NBA Week 7 thread (46-27, +$2305 on the year)...

[vinnyvegas]

Yep, 1Q & 1st H are WINNERS...

[molta02]

now we need the game over too....... nice work as always

[TwoTonTony]

thank you brewer7....I really have no idea and am merely guessing when it comes to NBA....You have put me in the black for the 1st time in NBA...thanks once again

[garth]

Damn, I missed that qtr and half play. Thanks for all the winners, brewer. Keep em coming!

[brewers7]

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Early looks at Thursday's games:

Orlando at Charlotte: Keith Bogans and Jameer Nelson are questionable and grant Hill is expected to miss for Orlando...The Magic have suddenly lost 4 of 5 and CHAR suddenly got healthy as they are a completely different team with Brevin Knight in the lineup...Coach Bernie Bickerstaff also moved Adam Morrison back to coming off the bench and that seemed to help as the shooting slump ended with a 7-for-17 night and team-high 16 points for the Bobcats in a close loss at CLE last night, 104-101...Jameer Nelson did not play last night for Orlando, and although Carlos Arroyo filled in nicely with 22 points in 28 minutes, ORL probably suffered those 20 minutes when Arroyo was not out there...This will be the trap of the day as 87% of the early bets are on Orlando here...But before we go dumping entire bankrolls on the Magic, keep in mind that Hill won't play and Nelson is questionable, keep in mind that Knight is back and CHAR is healthy, and also keep in mind that the Bobcats have won 3 of the 4 h2h neetings with the Magic at CHAR...

Orlando handled the Bobcats easily enough at ORL on 11/18 with a 97-83 win, but it was a let-down spot for CHAR off their upset win at SA their previous game...Also keep in mind that Hill, Nelson and Hedo Turkoglu all played for Orlando in that game and Knight did NOT play for the Bobcats in that loss...As the Swede has told me many times before, a wealth of information can be found in NBA boxscores, all you gotta do is look at them...I looked, and I graciously pass this info on to you...ORL hasn't covered 5 straight overall and 7 of 8...CHAR is 2-2 SU & ATS and ORL is 1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS when they and their opponent are both playing the back-end of bk-2-bks...This smells like an upset...As far as the total goes, ORL continues to be an Under machine, now going Under 6 straight and are also 16-3-1 to the Under their last 20...CHAR may be hitting another chart-play to the Over, which makes perfect sense with Knight back, as the Bobcats had gone Under 5 straight, then Over 5 straight, then Under 4 straight and now the easy Over last night...ORL is 3rd and CHAR is 4th in the league in FG% allowed...

San Antonio at New Orleans: Bobby Jackson, David West & Peja Stoyakovic are all Out for NO...The Hornets have become a bit unpredictable now with 3 of their top 4 scorers injured and Out as long as they have been...NO is 6th and SA is 11th in the league in FG% allowed, so on the surface, this looks like a stone Under...They played 2 stone Unders last season at NO (ok, Oklahoma City) with totals of 165 & 152...3 of the 4 h2h meetings last season went Under...This is the second 4-games-in-5-days situational trend spot for SA this season...Spurs laying 7 here, yet they were only 6.5 chalk their first in this spot on 11/5 at MSG against the Knicks, so are you telling me the Knicks are better than the Hornets?...Maybe with the injuries, I guess...The Spurs were 1-1 ATS last season in their 4th game in 5 days, but 1-0 ATS on the Road and 0-1 ATS at Home and that's the way the trend is supposed to work...The Spurs are 8-3 ATS their last 11 occurrences when they were playing their 4th game in 5 days with that 4th game being on the Road and are actually 2-1 ATS during this same span when their 4th game in 5 days is at Home...

Now we have that trend that just came to a crashing halt just 3 days ago and that's the one where SA was 1-13 SU and 0-14 ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks against .500 teams or better...And NO is .500...The Spurs ended that 0-14 ATS streak in resounding fashion at Staples vs. the Clips by obliterating LAC by 22...

Back to the 4-of-5 trend for the 2006-07 season...There have been 14 occurrences this season where the Away Team was playing their 4th game in 5 nights and the Home Team has been rested and the Away Team is 10-4 ATS this season...The Spurs have won and Covered 3 straight and 5 of 6 h2h vs, NO...The last h2h meetings have gone Under...

Houston at Golden State: Tracy McGrady is doubtful for Houston...Troy Murphy is questionable and Jason Richardson is Out for GS...There was a time when the Rockets LOVED coming to GS...From April 2nd of 1996 through March 21 of 2003, Houston had won 15 consecutive meetings at GS, Covering 10...Since then GS has managed to win 3 of 6, although HOU has won the last 2...Since TMAC probably won't play, this game becomes less predictable although GS would seem to have the edge as Nellie may employ tactics like he used to do when he coached Milwaukee in the early 1980s when he played Philly and Moses Malone, where he had 3 Centers use 18 fouls hammering Malone all game long...Does he try this with Ming?...He will undoubtedly pack the zone in tight to try and neutralize Ming and make HOU burn them from the outside...Could be a rare GS Under here, although HOU has gone Over 2 straight, while GS has gone Over 10 of 12...Cannot overlook a quick and big revenge spot here as the Rockets throttled GS by 28 on 12/5/06, but TMAC poured in 31...This could be a payback spot for the Warriors...That game at HOU was a 208, but TMAC played with those 31 points...

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[drugstuntman]

Damn, I missed that qtr and half play. Thanks for all the winners, brewer. Keep em coming!

me too...what the hell happened to denver in the 4th quarter...??? that should have cashed with ease after all those points in the 1st half

[jmarty6969]

carmello got tired of shooting and guido paid him more money then we did bastages

[bwade210]

Thanks for the 3-1 night B7, congratulations on your run and good luck tonight my friend!

[brewers7]

Sorry for the wait, but waited for the juice to get to a plus and it just did, plus I am doing NHL...

================================================== ======================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ======================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== ======================
Preseason posted plays: 9-3-1
================================================== ======================
Season To Date: 51-28, +$2656

Sides: 24-12, +$1448, Totals: 15-12, +$449, 1H bets: 2-1, +$96, 2H bets: 3-1, +$193, ML: 2-2, +$69, Quarters: 5-0, +$401

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Thursday, December 14

Golden State Warriors -4 -- $100 to win $100 --- (or GS -4 hcp @2.000, 1/10, Pinnacle)

Pulling it back tonight...I will keep this short...Payback...I simply cannot overlook a quick and big revenge spot here as the Rockets throttled GS by 28 on 12/5/06...But Tracy McGrady poured in 31 in that game and is doubtful tonight...Troy Murphy and Jason Richardson being Out does hurt, but GS did just fine with didivsion rival SAC last time out, beating them by 13...I expect Nellie to pack it in tight with a zone on Yao Ming and let guys like Shane Battier and Luther Head beat them from the outside...But the revenge angle from a blowout is something I cannot ignore here...

Good Luck...brewers7
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Thursday's Picks for tracking purposes:

Sides:

1) GS, 2) Char, 3) SA

Totals:

1) SA un, 2) GS un, 3) Char ov

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Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
================================================== ======================
Recent Results:
Yesterday: 3-1 (+$1)
Last 3 days: 5-1 (+$351)
Last 7 days: 9-4 (+$528)
================================================== ======================
Database sample links: http://www.tricountyleague.com/TeamSample.xls
http://www.tricountyleague.com/SeasonBySeasonSample.xls
================================================== ======================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Bet with your head, not over it...Stay humble…Act professional…
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[SACPAC]

good luck b7..thanks for the winner's...

[TCB in a Flash]

gl b7!

[sicairos]

Gl!

[bwade210]

Good luck my friend!

[drugstuntman]

thanks brewer, let's get a late night winner here

[brewers7]

Big card again, there will be more...

================================================== ======================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ======================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== ======================
Preseason posted plays: 9-3-1
================================================== ======================
Season To Date: 51-29, +$2556

Sides: 24-13, +$1348, Totals: 15-12, +$449, 1H bets: 2-1, +$96, 2H bets: 3-1, +$193, ML: 2-2, +$69, Quarters: 5-0, +$401

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Friday, December 15

Golden State/Phoenix over 230 -- $100 to win $102 --- (or GS/Phoe over 230 @2.020, 1/10, Pinnacle)

Juice fluctuating on this one a bit...Thought about pounding this but cannot after seeing what happened at Wasington DC 2 days ago...A warning that a 30-point blowout will lead to an Under and that certainly could happen here...GS has only played 4 Away games in the last 18 contests...However, those 4 Roadies all went Over and they went Over by an aggregate total of roughly 104 points, which is about 26 per game...But some people will say that the injuries to Jason Richardson and Troy Murphy will prevent this game from getting near a total like that...Well, the Rockets put up a season-high 96 shots last night at GS, so these GS subs certainl are not slowing things down...GS had a 208 in a 28-point blowout at Houston last week and now 216 against the Rockets last night...Is it a stretch for GS to reach 230 against Phoenix??...I liken this matchup to the GS/DEN matchups that hit 227 and 269 in a home-and-home series on 11/22 & 11/24...PHOE has 3 straight Unders for the first time all season...I don't see this streak hitting 4 against a wide-open, gun-slinging GS squad...

Good Luck...brewers7
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Friday's Picks for tracking purposes:

pending...

================================================== ======================
Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
================================================== ======================
Recent Results:
Yesterday: 0-1 (-$100)
Last 3 days: 4-2 (+$51)
Last 7 days: 7-5 (+$263)
================================================== ======================
Database sample links: http://www.tricountyleague.com/TeamSample.xls
http://www.tricountyleague.com/SeasonBySeasonSample.xls
================================================== ======================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Bet with your head, not over it...Stay humble…Act professional…
================================================== ======================