BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARs

[GOLDENGREEK]

Sys #1 - Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31. 49-24 ATS L9 yrs

East Carolina +7.5
Arizona +5.5
Army +7
USF +4
UcF +7




Sys #2 - Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm. 17-1 ATS



None



Sys #3 - Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg. 17-2 ATS


Unknown



Sys #4 - Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10

None



Sys #5 - Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts. 14-0 SU,ATS

San Diego State -3
TCU -3
AUBURN -3



Sys #6 - Play Against FAVS of more than 6pts that won its last bowl gm, and not off 4 favored Wins vs opp not off conf RF SU win,ats Loss. 1-22 ATS

PLAY AGAINST:

Oklahoma -17
BYU
BOISE
MARYLAND
NEB
T.TECH
FLOR
ALA





Sys #7 - From 12/22 on, Play Against FAVS of 1.5 to 8.5pts, w/less than 43 days of rest off 3 wins and not an ATS loss of 8+pts in last gm vs opp not off shut-out W. 1-20 ATS


PLAY AGAINST:


AF
WV
TCU
STAN
OHIO ST
Mia OH
NEV
AUB



Sys #8 - Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins. 0-15 ATS

Couldn't find any




Sys # 9 - Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts. 17-1 ATS

Illinois +3
Northwestern + 9.5
IOWA +3




Sys #10- Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf. 13-37

UNDERS:

UTEP-BYU
No. Illinois-Fresno State
Ohio-Troy
Utah-Boise State
Navy-San Diego State
Tulsa-Hawaii
Florida Int.-Toledo
Army-SMU
Middle Tennessee-Miami (OH)

[GOLDENGREEK]

Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls
2009-010 record: 3-1: Wyoming +10 (W), SMU +11 (W), BC +7.5 (L), Stanford +10 (W)

Historical record: 57-28-3 (67%) since 1983; Z-factor 3.1
Current 2010-11 qualifiers:

UTEP +11.5
Utah +17
Tulsa +10
East Carolina +7.5*** WATCH THIS LINE
Army +8
Washington +14

[GOLDENGREEK]

Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents

2009-10 record: 5-2: Wyoming +10 (W), Marshall +3 (W), North Carolina +1 (L), Air Force +4.5 (W) Stanford +10 (W), Florida State +3 (W), Michigan State +9.5 (L)
Historical record: 70-36-2 (66%) since 1997; Z-factor 3.3
Current 2010-11 qualifiers:

Fresno State +1
Ohio +2.5
Utah +17
Navy +4.5
Georgia Tech +3
NC State +3
Illinois +1
Arizona +5
Kansas State +1
Washington +14
Notre Dame +3
Wisconsin +2.5
Arkansas +3.5
Texas A&M +1
Boston College +9.5

[GOLDENGREEK]

BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS


BOWL SYSTEM

BETTING AGAINST THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS
One of the easiest bowl systems around, is to go against the
team on which the current Heisman Trophy winner plays. Here are the results from the last 35 games in which the Heisman Winner played.

HEISMAN WINNER LINE RESULT
1974 SO CALIF 18 - Ohio State (Archie Griffin) 17 + 6½ WINNER
1975 UCLA 23 - Ohio State (Archie Griffin) 10 + 14 WINNER
1976 GEORGIA 3 - Pittsburgh (Tony Dorsett) 27 + 3½ Loser
1977 NOTRE DAME 38 - Texas (Earl Campbell) 10 + 6½ WINNER
1978 NEBRASKA 24 - Oklahoma (Billy Sims) 31 + 11 WINNER
1979 OHIO STATE 16 - So Calif (Charles White) 17 + 7½ WINNER
1980 PITTSBURGH 37 - So Caro (George Rogers) 9 - 10 WINNER
1981 PENN STATE 26 - So Calif (Marcus Allen) 10 + 2 WINNER
1982 PENN STATE 27 - Georgia (Herschel Walker) 23 - 4 Tie
1983 MIAMI (FLA) 31 - Nebraska (Mike Rozier) 30 + 11½ WINNER
1984 HOUSTON 28 - Boston College (Doug Flutie) 45 + 6 Loser
1985 TEXAS A&M 36 - Auburn (Bo Jackson) 16 + 2½ WINNER
1986 PENN STATE 14 - Miami (Vinnie Testaverde) 10 + 7 WINNER
1987 TEXAS A&M 35 - Notre Dame (Tim Brown ) 10 + 4½ WINNER
1988 WYOMING 14 - Okla St (Barry Sanders) 62 + 2½ Loser
1989 Houston (Andre Ware) did not go to a bowl.
1990 TEXAS A&M 65 - Byu (Ty Detmer) 14 + 3 WINNER
1991 WASHINGTON 34 - Mich (Desmond Howard) 14 - 6½ WINNER
1992 ALABAMA 34 - Miami (Gino Torretta) 13 + 8 WINNER
1993 NEBRASKA 16 - Florida St (Charlie Ward) 18 + 15½ WINNER
1994 NOTRE DAME 24 - Colorado (R. Salaam) 41 + 7½ Loser
1995 TENNESSEE 20 - Ohio State (Eddie George) 14 - 4 WINNER
1996 FLORIDA ST 20 - Florida (Danny Wuerffel) 52 + 3½ Loser
1997 WASH ST 16 - Michigan (Charles Woodson) 21 + 6 WINNER
1998 MISSISSIPPI ST 11 - Texas (Ricky Williams) 38 + 6½ Loser
1999 STANFORD 9 - Wisconsin (Ron Dayne) 17 + 13½ WINNER
2000 OKLAHOMA 13 - Florida State (Chris Weinke) 2 + 10 WINNER
2001 MIAMI-FLORIDA 37 - Nebraska (Eric Crouch) 14 - 8½ WINNER
2002 IOWA 17 - Southern California (Carson Palmer) 38 + 5 Loser
2003 LOUISIANA ST 21 - Oklahoma (Jason White) 14 + 5½ WINNER
2004 OKLAHOMA 19 - So California (Matt Leinart) 55 + 2 Loser
2005 TEXAS 41 - So California (Reggie Bush) 38 + 7 WINNER
2006 FLORIDA 41 - Ohio State (Troy Smith) 14 + 4 WINNER
2007 MICHIGAN 41 - Florida (Tim Tebow) 35 + 10½ WINNER
2008 FLORIDA 24 - Oklahoma (Sam Bradford) 14 +5 WINNER
2009 ALABAMA 37 ( Mark Ingram)- TEXAS 21 - 4 LOSER

RESULT: 25-9-1: 73.5% VS SPREAD


TAKE OREGON + 2.5

[GOLDENGREEK]

RUNNING DOG SYSTEM

STOLEN / BORROWED FROM THE ORIGINATOR OF THE SYSTEM

I'm pretty much going to follow the same formula as I did last year. ( 2007 ) We had an outstanding bowl season with the running dogs. The better running teams OVERALL in general were 22-10 SU and 23-9 ATS last year. But keep in mind that they aren't going to hit this well every year. In the 2006 bowl season the better running teams were 20-12 SU but only 18-14 ATS. So we have to be careful as we go, and to just remember that none of these Running Dogs are set in granite. The underdogs who had the better run numbers were 10-4 ATS last year. And 7-3 (71%) the season before. So that's why you really need to think hard before you go against a running dog


2007: 10-4 ATS
2008: 9-5 ATS
2009: 7-4 ATS

2010:

Ohio +1.5
Navy +5
FIU +1.5
Ga Tech +3
Iowa +1
Illinois +1.5
Syracuse +1
UCONN +17
MTSU +1.5
Texas A&M +1.5


Notre Dame, Michigan St, & Michigan's run numbers are very close to Miami, Alabama & Miss. St.




.

[GOLDENGREEK]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System

2007: 33-14 ATS
2008: 29-12 ATS
2009: 28-23 ATS



BROKEN DOWN BY SYSTEM:


2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record

THIS IS THE WEAKEST OF THE BUNCH

2007: 2-3 ATS
2008: 2-5 ATS
2009: 4-4-1 ATS


2010:

UTEP + 11.5
??....SYRACUSE PK ( OPENED AS A 3 POINT DOG )
NOTRE DAME + 3
NORTHWESTERN + 9.5
PENN ST + 7.5
FLORIDA ST + 3


3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:


2007: 19-7 ATS
2008: 12- 3 ATS
2009: 8-5 ATS


2010:

3 UNITS FRESNO ST + 1.5
3 UNITS UTAH + 17
3 UNITS FLOR INTER + 1.5
3 UNITS GTECH + 3
3 UNITS NC ST + 3
3 UNITS IOWA + 3
3 UNITS ECAR + 7
3 UNITS ILLINOIS + 1.5
3 UNITS ARIZONA + 5
3 UNITS TENN + 3
3 UNITS WASH + 14
3 UNITS MICH + 4.5
3 UNITS WISKY + 2
3 UNITS UCONN + 17
3 UNITS ARK + 3.5
3 UNITS MIDDLE TENN + 1
3 UNITS TEX A & M + 1
3 UNITS KENTUCKY + 3
3 UNITS BC + 9.5




5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units


2007: 10-2
2008: 8-1 OR 8-2
2009: 6-3


2010:

???? 5 UNITS TROY ON THE MONEYLINE ( OPENED AS A PICK )
5 UNITS LOUIVILLE ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS CLEMSON ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS GEORGIA ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS ALABAMA ON THE MONEYLINE
5 UNITS SD ST ON THE MONEYLINE


Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams

2007: 3-2 ATS
2008: 5-3 ATS
2009: 6-3 ATS


2010:

UTAH + 17
FLOR ST + 3
UCONN + 17
WISKY + 2
V TECH + 3
ARKANSAS + 3.5
TEX A & M + 1
OREGON + 2.5



Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams

2007: 3-0 ATS
2008: 1-1 ATS
2009: 2-3 ATS

2010:

ALABAMA -10



A team not Ranked as a dog to a Ranked Team:

2007: 6-0 ATS
2008: 2-0 ATS
2009: 1-3 ATS


2010:

BOSTON COLLEGE + 9.5
IOWA + 3
ARIZONA + 5
WASH + 14
MICHIGAN + 5
NC ST + 3
TULSA + 10.5



A team not Ranked that is a favorite over a Ranked Team

2007: 1-1 ATS
2008: 2-0 ATS
2009: 1-2 ATS

2010:

GEORGIA - 6.5


Teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year


2008: 6-2 ATS
2009: 6-7 ATS
2010:

[GOLDENGREEK]

These did well for three yrs in a row and fell off dramatically last year


decided to post them again because i was asked by a few members to do so



** caution / disclaimer ** :

Systems change each and every year

vegas is very aware of these systems and ajusts accordingly

use this only as a tool to our own handicapping - not a bible

last years results do not guarentee the same results this year !!!