The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 13

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 34) at CHARLOTTE (24 - 30) - 2/13/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
CHARLOTTE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (31 - 24) at WASHINGTON (32 - 21) - 2/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-67 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (20 - 36) at MIAMI (24 - 31) - 2/13/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (33 - 23) at BROOKLYN (9 - 45) - 2/13/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
MEMPHIS is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 59-74 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
BROOKLYN is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (41 - 13) at INDIANA (29 - 25) - 2/13/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 75-57 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 329-271 ATS (+30.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 203-141 ATS (+47.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 97-75 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (26 - 29) at MILWAUKEE (23 - 30) - 2/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 345-419 ATS (-115.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-5 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (35 - 19) at DALLAS (22 - 32) - 2/13/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 370-303 ATS (+36.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 314-261 ATS (+26.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less this season.
BOSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (21 - 34) at PHOENIX (17 - 38) - 2/13/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 116-150 ATS (-49.0 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (46 - 8) at DENVER (24 - 30) - 2/13/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 85-70 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 132-103 ATS (+18.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (33 - 21) at UTAH (34 - 21) - 2/13/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 106-141 ATS (-49.1 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 196-256 ATS (-85.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
UTAH is 69-41 ATS (+23.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (31 - 23) at PORTLAND (23 - 31) - 2/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 22-32 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PORTLAND is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 13

Philly won its last two games after a 5-game skid; they’re 1-5 vs spread in their last six games on road. Over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Hornets lost nine of last ten games; they’re 0-7 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games. 76ers lost eight of last ten games with Charlotte; they lost last five visits here, but covered three of the five games. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Thunder won/covered eight of last ten home games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall. Four of their last six games went over the total. Wizards are 18-1 in their last 19 home games, 14-3-2 vs spread. Five of their last six games went over the total. Oklahoma City won seven of last eight games with Washington, covered last four; they won by 2-24 points in last two visits here. Four of last five series games went over.

Magic lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Heat had its 13-game win streak snapped Saturday; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last six games went over total. Miami won six of last eight games with Orlando (5-2 vs spread in last seven); Magic lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 7-11-22 points. Last four series games went over.

Memphis lost three of its last five games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Nets lost their last 12 games, are 3-9 vs spread in last dozen home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Grizzlies won their last four games with Brooklyn; they won/covered four of last five visits to Kings County (over 4-1).

Spurs lost three of their last five road games; they won five of last seven games overall. Six of their last seven games stayed under total. Pacers lost last three games by 15-5-16 points; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games- their last three games all went over. San Antonio won eight of last ten games with Indiana but Pacers covered four of last six; Spurs won four of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Detroit won five of its last seven games, covered six of last eight; they’re 2-7 vs spread if they played night before. Four of their last five games stayed under. Bucks lost seven of last nine games, are 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Four of their last five games went over the total. Pistons won four of last five games with Milwaukee, but they lost three of last four visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Dallas won six of last seven home games, covered seven of last eight; they’re 6-2 in last eight games overall. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Boston won nine of last ten games, is 8-4 vs spread in last 12 road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Mavericks won seven of last eight games with Boston; four of last five series games went over total. Celtics lost lost their last five visits to Texas (2-3 vs spread).

New Orleans lost six of its last seven road games; they lost six of last eight games overall. Under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Suns lost nine of last 11 games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Pelicans are 5-3 in last eight games with Phoenix; teams split last four series games played in the desert. Five of last seven series games went over.

Warriors won eight of last nine games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Nuggets split their last six games but covered only one of last five on road. Eight of their last ten games went over total. Golden State won eight of last ten games with Denver but Nuggets covered six of last eight; Warriors won three of last five visits here. Last eight series games went over the total.

Clippers are 4-7 since Paul got hurt but they covered four of last five road games. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Utah lost its last two games but they won nine of last eleven home games. Last five Jazz games went over the total. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Utah; they won last five visits to Salt Lake City (3-1-1 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under.

Atlanta is 7-5 in its last 12 games overall, 10-5 vs spread in its last 15 road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Trailblazers lost three of last four games; they’re 10-7 vs spread in last 17 home games. Three of their last four games went over the total. Hawks won their last four games with Portland, winning last two visits here by 8-6 points. Three of last four series games went over.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, February 13

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. INDIANA
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Indiana is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Indiana is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. BROOKLYN
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. MIAMI
Orlando is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
Miami is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Orlando

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MILWAUKEE
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. WASHINGTON
Oklahoma City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
BOSTON vs. DALLAS
Boston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games

9:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DENVER
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State

10:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, February 13

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Monday’s NBA Game of the Day: Clippers at Jazz
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Clippers leading scorer Blake Griffin (21.9) is averaging 26.8 points and 9.3 rebounds in six games during February.

Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz (-7, 206.5)

The Utah Jazz hope to rebound after two straight uncharacteristic defensive performances when they host the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday night. The Jazz lead the league in scoring defense (96.0) despite surrendering 112 in overtime loss against Dallas on Thursday and letting the Boston Celtics shoot 59.2 percent in a 112-104 setback on Saturday.

Leading scorer Gordon Hayward - who scored at least 30 for the fourth time in five games - told reporters that it was a matter of execution Saturday for Utah, which owns a half-game lead on the Clippers for fourth place in the Western Conference. Los Angeles has had its own problems since sprinting to a 14-2 start - in part due to injuries - but is managing just a .500 record since (19-19) despite showing signs of life by winning the last two games. The Clippers knocked off the struggling New York Knicks before finding a way past Charlotte 107-102 on Saturday to even their record (2-2) going into the finale of a five-game road trip. Point guard Chris Paul (thumb) is still weeks away from returning and Los Angeles is 6-12 without him in the lineup, but the Clippers won 16 of the last 17 against the Jazz.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), ROOT (Utah)

LINE HISTORY: The Jazz opened as seven-point home favorites and the total hit the board at 206.5. During the overnight hours the point spread was dropped slightly to -6.5. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Clippers, who beat the Jazz by 13 at the beginning of this season, have had their way in this series in recent seasons. Thats likely to change tonight though. The Jazz, the stingiest team in the league, allow just 94.1 ppg on this floor. That compares favorably to the 109.3 ppg which the Clippers allow on the road. Utah 69-41 ATS in the 'revenge role' the past few seasons. No Paul = No Cover." - Ben Burns.

INJURY REPORT:

Clippers - PG C. Paul (Mid March, thumb), PF B. Johnson (Out Indefinitely, back).

Jazz - SG R. Hood (Late Feb, knee).

POWER RANKINGS: Clippers (-6.7) - Jazz (-8.7) + home court (-3) = Jazz -5

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (33-21 SU, 27-27 ATS, 31-23 O/U): Los Angeles got some strong play from its bench in the win over Charlotte and veteran guard Jamal Crawford led the way with 22 points, going 5-of-8 from behind the arc. “Since I’ve been here for five years, there are times and moments in the game where sometimes you have to be a little more aggressive to weather whatever storm it might be,” Crawford told reporters after improving his average to 20 points over the last five games. Leading scorer Blake Griffin (21.9) is averaging 26.8 points and 9.3 rebounds in six games during February.

ABOUT THE JAZZ (34-21 SU, 24-30-1 ATS, 28-27 O/U): Point guard George Hill and center Rudy Gobert have each stepped up to support Hayward with swingman Rodney Hood (knee) sitting out the last five contests. Hill is averaging 22 points over his last four outings to push his season mark to 17.9 while Gobert boasts three straight double-doubles and led the league in blocks (2.51) entering Sunday’s games. Forward Derrick Favors, who averaged a career-high 16.4 points last season, is still trying to find his consistency after managing just 12 combined in the last contests – dropping to 9.3 per game.

TRENDS:

* Clippers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 day of rest.
* Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.
* Over is 10-1 in Clippers last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 overall.
* Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

CONSENSUS: 64 percent of users are siding with the road underdog L.A. Clippers and Over is picking up 52 percent of the totals wagers.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 13


Atlanta @ Portland

Game 521-522
February 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
116.718
Portland
121.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
Pick
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
Over

LA Clippers @ Utah

Game 519-520
February 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
114.464
Utah
126.082
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 11 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7); Under

Golden State @ Denver

Game 517-518
February 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
130.162
Denver
121.657
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12
239 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+12); Under

New Orleans @ Phoenix

Game 515-516
February 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
108.910
Phoenix
118.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 10
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-2); Under

Boston @ Dallas

Game 513-514
February 13, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
126.267
Dallas
118.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-1 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Milwaukee

Game 511-512
February 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
122.979
Milwaukee
116.346
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Over

San Antonio @ Indiana

Game 509-510
February 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
120.322
Indiana
121.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+3 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Brooklyn

Game 507-508
February 13, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
127.240
Brooklyn
110.139
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 17
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 9 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-9 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Miami

Game 505-506
February 13, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
106.283
Miami
125.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 19 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-8 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Washington

Game 503-504
February 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.586
Washington
129.004
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

Philadelphia @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
February 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
108.945
Charlotte
122.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 14
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 7 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-7 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday
February 13, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-12 ATS (-5.75 ppg) with rest off a loss in a home game in which they shot under 40% from the field since May 03, 2014.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nets are 11-0-1 OU (14.92 ppg) at home off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average since Feb 23, 2010.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 10-0 OU (17.20 ppg) as a dog off a road game in which Blake Griffin had a double double since Dec 01, 2013.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nuggets are 11-0 OU (9.77 ppg) as a dog off a loss in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field since Mar 06, 2016.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Pelicans are 0-11-1 ATS (-8.54 ppg) after Anthony Davis shot under 50 percent and was their high scorer since Nov 01, 2016.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Best Bet
February 13, 2017

Monday NBA Betting Preview
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Golden State (-12); Total set at 240

After getting their revenge on Memphis and blowing out the Thunder in Kevin Durant's return to Oklahoma City, the Golden State Warriors wrap up this three-game road trip in Denver tonight. Golden State covered the number in both of those wins over the weekend and were not shy about putting up points with 122 and 130 respectively.

In fact, the Warriors have scored 120+ five times in their last six games and their #1 ranked offense should have another solid night against Denver.

The Nuggets rank 28th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.9 and that, combined with Golden State's ability to score has forced oddsmakers to put up the highest total of the year at 240. These two teams are 2-0 O/U in their two meetings this year with the last meeting tallying 246 points, and going back a few seasons bettors will find that the 'over' is 8-0 in the last eight meetings.

Typically with crazy numbers like this – whether they are high or low – I'd suggest to side with the “crazy side,” which in this case would be the 'over,' but I get that it's a tough bet to make. Sometimes the hardest bets to make cash the easiest, and while the total seems like an alright option, it's the side that presents much more value.

Both prior meetings may have gone 'over' this year, but the two teams have actually split ATS. Denver hung tough up in Oakland in their last meeting, losing 127-119 as 15.5-point underdogs; never losing a single quarter by more than five points. In what has been a trying season for the Nuggets, they'd love to get an outright win over the best team in the league, but bettors on that side tonight would be happy for simply a cover.

I believe it will be those Nuggets backers that will get there too as there is no question Golden State is primed for a bit of a letdown after the weekend they had. They went into Memphis supremely focused on beating the Grizzlies for the first time this year and then had to deal with the emotional and chaotic atmosphere in OKC.

A trip to the high altitude as a third game in four nights is a situation highly detrimental to the Warriors laying this many points here, especially when they are just 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a losing opponent.

On talent alone, Golden State should win this game outright, but it's going to be one of those grinding affairs where Denver will continually hang around. That's how the Nuggets attacked the Warriors in Golden State when they didn't lose a quarter by more than 5 points (lost by 2, 2, and won by 1 in the other three), and the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight at home.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's NBA Essentials
February 13, 2017

Game of the Night - L.A. Clippers at Utah (Prime Ticket, 9:05 ET)

In case you didn't tune into check out a glitch-filled but nonetheless solid Grammy Awards show, this is your reminder that the Clippers and Lakers are headed back to Los Angeles this week as their annual exile from the Staples Center concludes. Both residents get out of town so that the music industry can do its thing and will be back to play one home date before the All-Star break arrives.

For the Clippers, their return arrives Wednesday, since they'll finally touch down in L.A. tonight following a pit stop in Salt Lake City. They'll face the Jazz in their 10th roadie in 11 games over the last three weeks and are hoping to end the stretch on a high note. After hitting the road following a loss to Minnesota on Jan. 19 in their first game without Chris Paul, the Clips lost six of eight. They blew a double-digit lead against the 76ers and fell 144-98 at Golden State.

Given the absence of their point guard and Blake Griffin requiring an adjustment period to work his way back into game shape following a five-week absence, the poor results were prdictable. The only game they lost as a favorite came at Philadelphia.

The skid ended, as many do, against the dyscfunctional Knicks in a game remembered more for what was going on in the stands with Charles Oakley than what happened on the court. L.A. made big plays down the stretch, won 119-115 and then hung on to hold off Charlotte on Saturday. With Griffin back in a groove and the offense coming off a win where it recorded 26 assists on 40 buckets, there's optimism that they can enter the break with some momentum. Considering the Clippers open with a road game at the Warriors before playing home dates against the Spurs, Hornets and Rockets, it would definitely ease some of the pressure to perform well this week.

This matchup features two of the four teams currently vying for the No. 4 seed and the right to open the playoffs at home. The Jazz are currently a half-game up on the Clippers, 1.5 on the Grizzlies and a full three games on the Thunder, but come in on a two-game losing streak since they've surrendered their third-highest point toal of the season in consecutive games. George Hill being bothered by a toe injury has been one factor in the slide for the league's top defensive team, but the over has come in five straight times in Jazz games as the offense has had a solid run. They'll be looking to avoid only their third three-game losing streak of the season here, not to mention consecutive losses at home for the first time since Dec. 23.

A key subplot which will contribute heavily to deciding both side and total will be the clash of centers. DeAndre Jordan, who has made back-to-back All-Defensive First Team appearances, squares off with this season's Defensive Player of the Year frontrunner, Rudy Gobert. Earlier this month, Jordan got his first career All-Star nod over the Frenchman, who tops the NBA in blocks and most defensive metrics, leading many to question the judgment of the head coaches that made the call. Both players should have a little extra here.

This season's only meeting came way back on Oct. 30 and was won by the Clippers at Staples 88-75. That scoring output remains Utah's second-lowest of the season. Both teams were healthy for that game, and although he shot just 3-for-10, Jordan helped control the pace with 16 rebounds and ended up a game-best plus-18. Gobert had the lowest-point differential (minus-17) and committed a game-tying four turnovers, finishing with eight points and nine boards. Neither Paul, who isn't expected back until the second week of March at the earliest, nor Rodney Hood (knee), who each started that first game, will be available tonight.

The Clippers have dominated this series, winning 16 of the last 17 meetings, including eight in a row in Salt Lake City.

Guards highlight TNT doubleheader

Coming off a disappointing showing in Saturday night's loss to Kevin Durant-led Golden State, the Thunder are in the nation's capital for their final February home game. This trip used to mean a lot to OKC because Durant was born in Washington D.C., which is one reason why it carries a five-game winning streak in the series into this one. Since '09, the Thunder have won 12 of 15 games against the Wizards, but things are obviously different this year. Not only is it solely Russell Westbrook as the driving force, but Washington has suddenly turned into one of the league's toughest home teams.

Although they've played more games at Verizon Center than the Warriors and Cavs have in their buildings, the Wizards can pass both with their 24th home win of the season if they hold serve tonight. They last played Friday night, beating Indiana 112-107 to improve to 18-1 over their last 19 home games. The streak only ended it overtime against Cleveland because LeBron James hit a miracle shot last Monday night, so a confident group takes the floor against an OKC team that wasn't collectively able to support Westbrook and his 47-point, 11-rebound performance over four quarters against the NBA's top team. Victor Oladipo, making his own homecoming since he's from nearby Silver Spring, Md., did manage to score 20 points against Golden State, his third 20-point game over his last four outings, and will be key in helping Westbrook contend with Wall and Bradley Beal, who scored 31 points in the first meeting between these teams.

Oladipo posted a 25-point, six-rebound, six-assist game, one of his most complete since arriving in Oklahoma City, in the Thunder's 126-115 overtime home win on Nov. 30. That contest surpassed the posted total of 216 due to the extra session as both teams nearly approached 100 field goal attempts. Both Westbrook and Wall shot poorly while employing a blistering pace. Westbrook required 35 shots to score 35 points and Wall posted a 15-point, 15-assist night, but shot just 6-for-20. He was expending a lot of energy on the defensive end in helping force Westbrook into a 7-for-28 night before the Thunder star got hot late in regulation, forcing the OT with a 3-pointer with just 8.5 seconds left on a night nothing was going in. He ended up just 1-for-6 from 3-point range.

Coming off a game where they surrendered a season-high 130 points, it will be interesting to see whether OKC can lock in defensively on the road. The over is 5-1 in Washington's last six games and tonight's total (217), has been surpassed each of the those five times.

The nightcap features a meeting between backcourts that haven't seen one another this season as Dennis Schroder and newly minted starter Tim Hardaway, Jr. will try and keep the Hawks from suffering consecutive losses for the first time since Dec. 5 against Portland's Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, the highest-scoring guard combo in the NBA.

Hardaway, Jr. has thrived since Atlanta freed up more minutes for him by dealing Kyle Korver to Cleveland, and scored 28 points in his first start in Friday's 108-107 loss in Sacramento, filling in for an injured Thabo Sefolosha (groin). Hardaway, Jr. opened the month with a 33-point night in a win at Houston and is averaging 17.1 points over his last 10 games. Schroder will be looking to score 20 or more points in a fourth consecutive game for the first time in his career, but comes off a six-turnover game in the loss to the Kings.

Lillard and McCollum, both snubbed for All-Star spots, combined for 61 points in Portland's last win, a 114-113 classic in Dallas last Wednesday, but combined to shoot 2-for-13 from 3-point range in Thursday's loss to Boston. The Blazers have been off since and will be well-rested as they try and rebound here.

Both teams surrendered double-digit leads in their last games, with the Blazers blowing a 17-point second-quarter lead agains the Celtics and Atlanta allowing Scramento to rally from 22 down.

Portland is 0-4 against the number this month and hasn't defeated the Hawks since March 2014, losing their last four. The Blazers will be employing a different starting lineup, having traded center Mason Plumlee to Denver for Nikola Jokic on Sunday. Atlanta has won three of the last four played at the Moda Center.

Notable Head-to-Head Trends

-- The 76ers ended a six-game losing streak against the Hornets on Jan. 13 behind 24 points from Joel Embiid, but won't have him available here since he's out indefinitely with a torn meniscus. With Jahlil Okafor reportedly on the verge of being traded, Philly will be without its top two big men as it looks to win in Charlotte for the first time since Nov. 2012, a span of seven games. The Sixers have reached the 20-win mark for the first time since that season.

-- Indiana has hit the skids again and need to pull an upset in order to avoid matching a season-long four-game losing streak. All three setbacks have gone over the posted total as the Pacers have allowed an average of 120 points. They've missed the length and energy of forward Thaddeus Young, who is doubtful with a wrist injury. San Antonio has dominated this series, winning 15 of the last 17 matchups, but Indiana actually won the last one, 99-91 last March 7. The Spurs were at full strength, too. Monta Ellis scored 26.

-- Miami's 13-game winning streak ended at the hands of the 76ers on Saturday, but former Magic head coach Stan Van Gundy still raised eyebrows with his comments last week that the Heat look like a playoff lock in his eyes. Orlando has dropped four straight, including a 112-80 loss in Dallas last time out, so spirits are pretty low as a shakeup via trade appears imminent. The Magic are looking for consecutive wins over the Heat for the first time since Feb. 2012 and have dropped 15 of 19 in the series, but did win in South Florida 136-130 back on Dec. 20. Check on the status of Dion Waiters and Aaron Gordon before tipoff.

-- Brooklyn hopes to snap a 12-game losing streak that is their longest of the decade. The Nets have dropped 14 in a row at home and are facing a Grizzlies team that is looking for their fifth straight win in this series.

-- Detroit rallied from 16 down to post an OT win in Toronto on Sunday and will try to sweep their first back-to-back since Nov. 30 in Milwaukee. That success, which came against Boston and Atlanta, was also executed exclusively on the road. The Pistons have been brutal on the second night of back-to-backs, going 2-7 with multiple blowout losses. The Bucks have inserted Michael Beasley into their starting lineup now that Jabari Parker has been lost for the season. They're looking to win consecutive games for the first time since Jan. 13. Since Jan. 6, Milwaukee is 5-14 straight up and ATS. These teams have split this season's meetings. The Pistons won three of four in '15-'16.

-- Either the Celtics or Mavericks will walk out of American Airlines Center with a three-game winning streak. Boston is closing out a four-game road trip and will play nine of their next 11 between now and March 10 away from home, so remaining second in the Eastern Conference hinges on its continued success in this role. After losing seven straight in this series since 2013, the Celtics are looking to sweep this season's meetings, having beaten the Mavs 90-83 back on Nov. 16. That was part of Dallas' eight-game losing streak during a 2-13 start, so it is a different team than the one that will take the floor tonight. Since Jan. 12, the Mavs are 11-5 SU and 13-3 ATS.

-- The short-handed Nuggets will look to prevent the Warriors from improving to 47-8 as they could potentially be without Danilo Gallinari, Kenneth Faried and Emmanuel Mudiay. They're not going to have Plumlee available either, which explains why they're a double-digit underdog at home. Golden State has won five of six in the series, which has seen the over prevail in eight consecutive games.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 13

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SA at IND 07:00 PM

SA -4.5

O 206.5

PHI at CHA 07:00 PM

PHI +8.0

U 213.5

MEM at BK 07:30 PM

MEM -8.5

U 210.5

ORL at MIA 07:30 PM

MIA -8.0

O 207.5

DET at MIL 08:00 PM

DET +3.0

O 210.5

OKC at WAS 08:00 PM

WAS -5.5

O 217.0

BOS at DAL 08:30 PM

DAL +2.0

O 209.0

GS at DEN 09:00 PM

DEN +12.0

U 238.0

LAC at UTA 09:00 PM

LAC +8.0

U 205.0

NO at PHO 09:00 PM

PHO -3.0

U 222.0

ATL at POR 10:30 PM

POR -2.0

O 217.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Louisville 76, Syracuse 72, OT— First ACC home loss for the Orangemen. Cardinals survived 16-30 foul shooting.

— Texas Tech 84, Baylor 78— Life on the road is tough in the Big X.

— Kansas 84, West Virginia 80 OT– Jayhawks were down 14 with 2:49 left in regulation.

— Monmouth 102, Siena 82— Surging Hawks have won 12 games in a row.

— Washington Nationals signed 1B Adam Lind, giving them another solid lefty bat.

— New Jersey Giants released Victor Cruz and Rashad Jennings Monday. Dumping Cruz saves them $10M on their salary cap.

**********

Armadillo:Tuesday's List of 13: Looking at top 13 conferences in college basketball……..

13) Southern Conference— Fastest rising league in country; three years ago, they were #30, two years ago #25, LY #19, now they’re 13.

Furman (11-2) leads East Tennessee State by a game right now, but Chattanooga, NC-Greensboro and Wofford could all win conference tourney too. Their games are well worth watching on ESPN3.com.

12) Colonial— NC-Wilmington and Charleston are on top of league, but have both struggled the last few games. Towson State has been surging but one of their better players was shot in the leg in a drive-by shooting in Philly Saturday night. Not sure when he will play again.

11) West Coast— Gonzaga and St Mary’s and……no one else. BYU is very young this year, so they have taken a step back. Four first-year coaches in this league but the WCC is a lot like the Big West when UNLV ruled it during Jerry Tarkanian’s heyday.

10) Missouri Valley— Wichita State is tied with Illinois State for first place, despite losing Baker and Van Vleet from LY’s team; Redbirds lost star F McIntosh, a big loss for a team that is 21-5 and was headed for a showdown with the Shockers in Arch Madness. Northern Iowa has won eight of last nine games, after a 5-11 start.

9) Mountain West— Totally wide open this year, with San Diego State having a down year. Colorado State/Nevada are two of best teams, but both have zero depth, so winning three days in a row in conference tourney will be dicey. Does that open the door for Boise State?

8) Atlantic 14— League that should get more games on TV. VCU, Dayton, Richmond are all very good; Rhode Island always seems to be a half-step behind the top teams. Davidson is having a disappointing season. St Bonaventure is tough place to play, unless the students storm the court before the game is over.

7) American— SMU-Cincinnati will get in NCAA’s. Bearcats shoot it better than they usually do, could be sleeper in March. Houston/Memphis will try to steal a bid at the conference tourney. UConn has been racked by injury this season.

6) Pac-12— Conference of Champions has Arizona-Oregon-UCLA, fun teams to watch. Knocking on NCAA’s door are USC, Cal and Utah. Trojans’ non-conference schedule was #263, which could haunt them on Selection Sunday.

5) SEC— Kentucky rules this league, obviously, but I like Florida as a sleeper in March; South Carolina will get in tourney this year, but after that, NIT it is. Florida’s Canyon Barry, Rick’s son, has now made 39 foul shots in a row— he shoots underhanded like his dad.

4) Big 14— Committee didn’t have any of these teams in top 16 seeds for NCAA’s, then Wisconsin lost at home to Northwestern, which drops them more. Purdue is probably the best team in league, Maryland is strong but VERY young. Rest of the league is mediocre, but Izzo’s Spartans can’t be ignored, because Izzo is a Hall of Famer. Northwestern is going to make the tournament for the first time ever- -good for them.

3) Big East— Villanova is defending national champ, but Xavier/Creighton both lost their PG for the season with injuries, so they’ll be wounded targets in March. Butler looks like a tourney team, but they’ve lost three of last four games.

2) ACC— TV types keep saying they’re getting ten teams in tournament; I’m not seeing it. Think nine is most they’ll get. Fifteen teams is too many for a league, but they care more about football so they let Notre Dame play basketball here. Irish have been in Elite 8 the last two years; not this season. As I type this, Louisville is in a tie game in last minute at Syracuse and they have a walk-on playing. Did every ESPN play-by-play guy go to Syracuse?

Louisville’s walk-on, by the way, is from Sarasota, FL– Dick Vitale recommended him to Rick Pitino.

1— Big X— No easy outs here, now that TCU has become a good team; Texas/Oklahoma are two worst teams in league this year. Kansas has off-court issues; they’ve looked shaky of late. Baylor looks very strong, but they lost in first round the last two years, as a 5-seed and a 3-seed. Oy.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 14

Chicago lost its last three games, all on road; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 games overall. Five of their last seven games went over total. Toronto lost 10 of last 14 games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Bulls won/covered their last ten games with Toronto, winning last five played here (5-0 vs spread). Nine of the ten games went over the total.

Cavaliers won five of their last six games; they’re 4-6 in last 10 road games, 3-1 in last four. Last six series games went over total. Timberwolves lost five of last seven games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine home games. Last 11 Minnesota games went over total. Cleveland won its last five games with Minnesota (4-1 vs spread); five of last six series games went over total. Cavaliers won by 16-26 points in last two visits to Twin Cities.

Sacramento won eight of its last nine games with the Lakers, winning/covering last three series games here; last four series games stayed under the total. Kings won four of last five games; this is their first road game this month. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Los Angeles split its last six games; they’re 5-3 in last eight home games. LA covered seven of its last eight games. Five of their last six games went over.




NBA

Tuesday, February 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHICAGO
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA LAKERS
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
LA Lakers are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (32 - 23) at CHICAGO (26 - 29) - 2/14/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 61-75 ATS (-21.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (37 - 16) at MINNESOTA (21 - 34) - 2/14/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 346-407 ATS (-101.7 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 202-250 ATS (-73.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (23 - 32) at LA LAKERS (19 - 37) - 2/14/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 131-90 ATS (+32.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 168-209 ATS (-61.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 150-195 ATS (-64.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 62-82 ATS (-28.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 63-94 ATS (-40.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 8-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 14


Sacramento @ LA Lakers

Game 705-706
February 14, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
119.780
LA Lakers
118.883
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 1 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+1 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 703-704
February 14, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
125.950
Minnesota
118.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 4
219
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-4); Over

Toronto @ Chicago

Game 701-702
February 14, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.790
Chicago
109.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 11 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-7); Over




NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, February 14

Toronto at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Toronto: 14-4 ATS after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points
Chicago: 43-70 ATS after playing a road game

Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 19-8 ATS after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
Minnesota: 5-17 ATS after a win by 10 points or more

Sacramento at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Sacramento: 3-11 ATS after playing a game as favorite
Los Angeles: 18-8 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
February 14, 2017

Game of the Night – Cavaliers (-4, 218 ½) at Timberwolves – 8:05 PM EST – NBA TV

Cleveland (37-16 SU, 24-27-2 ATS) has bounced back nicely since suffered a three-game skid towards the end of January. The Cavaliers have won seven of their last nine contests, while covering six times in this stretch to create slight separation from the Celtics, who are breathing down Cleveland’s neck atop the Eastern Conference.

Tyronn Lue’s squad rebounded from last Thursday’s setback at Oklahoma City by outlasting Denver, 125-109 as 11 ½-point home favorites on Saturday. The Cavaliers knocked down 15-of-30 attempts from three-point range, while Kyrie Irving and LeBron James each posted 27 points to grab their fourth straight home victory. However, Kevin Love will not face his former team on Tuesday as the Cavaliers’ forward went through surgery on his left knee and is out for the next six weeks.

Minnesota (21-34 SU, 24-31 ATS) concludes a six-game homestand looking for consecutive victories after blowing out Chicago on Sunday, 117-89. The undermanned Bulls fell behind by 17 points after one quarter and never recovered as Minnesota pulled off the season sweep of Chicago thanks to 27 points from Andrew Wiggins. The Wolves scorched the Bulls for 54% shooting from the floor as the defense stepped up after allowing 122 points in Friday’s setback to the Pelicans.

Tom Thibodeau’s club is riding a nine-game OVER streak, including seven straight OVERS at Target Center. The Wolves have slumped to a 3-9 ATS mark in the last 12 games overall, but have covered seven consecutive contests in the role of a home underdog (4-3 SU).

Cleveland has captured each of the past five meetings with Minnesota dating back to December 2014, including a 125-97 blowout at Quicken Loans Arena on February 1. The Cavaliers easily cashed as short 6 ½-point favorites, while limiting the Wolves to 37 second half points. James led Cleveland with 27 points on 11-of-14 shooting, while Minnesota center Karl-Anthony Towns posted a double-double with 26 points and 12 rebounds.

Raptors (-7, 205 ½) at Bulls – 8:05 PM EST

Chicago (26-29 SU, 26-29 ATS) faces the top two teams in the Atlantic division (Toronto and Boston) prior to a much-needed break. The Bulls played without its stars in Sunday’s humiliating 28-point blowout at Minnesota as Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade each sat out due to injury. Chicago’s six-game road swing started with promise by going 2-1 with victories at Oklahoma City and Sacramento in the underdog role, but fell flat in the final three losses as the offense failed to post more than 97 points.

Toronto (32-23 SU, 31-23-1 ATS) looks to put a halt to a two-game skid, coming off close losses to Minnesota and Detroit. The Raptors melted down in Sunday’s 102-101 home setback to the Pistons as 6 ½-point favorites, blowing a 16-point fourth quarter lead to drop its third home game in the last month by two points or less. Dwane Casey’s team has struggled on the road since late December by posting a 3-10 SU and 5-8 ATS record with two of those victories coming at Brooklyn, who owns a 9-46 record.

The Bulls erased a 19-point deficit the last time these teams hooked up at the United Center on January 8 as Chicago shocked Toronto in overtime, 123-118. Butler posted a game-high 42 points, nearly one year to the day he torched Toronto for 42 points at the Air Canada Center. Each team knocked down 36 free throws as Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan combined to shoot 27-of-31 from the charity stripe for the Raptors.

Chicago has won and covered 10 consecutive meetings with Toronto since February 2014, while the OVER cashed nine times in this span. Butler is expected to suit up for the second time in the last seven games as he overcomes a heel injury, but Wade will sit out his eighth game.

Kings at Lakers (-1 ½, 217) – 10:05 PM EST

Two teams that are sitting outside the playoff race in the Western Conference meet up at Staples Center for their second-to-last game prior to the All-Star break. Sacramento (23-32 SU, 28-25-2 ATS) closed out a six-game homestand in impressive fashion by winning three consecutive games, capped off by Sunday’s 105-99 triumph as four-point favorites over New Orleans. DeMarcus Cousins paced the Kings with 28 points and 14 rebounds, while Darren Collison chipped in 20 points to help Sacramento snap a four-game ATS skid in the favorite role.

The Lakers (19-37 SU, 27-28-1 ATS) return home from their Grammy road trip off a convincing 122-114 victory at Milwaukee as Los Angeles built a 21-point halftime lead. L.A. dropped 47 points in the opening quarter to improve to 8-2 ATS the last 10 games, but the Lakers are trying to win consecutive games for the second time since mid-November.

These teams split a pair of meetings at Golden 1 Center in the first two months of the season as the Kings won the last matchup, 116-92 as 8 ½-point favorites on December 12. Sacramento has dominated this series recently by capturing eight of the past nine matchups, including three straight victories at Staples Center. The Lakers own a 3-5 ATS mark as a favorite this season, but have won their last two in this role last month against Orlando and Miami.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 14

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CLE at MIN 08:00 PM

MIN +4.0

U 218.5

TOR at CHI 08:00 PM

TOR -4.5

U 207.0

SAC at LAL 10:30 PM

SAC +2.0

O 218.5