Handicapping Sweeps
April 23, 2016
The NBA Playoffs often find many twists and turns when it comes to handicapping the postseason. One of the more enlightening is when teams are winless in a series and are about to be swept. How do they respond? We put the question to our all-knowing, well-oiled database and the results are clearly definitive. Take a look.
These are results for teams in Game Four of a playoff series, down 0-3. All results are since 1991 and are SU (Straight Up), ATS Against The Spread), and in Over / Under total sequence unless noted otherwise.
Home:
24-39 SU and 26-34-3 ATS
30-31-2 Over / Under
22-20-2 ATS dog
3-14-1 ATS favorite
Away:
2-7 SU and ATS
8-1 Over / Under
2-7 ATS dog
0-0 ATS favorite
As you can see it’s out with the old and in with the new when it comes to teams staving off elimination in Game Four of a best of seven playoff series – especially when favored to win.
FYI: Dogs of more than 8 points are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS while teams off an ATS win are 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS. Meanwhile, games with an Over / Under total of more than 210 points are 5-1 OVER. There you have it. Another edge to add to your handicapping arsenal this postseason.
April 23, 2016
The NBA Playoffs often find many twists and turns when it comes to handicapping the postseason. One of the more enlightening is when teams are winless in a series and are about to be swept. How do they respond? We put the question to our all-knowing, well-oiled database and the results are clearly definitive. Take a look.
These are results for teams in Game Four of a playoff series, down 0-3. All results are since 1991 and are SU (Straight Up), ATS Against The Spread), and in Over / Under total sequence unless noted otherwise.
Home:
24-39 SU and 26-34-3 ATS
30-31-2 Over / Under
22-20-2 ATS dog
3-14-1 ATS favorite
Away:
2-7 SU and ATS
8-1 Over / Under
2-7 ATS dog
0-0 ATS favorite
As you can see it’s out with the old and in with the new when it comes to teams staving off elimination in Game Four of a best of seven playoff series – especially when favored to win.
FYI: Dogs of more than 8 points are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS while teams off an ATS win are 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS. Meanwhile, games with an Over / Under total of more than 210 points are 5-1 OVER. There you have it. Another edge to add to your handicapping arsenal this postseason.
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