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The Bum's 2018 NBA Trends/Stats/Best Bets Thru The Playoffs !

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  • NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (27 - 35) at BROOKLYN (32 - 33) - 3/4/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 81-65 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 518-439 ATS (+35.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    DALLAS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (22 - 42) at MIAMI (28 - 34) - 3/4/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 6-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (42 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (35 - 29) - 3/4/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1081-948 ATS (+38.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 853-728 ATS (+52.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 195-149 ATS (+31.1 Units) in March games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 223-167 ATS (+39.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 193-144 ATS (+34.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (48 - 15) at PHOENIX (13 - 51) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 280-334 ATS (-87.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a division game this season.
    PHOENIX is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (29 - 36) at UTAH (36 - 26) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
    UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 85-69 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (13 - 50) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 31) - 3/4/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (36 - 29) at LA LAKERS (30 - 33) - 3/4/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAKERS are 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA LAKERS are 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA LAKERS are 145-188 ATS (-61.8 Units) in March games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • NBA
      Dunkel

      Monday, March 4



      Dallas @ Brooklyn

      Game 501-502
      March 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Dallas
      109.681
      Brooklyn
      109.994
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Dallas
      Even
      230
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Brooklyn
      by 5
      224 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Dallas
      (+5); Over

      Atlanta @ Miami


      Game 503-504
      March 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      114.826
      Miami
      116.474
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Miami
      by 1 1/2
      220
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Miami
      by 9
      223 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (+9); Under

      Denver @ San Antonio


      Game 505-506
      March 4, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Denver
      122.236
      San Antonio
      128.945
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 6 1/2
      226
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 1
      227 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-1); Under

      Milwaukee @ Phoenix


      Game 507-508
      March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Milwaukee
      124.758
      Phoenix
      107.432
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Milwaukee
      by 17 1/2
      238
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Milwaukee
      by 12 1/2
      230
      Dunkel Pick:
      Milwaukee
      (-12 1/2); Over

      New Orleans @ Utah


      Game 509-510
      March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New Orleans
      117.851
      Utah
      123.496
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Utah
      by 5 1/2
      228
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Utah
      by 9 1/2
      230
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Orleans
      (+9 1/2); Under

      New York @ Sacramento


      Game 511-512
      March 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New York
      111.187
      Sacramento
      117.375
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Sacramento
      by 6
      238
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Sacramento
      by 11 1/2
      231
      Dunkel Pick:
      New York
      (+11 1/2); Over

      LA Clippers @ LA Lakers


      Game 513-514
      March 4, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Clippers
      110.722
      LA Lakers
      119.277
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Lakers
      by 8 1/2
      238
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Lakers
      by 4
      236 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Lakers
      (-4); Over

      Comment


      • Monday's Essentials
        Tony Mejia

        Game of the Night - L.A. Clippers at L.A. Lakers (-4, 237), 10:35 ET, NBATV

        Mathematically, the Lakers still have a chance to make the playoffs. Realistically, they are done.

        After coming up empty in a weekend back-to-back that saw it lose at home to the Bucks and on the road to the horrible Suns, Los Angeles opens the first full week of March behind San Antonio by 4.5 games for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Spurs hold the head-to-head tiebreaker too.

        Their Staples Center roommates, the Clippers, are five games up on them, currently running seventh. If the Lakers beat them tonight, you’ll hear all about how they had to have the victory and hopefully it’s the beginning of a huge, season-salvaging run, but their team has already blown multiple “must-win” games and shouldn’t be counted on.

        Since the All-Star break ended, the Lakers have lost “must-win” games in New Orleans, Memphis and Phoenix, teams already looking forward to next season. L.A. has surrendered 118.7 points per game in those losses and has been atrocious defensively, missing rotations and allowing teams to find a rhythm with their poor execution on that side of the ball night after night. The Lakers have dropped eight of 11 and are 9-17 since Jan. 1 and just blew a game that, at least on paper, looked like the only gimme on a difficult schedule the rest of the way.

        Following tonight’s matchup with the Clips, the Nuggets and Celtics will come through town. Next week will see the Lakers leave town for their second-longest road trip of the season, a five-gamer that includes stops in Toronto, Detroit and Milwaukee in which they’ll be underdogs. Their April schedule features five games against teams that would all make the playoffs if they started today, including a home date with the Warriors that comes early enough that they’re unlikely to be resting players.

        At the All-Star break, Las Vegas’ Westgate Superbook had ‘no’ at -140 on whether the Lakers would be able to reach the postseason in LeBron James’ first season, offering a modest return of +120 if you were still a believer. Last Tuesday morning, ‘no’ went off at -400 and ‘yes’ went off at a return rate of 3-to-1 following their upset loss in Memphis. After Saturday’s ridiculous setback against the Suns, ‘no’ went off at -900 and anyone that still has blind faith in the Lakers can now get +600 if they correctly back an unlikely resurgence.

        When the Lakers ultimately miss the playoffs, you’ll be able to point to setbacks against the Hawks, Knicks, Cavs, Wizards and Pelicans as to why. They’ve lost to the Grizzlies and Magic twice. They’ve dug their own grave by simply not respecting teams.

        After wrapping up a 127-101 win over the Warriors despite losing James to a groin strain in the third quarter of its Christmas day blowout victory, L.A. was a healthy 20-14, on track to surpass its projected win total set at 48 by the Westgate Superbook that now looks destined to be won by naysayers who bet the ‘under.’ The Lakers went 6-12 without James as he missed 17 games between Dec. 27 and Jan. 29 and an additional game against the Warriors on Feb. 2.

        Although a lot has been made over much of the team's young core being rubbed the wrong way by the Lakers making them available to New Orleans via trade, Brandon Ingram has averaged nearly 28 points and 7.5 rebounds since the All-Star break and Kyle Kuzma has averaged over 17 points per game. L.A.'s problems lie much deeper than hurt feelings. Its pieces simply haven't fit together well.

        They’ve missed point guard Lonzo Ball, who has been out with an ankle injury since Jan. 21 and is hoping to join the team for the start of next week’s road trip. Despite the unfortunate attrition, no one is feeling sorry for the Lakers. Outside of their fans, no one is shedding tears over the misfortune the same franchise that tried to strong-arm the Pelicans into trading them Anthony Davis has had to deal with. Know who else has had a few rough patches? The Clippers.

        Jerry West traded leading scorer Tobias Harris to the 76ers and elite perimeter defender Avery Bradley to the Grizzlies in order to free up a pair of maximum-salary slots in an effort to try and recruit Kawhi Leonard and another elite free agent this offseason, essentially pulling the plug on realistically contending for a postseason berth. The Clips are 6-4 since making those deals. Owner Steve Ballmer is now rooting on a playoff push, and his young team is responding.

        Landry Shamet, a rookie shooter who was part of the Harris deal that also landed multiple future first-round picks, nailed seven 3-pointers in Sunday’s 128-107 win over the Knicks. Fellow rookie Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is shooting 60 percent over the last three games, averaging 14.3 points per game. A second unit featuring scoring guard Lou Williams and big man Montrezl Harrell continues to dominate fourth quarters. Although they’re in an underdog role against the Lakers tonight, the Clippers began an eight-game run at Staples Center yesterday that has them in town until March 22, further strengthening their position as a likely playoff team.

        The Clippers lost 123-120 in their last game against the Lakers on Jan. 30, falling despite the presence of Harris as LeBron returned to the Lakers’ lineup with 24 points, 14 rebounds and nine assists. They won the first meeting between the teams on Dec. 28, taking advantage of James’ absence. The Clippers have covered the spread in six of their past seven games. Conversely, the Lakers are on a 1-7 ATS run. Due in part to their porous defense, the ‘over’ has prevailed in four of their last five games.

        Best of the Rest

        Miami at Atlanta, 7:35 p.m. ET:
        With the Hornets and Magic losing on Sunday, the Heat can pull into a three-way first-place tie in the Southeast Division if they avoid a season sweep at the hands of the last-place Hawks. Despite its place in the standings, Atlanta has become increasingly dangerous due to the play of point guard Trae Young, who was named the Eastern Conference’s Rookie of the Month for February after averaging 23.3 points and 9.3 assists. Over his last six games, he’s averaged 30.3 points and 9.5 assists, numbers that would be even higher if he hadn’t been ejected for taunting Kris Dunn in the third quarter of Sunday’s 123-118 win in Chicago. He’s made 26 of his 51 3-point attempts since the break. Young has shot 44 percent from 3-point range against Miami, averaging 20 points and nine assists in their three wins. Second-year forward John Collins, one of the East’s most productive forwards, has missed the past few games with the flu and is listed as questionable. Starting small forward Taurean Prince is away from the Hawks on paternity leave and Omari Spellman is out for weeks after suffering an ankle injury on Friday, so the frontcourt will again be shorthanded. Alex Len, Dewayne Dedmon and DeAndre Bembry will play major roles if Collins remains out. Miami lists center Hassan Whiteside (hip) and point guard Goran Dragic (calf) as questionable. The ‘over’ is on a 4-1 run over the past five Heat games and has prevailed in the last three involving Atlanta.

        Denver at San Antonio, 8:35 p.m. ET:
        The Nuggets have dropped consecutive games and are beginning a three-game road trip that also features games against the Lakers and Warriors, so a lot of eyes will be on them this week. They had won five straight prior to this lull, which featured upset home losses to the Jazz and Pelicans, the latter coming despite not having to deal with Anthony Davis. Denver got off to a fast start and then squandered a 19-point lead against New Orleans. All-Star center Nikola Jokic has wrestled with foul trouble in consecutive games, so expect him to be less aggressive to ensure he stays out on the floor here. San Antonio is wrapping up a three-game homestand after a dreadful Rodeo road trip and is looking for its third straight win after handily taking down the Pistons and Thunder. The Spurs have won six straight at home and are favored in the third meeting of the season against Denver. Both teams have won on their home floor. San Antonio has dominated the Nuggets at the AT&T Center, winning 12 consecutive matchups. The ‘under’ has cashed in five straight Denver games.

        New Orleans at Utah, 9:05 p.m. ET:
        Anthony Davis may or may not play in tonight’s visit to Salt Lake City as it appears the Pelicans are far more engaged as a unit when he doesn’t play. Davis didn’t participate in the first meeting between these teams, a 132-111 Jazz win way back on Oct. 27. Donovan Mitchell comes off a career-high 46-point night in Saturday’s 115-111 win over the Bucks and has averaged 33 points over his past five games. Utah is on a four-game winning streak and has won five straight at home, part of an 8-1 run in Salt Lake City. They’ll play the Pelicans again in New Orleans on Wednesday. The ‘over’ is on a 5-2 run in Pels’ games.

        Comment


        • Hoop Trends - Monday
          Vince Akins

          ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

          -- The Bucks are 13-0 ATS (+6.27 ppg) as a road favorite off a loss.

          ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

          -- The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-11.05 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points.

          OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

          -- The Nets are 11-0 OU (+12.73 ppg) at home off a game as a dog in which they had less than 40% of the total rebounds.

          OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

          -- The Kings are 0-14 OU (-14.11 ppg) as a rested favorite when they are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50.

          Comment


          • By: Monique Vág



            Not giving the Pels much of a chance

            The Pelicans are 10.5-point underdogs as they travel to Utah to take on a Jazz team who have won 21 of 31 at home this season, and eight of the last nine versus the Pelicans.

            Utah is holding opponents to 105.2 ppg and 44 percent shooting on their home court this season. Over their most recent 10 games in the head-to-head, the Jazz have limited the Pelicans to 100 ppg. Look for another strong defensive effort from Utah and back Under New Orleans’ team total of 109.5.


            Nugget’s road woes to continue

            It has been 12 straight road losses in San Antonio for the Nuggets who will try to win for the first time at AT&T Center since 2012.

            The Spurs have played much better basketball at home, holding opponents to 106.4 points per game, on 45 percent shooting, ranking defensively in the top-10 of the league in both categories. They’ve had the Nuggets number over the years and returning home has been a recipe for success for San Antonio as they have won two straight after an extended road trip. Back them on the money line today.


            Another likely blowout

            Milwaukee are the largest favorites on Monday’s card (12.5-points), as they travel to Phoenix to take on a Suns team currently sitting at 13-51.

            The Bucks have been one of the best all around teams this season, and defensively they are holding opponents to 108.1 points per game on a league best 43.3 percent shooting. With the Suns averaging only 106.5 points per game, they look to be in for a long night.

            Milwaukee have done a great job defending opposing small forward’ allowing only 19.1 points on 42 percent shooting. Look for them to make things difficult on Suns SF Kelly Oubre Jr. and back Under his points, rebounds, assists total of 23.5.


            Tanking for Zion

            The Knicks have won only three of their most recent 24 games, including just one of their most recent eight on the road. Today the Knicks take on a Kings team who have not disappointed as favorites this year posting a 14-2 record, and covering the spread in 22 of their 32 home games. The Knicks will be without Frank Ntilikina, and most likely DeAndre Jordan.

            Despite the huge spread, look for Sacramento to take care of business at home versus a Knicks squad looking for the best chance to draft first overall. Take the Kings to cover as 11-point favorites.


            Lackluster in La-La Land

            The Lakers have lost four of their most recent five games and have really struggled since the All-Star Break. Today the Lakers play a Clippers team who have historically done well versus the Lakers winning 18 of the most recent 21 contests, and nine of the last 10 on the road.

            The Under has been a profitable play when these two teams meet up, with it cashing in 12 of the most recent 17 in the head-to-head, and six of the last eight at Staples Center. With the Lakers in desperation mode, but only averaging 111.8 points per game, take the game total Under 235.

            Comment


            • Tuesday’s 6-pack

              — Virginia 79, Syracuse 53— Cavaliers went into a dome, made 18-25 on the arc. Wow.

              — NJIT 83, Florida Gulf Coast 78— Minor upset in Atlantic Sun tourney.

              — Heat 114, Hawks 113— Dwyane Wade scored 23 points off the bench.

              — Spurs 104, Nuggets 103— San Antonio leads #9 seed Sacramento by three games.

              — Grad transfer QB Nick Starkel jumps from Texas A&M to Arkansas.

              — Looks like Rams, Cowboys are playing a preseason game in Hawai’i this summer.

              Quote of the Day
              “To a degree, he’s hurt the game. And what I mean by that is I go into these high school gyms, I watch these kids and the first thing they do is run to the three-point line. You are not Steph Curry.”
              ESPN’s Mark Jackson, back in 2015.

              Tuesday’s quiz
              Where did Tony Bennett coach before moving to Virginia?

              Monday’s quiz
              There no World Series because the baseball players were on strike in 1994.

              Sunday’s quiz
              Patrick Ewing played with the Knicks for 15 years; he finished his career with the Orlando Magic.

              ************************************************** ***************

              Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

              13) Stephen Zimmerman is 6-foot-11 and 22 years old; he plays an average of 19.8 mpg for the Knicks’ G-League team and scores 8.2 ppg. He’s played in 85 G-League games over three years.

              Here’s the thing; Mr Zimmerman was the 41st player taken in the 2016 NBA Draft; if he had stayed in college, he would be a senior at UNLV right now. Would he be better off had he stayed in school? I don’t know the answer to this question, but he is playing only 19.8 mpg now, it doesn’t seem like he is that close to getting a call back to the NBA.

              You stay in college, you work harder on your game in practices, plus you can get a college degree that could prove useful if the basketball thing doesn’t work out.

              12) I look at his free throw percentage and it has been right around 62% for all three of his years in the G-League, so in three years as a pro, he hasn’t improved that part of his game. He is grabbing 8.9 rebounds a game, so that number has improved, but he’s also played for three teams in three years. If the lowly Knicks don’t bring him up, then what?

              Kids have to decide between staying in college and practicing more, as opposed to going pro, getting paid and playing more games while practicing less, but it is a cruel world out there, and if you’re not ready, teams move on pretty quickly. Hopefully Zimmerman will keep improving and find his way back to the NBA.

              11) Was pretty sad listening to a 2:16 clip of NBA commish Adam Silver talking about so many NBA players being genuinely unhappy, because they’re isolated in the world.

              Sounds like your basic first-world problem, but if you’re in your 20’s and banking a 7 or 8-figure income and you ain’t happy, I’m not sure how you fix that. I’m approaching 60 years old and am a retired government employee, but I’m pretty damn happy despite not being rich.

              Maybe part of the solution for future kids is that staying in college longer would give you friendships that could propel you into adulthood with a support system, I’m not really sure, but I am pretty adamant that more kids would be better off staying in school longer, to grow up more.

              10) Paul Goldschmidt doesn’t look right wearing a Cardinals’ uniform.

              9) Sounds like Nick Foles is headed to the Jacksonville Jaguars next season.

              8) ESPN found an excellent new basketball analyst when it hired former NBA player Caron Butler, who is at ease behind the mike- he is fun to listen to.

              7) ESPN.com ran an article that is highly critical of Phoenix Suns’ owner Robert Sarver. Since the departure of coach Mike D’Antoni from the Suns in 2008, Phoenix has had four general managers and seven head coaches, not exactly a blueprint for success.

              6) An 85-year old guy in Texas ran a mile this weekend in 7 minutes, 47 seconds. At age 85.

              Seriously, if I drive 10 miles in my car, I’m looking for the drive-thru window at a Wendy’s. Running is no longer an option, not that it ever was. Kudos to this gentleman, who ran college track for Texas before I was born, back in the 50’s.

              5) In the AAF over the weekend, on its first drive of the game, San Antonio ran 21 plays for 78 yards on a drive that took 9:34, but they kicked a FG, didn’t score a TD. Not sure I’ve ever seen that before, a 21-play drive, and for it not to end in a TD or a turnover, thats weird, especially since it was a 38-yard FG, they weren’t even that close to the goal line.

              4) Announced attendance at the four AAF games this past weekend:
              — San Diego @ Memphis: 13,621
              — Orlando @ Salt Lake City: 9,302 (was snowing there)
              — San Antonio @ Birmingham: 6,539
              — Atlanta @ Arizona: 8,865

              No idea what their attendance goals are, or if these numbers are good or bad, but they get 90,000 in Tuscaloosa for Alabama’s spring game. 6,539 in Birmingham can’t be good.

              3) Generally speaking, an agent’s take is 3% of the athlete’s salary, so Scott Boras’ take from the Bryce Harper bonanza figures to be $9.9M.

              2) Phillies, by the way, sold 200,000 game tickets the day they announced the Harper signing.

              1) The ruckus after the Nevada-Utah State game Saturday apparently was related to students storming the court after the game ended. Court storming needs to be stopped, before something really bad happens, with a player slugging someone or a huge brawl breaking out.

              Comment


              • Tuesday's Tip Sheet
                Kevin Rogers

                Game of the Night: Celtics at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST

                Before the season started, this seemed to be the destined matchup for the NBA Finals after LeBron James took his talents west to Los Angeles. The Celtics (38-26 SU, 32-32 ATS) were a Game 7 home victory away last summer from squaring off with Golden State in the Finals, but Boston was shut down by James and the Cavaliers to avoid the franchise’s first Eastern Conference title since 2010.

                Boston finished as the top seed in the Eastern Conference last season, but the Celtics are currently sitting in third place of the Atlantic division with less than 20 games remaining. The C’s have dropped five of their past six games, including a 115-104 home setback to the Rockets on Sunday as two-point favorites. Boston fell behind by 22 points at halftime, while the Celtics shot 2-of-17 from three-point range if you remove the 6-for-11 effort from Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart.

                The Warriors (44-19 SU, 25-37-1 ATS) snapped a two-game skid on Saturday night as they rallied past the 76ers, 120-117. Although Golden State failed to cash as five-point favorites, the two-time defending champions erased a 12-point halftime deficit behind 34 points from Kevin Durant and 28 points from Stephen Curry. The Warriors knocked down 14 three-pointers in the win despite the absence of Klay Thompson, who sat out with a sore right knee.

                Golden State continues to struggle covering numbers as Steve Kerr’s squad slipped to 1-9 ATS the last 10 games. The Warriors are back at Oracle Arena for the first time since falling to Houston in a Western Conference Finals rematch on February 23 as 12-point favorites, 118-112. Golden State owns a dreadful 3-15-1 ATS mark in its last 19 contests in Oakland, while last covering as a single-digit home favorite against Portland on November 23.

                The Celtics embark on a four-game trip through California that continues to Sacramento on Wednesday with no rest, followed by a pair of contests at Staples Center to face the Lakers (Saturday) and Clippers (Monday). Boston has covered in each of its past four visits to Oracle Arena, while winning twice outright in 2016 and 2017. The Warriors got the best of the Celtics at TD Garden in late January, 115-111 to barely cash as 3 ½-point favorites. The big difference in that victory for Golden State was the 29-14 advantage at the free-throw line, as the game stayed UNDER the total of 233.

                But First

                A pair of division leaders hook up in Toronto as the Raptors (46-18 SU, 27-37 ATS) welcome in the Rockets (38-25 SU, 28-33-2 ATS) for another interconference showdown on TNT. Toronto has lost consecutive games three times since the start of December as the Raptors hope to avoid a two-game skid following Sunday’s 112-107 overtime setback at Detroit.

                After picking up impressive home wins over Boston and Portland, the Raptors fell apart in overtime by getting outscored, 10-0 in the final two minutes by the Pistons. Kawhi Leonard sat out for Toronto, but Kyle Lowry picked up the slack by leading the Raptors with 35 points. Recent pickups Marc Gasol and Jeremy Lin combined to shoot 2-of-18 from the floor, while Lin finished with one point in 25 minutes. Toronto wrapped up February at 9-2, but closed the month at 1-7 ATS.

                The Rockets grabbed their fifth consecutive victory since blowing a 19-point lead in a post All-Star break loss to the Lakers. James Harden led Houston with 42 points in Sunday’s 115-104 triumph at Boston to pull off the season sweep of the Celtics. Eric Gordon added 32 points, including hitting eight three-pointers to help the Rockets pick up their third consecutive road win against an Eastern Conference opponent.

                In the first matchup between these squads at Toyota Center on January 25, the Rockets held off the Raptors as 3 ½-point underdogs, 121-119. Houston won in spite of getting outscored in each of the final three quarters as the Rockets jumped out to a 13-point advantage after 12 minutes. Chris Paul sat out for the Rockets, but Harden did his thing offensively by leading Houston with 35 points in spite of shooting 9-of-25 from the floor and converting only 2-of-13 three-point attempts.

                Crash Landing

                The Thunder (39-24 SU, 33-30 ATS) have not covered a game since the All-Star break, while riding an 0-7 ATS skid the last seven trips to the court. OKC rallied past Memphis on Sunday, 99-95, but failed to cash as hefty 10-point home favorites. The Thunder shot a miserable 35% from the field as the starting backcourt of Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder combined to miss 29 shots.

                Oklahoma City played a third consecutive game without leading scorer Paul George, who continues to nurse a sore right shoulder. Since George has been sidelined, the Thunder has scored 104, 102, and 98 points, as OKC last posted less than 100 points with the All-Star forward in the lineup in a January 6 home loss to Washington. So obviously no George has affected this Thunder offense, who will be without the former Pacers’ standout again on Tuesday at Minnesota.

                The Timberwolves (29-34 SU, 32-31 ATS) return home following an 0-3 road swing at Atlanta, Indiana, and Washington. Minnesota’s defense was torched in all three losses, resulting in three OVERS, while falling to the Wizards on Sunday, 135-121 on a hefty 240 ½ total. The Wolves couldn’t hit a trey to save themselves in D.C. as Minnesota converted only 4-of-27 shots from downtown.

                Oddly enough, the Wolves are probably excited to see the Thunder as Minnesota has picked up a pair of road victories at Oklahoma City this season. Both wins came by two points each, including a 119-117 triumph on January 8 as Andrew Wiggins paced Minnesota with 40 points. The Thunder is making their first trip to Target Center this season as OKC has dropped three of the past four visits to Minneapolis.

                Barking Dogs

                Since falling apart in the second half of a 10-point setback at Oklahoma City on February 5, the Magic (30-35 SU, 35-29-1 ATS) have performed well in the underdog role. Orlando has won and covered in the last five opportunities when receiving points, including knocking off the likes of Milwaukee, Golden State, and Toronto in this stretch.

                On the flip side, the Magic have lost their three games in the favorite role, falling to doormats like New York, Cleveland, and Chicago in this span since the All-Star break. Basically, Orlando has played up to its competition as a ‘dog and down to its competition when laying points of late. Fortunately, the Magic is the hunter and not the hunted on Tuesday in Philadelphia.

                The 76ers (40-23 SU, 30-33 ATS) have lost back-to-back games only twice in 2019, as Philadelphia is coming off a late meltdown in Saturday’s 120-117 setback to Golden State. Four different Sixers posted at least 20 points, including a triple-double by Ben Simmons, who scored 25 points, pulled down 15 rebounds, and dished out 11 assists. However, Philadelphia has suffered two straight home losses for just the second time this season, while falling to 24-9 at Wells Fargo Center.

                The Magic have held their own with the 76ers this season by covering in a pair of matchups this season as an underdog. Philadelphia edged Orlando, 116-115 as 12 ½-point favorites in late October, while the Magic erased a 16-point fourth quarter deficit in Jimmy Butler’s Philadelphia debut in a 111-106 upset as six-point home underdogs in mid-November.

                Comment


                • NBA
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Tuesday, March 5


                  Embiid is out again here. Orlando is 3-3 since All-Star break; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Philly won six of its last nine games; they are 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. 76ers won four of last five games with Orlando; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Magic is 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Philly.

                  Indiana lost three of its last four games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Five of their last six games went over. Bulls won five of their last seven games; they’re 2-7-2 vs spread in last 11 home games. 10 of their last 12 games went over. Pacers won seven of last eight games with Chicago; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Bulls are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana.

                  Houston won its last five games; they’re 5-2-1 vs spread in their last eight road games. Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Toronto won 10 of its last 12 games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 8-4 in their last dozen games. Rockets/Raptors split last ten meetings; Houston is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Six of last seven series games went over the total.

                  Trailblazers won six of their last seven games (7-0 vs spread); they covered their last six road tilts. Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Grizzlies lost six of their last eight games; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Home side won six of last eight Portland-Memphis games; Blazers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Memphis. Six of last nine series games stayed under.

                  Oklahoma City lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-7 vs spread in last seven. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Minnesota lost four of its last five games; they covered their last three home games. Nine of their last 11 games went over. Thunder lost five of last six games with the Timberwolves; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Minnesota. Five of last six series games went over.

                  Celtics are 1-5 since All-Star break; they’re 2-8-1 vs spread in last ten road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Golden State is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Warriors won seven of last ten games with Boston; last six series games stayed under the total. Celtics covered their last four visits to Oakland.

                  Comment


                  • NBA

                    Tuesday, March 5


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Trend Report
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Chicago Bulls
                    Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                    Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                    Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games
                    Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
                    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
                    Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Indiana
                    Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
                    Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
                    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
                    Indiana Pacers
                    Indiana is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
                    Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                    Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Chicago
                    Indiana is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
                    Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
                    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago

                    Orlando Magic
                    Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
                    Orlando is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
                    Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
                    Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
                    Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
                    Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
                    Orlando is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                    Orlando is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                    Philadelphia 76ers
                    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
                    Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
                    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Orlando
                    Philadelphia is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Orlando
                    Philadelphia is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Orlando
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

                    Oklahoma City Thunder
                    Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                    Oklahoma City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
                    Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
                    Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                    Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
                    Oklahoma City is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Minnesota
                    Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                    Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                    Oklahoma City is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                    Minnesota Timberwolves
                    Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
                    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games
                    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 16 games at home
                    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
                    Minnesota is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Oklahoma City
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
                    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
                    Minnesota is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

                    Portland Trail Blazers
                    Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                    Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
                    Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                    Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
                    Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Memphis
                    Portland is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Memphis
                    Portland is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Memphis
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
                    Memphis Grizzlies
                    Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
                    Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
                    Memphis is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
                    Memphis is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Portland
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Portland
                    Memphis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Portland
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

                    Houston Rockets
                    Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
                    Houston is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
                    Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
                    Houston is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                    Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                    Toronto Raptors
                    Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
                    Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
                    Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                    Toronto is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Houston
                    Toronto is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
                    Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

                    Boston Celtics
                    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                    Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
                    Boston is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
                    Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
                    Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Golden State
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Golden State
                    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
                    Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Golden State
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
                    Golden State Warriors
                    Golden State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
                    Golden State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
                    Golden State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
                    Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                    Golden State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
                    Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Boston
                    Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
                    Golden State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Boston
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Comment


                    • NBA
                      Long Sheet

                      Tuesday, March 5


                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      ORLANDO (30 - 35) at PHILADELPHIA (40 - 23) - 3/5/2019, 7:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                      PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                      7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      CHICAGO (18 - 46) at INDIANA (41 - 23) - 3/5/2019, 7:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      INDIANA is 84-67 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      INDIANA is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                      INDIANA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      INDIANA is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      CHICAGO is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                      INDIANA is 8-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                      7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      HOUSTON (38 - 25) at TORONTO (46 - 18) - 3/5/2019, 8:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
                      HOUSTON is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                      TORONTO is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
                      TORONTO is 148-187 ATS (-57.7 Units) in March games since 1996.
                      TORONTO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                      TORONTO is 205-258 ATS (-78.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                      TORONTO is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                      TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      PORTLAND (39 - 24) at MEMPHIS (25 - 40) - 3/5/2019, 8:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                      PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                      6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      OKLAHOMA CITY (39 - 24) at MINNESOTA (29 - 34) - 3/5/2019, 8:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      MINNESOTA is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
                      MINNESOTA is 6-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
                      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      BOSTON (38 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (44 - 19) - 3/5/2019, 10:35 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
                      GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                      5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • NBA
                        Dunkel

                        Tuesday, March 5



                        Boston @ Golden State

                        Game 525-526
                        March 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Boston
                        117.786
                        Golden State
                        121.301
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Golden State
                        by 3 1/2
                        223
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Golden State
                        by 8 1/2
                        229 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Boston
                        (+8 1/2); Under

                        Oklahoma City @ Minnesota


                        Game 523-524
                        March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Oklahoma City
                        117.863
                        Minnesota
                        115.212
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Oklahoma City
                        by 2 1/2
                        238
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Minnesota
                        by 3
                        234
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Oklahoma City
                        (+3); Over

                        Portland @ Memphis


                        Game 521-522
                        March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Portland
                        125.088
                        Memphis
                        117.210
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Portland
                        by 8
                        213
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Portland
                        by 5 1/2
                        217 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Portland
                        (-5 1/2); Under

                        Houston @ Toronto


                        Game 519-520
                        March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Houston
                        119.742
                        Toronto
                        125.236
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Toronto
                        by 5 1/2
                        233
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Toronto
                        by 3 1/2
                        227 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Toronto
                        (-3 1/2); Over

                        Chicago @ Indiana


                        Game 517-518
                        March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Chicago
                        117.069
                        Indiana
                        119.622
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Indiana
                        by 2 1/2
                        227
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Indiana
                        by 8
                        218
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Chicago
                        (+8); Over

                        Orlando @ Philadelphia


                        Game 515-516
                        March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Orlando
                        121.762
                        Philadelphia
                        120.302
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Orlando
                        by 1 1/2
                        220
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Philadelphia
                        by 4 1/2
                        223 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Orlando
                        (+4 1/2); Under

                        Comment


                        • Wednesday’s 6-pack

                          Odds to win the MVC tournament in St Louis this weekend:

                          — Loyola 8-5

                          — Drake 4-1

                          — Southern Illinois 9-2

                          — Missouri State 11-2

                          — Bradley 8-1

                          — Northern Iowa 12-1

                          — Illinois State 16-1

                          — Indiana State 20-1

                          — Valparaiso, Evansville 50-1

                          Quote of the Day
                          “You can say what you want to about size, but when you’re the most dangerous person on the court, it doesn’t matter. Size was never a factor growing up. College, I faced the same criticism. In the NBA, same thing.”
                          Trae Young

                          Wednesday’s quiz
                          Where did Draymond Green play his college basketball?

                          Tuesday’s quiz
                          Tony Bennett went 69-33 as coach at Washington State before moving to Virginia.

                          Monday’s quiz
                          There was no World Series in 1994, because the baseball players were on strike.


                          ************************************************** ****


                          Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings……

                          13) Last year, five NFL teams drafted a QB in the first round; four of those teams traded up to get their guy, which leads me to believe that there will be trading near the top of the draft again this year, especially if Arizona doesn’t draft Kyler Murray with the #1 pick.

                          If Arizona doesn’t take Murray, you have to think they’re trading the #1 pick, because there has to be SOMEONE out there who is enamored with Murray, and Arizona could net a couple extra picks to replenish other parts of their team.

                          12) Good move by Major League Baseball; looks like starting next year, rosters will increase to 26 players per team, while September rosters will be capped at 28, instead of 40, the way it is now. Now if they can just get the DH in both leagues as soon as possible.

                          11) Minnesota 73, Purdue 69— Carsen Edwards was 7-31 in this game, 3-15 on the arc- he had one assist. Purdue only took 68 shots; rest of the team was 17-37. Big win for Golden Gophers’ NCAA hopes.

                          If you go 7-31, do you have to soak your arm after the game?

                          10) Kentucky 80, Ole Miss 76— Rebels lost four of their last five games.

                          9) Duke 71, Wake Forest 70— Blue Devils were favored by 26.5 points; this score will have seeding repercussions if Zion Williamson doesn’t come back.

                          8) Florida State 73, Virginia Tech 64 OT— Hokies tied game on 3-pointer with 0:13 left, but FSU won/covered in OT. Bad beat for Tech backers. Seminoles clinch a double-bye in ACC tourney.

                          7) Oklahoma 81, Kansas 68— Jayhawks lost six of their last eight road games, and for first time in over a decade, they won’t win/share Big X regular season title.

                          6) Auburn 66, Alabama 60— Tigers trailed this game by 13, rallied for a win, but they haven’t been playing very well.

                          5) Bronx pitching ace Luis Severino was scratched from his spring training start with shoulder issue, and may not be ready for Opening Day.

                          Twins’ 3B Miguel Sano has undergone two debridement procedures on his lower right Achilles since injured the heel during a team celebration in winter league back in January. His foot is in a boot and Sano isn’t likely to play ball for the Twins until May.

                          4) Texas Rangers’ OF Nomar Mazara is the son of a high-ranking official in the Dominican Navy. He played against the Dodgers Sunday; LA broadcaster Nomar Garciaparra said that both his dad and Mazara’s dad are named Ramon, and Nomar, obviously, is Ramon spelled backwards.

                          3) Clemson football coach Dabo Swinney took batting practice with the St Louis Cardinals over the weekend; in the clips I saw, he was making a lot of contact.

                          2) New England Patriots had to replace five assistant coaches from last year, after five of last year’s assistants moved on to other NFL jobs. Lot of turnover for a winning team, as Tom Brady continues to make people he works with wealthier.

                          1) Santa Anita racetrack in southern California suspended racing indefinitely after the 21st horse death there since the winter meet began December 26.

                          Comment


                          • NBA
                            Long Sheet

                            Wednesday, March 6


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MIAMI (29 - 34) at CHARLOTTE (29 - 34) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
                            CHARLOTTE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                            MIAMI is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            MIAMI is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
                            MIAMI is 232-185 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
                            MIAMI is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
                            MIAMI is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 62-77 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                            MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DALLAS (27 - 36) at WASHINGTON (26 - 37) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                            DALLAS is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
                            DALLAS is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                            DALLAS is 518-440 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 193-144 ATS (+34.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                            DALLAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
                            DALLAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            DALLAS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                            DALLAS is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                            WASHINGTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                            WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
                            WASHINGTON is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            DALLAS is 5-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            DALLAS is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MINNESOTA (30 - 34) at DETROIT (31 - 31) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MINNESOTA is 381-445 ATS (-108.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
                            MINNESOTA is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
                            MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
                            MINNESOTA is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            DETROIT is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                            DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            SAN ANTONIO (36 - 29) at ATLANTA (22 - 43) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
                            ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CLEVELAND (16 - 48) at BROOKLYN (33 - 33) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            CLEVELAND is 70-95 ATS (-34.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                            BROOKLYN is 82-65 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            BROOKLYN is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
                            BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
                            BROOKLYN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            BROOKLYN is 7-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                            CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            UTAH (36 - 27) at NEW ORLEANS (30 - 36) - 3/6/2019, 8:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            NEW ORLEANS is 86-69 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW ORLEANS is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW ORLEANS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW ORLEANS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            UTAH is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            UTAH is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            UTAH is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
                            UTAH is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            PHILADELPHIA (41 - 23) at CHICAGO (18 - 47) - 3/6/2019, 8:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 133-104 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 66-48 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                            CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                            CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            NEW YORK (13 - 51) at PHOENIX (14 - 51) - 3/6/2019, 9:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                            NEW YORK is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                            NEW YORK is 239-186 ATS (+34.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
                            PHOENIX is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
                            PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
                            PHOENIX is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                            PHOENIX is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                            PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            BOSTON (39 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (32 - 31) - 3/6/2019, 10:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            SACRAMENTO is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
                            SACRAMENTO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
                            SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
                            SACRAMENTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
                            SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                            SACRAMENTO is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                            BOSTON is 92-69 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                            BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DENVER (42 - 21) at LA LAKERS (30 - 34) - 3/6/2019, 10:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                            DENVER is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Comment


                            • NBA
                              Armadillo's Write-Up

                              Wednesday, March 6


                              Heat won three of their last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last five games went over. Charlotte lost four of its last five games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Hornets won last two games with Miami after losing the previous six meetings; Heat is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Charlotte. Three of last four series games went over.

                              Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 20-7-3 in their last 30 games. Washington lost five of its last seven games; they covered three of last four home games. 11 of their last 12 games went over. Dallas won nine of last ten games with the Wizards; last three series games stayed under. Mavericks covered their last five visits to Washington.

                              Timberwolves lost three of their last four games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine road tilts, 3-4 vs spread on road if they played night before. Five of their last six games went over. Pistons won nine of their last 11 games; they covered their last five home games. Six of their last nine games went over. Detroit won/covered its last seven games with Minnesota; five of last six series games went over the total. Wolves covered once in their last four trips to the Motor City.

                              San Antonio won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine road games. Last four Spur games stayed under. Atlanta lost 8 of last 12 games but is 7-0 vs spread since the All-Star break; Hawks covered five of their last six home games. Last four Atlanta games all went over. Spurs won eight of last ten games with the Hawks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

                              Cavaliers are 5-3 in last eight games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games went over. Brooklyn lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 home games. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Cleveland won seven of its last ten games with the Nets; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Over is 5-3-1 in last nine series games.

                              Utah won four of last five games; hey covered six of last seven road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. New Orleans won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Road side won last five Jazz-Pelican games; Utah covered their last four visits to Bourbon Street. Seven of last ten series games went over.

                              Philly won three of last four games; they covered five of last six road games, are 3-6 on road, if they played night before. Five of their last six games stayed under. Chicago lost its last two games; they’re 2-4-1 in last seven home games, 4-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. 76ers won last three games with the Bulls, by 14-1-19 points; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five trips to Chicago. Five of last seven series games went over.

                              New York lost 22 of its last 25 games; they’re 2-3-1 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Phoenix won three of its last four games after an 0-17 skid; they covered three of last four one games. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games. Knicks/Suns split their last eight meetings; New York is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to the desert. Four of last six series games went over the total.

                              Celtics won by 33 in Oakland last nite; they’re 1-8 vs spread if they played night before. Boston is 2-5 since All-Star break; they’re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 road games. Last five Boston games stayed under. Kings lost three of last four games; they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Boston won five of its last six games with the Kings; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. Three of last four series games stayed under.

                              Denver lost its last three games; they’re 1-8-1 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 8-0-1 in their last nine games. Lakers lost five of their last six games, are 4-5 vs spread in their last nine games at Staples. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last eight Nugget-Laker games; Denver is 0-4 vs spread in last four series games played here. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

                              Comment


                              • NBA

                                Wednesday, March 6


                                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                Trend Report
                                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                Miami Heat
                                Miami is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
                                Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                                Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                                Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
                                The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games when playing Charlotte
                                Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
                                Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
                                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
                                Charlotte Hornets
                                Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                                Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
                                Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                                Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
                                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
                                Charlotte is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
                                Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
                                The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 15 games when playing Miami
                                Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
                                Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
                                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

                                Dallas Mavericks
                                Dallas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
                                Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
                                Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                                Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
                                Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
                                Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
                                Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
                                Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
                                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
                                Washington Wizards
                                Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 12 games
                                Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
                                Washington is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
                                Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
                                Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
                                Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
                                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

                                Minnesota Timberwolves
                                Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
                                Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
                                Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
                                Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
                                Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                                Detroit Pistons
                                Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                                Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
                                Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                                Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
                                Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
                                Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

                                Cleveland Cavaliers
                                Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                                Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                                Cleveland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
                                Cleveland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                                Cleveland is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
                                Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
                                Cleveland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Brooklyn
                                Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
                                Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
                                Brooklyn Nets
                                Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                                Brooklyn is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
                                Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
                                Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
                                Brooklyn is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cleveland
                                Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

                                San Antonio Spurs
                                San Antonio is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
                                San Antonio is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                                San Antonio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 11 games on the road
                                San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
                                San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
                                San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                                San Antonio is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                                Atlanta Hawks
                                Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                                Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
                                Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                                Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
                                Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
                                Atlanta is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Antonio
                                Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
                                Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio

                                Philadelphia 76ers
                                Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
                                Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                                Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
                                Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
                                Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                                Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
                                The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games when playing Chicago
                                Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                                Philadelphia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                                Chicago Bulls
                                Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 13 games
                                Chicago is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
                                Chicago is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
                                Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
                                Chicago is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
                                Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
                                The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
                                Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
                                Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

                                Utah Jazz
                                Utah is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
                                Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                                Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games on the road
                                Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
                                Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
                                The total has gone OVER in 15 of Utah's last 20 games when playing New Orleans
                                Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
                                Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
                                New Orleans Pelicans
                                New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                                New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                                New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                                New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
                                New Orleans is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah
                                New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Utah
                                The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 20 games when playing Utah
                                New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
                                New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

                                New York Knicks
                                New York is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
                                New York is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 19 games
                                New York is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games on the road
                                New York is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
                                New York is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
                                Phoenix Suns
                                Phoenix is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games
                                Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                                Phoenix is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
                                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home
                                Phoenix is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing New York
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New York
                                Phoenix is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York

                                Boston Celtics
                                Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                                Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
                                Boston is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
                                Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Sacramento
                                Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
                                Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                                Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                                Sacramento Kings
                                Sacramento is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
                                Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
                                Sacramento is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
                                Sacramento is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
                                Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Boston
                                Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Boston
                                Sacramento is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
                                Sacramento is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Boston

                                Denver Nuggets
                                Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
                                Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
                                Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
                                Denver is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
                                Denver is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games when playing LA Lakers
                                Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                                Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                                Los Angeles Lakers
                                LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                                LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                                LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                                The total has gone UNDER in 18 of LA Lakers's last 24 games at home
                                LA Lakers is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Denver
                                LA Lakers is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Denver
                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing Denver
                                LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
                                LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


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