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NBA Week 7 thread (46-27, +$2305 on the year)...

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  • #61
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    Early looks at Friday's games:

    New Jersey at Toronto: No total posted...Richard Jefferson and Nenad Kristic are questionable for NJ...Chris Bosh is questionable for Toronto...NJ had been 1-9-1 ATS until winning and Covering their last 2...They may be on the verge of another December winning streak like last season...The Raptors have become an Under team and a stone-under team with Bosh out of the lineup...TOR Under 6 straight and 11 of 13...This is already an Under series h2h as 16 of the last 21 have gone Under between these 2 teams...TOR 5-2 at Home with Bosh and 0-1 without him...NJ 14-7 SU and 12-7-2 ATS vs. Toronto those last 21 games, too...

    New York at Indiana: Steve Francis expected to miss for NY...14 of the last 21 have gone Over in this h2h series...Indy won by 14 at NY on 11/4...Could Indy be looking ahead here to a grudge-match vs. Utah on Sunday?...NY 7-3 ATS on the Road this season, yet Indy is 7-2 ATS at Home...I will use the look-ahead for Indy here and lean to NY...

    Miami at Washington: Dwayne Wade is doubtful for Miami...Etan Thomas is expected to miss for Washington...If there was EVER a chance for the Wiz to end their 16-game losing streak (12-3-1 ATS) to Miami (including playoff games), tonight would be the night as SHAQ and Wade will be in street clothes...MIA has won 30 of the last 35 (21-13-1 ATS), too, for good measure...10-point chalk, though?...WAS has won and covered 4 of 5 and MIA has Covered 8 of their last 9...I can see this Wiz team saying, "Heck, let's take out our frustrations tonight on this Miami team", but at the same token, I would view this as a slight let-down spot for WASH off a 29-point win vs. the Nuggets at Home last time out, shooting 50% for the game...The Under has gone 22-14-1 the last 37 in this h2h series and 4 of the last 5 h2h have gone Under at WAS...

    Denver at Boston: Joe Smith is questionable for Denver...The Nuggets have suddenly gone flat on this Road Trip...They were unimpressive at ATL, but a huge late 3Q and early 4Q run gave them a come-from-behind win there, but against WAS, they had a dismal 2H, scoring just 40 points and being outscored by 17 in that half en route to a 29-point loss...DEN has won and Covered 3 of the last 4 in this h2h series...After a NC5, BOS has a C3, winning all 3...Ok, all 3 were their weak sisters of the atlantic Division, but hey...DEN has won 5 straight front-end of bk-2-bks this season (5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS overall in this spot)...BOS is 1-4 against the West and DEN is 8-4 vs. the East...

    Seattle at Cleveland: Earl Watson is questionable for Seattle...The Sonics were 8-1-1 ATS on the Road before losing and Not Covering at CHI last time out without Ray Allen and Watson...SEA playing their 6th game without Allen now and 3rd straight on the Road, but the loss of Watson can be big, too...CLE a mediocre 5-7 ATS at Home...Not a lot sticking out in this one, but SEA is 4-1 to the Under w/o Allen and Under both Road games w/o him...

    Philadelphia at Dallas: Jerry Stackhouse is doubtful and Anthony Johnson is questionable for Dallas...Philly is just brutal right now...Losing 9 straight...Can Dallas get motivated for this one?...Philly goes to San Antonio on Saturday...Morale cannot be very hight in that locker room with the losing streak and the Iverson mess...DAL off a nice win vs. the Lakers...This will be their 5th straight game with 1 day of rest and at times, the Mavs, especially at Home, can get on a roll...I am a Dog Player in the NBA but Dallas looks tempting here...Philly 3 straight Unders now and DAL had been Under 5 straight and 11 of 13 before this Over with the Lakers...So chart-play to the Over...

    Atlanta at Memphis: No total posted...Joe Johnson is doubtful for Atlanta...The Hawks have not really been close to Covering a game without Johnson...4 losses and a NC4 their last 4 games...After a C6, the Grizz have Covered just once in their last 8 and also have a NC4...There have been 4 straight Unders in this h2h series and MEMP has won 6 straight (3-3 ATS) h2h...ATL 2-5 vs. the West and MEMP 4-7 vs. the East...

    Milwaukee at Chicago: P.J. Brown is doubtful for Chicago...CHI buried this team by 25 back on 11/6, also at Home...Bulls 7-2-1 their last 10 overall and MILW, after a NC5 and then Covering 5 of 6, is on a NC3...I am not seeing much here at all at first blush, so when in doubt, I take the points...6 of the last 9 h2h have gone Under...

    Sacramento at Utah: Maurice Taylor is expected to miss for SAC...How good is Utah right now and how bad is Sacramento right now?...Ron Artest's middle name might be Cancer, who knows, because they seem to have some talent there, but are not winning, and it seems like whenever I do have Kings games on, I see him putting up some bad shots...SAC has won just 1 of their last 7...On the flip side, Deron Williams has been awesome for Utah...He worked out with John Stockton this past summer and in fact, he stayed at his house, and although Stockton wants no credit whatsoever for the way Williams is playing this season, he must have had an impact...And it is amazing what Carlos Boozer can do in the paint when he is healthy...The Jazz beat this team on 11/22 at SAC 110-101, normally I might say this is a bit of a revenge spot, but I don't know if the kings are good enough to exact any kind of revenge against this Jazz team...SAC hosts PHOE on Saturday, so life doesn't get any asier for them in the rugged Western Conference...SAC has Covered 5 of the last 8 vs. Utah for whatever that is worth...

    Golden State at Phoenix: Troy Murphy is expected to miss for GS...last year, covering twice...A 30-point blowout 2 days at DC created an Under there and if PHOE is killing GS, that will probably lead to an Under and that certainly could happen here...GS has only played 4 Away games in the last 18 contests...However, those 4 Roadies all went Over and they went Over by an aggregate total of roughly 104 points, which is about 26 per game...But some people will say that the injuries to Jason Richardson and Troy Murphy will prevent this game from getting near a total like that...Well, the Rockets put up a season-high 96 shots last night at GS, so these GS subs certainl are not slowing things down...GS had a 208 in a 28-point blowout at Houston last week and now 216 against the Rockets last night...Is it a stretch for GS to reach 230 against Phoenix??...I liken this matchup to the GS/DEN matchups that hit 227 and 269 in a home-and-home series on 11/22 & 11/24...PHOE has 3 straight Unders for the first time all season...I don't see this streak hitting 4 against a wide-open, gun-slinging GS squad...PHOE has won 12 straight...GS has Covered 7 of the last 10 h2h...These 2 teams met on 11/20 and GS, without Baron Davis, covered that game and it did go Over the 218.5 total with a 223...But, GS was not yet a Stone Over team at that point of the season as the Warriors had just 4 Overs in 10 games to that point of the season...Including that meeting, GS has gone Over 11 of 13...GS has gone Over their last 2 back-enders after going Under their first 3...PHOE is 3-0 SU & ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not and 2 of those games went Over...GS 1-3 SU & 2-2 ATS in back-enders this season...

    LA Clippers at Portland: No total posted...Sam Cassell and Corey Maggette are questionable for LAC...Brandon Roy is questionable for Porltlande...The Clips started out great this season at 5-1 and were being touted as an elite team in this Western Conference, and since PHOE started slow at 1-5, the Clips were being named as the team to challenge SA and Dallas for Western Conference supremacy...Oh, what a difference 5 weeks make...The Clips are now under .500 and tied for 10th in the Western Conference and many are now saying they will not even make the playoffs this season...They need to get healthy first, and then need to start playing better...Utah just embarrassed them at Staples last time out by 19...The Clips now go on the Road to PORT, where they carry with them their 1-7 Road record, although they did win their last Roadie very unimpressively at struggling Memphis...PORT has not been bad at Home at 4-6 SU...The Clips have won 5 straight vs. PORT including a 102-89 victory at Staples on 11/6...The Clips have been buried 3 of their last 4 games with that MEMP win sandwiched in the middle...PORT just finished a 6-game Road trip so we all know what this means when a team is playing their first Home game after an extended Road trip...PORT just 1-day's rest for this one, too...Been a bit of an Under series h2h, with 8 of the last 11 going Under...

    Houston at LA Lakers: No total posted...Tracy McGrady doubtful for Houston...Lamar Odom is Out for the Lakers...Quick revenge spot here for Houston, but the problem is they played last night and won without TMAC at GS, while the Lakers had the night off and are coming off a loss at Dallas...The h2h series is 19-9 to the Over the alst 28 and 8 of the last 11 have gone Over h2h in the regular season...Lalkers are 12-3 and 10-4-1 ATS at Home this season and they won and Covered against the Clips in a "Road game" also at Staples...Lakers have won 7 and Covered 8 of the last 10 vs. Hosuton h2h...LAL 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS when they have rest and their opponents do not...HOU is 2-3 ATS and 3-2 to the Over on back-enders this season...

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    Comment


    • #62
      no rest for the wicked...brewer is capping while we are all sleeping !!!! thanks brew

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      • #63
        Thanks for the writeups bud! Good luck tonight!
        5* 0-0
        4* 0-0
        3* 1-0
        2* 1-0
        1* 0-1


        God Bless America




        To win :1* unit = $100

        Comment


        • #64
          A lot of games today, but this board is uninteresting and tough for me...I may pass on everything esle and wait for tomorrow...

          Pau Gasol has been cleared to play for MEMP and Jerry Stackhouse may play tonight for DAL...

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          Friday, December 15

          Golden State/Phoenix, 1Q, over 59.5 -- $115 to win $100 --- (or GS/Phoe, 1Q, over 59.5 @1.870, 1/10, 5dimes)

          I will pass on the 1H Over because PHOE has been back in that style where they fly Over in the 1Q and then slow down in the 2Q when Nash sits for several minutes...These 2 teams had 62 in the 1Q with no Baron Davis on 11/20...That 1H total just has no value for me, while this one seems to be the better bet of the two...This will be a super-fast pace out of the gate...It may slow down at some point, depends if PHOE is killing them by 30 or not...

          Denver/Boston, 1Q, over 54 -- $110 to win $100 --- (or GDen/Bos, 1Q, over 54 @1.909, 1/10, Pinnacle)

          Denver has still been fast out of the gate in the 1Q, and Boston has been, too, and since I would compare the Denver offense to the Phoenix offense, well, PHOE was at BOS on 12/8 and they had a 68-point 1Q, so I am looking for more of the same here...Pace may slow down afterwards, but I look for a run-and-gun 1Q, just like Denver had at WAS last time out...

          Good Luck...brewers7
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          Comment


          • #65
            gl brewers7, appreciate the write-ups!

            NCAA Hoops 14-14-1 -2.35 units NFL 2-1 +1 unit
            NBA 6-7-1 -2.32 units NHL 10-4-1 +3.95 units
            MLB 6-7-1 -2.95u WNBA 1-0 +1u. NCAAF 3-1 +1.5 u

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            • #66
              Good Luck And Thanks For The Reads...b7
              THE ART OF BEING WISE IS THE ART OF KNOWING WHAT TO OVERLOOK...

              Comment


              • #67
                Thanx and GL guys...

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                Friday's Picks for tracking purposes:

                Sides:

                1) LAC, 2) Dal, 3) NJ, 4) Milw, 5) GS, 6) Sac, 7) Den 8) Memp, 9) Sea, 10) NY, 11) LAL, 12) mia

                Totals:

                1) GS ov, 2) NJ un, 3) Den ov, 4) Memp un, 5) NY ov, 6) Dal un, 7) Milw un, 8) LAC un, 9) LAL ov, 10) Sac ov, 11) Sea un, 12) Mia un

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                Comment


                • #68
                  Good luck my friend!
                  5* 0-0
                  4* 0-0
                  3* 1-0
                  2* 1-0
                  1* 0-1


                  God Bless America




                  To win :1* unit = $100

                  Comment


                  • #69
                    Bump, hoping for some NBA love

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      I'll update records later or tomorrow, pressed for time slightly...

                      I do have at least 3 other bets coming in the next 45 minutes on the later games...

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                      Saturday, December 16

                      Denver/New York, 1Q, over 55 -- $57 to win $50 --- (or Den/NY, 1Q, over 59.5 @1.870, .5/10, 5dimes)

                      This is a "brewers7 had the Denver 1Q over one night too early" trend...Denver didn't decide to start scoring at Boston last night until there was 2:30 left in the 1Q, and then they were scoring just fine...These 2 teams scored 64 in the 1Q at Denver and the Knicks have been scoring a lot more in the 1Q in recent games (against higher octane offenses)...Have to take a shot here with this one...

                      Good Luck...brewers7
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                      Saturday's Picks for tracking purposes:

                      Sides:

                      1) Min, 2) Chi, 3) Sac, 4) Den, 5) Memp, 6) Char, 7) SA, 8) NO, 9) Orl, 10) Det

                      Totals:

                      1) Sac ov, 2) Det un, 3) SA un, 4) Chi ov, 5) Char ov, 6) Orl ov, 7) Min un, 8) Den ov, 9) NO un, 10) Memp un

                      ================================================== ======================

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        Good luck buddy!
                        5* 0-0
                        4* 0-0
                        3* 1-0
                        2* 1-0
                        1* 0-1


                        God Bless America




                        To win :1* unit = $100

                        Comment


                        • #72
                          Additional bets:

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                          Saturday, December 16

                          Phoenix/Sacramento over 217 -- $159 to win $150 --- (or Pho/Sac over 217 @1.943, 1.5/10, Pinnacle)

                          Phoenix/Sacramento, 1Q, over 55 -- $167 to win $150 --- (or Pho/Sac, 1Q, over 55 @1.909, 1.5/10, 5dimes)

                          Phoenix/Sacramento, 1H, over 109 -- $106 to win $100 --- (or Pho/Sac, 1H, over 109 @1.943, 1/10, Pinnacle)


                          This is another "brewers7 had the Phoenix 1Q and Game total over one night too early" trend...There were 189 shots put up last night at PHOE, so the pace was fine for a 240, but there were more bricks put up there than you can find in a chimney...GS shot 40% and PHOE shot 43%...These 3 teams are Over 3 straight and 5 of 6 H2h...They had a 70-point 1Q just over a week ago on 12/6 in PHOE, and that game total was a 229 in a 27-point blowout for PHOE...I don't see any defense here, and it should be wide open...SAC should shoot better tonight than they did last night at Utah (40%)...PHOE should also shoot better tonight...Raja Bell was 1-for-10 from 3-point range last night...Marion was 0-4 from rey-land and 7-for-16 overall and Barbosa was 4-for-13 from the field last night...For SAC, Kevin Martin was 2-for-12 last night and Artest was 3-for-9, so they should also bounce back with this PHOE defense...I feel this total is a little low...PHOE 5-1 to the Over and SAC 4-1 to the Over on back-end of bk-2-bks this season...PHOE's only Under came at ORL and ORL a big Under team...PHOE Under 4 straight now after not having more than 2 Unders in a row all season and this won't go on much longer...

                          Minnesota Timberwolves -2 -- $206 to win $200 --- (or Minny -2 hcp @1.971, 2/10, Pinnacle)

                          This is one of the three 4-games-in-5-days trends for tonight and I feel this is the strongest out of the 3...Minny is 3-1 SU & ATS when they have rest and their opponents do not...MILW is 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks this season...Minny is 12-2 & 9-4-1 ATS against MILW the last 14 meetings...Only 2 MILW wins were at Home and they were the last 2 trips in for Minny...The T'Wolves playing well, though and were beating SA last time out for most of the game before not scoring for more than 6 minutes in the 4Q when SA took over the game...The 4-of-5 Home-team trend off to a slow start this year while the 4-of-5 Away Team trend off to a fast start this season, but the 4-of-5 Home Team trend is generally stronger...The situational spot here points to Minnesota...


                          Good Luck...brewers7
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                          Comment


                          • #73
                            With you on them my friend, good luck tonight!
                            5* 0-0
                            4* 0-0
                            3* 1-0
                            2* 1-0
                            1* 0-1


                            God Bless America




                            To win :1* unit = $100

                            Comment


                            • #74
                              Brewers, with you on all th elate action. Even picked those myself. Let's win some cash!

                              Comment


                              • #75
                                Need 121 points in 2nd half of Sac game. Very do-able.

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