The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, February 25

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Orlando's last 25 games when playing Atlanta

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW YORK
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MIAMI
Indiana is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. CLEVELAND
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Chicago

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

10:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 12 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 25

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CHARLOTTE (24 - 33) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 33) - 2/25/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 159-201 ATS (-62.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 47-73 ATS (-33.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (32 - 25) at ORLANDO (21 - 38) - 2/25/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (22 - 35) at NEW YORK (23 - 35) - 2/25/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (30 - 28) at MIAMI (26 - 32) - 2/25/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (23 - 35) at DALLAS (22 - 35) - 2/25/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (29 - 29) at CLEVELAND (40 - 16) - 2/25/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 11-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-8 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (23 - 35) at HOUSTON (41 - 18) - 2/25/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 98-121 ATS (-35.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 348-408 ATS (-100.8 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (9 - 48) at GOLDEN STATE (48 - 9) - 2/25/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BROOKLYN is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 86-72 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 133-105 ATS (+17.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 25

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at SAC 05:00 PM

SAC +3.5

O 207.5

ATL at ORL 07:00 PM

ATL -3.0

O 210.0

PHI at NY 07:30 PM

PHI +5.5

O 218.0

IND at MIA 08:00 PM

MIA -4.5

U 208.0

CHI at CLE 08:30 PM

CLE -10.0

U 215.5

NO at DAL 08:30 PM

NO -2.5

U 204.5

MIN at HOU 09:00 PM

MIN +12.5

U 227.5

BK at GS 10:30 PM

BK +22.5

U 236.5

[StarDust Bum]

Bulls at Cavaliers
February 25, 2017

Game of the Night – Bulls at Cavaliers (-11, 215 ½) – 8:35 PM EST – ABC

For all the ups and downs that Chicago (29-29 SU, 29-29 ATS) has gone through this season, the Bulls have climbed back to .500 and are in the mix for a playoff spot. The Bulls rallied for the front-door cover on Friday night by beating the Suns, 128-121 in overtime as 5 ½-point favorites to win their third straight game. Dwyane Wade and Jimmy Butler combined for 45 points, while Chicago avenged a loss at Phoenix from earlier this month.

Cleveland (40-16 SU, 27-27-2 ATS) has put together a terrific February following a slumping January as the Cavs are 8-1 SU/ATS this month. The latest victory came on Thursday against the Knicks, 119-104 as 10-point home favorites as Cleveland busted the 109-point mark for the ninth time in February. Seven Cavaliers scored in double-figures, as Kyle Korver came off the bench to post 20 points, including six three-pointers.

Last season, the Bulls captured three of four matchups with the Cavaliers, as Chicago has kept the dominance alive this season with a pair of victories over Cleveland. In the first meeting in December at the United Center, the Bulls held off the Cavaliers as two-point underdogs, 111-105. Butler (26) and Wade (24) led the way for Chicago, while Rajon Rondo put together a triple-double with 15 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists.

In the next matchup at Quicken Loans Arena on January 4, the Cavaliers played without Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love in a 106-94 defeat to the Bulls as 3 ½-point favorites. The Bulls dropped 36 second quarter points to grab a six-point halftime lead as Chicago knocked down more three-pointers (13) than free throws (11) for their fifth straight cover in the series.

Chicago has struggled in the second of a back-to-back set by compiling a 5-7 SU/ATS record, while losing four of the past five games away from the United Center. Cleveland has covered five consecutive contests at the “Q,” while eclipsing the OVER in six of the past nine home games.

Encore Performance?

The Kings’ bench stepped up in their first game following the controversial trade of star DeMarcus Cousins to the Pelicans as Sacramento cruised past Denver, 116-100 on Thursday. Willie Cauley-Stein scored a career-high 29 points, while Buddy Hield put up 16 points in his Sacramento debut. Now, the Kings are listed as a home underdog once again as the Hornets invade Golden 1 Center, looking for their only their second win this month.

Charlotte squandered an 18-point advantage in Thursday’s shocking overtime setback at Detroit to fall to 1-12 SU and 2-9-1 ATS the past 13 games. To make matters worse, the Hornets have dropped 12 straight on the highway, while covering only once in their past seven opportunities as a road favorite. Sacramento held off Charlotte in late January, 109-106 as 7 ½-point road underdogs, as the last three matchups have been decided by five points or less.

Staying on Fire

Miami continues its push towards a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference after winning its 15th game in 17 tries in Friday’s 108-90 rout of Atlanta as 2 ½-point underdogs. The Heat had won eight consecutive home games before falling to the Magic prior to the All-Star break, as Miami hosts Indiana tonight. Miami took care of Indiana in its first matchup this season at American Airlines Arena in mid-December, 95-89 as 1 ½-point underdogs, the fourth straight home victory over the Pacers.

Indiana snapped a six-game losing streak in Friday’s 102-92 home triumph over Memphis, as the Pacers are hitting the road for only the third time in the last 10 games. Both teams have struggled with no rest this season as Miami owns a 3-7 record, while Indiana has lost nine of 12 times on the second of a back-to-back.

Pack on the Points

It’s the best in the league against the worst (with no rest) when the Warriors host the Nets. Golden State is listed as a hefty 22-point favorite before it hits the road for five games starting Monday in Philadelphia. We know what the Warriors are capable of, but no one expected them to light up the scoreboard for 50 (yes, 50) points in the third quarter of Thursday’s 123-113 triumph over the Clippers. Amazingly, only three Warriors scored in double-figures as Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Kevin Durant combined for 78 points.

The Warriors have lost nine times this season, while the Nets have won just nine times as Brooklyn tries to snap a 15-game skid. The latest setback for Brooklyn came in last night’s 129-109 defeat at Denver as 10-point underdogs, as the Nets look for their first victory in 10 tries with no rest this season. However, Brooklyn has covered in its last two visits to Oracle Arena, while taking Golden State to overtime last season in a loss as 16-point road underdogs.

Phillin’ it Up

The 76ers continue to cash tickets at a rapid rate, coming off Friday’s 120-112 home victory over the Wizards as 8 ½-point underdogs. Philadelphia extended its ATS hot streak to six games, which includes three straight covers on the road. The 76ers make the short trip to Madison Square Garden to face a Knicks’ squad that has dropped eight of their last 10 contests.

New York has lost three straight games in the home favorite role, while allowing 107, 121, and 131 points in those defeats. The last two wins for the Knicks actually came in low-scoring affairs, including a 94-90 triumph as nine-point home ‘dogs over the Spurs in mid-February. New York is playing with revenge after blowing a double-digit lead in a 98-97 defeat to Philadelphia last month.

Head-to-Head Trends

-- Atlanta and Orlando meet for the final time in the regular season as the teams hook up in central Florida. The Magic outlasted the Hawks in the first meeting, but Atlanta has captured the last two matchups in double-digit blowouts. The Hawks have won in three of the past four visits to Orlando, while limiting the Magic to 96 points or less in three of those games.

-- The Mavericks and Pelicans have split a pair of games this season with the home team winning each time. The Southwest squads meet in Dallas tonight as the Mavs try to improve on a dreadful 1-10 record with no rest following last night’s loss at Minnesota.

-- Minnesota travels to Houston for the first time this season after the two teams exchanged a pair of victories at Target Center earlier this season. The Wolves cashed each time in the underdog role, while covering in their past three visits to the Toyota Center.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Saturday
February 25, 2017

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pacers are 0-12 ATS (-11.62 ppg) with no rest after they had 6+ double digit scorers since Jan 10, 2015.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 13-0 OU (15.62 ppg) as a home dog after a loss in which they led after the third since Feb 25, 2007.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 0-10 OU (-7.35 ppg) as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which Jimmy Butler was not the high scorer since Feb 23, 2014.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Hornets are 0-12-1 ATS (-9.12 ppg) off a game as a dog in which they had 5 or fewer offensive boards since Mar 03, 2014.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Pacers are 0-8-1 OU (-14.89 ppg) after Paul George shot worse than 33 percent since Mar 24, 2016.

[StarDust Bum]

2nd Half Trends to Watch
February 20, 2017

TRENDING… NBA TEAMS AT THE BREAK

You’ll never guess which team in the NBA is 0-7 both SU and ATS away without rest this season. With that and with the NBA taking a time out for the All-Star break, there is no better time than the present to examine the condition of each team in the league at this stage of the season. From the surprise teams to the disappointments, the run to the 2017 playoffs is about to take off.

Here’s a quick look from my well-oiled database of the very best and the very worst pointspread records to date this season of every team in games played this season through the All-Star break. In addition, I also present a noteworthy most recent trend on each team.

All results are SU (Straight Up), ATS (Against The Spread) or O/U (Over Under sequence), unless stated otherwise.

ATLANTA
Best: 6-1 ATS as dogs of 5 or more points
Worst: 1-10 ATS vs foe off back-to-back losses
Trending: Hawks are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in games with O/U total of 217 or more points

BOSTON
Best: 8-1 ATS vs foe off back-to-back SU & ATS wins
Worst: 1-7 ATS vs .303 or less opponents
Trending: Celtics play down to the level of opposition, just 1-8 ATS as favorites of 8 or more points

BROOKLYN
Best: 3-0 ATS vs sub .230 foe
Worst: 1-7 ATS vs foe off SU underdog win
Trending: Nets have yet to win back-to-back games, going 0-9 SU following a win

CHARLOTTE
Best: 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in games with O/U total of 197 or less
Worst: 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in games with O/U total of more than 217 points
Trending: The Hornets lose when they are expected to, going 0-14 SU as dogs of 3 or more points, with only 4 ATS wins

CHICAGO
Best: 5-0 ATS following three consecutive losses
Worst: 0-4 ATS as favorites of 3 or more points with no rest
Trending: The Bulls have struggled laying 4 or more points, going 1-11 ATS the last 12 games

CLEVELAND
Best: 5-0 ATS off back-to-back SU & ATS wins against foes off back-to-back wins
Worst: 0-7 SU & ATS away with no rest
Trending: The Cavs will take a walk with you, going 1-9 UNDER in games with O/U total points of 206 or less

DALLAS
Best: 8-1 SU & ATS pick or favored
Worst: Trending: 0-5 SU & ATS against sub .310 opponents
Trending: Mavs struggle keeping up in potential high scoring games, going 0-6 UNDER with O/U total of 210 or higher

DENVER
Best: 5-1-1 ATS home off a double digit win
Worst: 1-4-1 ATS as favorites of 6 or more points
Trending: Nuggets have had troubles against .666 or greater foes, going 0-4 both SU & ATS when Denver is off a win

DETROIT
Best: 4-0 both SU & ATS home against foes off a SU favorites loss
Worst: 0-5 ATS as dog if 8 or more points
Trending: The Pistons have a hard time sustaining success, going 1-5 ATS away and 1-4 ATS home following consecutive wins

GOLDEN STATE
Best: 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS against conference foes off a win of more than 7 points
Worst: 0-9-1 ATS vs foes off back-to-back SU & ATS losses
Trending: Like the Cavs, the Warriors are struggling away with no rest, going 3-7 ATS

HOUSTON
Best: 8-1 SU & ATS in conference games following a SU loss
Worst: 1-4 ATS following SU underdog win
Trending: The Rockets have handled losing foes, going 24-5 SU and 20-9 ATS – including 6-0 both SU & ATS against unrested losers

INDIANA
Best: 4-0 ATS away following a loss of 14 or more points
Worst: 2-10 ATS with no rest, including 0-5 ATS away
Trending: Indiana has had trouble keeping pace following a SU underdog win going 2-7 ATS, including 0-5 ATS against foes off a win

LA CLIPPERS
Best: 4-0 ATS as dogs against foes off a SU favorite loss
Worst: 1-5 ATS against greater than .666 foes off consecutive wins
Trending: The Clippers like a slow pace, going 5-1 both SU & ATS in games with an O/U total of less than 200 points and can’t keep up in high scoring paced contests, going 0-4 SU & ATS with a total of more than 221

LA LAKERS
Best: 5-0 both SU & ATS in games with a win percentage of less than .325
Worst: 0-4 ATS home off a loss against foes off back-to-back losses
Trending: The Lakers suck wind in games with an O/U total of more than 226 points, going 1-6 SU & ATS

MEMPHIS
Best: 3-0 both SU & ATS as division underdog
Worst: 1-9 ATS following a win when facing non-conference opponents
Trending: The bigger they are the harder they fall as the Grizzlies are 5-1 SU & ATS versus .780 or greater foes

MIAMI
Best: 7-0 ATS home following consecutive wins
Worst: 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS away against .750 or greater opponents
Trending: Erik Spoelstra loves taking the air out of the ball against quality teams, going 1-10 UNDER against .700 or greater foes

MILWAUKEE
Best: 5-1 ATS as favorites following a SU underdog win
Worst: 1-8 ATS as a favorite against foes off a loss
Trending: Rest makes rust for the Bucks, who are 0-6 both SU & ATS with 3 or more days off

MINNESOTA
Best: 6-0 ATS as underdogs following three consecutive losses
Worst: 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS following a win of more than 14 points
Trending: Wolves waltz in games with O/U total of 221 or more, going 0-5 UNDER

NEW ORLEANS
Best: 7-1 ATS against foes off a SU favorite loss
Worst: 1-5 ATS home against foes off a double-digit win
Trending: Pelicans snooze in games with O/U total less than 205 points, going 1-9 SU and 1-8-1 ATS

NEW YORK
Best: 5-1 ATS as dogs following a SU favorite loss
Worst: 1-6 both SU & ATS following a win of more than 10 points
Trending: The Knicks raise their level of play depending on opposition, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS versus .750 or greater foes, including 3-0 SU & ATS at home

OKLAHOMA CITY
Best: 6-1 ATS home against opponents off back-to-back wins
Worst: 0-7-1 ATS in non-division games against foes off a SU favorite loss
Trending: The Thunder can’t keep up with the big boys, going 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS as dogs of 8 or more points

ORLANDO
Best: 7-0 ATS as dogs of more than 7 points following consecutive losses
Worst: 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS home in division games
Trending: Magic act disappears in games with high totals, going both 0-4 SU & ATS with O/U of 220 or more points

PHILADELPHIA
Best: 8-1 ATS against foes off a SU underdog win
Worst: 1-4 ATS as underdogs of more than 12 points
Trending: Sixers enjoy games with high totals, gong 9-3-1 ATS with O/U of more than 212 points, including 3-0-1 ATS at home

PHOENIX
Best: 6-1 ATS following SU loss as a favorite
Worst: 0-4 both SU & ATS home off SU & ATS win vs foe off SU & ATS loss
Trending: Suns have been double perfect in games with an O/U total of more than 227 points, going 6-0 OVER and 0-6 SU & ATS

PORTLAND
Best: 4-1 ATS as a double-digit dog
Worst: 0-6 ATS home against conference foes off a loss
Trending: The Blazers have had trouble sustaining success, going 1-8 ATS as favorites of 3 or more points following a win

SACRAMENTO
Best: 6-1 ATS following a loss of 14 or more points
Worst: 1-8 SU & ATS following a win of 7 or more points
Trending: Kings take the air out of the ball against the better teams in the league, going 1-6 UNDER against .800 or greater foes

SAN ANTONIO
Best: 5-0 both SU & ATS versus opponents off BB SU & ATS wins
Worst: 1-4 ATS following a double-digit loss
Trending: The Spurs play down to the level of opposition that is off back-to-back losses, going 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS as double-digit favorites

TORONTO
Best: 7-0 both SU & ATS versus .250 or less opponents
Worst: 1-4 ATS following a double-digit loss
Trending: Raptors have been division dominators, going 6-0 SU and 5-1 at home, and 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS away

UTAH
Best: 6-0 ATS as non-conference road favorites
Worst: 1-10 ATS as road dogs
Trending: As poorly as the Jazz have performed as underdogs this year, they have excelled as small favorites of less than 5 points, going 11-2 both SU & ATS

WASHINGTON
Best: 8-1 ATS versus an opponent off a double-digit win
Worst: 1-6 ATS away versus sub .300 opponents
Trending: After a dismal 7-13 both SU & ATS start to the season, the Wizards took a 27-8 SU and 25-10 ATS win skein into the All Star break

FYI: Teams that have responded exceptionally well in same season revenge affairs this season include the Thunder (7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS) and the Wizards (9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS), while the teams that have struggled mightily in these same payback situations include the Raptors (2-8 SU & ATS) and the Hornets (5-9 SU and 3-10-1 ATS).

I’ve done my homework. Now, you do yours and we’ll both enjoy the 2nd half of the season.

[StarDust Bum]

Trade Deadline Analysis
February 24, 2017


Although Trade Deadline Thursday opened with the very real possibility of Indiana's Paul George, Chicago's Jimmy Butler and to a lesser degree, New York's Carmelo Anthony, joining DeMarcus Cousins as All-Stars finding new homes, none of those rumored moves transpired. The Knicks were reportedly willing to move Derrick Rose for Ricky Rubio straight up, but were ultimately rebuffed by the Timberwolves.

There were a handful of deals that were executed and should alter the aspirations of the teams involved. Here's a scorecard analyzing the moves:

Sacramento-New Orleans

Kings send F/C DeMarcus Cousins and SF Omri Casspi to Pelicans for a top-three protected first-round pick in the 2017 Draft, SG Buddy Hield, SG Tyreke Evans and G Langston Galloway

For a full column on analysis of this deal, click here. It should be noted that both teams being silent on deadline day seems puzzling. The Pelicans failed to find a way to fortify their shooting by adding a Nick Young-type who was readily available and will be forced to buy out disgruntled forward Terrence Jones after being unable to find a trade partner for him. According to USA Today's Sam Amick, the Kings fielded offers for guards Darren Collison, Arron Afflalo and Ben McLemore but decided to wait until the summer to bungle, er, execute their next move. Ty Lawson remains on the roster, too, and you would imagine someone is getting bought out since the need to get Hield experience will be the primary focus going forward.

Impact: The Kings may win a couple more games than they would've had they traded some of the veteran guards mentioned above, but it remains to be seen how Dave Joerger utilizes his rotation when there is clearly a need to expose their young players to major minutes. A 7.5-point home underdog against Denver in the first game following the break, it's clear Vegas will view them as they have the tanking 76ers, Nets and Lakers going forward. The Pels are clearly the league's flavor of the month, curiosity-wise, over the next few weeks. We'll see if they're able to upgrade the roster to give holdovers Solomon Hill, Dante Cunningham and E'Twaun Moore help on the wing. Casspi and Quincy Pondexter are injured.

Toronto-Orlando

Magic send PF Serge Ibaka to Raptors for SF/SG Terrence Ross and a first-round pick

The first mid-sized domino to fall prior to the deadline came when the Raptors addressed a major trouble spot in the lineup by giving up a streaky bench scorer and a pick in the 20s Ibaka will be a free-agent this offseason but has expressed an interest in staying put. He said the same about remaining in Central Florida when Orlando moved former No. 2 pick Victor Oladipo, Ersan Ilyasova and lottery selection Domantas Sabonis for Ibaka's services.

It seemed excessive then and it looks even more foolish now despite the fact Oladipo didn't immediately emerge as the franchise player the Magic hoped they were getting. They still gave up on him too soon, for too little. That was the early inclination then and is a certainty now. Oladipo has scored over 20 points in three of the last four games , shooting over 52 percent from the field. He's still just 24 years old. In Ross, the Magic are getting the 2013 Slam Dunk contest winner who once scored 51 points in a game, but he's averaged over 10 points a game only once in his first four seasons and is averaging 10.4 this season. Certainly, he's a serviceable player who should immediately average 25-30 minutes in Frank Vogel's rotation, but the former No. 8 pick isn't likely to turn the corner and suddenly blossom into a gem.

Ibaka has everything to play for over the next few months to land one more juicy long-term deal from either the Raps or someone else. He's scored 20 or more points in three of the final seven games he played for the Magic, but he's a 27-year-old with suspect knees who has averaged his lowest rebounding clip (6.8) since his rookie season a second consecutive year and is averaging a career-high 15.1 points despite being afforded more offensive freedom than he ever had next to Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. He is versatile enough to play off the Raptors' key cogs and has experience in the role he'll be asked to play, but he's no longer the feared shot-blocker he was in OKC. Diminishing returns will limit his ability to cash in on his next deal unless he saves his best for last.

Toronto-Phoenix

Suns send SF P.J. Tucker to Raptors for PF Jared Sullinger and second-round picks in '17 and '18

Tucker was in demand due to his defensive prowess and figures to be on LeBron James duty if ever the need arises. He can guard multiple positions and should supply the stopper Toronto thought it was getting in DeMarre Carroll, who has been limited by injuries. Sullinger had no luck staying healthy either and could be bought out by the Suns, who collected a couple of seconds for Tucker after striking out on a first-rounder.

Impact: By only losing Ross from their rotation, the Raptors strengthened their chances of catching the Celtics in the Atlantic and ultimately challenging Cleveland in the Eastern Conference finals again. Considering how important homecourt advantage is to Toronto, I'd expect the Raps to start putting their foot on the gas, which could make them a strong finisher. Tucker and Ibaka will help pick up their defensive level, so if there isn't a drop-off with their offensive prowess, they should make a run. The Magic insist they're not tanking, but any potential boost will require Ross hitting the ground running and Mario Hezonja demonstrating the type of improvement that has eluded him thus far. The Suns moves, picking up Sullinger and buying Mike Scott's rights from the Hawks were executed to help reach the salary cap floor.

Oklahoma City-Chicago

Bulls send PF Taj Gibson and SF Doug McDermott and '18 second-round pick to Thunder for PG Cameron Payne, PF Joffrey Lauvergne and SG Anthony Morrow

After not moving Butler, the Bulls took a shot at Sam Presti's eye for talent by moving Gibson and McDermott for promising pieces like Payne and Lauvergne, who are still developing and have shown flashes of being legitimate NBA players along the way. Of course, it should dampen spirits that McDermott never panned out for Chicago, who cost them the 16th and 19th picks in 2014 after being named college basketball's Player of the Year at Creighton by virtually everyone. As they usually do, the Thunder wound up winners on deadline day, winding up with a veteran who can help fortify a front line set to also get Enes Kanter back sooner than later. Together with Stephen Adams, OKC's bigs should be a nightly handful. McDermott's addition to serve as a shooter off the bench should aid the cause considering how much the Thunder have struggled from the perimter.

Impact: Oklahoma City got Russell Westbrook immediate help. Even though it cost him his favorite dance partner, it should make his team more formidable down the stretch. It's hard to decipher exactly how this move will affect the Bulls since they've been so difficult to pin down as it is. Bobby Portis becomes the starting power forward, supplying energy and athleticism to a first unit still relying on a veteran core led by Butler, Dwyane Wade, Rajon Rondo and Robin Lopez.

Dallas-Philadelphia

76ers send C Nerlens Noel to Mavericks for C Andrew Bogut, SG Justin Anderson and protected 1st round pick (19-30)

Atlanta-Philadelphia

76ers send F Ersan Ilyasova to Hawks for C Tiago Splitter, a second-round pick and the right to swap places on a future second-rounder

People have been excited by the process yielding some success for the first time in years, but this is a step back for Philly, which struck a disappointing deal for a former No. 6 pick and one of the first supposed building blocks. Being unable to move disappointing Jahlil Okafor led to the 76ers moving Noel to alleviate the log jam of big men that they've stockpiled, but they could've waited until the offseason given the return. Anderson is a promising wing who should immediately be plugged into the rotation going forward, but the protection on the 2017 first-rounder means the Mavericks will keep the pick if it's inside the top 18, turning the deal into second-rounders the bext two years. That's simply not good enough despite Noel's limited offensive games.

The Mavericks are taking a risk that they'll have to match a sweet offer to keep Noel beyond this offseason since he's a restricted free agent, but they'll have nearly two months to take a close-up look at his work habits and how he meshes with the group. Noel and Joel Embiid played all of eight minutes together over the past season despite establishing a great friendship. "The Process" called Noel his best friend in Philly, and it would've been interesting to see if their chemistry would've translated to the court given more time. Anderson is a willing defender and plays with intensity, but he shouldn't have been the biggest piece in a deal for a 22-year-old 7-footer. Moving Ilyasova for more picks was a solid move for Philly and a no-brainer for Atlanta, who haven't gotten much from Splitter due to injuries

Impact: While the Sixers will stay on their rebuilding course, the Mavs made a move that should help them remain a contender to hang with the Pelicans in attempting to chase down Denver for the No. 8 spot. Between Rick Carlisle's coaching and young legs fueling a revamped group that won't include Deron Williams, who is being bought out, Dallas should remain relevant and shouldn't be picked on over the last six weeks. If they strike the right balance and Yogi Ferrell and Seth Curry remain productive, the Mavs should be tough night in and night out. Ilyasova certainly helps Atlanta thanks to his versatility. He's a willing rebounder and has remained healthy and engaged this season, serving as a mentor to Dario Saric in addition to a productive presence on the floor. Mike Budenholzer can utilize him in various ways with Paul Millsap and Dwight Howard, so the Hawks certainly improved.

Houston-L.A. Lakers

Lakers send G Lou Williams to Houston for SF/SG Corey Brewer and a first-round pick. In a separate deal, they moved PG Marcelo Huertas to Rockets for PG Tyler Ennis

Magic Johnson's first deals as Lakers president were both struck with the Rockets, who gave L.A. solid value for their leading scorer in Williams, one of the top sources of bench firepower in the league throughout his career. He's flammable and gives Mike D'Antoni another weapon who was compromising L.A.'s tanking efforts.

Impact: This was a win for both, but obviously immediately favors Houston, who become all the more formidable as they look to prove their up-tempo system and ability to excel from 3-point range can ultimately derail Golden State. It's up to D'Antoni to strike the right balance between Williams and defensive standout Patrick Beverley next to James Harden, but both high-energy players should remain productive. The Lakers are going to stay on course, playing their young guys and hoping to finish in the top-three so they can keep their pick in June's draft.

Washington-Brooklyn

Nets send SG/SF Bojan Bogdanovic and PF Chris McCullough to Wizards for PF Andrew Nicholson, SG Marcus Thornton and a 2017 first-round pick

Houston-Brooklyn

Rockets send SG/SF KJ McDaniels to Brooklyn for a second-round pick

Impact: The Nets didn't end up dealing center Brook Lopez, holding on to a franchise mainstay that they've dangled at the deadline for about five years now. They wanted two first-rounders, but couldn't even get one. They did add a pick from the Wizards that will likely be in the low 20s, but it was a quiet deadline for a team that still needs one more win to reach double-digits in that category. Washington did well in acquiring Bogdanovic and McCullough for players who couldn't crack Scott Brooks' rotation and a pick worth sacrificing given their need for depth. Bogdanovic is the key, since he's been inconsistent as a volume shooter for Brooklyn. He'll be utilized as a scorer on the wing in D.C. and is versatile enough to make it work provided he doesn't slump.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

— Rockets 142, Wolves 130— Minnesota scores 130, covers by half a point.

— Cubs drew 14,929 fans for their first spring training game in Arizona.

— Eric Sogard is on the Brewers now; liked him when he played for the A’s. He wears glasses.

— In six years that Carmelo Anthony has been on the Knicks, they are 7-14 in playoff games. Denver Nuggets are 6-12 in playoff games since Anthony let Denver.

— Orioles OF Michael Bourn broke a finger, is out four weeks; he got hurt catching a football.

— South Florida’s basketball team left two of its better players behind at the Houston airport the other night. Kids were sleeping in the terminal. Been a rough year for the Bulls.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….

3) Florida State 76, Clemson 74— Seminoles won first meeting this year, 109-61; Clemson is a huge disappointment- they’re 1-9 in ACC games that were decided by 6 or less points.

12) Kentucky 76, Florida 66— De’Aaron Fox didn’t play for the Wildcats but they won anyway, taking a one-game lead in the SEC. Malik Monk scored 30 points in the second half; Kentucky had a 22-4 edge on the foul line in this game.

11) Iowa 83, Maryland 69— Young Terrapins have now lost five of their last seven games after a 20-2 start; they’re going to be a fashionable pick to be upset in the first round of the NCAA’s.

10) UCLA 77, Arizona 72— Road team won both regular season meetings; would be fun if there was a rubber match in Las Vegas in two weeks, at the Pac-12 tourney.

9) Providence 73, Marquette 69— Friars won their last four games to even their Big East mark at 8-8; they swept Marquette this year, with two wins by total of five points.

On Selection Sunday, Providence’s #277 non-conference strength of schedule could haunt them.

8) Miami 55, Duke 50— Grayson Allen (ankle) didn’t play. Blue Devils went 5-21 on the arc, with Luke Kennard going 6-20 from the floor.

Duke freshman Harry Giles played 19:00 and scored two points; mock drafts have him going around 10-12th in the NBA Draft. if he gets picked that high, someone is going to get fired; the kid has had two major knee operations and hasn’t played very well this year. Maybe he turns out to be a great NBA player someday, but what visual evidence is there right now to point that way?

7) Upsets of the Day:
— BYU (+20) 79, Gonzaga 71
— The Citadel (+13) 102, Samford 96
— Mercer (+8.5) 64, Chattanooga 54
— Iowa (+8) 83, Maryland 69

6) Oregon 75, Stanford 73— Ducks swept Bay Area trip, but wins were by a total of five points- they didn’t look that great in either game. If I’m looking for potential Final Four teams, I’m not looking for teams getting taken to the wire by Stanford.

5) Western Michigan 80, Ball State 55— Surging Broncos have won their last six games after they started season 7-15. WMU point guard Wilder is a very good player.

4) Oklahoma 81, Kansas State 51— Lon Kruger gets career win #600; he might be the most underrated coach in the country.

3) Belmont 68, Tennessee State 63— Belmont finishes 15-1 in the OVC, will have ton of pressure on them to win the conference tournament next weekend. Bruins are 66-14 in OVC games; they won the OVC tournament twice in their first four years in the league.

2) BYU 79, Gonzaga 71— Sports are fun; unusual things happen. This is third year in a row that BYU has won in Spokane. Joe Lunardi’s computer had to be working overtime after this result. As for the Zags, not a great time to have your confidence shaken.

1) Indiana 63, Northwestern 62— Hoosiers ended first half on a 22-0 run that ended with a 70-footer banked in at the buzzer. Game ended with Indiana’s Bryant’s scoring 3-point play with 0:02 left for the win. If you’re a Northwestern fan, it is time to get queasy.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 26

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SAN ANTONIO (44 - 13) at LA LAKERS (19 - 40) - 2/26/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 77-58 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 168-210 ATS (-63.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (18 - 40) at MILWAUKEE (25 - 31) - 2/26/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 146-107 ATS (+28.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 54-84 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 247-303 ATS (-86.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (36 - 22) at WASHINGTON (34 - 22) - 2/26/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (34 - 25) at DENVER (26 - 32) - 2/26/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (24 - 33) at TORONTO (34 - 24) - 2/26/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (37 - 21) at DETROIT (28 - 30) - 2/26/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (23 - 36) at OKLAHOMA CITY (33 - 25) - 2/26/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (25 - 33) at LA CLIPPERS (35 - 23) - 2/26/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 160-201 ATS (-61.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 109-142 ATS (-47.2 Units) in February games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 26

Spurs are 5-2 on their Rodeo Road Trip; they covered last three away games. Four of thei rlast five games stayed under. Lakers lost four of last five games, are 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Spurs won their last seven games with the Lakers (3-3-1 vs spread); last six series games went over total. Spurs beat the Clippers here Friday; they won last three here against the Lakers by 13-6-19 points.

Phoenix lost six of last eight games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Three of their last four games went over. Milwaukee won three of last four games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Road team won five of last six Phoenix-Milwaukee games with Bucks winning four of last five. Suns won three of last five games in Milwaukee. Four of last five series games stayed under.

Utah won its last two games overall, three of last four on road- they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Washington won four of last five games, is 15-3-2 vs spread in last 20 home games. Seven of their last nine games went over. Wizards won four of last five games with Utah; six of last eight series games stayed under total. Jazz lost last three trips to Washington, by 13-9-14 points.

Grizzlies lost three of last four games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Nuggets won/covered four of their last five home games; they are 5-7 in last 12 games overall. Five of their last seven games went over. Memphis won seven of last eight games with Denver; Grizzlies won last three visits here, by 1-7-20 points. Four of last five series games went over.

Portland lost five of its last seven games, is 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Last three Blazer games stayed under total. Toronto won four of its last five home games; they’re 6-11 in last 17 games overall, but did win last two. Last four Raptor games stayed under. Raptors won their last three games with Portland; five of last seven series games went over the total. Trailblazers won three of last five visits to Canada.

Boston lost its last two games, is 5-6 vs spread in last 11 road games, 0-3 in last three games overall. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Pistons won five of last seven overall, nine of last 11 at home; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven at home. Six of last eight Detroit games stayed under. Celtics won three of last four games with Detroit; they won three of last four visits to Motor City. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Pelicans lost 8 of last 12 games; they’re 0-2 since All-Star break, losing by 30-13 points. Last five New Orleans games stayed under. Oklahoma City won/covered eight of last ten home tilts; they’re 5-6 in last 11 games overall. Four of their last five games went over. Thunder won five of last six games with New Orleans; Pelicans lost their last three visits to Oklahoma, by 7-26-9 points. Six of last eight series games went over.

Charlotte lost 12 of last 14 games, but they’ve covered three of last four on road. Five of last six Hornet games stayed under. Clippers are 0-2 since break; they lost three of last four home games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Charlotte; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Hornets lost three of last four games with the Clippers here (1-3 vs spread).

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, February 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Phoenix is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. LA LAKERS
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games

5:00 PM
UTAH vs. WASHINGTON
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games
Washington is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

5:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DENVER
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Memphis

6:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

6:00 PM
BOSTON vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home

9:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. LA CLIPPERS
Charlotte is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 8 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 26


Charlotte @ LA Clippers

Game 815-816
February 26, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
125.105
LA Clippers
119.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 5
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 10
212
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+10); Over

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City

Game 813-814
February 26, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
119.483
Oklahoma City
129.051
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-6 1/2); Over

Boston @ Denver

Game 811-812
February 26, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.581
Denver
113.135
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-1 1/2); Under

Portland @ Toronto

Game 809-810
February 26, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
116.044
Toronto
124.643
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Denver

Game 807-808
February 26, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
122.481
Denver
119.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+2); Under

Utah @ Washington

Game 805-806
February 26, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
130.633
Washington
127.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 3 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+2 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Milwaukee

Game 803-804
February 26, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.691
Milwaukee
115.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 7
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+7); Under

San Antonio @ LA Lakers

Game 801-802
February 26, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
131.414
LA Lakers
111.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 20
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 11
210
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-11); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday's Tip Sheet
February 25, 2017

Game of the Night – Pelicans at Thunder – 7:05 PM EST

Yes, New Orleans has become more relevant on the NBA landscape in the last week following the acquisition of DeMarcus Cousins from Sacramento. This isn’t LeBron James switching teams, but the Pelicans will be more of a threat to make the playoffs with the 1-2 punch of former Kentucky Wildcat standouts Cousins and Anthony Davis. However, the Pelicans are 0-2 since the trade coming off Saturday’s 96-83 defeat at Dallas.

The Pelicans travel to Oklahoma City looking to avoid the four-game series sweep to the Thunder. OKC led New Orleans from start to finish in their first matchup at Chesapeake Energy Arena in early December, 101-92 as six-point favorites. Russell Westbrook posted one of his many triple-doubles for the Thunder by scoring 28 points, pulling down 17 rebounds, and dishing out 13 assists, while Davis put up a game-high 37 points for New Orleans.

The Thunder captured the next two meetings in the Big Easy, winning in late December as two-point favorites, 121-110. Westbrook roasted the Pelicans for 42 points, which includes hitting 16 free throws. Last month, OKC picked up its third win over New Orleans, 114-105, as the Thunder built a 19-point halftime advantage. The Pelicans are seeking their first victory at Oklahoma City since February 6, 2015 in a 116-113 triumph as six-point underdogs.

Billy Donovan’s squad has won nine of their last 10 games in the home favorite role, including Friday’s 110-93 blowout of the Lakers as 10-point chalk. The Thunder has eclipsed the 105-point mark in their last six home contests, resulting in four OVERS. Meanwhile, New Orleans has compiled a 4-7 SU/ATS record with no rest off Saturday’s loss at Dallas, but the Pelicans have put together a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in their last four opportunities as a road underdog.

District Fine

The Wizards and Jazz weren’t expected to be division leaders after the All-Star break, but both Washington and Utah are in prime position to qualify for the postseason. The two squads hook up at the Verizon Center as the Wizards have won 19 of their last 20 home contests, but are coming off a loss in their past game at Philadelphia on Friday, 120-112 as 8 ½-point favorites.

The Jazz started the second half on a high note by routing the Bucks on Friday, 109-95 as 3 ½-point favorites to grab their 16th road victory of the season. Utah is rolling on the highway of late by posting a 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS record in the last seven away contests, although four of those victories are against teams currently below .500. The Jazz have struggled in the road underdog role this season by compiling a 1-10 SU/ATS mark in this role, while losing three straight visits to Washington.

Boston Bounce-Back

The Celtics closed the first half with a controversial one-point setback at Chicago, while starting the second half by squandering a 10-point halftime lead in a critical 107-97 divisional loss at Toronto on Friday. Boston closed the regular season series with Toronto dropping three of four games, but the Celtics still lead the Atlantic division by three games as they head to Detroit.

The Pistons rallied from an 18-point deficit to shock the Hornets in overtime on Thursday and pick up the front-door cover as 4 ½-point favorites. Detroit has won and covered six consecutive games as a home favorite, while owning a 4-2 ATS mark as a home underdog this season, as the Pistons opened as 1 ½-point ‘dogs. Stan Van Gundy’s team has lost two of three matchups with the Celtics this season, including a 94-92 home defeat to Boston on a last-second Al Horford lay-up in mid-November.

Raptor Rally

Toronto has overcome a pair of double-digit deficits in its last two home victories against Charlotte and Boston, while limiting each team to 97 points or fewer. The Raptors shoot for their third straight win against the Blazers, but Toronto will have to do it without standout guard Kyle Lowry, who is sidelined with a wrist injury. Dwane Casey’s club has stumbled to a 3-6 ATS mark in its last nine games at the Air Canada Center, while failing to cash as eight-point road favorites in a 95-91 December victory at Portland.

The Blazers also needed a comeback in their last game, rallying to shock the Magic, 112-103 on Thursday for only their 10th road win in 30 tries this season. Portland is seeking consecutive road wins for the first time since early November, while dropping four of its past five in the role of an away underdog.

Gold Rush

The Nuggets are trying to build a home-court advantage at Pepsi Center, as Denver has won eight of its past 10 home contests. Denver pulled away from Brooklyn on Friday to cash as 10-point favorites, 129-109, as the Nuggets look to snap a five-game skid coming off a victory when the Grizzlies invade the Rockies.

The Grizzlies were blitzed in the second quarter of Friday’s 102-92 setback at Indiana by getting outscored, 36-23 before halftime. Memphis has dropped three of its last four games with the only victory in this stretch coming against woeful Brooklyn. The Grizzlies have captured seven of the past eight meetings with the Nuggets, including a pair of victories this season.

Slump Buzz-ters

The Hornets snapped a 12-game road losing streak in Saturday’s 99-85 triumph at Sacramento as 3 ½-point favorites. Charlotte will try for consecutive victories with a trip to Los Angeles to face a Clippers’ squad that beat the Hornets on February 11 by a 107-102 count. The Hornets have finished UNDER the total in five of the past six games, while covering for the third time in the last four contests away from Spectrum Center.

The Clippers faced a gauntlet to begin the second half of the season and fell short in losses to the Warriors and Spurs. Chris Paul returned from his thumb injury to score 17 points in a 105-97 setback to San Antonio on Thursday, as Los Angeles had its five-game ATS hot streak snapped. However, the Clippers have won six straight games as a home favorite, while covering five times in this stretch since the start of January.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Sunday
February 26, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 13-0 ATS (12.23 ppg) as a home dog with rest after they shot under 40% from the field since Nov 15, 2015.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 11-0 OU (16.77 ppg) off a game as a dog when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game since Feb 03, 2014.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 10-0 OU (12.70 ppg) off a win in which Will Barton took fewer than 10 shots since Mar 25, 2016.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-14 ATS (-10.57 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field since Nov 24, 2014.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Pelicans are 0-8-1 OU (-13.33 ppg) on the road after Anthony Davis was the high scorer since Jan 09, 2017.

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 26

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SA at LAL 03:30 PM

LAL +11.5

O 210.0

PHO at MIL 03:30 PM

MIL -6.0

U 225.0

UTA at WAS 05:00 PM

WAS -1.5

O 205.5

MEM at DEN 05:00 PM

MEM +2.0

U 218.0

POR at TOR 06:00 PM

TOR -5.0

U 208.5

BOS at DET 06:00 PM

BOS -1.5

U 213.5

NO at OKC 07:00 PM

OKC -6.5

O 215.0

CHA at LAC 09:30 PM

CHA +10.0

O 212.0