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[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 7


St. Louis @ Kansas City

Game 963-964
August 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 16.316
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 14.621
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-120); Over

Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Game 961-962
August 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Suter) 13.371
Minnesota
(Santana) 15.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-125); Under

Detroit @ Pittsburgh

Game 959-960
August 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 13.376
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 16.059
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-155
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-155); Over

Baltimore @ LA Angels

Game 957-958
August 7, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Bundy) 15.297
LA Angels
(Ramirez) 16.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-130); Under

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco

Game 955-956
August 7, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 17.089
San Francisco
(Moore) 14.032
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-200
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-200); Over

San Diego @ Cincinnati

Game 953-954
August 7, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Chacin) 11.856
Cincinnati
(Adleman) 15.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-125); Under

Miami @ Washington

Game 951-952
August 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(O'Grady) 14.788
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.134
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 7


National League
Marlins @ Nationals
O’Grady is 2-1, 5.40 in five starts this year (under 3-2). Miami won both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1-1

Scherzer is 4-0, 2.56 in his last seven starts; he left his last outing with neck spasms. His last six starts went over. Washington is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-1

Marlins are 7-4 in last 11 games; their last four games stayed under. Marlins are 8-10 in road series openers. Washington is 4-5 in last nine games; over is 6-3 in last nine home games. Nationals are 2-6 in last eight home series openers.

Padres @ Reds
Chacin is 5-0, 2.04 in his last six starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Padres are 5-2 in his last seven road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-3

Stephenson is 0-2, 5.28 in three starts this year (under 3-0); Reds lost his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1-1

San Diego lost three of last four games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight. Padres are 5-12 in road series openers. Cincinnati lost three of last four games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Reds are 8-6 in last 14 home series openers.

Cubs @ Giants
Arrieta is 2-1, 2.73 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Cubs are 4-7 in his last 11 road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-3

Moore is 0-4, 6.45 in his last seven starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Giants are 1-6 in his last even home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-16-4

Chicago lost four of last five games; their last four road games stayed under. Cubs are 6-2 in last eight road series openers. Giants lost five of last seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five.

——————————–

American League

Orioles @ Angels
Bundy is 2-0, 4.19 in his last three starts; over is 8-1 in his last nine starts. Orioles are 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-2

Ramirez is 3-2, 2.48 In his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Angels are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-5

Baltimore won seven of last nine games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Orioles are 2-5 in last seven home series openers. Angels won six of their last eight home games, but lost last two; five of their last seven games overall went over.

__________________________

Interleague
Tigers @ Pirates
Zimmerman is 2-1, 3.33 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Detroit is 3-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10

Williams is 1-1, 4.28 in his last five starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Pirates are 3-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-2

Tigers won six of last nine games; under is 4-2 in their last six. Detroit is 4-7 in last 11 road series openers. Pittsburgh won three of last four games; under is 17-3-1 in last 21 home games. Pirates are 8-10 in home series openers.

Brewers @ Twins
Suter is 2-1, 2.80 in his last six starts (under 5-2). Brewers are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-2-1

Santana is 2-2, 3.97 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Twins are 4-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-3

Brewers won three of last four games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Milwaukee is 10-8 in road series openers. Minnesota is 0-8 in game following its last eight wins; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Twins are 9-9 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Royals
Martinez is 1-1, 4.88 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Cardinals are 3-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11-2

Kennedy is 1-1, 7.07 in his last three starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven home starts. Royals are 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-3

St Louis is 8-5 in last 13 games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Cardinals are 6-11 in road series openers. Royals lost five of last seven games; over is 3-1 in their last four. KC is 10-8 in home series openers.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mia-Wsh: O’Grady 4-1; Scherzer 14-8
SD-Cin: Chacin 13-9; Stephenson 1-2
Chi-SF: Arrieta 11-11; Moore 6-16

American League
Balt-LAA: Bundy 13-8; Ramirez 12-9

Interleague
Det-Pitt: Zimmerman 8-13; Williams 7-9
Mil-Min: Suter 3-4; Santana 12-10
StL-KC: Martinez 10-12; Kennedy 10-10

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mia-Wsh: O’Grady 2-5; Scherzer 7-22
SD-Cin: Chacin 8-22; Stephenson 1-3
Chi-SF: Arrieta 6-22; Moore 8-22

American League
Balt-LAA: Bundy 3-21; Ramirez 10-21

Interleague
Det-Pitt: Zimmerman 8-21; Williams 5-16
Mil-Min: Suter 0-7; Santana 4-22
StL-KC: Martinez 9-22; Kennedy 4-20

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 58-44 AL, favorites -$653
AL @ NL– 58-51 NL, favorites -$401
Total: 109-102 AL, favorites -$1,054

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 52-50-2
AL @ NL: Over 61-45-4
Total: Over 113-95-6

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/6/17
Ariz 21-22-15……30-15–9……….51-37
Atl 21-26-8……19-28-7………..40-54
Cubs 25-26-4……25-21-9………..50-47
Reds 18-32-5……..20-31–5……….38-63
Colo 29-21-6…….31-21-3………..60-42
LA 26-18-7…….38-16-6……….64-34
Miami 23-25-6…….27-21-7………50-46
Milw 28-19-8…….29-21-8………56-40
Mets 24-26-3……..23-29-4………47-55
Philly 13-33-12……20-24-7……….33-57
Pitt 26-25-4…….21-26-9………47-51
St. Louis 21-25-8……31-17-9…………52-42
SD 16-32-6……..27-23–6……….43-55
SF 12-37-8……..21-27-8……….36-64
Wash 35-18-5……23-21-7………….58-39

Orioles 19-29-4……..26-27-5………45-56
Boston 21-27-7………27-27-2…….48-54
White Sox 19-32-8……..18-29–3……..37-60
Cleveland 27-20-6……..27-20-7……..53-40
Detroit 22-27-9…….25-22-5……..47-49
Astros 27-18-8……..36-19-4……..63-37
KC 18-26-8………23-22-12…….41-48
Angels 20-27-8………25-21-11………45-48
Twins 29-16-8………24-28-6……..53-43
NYY 22-31-5……….29-20-3…..…51-51
A’s 21-28-7……..23-24-10……..44-52
Seattle 19-28-8……..30-19-9……..49-47
TB 28-20-10……..33-14-7……..61-34
Texas 27-20-10……..24-22-8………51-42
Toronto 23-32-3……..18-26-8……..41-58

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/6/17)
Ariz 17-56……..21-54………..37
Atl 12-55……..15-54………..27
Cubs 14-55……..20-55……….34
Reds 21-55……..22-55……….42
Colo 14-56……..20-56..…….34
LA 16-51……..22-59..……..38
Miami 24-54……..18-55………42
Milw 20-55……23-58…..…..43
Mets 23-53……..18-56……….41
Philly 16-58……..14-52……….30
Pitt 16-55……..18-56……….34
StL 12-54……..18-56………..30
SD 21-54……..17-56…………38
SF 14-57……..16-56…………30
Wash 24-58……..22-51……….46

Orioles 7-53……..19-59……….26
Boston 17-56……..13-56………30
White Sox 16-59……12-50……….28
Clev 10-53……..19-56………29
Detroit 14-58…….20-53………34
Astros 17-53……..24-58……….41
KC 11-53……..10-57………..21
Angels 21-56…….15-57………..35
Twins 12-51……..13-57……….25
NYY 13-58……..15-52………28
A’s 13-56……..19-57………32
Seattle 18-54…….20-59………38
TB 18-58……..20-55……..38
Texas 21-57……..25-53………46
Toronto 19-58……..12-54………31

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Monday, August 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games at home
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing San Diego

8:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MINNESOTA
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:15 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
Kansas City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Kansas City is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Angels's last 18 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

10:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Chi Cubs are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (52 - 57) at WASHINGTON (65 - 44) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS O'GRADY (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 (+2.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

CHRIS O'GRADY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
O'GRADY is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. MIAMI since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 8-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (49 - 61) at CINCINNATI (45 - 66) - 7:10 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. TIM ADLEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 117-155 (+1.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-38 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 70-84 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 30-25 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHACIN is 13-9 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 10-5 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 10-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 397-365 (-85.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CHACIN is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.021.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

TIM ADLEMAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (58 - 52) at SAN FRANCISCO (44 - 69) - 10:15 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 58-52 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 262-315 (-68.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 808-764 (-158.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 115-66 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-69 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-53 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-43 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-47 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-28 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MOORE is 6-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MOORE is 7-24 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+1.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARRIETA is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.97 and a WHIP of 0.942.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

MATT MOORE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MOORE is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (55 - 56) at LA ANGELS (55 - 57) - 10:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 54-79 (-25.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 55-57 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-25 (+20.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 221-170 (+42.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 43-40 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-25 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 22-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 143-130 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 101-90 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 31-23 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DYLAN BUNDY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JC RAMIREZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (51 - 59) at PITTSBURGH (54 - 57) - 7:05 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-43 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 33-42 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 98-116 (-30.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-32 (-8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 1-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (59 - 54) at MINNESOTA (53 - 56) - 8:10 PM
BRENT SUTER (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 34-29 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-54 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 65-62 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-27 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-31 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-44 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-25 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 112-159 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-55 (-21.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-33 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 124-145 (-41.6 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 9-18 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 22-44 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 2-9 (-10.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 8-18 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 3-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 1-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRENT SUTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SANTANA is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.941.
His team's record is 0-3 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (55 - 56) at KANSAS CITY (57 - 53) - 8:15 PM
CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 55-56 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 11-20 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 93-92 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 41-45 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-71 (-19.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 11-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 57-53 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 79-52 (+26.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 32-25 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-13 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 38-35 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 43-34 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 32-25 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 72-63 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 31-27 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 276-392 (-107.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MARTINEZ is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KENNEDY is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.556.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.8 units)

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Best Bet
August 7, 2017

Monday MLB Best Bet
San Diego vs. Cincinnati

It's a very light board to kick off the week of MLB action tonight and chances are there will be a few other games featuring more prominent contenders that will garner more attention from the betting public tonight. But I see tonight's series opener between the Padres and Reds as one of the better betting opportunities on this light board.

Neither team has done much winning this year to garner any sort of consistent support from the general betting masses, but that doesn't mean we can't cash in on a game between two basement dwellers.

A winning wager isn't worth more simply because it was placed on a more popular game, and often times you can find “easier” winners in these games that get lost in the shuffle.

Hopefully that's the case tonight.

BetOnline.ag Odds: San Diego (+101) vs. Cincinnati (-111); Total set at 9.5

Based on the opening line, this game has already seen some sharp bettors get out early on this game and show some support to the visiting Padres on the ML. San Diego's line has dropped from +115 open to it's current price with VegasInsider.com showing about 35% support. San Diego did sweep the Reds back in mid-June, and the finale of that series was won by tonight's starter Jhoulys Chacin (4-2).

Sometimes it's as simple as past results that bettors like to back – and the underdog - in games featuring two teams nobody wants, and that appears to be the case with this move. Neither team has been playing great baseball of late, but the Padres are 6-0 SU the last six times Chacin has started for them, and with plus-money odds on him tonight, you can see why the Padres have garnered some support here.

However, with most of the value sucked out of the San Diego ML option now, and the Reds and there one win in their last four games aren't something I'm willing to lay any sort of juice with. So it's on to the total in another line that's already seen some movement.

Tonight's total has stayed at 9.5 the entire time, but after opening at -110, the majority of support has come in on the low side, putting the 'under' as chalk. I get the line of thinking in that bad teams typically don't score often and putting two of them together – especially with Chacin's hot streak of late on the mound – should lead to a low-scoring game.

Yet, the flip side of that coin is that bad teams also give up plenty of runs to lose the majority of their tilts, and putting two of them in the same game should lead to quite a few runs scored. That, along with a preference to be in the betting minority here – VegasInsider.com has about 40% on the 'over' right now – is the approach I'm taking tonight.

Cincinnati has always been a hitter's ballpark, and Reds home games this year have averaged 10.23 runs per game. That's only equated to a 29-27 O/U record for Cincinnati, but the 5.45 runs/game they've allowed here usually puts them behind the eight-ball and if Cincy's bats are going (which is quite often the case), that's when the near .500 O/U record takes shape.

But the Padres give up 5.48 runs/game away from home this season and when you put that number together with the Reds runs allowed/home game you get nearly 11 runs. That's more than enough to cash an 'over' wager tonight.

Finally, the Padres are 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 road games on the whole, and tonight's starter for Cincy – Tim Adleman – has really fallen off a cliff of late. Adleman's 7.71 ERA over his last three starts is extremely rough, and with the 13 runs Cincinnati gave up yesterday vs. St Louis, Adleman's not going to get much help from his tired bullpen when they enter the fray. The Reds are 9-4 O/U when Adleman gets the call after Cincinnati lost last time out, and the Padres are 7-3-1 O/U themselves when coming off a defeat.

With everyone expecting next to nothing in this game between two teams patiently waiting for 2018 to arrive, I believe we see some offensive fireworks tonight in a game that could reach double digits before the 7th inning arrives.

Odds per - BetOnline.ag

Best Bet: San Diego/Cincinnati Over 9.5 (+100)

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Monday
August 7, 2017

TOP SU TREND:

-- The Twins are 0-14 since May 29, 2006 with no rest in the first game of a series coming off a one-run, non-shutout win as a favorite

TOP OU TREND:

-- The Orioles are 0-12-1 OU (-2.38 ppg) since Sep 05, 2014 with no rest on the road in the first game of a series after they had more than one multiple-run innings last game.

TOP STARTER TREND:

-- The Twins are 0-9 since Oct 02, 2015 when Ervin Santana starts at home when they won in his last start but lost in his last start against this current opponent.

TOP CHOICE TREND:

-- The Cardinals are 0-9 OU (-3.17 ppg) since Jun 30, 2017 after they scored 6+ runs.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Diamond Notes
August 7, 2017

Hottest team: Orioles (7-2 past nine overall, 10-4 past 14 at home)

The Orioles fought back from an 0-2 deficit against the Tigers, evening the four-game set at two apiece after a sound beating of Detroit on Sunday behind Ubaldo Jimenez. Over their past seven games the O's are averaging 5.8 runs per game while allowing just 2.9 runs per outing. That's the type of production that will lead to many wins, and they've mostly been doing it without Mark Trumbo (ribs). Now Baltimore hits the road, facing an Angels team spinning its wheels. The Halos were stunned at home when the A's scored five in the top of the eighth to win it 11-10.The Angels are 6-3 over their past nine games, but they're 1-4 over J.C. Ramirez's past five starts working on full rest.

Coldest team: Giants (4-6 past 10 games)

It's slim pickings on Monday with just 14 temas in action, but the Giants have been cold pretty much all season. They have won three of their past four games, but now they'll face the World Champion Cubs, a team playing much better of late. Chicago has won 11 of their past 12 on the road, and they're 20-7 in their past 27 starts against a left-handed starter. That doesn't bode well for Matt Moore, as the Giants are 3-8 over his past 11 when working on full rest. The Giants are also 1-4 over his past five starts, and 1-6 over his past seven at home.

Hottest pitcher: MaxScherzer, Nationals (12-5, 2.21 ERA)

Scherzer takes the ball as the active leader in the majors in ERA with Clayton Kershaw still on the 10-day disbled list. The man with two different colored eyes hasn't had the best of run support at times this season, but everything is coming up aces lately. Washington is 5-2 over his past seven outing, and they're averaging 9.0 runs per game over the past four outings. The Nationals are 27-11 over Scherzer's past 38 starts overall, 8-3 over his past 11 at home against a team with a losing overall mark and 6-1 across his past seven assignments overall.

Coldest pitcher: Matt Moore, Giants (3-11, 5.80 ERA)

It's been a struggle for Moore all season, as the opposition is hitting .323 aginst him over 139 1/3 innings with a 1.58 WHIP. Moore has yielded the second-most earned runs in the majors at 79, one fewer than Padres SP Clayton Richard, alhough Moore has logged nearly 17 fewer innings. It doesn't get easier for Moore, as he'll be facing the world champs. Chicago has won 11 of its past 12 road games, while going 21-7 across Jake Arrieta's past 28 away games. The Cubs have won four of the past five in this series, although they're just 2-5 in their past seven trips to the Bay Area.

Biggest UNDER run: Cubs (28-11 past 39 road games)

The 'under' has hit frequently over the past 39 games away from the Friendly Confines, going 28-11. In addition, the under is 37-17-3 across the past 57 for the Cubbies against the National League West Division. And for what it's worth, which probably isn't much, the under is 7-0-1 over Chicago's past eight games on a Monday. On the other side of the ledger, the under is 8-2-1 over the past 11 home games for Moore, while going 5-0-1 in hisp ast six at home against a team with an overall winning mark. The over has hit in five of the past six between these two clubs.

Biggest OVER run: Tigers (11-0 past 11 vs. NL Central)

The over has been hitting frequently in games started by Jordan Zimmermann, and their most recent games agianst NL Central teams has been especially entertaining. The over is 4-1-1 over Zimm's past six road outing and 4-1 across his past five starts overall. Zimmermann has been involved in plenty of high-scoring outings when opening a series, too, as the over is 8-1 over his past nine during Game 1 of a series.The over is also a perfect 11-0 over his past 11 against the NL Central, while the over has connected in a perfect 7-of-7 in each of the past seven meetings in this interleague series.

Matchup to watch: Royals vs. Cardinals

The Cardinals head west on Interstate 70 for their interleague rivalry series against the Royals. The Cards have dominated in recent seasons, going 27-11 over their past 38 trips to Kansas City. St. Louis hopes Carlos Martinez can bounce back, as they're just 2-6 over his past eight outings and 1-4 in his past five on the road. Conversely, Kansas City has won eight of Ian Kennedy's past 10 outings, and they're 5-1 over his past six against teams with a losing overall mark. The Royals are also 11-4 over their past 16 against NL Central foes, while going 10-3 over their past 13 against right-handed starting pitching.

Betcha didn’t know: The 'under' continues to hit in this I-70 rivalry, going 10-2-5 over the past 17 in this series. the under is also 4-1-3 across the past eight at 'The K' in Kansas City. The over has been the story for the Cardinals in interleague games of late, going a perfect 9-0 over their past nine interleague outings and 4-0 in their past four against teams from the American League. The under is 17-6-4 across the past 27 for St. Louis, however, and 5-1-2 over their past eight on the road. The under is also 7-1-2 in K.C.'s past 10 vs. NL Central foes, 7-1 in theirp ast eight against losing teams and 7-3 in their past 10 vs. RHP.

Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-175) at Giants

Biggest public underdog: Padres (+125) at Reds

Biggest line move: Pirates (-130 to -155) vs. Tigers

[StarDust Bum]

Don Baylor, former MVP and manager of year, dead at 68
August 7, 2017

AUSTIN, Texas (AP) Don Baylor, the 1979 AL MVP with the California Angels who went on to become manager of the year with the Colorado Rockies in 1995, has died. He was 68.

Baylor died Monday at a hospital in Austin, Texas, his son, Don Baylor Jr., told the Austin American-Statesman. His wife, Rebecca Baylor, confirmed the death in a statement posted on Major League Baseball's website. He battled multiple myeloma for more than 10 years.

Baylor played in all 162 games in 1979 and finished with career highs in homers (36), RBIs (139), hits (186) and runs (120) while helping the Angels to the American League West title before they lost to Baltimore in the AL championship series.

He was the first manager of the expansion Rockies, leading them to their first playoff appearance in the franchise's third season. He also managed the Chicago Cubs.

[StarDust Bum]

Dodgers' rotation has depth to go with star power
August 7, 2017

It may seem like everything has gone right for the Los Angeles Dodgers this year, but that's actually not the case.

Clayton Kershaw hasn't pitched since July 23 because of a back injury, and promising left-hander Julio Urias was lost to shoulder problems.

The reason the Dodgers are on pace to win 115 games is because no matter who has been on the mound, their starting pitching has been sharp. Los Angeles has six players with at least 16 starts for the Dodgers, and they all have ERAs of 3.84 or lower.

And that doesn't even include Yu Darvish, who had 10 strikeouts in his debut for the Dodgers on Friday night after being acquired in a trade from Texas.

This past week has been a microcosm of the season. Los Angeles went 5-1, and in the five wins, starters Kenta Maeda, Alex Wood, Darvish, Rich Hill and Hyun-Jin Ryu allowed four runs in 32 innings.

It was a dominant stretch that didn't even include Kershaw, who is set to rejoin the team Monday night in Phoenix.

The depth of this staff has allowed the Dodgers to withstand injuries, not just to Kershaw and Urias, but also to Maeda (hamstring issue in May) and Ryu (bruised foot in July). And Hill and Brandon McCarthy have had blister concerns.

Kershaw, Wood, Maeda, Ryu, McCarthy and Hill have all thrown at least 83 innings, but only Kershaw has pitched more than 110. What matters is that those six pitchers have been effective - and that their injuries haven't overlapped enough to cause any major problems.

With Darvish now in the mix, the Dodgers will have some interesting decisions to make down the stretch. If everyone is healthy, the postseason rotation would almost certainly include Kershaw, Darvish and Wood, who is 13-1 with a 2.33 ERA. Hill's strikeout numbers make him an enticing option as well, but Ryu and Maeda may not be done making their cases yet.

Here are a few other developments from around baseball:

QUOTABLE

Dave Dombrowski has rarely been one to make headlines with his public comments, but Boston's president of baseball operations added some juice to the rivalry with the Yankees after New York general manager Brian Cashman acquired Sonny Gray from Oakland at the deadline.

''I think that Brian has made them the Golden State Warriors and we're the significant underdogs,'' Dombrowski said. ''Like he said earlier in the year, that he didn't know how the Red Sox would lose a game, I think it'll be the same: I don't know how they'll lose a game right now.''

Dombrowski was alluding to a preseason comment by Cashman, who compared the Red Sox to the Warriors after Boston acquired ace pitcher Chris Sale.

For what it's worth, it's Dombrowski's Red Sox who have now won six in a row to take a three-game lead over New York atop the AL East.

HIGHLIGHT

The Detroit Tigers had an amusing moment in Friday night's win over Baltimore when they collectively seemed to forget how many outs there were . Justin Verlander struck out Jonathan Schoop for the third out of the bottom of the third inning, but the Tigers began throwing the ball around the horn and remained on the field before realizing the inning was over.

LINE OF THE WEEK

Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks, hit three home runs, including a tiebreaking shot in the ninth inning of Arizona's 10-8 win over the Chicago Cubs on Thursday.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, AUGUST 7

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIA at WAS 07:05 PM

MIA +270

U 8.0

DET at PIT 07:05 PM

DET +140

O 8.5

SD at CIN 07:10 PM

O 9.5

MIL at MIN 08:10 PM

O 9.0

STL at KC 08:15 PM

O 9.0

BAL at LAA 10:07 PM

BAL +105

O 9.0

CHC at SF 10:08 PM

SF +160

U 8.0

[StarDust Bum]

MLB roundup: Williams, Pirates one-hit Tigers
August 8, 2017

ANAHEIM, Calif. -- Mike Trout had two hits on his 26th birthday to give him 1,001 for his career, but his Los Angeles Angels lost 6-2 to the Baltimore Orioles on Monday.

Trout reached 1,000 hits with a double in the fourth inning off Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy. He joined Hall of Famers Mickey Mantle, Jimmie Foxx and Mel Ott as the fourth player to get at least 1,000 hits, 500 runs and 500 walks before his age 26-season. Baseball defines a player's age based on how old he is on July 1.

Trout also homered for the fourth time on his birthday in the sixth inning, but Manny Machado hit a tiebreaking grand slam in the seventh inning.

Bundy (11-8) allowed two runs and five hits in seven innings with a career-high 10 strikeouts.

Pirates 3, Tigers 0

PITTSBURGH -- Trevor Williams pitched one-hit ball over seven scoreless innings, and John Jaso smacked a pinch-hit, two-run homer as the Pittsburgh beat Detroit.

George Kontos, in his Pittsburgh debut after being picked up off waivers Saturday, and Juan Nicasio each pitched a perfect inning in relief to complete the shutout. Nicasio earned his second save. The Tigers' only hit was a leadoff single by James McCann in the third.

Williams (5-4) walked two, struck out five and threw a career-high 107 pitches. Francisco Cervelli hit an RBI double in the second inning, and Jaso, batting for Williams, homered in the seventh.

Cubs 5, Giants 3

SAN FRANCISCO -- Javier Baez hit an inside-the-park home run in the second inning, and Chicago beat San Francisco.

Baez hit a ball off the right-center-field fence that bounced back toward right field after being badly misplayed by Carlos Moncrief.

Jake Arrieta (11-8) allowed three runs (two earned) and nine hits in 6 1/3 innings as Chicago won for the 16th time in 23 games since the All-Star break.

Rookie Ryder Jones hit a two-run homer for San Francisco.

Cardinals 11, Royals 3

KANSAS CITY, Mo. -- Matt Carpenter, Kolten Wong and Paul DeJong homered as St. Louis blasted Kansas City.

Carpenter hit a three-run homer in a six-run fourth inning. Wong and DeJong hit two-run shots in the eighth and ninth innings, respectively. Cardinals starter Carlos Martinez (8-9) gave up two runs on six hits over eight innings.

Mike Moustakas, Eric Hosmer and Brandon Moss hit solo homers for the Royals.

Reds 11, Padres 3

CINCINNATI -- Patrick Kivlehan hit a grand slam, and Joey Votto, Adam Duvall, and Zack Cozart added two-run shots, lifting Cincinnati to victory in the opener of a three-game series.

Jose Pirela homered twice for the Padres.

Padres starter Jhoulys Chacin (11-8) allowed five earned runs and yielded more than three earned runs for the first time since May 23.

Nationals 3, Marlins 2

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Pinch hitter Adam Lind hit a tiebreaking RBI single with two outs in the eighth inning as Washington beat Miami.

Max Scherzer, who left his previous start with a sore neck in the top of the second, allowed two runs and five hits in seven innings but did not get a decision.

Miami's Giancarlo Stanton hit is major-league-leading 37th homer of the year. Marlins starter Chris O'Grady exited his sixth major league start in the second inning with a right oblique strain.

Twins 5, Brewers 4

MINNEAPOLIS -- Jorge Polanco had four hits, and Eddie Rosario scored the go-ahead run in the seventh inning on a balk as Minnesota edged Milwaukee.

The Twins recovered from a 3-0 deficit a night after coming back from down five runs in a 6-5 win against the Texas Rangers.

Buddy Boshers (1-0) retired the only batter he faced for the win. Matt Belisle recorded his second consecutive save, and second of the season, as the Twins' new closer.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s six-pack

— Mike Trout got his 1,000th career hit on his 26th birthday Monday.

— In parts of Wyoming, the speed limit is 80 mph. Wow.

— Former big league 1B Ike Davis is making a comeback as a pitcher in the Arizona State League with a Dodgers farm club.

— New Year’s Eve at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas? $499 for the night. Yikes.

— 36-year old WR Anquan Boldin signed with the Buffalo Bills for one year, $2.75M.

— RIP Don Baylor 68, who passed away this weekend. A very good player and first manager of the Rockies, he played 19 years in the major leagues— he was AL MVP in 1979. RIP

************************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Think about how smart/fortunate the Green Bay Packers have been; since 1992, their starting QB’s have been Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers. Thats it. Two Hall of Famers.

By way of contrast, my favorite team, the Rams, have had 10 different #1 QB’s since ‘92, and Jared Goff will be #11 this season.

12) Chargers’ QB Philip Rivers has 8 kids, and therefore is being allowed to commute 71 miles from his home to training camp every day. Very odd situation— chances are Rivers will be retired by the time the Rams/Chargers move into the new Hollywood Park stadium in 2020.

Since 2002, Drew Brees/Philip Rivers have been the Chargers’ #1 QB’s; not bad. In the five years before that, 1997-2001, the Chargers had five different #1 QB’s: Stan Humphries, Craig Whelihan, Jim Harbaugh, Ryan Leaf and Doug Flutie. Continuity is very important.

11) This from the Football Outsiders Almanac, which I just bought online:

“Last year’s Oakland Raiders had the lowest scoring differential (plus-31) of any 12-4 team in NFL history. The other seven teams that went 12-4 with a scoring differential of plus-70 or lower averaged a 9-7 record the next year.”

10) I’m not a big fan of fantasy football, but a ton of people are, and one of the questions those people need to answer this season is what impact Adrian Peterson will have in New Orleans. Saints open the season in Minnesota, against Peterson’s old team, the Vikings.

9) The daughter of Saints’ coach Sean Payton goes to college at Pepperdine; she is a PR intern at the Cowboys’ training camp in Oxnard, CA this summer.

8) Cam Newton isn’t practicing with the Panthers just yet; his shoulder’s health is going to determine a lot of how well Carolina does this season.

7) John Elway’s new contract nets him $6M a year to run the Denver Broncos, who’ve won more games than any team in the NFL during Elway’s tenure as GM, except New England.

6) Tennessee Titans wanted QB Marcus Mariota to gain weight to play this season, but he came to camp lighter, at 215. We’ll see how that works out for him.

5) QB Brock Osweiler will start the Browns’ preseason opener this week.

4) Bob Stoops retired as Oklahoma’s footballl coach back in June, at age 56, young for a coach to retire. Seems odd until you read that Stoops’ dad was a really good high school coach who died during a game when he was only 54. Then it makes a lot more sense.

3) Chargers have a new head coach in Anthony Lynn, but he has experienced coordinators, in ex-head coaches Ken Whisenhunt, Gus Bradley. That makes good sense.

2) This is a fun week ahead of us: NFL exhibitions resume Wednesday, and the last major of the golf season is this week, as well as the last week of the regular season for my fantasy baseball league. Rams play Dallas Saturday night— looking forward to seeing the Rams’ new offense.

1) My 12-day vacation to Las Vegas/Canton, OH was great fun; seems like six weeks ago I watched LaVar Ball’s AAU team play in Vegas, but it was only 13 days ago. Any night spent watching baseball in the Westgate SuperBook is also tremendous.

That said, it is good to be home.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s games
National League

Marlins @ Nationals
Worley is 1-2, 5.60 in six starts this year (over 4-2). Miami is 1-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-1

Cole is 1-1, 4.91 in two starts this season (under 2-0)- this is his first home start. Washington’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Marlins lost three of last four games; their last five games stayed under. Washington won three of last four games; under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Padres @ Reds
Perdomo is 1-2, 8.57 in his last four starts (over 3-1); San Diego is 2-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-4

Romano is 2-3, 5.86 in six starts this year (under 4-2). Reds are 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3

San Diego lost four of last five games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine. Cincinnati lost three of last five games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Phillies @ Braves
Eflin is making his first start since May 28; he is 0-3, 13.20 in his last three starts (over 6-1-1). Phillies are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-3

Teheran is 0-3, 6.29 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Atlanta is 3-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-4

Phillies lost five of last six games; under is 6-3 in their last nine. Phils are 7-12 in road series openers. Atlanta is 3-8 in last 11 home games; under is 7-2 in their last nine. Braves are 9-8 in home series openers.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Maeda is 4-0, 1.64 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Dodgers are 6-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-5-1

Godley is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine starts. Arizona is 3-2 in his home outings— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-2

Dodgers are 44-7 in their last 51 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. LA is 9-1 in last ten road series openers. Arizona is 3-5 in its last eight home games; over is 4-2 in their last six. Diamondbacks are 12-5 in home series openers.

Cubs @ Giants
Quintana is 2-1, 4.13 in four starts with the Cubs (under 3-1). Cubs split his two road starts for them— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2-1

Blach is 1-2, 3.10 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six starts. Giants are 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8

Chicago lost four of last six games; under is 4-0-1 inn their last five road games. Giants lost six of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six.

——————————–

American League
New York @ Toronto
Sabathia is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. New York is 7-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-1

Happ is 1-1, 2.77 in his last two starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Toronto is 2-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9

New York lost four of last six games; under is 5-1 in their last six. NY is 9-9 in road series openers. Blue Jays are 5-2 in last seven games; 2-6 in last eight home series openers. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Red Sox @ Rays
Sale is 2-0, 2.45 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Boston is 8-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-4-6

Pruitt is 1-1, 3.14 in his last three starts (under 3-0). All three starts were on the road. Rays’ first 5-inning record with him: 2-1

Boston won its last six games but lost four of last five on road; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Red Sox are 8-10 in road series openers. Tampa Bay won four of last six games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine home tilts. Rays are 6-11 in home series openers.

Astros @ White Sox
Keuchel is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts since coming off the DL; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Houston is 7-0 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-2-2

Holland is 0-4, 8.70 in his last six starts; over is 12-5 in his last 17. Chicago is 2-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11-3

Astros lost four of last six games; over is 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Houston is 14-3 in road series openers. Chicago is 3-20 in its last 23 games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. White Sox are 6-11 in home series openers.

Mariners @ A’s
Miranda is 0-1, 7.16 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Seattle is 7-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-8-1

Graveman is 0-4, 6.00 in his last seven starts (under 5-4). A’s are 3-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-4

Yonder Alonso stays in Oakland, but plays for his new team here. Mariners won six of last nine games; over is 3-1 in their last four. Seattle is 8-9 in road series openers. Oakland lost six of last nine home games (under 7-1-1). A’s are 5-11 in home series openers.

Orioles @ Angels
Hellickson blanked the Royals for seven innings (94 PT) in his Oriole debut, a 6-0 win. Baltimore’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Bridwell is 3-0, 2.56 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Angels are 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-2-1

Baltimore won eight of last ten games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Angels lost last three games; five of their last eight games overall went over.

__________________________

Interleague
Tigers @ Pirates
Boyd is 3-0, 4.50 in his last four starts; Detroit scored 30 runs in the four games. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Detroit is 4-0 in his last four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7-3

Kuhl is 1-1, 2.95 in his last three starts; under is 4-0 in his last four starts. Pirates are 5-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-3

Tigers lost their last three games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Pittsburgh won four of last five games; under is 18-3-1 in last 22 home games.

Rangers @ Mets
Cashner is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts; his last six starts stayed under. Texas is 3-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

Flexen is 0-1, 13.50 in two starts this year (over 2-0), lasting total of six IP. This is his first start at Citi Field. Mets’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-2

Rangers lost six of last nine games; over is 6-4 in their last ten road games. Texas is 8-10 in road series openers. Mets lost their last four games (under 3-1). New York is 10-8 in home series openers.

Rockies @ Indians
Marquez is 4-0, 3.21 in his lat five starts; his last three starts stayed under. Colorado is 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-3

Kluber is 2-0, 2.55 in his last five starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Cleveland is 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-2

Rockies won three of last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Colorado is 3-7 in last ten road series openers. Cleveland lost five of last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Indians are 9-9 in home series openers.

Brewers @ Twins
Garza is 2-1, 1.64 in his last four starts; his last six starts stayed under. Brewers are 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-2

Mejia is 0-2, 4.62 in his last five starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Minnesota is 4-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-4

Brewers won three of last five games; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Minnesota won three of last four games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Cardinals @ Royals
Wacha is 5-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts; his last six starts went over. St Louis is 3-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-4

Vargas is 2-1, 3.38 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Royals are 8-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-2

St Louis is 9-5 in last 14 games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11. Royals lost six of last eight games; over is 4-1 in their last five.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mia-Wsh: Worley 4-2; Cole 1-1
SD-Cin: Perdomo 8-11; Romano 2-4
Phil-Atl: Eflin 2-6; Teheran 10-12
LA-Az: Maeda 13-4; Godley 10-5
Chi-SF: Quintana 2-2 (10-8); Blach 8-10

American League
NY-Tor: Sabathia 13-5; Happ 5-10
Bos-TB: Sale 16-6; Pruitt 2-1
Hst-Chi: Keuchel 11-2; Holland 6-15
Sea-A’s: Miranda 12-10; Graveman 4-5
Balt-LAA: Hellickson 1-0 (10-10); Bridwell 8-1

Interleague
Det-Pitt: Boyd 8-7 (5-0 last 5); Kuhl 8-14
Tex-NY: Cashner 9-9; Flexen 1-1
Col-Clev: Marquez 12-6 (5-0 last 5); Kluber 11-7
Mil-Min: Garza 8-8; Mejia 7-10
StL-KC: Wacha 10-10; Vargas 16-6

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mia-Wsh: Worley 5-6; Cole 1-2
SD-Cin: Perdomo 7-19; Romano 1-6
Phil-Atl: Eflin 6-8; Teheran 8-22
LA-Az: Maeda 6-17; Godley 2-15
Chi-SF: Quintana 5-22; Blach 6-18

American League
NY-Tor: Sabathia 4-18; Happ 3-15
Bos-TB: Sale 2-22; Pruitt 1-3
Hst-Chi: Keuchel 3-13; Holland 6-21
Sea-A’s: Miranda 10-22; Graveman 5-9
Balt-LAA: Hellickson 6-21; Bridwell 0-9

Interleague
Det-Pitt: Boyd 5-15; Kuhl 4-22
Tex-NY: Cashner 5-18; Flexen 1-2
Col-Clev: Marquez 5-18; Kluber 3-18
Mil-Min: Garza 4-16; Mejia 5-17
StL-KC: Wacha 3-20; Vargas 5-22

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Mia-Wsh: Over is 13-3-1 in last 17 Gonzalez games.
SD-Cin: Last three Baker games stayed under total.
Chi-SF: Under is 6-1 in last seven Lentz games.

American League
Balt-LAA: Favorites are 17-2 in Nauert games this year.

Interleague
Det-Pitt: Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Fairchild games.
Mil-Min: Over is 4-1-1 in last six Barksdale games.
StL-KC: Under is 12-2-3 in last 17 Blakney games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 59-45 AL, favorites -$453
AL @ NL– 59-51 NL, favorites -$301
Total: 109-102 AL, favorites -$754

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 53-50-3
AL @ NL: Over 61-46-4
Total: Over 114-96-7

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/7/17
Ariz 21-22-15……30-15–9……….51-37
Atl 21-26-8……19-28-7………..40-54
Cubs 26-26-4……25-21-9………..51-47
Reds 18-32-5……..21-31–5……….39-63
Colo 29-21-6…….31-21-3………..60-42
LA 26-18-7…….38-16-6……….64-34
Miami 23-26-6…….27-21-7………50-47
Milw 29-19-8…….29-21-8………57-40
Mets 24-26-3……..23-29-4………47-55
Philly 13-33-12……20-24-7……….33-57
Pitt 26-25-4…….22-26-9………48-51
St. Louis 22-25-8……31-17-9…………53-42
SD 16-33-6……..27-23–6……….43-56
SF 12-37-8……..21-28-8……….36-65
Wash 35-18-5……24-21-7………….59-39

Orioles 20-29-4……..26-27-5………46-56
Boston 21-27-7………27-27-2…….48-54
White Sox 19-32-8……..18-29–3……..37-60
Cleveland 27-20-6……..27-20-7……..53-40
Detroit 22-28-9…….25-22-5……..47-50
Astros 27-18-8……..36-19-4……..63-37
KC 18-26-8………23-23-12…….41-49
Angels 20-27-8………25-22-11………45-49
Twins 29-16-8………24-29-6……..53-44
NYY 22-31-5……….29-20-3…..…51-51
A’s 21-28-7……..23-24-10……..44-52
Seattle 19-28-8……..30-19-9……..49-47
TB 28-20-10……..33-14-7……..61-34
Texas 27-20-10……..24-22-8………51-42
Toronto 23-32-3……..18-26-8……..41-58

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/7/17)
Ariz 17-56……..21-54………..37
Atl 12-55……..15-54………..27
Cubs 14-56……..20-55……….34
Reds 21-55……..23-56……….43
Colo 14-56……..20-56..…….34
LA 16-51……..22-59..……..38
Miami 24-55……..18-55………42
Milw 20-56……23-58…..…..43
Mets 23-53……..18-56……….41
Philly 16-58……..14-52……….30
Pitt 16-55……..18-57……….34
StL 12-55……..18-56………..30
SD 21-55……..17-56…………38
SF 14-57……..16-57…………30
Wash 24-58……..22-52……….46

Orioles 7-54……..19-59……….26
Boston 17-56……..13-56………30
White Sox 16-59……12-50……….28
Clev 10-53……..19-56………29
Detroit 14-59…….20-53………34
Astros 17-53……..24-58……….41
KC 11-53……..10-58………..21
Angels 21-56…….15-58………..35
Twins 12-51……..13-58……….25
NYY 13-58……..15-52………28
A’s 13-56……..19-57………32
Seattle 18-54…….20-59………38
TB 18-58……..20-55……..38
Texas 21-57……..25-53………46
Toronto 19-58……..12-54………31

[StarDust Bum]

LEADING OFF: Dodgers, Red Sox roll, Keuchel tries to rebound
August 8, 2017

A look at what's happening all around the majors Tuesday:

DAZZLING DODGERS

Kenta Maeda and the Los Angeles Dodgers try to keep up their amazing run when they open a series at Arizona. Los Angeles has won four straight, 13 of 14 and is 24-3 since July 4, and lead the majors with a 79-32 record. They are just the fourth big league team to win 43 or more over a 50-game stretch - the first since the 1912 New York Giants, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The others were the 1906 Chicago Cubs and 1884 St. Louis Maroons of the Union Association.

BOUNCE BACK?

Astros ace Dallas Keuchel was 9-0 with a 1.67 ERA in 11 starts when he was put on the disabled list in early April because of a neck problem. Since coming off the DL, the lefty hasn't looked like his old self, going 0-1 in two starts while giving up six runs on 13 hits and five walks in eight innings. Keuchel aims to regain his forms when he pitches on the road vs. the Chicago White Sox.

RED SOX ROLL

Chris Sale (13-4, 2.70 ERA) tops the majors with 216 strikeouts as AL East-leading Boston goes into a two-game series at Tampa Bay. Sale is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up seven runs in five innings against Cleveland.

STREAKING VOTTO

Joey Votto tries to extend his three-game homer streak and his longest hitting streak of the season. He's hit safely in 12 straight games and has homered in three straight - he's never connected in four in a row. The Cincinnati star has 30 home runs this season going into the matchup against Luis Perdomo and the visiting Padres.

[StarDust Bum]

August Best Bets Based on 5 Units Per Play

Best Bets

Date.........................Ats.................. ..........Totals................ Units Record

08/07/2017................1 - 3.........- 1.95.................3 - 1- 2....................+ 1.90
08/06/2017................3 - 7.........- 3.15.................4 - 3 - 1...................+ 0.70
08/05/2017................5 - 5........+ 1.40...............10 - 2 - 1...................+ 7.80
08/04/2017................4 - 3........+ 1.70.................5 - 5 - 0....................- 0.50
08/03/2017................4 - 4........+ 1.10.................4 - 2 - 1....................+1.80
08/02/2017................2 - 0........+ 2.90.................5 - 6 - 1......................-1.60
08/01/2017................0 - 1.........- 1.00.................1 - 7 - 1......................-6.60

Totals:.....................19 - 23........+ 1.00..............32 - 26 - 6...................+ 4.50