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Early looks at Monday's games:
Portland at Philadelphia: Zach Randolph probable for Portland...Philly hasn't exactly shined at Home in this h2h series, winning just twice in their last 7 meetings...6 of the last 9 in this h2h series have gone Under...As hard as it is for NBA teams to win 10 in a row, it is also hard for teams to lose 10 in a row and the Sixers are getting close to that losing 7 straight and 11 of 12...This is the first game all season for Philly where they have rest and their opponent does not...PORT is 2-3 SU & ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks this season...PORT 0-1 SU & ATS in their 5th game in 7 days, but that was against the Spurs...This is the 5th game of a 6-game Road trip for PORT...PORT Under 3 of 4 during the Road trip and I wonder about Philly getting some Unders now without Iverson...
Phoenix at Orlando: Keith Bogans is questionable for Orlando...How hot is PHOE?...10 staright wins now...This is their 4th game of a 5-game roadie...This is their 4th game in 5 days...They were 3-1 ATS in this situational spot last season, losing their first occurrence, just like this season, as they are 0-1 in this spot...These teams have played 5 straight Overs h2h...PHOE did their part last night to keep a 4-game Over streak going, but CHAR didn't cooperate...The Suns are just rolling right now...But one might ask who have they beaten?...Out of the 10 wins, just ONE came against a team with a current record above .500...3 of the teams were above .500 at the time the Suns played them, but the Suns are beating up on some of the weak sisters of the East during this stretch...The 4-of-5 trend for the Away Team where the Home Team is rested has been strong this season, going 9-4 ATS...But I am conflicted here on the Side and the Total...The public will pound the crap out of PHOE here...I also wonder if ORL was looking ahead to PHOE when they were sleepwalking during the Philly game...Another problem for ORL is that they are 2-4 ATS this season when they have rest and their opponents do not, but they are 4-2 SU and 4-1 SU in this spot at Home...ORL is 4-1 ATS last 5 vs. PHOE but PHOE has won 3 of the last 4 SU h2h...PHOE was 5-4 SU & ATS in he 5th game in 7 days last season, but a curious antdote to that stat I notices is that PHOE was 8-1 ATS on the 1st-half line in those 9 games...I cannot bet against this 4-of-5 trend when a good team is in this spot, but I wonder if ORL pulls off the upset and I wonder, despite the h2h series pointing to the Over, if this game stays Under as ORL is Under 4 straight, 8 of 9 and are 14-3-1 to the under their last 18...However, the conflicting trends continue as PHOE is 5-0 to the Over this season on the back-end of bk-2-bks...
Memphis at New Jersey: Lawrence Roberts is questionable for Memphis...How bad is NJ right now?...Are they just going to turn on the light switch like last season and start a 10-gae winning streak in mid-DEC and then a 14-game win streak in March to get "where they should be" in the standings?...MEMP has won and covered 6 of the last 8 in this h2h series...7 of the last 10 Under h2h...NJ just 1-9-1 ATS their last 11, winning just twice...After a C6, MEMP has covered just once in their last 6...
Toronto at Miami: No total posted...Chris Bosh is out for Toronto...Gary Payton and Jason Williams are questionable for Miami...Line looks high but it has been adjusted for the Bosh injury...MIA 3-6 at Home, but TOR 2-10 SU on the Road, but are 7-5 ATS on the Road and 7-2 ATS their last 9 Road games...Chart-play for sure against MIA as they had a C6 and now did Not Cover their last time out...Plus we have the first Home game after a after a Road trip spot...TOR 2-1 ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks and MIA is playing their first game of the season when they have rest and their opponent does not...TOR has Covered the last 4 in this h2h series and 4 of the last 5 have gone Under h2h...TOR suddenlt an Under team since ditching the run-and-gun offense as they are Under 4 straight and 9 of 11...
Boston at New York: No total posted...Wally Szczerbiak is expected to miss for Boston...Stephon Marbury and Jared Jeffries are questionable for and Steve Francis is out for NY...Already the third h2h meeting this season with the Road team winning both meetings...NY now 3-8 SU at Home...NY Over 4 of their last 5 Home games...BOS off a big win and are a chart-play as they had a NC5 before their upset win at NJ last time out...3 straight h2h games at MSG have gone Over...BOS has Covered 9 of the last 12 h2h...
Cleveland at New Orleans: Drew Gooden is questionable for CLE...Peja Stoyakovic is doubtful and David West and Bobby Jackson are expected to miss for New Orleans...CLE has won 7 straight in this h2h series, covering 5...4 straight and 6 of 7 in this h2h series have gone Over...NO a rough stretch upcoming with all these guys atill out as SA and DAL are up next...Despite a breakout game vs. LAL, the Hornets reverted right back to a team that has no flow whatsoever on offense as it appears as though quick teams are giving them problems as SEA ran all over them, forcing 27 turnovers, while GS also ran them ragged, forcing another 21 turnovers...Now CLE is not all that quick outside of Larry Hughes and LeBron, so maybe the Hornets have a shot here...2 extreme Unders the last 2 games for No makes me wonder if the h2h recent Over trend can be bucked as CLE has 2 straight Unders overall themselves...NO just 1-6-1 ATS their last 8...
Indiana at Chicago: No total posted...Jermaine O'Neal is questionable and Stephen Jackson is probable for Indiana...Suddenly a chart-play to fade CHI as their 7-game win streak ended at Home vs. Minny last time out...CHI was 5-0-1 ATS and now have a NC2...CHI has beaten Indy already this season at Home, catching Indy in a 4-of-5 spot on 11/11 and barely covering, needing a 30-14 4th quarter to win by 9...CHI has won 7 of the last 9 at Home vs. Indy...CHI 1-2 ATS and INDY 3-1 ATS in this situational spot where they are playing their 3rd game in 4 days with a day off during Day 3...
Dallas at Utah: Jerry Stackhouse and Austin Croshere are questionable for Dallas...I wonder about this being a possible statement game for Utah...The Jazz are 4-2 SU vs. Dallas the last 6 at Home although the Mavs have won 2 of the last 3 at Utah...7 of the last 8 between these 2 teams have gone Under at Utah...5 of the last 7 have gone Under overall h2h in this series...DAL has won 3 straight and 7 of 8 in this h2h series...DAL could still have a slight hangover from that 12-game winning streak...Utah just a game in the last 6 days, so they should be prepared and are coming off a loss at Minny...DAL Under 4 straight and 10 of 12 overall and I wonder about this game being similar to the game on 11/29 when SA came to Utah and they played a 158 total in what was a big game, a statement game for Utah...Now before you think a 158 is insane for Dallas to play, they did have a 158 at Home vs. NO, and had a 167 and 174 in 2 of their last 3 games vs. NJ and DET, respectively...
San Antonio at LA Clippers: SA lost last night to the Lakers at Staples and now play there again tonight vs. the Clips...The Spurs played 2 at Staples in 2 days last March...On 3/6, they beat the Lakers by 7, but then lost to the Clippers by 13 the next night...The Clips are underachieving this year, and maybe part of the reason is Sam Cassell being banged up early...Cassell has been coming off the bench since his injury and the Clips have struggled...Cassell seems to be this team's life-line...He broke out for 18 at MEMP...Tonight is the situational spot for the Spurs where they are in hte back-end of a bk-2-bk and although they are 2-3 SU & ATS this season in this spot, the Spurs are 1-13 SU & 0-14 ATS their last 14 occurrences in this situational spot against teams with at least a .500 record (1 occurence was a .500 team and the rest were all over .500 at the time they played the Spurs in this spot)...The Clips are 10-9, currently...Hard to ignore this...And it becomes harder to ignore when there is a quick revenge spot here, after a 29-point throttling at SA on 12/8, just 3 days ago...Clips just 1-3 ATS when they have rest and their opponents do not, BUT are 3-1 SU and 3-0 SU at Home in this spot this season...Spurs don't lose 2 in a row often, but this is a tough spot for them here...
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Early looks at Monday's games:
Portland at Philadelphia: Zach Randolph probable for Portland...Philly hasn't exactly shined at Home in this h2h series, winning just twice in their last 7 meetings...6 of the last 9 in this h2h series have gone Under...As hard as it is for NBA teams to win 10 in a row, it is also hard for teams to lose 10 in a row and the Sixers are getting close to that losing 7 straight and 11 of 12...This is the first game all season for Philly where they have rest and their opponent does not...PORT is 2-3 SU & ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks this season...PORT 0-1 SU & ATS in their 5th game in 7 days, but that was against the Spurs...This is the 5th game of a 6-game Road trip for PORT...PORT Under 3 of 4 during the Road trip and I wonder about Philly getting some Unders now without Iverson...
Phoenix at Orlando: Keith Bogans is questionable for Orlando...How hot is PHOE?...10 staright wins now...This is their 4th game of a 5-game roadie...This is their 4th game in 5 days...They were 3-1 ATS in this situational spot last season, losing their first occurrence, just like this season, as they are 0-1 in this spot...These teams have played 5 straight Overs h2h...PHOE did their part last night to keep a 4-game Over streak going, but CHAR didn't cooperate...The Suns are just rolling right now...But one might ask who have they beaten?...Out of the 10 wins, just ONE came against a team with a current record above .500...3 of the teams were above .500 at the time the Suns played them, but the Suns are beating up on some of the weak sisters of the East during this stretch...The 4-of-5 trend for the Away Team where the Home Team is rested has been strong this season, going 9-4 ATS...But I am conflicted here on the Side and the Total...The public will pound the crap out of PHOE here...I also wonder if ORL was looking ahead to PHOE when they were sleepwalking during the Philly game...Another problem for ORL is that they are 2-4 ATS this season when they have rest and their opponents do not, but they are 4-2 SU and 4-1 SU in this spot at Home...ORL is 4-1 ATS last 5 vs. PHOE but PHOE has won 3 of the last 4 SU h2h...PHOE was 5-4 SU & ATS in he 5th game in 7 days last season, but a curious antdote to that stat I notices is that PHOE was 8-1 ATS on the 1st-half line in those 9 games...I cannot bet against this 4-of-5 trend when a good team is in this spot, but I wonder if ORL pulls off the upset and I wonder, despite the h2h series pointing to the Over, if this game stays Under as ORL is Under 4 straight, 8 of 9 and are 14-3-1 to the under their last 18...However, the conflicting trends continue as PHOE is 5-0 to the Over this season on the back-end of bk-2-bks...
Memphis at New Jersey: Lawrence Roberts is questionable for Memphis...How bad is NJ right now?...Are they just going to turn on the light switch like last season and start a 10-gae winning streak in mid-DEC and then a 14-game win streak in March to get "where they should be" in the standings?...MEMP has won and covered 6 of the last 8 in this h2h series...7 of the last 10 Under h2h...NJ just 1-9-1 ATS their last 11, winning just twice...After a C6, MEMP has covered just once in their last 6...
Toronto at Miami: No total posted...Chris Bosh is out for Toronto...Gary Payton and Jason Williams are questionable for Miami...Line looks high but it has been adjusted for the Bosh injury...MIA 3-6 at Home, but TOR 2-10 SU on the Road, but are 7-5 ATS on the Road and 7-2 ATS their last 9 Road games...Chart-play for sure against MIA as they had a C6 and now did Not Cover their last time out...Plus we have the first Home game after a after a Road trip spot...TOR 2-1 ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks and MIA is playing their first game of the season when they have rest and their opponent does not...TOR has Covered the last 4 in this h2h series and 4 of the last 5 have gone Under h2h...TOR suddenlt an Under team since ditching the run-and-gun offense as they are Under 4 straight and 9 of 11...
Boston at New York: No total posted...Wally Szczerbiak is expected to miss for Boston...Stephon Marbury and Jared Jeffries are questionable for and Steve Francis is out for NY...Already the third h2h meeting this season with the Road team winning both meetings...NY now 3-8 SU at Home...NY Over 4 of their last 5 Home games...BOS off a big win and are a chart-play as they had a NC5 before their upset win at NJ last time out...3 straight h2h games at MSG have gone Over...BOS has Covered 9 of the last 12 h2h...
Cleveland at New Orleans: Drew Gooden is questionable for CLE...Peja Stoyakovic is doubtful and David West and Bobby Jackson are expected to miss for New Orleans...CLE has won 7 straight in this h2h series, covering 5...4 straight and 6 of 7 in this h2h series have gone Over...NO a rough stretch upcoming with all these guys atill out as SA and DAL are up next...Despite a breakout game vs. LAL, the Hornets reverted right back to a team that has no flow whatsoever on offense as it appears as though quick teams are giving them problems as SEA ran all over them, forcing 27 turnovers, while GS also ran them ragged, forcing another 21 turnovers...Now CLE is not all that quick outside of Larry Hughes and LeBron, so maybe the Hornets have a shot here...2 extreme Unders the last 2 games for No makes me wonder if the h2h recent Over trend can be bucked as CLE has 2 straight Unders overall themselves...NO just 1-6-1 ATS their last 8...
Indiana at Chicago: No total posted...Jermaine O'Neal is questionable and Stephen Jackson is probable for Indiana...Suddenly a chart-play to fade CHI as their 7-game win streak ended at Home vs. Minny last time out...CHI was 5-0-1 ATS and now have a NC2...CHI has beaten Indy already this season at Home, catching Indy in a 4-of-5 spot on 11/11 and barely covering, needing a 30-14 4th quarter to win by 9...CHI has won 7 of the last 9 at Home vs. Indy...CHI 1-2 ATS and INDY 3-1 ATS in this situational spot where they are playing their 3rd game in 4 days with a day off during Day 3...
Dallas at Utah: Jerry Stackhouse and Austin Croshere are questionable for Dallas...I wonder about this being a possible statement game for Utah...The Jazz are 4-2 SU vs. Dallas the last 6 at Home although the Mavs have won 2 of the last 3 at Utah...7 of the last 8 between these 2 teams have gone Under at Utah...5 of the last 7 have gone Under overall h2h in this series...DAL has won 3 straight and 7 of 8 in this h2h series...DAL could still have a slight hangover from that 12-game winning streak...Utah just a game in the last 6 days, so they should be prepared and are coming off a loss at Minny...DAL Under 4 straight and 10 of 12 overall and I wonder about this game being similar to the game on 11/29 when SA came to Utah and they played a 158 total in what was a big game, a statement game for Utah...Now before you think a 158 is insane for Dallas to play, they did have a 158 at Home vs. NO, and had a 167 and 174 in 2 of their last 3 games vs. NJ and DET, respectively...
San Antonio at LA Clippers: SA lost last night to the Lakers at Staples and now play there again tonight vs. the Clips...The Spurs played 2 at Staples in 2 days last March...On 3/6, they beat the Lakers by 7, but then lost to the Clippers by 13 the next night...The Clips are underachieving this year, and maybe part of the reason is Sam Cassell being banged up early...Cassell has been coming off the bench since his injury and the Clips have struggled...Cassell seems to be this team's life-line...He broke out for 18 at MEMP...Tonight is the situational spot for the Spurs where they are in hte back-end of a bk-2-bk and although they are 2-3 SU & ATS this season in this spot, the Spurs are 1-13 SU & 0-14 ATS their last 14 occurrences in this situational spot against teams with at least a .500 record (1 occurence was a .500 team and the rest were all over .500 at the time they played the Spurs in this spot)...The Clips are 10-9, currently...Hard to ignore this...And it becomes harder to ignore when there is a quick revenge spot here, after a 29-point throttling at SA on 12/8, just 3 days ago...Clips just 1-3 ATS when they have rest and their opponents do not, BUT are 3-1 SU and 3-0 SU at Home in this spot this season...Spurs don't lose 2 in a row often, but this is a tough spot for them here...
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