The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, March 8

Chicago at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Chicago: 25-13 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5
Orlando: 4-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

Charlotte at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
Charlotte: 1-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Miami: 21-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

Brooklyn at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
Brooklyn: 18-6 OVER as an underdog of 10 or more points
Atlanta: 0-8 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread

New York at Milwaukee, 7:35 PM ET
New York: 13-5 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Milwaukee: 3-11 ATS against Atlantic division opponents

LA Clippers at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 30-15 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points
Minnesota: 13-24 ATS in home games after playing a road game

Toronto at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Toronto: 34-21 OVER in non-conference games
New Orleans: 31-14 ATS in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less

Detroit at Indiana, 8:05 PM ET
Detroit: 2-10 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread
Indiana: 11-2 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

Utah at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
Utah: 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5
Houston: 15-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

Sacramento at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Sacramento: 29-49 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
San Antonio: 16-5 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite

Washington at Denver, 9:05 PM ET
Washington: 15-5 ATS after a non-conference game
Denver: 3-5 ATS as a home underdog

Boston at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Boston: 46-26 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
Golden State: 37-21 ATS after a non-conference game

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 8

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHI at ORL 07:00 PM

CHI +1.5

U 202.5

BK at ATL 07:30 PM

ATL -9.5

O 221.0

CHA at MIA 07:30 PM

MIA -3.5

U 204.5

UTA at HOU 08:00 PM

HOU -7.5

O 216.0

TOR at NO 08:00 PM

TOR +3.0

U 203.5

NY at MIL 08:00 PM

MIL -6.5

O 209.0

DET at IND 08:00 PM

DET +4.0

O 208.5

LAC at MIN 08:00 PM

MIN +3.5

U 211.0

SAC at SA 08:30 PM

SAC +12.0

U 196.0

WAS at DEN 09:00 PM

DEN -2.0

U 225.5

BOS at GS 10:30 PM

GS -8.5

O 222.0

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the major league regular season RBI title (William Hill sports):

3-1— Nolan Arenado

9-2— Mike Trout

7-1— Anthony Rizzo

8-1— Miguel Cabrera

10-1— Josh Donaldson

12-1- Mookie Betts

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Jim Boeheim is like a spoiled, entitled child; his Syracuse team plays in the ACC, thats the ATLANTIC COAST Conference, the conference of Dean Smith, Coach K, Michael Jordan and David Thompson. In other words, the heart of the league is North Carolina.

Boeheim insists the ACC tournament should be played in Brooklyn, Washington and Atlanta but never Greensboro. Why? Because it doesn’t suit his purpose. Maybe he should’ve taken that up with his school president and AD before they sold him down the river and joined the ACC to help their floundering football program.

12) Michigan basketball team’s airplane skidded off the runway while trying to take off to go to the Big 14 tournament Wednesday and wound up getting a little damaged; thankfully no one was injured. Wolverines had to make alternative travel plans to get to Washington.

Then again, if the tournament is in Indianapolis, a more logical location for a midwestern league, then Michigan takes a bus to the tournament and this doesn’t happen.

11) Was watching a baseball game from Korea the other night; the seats in the lower field boxes all come with a glove and a batting helmet, with a written recommendation that they should be used by fans sitting there, for their own safety.

10) Netherlands has a pitcher in the World Baseball Classic who is 7-foot-1. Wow.

9) NBA Draft gurus have Duke’s Harry Giles listed as a top 20 prospect; the young man has played 20+ minutes in one game this season, in early January against Boston College. He has had two major knee operations already. Don’t see how he is a legit top 20 NBA draft pick.

8) There is a junior college in Missouri called State Fair CC; if I had gone to that academic institution, no doubt the first course I would’ve signed up for: Whack-a-Mole. The key to being good at Whack-a-Mole: keep the mallet low. Very important.

Do they serve corn dogs and cotton candy in the cafeteria?

7) Saw an old ESPN feature the other day, from 2012 or so, about the baseball coach at Wake Forest who donated one of his kidneys to a player on his team who needed a kidney in order to keep living. Amazing story. Hard to watch that and not tear up.

6) Of the 30 current general managers in the major leagues, eight of them worked for Atlanta GM John Hart at one time or another.

5) Mt St Mary’s won the NEC championship; they went 2-11 in their pre-conference schedule, so they could easily be headed to Dayton for a play-in game next week.

4) Missouri State was going to fire basketball coach Paul Lusk, who is 88-106 in six years coaching the Bears, 45-63 in MVC games, but Lusk has one year left on his contract and the school apparently can’t afford the payout, so Lusk gets to coach next season. If he doesn’t make the NCAA’s, then they’ll tell him to take a hike. That should help their recruiting a lot.

3) Rick Barry is 70 years old and makes foul shots blindfolded in a TV commercial, but guys in the NBA who are lucky to make half their free throws won’t try underhanded, because it doesn’t look cool enough. Getting paid $20M a year and shooting 45% at the line is embarrassing.

2) Career playoff won-loss record: Tony Romo: 2-4. Mark Sanchez: 4-2.

1— Thursday might be the best college basketball day of the year; 14 solid hours of games, just a ton of excellent action. This is not a great week for sleeping, but thats what April is for.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 9

Cleveland lost three of last four games; they’re 7-9 vs spread in last 16 road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under. Detroit won/covered nine of last 11 home games; Under is 9-5 in their last fifteen games. Cavaliers won five of last six games with Detroit; Pistons are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Cleveland won three of last visits to Motor City. Four of last five series games went over the total.

San Antonio won its last nine games; they’re 8-1 vs spread on road if they played night before. Spurs covered four of last five road games overall. Thunder lost their last four games (0-4 vs spread); they won seven of last nine at home. Five of their last six games went over. Spurs lost three of last four games with Oklahoma City; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. San Antonio lost three of last four visits to Oklahoma.

Clippers lost three of last five games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games, 4-3 vs spread on road if they played night before. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games. Grizzlies lost their last three games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Last four Memphis games went over. Clippers won six of last eight games with Memphis, covering three of last four; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Teams split last four series games played here.

Philly lost five of last six games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Trailblazers won/covered last three games; they’re 9-6 vs spread in last 15 home games. Last five Portland games went over the total. 76ers lost four of last five visits to Portland (2-2-1 vs spread); home side won last four series games. Last three series games stayed under total.

Los Angeles lost its last eight games (0-8 vs spread); they lost four of last five home games (1-4 vs spread). Three of their last four games stayed under. Suns won three of last four games, all at home; six of their last eight games went over total. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Phoenix (2-7-1 vs spread); they lost last four games in the desert (0-4 vs spread). Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games.




NBA

Thursday, March 9

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
LA Clippers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Memphis's last 25 games at home
Memphis is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Clippers

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against San Antonio

10:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Phoenix's last 16 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 9

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CLEVELAND (42 - 20) at DETROIT (31 - 33) - 3/9/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 66-95 ATS (-38.5 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 109-156 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-5 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (50 - 13) at OKLAHOMA CITY (35 - 29) - 3/9/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 172-125 ATS (+34.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 988-861 ATS (+40.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 78-63 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 180-137 ATS (+29.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-7 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (38 - 26) at MEMPHIS (36 - 28) - 3/9/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 216-268 ATS (-78.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 201-258 ATS (-82.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (23 - 40) at PORTLAND (27 - 35) - 3/9/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (19 - 45) at PHOENIX (21 - 43) - 3/9/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 63-80 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 201-246 ATS (-69.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
PHOENIX is 148-107 ATS (+30.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 9


LA Lakers @ Phoenix

Game 709-710
March 9, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
109.633
Phoenix
120.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 11
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 5 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-5 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Portland

Game 707-708
March 9, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
110.352
Portland
116.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 6 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 10
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+10); Under

LA Clippers @ Memphis

Game 705-706
March 9, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
130.790
Memphis
122.979
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+2 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City

Game 703-704
March 9, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
124.970
Oklahoma City
117.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-3); Over

Cleveland @ Detroit

Game 701-702
March 9, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.234
Detroit
124.122
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+5 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, March 9

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Cleveland: 19-35 ATS vs. division opponents
Detroit: 10-2 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5

San Antonio at Oklahoma City, 8:00 PM ET
San Antonio: 5-13 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins
Oklahoma City: 26-11 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

LA Clippers at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 8-18 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
Memphis: 21-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games

Philadelphia at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 36-17 ATS in non-conference games
Portland: 0-9 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6

LA Lakers at Phoenix, 10:30 PM ET
Los Angeles: 3-11 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games
Phoenix: 22-6 ATS after allowing 130 points or more

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
March 9, 2017

Game of the Night – Spurs at Thunder (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

Despite resting its two best players, San Antonio (50-13 straight up, 34-29 against the spread) won its ninth straight game on Wednesday as it rallied past Sacramento for a 114-104 victory. Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge were provided the break and the rest of the team stepped by outscoring the Kings 66-41 in the second-half.

Falling behind early cost the Spurs (-11 ½) the cover and that’s been a common theme surrounding the team lately. The club has failed to cash tickets in five straight games and is just 3-6 ATS during the current winning streak.

On Thursday, San Antonio (-3) is laying an easier number to cash and it will be facing an Oklahoma City (35-29 SU, 34-29-1 ATS) team that’s mired in a serious funk. The Thunder have dropped four in a row, both SU and ATS. They’ve allowed 115.5 points per game during this skid and they’ve only held one team under 100 since the All-Star break and that effort came against the limited Los Angeles Lakers.

Even though the Spurs played last night, San Antonio has been very sound on no rest this season, going 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS. They haven’t covered the last two in these spots but what’s impressive is that nine of the wins have come on the road.

Oklahoma City has been installed as a home underdog five times this season and it’s gone 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. The defense was again an issue in those contests (110 PPG) and that helped the ‘over’ go 4-1.

San Antonio owns the best road mark (27-7 SU, 20-14 ATS) in the league and it’s been favored in 28 of those games. When laying chalk away from home, the Spurs are 23-5 SU and 15-12-1 ATS.

These teams have only met once this season and San Antonio captured a 108-94 win on Jan. 31 as a 9 ½-point home favorite. If the NBA playoffs started today, these teams would meet in the first round.

Along with this game, we have four other games slated for Thursday and below is my quick handicap.

Cleveland (42-20 SU, 28-32-2 ATS) at Detroit (31-33 SU, 31-33 ATS)

The Cavs and Pistons split their first two meetings this season but Detroit’s win (106-91) on Dec. 26 occurred with LeBron James sitting out for Cleveland. When he did play, Cleveland routed Detroit 104-81 as an 8 ½-point home favorite. The ‘under’ cashed in both games and is on a 4-0-1 run in this series.

Cleveland (-4.5) has gone 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS since the All-Star break and they just got swept in a home-and-home series versus Miami. The offense has been held under 100 in all four setbacks but could get a boost Thursday if shooting guard J.R. Smith returns to the lineup. He’s listed as ‘questionable.’

Detroit has gone 4-3 both SU and ATS since the break, which includes a 115-98 loss at Indiana last night. The point-spread hasn’t matter in any of the games during this span and all three losses came when the Pistons were listed as underdogs.

The Pistons have been a great team to fade on no rest this season (2-9 SU, 2-9 ATS) and they enter this matchup with six consecutive losses on no rest. For whatever reason, the club hasn’t been able to score in these spots (91.9 PPG) and that’s help produced a 9-2 ‘under’ mark.

L.A. Clippers (38-26 SU, 32-32 ATS) at Memphis (36-28 SU, 32-32 ATS)

This is a very tough game to handicap for a variety of reasons and I’d personally stay away from both teams just based on their form and the scheduling. The Grizzlies are listed as short home favorites (-3) and enter this game with three consecutive losses both SU and ATS. On Sunday, the club was embarrassed 122-109 at home to the Nets as 10 ½-point favorites. The ‘over’ cashed in that game and is on a 4-0 run for the Grizzlies.

Coincidentally, Los Angeles was humbled last night in a 107-91 loss at Minnesota and now will be playing its third game in four nights at Memphis on Thursday. Prior to beating the Bulls 101-91 last Saturday at the United Center, the Clippers had dropped seven straight games when playing on no rest. Overall, L.A. has gone 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS in back-to-back spots this season.

These teams have met twice this season and they split the pair with both games taking place from the Staples Center. The ‘over’ cashed in each contests and the Clippers are averaging 107.8 PPG in their last four versus the Grizzlies.

Philadelphia (23-40 SU, 38-25 ATS) at Portland (27-35 SU, 26-36 ATS)

This will be the first of four straight games versus the Western Conference for Philadelphia and oddsmakers have opened them as a 10-point road underdog to Portland in this game.

The 76ers gave loyal fans a glimmer of hope this season and they’ve been very competitive but this could be a good time to hop off the “Philly Express.” The club has gone 1-4 in its last five games and all of those losses came by double digits. The backcourt is starting to get exposed defensively especially without Joel Embiid in the middle anymore.

Portland has won and covered three straight and the offense is clicking right now, scoring 114, 130 and 126 during this span. The Trail Blazers are in a real fight to make the playoffs and they can place blame on their poor record versus the East (9-15) especially at home (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS). Philadelphia has gone 7-17 against the West, which includes a 2-8 (5-5 ATS) mark on the road. The ‘under’ has gone 7-3 in those games.

Despite being healthy underdogs in this matchup, bettors might lean to the 76ers based on recent meetings. Philadelphia nipped Portland 93-92 on Jan. 20 as a 2 ½-point home underdog and has gone 5-1 ATS in the last six encounters while winning three of those games. The ‘under’ has gone 4-2 during this span and that includes a run of three straight to the low side.

L.A. Lakers (19-45 SU, 27-35-2 ATS) at Phoenix (21-43 SU, 33-29-2 ATS)

It’s rare to see Phoenix (-6 ½) lay this healthy of a price but it’s justifiable against Los Angeles, who has dropped eight straight games (0-7-1 ATS) and one of those defeats came to Phoenix. In that contest, the Suns hammered the Lakers 137-101 on Feb. 15 as 4 ½-point home favorites.

Since that win, Phoenix has gone 3-4 but it’s managed to cover five of those games. Some bettors might be hesitant to lay the points in this spot and it’s understandable knowing that the Suns are just 3-7 both SU and ATS when listed as a ‘chalk’ this season.

Defense could be another reason to back off Phoenix, who is ranked 29th in scoring at 112.8 PPG. Even though the Suns have gone 2-1 versus the Lakers, they did drop a 119-108 decision earlier in the season on Nov. 6 at the Staples Center. The ‘over’ has gone 3-0 between the pair this season and is on an 8-2 run in this series. To no surprise, this matchup has the largest total (230) listed on Thursday’s board.

The odds on this game dropped this morning due to the uncertain status of Suns point guard Eric Bledsoe (knee).

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday
March 9, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-11-1 ATS (-5.75 ppg) with more than one day of rest off a home game since Apr 08, 2016.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 11-0 OU (16.09 ppg) with rest off a loss as a favorite in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers since Nov 22, 2015.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Suns are 10-0 OU (7.40 ppg) at home off a loss in which Eric Bledsoe was the high scorer since Nov 09, 2016.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Trailblazers are 9-0-1 ATS (7.55 ppg) as a favorite with rest after their opponent shot over 50% from the field since Dec 14, 2015.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Thunder are 7-0 ATS (7.29 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite in which Russell Westbrook was their high scorer by 10+ points since Oct 30, 2016.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA ATS Top Trends

7:05 pm 3/8/2017
(501) CHICAGO @(502) ORLANDO
Play AGAINST CHICAGO against the spread in All games against Southeast division opponents.
The record is 8 Wins and 23 Losses for the last two seasons (-17.3 units)

Rating: 2.02
8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(507) NEW YORK @(508) MILWAUKEE
Play AGAINST MILWAUKEE against the spread in Home games after 3 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 19 Wins and 50 Losses since 1996 (-36 units)

Rating: 2.55
10:35 pm 3/8/2017
(521) BOSTON @(522) GOLDEN STATE
Play ON BOSTON against the spread in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent.
The record is 39 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (+22.5 units)

Rating: 2.49
8:05 pm 3/9/2017
(703) SAN ANTONIO @(704) OKLAHOMA CITY
Play ON SAN ANTONIO against the spread in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.
The record is 17 Wins and 4 Losses this season (+12.6 units)

Rating: 3.05
10:05 pm 3/9/2017
(707) PHILADELPHIA @(708) PORTLAND
Play ON PHILADELPHIA against the spread in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season.
The record is 14 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+12.9 units)

Rating: 3.34
10:05 pm 3/9/2017
(707) PHILADELPHIA @(708) PORTLAND
Play ON PHILADELPHIA against the spread in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season.
The record is 13 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+13 units)

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NBA Top Trends

MONEYLINE

7:05 pm 3/8/2017
(501) CHICAGO @(502) ORLANDO
Play AGAINST CHICAGO using the money line in All games against Southeast division opponents.
The record is 18 Wins and 31 Losses for the last three seasons (-38.75 units)

Rating: 4.53
7:05 pm 3/8/2017
(501) CHICAGO @(502) ORLANDO
Play AGAINST CHICAGO using the money line in All games against Southeast division opponents.
The record is 9 Wins and 22 Losses for the last two seasons (-24.5 units)

Rating: 4.14
8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(509) LA CLIPPERS @(510) MINNESOTA
Play ON LA CLIPPERS using the money line in All games after scoring 115 points or more.
The record is 26 Wins and 25 Losses for the last three seasons (-39.8 units)

Rating: 3.45
8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(515) UTAH @(516) HOUSTON
Play ON UTAH using the money line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game.
The record is 15 Wins and 3 Losses this season (+12 units)

Rating: 3.50
8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(513) DETROIT @(514) INDIANA
Play ON INDIANA using the money line in All games after a loss by 10 points or more.
The record is 10 Wins and 4 Losses this season (+15.15 units)

Rating: 3.96
8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(515) UTAH @(516) HOUSTON
Play AGAINST UTAH using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season.
The record is 7 Wins and 17 Losses for the last two seasons (-20.05 units)

Rating: 3.52
8:05 pm 3/9/2017
(703) SAN ANTONIO @(704) OKLAHOMA CITY
Play ON OKLAHOMA CITY using the money line in Home games after a division game.
The record is 16 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+14.85 units)

Rating: 4.04
8:05 pm 3/9/2017
(703) SAN ANTONIO @(704) OKLAHOMA CITY
Play ON OKLAHOMA CITY using the money line in Home games against Southwest division opponents.
The record is 18 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.95 units)

Rating: 4.78
10:35 pm 3/9/2017
(709) LA LAKERS @(710) PHOENIX
Play AGAINST PHOENIX using the money line in All games as a favorite.
The record is 15 Wins and 21 Losses for the last two seasons (-29.45 units)

Rating: 3.89
10:35 pm 3/9/2017
(709) LA LAKERS @(710) PHOENIX
Play AGAINST PHOENIX using the money line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 11 Wins and 20 Losses for the last two seasons (-26.75 units)

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Top Trends

OVERS

8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(507) NEW YORK @(508) MILWAUKEE
Play OVER NEW YORK on the first half total in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 30 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+15.7 units)

Rating: 2.57
9:05 pm 3/8/2017
(519) WASHINGTON @(520) DENVER
Play OVER WASHINGTON on the first half total in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games.
The record is 21 Overs and 6 Unders this season (+14.4 units)

Rating: 3.22
7:35 pm 3/9/2017
(701) CLEVELAND @(702) DETROIT
Play OVER CLEVELAND on the first half total in Road games in the second half of the season.
The record is 21 Overs and 6 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.4 units)

Rating: 2.47

------------------------------------

NBA Top Trends

UNDERS

7:35 pm 3/8/2017
(505) BROOKLYN @(506) ATLANTA
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the first half total in All games after a non-conference game.
The record is 23 Overs and 61 Unders for the last three seasons (+35.7 units)

Rating: 3.43
7:35 pm 3/8/2017
(505) BROOKLYN @(506) ATLANTA
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the first half total in All games after a non-conference game.
The record is 12 Overs and 42 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.8 units)

Rating: 4.45
8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(515) UTAH @(516) HOUSTON
Play UNDER UTAH on the first half total in Road games after allowing 90 points or less.
The record is 78 Overs and 218 Unders since 1996 (+132.2 units)

Rating: 4.61
8:35 pm 3/8/2017
(517) SACRAMENTO @(518) SAN ANTONIO
Play UNDER SACRAMENTO on the first half total in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season.
The record is 0 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+11 units)

Rating: 3.55
8:35 pm 3/8/2017
(517) SACRAMENTO @(518) SAN ANTONIO
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the first half total in All games in the second half of the season.
The record is 1 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+11.9 units)

Rating: 4.06
10:35 pm 3/8/2017
(521) BOSTON @(522) GOLDEN STATE
Play UNDER BOSTON on the first half total in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent.
The record is 13 Overs and 42 Unders for the last three seasons (+27.7 units)

Rating: 3.62
10:35 pm 3/8/2017
(521) BOSTON @(522) GOLDEN STATE
Play UNDER BOSTON on the first half total in All games after 3 or more consecutive unders.
The record is 1 Overs and 12 Unders this season (+10.9 units)

Rating: 3.46
8:05 pm 3/9/2017
(705) LA CLIPPERS @(706) MEMPHIS
Play UNDER MEMPHIS on the first half total in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 2 Overs and 12 Unders this season (+9.8 units)

Rating: 2.26
8:05 pm 3/9/2017
(703) SAN ANTONIO @(704) OKLAHOMA CITY
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the first half total in All games in the second half of the season.
The record is 1 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+11.9 units)

Rating: 4.06

----------------------------------

NBA Top Trends

HALFTIME

8:05 pm 3/8/2017
(507) NEW YORK @(508) MILWAUKEE
Play AGAINST MILWAUKEE in the first half in Home games after 3 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 20 Wins and 48 Losses since 1996 (-32.8 units)

Rating: 2.03
8:35 pm 3/8/2017
(517) SACRAMENTO @(518) SAN ANTONIO
Play AGAINST SACRAMENTO in the first half in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent.
The record is 10 Wins and 27 Losses for the last two seasons (-19.7 units)

Rating: 2.24
8:05 pm 3/9/2017
(703) SAN ANTONIO @(704) OKLAHOMA CITY
Play ON SAN ANTONIO in the first half in Road games against Northwest division opponents.
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)

Rating: 2.12
10:35 pm 3/9/2017
(709) LA LAKERS @(710) PHOENIX
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS in the first half in All games in the second half of the season.
The record is 13 Wins and 32 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.2 units)

Rating: 2.28

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Top Trends

OVERS

9:05 pm 3/8/2017
(519) WASHINGTON @(520) DENVER
Play OVER DENVER on the total in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.
The record is 13 Overs and 1 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.9 units)

Rating: 3.31
9:05 pm 3/8/2017
(519) WASHINGTON @(520) DENVER
Play OVER DENVER on the total in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.
The record is 16 Overs and 3 Unders this season (+12.7 units)

Rating: 3.44
10:35 pm 3/9/2017
(709) LA LAKERS @(710) PHOENIX
Play OVER PHOENIX on the total in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game.
The record is 20 Overs and 7 Unders this season (+12.3 units)

Rating: 2.28
10:35 pm 3/9/2017
(709) LA LAKERS @(710) PHOENIX
Play OVER PHOENIX on the total in All games after scoring 115 points or more.
The record is 14 Overs and 2 Unders this season (+11.8 units)

Rating: 3.43

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, MARCH 9

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CLE at DET 07:30 PM

DET +4.5

O 217.5

SA at OKC 08:00 PM

OKC +2.5

U 210.5

LAC at MEM 08:00 PM

LAC +2.5

U 206.5

PHI at POR 10:00 PM

POR -9.0

O 221.0

LAL at PHO 10:30 PM

PHO -5.5

O 229.0

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— QB Mike Glennon gets $15M a year from the Bears; he has a 5-13 record as a starter with the Bucs, before Jameis Winston got there. That means Chicago will release Jay Cutler.

— Texans traded QB Brock Osweiler and two draft picks to Cleveland for a 4th-round pick, saving Houston $7M on the 2017 salary cap. Now the Texans need another QB.

— Kirk Cousins requested a trade from the Redskins. who appear to be dysfunctional. Interweb said owner Daniel Snyder turned down Cousins’ request.

— Eagles signed WR’s Alshon Jeffrey, Torrey Smith to help young QB Carson Wentz.

— Former Eagle/Redskin WR DeSean Jackson signed with the Buccaneers.

— Browns gave Kenny Britt $32M for four years; I have to laugh. Grabbing WR’s the Rams don’t want is no way to build a ballclub

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up the best hoop day of the year…….

Thursday of Champ Week is the best college basketball day of the year. Here is my brief recap: my apologies for any typos, I’m too tired to proofread this.

13) Duke 81, Louisville 77— Cardinals were 15-26 on foul line, 4-21 on arc. Strong matchup for the quarterfinals; now Blue Devils play North Carolina tomorrow night- this is only second meeting for those rivals in last 13 ACC tournaments (Duke won last one).

12) TCU 85, Kansas 82— Jayhawks’ star Josh Jackson was suspended for this game, now the Horned Frogs move on to the Big 12 semifinals for the first time. Moral of the story; No matter what she did to tick you off, don’t back your vehicle into her car, at least not during the season.

11) Iowa State 92, Oklahoma State 83— Cowboys lost last three games, two to ISU and one to Kansas, but still, three losses are three losses. OSU was 0-3 against the Cyclones this season; they’ll be happy to play teams from outside the Big X next week.

10) Michigan 75, Illinois 55— Wolverines couldn’t wear their uniforms, because everything that was on their airplane Wednesday was held by the FAA due to the investigation into what caused the accident with the airplane. So, Michigan wore their practice gear- they also flew in from Detroit Thursday morning and went right from the airport to the arena.

9) Northwestern 83, Rutgers 61— I’m confused as to how good the Wildcats actually are; they’re going to be in the Field of 68, so I need to figure it out soon. Will they relax and play better once they hear their name called on Selection Sunday?

Wildcats had a 31-0 run in this game. Don’t see many of those.

8) San Diego State 87, Boise State 68— Aztecs looked 98% disinterested Wednesday in their OT win against UNLV; they looked like a different set of people in this game. They play in the Mountain West semifinals tonite against Colorado State. Should be a good ballgame.

7) Xavier 62, Butler 57— Bulldogs are now 0-4 in Big East tournament; long trip from Indy to New York City. Big win for the Musketeers, who have now won three games in a row.

Big East semifinals: Villanova-Seton Hall and Xavier-Creighton.

6) Texas-El Paso 86, Rice 76— Miners wore Texas Western throwback jerseys in this game. A few years ago, they made the movie Glory Road about the Miners’ 1966 NCAA title.

5) Marshall 64, Old Dominion 63— Mike D’Antoni’s brother Dan coaches the Thundering Herd; they like to run, just like his brother’s Houston Rockets, but ODU kept this game in the low 60’s before Marshall pulled it out with a free throw with 0:03 left.

4) Kansas State 70, Baylor 64— Wildcats et to 20-12, which could be bad news for mid-major bubble teams like Illinois State. Wildcats won two out of three games from Baylor, which is 5-6 in its last 11 games after a 20-1 start.

Big X semifinals: Iowa State-TCU and West Virginia-Kansas State.

3) Big West semifinals: Cal-Davis plays Cal State Fullerton, then Cal-Irvine plays Long Beach State. Irvine is the best of the four teams but they’re a very young team.

2) Fresno State 65, New Mexico 60— Last year, Bulldogs won their last five regular season games, then won the Mountain West tournament. This season Fresno won its last five regular season games and is now in the MW semis tonight. Rodney Terry is doing good work in Fresno.

1— Duke-Carolina and Arizona-UCLA highlight the great card of games Friday night.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 10


Washington @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
March 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
129.052
Sacramento
115.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 8
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-8); Over

Brooklyn @ Dallas

Game 513-514
March 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
106.339
Dallas
123.778
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 17 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 9 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-9 1/2); Over

Boston @ Denver

Game 511-512
March 10, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
119.204
Denver
120.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

Indiana @ Milwaukee

Game 509-510
March 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
123.172
Milwaukee
116.284
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 7
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+3); Under

Toronto @ Atlanta

Game 507-508
March 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.185
Atlanta
116.979
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
201
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+2 1/2); Under

Houston @ Chicago

Game 505-506
March 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.823
Chicago
121.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5); Under

Golden State @ Minnesota

Game 503-504
March 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
122.658
Minnesota
114.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-4 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
March 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
112.659
Charlotte
126.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 14 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 8
206
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-8); Over