolina is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 non-conference games while Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

    Texas Bowl - Baylor (7-5) vs. Illinois (6-6), 6 p.m. (ESPN)

    Illinois is 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 games as an underdog while Baylor is 1-4 ATS int heir last 5 games overall.

    Alamo Bowl - Arizona (7-5) vs. Oklahoma State (10-2), 9:15 p.m. (ESPN)

    Arizona is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games following a loss while Oklahoma State is 24-6-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite of 3.5-to-10 points.

    Thursday, Dec. 30

    Armed Forces Bowl - SMU (7-6) vs. Army (6-5), Noon (ESPN)

    SMU is just 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 games against Independent teams while Army is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Conference USA opponents.

    Pinstripe Bowl - Syracuse (7-5) vs. Kansas State (7-5), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Syracuse is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games following a loss while Kansas State has failed to cover in their last 4 bowl games.

    Music City Bowl - North Carolina (7-5) vs. Tennessee (6-6), 6:40 p.m. (ESPN)

    Tennessee has failed to cover in their last 4 games against the ACC while North Carolina has covered in their last four games against SEC opponents.

    Holiday Bowl - Nebraska (10-3) vs. Washington (6-6), 10 p.m. (ESPN)

    Nebraska is 7-1-1 against the spread in their last 9 non-conference games while Washington is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a cover.

    Friday, Dec. 31

    Meineke Bowl - Clemson (6-6) vs. South Florida (7-5), Noon (ESPN)

    South Florida is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 against the ACC while the Tigers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

    Sun Bowl - Notre Dame (7-5) vs. Miami (7-5), 2 p.m. (CBS)

    Notre Dame is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games as an underdog while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight up loss.

    Liberty Bowl - Georgia (6-6) vs. UCF (10-3), 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Georgia is just 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while Central Florida is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

    Chick-fil-A Bowl - South Carolina (9-4) vs. Florida State (9-4), 7:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    South Carolina is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games at a neutral site while Florida State is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.

    Saturday, Jan. 1

    TicketCity Bowl - Northwestern (7-5) vs. Texas Tech (7-5), Noon (ESPNU)

    Arizona is 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games and Texas Tech is currently 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on fieldturf.

    Capital One Bowl - Michigan State (11-1) vs. Alabama (9-3), 1 p.m. (ESPN)

    Alabama is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 games following a loss while Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a victory.

    Outback Bowl - Florida (7-5) vs. Penn State (7-5), 1 p.m. (ABC)

    Florida is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games at a neutral site while Penn State is just 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games out of conference.

    Gator Bowl - Michigan (7-5) vs. Mississippi State (8-4), 1:30 p.m. (ESPN2)

    Michigan has covered the spread in their last 6 non-conference games while Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover.

    Rose Bowl - TCU (12-0) vs. Wisconsin (11-1), 5 p.m. (ESPN)

    Wisconsin is just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games against the Mountain West Conference while TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

    Fiesta Bowl - Connecticut (8-4) vs. Oklahoma (11-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Oklahoma is 0-4 against the spread in their last four bowl games while Connecticut is 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underog.

    Monday, Jan. 3

    Orange Bowl - Stanford (11-1) vs. Virginia Tech (11-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Stanford is 4-0-1 against the spread in their last 5 games following a win while Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

    Tuesday, Jan. 4

    Sugar Bowl - Ohio State (11-1) vs. Arkansas (10-2), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Arkansas is just 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 bow games while Ohio State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.

    Thursday, Jan. 6

    GoDaddy.com Bowl - Miami (Ohio) (9-4) vs. Middle Tennessee (6-6), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

    Miami is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games while Middle Tennessee is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

    Friday, Jan. 7

    Cotton Bowl - Texas A&M (9-3) vs. LSU (10-2), 8 p.m. (FOX)

    Texas A&M is 0-7 against the spread in their last 7 neutral site games while LSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

    Saturday, Jan. 8

    BBVA Compass Bowl - Pittsburgh (7-5) vs. Kentucky (6-6), Noon (ESPN)

    Pittsburgh is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 bowl games while Kentucky is 12-3-1 in their last 16 non-conference games.

    Sunday, Jan. 9

    Fight Hunger Bowl - Boston College (7-5) vs. Nevada (12-1), 9 p.m. (ESPN)

    Boston College is 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 neutral site games while Nevada is 1-4 AS in their last 5 bowl games.

    Monday, Jan. 10

    BCS National Championship - Auburn (13-0) vs. Oregon (12-0), 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)

    Auburn has covered in 6 of their last 7 games while Oregon is just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Best ACC Bowl Trend – 12-1 ATS dogs off SU loss: Fla St, Ga Tech, NC State

    Worst ACC Bowl Trend – 5-10 ATS aft allow < 10 pts last game: Boston College


    Best Big Ten Bowl Trend – 12-3 ATS dogs 6 > pts vs opp off SU loss:
    Michigan St, Penn St

    Worst Big Ten Bowl Trend – 4-12 ATS off DD ATS loss:
    Iowa, Michigan, Northwestern



    Best Big 12 Bowl Trend – 6-1 ATS off loss of more than 28 points:
    Baylor

    Worst Big 12 Bowl Trend – 1-7 ATS favs 6 > pts vs opp off ATS loss:
    Texas Tech



    Best CUSA Bowl Trend – 14-4 ATS off loss 6 > pts: East Carolina

    Worst CUSA Bowl Trend – 1-8 ATS dogs 7 < pts off SUATS win: C Florida


    Best MAC Bowl Trend – 4-1 ATS favs vs opp off SU fav loss: Toledo

    Worst MAC Bowl Trend – 0-7 ATS dogs < 7 pts: Ohio U


    Best MWC Bowl Trend – 6-0 ATS dogs 6 > pts: Utah

    Worst MWC Bowl Trend – 1-4 ATS favs vs > .500 opp: San Diego St, TCU


    Best PAC-10 Bowl Trend – 6-0 ATS as dogs 9 > pts: Washington

    Worst PAC-10 Bowl Trend – 2-7 ATS off SU loss vs opp off SUATS loss: Arizona


    Best SEC Bowl Trend – 9-2 ATS dogs vs opp off SU win: Ark, Kentucky, Tenn

    Worst SEC Bowl Trend – 2-8 ATS favs after scoring 40 > pts: Auburn, Ga


    Best Sun Belt Bowl Trend – 5-1 ATS dogs off SUATS win: Mid Tenn St

    Worst Sun Belt Bowl Trend – 0-2 ATS off SU loss vs opp off SUATS win: FIU


    Best INDEPENDENT Bowl Trend – 8-2 ATS vs opp off ATS loss: Army, N Dame

    Worst INDEPENDENT Bowl Trend – 0-7 ATS vs opp off SU win > 7 pts: Navy

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    NEW MEXICO BOWL:
    UTEP Price: 5-2 SU ATS vs MWC including 3-0 SUATS as dog
    BYU 0-5 SU in bowl games when entering off a loss


    HUMANITARIAN BOWL
    NO ILLINOIS Bowlers off DD loss as DD favs are 4-11 ATS
    FRESNO ST Underdog is 10-0 ATS L10 Bulldogs’ bowl games


    NEW ORLEANS BOWL
    OHIO U 0-4 SU bowl games… Solich: 6-13 SU vs .580 > opp
    TROY Sun Belt bowlers off win 6 > points are 6-2-1 ATS


    Tuesday, December 21
    ST. PETERSBURG BOWL
    LOUISVILLE 2-7 ATS as bowlers, including 1-5 ATS off a win
    SO MISS Fedora: 5-1 ATS vs .666 < opp off SU and ATS win



    Wednesday, December 22
    LAS VEGAS BOWL
    UTAH 11-2 ATS dog with rest… Whittingham: 7-1 dog > 7
    BOISE ST WAC bowlers are 1-6 ATS as DD favorites

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Stats Matter - A Guide to Handicapping the Bowl Games
    by Marc Lawrence on 12/14/2010 7:05 AM
    By Marc Lawrence

    Smart handicappers alike agree on one thing - preparation is the key to success. The better prepared you are the better chance you stand at succeeding.

    With the 2010 College Bowl season now upon us it's time to get ready for the thirty-five games that await. While a myriad of different techniques and approaches exist one simple element is often overlooked and that is how teams are or have been performing on the playing field ‘In The Stats' (ITS) as they enter into its bowl game.

    As handicappers we know better than most that the scoreboard does not tell the entire story. Like a doctor examining an MRI or an X-Ray it's vitally important to look inside the patient before rendering a diagnosis.

    Listed below are noteworthy results of how the 70 bowl teams have fared ITS overall or most recently this season...

    Air Force - 11-1 ITS this season

    Alabama - 11-1 ITS this season

    Arizona - 10-2 ITS this season

    Arkansas - 9-2-1 ITS this season

    Army - 0-4 ITS L4 games season

    Auburn - 12-1 ITS this season

    Baylor - 1-3 ITS L4 games season

    Boise State - 11-1 ITS this season

    Boston College - 5-1 ITS L6 games season

    BYU - 4-1 ITS L5 games season

    Central Florida - 2-3 ITS L5 games season

    Clemson - 4-7 ITS this season

    Connecticut - 1-6 ITS L7 games season

    East Carolina -1-4 ITS L5 games season

    Florida - held 4 foes season low yards

    Florida International - 8-4 ITS this season

    Florida State - 1-4 ITS L5 games season

    Fresno State - 11-1 ITS this season

    Georgia - 1-4 ITS L5 games season

    Georgia Tech - 2-3 ITS L5 games season

    Hawaii - 11-2 ITS this season

    Illinois - held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards

    Iowa - 0-3 ITS L3 games season

    Kansas State - 0-6 ITS L6 games season

    Kentucky - 4-1 ITS L5 games season

    LSU -held 3 foes season low yards

    Louisville - 8-4 ITS this season

    Maryland - 5-7 ITS this season

    Miami Fla - 7-0 ITS L7 games season

    Miami Oh - 5-0 ITS L5 games season

    Michigan - allowed 4 teams season high yards

    Michigan State - 10-2 ITS this season

    Mid Tennessee State - 2-6 ITS L8 games season

    Mississippi State - 3-3 ITS L6 games season

    Missouri - 2-3 ITS L5 games season

    Navy - 4-5 ITS L9 games season

    Nebraska - held 6 foes 1-2 season low yards

    Nevada - 10-3 ITS this season

    North Carolina - 8-4 ITS this season

    NC State - 3-3 ITS L6 games season

    Northern Illinois - 10-3 ITS this season

    Northwestern - 1-3 ITS L4 games season

    Notre Dame - 4-2 ITS L6 games season

    Ohio State - held 10 foes 1-2 season low yards

    Ohio U - 4-8 ITS this season

    Oklahoma - held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards

    Oklahoma State - 9-3 ITS this season

    Oregon - 11-1 ITS this season

    Penn State - 4-1 ITS L5 games season

    Pittsburgh - 9-0 ITS L9 games season

    San Diego State - 5-1 ITS L6 games season

    SMU - 8-1 ITS L9 games season

    South Carolina - 8-4 ITS this season

    South Florida - 2-6 ITS L8 games season

    Southern Miss - 9-3 ITS this season

    Stanford - 10-2 ITS this season

    Syracuse - 1-6 ITS L7 games season

    TCU - 12-0 ITS this season

    Tennessee - 4-0 ITS L4 games season

    Texas A&M - 9-3 ITS this season

    Texas El Paso - 1-5 ITS L6 games season

    Texas Tech - allowed 3 teams season high yards

    Toledo - 4-2 ITS L6 games season

    Troy - 8-4 ITS this season

    Tulsa - 9-3 ITS this season

    Utah - 9-3 ITS this season

    Virginia Tech - held 5 foes season low yards

    Washington - 3-0 ITS L3 games season

    West Virginia - held 6 foes 1-2 low yards

    Wisconsin - 10-2 ITS this season

    Given the fact that teams who outgain their opponent win the game better than 80% of the time, and straight-up winners in bowl games being 539-93-10 ATS since 1980, it's crucial to your success when evaluating a team's chance of winning the yardage wars.

    Just another slant on handicapping the Bowl contests. Add it to your arsenal and enjoy the games!

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    *** from here on down ..its just bowl trends ********

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games

    58-36-1, 61.7% since 1980


    PLAY AGAINST: BYU, Hawaii, West Virginia, Nevada,Auburn,
    PLAY ON: UTEP, Tulsa, NC State, BC, Oregon



    Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite 9-3, 75.0% since 1988

    PLAY AGAINST: BYU, Hawaii,
    PLAY ON: UTEP, Tulsa

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.

    Since 1996.....5-0 100%
    PLAY ON: UTAH

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Dogs in bowl games that won the previous year are 23-12 ats, including 15-3 ats vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year

    ** THOSE RECORDS ABOVE ARE PRIOR TO LAST YEARS RESULTS

    2008: 5-4 ATS
    2009: 5-2 ATS



    2010:

    Mid Tenn St. *
    Utah
    Wisconsin
    Navy *
    Virginia Tech
    Florida St. *
    Penn St.
    South Florida
    UCONN
    Arkansas
    Iowa *

    * denotes a team playing a team that won 8 or less games last year

    Leave a comment:


  • GOLDENGREEK
    replied
    Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

    1) Favs of 3.5< pts are 18-3 SU, 17-4 ATS ( 2-1 IN 2009)


    2010:

    LOUISVILLE - 3
    TROY - 3
    N.ILL - 1.5



    2) Totals of 63.5> pts are 12-3 OVER (avg score 82 ppg) ( 0-1 IN 2009)

    2010:

    OVER TULSA / HAWAII






    Bowls from 12/25 to 12/31:

    1) DD dogs are 17-3 ATS L20 ( 1-0 IN 2009 )

    2010:

    WASH + 14



    Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

    1) Favs are 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS L11 in LOWER TIER Bowl games



    2) MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )

    2010:

    FRESNO + 1.5
    TROY - 3
    FLORIDA INTER + 1.5
    MIDDLE TENN ST + 1

    Leave a comment:

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