The Bum's College Hoops For January 2015 Trends/News/ Stats/ All You Need To know !

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, January 26

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SYRACUSE (14 - 6) at N CAROLINA (16 - 4) - 1/26/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 248-203 ATS (+24.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CLEVELAND ST (12 - 9) at OAKLAND (8 - 12) - 1/26/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
OAKLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 2-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 3-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WRIGHT ST (10 - 10) at DETROIT (10 - 11) - 1/26/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-3 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 4-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WI-MILWAUKEE (7 - 13) at VALPARAISO (18 - 4) - 1/26/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less this season.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 171-130 ATS (+28.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 165-128 ATS (+24.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 4-1 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 4-1 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS (14 - 5) at IOWA ST (14 - 4) - 1/26/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
IOWA ST is 204-160 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-2 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ARMY (12 - 6) at AMERICAN (11 - 8) - 1/26/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 3-2 straight up against AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons




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DELAWARE ST (10 - 9) at NC CENTRAL (15 - 5) - 1/26/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NC CENTRAL is 2-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons




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PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (5 - 14) at ARK-PINE BLUFF (5 - 15) - 1/26/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 3-1 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 26

Syracuse played four starters the full 40:00 in 66-62 home loss to Miami Saturday afternoon; they only used one sub the whole game. Orange got 57-45 home win over North Carolina LY, holding Tar Heels to 2-12 from arc, 3-9 on foul line, but that was last year- at the time, it was third loss in row for Carolina. UNC won its last five games, with three of five wins by 4 or less points. ACC home favorites of 9+ points are 6-5 vs spread.

Cleveland State raced out to 24-6 lead in 65-61 home win over Oakland 18 days ago; Vikings trailed before half, were outscored 14-3 on foul line, but rallied to win third straight game over Oakland. State won six of last seven games; four of last five wins were by 5 or less points. Grizzlies are 3-2 in Horizon after 5-10 non-conference schedule. iHorizon home teams are 6-3 vs spread in games with spread of less than five points.

Detroit won four of last six games since 71-57 loss at Wright State Jan 2 in Horizon opener; Titans lost despite making 8-13 from arc- they're 2-1 at home in league, losing only to Green Bay, which is tied with first place in Horizon. Wright State scored 49 ppg in losing last three games by 10-5-26 points; Raiders lost three of last four road games, with three losses all by 24+ points. Horizon home favorites are 10-8 vs spread.

Valparaiso lost tough game in Green Bay Friday, ending 5-game winning streak; Crusaders are 3-0 at home in Horizon, winning by 15-29-2 points. Milwaukee won couple home games recently but is 0-3 on Horizon road, losing by 27-16-13 points- they beat Valpo by 17 in Horizon tourney LY, after losing twice to Crusaders in regular season. Horizon double digit favorites are 4-2 against the spread, 3-2 at home.

Home side won last seven Texas-Iowa State games; Longhorns lost three in row in Ames by 6-9-20 points. Longhorns lost three of last five games but two of three losses were at home- they've only played three games all season that were decided by less than 10 points. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-4 vs spread. Cyclones are 3-0 at home in conference with wins by 2-5-6 points- their last three losses are all by 5 or less.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, January 26

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CLEVELAND STATE vs. OAKLAND
Cleveland State is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
JANUARY 26, 7:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Syracuse is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Syracuse is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 26, 7:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. DETROIT
Wright State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Wright State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Wright State
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Wright State

See more trends!
JANUARY 26, 8:05 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. VALPARAISO
Wisc-Milwaukee is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Valparaiso's last 5 games when playing at home against Wisc-Milwaukee
Valparaiso is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Wisc-Milwaukee

See more trends!
JANUARY 26, 9:00 PM
TEXAS vs. IOWA STATE
Texas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
Iowa State is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Texas

[StarDust Bum]

Top 25 roundup: Krzyzewski gets 1,000th win

NEW YORK -- Coach K reached 1K.

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski became the first Division 1 coach to win 1,000 games, guiding the No. 5 Duke Blue Devils to a 77-68 win over the St. John's Red Storm on Sunday at Madison Square Garden.

"We were so gritty in the last 10 minutes," Krzyzewski said. "It was tough to get involved with 1,000. I was just trying to survive this game, which is how you get to 1,000."

In addition to the record number of wins, Krzyzewski led the Blue Devils (17-2) to four national championships, 13 Atlantic Coast Conference titles and 11 Final Fours. He also coached the U.S. Olympic Team to two gold medals.

Freshman guard Tyus Jones led the Blue Devils with 22 points and six assists. Center Jahlil Okafor, the nation's top-scoring freshman, added 17 points and 10 rebounds.

Sir' Dominic Pointer topped St. John's (13-6) with 21 points and guard Rysheed Jordan added 18 points.

Virginia 50, Virginia Tech 47

BLACKSBURG, Va. -- Guard Justin Anderson sparked a late rally with eight points in a three-minute span in the second half, and the second-ranked Cavaliers escaped with a victory.

Anderson scored a team-high 12 points, most coming in the final six minutes. He also blocked Hokies guard Malik Muller's 3-pointer with 13 seconds left, helping preserve the Cavaliers' three-point lead.

The Cavaliers (19-0, 7-0 ACC) remained one of two unbeaten teams in Division I, joining Kentucky. But their 19th victory was much more difficult than anyone had imagined. The win wasn't secured until guard Adam Smith's deep 3-pointer at the buzzer spun in and out of the basket. Smith scored a game-high 15 points to lead the Hokies (8-11, 0-6).

Ohio State 82, Indiana 70

COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Guard D'Angelo Russell scored 22 points and handed out 10 assists, and forward Jae'Sean Tate added 20 points to lead the Buckeyes past the 23rd-ranked Hoosiers.

Russell hit nine of 15 shots from the field, had six rebounds and made key baskets or assists to keep Indiana at bay. Tate was right there with him. He connected on 9 of 10 from the field, shared the team lead in rebounds with six and scored key buckets in the final minutes to extend the lead for Ohio State (16-5, 5-3 Big Ten).

Point guard Yogi Farrell scored 18 of his game-high 26 points in the second half to pace Indiana (15-5, 5-2).

Wichita State 74, Drake 40

WICHITA, Kan. -- With 11 minutes to play, Wichita State's lineup consisted of three freshmen, a junior transfer and a walk-on. That was one of many indications the 14th-ranked Shockers are rolling again through the Missouri Valley Conference, this time beating the overmatched Bulldogs.

The Shockers (18-2, 8-0 MVC) led all 40 minutes and never gave Drake (4-16, 1-7) any hope. Wichita State led 36-19 at halftime and buried the Bulldogs by shooting better than 60 percent most of the second half.

Junior guard Ron Baker led Wichita State with 15 points. Senior guard Tekele Cotton added 10.

Butler 77, Seton Hall 57

INDIANAPOLIS -- The Bulldogs used a staggering 27-3, second-half run to beat the 24th-ranked Pirates for the second time in 12 days.

Butler (15-6, 5-3 Big East) trailed 37-34 when it began the game-deciding blitz that was capped by a layup from guard Roosevelt Jones, giving the Bulldogs a 61-40 lead with 8:09 remaining.

Center Andrew Chrabascz led the Bulldogs with 16 points, guard Kellen Dunham added 15, Jones scored 12 and point guard Alex Barlow had 11. Forward Brandon Mobley paced Seton Hall (13-6, 3-4) with 15 points.

Louisville 80, Pittsburgh 68

PITTSBURGH -- Terry Rozier scored 26 points as the 10th-ranked Cardinals got back on track with an victory over the Panthers.

Rozier scored 18 points in the first half when Louisville shot a blazing 70.8 percent from the field in building a 40-30 halftime lead. The sophomore guard notched his fifth game with at least 20 points this season.

Junior forward Montezl Harrell scored 18 points, and senior guard Chris Jones added 17 points and nine assists for Louisville (15-4, 3-3 ACC), which had lost two of its previous three games. Sophomore forward Jamel Artis scored 18 points for Pitt (13-7, 3-4).

Northern Iowa 54, Illinois 53

NORMAL, Ill. -- Down 12 in the second half, the 20th-ranked Panthers rallied for an improbable win. Reserve forward Nate Buss drilled a 3-pointer from the right corner with 5.2 seconds left for the decisive points.

Guard Daishon Knight had a chance to win it for Illinois State (12-8, 4-4 Missouri Valley Conference), but his driving layup under duress hit the front rim and bounced off as time expired.

Forward Seth Tuttle finished with game highs of 21 points and 10 rebounds for Northern Iowa (18-2, 7-1). The Panthers won their seventh consecutive game after opening conference play with a loss at Evansville. Reserve guard Bobby Hunter paced the Redbirds with 13 points, while center Reggie Lynch and guard Paris Lee each scored 12.

Notre Dame 81, North Carolina State 78 (OT)

RALEIGH, N.C. -- Guard Jerian Grant scored 25 points, and the eighth-ranked Fighting Irish, who scurried to force overtime, topped the Wolfpack. Grant blocked a 3-point try by North Carolina State guard Trevor Lacey at the end.

Guard Demetrius Jackson and forwards Pat Connaughton and V.J. Beachem added 11 points apiece for Notre Dame (19-2, 7-1 Atlantic Coast Conference). Irish forward Zach Auguste had 10 points.

Lacey tallied 13 points to lead North Carolina State (13-8, 4-4). Forwards Kyle Washington and Caleb Martin had 12 points each, while guard Ralston Turner scored 11 and forward Cody Martin had 10.

Villanova 71, Creighton 50

VILLANOVA, Pa. -- A 15-0 run to open the game set the tone as the fourth-ranked Wildcats led wire-to-wire for a victory over the Bluejays.

Villanova (18-2, 5-2 Big East) maintained a double-digit advantage throughout the second half, going up by as many as 24 while not allowing Creighton to get closer than a dozen points over the final 23 minutes. Senior guard Darrun Hilliard led Villanova with 24 points, including six 3-pointers, while junior point guard Ryan Arcidiacono added 10.

Creighton (9-12, 0-8 Big East) lost its ninth game in a row. Guard James Milliken topped the Bluejays with 13 points.

Maryland 68, Northwestern 67

COLLEGE PARK, Md. -- Guard/forward Dez Wells made a put-back with 1.4 seconds left to give the 13th-ranked Terrapins a 68-67 win over the Wildcats.

Guard Melo Trimble had 19 of his 27 points in the second half for the Terrapins (18-3, 6-2 Big Ten). The Terrapins trailed by 11 points with 3:45 left.

The Wildcats (10-10, 1-6) took their sixth loss in a row. Guard Bryant McIntosh had 21 points to pace Northwestern, which also led by 11 points at halftime.

Utah 77, Washington 56

SALT LAKE CITY -- Guard Dakarai Tucker scored a career-high 19 points, and guard Brandon Taylor added 14 to lift the 12th-ranked Utes to a win over the Huskies.

Tucker and Taylor combined to make eight 3-pointers, leading Utah (16-3, 6-1 Pac-12) to its 15th straight home victory dating to last season, who saw a three-game winning streak snapped. The Utes led from start to finish and shot 61.1 percent (11-for-18) on 3-point shots.

Guard Andrew Andrews had 19 points to lead Washington, which saw a three-game winning streak snapped. Center Robert Upshaw chipped in 13 points, nine rebounds and five blocks for the Huskies (14-5, 3-4).

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Texas at Iowa State
The Longhorns head to Iowa State tonight and come into the contest with a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Texas is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cyclones favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 26

Game 715-716: Syracuse at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 63.580; North Carolina 76.885
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-10 1/2)

Game 717-718: Cleveland State at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 57.222; Oakland 53.924
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-1)

Game 719-720: Wright State at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 52.515; Detroit 54.941
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+5 1/2)

Game 721-722: WI-Milwaukee at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 49.731; Valparaiso 60.123
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+13 1/2)

Game 723-724: Texas at Iowa State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 71.714; Iowa State 72.303
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 1
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+5 1/2)

Game 731-732: Army at American (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 48.127; American 50.335
Dunkel Line: American by 2
Vegas Line: American by 5
Dunkel Pick: Army (+5)

Game 733-734: Delaware State at North Carolina Central (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 44.782; North Carolina Central 61.624
Dunkel Line: North Carolina Central by 17
Vegas Line: North Carolina Central by 12
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina Central (-12)

Game 735-736: Prairie View at AR-Pine Bluff (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View 40.910; AR-Pine Bluff 45.834
Dunkel Line: AR-Pine Bluff by 5
Vegas Line: AR-Pine Bluff by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Pine Bluff (-2 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, January 26

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Game of the Day: Syracuse at North Carolina
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Syracuse Orange at University of North Carolina Tar Heels (OFF, OFF)

Brice Johnson does not lead North Carolina in any major categories, but he just might be the team's most important player. Coming off back-to-back terrific outings, Johnson hopes to fuel the 15th-ranked Tar Heels past visiting Syracuse when the teams square off Monday. Johnson scored 19 points on 8-of-11 shooting against Wake Forest on Wednesday before recording 18 points on 7-of-9 shooting versus Florida State on Saturday, prompting rave reviews from leading scorer Marcus Paige.

“He played great. ... That’s the type of production - we’ll take that all day," Paige said. "He’s still coming along defensively. He’s better than he’s ever been. So he’s getting there, but his ceiling his so high, too, that we like to see him build on performances." The Tar Heels have won 10 of their last 11 games, while the Orange have dropped two of three following a seven-game winning streak. Both teams are dealing with injuries as Syracuse is without forward Chris McCullough (ACL) while North Carolina is without reserves Joel Berry (groin) and Theo Pinson (foot), not to mention Johnson playing through a back strain.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT SYRACUSE (14-6, 5-2 ACC): Despite 23 points and eight rebounds from Rakeem Christmas, Syracuse dropped a 66-62 decision to Miami (Fla.) on Saturday as the team shot 8-of-19 from the foul line. "You can ask a million questions," coach Jim Boeheim said to reporters afterwards. "Overall, this game was one thing, that's it, nothing else. We make some free throws, we win the game, bottom line." The shorthanded Orange used only six players - four of which played all 40 minutes - including all three of their double-digit scorers on the season - Christmas (18.3), Trevor Cooney (14.1) and Michael Gbinije (10.7).

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (16-4, 6-1): The Tar Heels rank in the top five nationally in both rebounds and assists with J.P. Tokoto serving as a major factor in both categories. The junior forward averages 9.1 points, five rebounds and a team-high 4.1 assists, while four other North Carolina players average double figures in points, led by Paige's 13.8. Kennedy Meeks is second on the team in scoring (12.8) and tops in rebounding (8.3), although he only has surpassed eight rebounds once in his last six games.

TRENDS:

* The Orange are 0-4 ATS in their last four overall
* The Tar Heels are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall
* The Over is 4-1 in the Tar Heels' last five games
* The Over is 5-1-1 in the Orange's last seven after a SU loss

[StarDust Bum]

Big Monday Action

January 25, 2015

The men’s college basketball season heads into the final week of January with the drive to March Madness in full swing. There are a pair of matchups on ESPN this Monday that should be a special interest to anyone who loves to bet on the games. Starting in the ACC, Syracuse will be on the road against North Carolina and later that night Texas and Iowa State face-off against one another in a Big 12 showdown of nationally ranked teams.

The following betting tip sheet breaks down each one of these key conference matchups with some useful facts, stats and betting trends to help you handicap the games.

Syracuse Orange vs. No. 15 North Carolina Tar Heels (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: North Carolina -10

Syracuse continues to struggle in conference play with losses to Clemson and Miami as a favorite wrapped around a tight 69-61 victory against Boston College on Jan. 20 as an 8 ½-point favorite at home. The Orange are still 5-2 straight-up in the AAC, but they are just 1-6 against the spread. Senior forward Rakeem Christmas continues to lead the way with a team-high 18.3 points and 8.9 rebounds a game. Syracuse is averaging 68.5 points per game and shooting 43.8 percent from the field. Defensively, it is holding opposing teams to 59.8 PPG.

The Tar Heels slid by Florida State 78-74 this past Saturday to run their SU winning streak to five games, but after failing to cover as 15-point home favorites they are now 1-5 ATS in their last six outings. The total went OVER the closing 144.5-point line against the Seminoles and it has gone OVER in four of their last five games. North Carolina boasts five players with at least nine points a game as part of a team average of 79.4 PPG and it is ranked second in the nation in rebounds with 43.5. Sophomore forward Kennedy Meeks has led the way in department with 8.3 rebounds a game while averaging 12.8 PPG

Betting Trends

-- The Orange are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 ACC games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight road games.

-- The Tar Heels are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 home games against a team with a SU losing record on the road, but they have failed to cover in their last four home games overall. The total has gone OVER in five of their last eight games played at home.

-- Last season, Syracuse rolled to a 57-45 victory over North Carolina as an 8 ½-point home favorite in the only meeting between the two. The total stayed UNDER the closing 136-point line.

No. 17 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 9 Iowa State Cyclones (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Iowa State -4

Texas fell to 3-3 (SU and ATS) in conference play with this past Saturday’s 75-62 loss to Kansas as a four-point home favorite. The total is also an even 3-3 after going OVER the closing 133 ½-point line against the Jayhawks. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of 12 games this season with a betting line. The Longhorns have relied heavily on a solid defensive effort that is holding opponents to an average of 57.3 PPG and they are ranked fourth in the nation in rebounds (42.5). Sophomore guard Isaiah Taylor leads the team in scoring with 12.7 PPG and freshman forward Myles Turner is the top rebounder with 6.8 a game.

The Cyclones are also coming off a tough loss after falling to Texas Tech 78-73 this past Saturday as 9 ½-point road favorites. They have failed to cover in four of their last seven games while going 4-3 SU. The total went OVER the closing 136 ½-point line against the Red Raiders and it has now gone OVER in their last four outings. Sophomore guard Monte Morris had the hot hand in Saturday’s loss with 20 points, but junior forward Georges Niang remains the team’s leading scorer with 14.6 PPG. Iowa State is averaging 79.7 points while shooting an efficient 48.4 percent from the field.

Betting Trends

-- The Longhorns have covered ATS in six of their last seven road games and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 15 games on the road.

-- The Cyclones are 7-3 in their last 10 conference games, but they have failed to cover ATS in seven of their last nine games following a SU loss. The total has gone OVER in 30 of their last 42 Big 12 games.

-- Head-to-head in this conference clash, the home team has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in all four contests. Texas has failed to cover in four of their last five trips to Iowa State.

[StarDust Bum]

Tournament Forecast

January 23, 2015


2015 NCAA Tournament – Projected Field thru action on Thursday, Jan. 22, 2015.

This is our first installment of bracketology for the 2015 NCAA Tournament and comes a couple weeks into conference play.

Before jumping into this season’s breakdown let’s take a look back at last year’s first installment which we published on Jan. 8, 2014 did very well projecting the field, especially considering how early it was posted.

The one area we struggled some were the smaller conferences: there were 22 conferences that received one bid & we only projected 10 of the 22 correct – that area of a bracketology is clearly the toughest.

After those 22 teams are accounted for we are left with 46 open bids & we nailed 36 of those 46 – here are more details on the 10 we missed (teams in italic & bold we included in our projection but they missed field):

SMU: in our “first five out” category meaning they narrowly missed our field
St. Joseph’s: earned the A10 automatic bid
Florida State: missed field
Georgetown: missed field
Providence: earned the Big East automatic bid
Minnesota: missed field
Stanford: in our “first five out” category
California: in our “first five out” category
Missouri: missed field
Arkansas: missed field
BYU: in our “first five out” category

To summarize four of our “first five out” teams wound up earning a bid; two teams earned their conference’s automatic bid otherwise there is a good chance they would have missed field; and five teams we projected in did not earn a bid.

Considering this projection was posted 2 months in advance of Selection Sunday those results are excellent – add in fact that our final bracketology of last year only missed on one team & this exercise proves valuable.

Now that we have some context on last year let’s jump into the 2015 projection! Below we breakdown each conference into three buckets initially (with a fourth bucket “life support” coming in February as the picture continues to sort itself out):

1) Automatic Bid
2) Looking Good - teams highly likely to play well enough in the regular season to earn a bid
3) Need Wins - teams that are firmly on the bubble and will need to play well to close their season

**Teams are listed in the s-curve order I see them now within conference**
**For this edition, to add some more color to each team I will include their SBPI ranking through action on Thursday January 22. For one bid leagues I will also show the SBPI ranking of the 2nd team in the conference to give a feel for their competition**

**Last key to remember when looking this over – I always lean towards INCLUDING teams in my breakdown that have any shot at earning a bid; some listed are extreme longshots but I would prefer including any potential candidates vs. adding them later out of blue. Leveraging that idea further I will lean towards keeping teams in say “Need Wins” versus moving them up to “Looking Good” till I feel certain they are a lock to earn a bid – do not want to slide teams down levels, only up. Many teams are closer to being left off completely versus moving up a level at this point in the season**

America East: Stony Brook #77 (Albany #201)

American Athletic: Cincinnati #47
Looking Good: SMU #53
Need Wins: Tulsa #47, Temple #56, UConn #100, Memphis #131

Atlantic Ten: VCU #8
Need Wins: Davidson #41, Dayton #75, George Washington #54, Rhode Island #74

ACC: Virginia #11
Looking Good: Duke #7, North Carolina #17, Louisville #14, Notre Dame #174
Need Wins: Miami #59, NC State #24, Syracuse #78, Pittsburgh #70

Atlantic Sun: North Florida #136 (Northern Kentucky #191)

Big 12: Kansas #2
Looking Good: Iowa State #30, Oklahoma #23, Texas #35\
Need Wins: West Virginia #16, Baylor #9, Oklahoma State #18, Kansas St. #60

Big East: Villanova #4
Looking Good: Butler #3, Providence #19, Georgetown #26
Need Wins: Seton Hall #38, Xavier #15, St. John’s #64

Big Sky: Eastern Washington #170 (Northern Arizona #127)

Big South: Gardner-Webb #101 (Coastal Carolina #113)

Big Ten: Wisconsin #13
Looking Good: Indiana #82, Maryland #52
Need Wins: Michigan State #31, Iowa #29, Ohio State #36, Illinois #40, Michigan #58, Nebraska #132, Minnesota #42

Big West: Long Beach State #81 (UCSB #62)

Colonial: William & Mary #109 (Hofstra #165)

Conference USA: Old Dominion #61 (Western Kentucky #55)
If OLD DOMINION does not win their conference tournament they would still BE ALIVE to earn an at-large bid. The Monarchs have gone 2-0 vs. Top 50 RPI teams including a win over LSU on a neutral court & a home win over VCU.

Horizon: Cleveland State #57 (Green Bay #90)

Ivy: Yale #28 (Harvard #68)

MAAC: Iona #146 (Canisius #175)

MAC: Buffalo #85 (Toledo #79)

MEAC: North Carolina Central #95 (Norfolk State #163)

Missouri Valley : Wichita State #6
If WICHITA STATE does not win their conference tournament they would still RECEIVE a bid, thus taking a spot away from the at-large field.
Need Wins: Northern Iowa #86

Mountain West: San Diego State #22
Need Wins: Colorado State #71

Northeast: St. Francis NY #159 (St. Francis PA #158)

Ohio Valley: Murray State #123 (Morehead State #84)

Pac 12: Arizona #5
Looking Good: Utah #12
Need Wins: Stanford #25, Washington #143, Oregon State #108, UCLA #32, Oregon #106

Patriot: Colgate #183 (Holy Cross #142)

SEC: Kentucky #1
Looking Good: Arkansas #27
Need Wins: Georgia #39, LSU #103, Tennessee #96, Texas A&M #44, Ole Miss #43, Alabama #51, South Carolina #34, Florida #20

Southern: Wofford #98 (Chattanooga #125)

Southland: Stephen F. Austin #69 (Sam Houston State #111)

SWAC: Texas Southern #179 (Southern #189)

Summit: Oral Roberts #120 (South Dakota State #152)

Sun Belt: Georgia Southern #114 (Georgia State #122)

West Coast: Gonzaga #10
If GONZAGA does not win their conference tournament they would still RECEIVE a bid, thus taking one away from the current at-large pool.
Need Wins: BYU #21, St Mary’s #48

WAC: New Mexico State #91 (Chicago State #190)

FIELD: 68

AUTOMATIC BIDS: 32

Looking Good: 15

Currently I project 47 of the 68 bids are earned.

Need Wins: 43

That leaves 43 teams that are in the mix for 21 open bids.

Keep in mind however that DOES NOT include the upsets we will see during Conference Tournament week where teams that are LOCKS from smaller conferences lose a game in their conference tournament and hence use an at-large bid on themselves.

For the remaining 21 open bids this is the way I see it currently, which will obviously be very fluid (listed in conference alphabetical order applying s-curve within conference):

Davidson
Dayton
Miami, Fla
NC State
Syracuse (last five IN)
West Virginia
Baylor
Oklahoma State (last five IN)
Seton Hall
Xavier (last five IN)
St. John’s (last five IN)
Michigan State
Iowa
Ohio State
Northern Iowa
Colorado State (last five IN)
Stanford
Washington
Georgia
LSU
BYU

FIRST FIVE OUT – alphabetical order by conference:

George Washington
Illinois
Michigan
Oregon State
UCLA

Multiple bid conferences (total of 47 bids in 11 conferences; 21 single bid conferences = 68 bids):

ACC (8)
B12 (7)
BE (7)
B10 (6)
P12 (4)
SEC (4)
A10 (3)
AAC (2)
MWC (2)
MVC (2)
WCC (2)

[StarDust Bum]

SBPI Ratings - (1/26/15)

January 26, 2015


Here is our second installment of the 2014-2015 College Basketball SportsBoss Power Index (SBPI) ratings covering action through Sunday January 25, 2015.

The SUM is my rating for each school and the RANK is rankings of each team’s SOS Adjusted performance.

The COMPARISON categories include:

KP - Ken Pomeroy’s Rankings
BPI - ESPN’s Basketball Power Index
RPI - Ratings Power Index
SAG - Jeff Sagarin’s Rankings
DUN - Dunkel Index Rankings

ADJUSTED RATINGS (AS OF 1/25/14)
Team SUM Rank KP BPI RPI SAG DUN
Kentucky 399.9 1 1 1 2 1 1
Kansas 395.9 2 11 10 1 10 18
Butler 385.5 3 22 25 17 17 32
Villanova 383.7 4 7 8 6 8 6
Duke 379.4 5 8 7 7 4 8
Baylor 374.9 6 15 19 16 16 19
Arizona 372.4 7 4 5 5 6 5
VCU 360.4 8 18 18 4 21 17
Wisconsin 355.3 9 6 4 8 5 3
Wichita State 351.9 10 9 13 13 13 20
Utah 348.2 11 5 9 11 7 11
Louisville 347.8 12 14 11 18 12 10
Gonzaga 347.7 13 3 3 9 3 4
Virginia 346.5 14 2 2 3 2 2
West Virginia 338.4 15 16 14 15 14 13
Florida 335.6 16 36 33 - - 23
Oklahoma State 332.6 17 29 - 34 31 29
North Carolina 331.4 18 10 6 10 9 7
Xavier 331.1 19 24 22 32 26 -
Providence 327.2 20 - - 20 30 -
San Diego State 327.0 21 26 35 27 33 -
Oklahoma 325.2 22 12 20 30 18 14
Brigham Young 322.6 23 - - - - 24
South Carolina 321.1 24 - - - - 36
Georgetown 318.6 25 23 17 12 22 -
North Carolina State 317.8 26 - 30 - 36 -
Michigan State 312.7 27 27 27 - 24 28
UCLA 309.8 28 - - - - -
Iowa 309.6 29 - - - - 30
Stanford 309.1 30 31 31 32 32 35
Arkansas 309.0 31 - 32 22 35 26
Illinois 307.6 32 - - - - -
Arizona State 307.6 33 - - - - -
Iowa State 307.3 34 25 23 21 20 15
Ohio State 303.3 35 20 15 - 15 12
Texas 302.2 36 17 26 25 19 21

I have included the Top 36 teams in the SBPI this week & will continue that format going forward. Why? I figured there are 32 automatic bids & 36 at-large bids given out on Selection Sunday – so including my Top 36 here can give a good feel for if your team has what it takes to potentially earn an at-large come mid-March.

Here are additional teams of note that did not make the SBPI Top 36 but were ranked inside Top 36 by at least one of other five sources:

#37 Seton Hall (DUN #27)
#40 Georgia (KP #28, BPI #21, RPI #24)
#41 Texas A&M (RPI #35)
#45 Ole Miss (KP #34)
#48 Davidson (KP #33, BPI #34, SAG #29)
#50 Miami, FL (SAG #25)
#56 Cincinnati (KP #32, RPI #28, DUN #31)
#58 Maryland (KP #30, BPI #24, RPI #14, SAG #23, DUN #16)
#66 SMU (KP #21, BPI #28, RPI #19, SAG #27, DUN #22)
#68 Syracuse (DUN #34)
#69 Indiana (RPI #31, SAG #34, DUN #33)
#72 Colorado State (RPI #29)
#75 Dayton (BPI #29, RPI #26, DUN #25)
#79 Northern Iowa (KP #19, BPI #16, RPI #23, SAG #28)
#90 LSU (KP #35, BPI #36)
#148 Notre Dame (KP #13, BPI #12, RPI #36, SAG #11, DUN #9)

Let’s take a closer look at Notre Dame as they are a big time outlier compared to the polls, other power indices & record. If you followed my NCAAF SBPI this season you will most likely draw comparisons between these Fighting Irish and the Florida State Seminoles, who I had ranked in the mid-50s most of the season – much lower obviously than any other poll or power index. Why is ND checking in so low? Strength of schedule is the culprit no doubt. I think the better question is to ask Ken Pomeroy how he can have the Irish ranked #13 with the following metrics, per his site:

Irish offense ranked #1 vs. the 173rd toughest schedule of opponent’s defense
Irish defense ranked #153 vs. the 284th toughest schedule of opponent’s offense

DOES THAT EQUAL Irish overall #13 vs. the 255th toughest schedule?

I do not see how those metrics add up to his ranking. And since his website is really the only one of the five sources I compare my metrics to that offers up some numbers/support behind their rankings I cannot compare others to mine. But it’s seems fairly obvious to me his support does not equal the ranking he gives Notre Dame.

New this week, but an analysis we showed in our NCAAF SBPI articles that people enjoyed, is the variance report that shows team’s movement over the last week.

Today we will show team’s that had a 50 spot or greater change in their ranking inclusive of all conferences:

CHANGE +/- 50 (AS OF 1/25/14)
Team Jan. 18 Jan. 25 Change
Prairie View A&M 176 257 (81)
Texas Christian 293 213 80
Southern 134 209 (75)
DePaul 200 134 66
Akron 191 136 55
Lamar 155 210 (55)
Idaho 194 247 (53)
North Carolina Central 72 125 (53)
Northern Colorado 297 244 53
Texas Tech 215 162 53
USC Upstate 216 269 (53)
Wagner 140 193 (53)
Norfolk State 129 179 (50)

As we can see most of the big moves were in the lower level conferences where a very strong or weak performance can impact a team’s full season metrics typically more than higher level conference teams.

Strength of conference & breakdown of Top 36 by conference:

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (AS OF 1/25/14)
Rank Conference Average Rating Top 36
1 Big East 304.9 5
2 Big 12 303.9 7
3 ACC 276.6 5
4 SEC 275.6 4
5 Big 10 273.5 5
6 Pac-12 268.5 5
7 WCC 253.6 2
8 A10 240.1 1
9 MVC 228.7 1
10 HORIZON 221.3 -
11 AAC 215.0 -
12 MAC 211.7 -
13 MWC 209.6 1

Listed above are the Top 13 conferences in the nation.

For this week, and moving forward, I have added in a new column to this portion of the article that shows the average rating of every team in a conference. To further clarify these figures, for example, the Big East, whom retains the #1 spot again, has an average rating of 304.9 for the 10 teams in their conference.

By looking at the first matrix in this article we can see that 304.9 average rating would fall between the 34th best team in country Iowa State & the 35th best team in the country Ohio State. The Big 12 remains right on the heels of the Big East for the top conference in the country according to SBPI, falling just 1.0 short of taking over that spot. What is the biggest driver between these two conferences?

The bottom of the Big 12, namely Texas Tech (#162) & TCU (#213) are both rated well below the worst Big East team DePaul (#134). In addition the 2nd worst Big East team is Creighton, who checks in at #65 with Marquette just one spot ahead of the Blue Jays at #64. So measuring top to bottom the Big East is the strongest conference in the country – a lot of which is driven by only having one awful team in the SBPI while many other conferences have multiple teams below DePaul.

Next up let’s look at the Top 20 non-Power 6 (ACC, B12, B10, BE, P12, SEC) conference teams:

ADJUSTED RATINGS - TOP 20 NON-POWER 6 (AS OF 1/25/14)
Team SUM Rank KP BPI RPI SAG DUN
VCU 360.4 8 18 18 4 21 17
Wichita State 351.9 10 9 13 13 13 20
Gonzaga 347.7 13 3 3 9 3 4
San Diego State 327.0 21 26 35 27 33 -
Brigham Young 322.6 23 - - - - 24
Yale 294.6 39 - - - - -
Illinois State 288.4 42 - - - - -
Saint Mary's 280.7 46 - - - - -
Davidson 279.2 48 33 34 - 29 -
Boise State 274.5 49 - - - - -
Old Dominion 272.3 52 - - - - -
Temple 272.2 53 - - - - -
Tulsa 270.3 54 - - - - -
Cincinnati 269.4 56 32 - 28 - 31
Stephen F. Austin 266.5 60 - - - - -
La Salle 260.8 62 - - - - -
George Washington 260.1 63 - - - - -
Southern Methodist 259.1 66 21 28 19 27 22
Western Kentucky 259.0 67 - - - - -
Cleveland State 257.3 70 - - - - -

Examining this group closer as far as NCAA Tournament at-large bids go it’s very unlikely any teams outside the Top 5 (VCU, Wichita State, Gonzaga, San Diego State & BYU) would earn an at-large bid should they lose in their conference tournament – especially if that loss came before the championship game. And of those five the top 3 are locks to be dancing with or without the automatic bid; San Diego State would be likely to earn a bid but not a lock should they lose in their conference tournament; BYU likely needs to at least reach the championship game in the WCC Tournament to feel good about their chances. Keep in mind there is of course a lot of games to be played – but for these teams to earn at-large bids a lot of their work, for good or bad, was completed in the OOC portion of their schedule.

[StarDust Bum]

Cornhuskers visit Ann Arbor

January 26, 2015


Nebraska Cornhuskers (12-7) at Michigan Wolverines (12-8)

Crisler Center - Ann Arbor, MI
Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Michigan -4

Michigan looks to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss on Saturday when it hosts Nebraska on Tuesday night.

John Beilein’s team really struggled in the non-conference season, but the Wolverines (7-10-1 ATS, 11-6 UNDER) have started to play their best basketball of the season. On Saturday, Michigan had a chance to win against double-digit-favorite Wisconsin, taking the Badgers to overtime before falling 69-64. This is not a good sign for Tuesday, considering the Wolverines are 1-5 ATS following an SU loss this season.

The Cornhuskers (6-9-1 ATS, 8-4 UNDER) have won four of their past five games (4-0-1 ATS), including a 79-77 win over 2-point favorite Michigan State on Saturday. They haven't been bothered by tired legs either, going 9-1 SU (4-4 ATS) when playing with 0-to-2 days' rest this season.

But Nebraska is not a good road team at 1-4 SU (1-3-1 ATS), where it has scored a meager 60.8 PPG. It has also yet to win in this series since joining the Big Ten, going 0-4 SU, but 2-2 ATS.

The game in Ann Arbor last season was completely dominated by Michigan who led 49-21 at half and cruised to a 79-50 win. SG Caris LeVert was outstanding for the Wolverines with 16 points (5-of-7 FG), seven rebounds and five assists, but he suffered a season-ending foot injury earlier this month.

The Cornhuskers have a subpar offense this season at 65.3 PPG on 43.4% FG (30.5% threes) and average a meager 10.1 APG with 13.2 TOPG. The defense of Nebraska has helped the team overcome its offensive struggles, as it limits opponents to 61.4 PPG on 38.1% FG (30.0% threes). The biggest reason for the offensive struggles is the inability to share the ball, and the fact that the Huskers have not been able to find a third scorer.

SG Terran Petteway (19.6 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.2 SPG) and SF Shavon Shields (16.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.2 APG, 1.2 SPG) are one of the best scoring duos in the country, but they are both much better when they are driving to the hoop. Petteway was awful in Ann Arbor last season (5 points, 2-of-10 FG, 4 turnovers) and Shields played well offensively (team-high 13 points), but contributed only one rebound and zero assists in his 28 minutes.

PF Walter Pitchford (7.2 PPG, 4.9 RPG) is a guy that has to step up if the Cornhuskers are going to make a run in Big Ten play. Despite his 6-foot-10 frame, he has the ability to shoot from long range, but after knocking down 41% threes last season, he's dropped to a 31% three-point clip this season. Pitchford is also coming off a game where he failed to score in four minutes before being ejected for throwing an elbow. If Pitchford, whose hometown is Grand Rapids, MI, cannot stay on the court, it will be very difficult to beat Michigan.

It has been a real struggle for the Wolverines' offense this season, and it has gotten even more difficult with top scorer, SG Caris LeVert (14.9 PPG), missing the remainder of the season due to an injury.

Michigan scores only 64.9 PPG on 41.2% FG, but makes 8.2 threes per game on a strong 35.4% clip. Its assists are low (12.2 APG), but this team has an outstanding 9.9 turnovers per game. The team plays solid defense with just 62.1 PPG allowed, but opponents are shooting 43.8% FG and 34.5% threes.

SG Zak Irvin (13.6 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 36% threes) is emerging as the go-to guy on the offense to fill in for LeVert. He is more of a slasher, but he is continuing to develop a shot from the three-point line. He came off the bench against the Cornhuskers last season at home and scored 16 points (4-of-9 threes) in just 19 minutes of action.

Sophomore PG Derrick Walton Jr. (10.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.2 SPG) has done a nice job of keeping the team together as a leader. He does a nice job of limiting his turnovers (1.8 TOPG), which is huge for a player who constantly has the ball in his hands. But he needs to do a better job finding the open man with only five assists and eight turnovers in the past three games combined.

Freshman PF Ricky Doyle (6.8 PPG, 65% FG, 3.0 RPG in 18.2 MPG) is going to have to step up and become a third scorer for the team. He has great size in the paint at 6-foot9, 245 pounds, and does a nice job of getting position on the block. However, he has to become a much better rebounder for a team that has really struggled to win the battle on the boards with a minus-2.0 RPG margin for the season.

Michigan cannot afford to give up many second opportunities, especially considering it will need as many possessions as it can get in order to raise its scoring average.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- NBA games in Manhattan/Brooklyn were postponed Monday night because of the blizzard in that area. One game will be made up in March, one in April.

-- Washington Huskies dismissed center Robert Upshaw for off-court reasons; he was the #1 shot blocker in America.

-- Alex Rodriguez cashes a $6M bonus when he hits six more home runs; not at all surprising that his slimy employers don't want to pay it, since they can't cash in on it because ARod used PEDs. Pay the man!!!!

-- Iowa State 89, Texas 86-- Longhorns made 10-14 behind arc in second half to make this a much closer game than it was most of way.

-- North Carolina 93, Syracuse 83-- Orangemen used their subs a total of 23:00, got no points, two rebounds from them. How do they not have more depth?

-- Reds signed C Devin Mesoraco to a 4-year, $28M extension. Good catchers are hard to find and are in great demand.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Some of the many Super Bowl props.......

These are some of the many wagering options from a 43-page document that lists all of the Super Bowl prop bets for Sunday's game......

13) Will there be a score in the first 6:30 of the game?

12) Will there be a score in the last 2:00 of the first half?
Yes: -$250.......No -$210

11) Over/under totals for game on various thing.......
Sacks by both teams: 4.....field goals: 3.5.........punts: 8.5

10) Over/under on longest field goal made in game: 44.5
Over/under for longest touchdown play of game is also 44.5.

9) Over/under on total amount of yardage of made FG's: 111.5
Over/under on total amount of yardage of TDs scored: 78.5.

8) Will the largest lead of game be over or under 13.5 points?
Over: minus-$160............Under: plus-$140

7) Will there be a TD scored by special teams or either defense?
Yes: plus-$155.........No: minus-$175

6) Over/under totals for passing yardage by each QB:
Brady: 262.5 yards..............................Wilson: 225.5 yards

5) Over/under totals for longest completion by each QB:
Brady: 34.5 yards..............................Wilson: 37.5 yards

4) Over/under for points scored by each team: Patriots 24, Seattle 23.5

3) If you want to bet which starting QB will have more completions, Brady is favored by 6.5 completions.

If you want to bet which QB will pass for more yards, Brady is favored by 40.5.

2) Seattle is a 47.5-yard favorite in total rushing yards for each team.

1) Over/under of the jersey number of the player who scored the first TD:
over 29.5: minus-$130........under 29.5: plus-$110

Good luck Sunday; hope its a great day for you.....

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

West Virginia at Kansas State
The Mountaineers (3-1 SU on the road) head to Kansas State tonight to face a Wildcats team that is 25-6-2 ATS in its last 33 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Kansas State is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 27

Game 513-514: Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 60.495; Virginia Tech 52.312
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4)

Game 515-516: West Virginia at Kansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 68.431; Kansas State 72.377
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 4
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-1 1/2)

Game 517-518: Nebraska at Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 63.539; Michigan 65.254
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 11/2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+4 1/2)

Game 519-520: St. Joseph's at LaSalle (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 55.997; LaSalle 58.275
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 6
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+6)

Game 521-522: Xavier at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 65.855; Georgetown 68.285
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 5
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+5)

Game 523-524: George Washington at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 62.367; VCU 66.779
Dunkel Line: VCU by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 8
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+8)

Game 525-526: Ohio at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 50.714; Eastern Michigan 58.810
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 8
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-5 1/2)

Game 527-528: Central Michigan at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 56.763; Kent State 62.117
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-3)

Game 529-530: Miami (OH) at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 47.502; Toledo 63.365
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 16
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-13 1/2)

Game 531-532: Western Michigan at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 54.798; Buffalo 64.183
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2)

Game 533-534: Ball State at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 52.539; Akron 59.633
Dunkel Line: Akron by 7
Vegas Line: Akron by 10
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10)

Game 535-536: Northern Illinois at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 53.920; Bowling Green 59.685
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowlin Green by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9 1/2)

Game 537-538: Vanderbilt at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 62.570; Georgia 64.735
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 2
Vegas Line: Georgia by 6
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+6)

Game 539-540: Tulsa at Tulane (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 63.157; Tulane 60.280
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 3
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+5 1/2)

Game 541-542: Indiana State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 52.866; Evansville 62.445
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Evansville by 7
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-7)

Game 543-544: Wyoming at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 60.438; Utah State 56.545
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 4
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-1 1/2)

Game 545-546: Tennessee at Arkansas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 62.577; Arkansas 67.492
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 5
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+9 1/2)

Game 547-548: Florida at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 70.676; Alabama 68.679
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+2)

Game 549-550: DePaul at Providence (PPD)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 551-552: Michigan State at Rutgers (PPD)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 553-554: Baylor at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 68.268; Oklahoma State 74.599
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-4)

Game 555-556: Texas A&M at Auburn (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 64.204; Auburn 59.684
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-2)

Game 557-558: Fresno State at San Diego State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 55.413; San Diego State 65.568
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 10
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+14)

Game 559-560: UNLV at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 58.543; Nevada 60.298
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Colorado State at Boise State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 65.301; Boise State 63.853
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+2 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 27

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PITTSBURGH (13 - 7) at VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 11) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W VIRGINIA (16 - 3) at KANSAS ST (12 - 8) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEBRASKA (12 - 7) at MICHIGAN (12 - 8) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 77-111 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 77-111 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 81-113 ATS (-43.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in January games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ST JOSEPHS (8 - 10) at LASALLE (10 - 9) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ST JOSEPHS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
LASALLE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
LASALLE is 2-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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XAVIER (13 - 7) at GEORGETOWN (14 - 5) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 185-146 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 148-185 ATS (-55.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 2-1 against the spread versus GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 2-1 straight up against GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GEORGE WASHINGTON (16 - 4) at VA COMMONWEALTH (16 - 3) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-1 against the spread versus GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-1 straight up against GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OHIO U (7 - 10) at E MICHIGAN (12 - 7) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OHIO U is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
E MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
E MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in January games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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C MICHIGAN (14 - 3) at KENT ST (14 - 5) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
KENT ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIAMI OHIO (7 - 12) at TOLEDO (11 - 8) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
TOLEDO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
TOLEDO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W MICHIGAN (12 - 6) at BUFFALO (12 - 6) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BALL ST (7 - 10) at AKRON (13 - 6) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 3-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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N ILLINOIS (8 - 9) at BOWLING GREEN (12 - 5) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all home games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 74-46 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VANDERBILT (11 - 8) at GEORGIA (13 - 5) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TULSA (14 - 5) at TULANE (13 - 7) - 1/27/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 50-85 ATS (-43.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
TULANE is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in January games since 1997.
TULANE is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TULANE is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 4-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 3-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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INDIANA ST (10 - 10) at EVANSVILLE (15 - 5) - 1/27/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 4-2 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA ST is 5-1 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WYOMING (17 - 3) at UTAH ST (11 - 8) - 1/27/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TENNESSEE (12 - 6) at ARKANSAS (15 - 4) - 1/27/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARKANSAS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 105-72 ATS (+25.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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FLORIDA (10 - 9) at ALABAMA (13 - 6) - 1/27/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 4-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BAYLOR (15 - 4) at OKLAHOMA ST (13 - 6) - 1/27/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 5-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS A&M (13 - 5) at AUBURN (10 - 9) - 1/27/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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FRESNO ST (10 - 10) at SAN DIEGO ST (15 - 5) - 1/27/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 58-87 ATS (-37.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UNLV (11 - 9) at NEVADA (6 - 12) - 1/27/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
UNLV is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 4-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 3-2 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLORADO ST (18 - 2) at BOISE ST (14 - 6) - 1/27/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
COLORADO ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
BOISE ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-2 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 27

Pitt was +9 in turnovers (20-11) in 62-57 double OT home win LY over Virginia Tech, game they trailed by 4 with 0:40 left. Panthers are 3-4 in last seven games, but lost last two to Duke/Louisville; they're 1-2 on road in ACC, with only win by point at BC. Tech lost 50-47 to Virginia here Sunday; Hokies are 0-6 in ACC but 4-2 vs spread, with home losses by 2-25-3 points. ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-8 vs spread.

Kansas State won three of four vs West Virginia in Big X play, winning both meetings here by 10-22 points. Wildcats won five of last six games, are 2-1-1 as home favorites, winning by 5-7-2-10 points. West Virginia is 2-2 in last four games, losing last road game by 27 at Texas, after winning first two road games at TCU/Tech. K-State is 89-54 in league play since Huggins coached here 8 years ago, 28-52 before he got there. Big X favorites are 12-3 vs spread in games with spread of less than 4 points.

Michigan won all four Big 14 games with Nebraska, winning by 15-29 in two games played here; Wolverines are 2-1 as home favorites, winning by 8-5-2 points, with OT loss to Wisconsin Saturday. Nebraska won four of last five games; they're 0-2 on Big 14 road, pushing both games in losses by 11-15 points. Huskers are shooting only 29.9% behind arc in Big 14 games. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-10 vs spread.

LaSalle is 5-3 in last eight games with St Joe's, winning two of last three here; Explorers are 0-2 as home favorites, 2-4 SU in conference, winning by 13-11 points. St Joe's lost to a bad Penn team Saturday; they're 0-3 on A-14 road, losing by 3-15-9 points- Hawks lost six of last eight overall. LaSalle's only A-14 home loss was to UMass; they've got second-worst eFG% in conference. A-14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-3.

Georgetown won six of last seven games since 70-53 loss at Xavier (-5) in Big East opener; Hoyas are 4-0 at home in conference, 1-2 as favorites, with wins by 15-6-2-20 points. Xavier is 0-3 as road underdogs, losing road games by 3-12-7-3 points- home side won all eight of their games in conference. Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 5-9 vs spread. Home side won both series games LY, with Xavier losing by 22 here and winning by 13 at home.

VCU is 3-1 vs George Washington in A-14 games, winning by 27-17 in games played here, by 19 in A-14 tourney LY. Rams won last 11 games, last three by 6 or less points; they're 0-2 as home favorites, winning by 6-15 points- they're 1-4 vs spread in last five games. Colonials won last four and 10 of last 11 games; they're 1-2 as underdogs this season, all in non-conference games. GW is 2-1 on A-14 road, losing at LaSalle.A-14 home favorites of 8 or less points are 11-5 vs spread.

Kent State won 13 of last 14 games with Central Michigan, winning last seven here, last three by 8+ points. Chippewas are 4-2 in MAC, 1-2 on road, with losses by 18 at Ball St., 6 at Akron. Kent won/covered their last five games; they're 3-1 as home favorites, winning by 6-10-7 points after loss to Bowling Green in opener. MAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 7-4 vs spread. Central is making 42.6% of its 3's; Flashes are leading MAC in defending the 3-point shot.

Tulsa is surprising 7-0 and atop AAC in their first year in league; they're 4-0 on AAC road with three wins by 7 or less points. Hurricane force a TO 22% of time in league, but shoot only 25.3% on arc. Tulane lost four of last six games; they're 1-2 at home, with its only win in OT over USF- they lost to Memphis by 2, at UCF in triple OT. AAC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 4-2 vs spread. Tulsa covered five of last six games.

Wyoming won its last two games in OT- they've won nine of last ten; its only loss was at home to San Diego State. Cowboys are 3-0 on road in Mountain West, winning by 5-6-5 points. Utah State lost three of its last five games, with losses by 9-6-2 points. Home side won both Wyoming-Utah State games LY; Cowboys lost by 11 here, won by 17 in Laramie. Wyoming scored 53 or less points in all three of its losses. Mountain West home underdogs are 4-6-1 vs spread.

Tennessee won five of last seven games with Arkansas but lost last two in this gym by 3-13 points; home side won last five series games. Vols won three of last four games,. are 3-0 on SEC road, allowed 53.3 ppg in wins by 14-8-4 points. Arkansas won its last two games by total of three points; four of their six SEC games were decided by 5 or less. SEC home favorites of 7+ points are 6-8 vs spread. Tennessee turns ball over 22.8% of time in SEC play, not good against Razorbacks' pressure.

Florida won its last nine games with Alabama, winning last four here, but those Gators aren't these Gators. Florida is 10-9, 3-3 in SEC, losing last three games, with losses at Georgia/Ole Miss- their only win in last four road games was by 4 at South Carolina. SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-9-1 vs spread. Crimson Tide lost three of its last four games, with three of those four decided by two points. Bama won two of three SEC home games, losing only to Kentucky.

Baylor won five of last seven games with Oklahoma State, winning two of last three visits here; Bears won three of last four games, are 1-2 away from home, losing by 10 at Oklahoma, 2 at K-State with win at TCU in OT. Cowboys lost three of last four games; they're 3-0 as Big X home favorites, winning home games by 14-11-20 points. Home teams are 6-1 vs spread in their conference games. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-4 against the spread.

Home side won six of seven Boise State-Colorado State games; Rams lost last three visits here by 17-11-20 points. Boise won/covered its last four games, beating UNLV/San Jose at home. Rams also won four in row, with win over San Diego State Saturday; they're 2-1 on MW road, losing by 13 at New Mexico, winning at Air Force/San Jose- four of their five wins on road this season were by 5 or less points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 2-6 vs spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Tuesday, January 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
George Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of George Washington's last 6 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing George Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Commonwealth's last 6 games when playing George Washington

See more trends!
JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. AKRON
Ball State is 1-23 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Ball State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Akron
Akron is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. KENT STATE
Central Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Central Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Kent State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kent State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
OHIO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Ohio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 8 games when playing Ohio
Eastern Michigan is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ohio

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. GEORGIA
Vanderbilt is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games
Georgia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. LA SALLE
Saint Joseph's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against La Salle
La Salle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
La Salle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
TULSA vs. TULANE
Tulsa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Tulsa
Tulane is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MICHIGAN
Nebraska is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Nebraska is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. TOLEDO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 6 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Miami (Ohio) is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami (Ohio)
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toledo's last 11 games when playing Miami (Ohio)

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. BUFFALO
No trends available
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Northern Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Northern Illinois
Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
XAVIER vs. GEORGETOWN
Xavier is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Xavier is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgetown's last 6 games at home
Georgetown is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

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JANUARY 27, 7:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. KANSAS STATE
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games at home

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JANUARY 27, 8:00 PM
INDIANA STATE vs. EVANSVILLE
Indiana State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Evansville
Indiana State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Evansville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana State
Evansville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana State

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. AUBURN
Texas A&M is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas A&M's last 13 games on the road
Auburn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing Texas A&M

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
DEPAUL vs. PROVIDENCE
DePaul is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of DePaul's last 5 games when playing on the road against Providence
Providence is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against DePaul
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Providence's last 5 games when playing at home against DePaul

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. ARKANSAS
Tennessee is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games
Arkansas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Baylor is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games at home

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. ALABAMA
Florida is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Florida is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Alabama is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
WYOMING vs. UTAH STATE
Wyoming is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Utah State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

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JANUARY 27, 9:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. RUTGERS
Michigan State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games at home
Rutgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

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JANUARY 27, 9:05 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Fresno State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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JANUARY 27, 10:00 PM
UNLV vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNLV's last 7 games when playing on the road against Nevada
UNLV is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nevada
Nevada is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing UNLV
Nevada is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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JANUARY 27, 10:00 PM
SAN DIEGO CHRISTIAN vs. CS BAKERSFIELD
No trends available
CS Bakersfield is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
CS Bakersfield is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

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JANUARY 27, 11:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. BOISE STATE
Colorado State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Boise State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games