Thursday's Best Bet
August 10, 2017
Thursday MLB Betting Preview
L.A Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
These two NL West rivals have split the first two games of this three-game set as both sides will be looking for the series victory tonight. At 80-33 SU, the loss in the series opener was a rarity for L.A, who now turn to their prized deadline acquisition in Yu Darvish tonight.
Darvish was brilliant in his Dodgers debut last week as he had 10 K's and only gave up three hits in seven innings of work. L.A won that game 6-0 over the Mets and as heavy favorites tonight, they'd love a similar result.
BetDSI.euOdds: L.A (-182) vs. Arizona (+163); Total set at 9
L.A was able to rally late last night to get the 3-2 win to even up this series, continuing to find different ways to avoid losing streaks.
It was the first time the road team has won a game between these two in five meetings, and with Darvish on the hill tonight and the Dodgers upward of -180 favorites, there are plenty of bettors out there who believe L.A will make it two in a row.
According to VegasInsider.com, just under 70% of the ML wagers have come on the Dodgers tonight and all that action has pushed their number up from it opening in the -160 range.
But while the support continues to find it's way to the Dodgers tonight, I'm looking at tonight's total in this series finale and find it a much more attractive betting option.
The first two games of this series cashed 'under' tickets, and with a strong likelihood of these two NL West rivals meeting in the playoffs (should Arizona win the Wildcard game), chances are we see a more playoff-type feel to Dodgers/Diamondbacks games the rest of the year.
However, Arizona is one of the best hitter parks in all of baseball, and to see those same betting percentage numbers at VegasInsider.com show more than 90% on an 'under' for a Diamondbacks home game against one of the best offenses in all of baseball is really surprising.
Now, obviously having Darvish on the hill for L.A plays into that overwhelming support for the 'under,' but I don't believe Darvish will come close to duplicating the success he had in his first start with L.A, especially against an offense like the D-Backs have.
Arizona puts up 5.71 runs per home game this year and they know they'll likely need all of that average to beat the Dodgers. With Arizona's starter Anthony Banda making his third career MLB start tonight, his D-Backs teammates know they'll need to give him all the help they can if they want a chance to win.
L.A's own offense should make things difficult for the lefty Banda as L.A is on a 10-1 SU run on the road against southpaws, scoring 5.49 runs per road game the entire year against lefties. The high-powered offense the Dodgers have can't be overly thrilled with the fact that they've only scored three times in each of the first two games, and tonight's contest gives them an opportunity to get the bats sizzling hot again as they return home.
So with the ball-park being very hitter friendly and the majority of bettors backing a third straight 'under' in this series because Darvish is back on the hill, I've got no quarrels about going against the grain here and taking the high side of this total.
Arizona is on a 4-0-1 O/U run after scoring two runs or less in their last outing, they are 3-0-1 O/U during their last four Game 3's of a series, and we've got a HP ump in Hunter Wendelstedt who's seen five of his last six games behind the dish finish at or above the total (4-1-1 O/U).
L.A's offense can explode at any moment, and with it being very tough for Darvish to top his debut performance last week, I think we see one of those shootout-type games in Arizona this evening.
Odds per - BetDSI.eu
Best Bet: Over 9 runs
August 10, 2017
Thursday MLB Betting Preview
L.A Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
These two NL West rivals have split the first two games of this three-game set as both sides will be looking for the series victory tonight. At 80-33 SU, the loss in the series opener was a rarity for L.A, who now turn to their prized deadline acquisition in Yu Darvish tonight.
Darvish was brilliant in his Dodgers debut last week as he had 10 K's and only gave up three hits in seven innings of work. L.A won that game 6-0 over the Mets and as heavy favorites tonight, they'd love a similar result.
BetDSI.euOdds: L.A (-182) vs. Arizona (+163); Total set at 9
L.A was able to rally late last night to get the 3-2 win to even up this series, continuing to find different ways to avoid losing streaks.
It was the first time the road team has won a game between these two in five meetings, and with Darvish on the hill tonight and the Dodgers upward of -180 favorites, there are plenty of bettors out there who believe L.A will make it two in a row.
According to VegasInsider.com, just under 70% of the ML wagers have come on the Dodgers tonight and all that action has pushed their number up from it opening in the -160 range.
But while the support continues to find it's way to the Dodgers tonight, I'm looking at tonight's total in this series finale and find it a much more attractive betting option.
The first two games of this series cashed 'under' tickets, and with a strong likelihood of these two NL West rivals meeting in the playoffs (should Arizona win the Wildcard game), chances are we see a more playoff-type feel to Dodgers/Diamondbacks games the rest of the year.
However, Arizona is one of the best hitter parks in all of baseball, and to see those same betting percentage numbers at VegasInsider.com show more than 90% on an 'under' for a Diamondbacks home game against one of the best offenses in all of baseball is really surprising.
Now, obviously having Darvish on the hill for L.A plays into that overwhelming support for the 'under,' but I don't believe Darvish will come close to duplicating the success he had in his first start with L.A, especially against an offense like the D-Backs have.
Arizona puts up 5.71 runs per home game this year and they know they'll likely need all of that average to beat the Dodgers. With Arizona's starter Anthony Banda making his third career MLB start tonight, his D-Backs teammates know they'll need to give him all the help they can if they want a chance to win.
L.A's own offense should make things difficult for the lefty Banda as L.A is on a 10-1 SU run on the road against southpaws, scoring 5.49 runs per road game the entire year against lefties. The high-powered offense the Dodgers have can't be overly thrilled with the fact that they've only scored three times in each of the first two games, and tonight's contest gives them an opportunity to get the bats sizzling hot again as they return home.
So with the ball-park being very hitter friendly and the majority of bettors backing a third straight 'under' in this series because Darvish is back on the hill, I've got no quarrels about going against the grain here and taking the high side of this total.
Arizona is on a 4-0-1 O/U run after scoring two runs or less in their last outing, they are 3-0-1 O/U during their last four Game 3's of a series, and we've got a HP ump in Hunter Wendelstedt who's seen five of his last six games behind the dish finish at or above the total (4-1-1 O/U).
L.A's offense can explode at any moment, and with it being very tough for Darvish to top his debut performance last week, I think we see one of those shootout-type games in Arizona this evening.
Odds per - BetDSI.eu
Best Bet: Over 9 runs
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