MLB 2018 Season Long Thread Thru the World Series / Picks,Trends,News Etc. !!

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s games

National League

Pirates (37-41) @ Mets (31-45)
Kuhl is 1-2, 6.98 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 8-7
5-inning record: 6-7-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-15

Matz is 1-1, 4.42 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 7-7.
5-inning record: 5-8-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-14

Pittsburgh lost five of its last six games; over is 4-0 in their last four road games. Mets are 7-26 in their last 33 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Diamondbacks (44-34) @ Marlins (32-47)
Godley is 3-0, 3.44 in his last three starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 9-6.
5-inning record: 8-7. Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15

Hernandez is 0-3, 4.50 in four starts (under 3-1). Team in his starts: 1-3.
5-inning record: 1-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4

Arizona is 8-2 in its last ten road games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 road games. Marlins are 9-5 in their last 14 games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Reds (32-46) @ Braves (45-32)
Harvey is 1-3, 6.26 in his last five starts (over 3-3-2). Team in his starts: 4-4
5-inning record: 4-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-8

Sanchez is 2-1, 2.96 in his last four starts (under 4-2-1). Team in his starts: 5-2
5-inning record: 3-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7

Reds won seven of their last eight games; under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Atlanta lost three of its last five games; five of Braves’ last six games went over the total.

Cubs (42-34) @ Dodgers (42-35)
Lester is 5-0, 1.4 in his last five starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Team in his starts: 12-3
5-inning record: 9-2-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Stripling is 6-1, 2.05 in his last seven starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 6-4
5-inning record: 7-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-10

Cubs lost their last six road games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

Rockies (38-40) @ Giants (40-39)
Bettis is 1-0, 8.36 in his last eight starts; his last four went over. Team in his starts: 9-6
5-inning record: 13-1-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-14

Holland is 2-1, 3.38 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 7-8
5-inning record: 5-7-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15

Colorado lost five of its last seven road games; they’re 10-3 in road series openers. Over is 16-3 in their last 19 games. Giants won five of their last six games; they’re 8-4 in home series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games.

American League

A’s (41-38) @ Tigers (36-43)
Montas is 4-1, 2.94 in five starts (over 4-1). Team in his starts: 4-1.
5-inning record: 4-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Hardy is 3-1, 3.26 in his last five starts (under 5-2). Team in his starts: 4-3.
5-inning record: 5-1-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-7

A’s won seven of their last nine games; over is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Detroit lost its last six games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Mariners (48-31) @ Orioles (23-54)
Paxton is 0-1, 12.27 in his last two starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 10-6
5-inning record: 7-6-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

Gausman is 0-4, 6.27 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). Team in his starts: 4-11
5-inning record: 6-7-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15

Seattle lost six of its last eight games; over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 road games. Orioles split their last eight games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Angels (41-38) @ Red Sox (52-27)
Lamb is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts (over 2-0). Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 2-0. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2

Price is 6-1, 2.86 in his last eight starts (under 6-2). Team in his starts: 10-5
5-inning record: 6-7-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15

Angels lost their last three games; they’re 6-6 in road series openers. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Boston won three of its last four games; they’re 9-3 in home series openers. Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine home games.

Blue Jays (37-41) @ Astros (52-28)
Borucki is making his MLB debut; he is 6-5, 3.27 in 13 AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0.
5-inning record: 0-0. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

Morton is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Team in his starts: 10-5.
5-inning record: 9-4-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15

Blue Jays won seven of their last ten games; over is 6-4 in their last ten games. Houston is 15-3 in its last 18 games; under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Twins (34-40) @ White Sox (26-51)
Lynn is 4-1, 1.98 in his last six starts (under 5-1). Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 5-6-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-14

Lopez is 1-1, 3.80 in his last four starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 4-11
5-inning record: 7-5-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15

Minnesota lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-8 in road series openers. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. White Sox lost nine of their last 11 games; they’re 4-8 in home series openers. Chicago’s last five games went over the total.

Interleague

New York (51-25) @ Philadelphia (41-35)
Severino is 6-1, 2.44 in his last eight starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 14-2
5-inning record: 12-2-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Arrieta is 0-3, 9.15 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Team in his starts: 6-9
5-inning record: 8-4-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-15

New York lost five of its last seven road games; under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games. Philly won six of its last nine games; over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Nationals (41-36) @ Rays (38-40)
Scherzer is 2-2, 2.00 in his last five starts (under 5-0). Team in his starts: 12-4
5-inning record: 10-5-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-16

Eovaldi is 0-4, 6.17 in his last four starts (under 4-1). Team in his starts: 1-4.
5-inning record: 2-2-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5

Washington is 5-10 in its last 15 games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Tampa Bay won its last seven home games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Padres (35-46) @ Rangers (35-45)
Ross is 0-2, 3.93 in his last three starts (under 10-5). Team in his starts: 9-6
5-inning record: 8-5-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-15

Bibens-Dirks is 1-1, 5.60 in three starts (over 2-1). Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3

Padres lost seven of its last eight games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Texas won eight of its last nine games; over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Royals (26-54) @ Brewers (45-32)
Junis is 0-5, 6.30 in his last five starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 7-8
5-inning record: 7-4-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15

Peralta is 2-0, 2.30 in three starts, which were all on road (under 2-1). Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 2-0-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3

Royals are 3-17 in their last 20 games, 4-8 in road series openers. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Milwaukee is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re 6-6 in home series openers. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Indians (43-34) @ Cardinals (41-36)
Kluber is 4-1, 1.91 in his last five starts; over is 7-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 11-5
5-inning record: 12-3-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

Martinez is 0-4, 8.72 in his last five starts (over 3-0-2). Team in his starts: 6-6
5-inning record: 4-6-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-12

Indians won seven of their last eight games; under is 7-1 in their last eight road games. St Louis is 5-8 in its last 13 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Umpires
Pitt-NY: Under is 4-1-1 in last six Culbreth games.
Az-Mia: Underdogs are 8-4 in Cuzzi games this year.
Cin-Atl: Favorites won eight of last 10 Woodring games.
Chi-LA: Under is 5-2 in last seven Miller games.

A’s-Det: Last five TBarrett games went over total.
Sea-Balt: Under is 8-5 in last thirteen Cooper games.
Tor-Hst: Over is 9-1-1 in last 11 Johnson games.

NY-Phil: Over is 5-2 in last seven Ripperger games.
Wsh-TB: Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Marquez games.
SD-Tex: Home side won rookie ump Libka’s last three games.
Clev-StL: Over is 5-0-1 in last six Guccione games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/25
Ariz 19-15-5……18-12-8……..37-27
Atl 19-15-5…..17-13-8………36-28
Cubs 16-16-9……17-13-5…….33-29
Reds 10-24-4……13-23-3….…23-47
Colo 23-13-7……21-13-3……44-27
LA 16-16-5…….19-15-7……35-31
Miami 16-23-4…..15-14-7…….31-37
Milw 17-14-7…..20-16-3…….37-30
Mets 15-22-2……15-16-8…..29-36
Philly 15-15-8…..19-12-6……34-27
Pitt 16-15-5……15-15-11…….31-30
StL 19-14-4……18-19-3………37-33
SD 14-20-8……15-19-4…….29-38
SF 17-18-9…..14-17-5………31-35
Wash 18-12-8..…17-17-5………35-29

Orioles 12-21-9…….11-22-3……23-43
Boston 21-14-8……19-13-4……..40-27
White Sox 12-22-4….11-23-6….23-45
Cleveland 15-14-8……27-9-5……42-23
Detroit 15-19-4……17-17-10.……32-36
Astros 20-12-9……19-12-9…….39-23
KC 12-19-7…….14-21-6…..26-40
Angels 21-13-4……16-17-8……37-30
Twins 14-15-7……16-19-6…..30-34
NYY 18-12-6……23-12-6…….41-24
A’s 13-18-8……13-18-9……26-36
Seattle 24-15-4……17-13-9……41-28
TB 19-16-8……17-13-5……36-28
Texas 15-20-5…..10-25-5…….25-45
Toronto 10-20-8……14-18-9……24-38

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/25)
Ariz 16-38…….13-37…..….29
Atl 13-38……15-39………28
Cubs 7-41……..17-37………24
Reds 9-37……..7-38………..16
Colo 16-41…….18-37..…….34
LA 13-37……..14-39..…..27
Miami 11-43……..12-37…….23
Milw 13-39……..12-38……25
Mets 15-37……..11-37…….26
Philly 9-39……..15-38…..…24
Pitt 10-36……..11-42……..21
StL 13-36……..10-40…….23
SD 10-42……..8-39………18
SF 9-40………15-37….…24
Wash 16-40……..11-39……..27

Orioles 14-43……..12-36………26
Boston 12-43……15-37………27
White Sox 12-38……12-40…….24
Clev 9-38…….14-40………23
Detroit 11-37……..12-43……23
Astros 12-39…..…9-39……….21
KC 10-39..…….10-40…….20
Angels 11-37…..….10-40…..…21
Twins 12-36………9-46……..21
NYY 6-35……..15-40……….21
A’s 8-40…..…..11-39………19
Seattle 15-41………12-39……..27
TB 14-43..……11-35……..25
Texas 6-40…….…10-39……16
Toronto 7-40………10-39….…17

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 38-33 NL, favorites +$590
AL @ NL– 27-27, favorites -$1,009
Total: 65-60 NL, favorites -$519

[StarDust Bum]

LEADING OFF: Cubs check Darvish, ace matchup in Philly
June 25, 2018

A look at what's happening around baseball Tuesday:

CHECK HIM

The Chicago Cubs might have further word on Yu Darvish after the Japanese ace said he felt soreness in his troubled triceps tendon following a minor league rehab start. Darvish hasn't pitched in the majors since May 20 because of right triceps tendinitis. He threw five sharp innings for Class A South Bend on Monday, and was set to rejoin the Cubs during their series at Dodger Stadium.

''In the triceps there's likeliness to get more fatigue there, especially if there's a long gap between innings,'' he said through a translator. ''That's when I feel fatigue there. Not necessarily pain, but I can't for sure say there is nothing going on in the tricep zone.''

NIMMO NEEDED

The Mets take a seven-game skid into their game against Pittsburgh, but at least they may get their most productive hitter back. Brandon Nimmo has a sore right pinkie after getting hit by a pitch Sunday, but an MRI showed no broken bones and he is day to day. He didn't start Monday but entered as a pinch-hitter in the eighth inning and stayed in the game to play left field. The Mets have also lost 14 of 15 at home and are 13-25 at Citi Field this season.

ACES ALONG I-95

Aces Luis Severino and Jake Arrieta square off as the Yankees continue a series in Philadelphia. Severino (11-2, 2.24) has never faced the Phillies, and Arrieta (5-5, 3.42) is 3-1, 3.83 in seven career starts vs. New York. The Yankees won the series opener Monday in their first appearance at Citizens Bank Park since beating the Phillies in the 2009 World Series. The Yankees improved to 14-14 against the Phillies, leaving the Los Angeles Dodgers as the only team they have a losing record (6-7) against in the regular season.

ON THE SKIDS

Carlos Martinez has lost three straight decisions entering a tough test against Corey Kluber and the Indians. Martinez (3-4, 3.24) hasn't won since May 2, and St. Louis has dropped his past five starts, a span in which he has a 7.06 ERA. Kluber (11-3, 2.10) pitched seven innings of one-hit ball in a 12-0 victory over the White Sox in his previous outing.

COLLEGES

Oregon State and Arkansas begin the College World Series, a day after the opener in their best-of-three matchup was rained out in Omaha. Luke Heimlich (16-2) starts for Oregon State against the Razorbacks' Blaine Knight (13-0).

A two-time Pac-12 pitcher of the year, Heimlich was not picked in this month's Major League Baseball draft. He wasn't with the team at last year's College World Series after it was revealed he had pleaded guilty to molesting a young relative when he was 15. He served two years' probation and went through a treatment program, but later denied wrongdoing in interviews with Sports Illustrated and The New York Times.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB (PROFESSIONAL)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Seattle at Baltimore - Tuesday June 26, 2018

The Mariners look to follow up last night’s 5-3 win as they face an Orioles team that is 0-6 in Kevin Gausman’s last 6 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Seattle is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-145). To get all of today’s MLB picks, scroll under the date below.

TUESDAY JUNE 26, 2018

Pittsburgh
@
NY Mets
Game 951-952
June 26, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 15.125
NY Mets
(Matz) 13.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Mets
-125
8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh
(+105); Over

Arizona
@
Miami
Game 953-954
June 26, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Arizona
(Godley) 13.606
Miami
(Hernandez) 17.424
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Miami
by 4
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Arizona
-165
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami
(+145); Over

Cincinnati
@
Atlanta
Game 955-956
June 26, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cincinnati
(Harvey) 14.875
Atlanta
(Sanchez) 17.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Atlanta
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Atlanta
-145
9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta
(-145); Under

Chicago Cubs
@
LA Dodgers
Game 957-958
June 26, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.525
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 16.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Dodgers
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers
(-150); Under

Colorado
@
San Francisco
Game 959-960
June 26, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating: Colorado
(Bettis) 13.862
San Francisco
(Holland) 15.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: San Francisco
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: San Francisco
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco
(-125); Over

Seattle
@
Baltimore
Game 961-962
June 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: Seattle
(Paxton) 15.573
Baltimore
(Gausman) 14.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Seattle
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Seattle
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle
(-145); Over

Oakland
@
Detroit
Game 963-964
June 26, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Oakland
(Montas) 12.629
Detroit
(Hardy) 16.108
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Detroit
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Oakland
-115
9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit
(-105); Under

LA Angels
@
Boston
Game 965-966
June 26, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: LA Angels
(Lamb) 15.977
Boston
(Price) 14.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Angels
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Boston
-200
10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels
(+170); Under

Toronto
@
Houston
Game 967-968
June 26, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Toronto
(Borucki) 17.808
Houston
(Morton) 13.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Toronto
by 4
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Houston
-280
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto
(+230); Under

Minnesota
@
Chicago White Sox
Game 969-970
June 26, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Minnesota
(Lynn) 13.816
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 15.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Minnesota
-120
9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox
(+100); Under

Washington
@
Tampa Bay
Game 971-972
June 26, 2018 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Washington
(Scherzer) 15.972
Tampa Bay
(Eovaldi) 14.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Washington
-220
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington
(-220); Over

NY Yankees
@
Philadelphia
Game 973-974
June 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: NY Yankees
(Severino) 16.711
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 15.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Yankees
-220
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees
(-220); Over
San Diego
@
Texas
Game 975-976
June 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: San Diego
(Ross) 14.152
Texas
(Bbens-Drkx) 16.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Texas
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Texas
-110
10
Dunkel Pick: Texas
(-110); Under

Kansas City
@
Milwaukee
Game 977-978
June 26, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating: Kansas City
(Junis) 13.557
Milwaukee
(Peralta) 14.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Milwaukee
-210
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee
(-210); Under

Cleveland
@
St. Louis
Game 979-980
June 26, 2018 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cleveland
(Kluber) 15.918
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 18.167
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: St. Louis
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Cleveland
-175
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis
(+155); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Pro Baseball Trend Report

PITTSBURGH (37 - 41) at NY METS (31 - 45) - 7:10 PM
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 14-37 (-21.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-23 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-88 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KUHL is 0-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 30-45 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 13-25 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 4-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
NY METS are 11-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 21-30 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 21-31 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 15-28 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 3-14 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
NY METS are 44-51 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
CHAD KUHL vs. NY METS since 1997
KUHL is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 10.39 and a WHIP of 1.848.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
STEVEN MATZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MATZ is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ARIZONA (44 - 34) at MIAMI (32 - 47) - 7:10 PM
ZACK GODLEY (R) vs. ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
ZACK GODLEY vs. MIAMI since 1997
GODLEY is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 2.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
CINCINNATI (32 - 46) at ATLANTA (45 - 32) - 7:35 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 45-31 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 31-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
MATT HARVEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HARVEY is 3-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 3-9 (-10.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.8 units)
ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.040.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

CHICAGO CUBS (42 - 34) at LA DODGERS (42 - 35) - 10:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. ROSS STRIPLING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 138-110 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 245-284 (-74.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 104-88 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 5-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 37-12 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 105-50 (+28.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 42-35 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 21-19 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)
JON LESTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LESTER is 4-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.101.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.9 units)
ROSS STRIPLING vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
STRIPLING is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COLORADO (38 - 40) at SAN FRANCISCO (40 - 39) - 10:15 PM
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 330-448 (-108.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-39 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-6 (+7.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-13 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 582-401 (+74.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
COLORADO is 13-6 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
COLORADO is 23-18 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 13-6 (+9.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
COLORADO is 30-21 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 25-18 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BETTIS is 34-22 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-147 (-39.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-56 (-26.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-3 (+0.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
CHAD BETTIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BETTIS is 3-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
DEREK HOLLAND vs. COLORADO since 1997
HOLLAND is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

SEATTLE (48 - 31) at BALTIMORE (23 - 54) - 7:05 PM
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 48-31 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 23-17 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 34-16 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 33-19 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 54-34 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-54 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 11-24 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 10-24 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-33 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-38 (-22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 9-31 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GAUSMAN is 9-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
JAMES PAXTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PAXTON is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GAUSMAN is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

OAKLAND (41 - 38) at DETROIT (36 - 43) - 7:10 PM
FRANKIE MONTAS (R) vs. BLAINE HARDY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 378-472 (-95.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 23-18 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 52-93 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 68-111 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
FRANKIE MONTAS vs. DETROIT since 1997
MONTAS is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.857.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)
BLAINE HARDY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

LA ANGELS (41 - 38) at BOSTON (52 - 27) - 7:10 PM
JOHN LAMB (L) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 6-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 27-8 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 52-32 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 566-538 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 30-17 (+17.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 104-78 (+35.4 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 25-12 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 383-300 (-46.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 532-486 (-67.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 577-440 (-69.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
BOSTON is 443-405 (-80.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PRICE is 37-37 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)
JOHN LAMB vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
DAVID PRICE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PRICE is 6-7 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.294.
His team's record is 8-8 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+1.3 units)

TORONTO (37 - 41) at HOUSTON (52 - 28) - 8:10 PM
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 65-82 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 47-65 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 28-21 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 11-14 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 81-70 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-10 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+2.1 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
RYAN BORUCKI vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
CHARLIE MORTON vs. TORONTO since 1997
MORTON is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

MINNESOTA (34 - 40) at CHI WHITE SOX (26 - 51) - 8:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 58-58 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 99-97 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 32-22 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 77-70 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-38 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-43 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 (+1.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)
LANCE LYNN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LYNN is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 0.987.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)
REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

WASHINGTON (41 - 36) at TAMPA BAY (38 - 40) - 12:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 41-36 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-27 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-45 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-13 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 11-4 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-10 (+20.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 73-48 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-9 (+15.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-33 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
EOVALDI is 7-22 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
MAX SCHERZER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SCHERZER is 5-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.2 units)
NATHAN EOVALDI vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EOVALDI is 2-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 3-7 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

NY YANKEES (51 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (41 - 35) - 7:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 843-884 (+22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 25-9 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEVERINO is 21-6 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 141-156 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
LUIS SEVERINO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.
JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ARRIETA is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.205.
His team's record is 3-4 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.1 units)

SAN DIEGO (35 - 46) at TEXAS (35 - 45) - 8:05 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 208-199 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 95-77 (+27.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 44-31 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 154-136 (+31.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-97 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 77-92 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 106-124 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-28 (+14.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ROSS is 16-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROSS is 9-3 (+6.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
TYSON ROSS vs. TEXAS since 1997
ROSS is 2-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

KANSAS CITY (24 - 54) at MILWAUKEE (45 - 32) - 8:10 PM
JAKE JUNIS (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 24-54 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 13-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 12-40 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-32 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 49-42 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 31-15 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-24 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-12 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 282-301 (+32.9 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
JAKE JUNIS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.
FREDDY PERALTA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

CLEVELAND (43 - 34) at ST LOUIS (41 - 36) - 8:15 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-34 (-6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-20 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-22 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 28-26 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 490-344 (+63.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 104-98 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-20 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 21-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 39-42 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 80-73 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 46-55 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
COREY KLUBER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KLUBER is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.125.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

Streaking: Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers (3-0, 2.30 ERA, $357)
They don't come much hotter than Peralta, who is a Top-30 pitcher in terms of money earned despite having made just three starts this season. Peralta has prevailed as an underdog in all three appearances, racking up an absurd 25 strikeouts over 15 2/3 innings. That includes 5 2/3 innings of one-hit, 13-K ball in Coors Field, of all places.

Look for Peralta to be a strong play in his Miller Park debut against an anemic Kansas City lineup. The line (Brewers -215) might be hard to stomach, but he's easily one of the best pitching options on the schedule.

Slumping: Jake Arrieta, Philadelphia Phillies (5-5, 3.42 ERA, $-309)
This is not the Jake Arrieta the Phillies thought they were getting when they signed the 32 year old to a three-year, $75 million deal back in March. Arrieta has scuffled mightily, surrendering 21 runs in 20 2/3 innings over his previous four starts, compiling just 14 strikeouts while surrendering five home runs over that stretch.

The Phillies +190 at home seems too good to be true, but with Luis Severino and the New York Yankees the opponent, that number still might not be good enough. This is a good spot to fade Arrieta and the Phillies.

[StarDust Bum]

3 UP, 3 DOWN

A Little Low

You don't like betting against Corey Kluber in any form when he's on the hill, but there might be a solid value play on the St. Louis Cardinals, who face Kluber and the Cleveland Indians at Busch Stadium. Kluber has been mostly dominant for the majority of the season, but has allowed seven or more hits twice in his last six starts and surrendered four in five innings on June 15.

That, combined with Cleveland still employing one of the worst bullpens in baseball, makes the Cardinals a solid option to go Over on their downright minuscule 6.5 hit total for the game (-115).

Still Sizzling

The Oakland Athletics continue to put up piles of runs, earning a 5-4 victory over the host Detroit Tigers on Monday – the sixth time in the past nine games the A's have recorded five or more runs. They're averaging a ridiculous 1.79 home runs per game away from Oakland – far and away the best rate in baseball – and have gone deep in an MLB-record 26 consecutive road games.

Not only does that make the Athletics a terrific straight-up play at -115 against Tigers lefty Blaine Hardy, it also puts them in great position to go Over on their 4.5-run team total (-115).

Fantastic Four

Opposing teams haven't done much of anything through the first four innings against Luis Severino, who enters Tuesday as one of the stingiest pitchers in baseball in the early frames. Teams are batting .132, .179, .182 and .224 vs. Severino in innings 1-4, with OBPs of .270, .233, .237 and .281 respectively. He has allowed just two home runs over 64 innings in that span.

Given his early-game dominance and Arrieta's recent struggles, taking the Yankees to lead after four innings (-135) is a highly recommended play Tuesday.

[StarDust Bum]

DOUBLE-PLAY PICKS

Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays (+185, 7)

You might take one look at the line for this game and wonder what the heck the intro is talking about? Scherzer and the Nationals are strong -200 favorites to prevail at the Trop on Tuesday night, which hardly seems like value – until you consider just how well Scherzer has fared in games where he has been a great but not overwhelming fave.

Scherzer is having yet another Cy Young-caliber campaign so far, having gone 10-3 with a 2.09 ERA and a mind-boggling 161 strikeouts through 107 1/3 innings. And while he has seen more than his share of MLB moneyline odds in the -200s, he has actually been better with lower odds, having gone a perfect 6-0 in games where the line is -200 or lower, as it is Tuesday.

The Rays have already felt Scherzer's wrath this season, dropping a 4-2 decision behind 13 Scherzer Ks back on June 5. Home-field advantage isn't going to help much, given that Scherzer has allowed more than two runs in just one start in 2018. Don't expect that trend to end Tuesday, with Scherzer one of the more obvious plays of the night.

Pick: Nationals runline -1.5 (-130)


*************************


Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros (-260, 8)

Once again, Justin Verlander and the Astros found themselves as a huge fave. And once again, Houston wound up losing, dropping a 6-3 decision to the Toronto Blue Jays in Monday's series opener. J.A. Happ mostly stifled a Houston attack that feasts on lefties but Toronto is throwing another southpaw to the lions Tuesday, and the Astros should capitalize this time.

Ryan Borucki makes his major-league debut for the Blue Jays on Tuesday and against the defending World Series champs, no less. The 24 year old went 6-5 with a 3.27 ERA and 58 strikeouts over 77 innings for Triple-A Buffalo. That strikeout rate is a major concern, as is a rather generous 3.3 BB/9 rate.

Pitchers who struggle to find the strike zone and don't K a lot of hitters struggle against even the most pedestrian lineups. This Astros incarnation is far from pedestrian, boasting Top-3 numbers league-wide against lefties. Happ fended off the Houston bats on Monday, but there's a good chance Borucki won't be so fortunate.

Pick: Astros -2.5 (+125)

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
June 26, 2018

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Mariners are 25-0 SU as a road favorite of more than 130 when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.00 on the season, it is not a series opener, and they did not use more than five pitchers in their previous game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Angels are 0-11 SU in the first game of a series with no rest after they were shutout. The Halos were the favorite in seven of the eleven losses.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 13-0 SU in franchise history as a favorite after a game in which Giancarlo Stanton had multiple hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 20-0 SU with Luis Severino as a favorite of more than 130 when they scored first in his last start.

[StarDust Bum]

Who's Hot and Who's Not
June 25, 2018

Week of June 25th

The teams I touched on last week all found a way to keep their current streaks alive at least for another game or two, with one team, the CFL's Montreal Alouettes still looking to snap their streak.

The Yankees ended up having 14 straight 'unders' before cashing an 'over' ticket, the Houston Astros got to 12 straight wins before falling, and even the Kansas City Royals kept losing as they are now 2-17 SU in their last 19 overall.

Today though, I'm going to zoom the score out a bit and look at some season long total trends we can maybe take advantage of for the rest of the MLB season – or at least until the trade deadline with some rosters will look drastically different – as we could end up seeing some regression to the mean, especially with warmer weather coming.

Who's Hot

'Under' bets when this quartet is behind the dish: Sam Holbrook, Mike DiMuro, Dan Bellino, and Doug Eddings

I'll get to their individual numbers in a minute, but knowing who's the ump calling balls and strikes that night can have a profound impact on totals results. There aren't many totals posted below a flat '7' these days and all four of the umpires listed earlier are the only four in the league that see an average runs scored per game below that flat '7' mark.

Sure, there will be high scoring games here and there, but when these guys see 6.7 runs per game (Holbrook), 6.5 (DiMuro), 6.4 (Bellino), and 5.7 (Eddings), you'd better be prepared to get off your 'over' lean if that's the way you initially see one of these guys behind home that night.

Not surprisingly, run totals like that will bring plenty of 'under' love with them and it's Dan Bellino who's been the best 'under' umpire this year with a 1-11-2 O/U record this year. Eddings (3-12 O/U), DiMuro (3-9 O/U) and Holbrook (4-11 O/U) round out the totals for this quartet, and while we could easily (and should) see a few more 'overs' from these guys relatively soon, squeezing the strike zones on pitchers tends to be what these guys do.

Finally, if you want to take it a step further with three of these four guys, to find ideal 'under' spots when they come up, keep this in mind. For Dan Bellino and his best 'under' mark, just know that the only times he's seen a total get landed on or surpassed (1-1-2 O/U record) is when it's a battle of southpaws on the hills for both teams. Therefore if you got a righty starter, any righty starter in a Bellino game you can count on the 'under' connecting more often than not. He's 0-10 O/U in that role this year.

Eddings and Holbrook are basically the opposite as fans from each league might grown when those guys show up at their ballpark. Eddings has yet to see an 'over' cash if a team from the American League is on the field (0-4 O/U in AL vs AL and 0-3 O/U in Interleague), while it's the exact opposite for Holbrook who has an 0-6 O/U mark when a National League team is involved.

Who's Not

'Over' bets when this quartet of MLB teams is on the field: Baltimore, Kansas City, Chicago White Sox, and the NY Mets

With 'under' bets in MLB the theme this week, I'd be remiss to not touch on the results of the four teams mentioned above. Those four teams – along with the Miami Marlins – are the only teams in all of MLB that have yet to score 300 runs on the year entering action on Monday. And while Miami has somehow managed a 41-37 O/U record on the year since they seemingly know how to lose big, the likes of Baltimore, Kansas City, the White Sox, and Mets have all been great teams to go low on the total as well.

On the surface it makes perfect sense; teams that can't score won't play a tremendous amount of 'overs', but on the whole this year in MLB it's been the 'unders' that have been the way to go. There are only 12 of 30 squads that have cashed more 'over' tickets than 'unders' and the biggest margin between those results is seven - with the Oakland A's being 40-33 O/U. Compare that with the biggest margin of 'unders' being tied at 15 with Milwaukee (30-45 O/U) and Kansas City (29-44 O/U) and you can see that all these discussions about how many strikeouts there are in today's game really shows itself in terms of the vast majority of MLB games going 'under.'

Yet, where you want to narrow your focus is on these bad teams with sub-300 runs scored on the year. Kansas City was already touched on with their 29-44 O/U mark, but Baltimore (33-42 O/U), NY Mets (33-40 O/U) and the White Sox (33-39 O/U) have some of the bigger margins towards the low side of things as well in this league. With all four of these teams looking to trade away whatever valuable offensive assets they can in the coming weeks to build for the future in all likelihood, it's tough to think that any of these four squads will drastically turn these results around and become more of an 'over' team.

So don't be shy about digging into all the information you can regarding a specific total lean you may have on a given night. And if you can catch Doug Eddings behind the dish in a Baltimore, Kansas City, or Chicago White Sox game (he's already 0-2 O/U this year when one of those three teams is involved) you'd better expect very few runs to be scored.

[StarDust Bum]

Ballpark Figures - Week 13
June 25, 2018

STREAKY TEAMS (ENTERING MONDAY)
Wins and Losses Streak Over/Under Streak

Cincinnati 7-0 past seven games overall Baltimore Over 5-2 past seven games

Cleveland 7-0 past seven games overall Chicago White Sox Over 6-0 past six games

Kansas City 2-17 past 19 games overall N.Y. Mets Over 5-2 past seven games

San Diego 1-7 past eight games overall Oakland Over 11-1 past 12 games

Texas 7-1 past eight games overall Tampa Bay Under 10-2 past 12 games

Buckeye State Bonanza

The Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Indians combined to make it a perfect week for the state of Ohio. The Reds and Indians are a combined 14-0 across their past 14 games, as each club is on a seven-game winning streak. The run by the Reds is quite a bit more surprising, as they're cellar dwellers in the National League Central Division. The huge winning streak has helped them carve into what was once an ugly run differential. It's now at just minus-43. They'll hit the road for Atlanta on Monday looking to stay hot with Tyler Mahle on the mound. The Reds have won five straight with Mahle on the hill, and five of his past six outings away from home. They have also rattled off four straight wins vs. right-handed starting pitchers. The Braves will counter with Mike Foltynewicz, and they're just 6-15 across his past 21, and 0-4 in his past four against NL Central foes.

The Indians have opened up an eight-game gap in the American League Central, sweeping the Tigers out of Progressive Field. They're now 10-3 against the Tigers, and 25-13 overall in their division. The only chink in the armor for the Tribe has been on the road, where they're 16-20. That's where the Indians will be starting on Monday night in St. Louis. The Indians have rattled off 23 victories in their past 29 appearances on Monday, but they're just 17-41 in their past 58 interleague road games against a team with a winning record, 2-5 in their past seven interleague road games vs. RHP and 1-4 in Mike Clevinger's past five road assignments. They're also 0-5 in his past five against a winning team. Luckily for the Indians, the Cards are just 1-4 in their past five at home, 2-5 in their past seven interleague battles and 0-5 in John Gant's past five outings.

Tuesday, June 26

It will be a southpaw battle in Detroit between A's LHP Sean Manaea and Tigers LHP Blaine Hardy. Oakland has posted a 5-2 mark over their past seven on the road with Manaea on the hill. They're also 6-0 in Manaea's past six starts against American League Central foes, while going 36-15 in their past 51 against Central opponents overall. They're also 20-8 in the past 28 against teams with a losing overall record while going 4-1 in their past five vs. LHP. For the Tigers, they're on a five-game losing skid heading into Monday's game. They are also a dismal 11-24 in their past 35 against AL West teams, while posting a 13-27 record in the past 40 at home vs. a team with a winning record. However, they have won five of their past six tries vs. LHP, including 4-0 in their past four at home vs. southpaws.

The Twins and White Sox will battle on the south side after a scheduled day off. Minnesota has struggled with rest, going just 3-7 in their past 10 games after a day off. They're also just 4-9 in their past 13 on the road, while going 1-5 in Lance Lynn's past six starts when opening a new series. The Pale Hose counter with Reynaldo Lopez, and they're 1-5 in his past six starts while going 0-5 in his past five inside the division. Chicago has managed a poor 2-6 record in their past eight at home, while going 18-39 in their past 57 vs. RHP. Minnesota has owned this series recently, going 9-3 in the past 12 overall, while posting an 11-5 mark in their past 16 trips to Guaranteed Rate Field.

Colorado and San Francisco renew acquaintances in the Bay Area. The Rockies struggled against the Marlins over the weekend, now they try to get better on the road. They're 0-7 in Chad Bettis' past seven battles against NL West rivals, and they're 1-6 in the past seven against teams with a winning overall record. Colorado has managed a subpar 2-5 mark in the past seven on the road. San Francisco has won five of the past six overall, and they're 5-1 in the past six at home. The Giants are also 13-3 in their past 16 vs. RHP, while going 4-1 in Derek Holland's past five starts. The Giants are 7-2 in the past nine at home vs. the Rockies, although they're 0-4 the past four times seeing Bettis at AT&T Park.

Weather Report

The weather is expected to move in to the Motor City in the later innings, perhaps hindering the A's-Tigers battle at Comerica. There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms around 9pm, increasing to better than 50 percent through the overnight hours.

At Fenway Park, the Angels and Red Sox will be dealing with a jetstream to left-center field blowing at 11-14 mph. The same holds true for the Pirates-Mets game. There will be no precip, but winds gusting from 11-14 mph to the left-center field power alley. A hot wind will be blowing in from right field to home plate at 12-15 mph with temperatures hovering around the 100-degree mark. In San Francisco, the Rockies-Giants will also be experiencing gusty winds humming from 13-17 mph out to left-center field.

It wouldn't be summer if Atlanta wasn't on the weather worry list. The Reds and Braves have thunderstorm chances of 40 percent for most of the evening, so it will be hit or miss there. Mother Nature might be the only thing that can cool off the Reds these days.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, JUNE 26
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYY at PHI 07:05 PM
PHI +203
O 7.5

SEA at BAL 07:05 PM
SEA -134
U 8.0

PIT at NYM 07:10 PM
PIT -101
U 8.0

OAK at DET 07:10 PM
OAK -114
O 9.0

LAA at BOS 07:10 PM
BOS -164
U 10.0

ARI at MIA 07:10 PM
MIA +147
U 8.0

CIN at ATL 07:35 PM
ATL -154
O 9.0

SD at TEX 08:05 PM
SD +103
O 10.0

MIN at CHW 08:10 PM
MIN -116

TOR at HOU 08:10 PM
TOR +241

KC at MIL 08:10 PM
MIL -220
O 8.0

CLE at STL 08:15 PM
CLE -170
U 8.0

CHC at LAD 10:10 PM
CHC +135
O 7.5

COL at SF 10:15 PM
SF -130
U 8.5

[StarDust Bum]

Severino earns 12th win as Yankees beat Phillis 6-0
June 27, 2018

PHILADELPHIA (AP) Luis Severino became the majors' first 12-game winner, Aaron Hicks and Didi Gregorius homered and the New York Yankees beat the Philadelphia Phillies 6-0 Tuesday night.

Severino (12-2) struck out nine in seven dominant innings, lowering his ERA to 2.10. The ace has allowed three runs or less in 16 of 17 starts.

Jake Arrieta (5-6) had another rough outing for Philadelphia, which had won four consecutive series before losing two straight to the Yankees. Arrieta gave up six runs - three earned - and nine hits in five innings.

Arrieta was 0-4 with a 6.66 ERA in five starts in June after posting a 0.90 ERA in five starts last month.

RAYS 1, NATIONALS 0

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) - Nathan Eovaldi took a no-hitter into the sixth inning before an unusual combination of relievers in the ninth completed a three-hitter as the Rays beat Max Scherzer and the Nationals.

Eovaldi (2-3) lost his no-hit bid when Bryce Harper hit an opposite-field double off the left-field wall with two outs in the sixth.

Rays lefty Jose Alvarado began the ninth by walking Harper before moving to first base when Chaz Roe relieved him. Roe struck out Anthony Rendon before Alvarado returned to the mound and gave up singles to lefties Juan Soto and Daniel Murphy that loaded the bases.

Sergio Romo replaced Alvarado and got his sixth save.

Scherzer (10-4) gave up one run, four hits, three walks and struck out four in seven innings.

RED SOX 9, ANGELS 1

BOSTON (AP) - Mookie Betts homered on John Lamb's first pitch of the game, and J.D. Martinez hit his major league-leading 24th home run to back David Price's six strong innings.

Jackie Bradley Jr. had four RBIs and three hits, including a home run, and Christian Vazquez also homered to help Boston win for the fourth time in its last five games.

Price (9-5) allowed five hits, including a solo homer to Chris Young, and two walks while striking out seven to send Los Angeles to its fourth straight loss.

Lamb (0-1) got just five outs. He allowed five runs, three earned, on six hits and a pair of walks.

BREWERS 5, ROYALS 1

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Freddy Peralta pitched one-hit ball over seven scoreless innings, Jesus Aguilar hit one of Milwaukee's three homers and the Brewers beat the Royals.

Peralta (3-0) allowed a leadoff double in the third to Adalberto Mondesi and also allowed a walk in the second. The 22-year-old rookie was perfect otherwise, striking out 10 in his fourth major league start.

Aguilar, Christian Yelich and Ryan Braun homered off starter Jakob Junis (5-9), who has lost six straight.

Mondesi, called up June 17, hit his first homer this season with two outs in the eighth off Dan Jennings.

PADRES 3, RANGERS 2

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) - Wil Myers and Hunter Renfroe hit run-scoring doubles in San Diego's three-run eighth inning, helping the Padres rally for a win over the Rangers.

Shin-Soo Choo singled with two outs in the ninth to extend his major league-leading streak of reaching base to 39 games before Brad Hand got Nomar Mazara to fly out with two runners on for his 22nd save.

Four of six San Diego hitters reached against Jake Diekman (1-1). After Myers ended the Texas shutout, Christian Villanueva lifted a tying sacrifice fly to left before Renfroe's go-ahead liner.

San Diego relievers struck out five straight batters, starting with the second of two from Matt Strahm (2-2) in the seventh.

ATHLETICS 9, TIGERS 7

DETROIT (AP) - Jed Lowrie drove in the tiebreaking run in the top of the ninth inning for a second straight game, and the Athletics rallied from six runs down to hand the Tigers their seventh straight loss.

Detroit led 6-0 after three innings, but Oakland came back to tie it at 7-all in the seventh. Lowrie singled home Matt Joyce in the ninth for his fourth hit of the night.

Joyce doubled off Shane Greene (2-5) to lead off the ninth. Lowrie also came in to score an insurance run on a single by pinch-hitter Dustin Fowler.

Ryan Buchter (2-0) pitched a scoreless eighth for Oakland.

ASTROS 7, BLUE JAYS 0

HOUSTON (AP) - Charlie Morton struck out 13 in seven stellar innings, Jake Marisnick hit a three-run homer in the eighth after preserving the shutout with a big defensive play in the sixth.

Morton (10-1) scattered four hits and walked two for his third straight win to become Houston's first 10-game winner.

Evan Gattis put Houston up with a two-run single in the fifth. Marisnick padded the lead with his shot to left field with one out in the eighth. Alex Bregman, who tied a career-high with four hits, added a two-run homer.

Toronto's Ryan Borucki (0-1) had a solid start in his major league debut, allowing six hits and two runs while walking four in six innings.

MARINERS 3, ORIOLES 2

BALTIMORE (AP) - Kyle Seager homered and hit a pivotal two-run single in the eighth inning to back a fine pitching performance by James Paxton and help the Mariners beat the Orioles.

Paxton (7-2) struck out 10 over seven innings, allowing two runs and six hits.

Seattle trailed 2-1 before rallying against the weary Baltimore bullpen.

Dee Gordon led off the eighth with a double and Jean Segura got his third hit of the game on a bunt down the third-base line. Orioles reliever Darren O'Day (0-2) hurt himself trying to field the ball and was replaced by Tanner Scott, who walked Mitch Haniger before Seager hit a liner to center.

METS 4, PIRATES 3

NEW YORK (AP) - Wilmer Flores singled home the winning run in the 10th inning and the Mets stopped their seven-game losing streak, beating the Pirates hours after general manager Sandy Alderson stepped down because his cancer has returned.

Michael Conforto hit a tying homer and Flores had three RBIs for the Mets (32-45).

Both dugouts and bullpens emptied in the eighth after a clean slide by Josh Harrison prevented the Mets from turning an inning-ending double play. No punches were thrown.

Conforto drew a leadoff walk in the 10th from Steven Brault (5-2) and went to second when Todd Frazier singled. Cabrera popped up a bunt for the first out, but Flores hit a grounder just inside third base to knock in Conforto.

Tim Peterson (1-0) got three quick outs on five pitches - all strikes - for his first major league win.

REDS 5, BRAVES 3

ATLANTA (AP) - Matt Harvey pitched six-hit ball into the seventh inning, earning back-to-back wins for the first time this season and leading the Reds to a victory over the Braves.

Jesse Winker had three hits and two RBIs for last-place Cincinnati, which has won eight of nine. Scooter Gennett had two hits, including a run-scoring single in the ninth, and scored three times.

Harvey (3-5) allowed one run in 6 2/3 innings in his longest start of the season.

Braves starter Anibal Sanchez (3-2) left with two outs in the fifth inning due to cramping in his right calf. He allowed two runs and five hits in 4 2/3 innings.

DIAMONDBACKS 5, MARLINS 3

MIAMI (AP) - John Ryan Murphy drove in three runs to help the Diamondbacks to a victory over the Marlins.

Zack Godley (9-5) pitched five innings and allowed two runs and six hits for the Diamondbacks, who are 14-4 in their last 18 games.

Yoshihisa Hirano got Justin Bour to fly out with the bases loaded to end the eighth and Brad Boxberger pitched a perfect ninth for his 18th save in 22 chances.

Miami's Elieser Hernandez (0-5) struck out a career-high eight batters over four innings and allowed two runs and four hits.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY JUNE 27, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
12:10 PM Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves SunTrust Park
2:10 PM Kansas City Royals Milwaukee Brewers Miller Park
2:10 PM Toronto Blue Jays Houston Astros Minute Maid Park
7:05 PM New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies Citizens Bank Park
7:05 PM Seattle Mariners Baltimore Orioles Oriole Park at Camden Yards
7:10 PM Arizona Diamondbacks Miami Marlins Marlins Park
7:10 PM Los Angeles Angels Boston Red Sox Fenway Park
7:10 PM Oakland Athletics Detroit Tigers Comerica Park
7:10 PM Pittsburgh Pirates New York Mets Citi Field
8:05 PM San Diego Padres Texas Rangers Globe Life Park in Arlington
8:10 PM Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Guaranteed Rate Field
8:15 PM Cleveland Indians St. Louis Cardinals Busch Stadium
10:10 PM Chicago Cubs Los Angeles Dodgers Dodger Stadium
10:15 PM Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants AT&T Park


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Date w-l-t % units record ( overall picks )

06/26/2018 12-12-2 50.00% -7.65
06/25/2018 16-7-1 69.57% +44.85
06/24/2018 9-20-0 33.33% -62.00
06/23/2018 13-5-1 72.22% +47.15
06/22/2018 14-15-0 48.28% -4.95
06/21/2018 7-11-0 38.89% -20.75
06/20/2018 10-14-0 41.67% -30.55
06/19/2018 14-11-1 56.00% +2.45
06/18/2018 9-9-0 50.00% -6.10
06/17/2018 17-12-0 58.62% +17.60
06/16/2018 13-13-0 50.00% -9.30
06/15/2018 15-15-0 50.00% -0.25
06/14/2018 9-8-1 52.94% +4.00
06/13/2018 17-13-0 56.66% +27.30
06/12/2018 13-17-0 43.33% -29.10
06/11/2018 9-6-1 60.00% +10.95
06/10/2018 13-16-0 44.83% -21.05
06/09/2018 22-8-0 73.33% +72.60
06/08/2018 20-10-0 66.67% +59.65
06/07/2018 11-7-1 61.11% +14.15
06/06/2018 19-11-0 63.33% +35.55
06/05/2018 12-12-0 50.00% -16.25
06/04/2018 5-5-0 50.00% -4.70
06/01/2018 13-13-0 50.00% -3.50

TOTALS..........312 -270.....53.60%.....+124.10

may mlb best bets ( dogs and totals only )

date........................ats................uni ts..... ............0/u..............units................total

06/26/2018............2 - 3................-3.10.................5 - 5................-2.50..............-6.00
06/25/2018............2 - 2...............+6.05.................7 - 4...............+13.00............+19.05
06/24/2018............2 - 6...............-16.10................4 -11...............-40.50.............-56.60
06/23/2018............4 - 2...............+18.65...............9 - 3...............+28.50............+47.15
06/22/2018............2 - 7...............-14.40................7 - 6...............+2.00..............-12.40
06/21/2018............1 - 5...............-17.85................4 -5................-7.50................-25.35
06/20/2018............0 - 5...............-25.00.................6- 7................-8.50................-33.50
06/19/2018............2 - 4................-9.65................11 - 3...............+38.50.............+28.85
06/18/2018............0 - 2...............-10.00................6 - 3................+13.50..............+3.50
06/17/2018............5 - 1...............+25.00...............8 - 7...............+1.50................+26.50
06/16/2018............2 - 3...............+1.70.................8 - 6...............+7.00...............+8.70
06/15/2018............3 - 3..............+7.70..................6 - 9...............-19.50..............-11.80
06/14/2018............0 - 6...............-30.00.................6- 2 - 1..........+20.00..............-10.00
06/13/2018............6- 3................+30.30................7 - 8...............-9.00................+21.30
06/12/2018............1 - 3................-8.70..................5 10 - 1..........-30.00...............-38.70
06/11/2018............0 - 2...............-10.00.................6 - 1 - 1.........+24.50...............+14.50
06/10/2018............3- 3................+10.20................5 - 9..............-24.50................-14.30
06/09/2018............3 - 3...............+8.10..................10 - 4............+28.00...............+36.10
06/08/2018............2 - 4...............+2.50..................9 - 6..............+12.00...............+14.50
06/07/2018............0 - 2...............-10.00.................6 - 3 - 1.........+13.50...............+3.50
06/06/2018............2 - 2...............+4.25..................10 - 5............+22.50...............+26.75
06/05/2018............1 - 2................-4.60...................7- 5..............+7.50.................+2.90
06/04/2018............0 - 2...............-10.00..................4 - 1.............+14.50................+4.50
06/01/2018............2 - 3................- 2.80..................7 - 7..............-3.50...................-6.30

TOTALS................45 - 78.............- 57.75...............158 - 121........+106.00..............+48.75

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win Quicken Loans National tourney this week:

13-2— Rickie Fowler

21-2— Eldrick Woods

18-1— Marc Leishman

19-1— Francesco Molinari

22-1— Kyle Stanley

23-1— Charles Howell III

Quote of the Day
“Once he gets out of the pocket, it’s like watching a young Michael Vick. It’s amazing to watch. When you’re defending him, you just have to act like you’re tagging off—you don’t want to be on the highlight reel.”
Ravens LB CJ Mosley on rookie QB Lamar Jackson

Wednesday’s quiz
How many major league teams have domed stadiums?

Tuesday’s quiz
Jerry Brown is the governor of California

Monday’s quiz
Long time ago, the Houston Astros used to be called the Houston Colt 45’s.

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Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings……

13) If you care about such things, the over/under for number of hot dogs Joey Chestnut eats at the Nathan’s contest in Brooklyn July 4 is 68.5 (over -$175).

12) Rays 1, Nationals 0— Sergio Romo struck out Michael Taylor for last out, then yelled at him from in front of the mound. Both benches emptied, nothing happened, but have some class.

Washington played on Sunday night at home, got to Tampa at 5am Monday, got shut out on Monday night, then played a noon game Tuesday, was shut out again. Not great scheduling.

11) LA Clippers are trading guard Austin Rivers to the Washington Wizards for center Marcin Gortat; LA coach Doc Rivers can’t be thrilled that his team traded his son.

LA trading for Gortat could foreshadow DeAndre Jordan being sent elsewhere.

Clippers have training camp in Hawai’i, by the way. Must be brutal.

10) Once the Raiders’ domed stadium is finished in 2020, there might be two bowl games instead of one in Las Vegas each December.

9) First three times Jose Altuve batted Tuesday, he walked on four pitches all three times, and none of them were intentional.

Yuli Gurriel batted behind Altuve; the first three times he batted, he saw four pitches total.

8) Fenway Park is only AL ballpark that Mike Trout hasn’t homered in.

7) It rained in Milwaukee last night, but the Royals-Brewers game was played, in front of 34,412 fans. Good thing they put a retractable roof on Miller Park, unlike Minnesota, which needed a roof maybe more than Milwaukee does.

6) Baseball injury doings:
— Cubs put 3B Kris Bryant (shoulder) on DL
— A’s put Daniel Mengden (foot) on DL.
— Rangers put 1B Ronald Guzman (concussion) on 7-day DL
— Braves P Anibal Sanchez left in the 5th inning with an injury.

5) Stewart Cink finished T2 at the Hartford Open last week; he is back in the world’s top 100 rankings for the first time since September 2011.

4) A dead body was found in a walk-in freezer at Suntrust Park in Atlanta where the Braves play. The dead person was a third party contractor found by another person who works for that company.

Yikes.

3) Matt Harvey pitched in Atlanta last night; first time he batted, Atlanta organist played “New York, New York” as his walk-up music. Harvey used to pitch for the Mets.

Organist played Eddie Murphy’s ‘Party All the Time’ before Harvey’s next at-bat. Mets traded Harvey because his, um…..off-field activities affected his on-field play.

2) For some reason, I keep getting ESPN the Magazine in the mail; don’t pay for it, don’t want it, there isn’t lot of good info in it, but they just keep sending it. Whatever.

1) Get well soon Sandy Alderson, who is on a leave of absence from the Mets because of health concerns. Hope he is 100% healthy soon.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s games

National League

Pirates (37-42) @ Mets (32-45)
Nova is 2-0, 0.92 in his last three starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 7-7
5-inning record: 7-2-5. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-14

Wheeler is 0-2, 5.79 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 4-10.
5-inning record: 3-9-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14

Pittsburgh lost six of its last seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five road games. Mets are 8-26 in their last 34 games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

Diamondbacks (45-34) @ Marlins (32-48)
Ray is making his first start since April 29; he is 0-0, 4.32 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 4-2.
5-inning record: 3-1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-6

Chen is 1-1, 7.71 in his last four starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 5-6.
5-inning record: 6-5. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-11

Arizona is 9-2 in its last 11 road games; over is 6-4-2 in their last 12 road games. Marlins are 9-6 in their last 15 games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Reds (33-46) @ Braves (45-33)
Castillo is 1-4, 6.84 in his last five starts; under is 5-2-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 7-9. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-16

Newcomb is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 9-6
5-inning record: 9-4-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Reds won eight of their last nine games; under is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Atlanta lost four of its last six games; five of Braves’ last seven games went over the total.

Cubs (43-34) @ Dodgers (42-36)
Hendricks is 1-4, 5.19 in his last five starts; under is 8-2-1 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 5-10
5-inning record: 4-7-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-15

Wood is 2-0, 2.31 in his last two starts (under 2-0). Team in his starts: 8-7
5-inning record: 4-7-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15

Cubs lost six of their last seven road games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games.

Rockies (38-41) @ Giants (41-39)
Freeland is 3-1, 4.06 in his last five starts; under is 9-2 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 8-7
5-inning record: 8-4-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Bumgarner is 1-2, 3.20 in four starts (under 3-1). Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 2-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4

Colorado lost six of its last eight road games; over is 16-4 in their last 20 games. Giants won six of their last seven games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine home games.

American League

A’s (42-38) @ Tigers (36-44)
Manaea is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 9-7.
5-inning record: 6-8-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

Fiers is 0-2, 9.75 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Team in his starts: 8-7.
5-inning record: 3-9-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15

A’s won eight of their last ten games; over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Detroit lost its last seven games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Mariners (49-31) @ Orioles (23-55)
LeBlanc is 3-0, 5.13 in his last five starts (under 7-2-1). Team in his starts: 7-3
5-inning record: 6-2-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10

Cobb is 1-4, 6.55 in his last six starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 3-10
5-inning record: 3-9-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-13

Seattle lost six of its last nine games; over is 7-5-2 in their last 14 road games. Orioles lost their last three games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six home games.

Angels (41-39) @ Red Sox (53-27)
Heaney is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts; under is 8-0-1 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 5-8
5-inning record: 3-6-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13

Porcello is 3-1, 3.66 in his last five starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 10-6
5-inning record: 6-7-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16

Angels lost their last four games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Boston won four of its last five games; under is 7-1-2 in their last ten home games.

Blue Jays (37-42) @ Astros (53-28)
Estrada is 2-1, 1.75 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 7-8.
5-inning record: 5-6-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Keuchel is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 7-9.
5-inning record: 5-8-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16

Blue Jays won seven of their last 11 games; under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Houston is 16-3 in its last 19 games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Twins (34-41) @ White Sox (27-51)
Gibson is 1-2, 1.93 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 7-8
5-inning record: 7-7-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Shields is 1-5, 5.97 in his last six starts; under is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 5-11
5-inning record: 5-10-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-16

Minnesota lost four of its last five games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. White Sox lost nine of their last 12 games; Chicago’s last six games went over the total.

Interleague

New York (52-25) @ Philadelphia (41-36)
Cessa is making his first ’18 start; he is 4-7, 4.41 in 31 MLB games (14 starts) and allowed two runs in six IP in four MLB relief stints this year. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

Eflin is 4-0, 2.28 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Team in his starts: 6-3
5-inning record: 7-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-9

New York won six of its last nine games; under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games. Philly lost its last three games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games.

Padres (36-46) @ Rangers (35-46)
Richard is 4-0, 3.12 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 9-7
5-inning record: 5-10-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-16

Minor is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 7-7
5-inning record: 4-8-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-14

Padres lost seven of its last nine games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games. Texas won eight of its last ten games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games.

Royals (26-55) @ Brewers (46-32)
Duffy is 1-1, 3.32 in his last three starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. Team in his starts: 5-11
5-inning record: 5-9-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16

Suter is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; his last seven starts went over. Team in his starts: 8-6
5-inning record: 7-6-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-14

Royals are 3-18 in their last 21 games; under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Milwaukee is 4-5 in its last nine games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Indians (43-35) @ Cardinals (42-36)
Bieber is 2-0, 2.45 in three starts (over 2-1). Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 3-0. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3

Flaherty is 2-0, 0.98 in his last three starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 5-5
5-inning record: 7-1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-10

Indians won seven of their last nine games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. St Louis is 6-8 in its last 14 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Umpires
Pitt-NY: Under is 4-1-1 in last six Bucknor games.
Az-Mia: Under is 11-2-1 in Bellino games this year.
Cin-Atl: Underdogs are 9-6 in Torres games this year.
Chi-LA: Over is 9-3-1 in last 13 Tichenor games.
Col-SF: Under is 6-2 in last eight Miller games.

A’s-Det: Over is 8-4 in last dozen Barskdale games.
Sea-Balt: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Cederstrom games.
LA-Bos: Last three Morales games stayed under.
Min-Chi: Underdogs are 9-4 in last 13 Hoberg games.
Tor-Hst: Four of last five TGibson games went over.

NY-Phil: Under is 12-3 in Eddings games this year.
KC-Mil: Three of last four Gibson games went over.
SD-Tex: Favorites won last ten Welke games.
Clev-StL: Over is 9-3-1 in last 13 Vanover games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/26
Ariz 20-15-5……18-12-8……..38-27
Atl 19-15-5…..17-14-8………36-29
Cubs 16-17-9……17-13-5…….33-30
Reds 11-24-4……13-23-3….…24-47
Colo 23-13-8……21-13-3……44-27
LA 16-16-5…….20-15-8……36-31
Miami 16-23-4…..15-15-7…….31-38
Milw 17-14-7…..21-16-3…….38-30
Mets 15-22-2……15-16-9…..29-36
Philly 15-15-8…..19-13-6……34-28
Pitt 16-15-6……15-15-11…….31-30
StL 19-14-4……19-19-3………38-33
SD 14-21-8……15-19-4…….29-39
SF 17-18-9…..14-17-5………31-35
Wash 18-13-8..…17-17-5………35-30

Orioles 12-21-9…….11-22-4……23-43
Boston 21-14-8……20-13-4……..41-27
White Sox 12-22-4….11-24-6….23-46
Cleveland 15-15-8……27-9-5……42-24
Detroit 15-19-4……18-17-10.……33-36
Astros 20-12-9……20-12-9…….40-23
KC 12-20-7…….14-21-6…..26-41
Angels 21-14-4……16-17-8……37-31
Twins 15-15-7……16-19-6…..31-34
NYY 19-12-6……23-12-6…….42-24
A’s 13-19-8……13-18-9……26-37
Seattle 24-15-5……17-13-9……41-28
TB 19-16-8……18-13-5……37-28
Texas 15-20-5…..11-25-5…….26-45
Toronto 10-21-8……14-18-9……24-39

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/26)
Ariz 16-39…….13-37…..….29
Atl 13-38……15-40………28
Cubs 7-42……..17-37………24
Reds 9-38……..7-38………..16
Colo 16-42…….18-37..…….34
LA 13-37……..14-40..…..27
Miami 11-43……..12-38…….23
Milw 13-39……..13-39……26
Mets 15-37……..12-38…….27
Philly 9-39……..15-39…..…24
Pitt 10-37……..11-42……..21
StL 13-36……..11-40…….24
SD 10-43……..8-39………18
SF 9-40………15-38….…24
Wash 16-41……..11-39……..27

Orioles 14-43……..12-37………26
Boston 12-43……16-38………28
White Sox 12-38……12-41…….24
Clev 10-39…….14-40….…24
Detroit 11-37……..13-44….…24
Astros 12-39…..…9-40……….21
KC 10-40..…….10-40…….20
Angels 11-38…..….10-40…..…21
Twins 12-37………9-46……..21
NYY 7-36……..15-40……….22
A’s 8-41…..…..11-39………19
Seattle 15-42………12-39……..27
TB 14-43..……12-36……..26
Texas 6-40…….…10-40……16
Toronto 7-41………10-39….…17

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 39-34 NL, favorites +$260
AL @ NL– 29-28 NL, favorites -$979
Total: 68-62 NL, favorites -$719