BOWL SYSTEMS THAT KICKED ASS THE LAST FEW YRS(33-14 and 23-9 IN '07 / 29-12 IN '08)

[NoCashMcgraff]

yes, the main issue however, is that Bradford won the heisman...seeing as how that is what the system is..but we are splitting hairs here...bottom line...chalk 1 more W up for the system..

by the way..thanks a bunch for posting all of these systems GG...these are much appreciated..

[GOLDENGREEK]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System

2007: 33-14 ATS
2008: 29-12 ATS




BROKEN DOWN BY SYSTEM:


2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record

THIS IS THE WEAKEST OF THE BUNCH

2007: 2-3 ATS
2008: 2-5 ATS

2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record

THIS IS THE WEAKEST OF THE BUNCH

2007: 2-3 ATS
2008: 2-5 ATS

CENTRAL FLORIDA + 2.5
BOSTON COLLEGE + 9
WISKY + 3
IDAHO + 1.5
IOWA ST + 2.5
OHIO ST + 3.5
N.ILL + 6.5
UCONN + 4.5
TEXAS + 5

[GOLDENGREEK]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System

2007: 33-14 ATS
2008: 29-12 ATS








3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:

2007: 19-7 ATS
2008: 12- 3 ATS



5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units

2007: 10-2
2008: 8-1 OR 8-2





.

3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:

2007: 19-7 ATS
2008: 12- 3 ATS

Wyoming + 11
SMU + 15
Marshall + 21.5
North Carolina + 3
Kentucky + 7.5
Texas A&M + 7
Air Force + 4.5
Tennessee + 4.5
Florida State + 2.5
LSU + 2.5
Michigan State + 8
*Iowa + 4 ( IS 11-2 CONSIDERED A BETTER RECORD THAT 10-2 ? )
Troy + 3.5




5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units

2007: 10-2
2008: 8-1 OR 8-2


ALL MONEY LINE PLAYS:

So Mississippi
Oregon State
California
UCLA
OKLAHOMA
Auburn
Florida
Mississippi
Arkansas

*** ARIZONA -- IS 9-4 CONSIDERED A BETTER RECORD THAN 8-4 ?

** Missouri- -- IS 9-4 CONSIDERED A BETTER RECORD THAN 8-4 ?

[GOLDENGREEK]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System


Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams

2007: 3-2 ATS
2008: 5-3 ATS



.

North Carolina + 3
Boston College + 9
Wisconsin + 3
Tennessee + 4.5
Florida State + 2.5
OHIO ST + 3.5
Boise State + 7
IOWA + 4
TEXAS + 5



** NO IDEA WHAT TO DO WITH THESE:

Nebraska / ARIZ
PENN ST / LSU


4 POLLS

BCS:

ARZ # 20
NEBR # 22

AP:

NEB # 20
ARIZ # 22

USA TODAY:

NEB # 19
ARIZ # 23

ESPN:

ARIZ # 20
NEB # 21

SIMILAR THING WITH PENN ST AND LSU

[GOLDENGREEK]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System


Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams

2007: 3-0 ATS
2008: 1-1 ATS

Oregon State - 2.5
CAL - 3.5
OKLAHOMA - 8
FLORIDA - 11
OLE MISS - 3


AGAIN...** NO IDEA WHAT TO DO WITH THESE:

Nebraska / ARIZ
PENN ST / LSU

( SEE ABOVE)

[GOLDENGREEK]

moneyline / rankings etc.. System


a team not ranked as a dog to a ranked team:

2007: 6-0 ats
2008: 2-0 ats



.

n.carolina + 3
b.c + 9
tenn + 4.5
flor st + 2.5

[GOLDENGREEK]

moneyline / rankings etc.. System

a team not ranked that is a favorite over a ranked team

2007: 1-1 ats
2008: 2-0 ats



.

cal - 3.5
oklahoma -8
ole miss - 3

[ICD55]

I just finished the math for the Running Dog system for all the bowl games this morning. IF I did the math correctly, I came up with the following...

Central Florida
Wisconsin
Temple
Idaho
Air Force
Iowa State
Connecticut
Oklahoma State
Michigan State

I did all this work in an Excel Spreadsheet so the only thing I could have screwed up was the formula, but I think I understood it from last year's thread. A couple other games were real close. For example, BYU is 0.54 and Oregon State is 0.56, only a difference of 0.02, but BYU is smaller and getting the points, so by the letter is was a no play.

Scott

[GOLDENGREEK]

moneyline / rankings etc.. System


teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year


2008: 6-2 ats

top plays ( 3-0 )

cal
oklahoma
ole miss
north car
bost coll
tenn
fl st


2-0

org st
flor
ohio st
iowa
texas
wisky

[ICD55]

RUNNING DOG SYSTEM

STOLEN / BORROWED FROM THE ORIGINATOR OF THE SYSTEM

I'm pretty much going to follow the same formula as I did last year. ( 2007 ) We had an outstanding bowl season with the running dogs. The better running teams OVERALL in general were 22-10 SU and 23-9 ATS last year. But keep in mind that they aren't going to hit this well every year. [B]In the 2006 bowl season the better running teams were 20-12 SU but only 18-14 ATS[/B]. So we have to be careful as we go, and to just remember that none of these Running Dogs are set in granite. The underdogs who had the better run numbers were 10-4 ATS last year. And 7-3 (71%) the season before. So that's why you really need to think hard before you go against a running dog.



2007: 10-4 ATS
2008: 9-5 ATS




.

According to the BettorsChat archives, the Running Dogs were 7-3 in 2006 so you can add that to our history.

[GOLDENGREEK]

RUNNING DOG SYSTEM

STOLEN / BORROWED FROM THE ORIGINATOR OF THE SYSTEM

I'm pretty much going to follow the same formula as I did last year. ( 2007 ) We had an outstanding bowl season with the running dogs. The better running teams OVERALL in general were 22-10 SU and 23-9 ATS last year. But keep in mind that they aren't going to hit this well every year. [B]In the 2006 bowl season the better running teams were 20-12 SU but only 18-14 ATS[/B]. So we have to be careful as we go, and to just remember that none of these Running Dogs are set in granite. The underdogs who had the better run numbers were 10-4 ATS last year. And 7-3 (71%) the season before. So that's why you really need to think hard before you go against a running dog.


2006: 7-3 ATS
2007: 10-4 ATS
2008: 9-5 ATS




.

THANK U ICD55 FOR THE HELP

MUCH APPRECIATTED

WE ARE VERY CLOSE !!


C. FLORIDA
TEMPLE
WISKY
IDAHO
AIR FORCE
IOWA ST
N.ILL
UCONN
MICH ST
IOWA

MIDDLE TN ST ( THIS ONE IS TIED BUT MID TENN ST IS A DOG)

[GOLDENGREEK]

I just finished the math for the Running Dog system for all the bowl games this morning. IF I did the math correctly, I came up with the following...

Central Florida
Wisconsin
Temple
Idaho
Air Force
Iowa State
Connecticut
Oklahoma State
Michigan State

I did all this work in an Excel Spreadsheet so the only thing I could have screwed up was the formula, but I think I understood it from last year's thread. A couple other games were real close. For example, BYU is 0.54 and Oregon State is 0.56, only a difference of 0.02, but BYU is smaller and getting the points, so by the letter is was a no play.

Scott

THESE ARE OUR DIFFRENCES:

YOU HAVE OKIE ST....I DONT

I HAVE IOWA, N.ILL , AND MIDD TENN ST ( WHICH WAS TIED ) YOU DONT

CAN YOU TELL ME WHAT YOUR NUMBERS ARE

HERE ARE MINE:

Ole Miss +0.17 difference
IOWA + 0.1 diffrence
N.ILL + 0.4 diffrence
Mid tenn st - 0

[GOLDENGREEK]

bucking the heisman winner in the bowls


bucking the heisman winner in the bowls


bowl system

betting against the heisman winner in the bowls
one of the easiest bowl systems around, is to go against the
team on which the current heisman trophy winner plays. Here are the results from the last 35 games in which the heisman winner played.

Heisman winner line result
1974 so calif 18 - ohio state (archie griffin) 17 + 6½ winner
1975 ucla 23 - ohio state (archie griffin) 10 + 14 winner
1976 georgia 3 - pittsburgh (tony dorsett) 27 + 3½ loser
1977 notre dame 38 - texas (earl campbell) 10 + 6½ winner
1978 nebraska 24 - oklahoma (billy sims) 31 + 11 winner
1979 ohio state 16 - so calif (charles white) 17 + 7½ winner
1980 pittsburgh 37 - so caro (george rogers) 9 - 10 winner
1981 penn state 26 - so calif (marcus allen) 10 + 2 winner
1982 penn state 27 - georgia (herschel walker) 23 - 4 tie
1983 miami (fla) 31 - nebraska (mike rozier) 30 + 11½ winner
1984 houston 28 - boston college (doug flutie) 45 + 6 loser
1985 texas a&m 36 - auburn (bo jackson) 16 + 2½ winner
1986 penn state 14 - miami (vinnie testaverde) 10 + 7 winner
1987 texas a&m 35 - notre dame (tim brown ) 10 + 4½ winner
1988 wyoming 14 - okla st (barry sanders) 62 + 2½ loser
1989 houston (andre ware) did not go to a bowl.
1990 texas a&m 65 - byu (ty detmer) 14 + 3 winner
1991 washington 34 - mich (desmond howard) 14 - 6½ winner
1992 alabama 34 - miami (gino torretta) 13 + 8 winner
1993 nebraska 16 - florida st (charlie ward) 18 + 15½ winner
1994 notre dame 24 - colorado (r. Salaam) 41 + 7½ loser
1995 tennessee 20 - ohio state (eddie george) 14 - 4 winner
1996 florida st 20 - florida (danny wuerffel) 52 + 3½ loser
1997 wash st 16 - michigan (charles woodson) 21 + 6 winner
1998 mississippi st 11 - texas (ricky williams) 38 + 6½ loser
1999 stanford 9 - wisconsin (ron dayne) 17 + 13½ winner
2000 oklahoma 13 - florida state (chris weinke) 2 + 10 winner
2001 miami-florida 37 - nebraska (eric crouch) 14 - 8½ winner
2002 iowa 17 - southern california (carson palmer) 38 + 5 loser
2003 louisiana st 21 - oklahoma (jason white) 14 + 5½ winner
2004 oklahoma 19 - so california (matt leinart) 55 + 2 loser
2005 texas 41 - so california (reggie bush) 38 + 7 winner
2006 florida 41 - ohio state (troy smith) 14 + 4 winner
2007 michigan 41 - florida (tim tebow) 35 + 10½ winner
2008 florida 24 - oklahoma (sam bradford) 14 +5 winner


result: 25-8-1: 73.5% vs spread

you would bet texas + 5

[ICD55]

I have the following final numbers

Middle Tenn. St 0.86 (dog)
Southern Miss 1.03

Iowa 0.39 (dog)
Georgia Tech 0.61

Northern Ill. 0.65 (dog)
South Florida 0.69

Okie State 1.64 (dog)
Mississippi 1.48

Wish I could cut and paste part of the spreadsheet here to show the math to see why we differ. I'll post more details of one game we differ to what is going on.

Thanks for all your hard work!

[mavskidd02]

top plays ( 3-0 )

cal
oklahoma
ole miss
north car
bost coll
tenn
fl st


2-0

org st
flor
ohio st
iowa
texas
wisky

Are these also NOT in confliction with the Running Dog System? And are they also factored in with agreement to the running dog system?