The Bum's College Basketball Best Bets/Trends/ News Thru The Madness !

[StarDust Bum]

EVENING BEST BETS:


ODU at LT 07:00 PM
ODU -2.5

HOF at UNCW 07:00 PM
HOF -3.5
O 160.0

MONM at MAN 07:00 PM
MONM -1.0

RID at MRST 07:00 PM
RID -9.5

PRIN at DART 07:00 PM
PRIN -5.5

COR at YALE 07:00 PM
YALE -6.5

MORE at EKY 07:00 PM
EKY -3.0

SEMO at UTM 07:00 PM
UTM -2.0

FAU at MRSH 07:00 PM
O 153.5

UCLA at ASU 07:00 PM
ASU -5.0

MILW at WRST 07:00 PM
WRST -7.0

GB at NKU 07:00 PM
NKU -16.5


*****************************

TTU at KSU 08:00 PM
TTU -1.0

LAS at SLU 08:00 PM
SLU -3.5

CIT at SAM 08:00 PM
CIT +5.0
O 181.5

TNST at JVST 08:00 PM
JVST -7.0

CSF at UCD 08:00 PM
UCD -3.5

UCI at UCRV 08:00 PM
UCI -7.5

CLEVST at UIC 08:00 PM
CLEVST +11.0

SDST at ORU 08:00 PM
SDST -6.0

RICE at UAB 08:00 PM
RICE +16.5

WYO at UNLV 08:00 PM
WYO +6.0

SDSU at NEV 08:00 PM
SDSU +5.5

IPFW at NEOM 08:00 PM
O 159.0


***************************

UK at TAM 08:15 PM
TAM -5.5

BEL at TNTC 08:30 PM
BEL -8.5

VAN at ARK 08:30 PM
VAN +6.5

UTSA at UTEP 09:00 PM
UTSA -2.0

UND at IDST 09:00 PM
UND +2.0

CSUS at MONT 09:00 PM
MONT -16.5

UNCO at WEB 09:00 PM
O 151.5

BSU at USU 09:00 PM
BSU -3.0

*************************


CAL at UTAH 09:30 PM
CAL +13.0

GONZ at SMC 10:00 PM
SMC -1.5

PORT at PAC 10:00 PM
PORT +10.0

WASH at ORST 10:00 PM
ORST -6.5

USC at ARIZ 10:15 PM
USC +6.5

CP at LBSU 11:00 PM
LBSU -8.5

CSN at HAW 11:59 PM
CSN +12.0
U 130.0

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds for the 2018 Stanley Cup playoffs:

5-1— Tampa Bay Lightning

6-1— Nashville Predators, Las Vegas Golden Knights

8-1— Pittsburgh Penguins

10-1— Boston Bruins

12-1— Toronto, Washington, Winnipeg

16-1— Anaheim Ducks


**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday

13) Oregon State 97, Washington 94 2OT— Just when the Huskies were sneaking towards the bubble, Stephen Thompson Jr hit the game winner with 0:00.3 left. Thompson’s dad played for Syracuse, where he was a teammate of Washington coach Mike Hopkins.

12) Texas A&M 85, Kentucky 74— Wildcats lost their 3rd straight game; they’re 3-5 in last eight games- they’re shooting 28.7% on arc in SEC games. A&M won six of last eight games; they have an interesting resume; several quality wins, but also a 5-game losing streak in January.

11) Virginia Tech 61, Virginia 60 OT— Hokies won five of last six games; this win is especially important for them because their non-conference schedule was 341st in country, which means it was really weak. This was Virginia’s first loss since Dec 5 at West Virginia.

10) Upsets of the Day:
UL-Monroe (+13.5) 90, Georgia State 82 OT
Virginia Tech (+12) 61, Virginia 60 OT
Oklahoma State (+12) 88, West Virginia 85
Cal-Northridge (+11.5) 77, Hawai’i 71
DePaul (+9) 80, Providence 63
Northern Illinois (+8.5) 90, Buffalo 88 OT
Fordham (+8) 80, Duquesne 57

9) Baylor 80, Kansas 64— Right now, with six games left, Texas Tech is atop Big X at 9-3, with Jayhawks one game behind. Kansas won the last 13 Big X regular season titles.

8) Michigan State 68, Purdue 65— Rough week for the senior-laden Boilermakers, who lost to Buckeyes/Spartans by combined total of four points. Miles Bridges hit the game-winner with 0:03 left to send everyone home happy in East Lansing.

7) Xavier 72, Creighton 71— Controversial ending, with refs calling foul on the Bluejays with 0:00.3 left— marginal calls like that don’t often go against the home folks. Goodin scored a career-high 17 points for the Musketeers.

6) Boston College 72, Miami 70- Vastly-improved Eagles are 5-7 in ACC this year, after being 10-62 in ACC games the previous four years.

5) Colorado State 90, San Jose State 79— Rams suspended interim head coach Steve Barnes just before this game; a 30-year old assistant was named the newest interim coach. Apparently the players like this guy; they doused him with water bottles after this win snapped the Rams’ losing streak at seven games.

4) Arizona State 88, UCLA 79— Sun Devils got their first Pac-12 weekend sweep in three seasons under coach Bobby Hurley- they’re also over .500 (7-6) in Pac-12 for first time this season.

3) North Carolina 96, NC State 89— Since 2002, Tar Heels are now 13-0 in game following a win over Duke; you’d think that next game would be a trap game, but not for Carolina.

2) Montana 71, Sacramento State 69 OT— Griz is 13-0 in Big Sky, narrowly avoiding an upset loss here. Hornets led by 9 with 11:23 left, by 3 with 1:45 left.

1— UNLV 85, Wyoming 70— I had fun watching this game in person; Rebels jumped out to 19-2 lead, then the natives got restless when Cowboys briefly grabbed lead in second half. UNLV held Wyoming star James to 6-23 shooting— he is 15-45 from floor since the Cowboys played three consecutive OT games Jan 24-27-31.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, February 11


Wake Forest @ Syracuse

Game 817-818
February 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
62.336
Syracuse
70.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 8 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 7 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(-7 1/2); Under

Michigan @ Wisconsin

Game 819-820
February 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
70.894
Wisconsin
63.238
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 7 1/2
121
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 4
128
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-4); Under

Louisville @ Pittsburgh

Game 821-822
February 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
66.737
Pittsburgh
58.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 8
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 11 1/2
136
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-8 1/2); Over

UCF @ Memphis

Game 823-824
February 11, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCF
60.452
Memphis
58.909
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 1 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(+2); N/A

Bradley @ Southern Illinois

Game 825-826
February 11, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bradley
47.096
Southern Illinois
54.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Illinois
by 7
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Illinois
by 4 1/2
134
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Illinois
(-4 1/2); Under

Illinois State @ Valparaiso

Game 827-828
February 11, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois State
48.342
Valparaiso
54.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Valparaiso
by 6 1/2
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Valparaiso
by 4 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Valparaiso
(-4 1/2); Under

Stanford @ Colorado

Game 829-830
February 11, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
62.337
Colorado
61.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 1
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(+2 1/2); Over

Cincinnati @ SMU

Game 831-832
February 11, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
70.652
SMU
66.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 4
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 8
126
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(+8); Over

Tulane @ Houston

Game 833-834
February 11, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
52.319
Houston
68.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 16 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 14
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-14); N/A

Duke @ Georgia Tech

Game 835-836
February 11, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
74.562
Georgia Tech
62.019
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 12 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 9
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-9); Under

Penn State @ Illinois

Game 837-838
February 11, 2018 @

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
64.335
Illinois
64.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois
Even
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 3
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois
(+3); Over

Washington St @ Oregon

Game 839-840
February 11, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
54.652
Oregon
66.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 12
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 15 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(+15 1/2); Over

Loyola-Maryland @ Lafayette

Game 841-842
February 11, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Loyola-Maryland
42.248
Lafayette
44.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lafayette
by 2 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lafayette
by 5 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola-Maryland
(+5 1/2); Over

Wagner @ Fair Dickinson

Game 843-844
February 11, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wagner
50.228
Fair Dickinson
46.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wagner
by 3 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wagner
by 6 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fair Dickinson
(+6 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (9 - 15) at SYRACUSE (16 - 8) - 2/11/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 79-119 ATS (-51.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 75-117 ATS (-53.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WAKE FOREST is 120-160 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (19 - 7) at WISCONSIN (11 - 15) - 2/11/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-2 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (17 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 17) - 2/11/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 122-90 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 4-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 5-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (14 - 9) at MEMPHIS (14 - 10) - 2/11/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-3 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRADLEY (17 - 9) at S ILLINOIS (16 - 10) - 2/11/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
S ILLINOIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 2-2 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS ST (14 - 11) at VALPARAISO (12 - 14) - 2/11/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS ST is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (13 - 12) at COLORADO (14 - 10) - 2/11/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 4-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (22 - 2) at SMU (15 - 9) - 2/11/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
SMU is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 3-3 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 3-3 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (13 - 10) at HOUSTON (18 - 5) - 2/11/2018, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-3 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-2 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (19 - 5) at GEORGIA TECH (11 - 13) - 2/11/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 69-41 ATS (+23.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (17 - 9) at ILLINOIS (12 - 13) - 2/11/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in February games since 1997.
PENN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 3-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 3-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (9 - 14) at OREGON (16 - 8) - 2/11/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 11

Syracuse won four of its last six games; they’re 3-2 in ACC home games, winning by 12-14-18 points. Wake Forest lost 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 0-6 on ACC road, with three losses by 6 or fewer points. Syracuse lost 73-67 at Wake Jan 3, Deacons’ first win in five ACC games against the Orange. Wake lost its two games in Carrier Dome, by 3-5 points. Syracuse is 6-2 in last eight games as home favorites, 2-2 this year; Wake is 4-9 in last 13 games as road underdogs, 1-4 this year. ACC home favorites are 29-24 vs spread.

Michigan is 5-4 in its last nine games after a 14-3 start; they lost last three road games, are 2-4 on Big 14 road, winning at Iowa/Michigan St. Wisconsin lost eight of last ten games, with both wins over Illinois; Badgers are 2-3 in Big 14 home games. Michigan won its last two games with Wisconsin by 6-15 points, after losing seven of previous eight series games. Wolverines lost nine of their last ten visits to Madison. Michigan is 1-5 in last six games as road favorites; under Gard, Badgers are 2-2 as home underdogs. Big 14 home underdogs are 15-11 vs spread.

Pitt is 0-12 in ACC; they’re starting four freshmen. Panthers are 0-5 in ACC home games, losing last two by 4-5 points. Louisville lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-3 on ACC road, with both wins by four points, at FSU/Notre Dame. Louisville hammered Pitt 77-51 at home Jan 2, their 11th straight series win; Cardinals won their last four visits to Pitt, by 11-12-17-55 points- they won 106-55 here LY. Louisville is 10-13-1 in last 24 games as road favorites; 5-6-1 under Stallings as home underdogs, 2-3 this year. ACC home underdogs are 12-13 vs spread.

Memphis lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-4 on AAC road, winning at Temple/USF. UCF lost five of its last seven games; they’re 3-2 in AAC home games, losing to Cincinnati/Houston. Memphis lost 65-56 at Central Florida Jan 3; UCF outscored them 19-9 on foul line, going 19-31 on charity stripe. Knights won last three series games, by 15-30-9 points, but they’re 0-10 in last ten visits to Memphis. UCF is 9-5 vs spread in last 14 AAC home games; Memphis is 9-15 in last 24 road games. AAC home favorites are 22-19 vs spread.

Bradley shot 63.3% inside arc in 68-62 home win over Southern Illinois Jan 9; home side won nine of last ten series games- Braves lost last four visits to SIU, by 11-11-12-20 points. Bradley split its last ten games, losing last two; they’re 1-5 on MVC road, with only win by 8 at Indiana St. SIU won five of its last six games; they’re 5-1 in Valley home games, with only loss to Drake by 3. Bradley is 5-9 in last 14 games as road underdogs, 1-4 this year; Salukis are 3-2-1 this season as home favorites. MVC home favorites are 27-22 vs spread.

Illinois State won its last four games after a 4-5 MVC start; Redbirds are 2-4 on MVC road, with wins at Evansville, Missouri St. Valparaiso lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 3-3 in Valley home games, with all three losses by double digits- they beat SIU, Drake, Indiana State. ISU shot 68.6% inside arc in 76-65 home win over Valparaiso Jan 27; teams combined to shoot 7-42 on arc. Redbirds are 8-14 in last 22 games as road underdogs, 1-4 this year; Valpo is 3-3 as home favorites in their first year in MVC. MVC home favorites are 27-22 vs spread.

Colorado won its last eight games with Stanford; Cardinal lost its last four visits to Boulder, by 21-6-16-19 points. Buffaloes are 5-1 at home, 1-5 on road in Pac-12, with only home loss by 10 to Washington. Colorado is turning ball over 20.9% of time in conference games. Stanford lost four of its last six games, losing last three road games, by 5-16-15 points. Buffs are 19-12 in last 31 games as home favorites, 1-2 this year; Stanford is 6-17 in last 23 games as road underdogs, 2-2 this year. Pac-12 home favorites are 25-22 vs spread.

Cincinnati whacked SMU 76-56 at home Jan 7; teams split last six meetings. Bearcats lost three of four games in Moody Coliseum- home side won eight of nine series games. Cincy won its last 15 games; they’re 5-0 in AAC road games, with four wins by 8+ points. Bearcats are grabbing 41.1% of their missed shots. Mustangs lost six of their last nine games; they’re 4-1 at home in AAC, with only loss by basket to Temple. Cincy is 12-17 in last 29 games as road favorites; SMU is an AAC home underdog for first time in four years. AAC home underdogs are 13-12 vs spread.

Tulane made 10-21 on arc in 81-72 home win over Houston Jan 17; Cougars are 6-3 in AAC tilts against the Green Wave, which lost last two visits here, by 18-14 points. Green Wave lost 7 of last 10 games; they’re 2-3 in AAC road games, losing by 7-11-2 points. Houston won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-0 in AAC home games, winning by 3-33-14-23-9 points. Tulane is 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs; Houston is 9-11 in last 20 games as home favorites, 2-2 this year. AAC home favorites are 22-19 against the spread.

Duke lost three of last four games after an 18-2 start; they’re 3-3 on ACC road, with wins by 35-8-14 points. Georgia Tech lost six of its last seven games; they’re 3-2 in ACC home tilts, losing by 16 to Virginia, by hoop against Clemson. Duke won its last ten games with Tech; they beat Tech 110-57 at home LY. Blue Devils won last three visits here, by 7-17-9 points. Duke is 13-22 in last 35 games as road favorites, 2-3 this year; Tech is 13-5 in last 18 games as home underdogs, 2-1 this year. ACC home underdogs are 12-13 vs spread.

Penn State won four of its last five games; they’re 2-4 in Big 14 road games, winning by 4 at Iowa, 3 at Ohio State. Illinois lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-4 in Big 14 home games, beating Indiana, Rutgers. Illini is turning ball over 20% of time in Big 14 games. PSU won its last three games with Illinois, by 7-4-13 points. Nittany Lions’ win here LY was their first in last six visits to Illinois. Illinois is 7-13 in last 20 games as home underdogs, 1-1 this year; PSU is 3-2 in last five games as road favorites. Big 14 home underdogs are 15-11 vs spread.

Washington State is 1-10 in Pac-12 and hasn’t covered any of their 10 losses; five of their six road losses are by 13+ points. Oregon won four of its last five games; they’re 4-2 at home in Pac-12. Oregon is 10-1 in its last 11 games with WSU, winning last three by 23-14-19 points; Coogs lost their last seven visits to Eugene. Oregon is 16-7 in last 23 games as home favorites, 3-3 this year; Wazzu is 10-14 in last 24 games as road underdogs, 0-6 this year. Pac-12 home favorites are 25-22 vs spread. WSU coach Kent is an Oregon alum and once coached the Ducks.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 11

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Trend Report
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LOUISVILLE @ PITTSBURGH
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Louisville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games

WAKE FOREST @ SYRACUSE
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Wake Forest's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 7 games at home
Syracuse is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wake Forest

MICHIGAN @ WISCONSIN
Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Wisconsin
Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Michigan
Wisconsin is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Michigan

PERU STATE @ SOUTH DAKOTA
South Dakota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
South Dakota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

CINCINNATI @ SOUTHERN METHODIST
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home

CENTRAL FLORIDA @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Central Florida's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against Central Florida

BRADLEY @ SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bradley's last 5 games when playing Southern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bradley's last 5 games
Southern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Southern Illinois is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Bradley

ILLINOIS STATE @ VALPARAISO
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Illinois State's last 11 games on the road
Illinois State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Valparaiso's last 7 games
Valparaiso is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home

STANFORD @ COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games on the road
Stanford is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Stanford

DUKE @ GEORGIA TECH
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
Duke is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games when playing at home against Duke
Georgia Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

TULANE @ HOUSTON
Tulane is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games

PENN STATE @ ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Penn State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Penn State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing at home against Penn State

WASHINGTON STATE @ OREGON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington State
Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington State

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday's Tip Sheet
February 10, 2018

Sundays now belong to college basketball when it comes to betting on the games. This week's lineup is highlighted by a trio of matchups that cover the nation from coast-to-coast starting in the ACC moving to the Big Ten and winding-up out west in the Pac-12.

No. 9 Duke at Georgia Tech (ESPN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Duke -9 Tota, 147 ½

Betting Matchup

Following their stunning 81-77 loss to St. John’s last Saturday as 10 ½-point road favorites, the Blue Devils came up short against their bitter rivals on Thursday night in an 82-78 road loss to North Carolina as slight 1 ½-point underdogs. This rare two-game skid both straight-up and against the spread drops Duke to 19-5 SU (13-10 ATS) with a 7-4 SU (6-5 ATS) record in the ACC. Freshman guard Gary Trent Jr. scored a team-high 16 points against the Tar Heels and freshman forward Marvin Bagley III added 15 points in the losing cause.

The Yellow Jackets have just one SU victory in their last seven games as part of a 4-7 record in conference play. They have failed to cover in five of those seven games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six contests. In Thursday’s 77-54 loss to Louisville as a seven-point road underdog, Georgia Tech got a big effort from sophomore guard Josh Okogie with a game-high 25 points. He continues to lead the team in scoring with an average of 18.4 points as part of the Yellow Jackets’ 65.6 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Devils have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in 17 of their last 23 road games.

-- The Yellow Jackets are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games at home and the total has gone OVER in their last four Sunday games.

-- Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, the favorite is 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in 15 of the last 20 games between the two.

Penn State at Illinois (Big Ten Network, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Penn State -2 ½, Total 146 ½

Betting Matchup

The Lions have won four of their last five games both SU and ATS coming off Wednesday’s 74-70 victory against Maryland as 4 ½-point home favorites. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Penn State is 7-6 SU in Big Ten play and 17-9 overall behind an offense that is averaging 76.2 PPG while allowing an average of 66.9 points on the defensive side of the ball. Sophomore guard Tony Carr is the Lions’ top scorer with an average of 19.3 points a game.

Illinois is much farther down the list in the standings at 2-10 SU in conference play as part of a 12-13 record on the year. The Fighting Illini could not get past Wisconsin at home on Thursday night in a 78-69 loss as 4 ½-point favorites. The total went OVER 135 ½ points and it has gone OVER in four of their last five games while giving up an average of 74.2 points during this same span. Illinois is averaging 77.0 PPG behind Leron Black (14.3 points) and Trent Frazier (12.5 points).

Betting Trends

-- The Nittany Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games coming off a SU win and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five road games.

-- The Fighting Illini have covered ATS in five of their last six games on Sunday and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their last five home games.

-- Penn State has gone 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games against the Fighting Illini and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven meetings in Illinois.

Washington State at Oregon (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Oregon -15 ½, Total 149 ½

Betting Matchup

It has been a long winter for the Cougars at 1-10 SU in Pac-12 play as part of an overall record of 9-14. Their current losing streak reached six games both SU and ATS with Thursday’s 94-62 loss to Oregon State as nine-point road underdogs. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games. The two bright spots for Washington State has been the play of junior forward Robert Franks and sophomore guard Malachi Flynn with a combined 32.4 PPG as part of the team’s 74-point scoring average.

The Ducks remain in the middle of the pack in the conference standings at 6-5 both SU and ATS after beating Washington 65-40 on Thursday night as 8 ½-point home favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games. Oregon is averaging 78.6 PPG behind a trio of players scoring at least 12 points a game. Freshman forward Troy Brown (12.1 PPG) scored a game-high 21 points against the Huskies and sophomore guard Payton Pritchard (14.3 PPG) added 12 points in the winning effort.

Betting Trends

-- The Cougars have failed to cover in their last eight road games and the total has gone OVER in five of their last six games played on the road.

-- The Ducks have gone 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games at home and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six home games.

-- Washington State is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games against Oregon and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday's Best Bets
February 10, 2018

Sunday College Basketball Best Bets

Sunday's college basketball schedule might not have all the flare that Saturday's did, but there are still some pretty big games on the board as a few ranked programs look to rebound from tough road losses earlier this week.

No. 20 Michigan and No. 9 Duke are both coming off losses earlier this week and remain out on the road to do battle with another conference rival on their own turf. Both will be expected to win their respective games, but the point spread is always the great equalizer, and Duke may have a tougher go of it after their game against North Carolina didn't go according to plan.

Yet it's both of these games that have caught my eye in terms of investing in them on Sunday as there are some interesting scenarios involved as both Michigan and Duke face a conference foe for the first and only time this year. Let's get right to the plays:

Best Bet #1: Michigan/Wisconsin Over 126

Michigan suffered their 6th loss of the campaign on a trip to Northwestern earlier this week as the Wildcats got revenge for a loss up in Ann Arbor last week. The 61-52 Michigan loss was the fourth time the Wolverines were held to 59 points or less this year, two of which came against that Northwestern squad. But interestingly enough, in the previous three times Michigan was held in that range offensively, they bounced back with a 2-1 O/U record in their following contests as they averaged 76 points per game. Wisconsin is by no means a defensive stalwart in the Big 10 this year (give up 66.5/game), but with an 8-5 O/U mark in 13 home games this year, the Badgers do prefer to play a little faster in front of friendly faces.

However, more importantly for this play specifically is the tendency for the Badgers to really struggle defensively when they are severely over-matched from a talent perspective and playing a ranked opponent. In Wisconsin's five previous games against programs currently ranked in the Top 25, they've allowed an average of 73.2 points per game. Take out the 49-37 loss to Virginia (a team notorious for low-scoring games) and that number jumps up to 79.25 per game as the Badgers seemingly can't slow down any quality opponent. The Badgers are also 3-1 O/U in those four contests (eliminating the Virginia game) and I've got a tough time seeing how this will be any different.

With Michigan looking to open things up a bit after another grinding game against Northwestern, look for this contest to sail well 'over' this number as both teams get the offenses rolling early and fill up the scoresheet in a hurry.

Best Bet #2: Duke/Georgia Tech Over 147.5

I'm going with yet another 'over' play here as the Duke Blue Devils look to regroup and lick their wounds after a very disappointing 2nd half against UNC. Duke held a 49-45 lead at half against the Tar Heels, but after lighting up the scoresheet in the first 20 minutes, the offense was stymied in the final 20 minutes, only scoring 29 points in the eventual four-point loss.

The disappointment mainly came from a lack of execution in the 2nd half as the Tar Heels adjusted to what Duke was finding success with, and the Blue Devils couldn't adjust themselves. I don't think that will be the case in this one against a Georgia Tech team the Blue Devils hope they can run out of the gym early, but this number is a touch too low if you ask me.

The Yellow Jackets go into this game knowing they'll have to pick up their offense if they want any chance of getting the W, and they are in a relatively good spot for getting the job done; at least on offense. Georgia Tech has been held in the 50's in two of their last three games overall, but similar to Michigan, in games after the Yellow Jackets have been held to that type of offensive output, they've responded with an average of 69.2 points per game scored. That may not seem like much, but considering they only average 65.6/game on the year, a bump of nearly four points in this spot is rather significant. The fact that two of their three games have also finished with 55 or less points scored actually is part of the reason this total is set at the number it is.

With Duke's defense allowing 72.8/game and likely to be a little less focused as road favorites here after that huge rivalry game on Thursday night, don't be surprised to see the Yellow Jackets surpass that number in this one. If that happens, Duke, and their 89.1 points/game will let their offense do the talking in getting this likely win, but not before this total is easily surpassed.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s 6-pack

Odds for the 2018 American League:

5-2– Houston Astros

3-1— Bronx Bombers

7-2— Cleveland Indians

6-1— Boston Red Sox

10-1— Los Angeles Angels

12-1— Toronto, Minnesota

Quote of the Day

“He should be Rookie of the Year for sure. Not just because of his numbers but his impact on their team. He’s leading them. He’s able to get to the rim. He’s shooting the ball with ease. He’s a really good player, not just for a rookie.”
Damian Lillard, talking about Utah rookie Donovan Mitchell

Monday’s quiz

Who was coach of the Oklahoma City Thunder before Billy Donovan?

Sunday’s quiz

New Mexico is known as the Land of Enchantment.

Saturday’s quiz

Pat Riley was coach of the Miami Heat before Erik Spoelstra.


Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) I don’t like the Winter Olympics; I despise everything about winter except basketball, but there is this one weird sport where people ski around for a while, then they lay on the ground and fire a rifle at targets, and their skiing time gets penalized if they miss targets— then they get up, ski some more, and then shoot more targets.

Apparently it started out as a training exercise for soldiers in Norway or Finland, before it became an actual competition.

12) Pitt Panthers are 8-18 this year, 0-13 in the ACC; they’re starting four freshmen in a brutal league. Pitt fans ran former coach Jamie Dixon out of town after he went 40-32 in conference play his last four years at Pitt. Be careful what you wish for…….

11) Indianapolis Colts signed Frank Reich as their new coach, even running a pic of him signing his contract on Twitter, in a good-natured response to cynical fans on social media, after the debacle with Josh McDaniel weaseling out of his commitment to Indianapolis.

10) Chicago Cubs gave P Yu Darvish $126M for six years. Darvish was 10-12, 3.86 in 31 starts LY for Texas/Dodgers; he’s been an All-Star in four of his five big league seasons.

9) Good to see NASCAR races on TV Sunday; once you see NASCAR, that means spring training ain’t too far away.

8) California’s insurance commissioner has launched an investigation into Aetna after learning a former medical director for the insurer admitted under oath he never looked at patients’ records when deciding whether to approve or deny care.

Oy.

7) Arizona Cardinals’ WR Larry Fitzgerald teamed with pro Kevin Streelman to win the pro-am at the Pebble Beach golf tournament this weekend.

6) Cavaliers 121, Celtics 99— Its obviously way too early to grade the NBA trades made last week, but Cleveland has to be giddy about their first two games after the trades— Addition by Subtraction would be a good way to sum things up so far.

5) Jazz 115, Trailblazers 96— Utah won its last eight games, is now 1.5 games out of the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

4) Cincinnati 76, SMU 51— Mustangs got crushed and still only played seven guys- the 7th guy played only 8:00. Security at SMU games must be pretty tight; former President George Bush (43) sits at half court most games. Kind of like SMU’s version of Jack Nicholson or Billy Crystal.

3) I’m not a fan of these “mock brackets” being put out— in four weeks, we’ll have the real brackets and they’re the only ones that matter. I suppose it gets people talking about college basketball and thats good, but it is useless chatter. Upsets will happen, teams will slide or surge and the committee will most likely get the right 68 teams in.

2) Kentucky lost its last three games, first time that has happened in John Calipari’s tenure; no pundits will pick them to make the Final Four but no coaches will want to see the Wildcats in their bracket.

1— Happy birthday to Abraham Lincoln, who would’ve turned 209 years old today.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 12


Notre Dame @ North Carolina

Game 713-714
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
63.227
North Carolina
77.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 14 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 9 1/2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-9 1/2); Over

TCU @ West Virginia

Game 715-716
February 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
66.203
West Virginia
76.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 10 1/2
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 6
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-6); Over

Baylor @ Texas

Game 717-718
February 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
66.525
Texas
71.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 5
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 3
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-3); Under

Iona @ Siena

Game 719-720
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iona
55.422
Siena
46.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 9
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 8
143
Dunkel Pick:
Iona
(-8); Under

Fairfield @ Canisius

Game 721-722
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
50.855
Canisius
56.389
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 5 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 7 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
(+7 1/2); Over

E Tenn State @ NC-Greensboro

Game 723-724
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
62.413
NC-Greensboro
60.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 1 1/2
130
Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
(+1 1/2); Over

Mercer @ Samford

Game 725-726
February 12, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
52.551
Samford
45.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 7
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 4
159
Dunkel Pick:
Mercer
(-4); Under

Colgate @ Bucknell

Game 727-728
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
48.737
Bucknell
63.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bucknell
by 15
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bucknell
by 11 1/2
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bucknell
(-11 1/2); Under

Delaware State @ Norfolk State

Game 729-730
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware State
31.224
Norfolk State
47.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Norfolk State
by 16 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Norfolk State
by 12
136
Dunkel Pick:
Norfolk State
(-12); Under

Jackson State @ Prairie View

Game 731-732
February 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jackson State
36.404
Prairie View
46.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Prairie View
by 10 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Prairie View
by 8 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Prairie View
(-8 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 12

North Carolina outscored Notre Dame 9-2 over final 5:58 of a 69-68 win in South Bend Jan 13, in game Irish PG Farrell missed- he’s back now. Carolina is 5-3 vs ND in ACC play, winning last three meetings by 31-1-7 points. Irish are 1-2 in Chapel Hill, losing by 2-7 points. Tar Heels beat Duke/NC State in last four days; quick turnaround here. Irish lost last four road games, by 7-9-22-18 points. UNC is 10-5 in last 15 games as home favorite, 3-3 this year; Notre Dame is 10-8 in last 18 games as road underdogs, but is only 1-4 this year. ACC home favorites are 30-24.

TCU beat West Virginia 82-73 at home Jan 22, breaking an 0-11 series skid. Horned Frogs lost all five visits to Morgantown, with four of five losses by 12+ points. West Virginia lost six of last nine games after a 15-1 start; they lost two of last three home games. TCU lost five of last six road games, with all five losses by 7 or fewer points- the one win was at Oklahoma State. Under Dixon, TCU is 4-7-2 as road underdogs, 1-1-2 this year; West Va is 6-8 in last 14 games as home favorites, 2-3 this season. Big X home favorites are 19-22 vs spread.

Texas was outscored 16-4 on foul line in 69-60 loss at Baylor Jan 6; Bears won last five series games, winning last two visits to Austin, by 14-11 points. Longhorns lost three of last four games; they won five of last six home games, with only loss by 3 to K-State. Bears won last three games, by 14-11-16 points, after a 2-8 skid; Baylor lost six of its last seven road games, with lone win at Oklahoma State. Baylor is 10-5 in last 15 games as road underdogs, 4-1 this year; under Smart, Longhorns are 5-6-1 as home favorites. Big X home favorites are 19-22 vs spread.

Siena lost 71-69 at Iona Jan 11, after leading by 12 with 10:09 left; Saints are 2-12 in last 14 series games. Iona won four of last five regular season visits to Albany, but last three were all decided by 4 or fewer points. Gaels are 4-3 in their last seven games; this is their 3rd game in five nights- they’re 4-2 on MAAC road. Siena is 3-10 in MAAC, 3-3 at home- they haven’t played since loss at Canisius Thursday. Iona is 14-8 in last 22 games as road favorites, 4-2 this year; under Patsos, Saints are 4-9 as home underdogs, 2-2 this year. MAAC home underdogs are 9-11 vs spread.

Fairfield won three of its last four games; Stags are 1-5 on MAAC road, with one win by a point at Monmouth. Canisius won eight of last nine games, is tied for 1st in MAAC with win here. Griffins are 6-1 at home in MAAC, losing to local rival Niagara. Fairfield won three of last four games with Canisius, winning last two visits here, by 3-3 points. Under Witherspoon, Canisius is 6-5-1 as home favorites, 3-1-1 this year; Fairfield 21-15-1 in last 37 games as road underdogs, 1-3 this year. MAAC home favorites are 21-21 against the spread.

East Tennessee State won its last 16 games; they’re 7-0 on SoCon road, with five wins by 13+ points. NC-Greensboro won eight of last nine games, with loss in double OT; Spartans are 6-0 at home in SoCon. ETSU shot 58.3% inside arc, beat UNCG 68-58 at home Jan 11; Bucs are 5-3 vs UNCG in series games, winning two of three visits here- they lost by 6 in Greensboro LY. ETSU is 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs, 2-0 this year; Spartans are 15-10 in last 25 games as home favorites, 3-2 this year. SoCon home favorites are 13-11 vs spread.

Mercer shot 60% inside arc, 10-29 on arc in 81-50 win over Samford Jan 13; Bears are 7-0 vs Samford in SoCon play, winning three visits here, by 1-15-3 points. Mercer is 5-7 in SoCon, 2-4 on road, with wins at VMI/Chattanooga. Bears won their last two games after an 0-4 skid. Samford lost seven of last nine games, but they won last two home games, over VMI/Citadel. Mercer is 10-6 in last 16 games as road favorites, but are 0-2 this year; Samford is 1-7-1 in last nine games as home underdogs, 0-2-1 this year. SoCon home underdogs are 8-12 vs spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, February 12

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Trend Report
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NOTRE DAME @ NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
North Carolina is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
North Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Notre Dame

FAIRFIELD @ CANISIUS
Fairfield is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Fairfield's last 8 games
Canisius is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Canisius is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

IONA @ SIENA
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
Iona is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Siena's last 10 games

EAST TENNESSEE STATE @ UNC GREENSBORO
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
UNC Greensboro is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

MERCER @ SAMFORD
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 5 games at home

TCU @ WEST VIRGINIA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of TCU's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of TCU's last 8 games when playing West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against TCU
West Virginia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing TCU

BAYLOR @ TEXAS
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 12

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NOTRE DAME (15 - 10) at N CAROLINA (19 - 7) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 305-249 ATS (+31.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (17 - 8) at W VIRGINIA (18 - 7) - 2/12/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 156-198 ATS (-61.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 176-227 ATS (-73.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 109-146 ATS (-51.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 4-2 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 5-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (15 - 10) at TEXAS (15 - 10) - 2/12/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 5-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (16 - 10) at SIENA (7 - 19) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-3 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 5-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (10 - 14) at CANISIUS (17 - 9) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
CANISIUS is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
CANISIUS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
CANISIUS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 44-20 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
CANISIUS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 3-1 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 3-1 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E TENN ST (22 - 4) at UNC-GREENSBORO (19 - 6) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
E TENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
E TENN ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
E TENN ST is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 4-2 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MERCER (12 - 13) at SAMFORD (9 - 18) - 2/12/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MERCER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
SAMFORD is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MERCER is 5-0 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
MERCER is 5-0 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLGATE (14 - 10) at BUCKNELL (17 - 9) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUCKNELL is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 2-0 against the spread versus COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 3-2 straight up against COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DELAWARE ST (2 - 23) at NORFOLK ST (8 - 17) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 1-1 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSON ST (10 - 15) at PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (9 - 17) - 2/12/2018, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons
JACKSON ST is 5-1 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday's Tip Sheet
February 11, 2018

A new week of college basketball betting action kicks things off on Monday night. Along with the traditional doubleheader of matchups in the ACC at 7:00 p.m. and Big 12 at 9:00 p.m. on ESPN there is a bonus game in the Big 12 on ESPN2 also tipping off in the late-night spot.

Notre Dame at No. 21 North Carolina (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: North Carolina -9 ½, Total 150 ½

Betting Matchup

The Fighting Irish have strung together a pair of victories at home against Boston College and Florida State as favorites both straight-up and against the spread following an extended seven-game losing streak in which they failed to cover in six of those games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five contests. In Saturday’s 84-69 romp over Florida State as a one-point favorite, Notre Dame (15-10) was led by Matt Farrell’s 28 points. This was a career high for the senior guard, who is now leading the team in scoring with 16.5 points per game.

Coming off last Thursday’s big 82-78 victory against rival Duke as 1 ½-point home favorites, the Tar Heels took care of another in-state rival on Saturday with a 96-89 win over North Carolina State as four-point favorites at home. North Carolina has won its last three games SU and ATS with the total going OVER in six of its last eight games. It is now 8-5 SU in ACC play with an even 6-6-1 record ATS. Junior Forward Luke Maye is also coming off a career best in scoring with 33 points in the victory against the Wolfpack.

Betting Trends

-- The Fighting Irish have failed to cover in their last four road games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games on the road.

-- The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS on their last five games coming off a SU win and the total has gone OVER in 16 of their last 21 home games.

-- North Carolina extended its SU winning streak against Notre Dame to four games with a tight 69-68 victory on Jan. 12 as a five-point road favorite. The Irish have covered in six of the last eight meetings and the total has four of the last five games between the two.

Baylor at Texas (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas -3, Total 132 ½

Betting Matchup

In what has been a roller-coaster ride through the Big 12 this season, Baylor followed up a SU four-game losing streak with three victories in its last three games both SU and ATS. Saturday’s 80-64 upset over Kansas as a 2 ½-point home underdog was on the heels of last week’s 67-56 road upset against Oklahoma State as two-point underdogs. The total stayed UNDER in both of those games. The Bears are 5-7 SU in conference play with an 8-4 record ATS. Senior guard Manu Lecomte scored 18 points in each of those last two wins.

Texas fell to 5-7 SU (7-5 ATS) in the Big 12 with back-to-back losses to Kansas State at home and to TCU on the road in its last two games. One of those seven losses was to Baylor on the road in early January after coming up on the wrong end of a 69-60 setback as a three-point underdog. In Saturday’s 87-71 loss to TCU as 5 ½-point underdogs, the Longhorns were outscored by 11 points in the first half and could never close the gap. Forward Mohamed Bamba scored 23 points in the losing cause.

Betting Trends

-- The Bears have gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in eight of their last 10 games on the road.

-- The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games at home and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 15 of their last 20 Monday games.

-- Head-to-head in this Big 12 tilt, the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games and the total has gone OVER in three of the last five meetings.

TCU at No. 19 West Virginia (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: West Virginia -6, Total 161

Betting Matchup

With Saturday’s win over Texas, the Horned Frogs snapped a two-game slide as part of their SU 5-7 record in conference play. They have covered in four of their last six games and the total has gone OVER in four of those outings. Senior forward Vladimir Brodziansky led all scorers in that game with 25 points and TCU, as a team, shot 54.8 percent from the field and 50 percent from three-point range. It is tied for 12th in the nation in scoring with 85.0 PPG.

West Virginia is coming off a costly 88-85 loss to Oklahoma State on Saturday as a 12 ½-point home favorite. This snapped a brief two-game winning streak (SU and ATS) to put the Mountaineers two games behind Texas Tech in the Big 12 standings at 7-5 (SU and ATS). The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games. Senior guard Jevon Carter has led the team in scoring this season with 17.2 PPG and he put up 33 points against the Cowboys in a losing cause.

Betting Trends

-- The Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday games and the total has gone OVER in 13 of their last 19 games on the road.

-- The Mountaineers have gone 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games played on Monday and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games following a SU loss.

-- TCU drew first blood in the season series with an 82-73 victory on Jan. 22 as a two-point home underdog. It now has a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four games.

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The Top Twenty Five
February 12, 2018

The top 25 teams in The Associated Press' men's college basketball poll, with first-place votes in parentheses, records through Feb. 11, total points based on 25 points for a first-place vote through one point for a 25th-place vote and last week's ranking:

Record Pts Pvs

1. Virginia (30) 23-2 1,557 2

2. Michigan St. (21) 24-3 1,527 4

3. Villanova (9) 23-2 1,518 1

4. Xavier (5) 23-3 1,465 5

5. Cincinnati 23-2 1,359 6

6. Purdue 23-4 1,269 3

7. Texas Tech 21-4 1,258 7

8. Ohio St. 22-5 1,094 14

9. Gonzaga 23-4 1,063 12

10. Auburn 22-3 1,025 8

11. Clemson 20-4 945 16

12. Duke 20-5 942 9

13. Kansas 19-6 816 10

14. North Carolina 19-7 763 21

15. Saint Mary's (Cal)24-3 683 11

16. Rhode Island 20-3 666 18

17. Arizona 20-6 594 13

18. Tennessee 18-6 580 15

19. Wichita St. 19-5 495 22

20. West Virginia 18-7 339 19

21. Texas A&M 17-8 241 -

22. Michigan 20-7 239 20

23. Oklahoma 16-8 152 17

24. Nevada 21-5 87 23

25. Arizona St 19-6 83 -

Others receiving votes: New Mexico St. 66, Florida 48, Creighton 44, Butler 43, Virginia Tech 29, Middle Tennessee 26, Alabama 22, Houston 16, Nebraska 15, Missouri 14, Miami 10, Kentucky 8, TCU 8, ETSU 5, Oklahoma St. 4, St. Bonaventure 3, Louisville 2, Vermont 1, Florida St. 1.