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  • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Odds to win major league strikeout title this season:

    7-2— Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw

    8-1— Madison Bumgarner

    10-1— Chris Archer, Chris Sale

    14-1— Corey Kluber, Noah Syndergaard

    18-1— Justin Verlander

    20-1— Michael Pineda, David Price

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a super Saturday…….

    13) Arizona 83, Oregon 80— High-level game; Wildcats jumped out quickly, held on at the end. I’m not big on debating seeding, but I do think that right now, both these teams are better than Gonzaga, if only because they’ve been tested so much more in the last nine weeks.

    12) VCU 87, Richmond 77 OT— Spiders (+6.5) are our Bad Beat of the Day (they led by 3 with 0:30 left in regulation), but also they lost to their crosstown rival for third time this season. Has to be frustrating.

    Bad beat #2: Penn (+7) lost by 8 in OT at home to Princeton.

    Champ Week is great fun because of games like this one; VCU was in NCAA’s no matter what, but Richmond could’ve been a bid stealer, so teams like USC, Illinois State, Kansas State had to be rooting like hell for VCU, maybe harder than VCU fans.

    11) Big Sky final: North Dakota 93, Weber State 89, OT— They used to be called the Fighting Sioux before the world became politically correct; now they’re the Fighting Hawks. Fitting that a team whose best player is Quinton Hooker won the first Big Sky tournament played in Nevada.

    10) Duke 75, Notre Dame 69— Blue Devils are first ACC team to win conference tournament by winning four games in four days- they came from behind in second half the last three days.

    9) Oregon lost Chris Boucher, its best shot blocker, with a torn ACL, damaging blow to their NCAA hopes. He was scoring 11.8 pts/game, grabbing 6.1 rebounds/game. Boucher played 12:00 last night AFTER the injury, which was found by an MRI today. Tough kid.

    Minnesota lost senior guard Akeem Springs for the season with an achilles injury, big blow for the Gophers.

    8) First day of the first-ever Ivy League tournament was an on-court success; Princeton snuck past the host Penn Quakers in overtime, while Yale beat rival Harvard to advance to the finals.

    Princeton was 14-0 during regular season; would’ve been a bitter pill to lose to a 6-8 team that was playing on its home court. Harvard has a really good senior point guard, but their other four starters are freshmen. Unusual.

    7) Random fact: Over last eight NCAA tournaments, the overall #1 seed has only won the national championship twice.

    6) Nevada 79, Colorado State 71— CSU coach Larry Eustachy got every last drop out of his seven-man squad that had five frosh/sophs on it, but it wasn’t enough to win three games in three days in a conference tournament.

    Question for Nevada is this: can they keep their coach now? Eric Musselman was an NBA head coach (Golden State/Sacramento); his salary in Reno isn’t that great (less than $400K). He was an assistant at LSU a few years ago; he’d be a great hire for them.

    5) Illinois went 37-53 in conference play the last five years; they fired John Groce Saturday. Illini played for the national title in 2005 under Bruce Weber, but has only made tournament in three of last ten years.

    Bob Williams is out after 19 years at Cal-Santa Barbara; Gauchos had a horrible year this season, but the three years before this one, UCSB was 34-14 in the Big West- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2011, but this seems like a quick hook.

    4) Texas State 83, Texas-Arlington 62— UTA was a team I was looking at to be a Cinderella next week; they beat St Mary’s easily in Moraga, but they got upset in the semis of their conference tournament, so they’re off to the NIT. Texas State plays Troy State Sunday for the Sun Belt title; will the winner be headed to Dayton for a Wednesday play-in game?

    3) Cincinnati 81, UConn 71— Bearcats beat UConn three times this season, all by double digits, twice in the Nutmeg State. Cincy will be a trendy sleeper pick in brackets next week.

    2) What could the biggest possible “worlds colliding” matchup in the first round of the NCAA’s? In 1986, Montana State played St John’s; something like that. How often does a team from NYC play a team from Bozeman, Montana?

    How about North Dakota-UCLA? Vermont-West Virginia?

    1— Random observation; officials called way fewer fouls in Champ Week than they did during the regular season. Watched games from all over the country: the Big West tournament could’ve been played on an outdoor court at Venice Beach— tremendous amount of contact was ignored.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA
      Dunkel

      Sunday, March 12



      Philadelphia @ LA Lakers

      Game 881-882
      March 12, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      108.666
      LA Lakers
      117.994
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Lakers
      by 9 1/2
      226
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Lakers
      by 3 1/2
      221
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Lakers
      (-3 1/2); Over


      Portland @ Phoenix

      Game 879-880
      March 12, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Portland
      126.300
      Phoenix
      117.671
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 8 1/2
      235
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Portland
      by 1 1/2
      229 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Portland
      (-1 1/2); Over


      Cleveland @ Houston

      Game 877-878
      March 12, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Cleveland
      120.065
      Houston
      133.212
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 13
      236
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 5 1/2
      231
      Dunkel Pick:
      Houston
      (-5 1/2); Over


      New York @ Brooklyn

      Game 875-876
      March 12, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New York
      121.373
      Brooklyn
      113.171
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      New York
      by 8
      227
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      New York
      by 1
      221
      Dunkel Pick:
      New York
      (-1); Over


      Miami @ Indiana

      Game 873-874
      March 12, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Miami
      124.422
      Indiana
      122.877
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Miami
      by 1 1/2
      203
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Indiana
      by 4
      207
      Dunkel Pick:
      Miami
      (+4); Under


      Chicago @ Boston

      Game 871-872
      March 12, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      118.787
      Boston
      124.836
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boston
      by 6
      201
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      by 7 1/2
      208 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Chicago
      (+7 1/2); Under





      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, March 12


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHICAGO (31 - 34) at BOSTON (41 - 25) - 3/12/2017, 3:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO is 66-80 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      BOSTON is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MIAMI (32 - 34) at INDIANA (33 - 32) - 3/12/2017, 6:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      INDIANA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
      MIAMI is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
      MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
      MIAMI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
      MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
      MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      INDIANA is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW YORK (26 - 40) at BROOKLYN (11 - 53) - 3/12/2017, 6:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BROOKLYN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      BROOKLYN is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CLEVELAND (43 - 21) at HOUSTON (45 - 21) - 3/12/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
      HOUSTON is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
      HOUSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
      HOUSTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PORTLAND (28 - 36) at PHOENIX (22 - 44) - 3/12/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PORTLAND is 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games this season.
      PORTLAND is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (23 - 42) at LA LAKERS (20 - 45) - 3/12/2017, 9:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHILADELPHIA is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
      LA LAKERS are 64-80 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      LA LAKERS are 168-213 ATS (-66.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
      LA LAKERS are 195-243 ATS (-72.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.
      LA LAKERS are 150-197 ATS (-66.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      LA LAKERS are 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Sunday, March 12


      Bulls lost their last four games, are 1-5 against spread in last six road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Celtics lost three of last four games; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Under is 8-0-2 in their last ten games. Home side won/covered last six Chicago-Boston games; four of last five stayed under total. Bulls lost last three visits to Boston by 5-9-7 points.

      Miami Miami won four in row, eight of last ten games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Pacers are 4-0 vs spread in game following their last four losses; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Home side won last nine Miami-Indiana games; Heat lost last four visits to Indiana (0-4 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

      New York lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Nets lost 20 of last 22 games but covered five of their last seven; four of their last five games went over total. Home side won five of last six New York-Brooklyn games, with Knicks winning last three; they lost four of last five games in Barclays Center. Last three series games stayed under.

      Cavaliers lost three of last four games; they’re 7-9 vs spread in last 16 road games. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Houston split its last six games; they’re 6-9 vs spread in last fifteen home games. Three of their last four games went over. Rockets won seven of last nine games with Cleveland; three of last four series games played here stayed under. Cavaliers lost three of last four visits to Houston (1-3 vs spread).

      Trailblazers won four of last five games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Last seven Blazer games went over total. Suns won four of last six games but lost six in row on road; they are 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Portland won five of last eight games with Phoenix; teams split last four series games played in desert. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

      76ers lost seven of last eight games, but covered six of last seven road games. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Los Angeles lost eight of last nine games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Lakers won five of last six games with Philly; teams split last four series games played here. Six of last seven series games stayed under.




      NBA

      Sunday, March 12


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      3:30 PM
      CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
      Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Chicago is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
      Boston is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Chicago
      Boston is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Chicago

      6:00 PM
      MIAMI vs. INDIANA
      Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
      Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games
      Indiana is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

      6:00 PM
      NEW YORK vs. BROOKLYN
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 9 games at home
      Brooklyn is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against New York

      9:00 PM
      CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
      Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
      Cleveland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
      Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

      9:00 PM
      PORTLAND vs. PHOENIX
      Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Portland is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
      Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Portland
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games

      9:30 PM
      PHILADELPHIA vs. LA LAKERS
      Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
      Philadelphia is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
      LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
      LA Lakers are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • Hoop Trends - Sunday
        March 12, 2017


        ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Pacers are 12-0 ATS (13.21 ppg) with rest after they had more than 12 steals since Nov 27, 2013.

        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Bulls are 13-0-1 OU (11.14 ppg) as a road dog with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers since Nov 21, 2006.

        PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Trail Blazers are 0-10 ATS (-9.40 ppg) after a game as a home favorite in which Damian Lillard took more than 20 shots since Feb 23, 2016.

        CHOICE TREND:


        -- The Knicks are 0-11 ATS (-7.68 ppg) on the road after a game as a road dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws since Jan 09, 2011.

        ACTIVE TRENDS:

        -- The Suns are 13-0 OU (13.77 ppg) after Devin Booker had a positive plus/minus since Jan 08, 2017.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Sunday's NBA Essentials
          March 12, 2017


          Game of the Night - Cleveland at Houston, (ESPN, 9:05 ET)

          Here's hoping we get at least one marquee NBA matchup this weekend where the best players actually suit up. That's no lock, though.

          Following Saturday night's triple-double in a 116-104 win in Orlando, James offered no indication that he'd sit out the Sunday showdown against Houston, but that doesn't mean he can't decide to take the night off if he feels any soreness or senses it's better off to play it safe. After all, just like Golden State was against San Antonio, Cleveland is on the second night of a back-to-back, closing out a stretch of road games. The Cavs will be playing their third in four days and will be at their sixth date away from home this month. That's a lot of mileage.

          Cleveland won't play again until Tuesday night against the Hornets, and is going to be way out in L.A. this weekend facing the Clippers and Lakers. The Cavs will be starting another stretch that the schedule calls for it to hit the road for six of seven, so it might not be the worst idea to sit him for a high-possession game after he worked for 38 minutes against the Magic. Kevin Love won't be back until April and Kyle Korver has been shelved for the next week due to a sore left foot, so it's not like the Cavs are gaining experience with their postseason starting lineup out there. Deron Williams just arrived. J.R. Smith just returned. The memory of Andrew Bogut being lost for the season after a misstep on a simple close-out less than a minute into his Cavs debut still lingers.

          "It's been a strange season, probably one of the strangest I've been a part of from the simple fact of just having the chemistry and camraderie out on the floor," James told reporters after the win in Orlando. "From the coaches to the players, guys have been in and out. We've had injuries and things of that nature."

          Even head coach Tyronn Lue has been dealing with vertigo-related issues, and while the Cavs already rested James and Irving on March 4 down in Miami, it's not out of the question that they opt not to bother with a road game against a Rockets team that has thrived due to improved chemistry and a defined identity. Cleveland avoided what would have been a season-long four-game losing streak by pulling away from the Magic in the fourth. James has now posted back-to-back triple-doubles, increasing his total this season to nine and his career tally to 51. Over his first five games in March, LeBron is averaging 29.8 points, 13.6 rebounds and 9.4 assists, but his team is just 2-3 when he's participated.

          If he sits, the Cavs might as well sit Irving too. Consider this a friendly reminder that this could all happen, so you're going to want to get pre-game confirmation that everyone is a go here before you decide you're all about that action. You should also remember that Cleveland is 0-5 this season when James doesn't play, falling to 4-20 in his absence since his 2015 return to the franchise.

          If everyone plays, we should get a great show. The Rockets snapped a two-game skid with a 21-point win at Chicago on Friday night in a game where they were never challenged. James Harden, who ranks second behind Russell Westbrook with 15 triple-doubles, scored just 19 points on 6-for-16 shooting and had six turnovers, matching his average for the month. He suffered an ankle sprain in the victory but doesn't expect it to hamper or him or keep him out of the lineup. After winning its first two after the All-Star break upon acquiring Lou Williams, Houston is just 3-3 since and Harden has had games where he's gone 1-for-9 and 0-for-8 from beyond the arc. His struggles are enough to make you wonder whether he's wearing down and succumbing to the season-long grind too.

          The Rockets have fallen six games behind the Spurs in the Southwest Division and are 6.5 back of the Warriors for the best record in the Western Conference. They remain one game up on the Cavs for the third-best mark in the league, but are even with the Cavs in the loss column at 21. Cleveland won this season's lone meeting 128-120 way back on Nov. 1 behind Irving's 32 points and 19 points, 13 boards and eight assists from James. Harden scored 41 and dished out 15 dimes in a game where separation was gained through a 43-36 fourth-quarter advantage. Houston point guard Pat Beverley wasn't yet healthy enough to play.

          The Rockets don't play again until Wednesday when the Lakers come through town, so expect all hands on deck. After this contest, Houston will play five consecutive games against teams with losing records, so it has an opportunity to run off a streak if it can take care of business against the Cavs. Houston has won seven of the last nine in this series and hasn't been swept by Cleveland in both regular-season meetings since 2001-02, a streak that lies in jeopardy tonight.

          Injury Concerns


          Miami point guard Goran Dragic suffered a bruised eye socket in Saturday night's 104-89 home win over the Raptors after catching an elbow from counterpart Cory Joseph just after halftime. He sat on the Heat bench with an orbital contusion and sported a massive shiner, but made the trip to Indianapolis and told reporters he intends to play in Sunday's key game against the Pacers. Indiana is currently the No. 6 seed in the East, but is just 1.5 games up on the Heat, who trail the Bucks by a half-game for the final playoff spot. After tonight, just 15 games will remain for Miami.

          Brooklyn center Brook Lopez will return from a one-game absence due to an ankle sprain, so the Nets will be close to full strength as they host the Knicks. They've won twice already this month and will see New York on Thursday night at Madison Square Garden, so this is like Super Bowl week for a team otherwise doomed due to their brutal decisions these past few years. New York just returned home after three straight road games and were outscored 23-11 in the fourth quarter of last night's 112-92 at the Pistons.

          Phoenix is expected to have point guard Eric Bledsoe back out there despite nursing a knee injury. The Suns beat the Mavericks on Saturday night 100-98 on Devin Booker's buzzer-beater. Booker scored 38 points and will look to further ruin Portland's weekend after they were on the receiving end of an awful break in a 125-124 OT home loss to Washington. Markieff Morris stepped out of bounds before depositing a Bradley Beal pass into the basket in the final second. That isn't reviewable despite the fact that the league looks at almost everything over the last two minutes and in overtime. The Blazers would've been playing their fifth game of the week but had Monday's game postponed due to on-court condensation in Minneapolis.

          Shooting guard Gerald Henderson will return for Philadelphia against the Lakers after missing the last game with a hip injury, but it's hard to figure who is out to win tonight's Tankapalooza.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • SUNDAY, MARCH 12

            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


            CHI at BOS 03:30 PM

            BOS -7.5

            U 208.0

            MIA at IND 06:00 PM

            MIA +5.0

            U 205.0

            NY at BK 06:00 PM

            NY -1.0

            O 220.5

            POR at PHO 09:00 PM

            POR -2.0

            U 229.0

            CLE at HOU 09:00 PM

            HOU -6.0 GAME OF THE MONTH

            U 235.0

            PHI at LAL 09:30 PM

            PHI +3.5


            U 222.5
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

              — Last year, UNLV fired hoop coach Dave Rice three games into conference play; as an alumnus, he deserved much better. Now Rice is in the NCAA’s as an assistant for Nevada. Have to feel good for the guy.

              — Cardinals-Pirates will play a Sunday night game in Williamsport during the Little League World Series in August.

              — Random musical knowledge: Michael Jackson did 22 shows at the Tokyo Dome.

              — Cleveland Browns have five of the first 65 picks in this year’s NFL Draft and four picks in the first two rounds next season. All they have to do now is pick the right guys.

              — Cleveland Browns will start their 5th different QB in last five years in Week 1 in September.

              — Showtime has a special on the 1976 Indiana basketball team that finished unbeaten, the last college basketball team to do that. If you like basketball history, it is worth a look.

              **********

              Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Quick thoughts on the field of 68

              Some quick thoughts after seeing the pairings and after Champ Week.

              13) Must be nice go to college at Arizona; their players were watching the pairings show while sitting outside, in the sun. I’m guessing the North Dakota kids watched the pairings show inside.

              12) Early last week, was texting with a friend in Las Vegas, talking about hoop; the two mid-majors who I thought were best positioned to shock the world this week were Tex-Arlington and Monmouth— welllllll……neither one of them made it.

              There will be a great set of games at some point in this tournament, I’m just not real sure it’ll be the first round this year. There are jackasses on TV who run their mouths and pick lot of upsets so they can look good if the upsets happen- no way do they really believe those upsets will happen.

              11) UCLA is a 3-seed; they play Kent State, then probably the Cincy-Wake-KState survivor. One note of caution about UCLA; Lonzo Ball hurt his left thumb Friday night. No one said anything, and he played the game but you could tell it was bothering him. If he ain’t 100%, the Bruins will go out early. I’m looking at Cincinnati to upset the Bruins in the second round.

              10) Providence-USC is a play-in game; Friars beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 game LY, with Friars scoring on an OB under play at the buzzer. USC led by 5 with 2:21 left. Kris Dunn is in the NBA now, though. Long trip east for the USC kids, and also for the Cal-Davis kids who also play in Dayton Wednesday night.

              9) Purdue is a 4-seed, the best seed of any Big 14 team. Was looking at Maryland as a team who would get beat in the first round, but they drew a Xavier squad whose point guard got hurt 13 games ago— Musketeers are 6-7 since he got hurt.

              8) Vermont is a 13-seed, second year in row the America East champ was a 13-seed. Since 2006, America East teams are 6-6 vs spread in NCAA’s, but a closer look shows that Albany was 5-1 vs spread in NCAA games, the rest of the league 1-5. Vermont lost to Butler by 12, South Carolina by 18, Providence by 22 this season- their best wins were over Harvard, Wofford.

              7) Of the teams who played on Sunday, who has to play Thursday? Princeton and Wisconsin. Thats a quick turnaround, especially if the Thursday games are during the day.

              6) Last two years, ACC teams are 9-3 against the spread in the first round.

              5) Last year, Wichita State beat Sean Miller’s Arizona Wildcats 65-55 in the NCAA’s; this year, Shockers play Dayton in the first round- Flyers are coached by Archie Miller, Sean’s brother.

              4) Westgate Sportsbook in Las Vegas (where it is not expected to snow this week, unlike in beautiful downtown Albany) has Duke at 5-1 to win it all; North Carolina is 6-1, followed by Kansas/Kentucky/Villanova, all at 8-1, then Gonzaga 10-1.

              3) Six years ago, New Orleans didn’t have a basketball team; they were out of it for two years as the school considered dropping to Division III. Now the Privateers are in the NCAA’s- they won by 16 at Washington State of the Pac-12. Great coaching job by Mark Slessinger- UNO is 16-5 this season vs teams ranked outside the top 200. Mt St Mary’s is ranked #213.

              2) Several teams made the NCAA’s for the first time; Northwestern, Cal-Davis, North Dakota and Jacksonville State; for those teams, everything from this point on is gravy- they’ve already had a fabulous season.

              1— Someone in the blur of last week’s TV deluge predicted a 16-seed would beat a 1-seed this season; it has never happened, but look at the four games this year- it still ain’t happening.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • NBA
                Long Sheet

                Monday, March 13

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                CHICAGO (31 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (29 - 37) - 3/13/2017, 7:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHICAGO is 66-81 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
                CHICAGO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                CHARLOTTE is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
                CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
                CHARLOTTE is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CHARLOTTE is 7-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                DALLAS (28 - 37) at TORONTO (38 - 28) - 3/13/2017, 7:35 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
                DALLAS is 373-306 ATS (+36.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                DALLAS is 477-400 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
                DALLAS is 262-214 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
                TORONTO is 135-172 ATS (-54.2 Units) in March games since 1996.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                ATLANTA (37 - 29) at SAN ANTONIO (51 - 14) - 3/13/2017, 8:05 PM
                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MILWAUKEE (32 - 33) at MEMPHIS (36 - 30) - 3/13/2017, 8:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MILWAUKEE is 353-423 ATS (-112.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
                MILWAUKEE is 249-305 ATS (-86.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
                MILWAUKEE is 52-91 ATS (-48.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
                MEMPHIS is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                MEMPHIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                WASHINGTON (41 - 24) at MINNESOTA (27 - 38) - 3/13/2017, 8:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                WASHINGTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                LA CLIPPERS (40 - 26) at UTAH (41 - 25) - 3/13/2017, 9:05 PM
                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
                LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
                5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                LA LAKERS (20 - 46) at DENVER (31 - 35) - 3/13/2017, 10:35 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                LA LAKERS are 64-81 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                DENVER is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                ORLANDO (24 - 43) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 41) - 3/13/2017, 10:35 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                ORLANDO is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
                ORLANDO is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                ORLANDO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                ORLANDO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                SACRAMENTO is 47-65 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                SACRAMENTO is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                ORLANDO is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                ORLANDO is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NBA
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Monday, March 13

                  Chicago lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven road games. Bulls’ last six games stayed under the total. Charlotte is 4-0 vs spread in game following its last four losses; they’re 2-9 vs spread in last 11 home games. Hornets won three of last four games with Chicago; home side won seven of last eight series games. Over is 3-2-1 in last six series games. Michael Jordan’s old team lost last four visits to Charlotte (0-4 vs spread).

                  Dallas won six of its last eight games; they lost last four road games (1-3 vs spread). Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Raptors lost three of last four games on 4-3 road trip; they won five of last six home games (4-6 vs spread in last ten). Under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Toronto won five of last seven games with Dallas; four of last five series games stayed under total. Mavericks lost three of last four visits to Toronto (2-2 vs spread).

                  Hawks won their last three games; they’re 13-7 vs spread in last 20 road games. Three of their last four games went over. San Antonio won 10 of last 11 games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 13-5 in their last 18 games. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Atlanta, covering three of last four; three of last four in series went over. Hawks lost their last five visits to the Alamo (3-2 vs spread).

                  Milwaukee won/covered its last six games; they covered four of last five road games. Under is 8-0-1 in their last nine road games. Grizzlies lost their last five games, are 2-8 vs spread in last ten home games. Five of their last six games went over the total. Home side won last six Milwaukee-Memphis games; Bucks lost last four visits to Memphis (1-3 vs spread). Under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games.

                  Washington won its last five games; they’re 9-2-2 vs spread in last 13 road games. Wizards’ last six games went over total. Timberwolves won six of last nine games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Nine of last ten Minnesota games stayed under. Wizards/Minnesota split their last ten games; Washington lost three of last four visits to Twin Cities (1-3 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over total.

                  Clippers won four of last five games, are 8-3 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 road games. Jazz won four of last five games, are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last five games went over the total. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Utah; they won last six games in this building (4-1-1 vs spread). Five of last seven series games stayed under.

                  Lakers lost nine of their last ten games, are 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Last three LA games went over the total. Nuggets won five of their last seven games, are 10-5 vs spread in last 15 home games. Over is 8-3 in their last eleven home games. Lakers lost six of last eight games with Denver; teams split last four games played here. Last seven series games went over total.

                  Magic lost four of last five games, are 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Sacramento lost its last eight games (2-5-1 vs spread); they’re 1-4-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 9-3 in their games since they traded Cousins. Kings lost four of last five games with Orlando; Magic won by 9-7 points in last two visits here. Last three series games stayed under the total.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NBA

                    Monday, March 13

                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Trend Report
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    7:00 PM
                    CHICAGO vs. CHARLOTTE
                    Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing Charlotte
                    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
                    Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

                    7:30 PM
                    DALLAS vs. TORONTO
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Toronto
                    Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
                    Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
                    Toronto is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Dallas

                    8:00 PM
                    MILWAUKEE vs. MEMPHIS
                    Milwaukee is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Memphis
                    Milwaukee is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                    Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                    Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

                    8:00 PM
                    WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
                    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                    Washington is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
                    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

                    8:00 PM
                    ATLANTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
                    Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
                    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta

                    9:00 PM
                    LA CLIPPERS vs. UTAH
                    LA Clippers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
                    Utah is 1-17 SU in their last 18 games when playing LA Clippers

                    10:30 PM
                    ORLANDO vs. SACRAMENTO
                    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
                    Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
                    Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
                    Sacramento is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Orlando

                    10:30 PM
                    LA LAKERS vs. DENVER
                    LA Lakers are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games when playing Denver
                    LA Lakers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
                    Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • NBA
                      Dunkel

                      Monday, March 13


                      Orlando @ Sacramento

                      Game 515-516
                      March 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Orlando
                      115.937
                      Sacramento
                      110.962
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Orlando
                      by 5
                      212
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Sacramento
                      by 1
                      207
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Orlando
                      (+1); Over

                      LA Lakers @ Denver

                      Game 513-514
                      March 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      LA Lakers
                      109.492
                      Denver
                      126.301
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Denver
                      by 17
                      235
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Denver
                      by 12 1/2
                      230
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Denver
                      (-12 1/2); Over

                      LA Clippers @ Utah

                      Game 511-512
                      March 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      LA Clippers
                      119.215
                      Utah
                      124.402
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Utah
                      by 5
                      197
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Utah
                      by 1
                      202
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Utah
                      (-1); Under

                      Washington @ Minnesota

                      Game 509-510
                      March 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Washington
                      125.761
                      Minnesota
                      122.281
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Washington
                      by 3 1/2
                      209
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Minnesota
                      by 1 1/2
                      214 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Washington
                      (+1 1/2); Under

                      Milwaukee @ Memphis

                      Game 507-508
                      March 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Milwaukee
                      122.758
                      Memphis
                      118.408
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Milwaukee
                      by 4 1/2
                      207
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Memphis
                      by 4
                      200
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Milwaukee
                      (+4); Over

                      Atlanta @ San Antonio

                      Game 505-506
                      March 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Atlanta
                      124.442
                      San Antonio
                      122.964
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Atlanta
                      by 1 1/2
                      205
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      San Antonio
                      by 6 1/2
                      200
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Atlanta
                      (+6 1/2); Over

                      Dallas @ Toronto

                      Game 503-504
                      March 13, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Dallas
                      115.330
                      Toronto
                      126.823
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Toronto
                      by 11 1/2
                      191
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Toronto
                      by 4
                      196 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Toronto
                      (-4); Under

                      Chicago @ Charlotte

                      Game 501-502
                      March 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Chicago
                      109.699
                      Charlotte
                      124.114
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Charlotte
                      by 14 1/2
                      195
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Charlotte
                      by 7
                      199 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Charlotte
                      (-7); Under
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Monday's NBA Essentials
                        March 13, 2017

                        Game of the Night - Atlanta at San Antonio, (TNT, 8:05 ET)

                        Dire circumstances helped make the NBA an easy target over the weekend when one of the most anticipated games on the league's schedule was foiled by injuries and a desire to rest players. San Antonio's Kawhi Leonard found himself stuck dealing with the league's concussion protocol, while Saturday morning brought news that LaMarcus Aldridge was suffering through a heart issue that would keep him out indefinitely.

                        Despite the absence of their top two scorers, the Spurs not only ended up a double-digit favorite over a Golden State team playing without its best five, they won by 22. Back when they won a title they followed up with a 73-win regular season, the Warriors adopted "Strength in Numbers" as the team motto. They had t-shirts made up that were worn as warm-ups. Fans held up signs. From MVP Steph Curry to the last guy on the bench, everyone mattered.

                        Making moves to incorporate Kevin Durant eradicated that dynamic, which is ironic since it can now be most associated with the Spurs, who enter the week just one-half game behind Golden State for the best record in the league. San Antonio is 9-1 in its last 10 and has reached this point, about 80 percent into the regular-season, as the favorite to overtake the Warriors for the NBA's top record and the homecourt advantage it carries with it. Only Golden State has a better home winning percentage than the Spurs have managed at the AT&T Center, where they've won 80 percent of their games thus far entering tonight's date with Atlanta.

                        Although Aldridge is dealing what is being termed a "minor ailment," a statement that sounds like an oxymoron considering we're talking about his heart, he's expected back despite the uncertainty. The issue is an arrhythmia, an irregular heartbeat that will require monitoring, so there's no telling how long he'll be out. There won't be any rushing back. These are, after all, the Spurs we're talking about. They excercise caution when dealing with an ingrown toenail, so they'll know for sure that Aldridge will be fine before he's back in the mix. Fortunately, since Pau Gasol was coming off the bench after returning from a broken hand, he's available to step in, although David Lee, who worked his way into the rotation while Gasol was out, could also get the nod. Dewayne Dedmon will continue to start at center.

                        See, strength in numbers.

                        Head coach Gregg Popovich expressed hope that Leonard would be able to return for Monday's game against the Hawks, but concussion protocol is a different animal and he'll be cleared when ready. He sounds close though, so the Spurs should have him back sooner than later to lead the way at both ends of the floor. Leonard's well-rounded excellence has him in the MVP race, as his first four games this month saw him 33.8 points, 8.5 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 3.3 steals, culminating with a head-to-head takedown of James Harden's Rockets. Kyle Anderson has started at small forward in his absence.

                        Although Tim Duncan has retired and Leonard largely leads through his play instead of vocally, the Spurs still have Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili as anchors, an advantage that should become obvious over the next month. With Duncan and Kobe Bryant out of the league, Parker and Ginobili, both now well past their prime, have won the most titles ahead of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and James Jones, joining Wade as the only active guys to do so over two different decades. Although neither is still consistently great, they still show flashes of brilliance and can take over for short stretches. On a team that lacks many outgoing personalities, they're the vocal leaders too. It will be interesting to see how they react in this one, knowing they're in for a challenge against former longtime assistant Mike Budenholzer, once one of Pop's most trusted advisors.

                        Bud's Hawks arrive in San Antonio on a three-game winning streak that has moved them one-half game behind Toronto for the fourth-best record in the East. Atlanta crushed Memphis 107-90 on Saturday and return home for a rematch against the Grizzlies on Thursday following this one. The Hawks beat the Spurs 114-112 on Jan. 1 despite Aldridge and Parker combining for 49 points. Neither will play tonight, as Parker has been ruled out due to a back issue.

                        Paul Millsap scored 32 points in that New Year's Day game, while Tim Hardaway, Jr., now in the starting lineup, won it by shooting 11-for-13 from the field, making 6-of-7 3-pointers. If Leonard isn't cleared to help stop Millsap, the Spurs shouldn't be favored despite their dominant record at home. Fortunately, the schedule is on their side, since seven of their next nine will be played in San Antonio and only one back-to-back situation arises. The Warriors must come back through town on March 29, which means Kevin Durant won't be back to partake in the festivities.

                        Regardless of what transpires against Atlanta tonight and how long it takes for Aldridge to safely return, San Antonio has moved into the driver's seat to claim homecourt in the West, which helps improve its hopes for a sixth NBA championship in 19 seasons.

                        Injury Concerns

                        Point guard Kyle Lowry will have his wrist re-evaluated this week but still isn't likely to return until late in the month at the earliest, so a Raptors team that is 2-4 in March must find a way to stay afloat with Boston pulling away in the Atlantic and the Hawks closing hard for homecourt advantage in a possible first-round series. DeMarre Carroll, who had finally managed to stay healthy for the first time since joining the Raptors as a prized free-agent acquisition in 2015, is dealing with a sore ankle and may not play as Toronto hosts Dallas on Monday. The Mavs have their own major concern since has missed consecutive games with a sore left knee after hitting the ground runing as the team's starting center upon his arrival.

                        Rudy Gobert missed his first game of the season in Saturday's 112-104 loss in Oklahoma City, sitting due to leg soreness after catching a knee from Houston's James Harden on Thursday. Not coincidentally, the Jazz surrendered their third-hightest scoring output of the season despite getting point guard George Hill back to help slow Russell Westbrook. Gobert, one of the frontrunners for Defensive Player of the Year honors, will likely be a game-time decision agaisnt the Clippers in a huge game in the Western Conference. Entering Monday's action, the Jazz would be the No. 4 seed and would host fifth-seeded L.A. in Game 1 of a playoff series, but their lead is just a single game, which means that could flip-flop since the NBA has eliminated the mandate that a division winner must be locked in to a top-four seed.

                        Starting power forward Derrick Favors has been ruled out due to a bone contusion on his left knee and will be re-evaluated later this week. Hill, who had been dealing with a toe injury, had a flat performance in his return this weekend, while backup Shelvin Mack has been ruled out with a badly sprained ankle.

                        The Jazz hit the road for a four-game trip against Central Division competition beginning Wednesday and will see the Clippers in L.A. on March 25. If they can't overcome their injuries, they risk losing homecourt advantage and could wind up getting caught by OKC for the Northwest Division title.

                        The Lakers reached a new low in their season-long tank on Sunday night, losing at Staples Center to Philadelphia 118-116 when T.J. McConnell helped complete a comeback in the game's final minute with a go-ahead jumper. The 76ers therefore swept the Lakers this season, which won't hurt L.A.'s hopes of holding on to their 2016 draft pick, which otherwise goes to Philly if not among the top three. The Lakers will play in Denver for the first time this season and are undergoing a youth movement with rookie Brandon Ingram in the starting lineup and recently acquired young pieces Tyler Ennis and David Nwaba getting long looks. That has to be music to Denver's ears, since the Nuggets have a tenuous hold on the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference, entering the week up 1.5 games on Portland and 2.5 on Dallas. Key forwards Wilson Chandler (groin) and Danilo Gallinari (illness, hamstring) haven't been 100 percent lately, but are expected to play. Starting point guard Jameer Nelson is hampered by a hip issue and is questionable, while backup forward Kenneth Faried remains sidelined with a back injury.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • Monday's Best Bet
                          March 13, 2017

                          Monday NBA Betting Preview
                          Washington vs. Minnesota

                          Sportsbook.ag Odds: Minnesota (-2), Total 214.5

                          The Washington Wizards wrap up their five-game trip out west tonight and it's been a highly successful one for them. At the start of the trip I wrote about how important this stretch of games was for the Wizards and their pursuit of at least the #2 seed in the East and while they are only 2-1-1 ATS so far, they've gone a perfect 4-0 SU to currently sit tied for 2nd with Boston – just two games back of Cleveland.

                          None of these wins have been easy though as the last two came in OT and with all those logged minutes on the floor in a relatively short amount of time – this is their 5th game in seven nights, NBA bettors have to wonder if the Wizards might run out of gas tonight.

                          Not only has Washington won all four games on this road trip so far, but they've gone 7-1 SU over their last eight games as their offense has really carried the load.

                          They've yet to score fewer than 123 points on this road trip and while those numbers may be a touch inflated because of two OT games, the Wizards are showing that they've got no fear about trading buckets with almost anyone in this league.

                          Yet, when fatigue hits it's usually the shooting that trails off first and while Minnesota isn't a great defensive team overall, they've been much better lately with each of their last six opponents being held to 102 or less and six of their past nine foes scoring under 100.

                          That list includes some very good teams too like Golden State, San Antonio and the Clippers, so slowing down Washington's attach is something Minnesota will be ready for.

                          Tonight's game for Minnesota is the first of two in a row against the East teams tied for second place as they travel to Boston after the game to face the Celtics on Wednesday. They lost in Milwaukee over the weekend a day after upsetting Golden State, as the T-Wolves continue to be a team that typically plays up or down to the level of their competition.

                          That should bode well for them tonight against a strong Wizards team and with a 5-1 ATS run going at home the last six times they've faced Washington, and a 8-1 ATS run overall entering tonight, laying the small chalk with the home side is the way to go here.

                          I say that because there is no question that the Wizards are on the brink of running out of gas for at least one game, and that process should be expedited after two OT games and a bunch of guys anxious to return home.

                          Washington is just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 on the road against a team with a losing home record, and although they like to push the pace, they might not be capable of doing so effectively tonight.

                          Minnesota has no problem playing the run-and-gun game either and could very well run the Wizards off the court and straight to the tarmac at the airport.

                          Finally, speaking to Minnesota's tendency to play up or down to their level of competition, a 16-5 ATS run against teams with a winning record speaks highly to that and it's a strong sign that this Timberwolves organization isn't far off from being a playoff team.

                          It's not likely to happen this year, but with all the youthful talent they've got growing up together, Minnesota is definitely showing the signs of an organization that's learning how to win in this league and tonight will be another notch in that belt.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • Hoop Trends - Monday
                            March 13, 2017

                            ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

                            -- The Grizzlies are 0-13-1 ATS (-5.64 ppg) with rest off a loss in a home game in which they shot under 40% from the field since May 03, 2014.

                            OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                            -- The Bulls are 14-0-1 OU (13.83 ppg) as a road dog off a 10+ point loss in a road game in which they shot under 40% from the field since Feb 02, 2008.

                            PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

                            -- The Hawks are 0-15 OU (-7.63 ppg) off a road game in which Dennis Schroder played fewer than 30 minutes since Oct 31, 2016.

                            CHOICE TREND:

                            -- The Hornets are 11-0 OU (15.18 ppg) with rest off a loss in a home game in which they had fewer than 15 fouls since Mar 11, 2011.

                            ACTIVE TRENDS:

                            -- The Wizards are 8-0 OU (17.62 ppg) as a dog off a win in which John Wall was the high scorer since Apr 03, 2016.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • Cavaliers to sign F Larry Sanders
                              March 13, 2017

                              CLEVELAND (AP) Larry Sanders walked away from the NBA. He's coming back to a team that needs his help.

                              Sanders, who left the league two years ago, will sign with the champion Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday, a person familiar with the decision told the Associated Press. Sanders is taking his physical and once it's completed, he will sign for the remainder of the season, said the person who spoke on condition of anonymity because the team has not announced any roster moves.

                              The Cavs are just 2-5 in March and have been adding new pieces for weeks while battling key injuries. Cleveland has been looking for another frontcourt player after newly signed center Andrew Bogut broke his left leg last week after just 58 seconds of his debut. Bogut is expected to be waived to clear a roster spot for Sanders.

                              The 6-foot-11 Sanders will bring Cleveland a shot-blocking interior player. They've been thin up front all season after letting Timofey Mozgov leave as a free agent and Sanders will give Cavs coach Tyronn Lue some depth.

                              LeBron James is interested to see if Sanders can help.

                              ''An athletic big guy, incredible shot-blocking skills, anticipation around the rim, can finish around the rim and block shots and being able to guard perimeter guys as well,'' James said before the team offered Sanders a deal.

                              ''It looks like he wants another opportunity and hopefully if we're the team, hopefully we give him an opportunity,'' James said. ''Why not? Everyone deserves a second chance and it look like he wants to get back to playing the game he loves and hopefully this is his destination.''

                              Sanders worked out for Cleveland last month, but the team decided to sign Bogut instead after he was traded by Dallas and then waived by Philadelphia. The 28-year-old Sanders averaged 6.5 points and 5.8 rebounds in five seasons with the Milwaukee Bucks, but he hasn't played since February 2015.

                              It's possible Sanders could spend some time with Cleveland's D-League affiliate to work on his conditioning before joining the Cavs.

                              In 2015, Sanders was suspended for 10 games in for violating the league's substance abuse policy. It was his second suspension for marijuana use.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • NBA regular season enters final month
                                March 13, 2017

                                The marathon that is the NBA regular season is headed toward its final sprint.

                                With less than a month remaining until the final night of the season on April 12, the races for MVP and Rookie of the Year are wide open, and there is seemingly no clear-cut favorite to win the championship.

                                Much was already settled by this time last season. Stephen Curry had long since wrapped up what became the first unanimous MVP award in NBA history, and Karl-Anthony Towns had left Kristaps Porzingis behind in the Rookie of the Year chase.

                                There's far more intrigue now in a season that began with what seemed a forgone conclusion, that Golden State and Cleveland would meet in the NBA Finals for the third straight year.

                                And this time, the MVP race could be headed toward a narrow finish among the likes of James Harden, Russell Westbrook, Kawhi Leonard and LeBron James. Joel Embiid's season-ending injury has put the rookie race up for grabs, with Philadelphia teammate Dario Saric and Milwaukee's Malcolm Brogdon perhaps emerging as the best of the leftover candidates - unless voters believe Embiid did enough to win in just 31 games.

                                Golden State was headed toward an eventual NBA record for wins last season; now the Warriors aren't winning at all. Their three-game skid and Curry's slump have left San Antonio just a half-game back for the NBA's best record.

                                Also still to be sorted out in the final month:

                                INJURY ISSUES: Kevin Durant's loss has left Golden State vulnerable and Kyle Lowry's absence has Toronto reeling. Both could return near the end of the regular season, which could give their teams enough time to mount serious playoff runs.

                                RACES FOR 8TH: Milwaukee has surged into playoff position in the Eastern Conference with six straight wins, with Miami and Chicago both within 1+ games of the Bucks' lead for the eighth and last postseason spot. Denver occupies No. 8 in the West, with Portland, Dallas and Minnesota close behind.

                                HOME-COURT HOPES: Toronto is clinging to a one-game lead over Atlanta for the No. 4 seed in the East and home-court advantage in the first round. Out West, Utah's lead over the fifth-place Los Angeles Clippers also is one game.

                                The only thing that seems settled is the race for the worst record. Brooklyn is eight games worse than anyone else, which will almost certainly give the Boston Celtics the best shot at the No. 1 overall pick, because they have the right to swap spots with Brooklyn.

                                ---

                                What to watch this week:

                                WOBBLY WARRIORS: Golden State is on its first three-game losing streak in the regular season since Nov. 20-23, 2013, an NBA-record 297 consecutive games without three straight regular-season losses. The Warriors have a good chance to snap that Tuesday at home against Philadelphia.

                                WONDERFUL WIZARDS: Washington has won five in a row, the last two in overtime, and can wrap up a 5-0 road trip and a winning record for the season with a victory Monday in Minnesota.

                                BIG MONDAY MATCHUP: The Clippers visit the Jazz on Monday and certainly don't want to have to do it again in their playoff opener. A victory would tie them with Utah for the important No. 4 spot in the West.

                                WHAT GIVES, GRIZ? Memphis has dropped five straight games, falling all the way to seventh place in the West. The Grizzlies next play a team going in the opposite direction, hosting the surging Bucks on Monday.

                                SACRAMENTO-SAN ANTONIO SEQUEL: The Kings led by 28 points when they were in San Antonio last Wednesday with Kawhi Leonard sitting and ended up losing the game, part of their current eight-game skid. They get another chance to finish the job Sunday.

                                ---

                                STAT LINE OF THE WEEK: Isaiah Thomas, Boston: 9-for-14 shooting, 22 points in a 100-80 victory over Chicago on Sunday. By sitting the entire fourth quarter, his average dropped to 29.2 points as he tries to become the first Celtics player to average 30 for a season. Larry Bird scored 29.9 per game in 1987-88.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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