NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, January 22
Home side won both Xavier-Providence games LY; Musketeers lost by 6 in their visit here. Xavier is 0-2 as Big East road dog, losing all three road games by 3-12-13 points. Home side won all six of their league contests. Friars won three of last four games, are 2-1 as home favorites, with wins at home by 12-3 points. Xavier has worst eFG% defense in league. Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
DePaul is 4-2 in Big East (6-0 vs spread) after being 10-98 the previous six years; they've split last four games with Seton Hall, but lost last five visits here; four of five losses here were by 8+ points. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Pirates' league games; Hall lost two of last three games, with last two home games both going OT. DePaul is 2-0 as road dog, they've lost league games by 17-6 points. Big East home favorites of 9+ points are 2-4 vs spread.
Alabama won five of last six games with Arkansas, winning five of last six visits here- they lost 65-58 here LY. Both sides last two games; Tide is 2-0 as SEC road dog, Hogs are 1-1 as home favorites, losing 96-82 to Ole Miss in last game Saturday. SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-8-2 vs spread. Alabama plays slowest tenpo in SEC, makes 27.5% of 3's, worst in SEC. Arkansas forces turnovers 23.1% of time, but has worst defensive eFG% in league.
Ohio State is 17-1 in last 18 games with Northwestern, winning last nine, including last four here by 1-2-10-16 points. Buckeyes are 2-2 as Big 14 favorites- they lost last two road games by 3-9 points. Northwestern lost last four games, last three by 7-5-2 points- they're 0-2 as home dogs, as visitor covered all five of their league games. Wildcats force turnovers an inadequate 9.5% of time. Big 14 home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread.
NC State won six of its last nine games with Miami, beating Hurricanes by 9 in ACC tourney LY; Wolfpack won last three visits here by total of 11 points. State is 6-0 vs spread in ACC, 2-0 as dog; their ACC losses are by 10-2 points. Miami won at Duke last week, then lost tough game at Notre Dame by 5; three of their four ACC games were won by 5 or less or in OT. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-2 vs spread.
Maryland/Indiana both won their last three games. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Hoosiers' league games- they won both their home games by 3 points each. Maryland is 2-1 on Big 14 road, with only loss at Illinois by 7. Terps are shooting only 39.2% inside arc, last in league, but 35.5% on arc, #2 in league. Big 14 home teams are 12-8 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Indiana foes shoot only 29.2% from the arc.
UCLA won 16 of last 18 games with Oregon State, winning seven of last eight visits here, but Beavers are rejuvenated under coach Tinkle, holding teams to 26.6% from arc while forcing turnovers 19.4% of time. UCLA won its last three games; they're 1-3 on road, with only win a busride to USC. Oregon State are 2-0 at home in Pac-12; they allowed 56 points or less in each of last four games. Pac-12 home teams are 9-3 vs spread in games with spread of less than 5 points.
Arizona won its last nine games with Stanford, taking last four here by 2-9-13-3 points. Wildcats got upset at Oregon State; all four of their Pac-12 wins are by 14+ points, with win at Oregon. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-4 vs spread. Stanford won seven of last eight games, with only loss at UCLA in double OT; they swept Washington schools in two conference home games. Arizona is 2-2 overall on road, winning at UTEP, losing at UNLV- they're 9-1 vs top 100 teams.
Western Kentucky us 5-0 in Sun Belt, upsetting Old Dominion at home, then sweeping Miami swing by total of 10 points last week. Hilltoppers are holding teams to 28% from arc. UTEP is making 41.7% if its 3's in league play./ Miners won six of last seven games; they're 4-1 in C-USA with all four wins by 9+- their only league loss was at home. C-USA home teams are 8-4 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points.
Gonzaga won its last six games with St Mary's, winning last three here by 14-5-22 points. Bulldogs played five of first seven WCC tilts on road; they're 1-1 as WCC home favorites, winning by 31-22 points, but failed to cover last three games overall. St Mary's won/covered all seven of its league games; they're 2-0 as underdogs this year, covering vs Creighton, St John's. WCC double digit home favorites are 1-5 vs spread.
Iona won five in row, 11 of last 13 games with Rider, winning four of last five visits here, winning by 20-4-13-3 points. Gaels won six of last seven games, are 2-2 on MAAC road, with wins by 1-14. Rider won five of its last six games, with last three all decided by 3 or less points. Broncs are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time, tops in league. MAAC home teams are 5-11-1 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.
Eastern Washington is 3-2 in last five games with Northern Colorado, as last two meetings here both went to OT. Eagles are 0-2 as road favorites, winning by 6-8 points; road teams covered four of their five conference games. Bears won last four games; favorites covered four of its five games n Big Sky play. Northern is 2-1 on road, with only loss at Montana by 18. Big Sky home favorites of 7+ points are 2-7 against the spread.
Eastern Illinois won its last nine games, going 6-0 in OVC despite being underdog in three of six OVC games. Murray State won 12 of its last 14 games with Eastern, winning five of last six visits here, with wins by 6-9-13-33-4 points. Racers are 3-0 as OVC road favorites, winning by 9-16-27 points; they're making 39.2% from arc. Panthers are forcing turnovers 25.7% of time in OVC games. OVC home underdogs are 2-8 vs spread.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, January 22
Home side won both Xavier-Providence games LY; Musketeers lost by 6 in their visit here. Xavier is 0-2 as Big East road dog, losing all three road games by 3-12-13 points. Home side won all six of their league contests. Friars won three of last four games, are 2-1 as home favorites, with wins at home by 12-3 points. Xavier has worst eFG% defense in league. Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
DePaul is 4-2 in Big East (6-0 vs spread) after being 10-98 the previous six years; they've split last four games with Seton Hall, but lost last five visits here; four of five losses here were by 8+ points. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Pirates' league games; Hall lost two of last three games, with last two home games both going OT. DePaul is 2-0 as road dog, they've lost league games by 17-6 points. Big East home favorites of 9+ points are 2-4 vs spread.
Alabama won five of last six games with Arkansas, winning five of last six visits here- they lost 65-58 here LY. Both sides last two games; Tide is 2-0 as SEC road dog, Hogs are 1-1 as home favorites, losing 96-82 to Ole Miss in last game Saturday. SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-8-2 vs spread. Alabama plays slowest tenpo in SEC, makes 27.5% of 3's, worst in SEC. Arkansas forces turnovers 23.1% of time, but has worst defensive eFG% in league.
Ohio State is 17-1 in last 18 games with Northwestern, winning last nine, including last four here by 1-2-10-16 points. Buckeyes are 2-2 as Big 14 favorites- they lost last two road games by 3-9 points. Northwestern lost last four games, last three by 7-5-2 points- they're 0-2 as home dogs, as visitor covered all five of their league games. Wildcats force turnovers an inadequate 9.5% of time. Big 14 home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread.
NC State won six of its last nine games with Miami, beating Hurricanes by 9 in ACC tourney LY; Wolfpack won last three visits here by total of 11 points. State is 6-0 vs spread in ACC, 2-0 as dog; their ACC losses are by 10-2 points. Miami won at Duke last week, then lost tough game at Notre Dame by 5; three of their four ACC games were won by 5 or less or in OT. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-2 vs spread.
Maryland/Indiana both won their last three games. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Hoosiers' league games- they won both their home games by 3 points each. Maryland is 2-1 on Big 14 road, with only loss at Illinois by 7. Terps are shooting only 39.2% inside arc, last in league, but 35.5% on arc, #2 in league. Big 14 home teams are 12-8 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Indiana foes shoot only 29.2% from the arc.
UCLA won 16 of last 18 games with Oregon State, winning seven of last eight visits here, but Beavers are rejuvenated under coach Tinkle, holding teams to 26.6% from arc while forcing turnovers 19.4% of time. UCLA won its last three games; they're 1-3 on road, with only win a busride to USC. Oregon State are 2-0 at home in Pac-12; they allowed 56 points or less in each of last four games. Pac-12 home teams are 9-3 vs spread in games with spread of less than 5 points.
Arizona won its last nine games with Stanford, taking last four here by 2-9-13-3 points. Wildcats got upset at Oregon State; all four of their Pac-12 wins are by 14+ points, with win at Oregon. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-4 vs spread. Stanford won seven of last eight games, with only loss at UCLA in double OT; they swept Washington schools in two conference home games. Arizona is 2-2 overall on road, winning at UTEP, losing at UNLV- they're 9-1 vs top 100 teams.
Western Kentucky us 5-0 in Sun Belt, upsetting Old Dominion at home, then sweeping Miami swing by total of 10 points last week. Hilltoppers are holding teams to 28% from arc. UTEP is making 41.7% if its 3's in league play./ Miners won six of last seven games; they're 4-1 in C-USA with all four wins by 9+- their only league loss was at home. C-USA home teams are 8-4 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points.
Gonzaga won its last six games with St Mary's, winning last three here by 14-5-22 points. Bulldogs played five of first seven WCC tilts on road; they're 1-1 as WCC home favorites, winning by 31-22 points, but failed to cover last three games overall. St Mary's won/covered all seven of its league games; they're 2-0 as underdogs this year, covering vs Creighton, St John's. WCC double digit home favorites are 1-5 vs spread.
Iona won five in row, 11 of last 13 games with Rider, winning four of last five visits here, winning by 20-4-13-3 points. Gaels won six of last seven games, are 2-2 on MAAC road, with wins by 1-14. Rider won five of its last six games, with last three all decided by 3 or less points. Broncs are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time, tops in league. MAAC home teams are 5-11-1 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.
Eastern Washington is 3-2 in last five games with Northern Colorado, as last two meetings here both went to OT. Eagles are 0-2 as road favorites, winning by 6-8 points; road teams covered four of their five conference games. Bears won last four games; favorites covered four of its five games n Big Sky play. Northern is 2-1 on road, with only loss at Montana by 18. Big Sky home favorites of 7+ points are 2-7 against the spread.
Eastern Illinois won its last nine games, going 6-0 in OVC despite being underdog in three of six OVC games. Murray State won 12 of its last 14 games with Eastern, winning five of last six visits here, with wins by 6-9-13-33-4 points. Racers are 3-0 as OVC road favorites, winning by 9-16-27 points; they're making 39.2% from arc. Panthers are forcing turnovers 25.7% of time in OVC games. OVC home underdogs are 2-8 vs spread.
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