The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 10 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (657)

5) New Jersey Jets -2.5 (666)

4) Los Angeles Rams -12 (697)

3) Washington Redskins +1 (703)

2) Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 (719)

1) Buffalo Bills +3 (1,182)

Season record of top 6 picks: 21-33

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 10 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (657)

5) New Jersey Jets -2.5 (666)

4) Los Angeles Rams -12 (697)

3) Washington Redskins +1 (703)

2) Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 (719)

1) Buffalo Bills +3 (1,182)

Season record of top 6 picks: 21-33


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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Auburn 40, Georgia 17— Tigers outgained Georgia 488-230, handed Dawgs their first loss of the year in convincing style. Georgia can still get to the playoff by winning the SEC title game. Auburn’s win here makes the Iron Bowl very interesting.

12) Alabama 31, Mississippi State 24— This was a really good game; Crimson Tide scored a TD with 0:25 left for the win. Bulldogs played their hearts out, but didn’t have enough. Alabama averaged 12.7 yards per pass attempt.

11) Upsets of the Week:
South Alabama (+11.5) 24, Arkansas State 19
North Carolina (+9.5) 34, Pittsburgh 31
Old Dominion (+9) 37, FIU 30
UAV (+7) 24, Tex-San Antonio 19
Stanford (+5.5) 30, Washington 22

10) Miami 41, Notre Dame 8— You could almost hear Michael Irvin cackling as he watched this beatdown. Game was 27-0 at the half; Miami forced 4+ turnovers for the 4th game in a row, first team to do that since Rutgers in 2011.

9) Oklahoma State 49, Iowa State 42— Cowboys play interesting games; they lost 62-52 last week at Oklahoma; they fell behind 14-0 early here, but they gained 522 yards and picked off a pass in the end zone in the last few seconds to preserve the win.

8) Clemson 31, Florida State 14— Seminoles are 3-6; they play a I-AA team next week, then go to Florida. They also re-scheduled the UL-Monroe game for Dec 2, hoping they win the Florida game— a 6-6 finish would put them in a bowl game- they need the extra practices for next year.

7) Washington State 33, Utah 25— Utes turned ball over seven times (four INTs, three fumbles) yet somehow only lost by 8 points. Wazzu converted 10-21 on third down, but ran ball for only 27 yards on 17 carries.

6) Northwestern 23, Purdue 13— Solid win/cover for Wildcats, who won the previous three games, all in overtime. Northwestern is 7-3, a very shaky 7-3, but 7-3 nonetheless.

5) Oklahoma 38, TCU 20— Surprisingly easy win for the Sooners; it was 38-14 at halftime. Looks like Baker Mayfield will win the Heisman Trophy, since most writers don’t stay up late enough to watch Stanford games.

I’m still trying to figure out why Mayfield never got a scholarship at Texas Tech— pretty good player.

4) South Carolina 28, Florida 20— Gamecocks are 7-3— they’re 5-1 in games decided by 8 or less points. Jake Bentley threw three picks in this game, but did just enough for Carolina to beat the Gators, who have lost five straight games and are coach-hunting as we speak.

3) Boise State 59, Colorado State 52 OT— Horrific loss for Rams, who are now 0-7 vs Boise- they led this game 28-3 in 2nd quarter, 35-17 at half. Game ended around 2:55am here in the east.

Both teams had 33 first downs. Colorado State is only 6-5, losing their last three games.

2) Wyoming 28, Air Force 14- Wyoming led this game 21-0 in second quarter, then started jerking around with trick plays, flea-flickers and all. On one of the trick plays, star QB Josh Allen took a shot on his throwing shoulder and got hurt- he threw one pass in the third quarter and look himself out, effectively ending Wyoming’s season.

1) Wake Forest 64, Syracuse 43— Deacons trailed 38-24 at halftime, then outscored the hosts 40-5 in the second half, and became bowl eligible. Dave Clawson could easily get on the short list for the Tennessee head coaching job; he used to be OC in Knoxville.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 12

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TORONTO (7 - 4) at BOSTON (11 - 2) - 11/12/2017, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (6 - 6) at DETROIT (9 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 122-157 ATS (-50.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (10 - 3) at INDIANA (6 - 7) - 11/12/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 319-265 ATS (+27.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 11) at OKLAHOMA CITY (5 - 7) - 11/12/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-6 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 12

Irving broke bone in his face, is out here. Home side won six of last seven Toronto-Boston games; Raptors are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Boston. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Toronto won five of last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread on road this season. Four of their last five games went over. Celtics won their last 11 games after an 0-2 start; they’re 4-1-1 vs spread at home. Under is 4-1 in last five Boston games.

Miami won four of last six games with Detroit; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Heat won three of last four games; they’re 3-1 as a road underdog. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Pistons won four in row, seven last eight games; they’re 4-2-1 as home favorites. Last three Detroit games went over the total.

Pacers won their last three games with Houston; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Rockets are 1-4 in their last five visits to Indiana. Houston won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 3-2 as a road favorite this season. Five of Rockets’ last six games went over the total. Pacers lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-2 vs spread at home, 1-1 as a home underdog. Four of their last six games went over total.

Oklahoma City won five of last six games with Dallas, but Mavericks covered three of last four; over is 4-2 in last six series games. Dallas is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits here. Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games, are 2-4 vs spread as a road underdog- their last four games stayed under the total. Thunder lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites. Six of their last seven games stayed under.




NBA

Sunday, November 12

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Trend Report
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TORONTO @ BOSTON
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

MIAMI @ DETROIT
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

HOUSTON @ INDIANA
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Indiana is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Dallas is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Sunday
November 12, 2017

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 12-0 ATS (10.50 ppg) since Dec 30, 2016 as a road dog after they scored fewer than ten fast break points.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pacers are 16-0 OU (11.25 ppg) since Jan 09, 2001 as a dog after a game as a road favorite in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 0-7 ATS (-5.93 ppg) since Apr 04, 2017 after Harrison Barnes was the high scorer.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Celtics are 0-13 OU (-9.69 ppg) since Apr 13, 2012 with rest after a game as a home favorite in which a win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter.

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at BOS 03:30 PM
TOR -2.5 *****
U 202.5 *****

MIA at DET 04:00 PM
DET -3.0 *****
U 203.5

HOU at IND 06:00 PM
IND +3.0
O 223.5 *****

DAL at OKC 07:00 PM
DAL +12.0
O 205.5 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Celtics edge Raps for 12th straight
November 12, 2017

BOSTON (AP) Al Horford had 21 points in his return from a two-game absence for a concussion and the Boston Celtics hung on to beat the Toronto Raptors 95-94 on Sunday for their 12th straight victory.

Boston (12-2) was playing without Kyrie Irving after he took an inadvertent elbow to the face from teammate Aron Baynes on Friday night against Charlotte. Irving has a minor facial fracture but has not been diagnosed with a concussion as initially feared.

Jaylen Brown added 18 points, and Terry Rozier helped fill in for Irving with 16 points off the bench. Boston shot just 40.2 percent from the field.

DeMar DeRozan scored 24 points, and Kyle Lowry had 19 points and seven assists for Toronto. The Raptors dropped to 7-5 after winning two straight.

Jayson Tatum's acrobatic layup with 1:26 remaining in the fourth quarter put the Celtics up 95-90.

DeRozan missed a potential go-ahead stepback jumper with 19 seconds remaining. Tatum got the rebound, but elbowed Fred VanVleet in the face for an offensive foul that was confirmed by video review.

DeRozan had another look to give Toronto the win, but missed a turnaround jumper with 2 seconds left. Serge Ibaka scooped up the rebound, but lost the ball as time expired.

THUNDER 112, MAVERICKS 99

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Paul George scored 37 points, Russell Westbrook added 27 and Oklahoma City overcame the absence of two regular starters to beat Dallas.

Carmelo Anthony was ruled out about an hour before tipoff because of a sore lower back, and starting center Steven Adams sat out with a right calf contusion.

Without Anthony, the Thunder's other two superstars carried the offensive load, fueling a 26-10 run in the third quarter that broke open what had been a tight game. Oklahoma City improved to 6-7, missing its second straight after four consecutive losses.

Harrison Barnes had 22 points and 13 rebounds for the Mavericks. They have dropped nine of their last 10 games to fall to 2-12.

ROCKETS 118, PACERS 95

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - James Harden had 26 points and 15 assists and Houston beat Indiana.

Indianapolis native Eric Gordon had 21 points for Houston, and Clint Capela had 20 points and 17 rebounds. The Rockets overwhelmed the Pacers from the start, jumping out to a 13-2 lead. Houston continued to pile it on early and often, outscoring the Pacers 24-9 during the first 6 minutes.

Victor Oladipo had 28 points for Indiana.

PISTONS 112, HEAT 103

DETROIT (AP) - Tobias Harris scored 25 points and Avery Bradley added 24 points in Detroit's victory over Miami.

Reggie Jackson scored 17 points, rookie Luke Kennard had 14 and Andre Drummond added eight points and 17 rebounds for the Pistons. At 10-3, they are second behind Boston in the Eastern Conference and off to their best start since going 10-2 in 2005-06.

Hassan Whiteside had 20 points and 12 rebounds for Miami.

[StarDust Bum]

Jazz C Gobert out with bruised knee
November 12, 2017

Utah Jazz center Rudy Gobert will miss at least four weeks due to a bone bruise in his knee, the team announced Sunday.

Utah announced that an MRI showed a right tibia contusion and Gobert will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

Gobert was injured in the third quarter of Friday's 84-74 loss to the Miami Heat when he collided with Heat guard Dion Waiters chasing down a loose ball near the foul line. Waiters collided with Gobert's right knee and the 7-foot-1 Frenchman limped off the court before returning to finish the game with 12 points and 12 rebounds.

After the game, Gobert said it was "dirty play" according to the Deseret News. Before Miami's game in Detroit on Sunday, Waiters denied it was a dirty play.

"I went for the ball, tell him to get out of his feelings," Waiters told the Miami Herald. "And that's what it is, just like that."

Utah will likely use 6-foot-10 forward Derrick Favors as its starting center. Favors, who is two inches shorter than Gobert, recorded his first double-double with 24 points and 12 rebounds in Saturday's 114-106 win over the Brooklyn Nets.

Gobert is averaging 13.9 points, 10.5 rebounds and shooting 62.6 percent in 12 games this season. Gobert, who is nicknamed "The Stifle Tower", also leads the NBA with 2.5 blocked shots per game.

[StarDust Bum]

Nets G Russell has knee contusion
November 12, 2017

Brooklyn Nets guard D'Angelo Russell was diagnosed with a left knee contusion, the team announced Sunday.

Russell was examined Sunday by team doctors and underwent an MRI and the Nets said "return to play updates will be provided as appropriate."

Russell scored 26 points in Saturday's 114-106 loss at Utah but injured his left knee with 2:57 remaining after making contact with a defender. Russell landed awkwardly and hobbled to the bench before going to the locker room.

Before the Nets announced the injury, ESPN reported Russell will miss "several games." The Nets are scheduled to return home Tuesday against the Boston Celtics and host the Golden State Warriors next Sunday.

The diagnosis is better than the last time a Nets guard suffered a knee injury. In the season opener, Jeremy Lin tore the patella tendon in his right knee and underwent season-ending surgery.

Last season with the Los Angeles Lakers, Russell missed 11 games with left knee soreness in November and December. He also missed three games in January with a right knee injury and eventually underwent platelet-rich plasma injections.

Russell is averaging 20.9 points, 5.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds after being acquired in a June trade for Brook Lopez.

Russell missed Brooklyn's win over Cleveland on Oct. 25 with a right knee sprain and Spencer Dinwiddie scored 22 points in his place.

Dinwiddie also sat out Saturday's game with a hamstring injury and, if healthy, would start for Russell.

[StarDust Bum]

November's NBA Best Bets And Opinions ( Based on 5 Units )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/12/2017 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
11/11/2017 10-9-0 52.63% +0.50
11/10/2017 8-6-1 57.14% +7.00
11/09/2017 6-4-0 60.00% +8.00
11/08/2017 6-4-0 60.00% +8.00
11/07/2017 6-10-0 37.50% -25.00
11/06/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/05/2017 8-6-0 57.14% +7.00
11/04/2017 5-2-1 71.43% +14.00
11/03/2017 10-13-0 43.48% -21.50
11/02/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/01/2017 12-12-0 50.00% -6.00

Totals..............78- 77......50.32%......-33.50

Best Bets:

Date.................................ATS.......... .....Units.............Over/Under............Units

11/12/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................2 - 1...............+4.50
11/11/2017.....................3 - 1..............+9.50.................1 - 6...............-28.00
11/10/2017.....................1 - 2...............-6.00.................1 - 2.................-6.00
11/09/2017.....................2 - 2...............-0.20.................1 - 2.................-6.00
11/08/2017.....................2 - 2...............-0.20.................2 - 1................+4.50
11/07/2017.....................2 - 3...............-6.50.................2 - 2.................-0.20
11/06/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................1 - 1.................-0.10
11/05/2017.....................3 - 1..............+9.50.................1 - 1.................-0.10
11/04/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................2 - 1.................+4.50
11/03/2017.....................2 - 3...............-6.50.................4 - 3.................+3.50
11/02/2017.....................1 - 1..............- 0.10.................1 - 1..................-0.10
11/01/2017.....................4 - 1..............+14.50...............4 - 3 .................+3.50

Totals............................23- 19............+13.90..............22 - 24.................-20.00


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SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY NOVEMBER 13, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Sacramento Kings Washington Wizards Capital One Arena
7:30 PM Cleveland Cavaliers New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
8:00 PM Atlanta Hawks New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
8:00 PM Memphis Grizzlies Milwaukee Bucks BMO Harris Bradley Center
9:00 PM Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena
9:00 PM Minnesota Timberwolves Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
10:00 PM Denver Nuggets Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter
10:30 PM Orlando Magic Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena
10:30 PM Philadelphia 76ers Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 13

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SACRAMENTO (3 - 9) at WASHINGTON (7 - 5) - 11/13/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 48-75 ATS (-34.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 158-201 ATS (-63.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 393-457 ATS (-109.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 108-152 ATS (-59.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 219-266 ATS (-73.6 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=98 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (6 - 7) at NEW YORK (7 - 5) - 11/13/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW YORK is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 5) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 6) - 11/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 390-454 ATS (-109.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 254-311 ATS (-88.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 6) - 11/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (7 - 5) at UTAH (6 - 7) - 11/13/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (5 - 8) at PHOENIX (5 - 9) - 11/13/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (8 - 5) at PORTLAND (6 - 6) - 11/13/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (6 - 6) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 7) - 11/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (8 - 5) at GOLDEN STATE (10 - 3) - 11/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 13

Washington won its last three games with the Kings; home side won seven of last nine series games. Kings are 0-4 vs spread in last four games in this arena. Sacramento lost eight of last ten games; they’re 1-4-1 as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in their last five road games. Wizards won three of their last four games; they’re 2-5 as home favorites. Last three Washington home games stayed under total.

Cavaliers won nine of last ten games with New York, covered five of last six; loss was 15 days ago in Cleveland, 114-95. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Cavaliers are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Cavs lost six of last nine games; they’re 1-2 as a road favorite. Five of their last six games went over total. Knicks won won seven of last nine games; they’re 6-2 vs spread at home, 2-2 as home dogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Home side won last seven Memphis-Milwaukee games; Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Milwaukee. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Memphis lost four of last six games; they’re 3-1 as road underdogs. Over is 4-2 in Grizzlies’ road games. Bucks lost four of their last six games, but won last two; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Milwaukee is 2-2-1 as a home favorite.

Hawks won three of last four games with New Orleans; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Last three series games stayed under total. Atlanta lost nine of its last ten games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Hawks are 3-5-1 as a road underdog. New Orleans won four of its last five games; they’re 1-2 as a home favorite. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

Jazz won six of last eight games with Minnesota; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Wolves are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to SLC. Minnesota lost its last two games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread on road, 0-1-1 as road favorites. Over is 5-2 in their road games. Utah lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-4 vs spread at home, 1-0 as a home underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Lakers/Phoenix split their last eight games; LA won first meeting this year 132-130. Lakers are 2-4 vs spread in last six visits here. Last six series games went over the total. Lakers lost their last three games, all of which stayed under; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs. Phoenix lost five of its last six games; they’re 0-2 as a home favorite. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Portland won eight of last ten games with Denver; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five. Nuggets are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Over is 8-1 in last nine series games. Denver won five of its last six games, all at home; they’re 1-4 vs spread on road, 0-1 as a road underdog. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Portland lost four of its last six games; they’re 1-6 as a home favorite. Last three Trailblazer games stayed under.

JJ Redick vs his old teammates. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Philly; 76ers covered last three, are 1-4 vs spread in last five series games played here. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. 76ers won five of last seven games, but lost last two; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Clippers lost their last five games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. LA is 4-3 as a home favorite.

Golden State won its last eight games with Orlando (6-2 vs spread); Magic is 3-2 vs spread in tis last five visits to Oakland. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Orlando won three of its last four road games; they’re 3-3 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won/covered its last six games; they’re 3-4 as a home favorite. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, November 13

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Trend Report
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SACRAMENTO @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

CLEVELAND @ NEW YORK
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

MEMPHIS @ MILWAUKEE
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Memphis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

ATLANTA @ NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

MINNESOTA @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Utah is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Minnesota

LA LAKERS @ PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

DENVER @ PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Portland
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Denver

ORLANDO @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

PHILADELPHIA @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
LA Clippers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 13


Sacramento @ Washington

Game 701-702
November 13, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.776
Washington
119.271
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+11 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ New York

Game 703-704
November 13, 2017 @ 7:36 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
116.227
New York
121.779
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5); Over

Memphis @ Milwaukee

Game 705-706
November 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
120.198
Milwaukee
120.555
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
Even
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+4); Over

Atlanta @ New Orleans

Game 707-708
November 13, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
116.083
New Orleans
117.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 10
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+10); Under

Minnesota @ Utah

Game 709-710
November 13, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.611
Utah
114.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-3 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Phoenix

Game 711-712
November 13, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
110.705
Phoenix
120.139
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 9 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-1 1/2); Over

Denver @ Portland

Game 713-714
November 13, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
116.685
Portland
127.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 10 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1); Under

Philadelphia @ LA Clippers

Game 715-716
November 13, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
115.683
LA Clippers
121.136
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 5 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-1 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Golden State

Game 717-718
November 13, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
122.409
Golden State
132.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 9 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 14 1/2
233
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+14 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Tip Sheet
November 13, 2017

Game of the Night: Magic at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST

A battle of division leaders takes place at Oracle Arena although only one of these teams were predicted to be atop their division at this point. We know what Golden State (10-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) is all about and its credentials, but Orlando (8-5, 7-6 ATS) is playing well through the first month and hope to keep it up on this road trip.

The Magic disappeared on Saturday in a 125-107 setback at Denver as nine-point underdogs, snapping a short two-game winning streak. Frank Vogel’s team began the season with an impressive 6-2 record, including underdog victories over Cleveland, San Antonio, and Memphis. However, Orlando is 2-3 the last five games, including ugly home double-digit losses to Chicago and Boston. The Magic rank fifth in the NBA in points per game at 110.5, while owning the best three-point defense by limiting opponents to 31.5% shooting per contest.

The Warriors are rolling right now by winning and covering six consecutive games, with all six victories coming by 17 points or more. The most recent triumph came over upstart Philadelphia on Saturday, 135-114 as 13 ½-point favorites, led by Kevin Durant’s 29 points as the defending champions shot 58.5% from the floor.

Since 2013, the Warriors have captured eight straight meetings with the Magic, while covering both times last season as hefty 14-point favorites.

Stumbling Home

The Clippers (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS) have dropped seven of eight games since a 4-0 start to the season, capped off by an 0-3 road trip at San Antonio, Oklahoma City, and New Orleans. Los Angeles hosts Philadelphia tonight, as the 76ers (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS) look to snap a two-game skid on their five-game road swing. Philadelphia was riding a five-game winning streak prior to back-to-back defeats at Sacramento and Golden State, while eclipsing the OVER in six of the past seven contests.

Returning to Staples Center isn’t exactly the formula for a win for Doc Rivers’ squad, who lost four of five on its most recent homestand. The defense was torched on this three-game road swing, allowing at least 111 points in each defeat, while not covering in a loss yet this season. The Clippers have defeated the 76ers five straight times at home, but this is the shortest spread since 2011, when Philadelphia knocked off L.A., 104-94.

Hitting their Stride

The Nuggets (8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS) had their expectations raised in the offseason following the pick-up of free agent forward Paul Millsap, but Denver started 1-3. Denver has rebounded lately by winning seven of nine games, including a 5-1 mark on its most recent homestand with the lone loss coming to Golden State. Mike Malone’s team travels to Portland before taking three days off prior to a home game with New Orleans on Friday.

The Blazers (6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) look to snap a two-game skid after dropping a pair of close home decisions to the Grizzlies and Nets by a combined four points. Portland is on the worst ATS run in the league right now at 1-7 ATS following a 3-0-1 ATS start to the season. Last season, the Blazers grabbed three of four meetings from the Nuggets, including both matchups at the Moda Center as Portland has beaten Denver eight straight times at home.

Sounds of Silence

The Jazz (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) snapped a four-game skid in Saturday’s 114-107 home victory over the Nets as six-point favorites. However, center Rudy Gobert will be sidelined for four weeks after suffering a bone bruise in his right knee against Miami last Friday. Utah hosts Minnesota to close out a four-game homestand before the Jazz venture out east for a four-game road trip starting Wednesday in New York.

The Wolves (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) knocked off the Jazz in the first meeting this season at Target Center on October 20 by a 100-97 count, but Utah cashed as 4 ½-point underdogs. Minnesota is winless on its current three-game road swing following losses at Golden State and Phoenix, as the Wolves were tripped up by the Suns as 10-point favorites on Saturday, 118-110.

Broadway LeBron

The Cavaliers (6-7 SU, 4-8-1 ATS) are looking to reach the .500 mark for the first time since sitting at 3-3 on October 28. Cleveland travels to New York trying to avenge a 114-95 home setback to the Knicks as 10 ½-point favorites October 29. Since LeBron James returned to the Cavaliers in 2014, Cleveland owns a perfect 6-0 record at Madison Square Garden, including covers in each of the past three visits to New York.

The Knicks (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) have taken care of their home business this season with a 6-2 record at the Garden, while scoring at least 108 points in each of their past four home victories. Since starting the campaign at 0-3 SU/ATS, New York has covered seven of its previous nine games, while snapping a nine-game skid to Cleveland in the victory at Quicken Loans Arena last month.

Head-to-Head Matchups

-- Sacramento has dropped six straight road games as the Kings continue their three-game road swing at Washington. The Wizards wasted the Kings in their last matchup on October 29 as 7 ½-point favorites, 110-83. Washington has won four consecutive home meetings with Sacramento since 2014.

-- The home team has captured the last six matchups between the Bucks and Grizzlies, who meet in Milwaukee tonight. The Bucks have limited the Grizzlies to 96 points or less in their past four home meetings with Memphis. The Grizzlies finish off a five-game road trip following Saturday’s loss at Houston, while the Bucks are seeking their third straight win.

-- The road squad won the two meetings between the Hawks and Pelicans last season, as Atlanta heads to the Big Easy. The Hawks are riding a three-game skid, while allowing at least 110 points in seven consecutive contests. New Orleans has won four of its past five, while covering each time during this stretch.

-- The Lakers outlasted the Suns, 132-130 last month in Phoenix as the two Pacific division rivals hook up again in the Valley. Los Angeles has dropped the first three contests of a four-game away swing, while scoring 96 points or less each time. The previous six meetings between the Lakers and Suns have sailed OVER the total, while Phoenix is 4-2 in the last six home matchups with Los Angeles.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday
November 13, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS (10.20 ppg) since Mar 13, 2009 as a road dog with rest after a loss in which they never led.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 0-11 OU (-9.27 ppg) since Feb 01, 2014 at home with rest coming off a home game in which they shot over 50% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 OU (13.12 ppg) since Feb 27, 2016 on the road after Mike Conley played fewer than 30 minutes.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Clippers are 0-10 ATS (-8.30 ppg) since Oct 31, 2014 after they had at least ten fewer turnovers than their opponent last game.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Cavaliers are 9-0 OU (11.61 ppg) since Jan 25, 2017 off a road game in which Lebron James was not the high scorer.

-- The Hawks are 0-9-1 OU (-10.05 ppg) since Jan 21, 2016 on the road after Dennis Schroder shot worse than 33 percent.