The Bum's MLB Best Bets - Trends - News Thru the World Series !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, July 25


Top 5 MLB $ Starters:
1. C Kershaw 19-2 $1460
2. J Vargas 14-5 $1065
3. C Sabathia 12-4 $877
4. D Keuchel 10-1 $823
5. Z Davies 13-7 $787


Worst MLB $ Starters:
273. M. Bumgarner (0-6) $-976
272. J. Eickhoff (4-13) $-950
271. R. Nolasco (5-15) $-919
270. M. Moore (6-14) $-906

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Clayton Kershaw injury forces sportsbooks to drop National League Cy Young odds

Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the odds on favorite to win the National League Cy Young award before injuring his back over the weekend.

Sportsbooks are taking down their National League Cy Young odds in reaction to news that Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw is expected to be out four to six weeks according to Fox Sports reporter Ken Rosenthal.

Kershaw left his start on Sunday after just two innings of work because of pain in his lower back. He missed significant time last season because of a herniated disk in his back. The Dodgers have placed Kershaw on the 10-day disabled list but are not giving a specific time table for his return.

Kershaw, a three-time Cy Young winner, was the odds-on favorite to grab the award again this season before this setback. BetOnline.com listed Kershaw at -150 last week, while the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas opened with the lefty as the preseason favorite at +160 and had him at -350 last weekend.

Kershaw is first in the National League in wins (15), ERA (2.04) and innings pitched (171), and he’s also second in WHIP (0.88), strikeouts (168) and WAR (4.5).

Washington Nationals ace Max Scherzer will take over pole position once the odds reopen and he’ll be heavy chalk too. This always was a two-man race between Kershaw and Scherzer for the award.

Scherzer, who already has two Cy Young awards in his trophy cabinet, was +110 at many offshore books last week and he opened the year at +500 at the SuperBook.

The Dodgers, meanwhile, remain big favorites to win their division (-15,000), the National League (+150) and the World Series (+350).

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Diamond Notes
July 25, 2017

Hottest team: Indians (4-0 past four overall)

The Indians have rolled up four straight victories at home, as they try to keep the red-hot Royals are arm's length. Cleveland is finally one game over .500 at Progressive Field thanks to the hot streak, outscoring opponents 29-7 during the first four games of the homestand. Now the Indians turn their attention to the visiting Angels after Monday's make-up game with the Reds. The Indians are 18-7 over their past 25 games against American League West opponents, and 6-1 in their past seven at home against right-handed starters. For what it's worth, however, they're a dismal 0-6 in their past six played on a Tuesday, and 0-4 in Mike Clevinger's past four starts in Game 1 of a series.

Coldest team: Reds (2-9 past 11 games)

The Reds had a make-up game in Cleveland on Monday, and they suffered a 6-2 setback. They had won a surprising three of their past four games on the road before being tripped up. Now, they'll have the unenviable task of traveling to the Bronx to try and cool off rookie Aaron Judge. Cincinnati is a dismal 1-7 over their past eight games against a team with a winning record, 1-6 in their past seven interleague road outings against a left-handed starter and 0-6 over their past six series openers. The Reds do catch a break with Jordan Montgomery on the bump, as the Yankes are 0-4 over his past four outings.

Hottest pitcher: Jose Berrios, Twins (9-3, 3.50 ERA)

The Twins turn to Berrios, who is looking to become a 10-game winner. After a dismal start in Houston on July 14, he bounced back nicely to turn back the Yankees last Wednesday. He allowed just one earned run, six hits and two walks over 6 2/3 innings in the win to lower his ERA back down to 3.50. Minnesota has won 10 of his past 14 starts, although they're just 4-10 across his past 14 against teams with a winning record. They're also 2-5 over his past seven on the road against teams with a winning overall mark. And while Minnesota has been a huge surprise on the road this season, going 26-18, they're just 4-24 over their past 28 interleague road games against a team with a winning overall mark.

Coldest pitcher: Madison Bumgarner, Giants (0-4, 3.57 ERA)

Bumgarner takes the hill for just second time since returning from his two-month long injury, and he is still searching for his first victory of the season after coming up short in his first six outings. The good news is MadBum has lasted at least six innings in each of his six starts this season, posting a quality start in all but five of his outings. The Giants have dropped four of their past five at home, and they're an uncharacteristic 0-6 over their past six starts. It's hard to believe, but the Pirates are 7-0 over their past seven trips to San Francisco, too, so MadBum has his work cut out for him if he wants to find the win column for the first time in 2017.

Biggest UNDER run: Twins (6-3 past nine overall)

It's been the 'over' hitting across the past three for Minnesota, as they are averaging 5.3 runs per game while allowing 6.7 over the span. However, the 'under' cashed in the previous six outings, and the 'under' is an impressive 8-1-1 over Berrios' past 10 starts against a team with a winning overall record. The under is also 5-2 over his past seven starts, and7-3 in Minnesota's past 10 interleague outings. The under has also hit in five of their past six against a right-handed starting pitcher while going 6-1 in their past seven interleague games vs. RHP.

Biggest OVER run: Giants (9-2-2 past 13 overall)

Total bettors have been making a killing off of the Giants lately, as the 'over' is 9-2-2 over their past 13 outings. The over is also 4-1-1 across their past six at home, and 4-1-1 in the past six against a right-handed starter. However, the under is 3-1-1 in MadBum's past five starts overall and 5-2-1 across his past eight home outings. The Pirates were a good over bet earlier in the season, but lately it's the under coming through. The under is 6-0-1 in Jameson Taillon's past seven starts, and 27-9-2 over their past 38 overall, so Pittsburgh's solid pitching lately will make it tough for San Francisco to continue its 'over' run.

Matchup to watch: Mariners vs. Red Sox

Two ice-cold teams continue their series at Safeco Field on Tuesday. The Mariners posted a 4-0 win against the Red Sox in the series opener, as Boston is now just 1-4 over their past five and 1-5 over the past six road outings. Drew Pomeranz could be the guy to turn things around, however, as the Red Sox are 5-1 over his past six road assignments and 5-0 in the past five starts by the left-hander. Still, Boston is just 1-4 over their past five against the NL West and showing no signs of snapping out of it. Seattle is 2-5 over Felix Hernandez's past seven starts against a team with a winning record, and they're just 4-12 over the past 16 home games, so something's gotta give.

Betcha didn’t know: The Diamondbacks rolled up 10 runs in Monday's series opener against the Braves, and they're the only team in the majors yet to lose a game when posting at least six runs, going 26-0 in such situations. We'll see how many runs they can score off of Mike Foltynewicz, as he has been hot lately. The Braves are a perfect 8-0 over Folty's past eight outings, and 4-0 in his past four on the road. However, they are 0-4 in his past four assignments on a Tuesday. Atlanta apparently misses their days in the National League West, as they're 17-8 over their past 25 against their former division. Arizona is 5-11 over their past 16 overall, but 5-2 in Taijuan Walker's past seven times out.

Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-210) vs. White Sox

Biggest public underdog: Mets (+110) at Padres

Biggest line move: Blue Jays (+120 to -105) vs. Athletics

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
July 25, 2017

TOP SU TREND

-- The Yankees are 10-0 since Jul 28, 2006 at home coming off a road game in which they scored first, then trailed and came back to win.


TOP OU TREND

-- The Twins are 0-11 OU (-3.05 ppg) since May 23, 2017 as a road dog after they scored in more innings than their opponent last game.

TOP STARTER TREND

-- The Rangers are 10-0-1 OU (2.86 ppg) since Sep 29, 2015 when Cole Hamels starts as a home favorite after they scored first in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND

-- The Astros are 10-0-1 OU (4.23 ppg) since May 29, 2017 as a favorite after Yuli Gurriel had multiple RBI last game.

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Tuesday's Best Bet
July 25, 2017


Tuesday MLB Betting Preview
Pittsburgh vs. San Francisco

The Pittsburgh Pirates took the opener of this series 10-3 last night as they continue to do everything they can to climb back into the NL Central race.

The Pirates were left for dead back in early June as questions of them having tough decisions to make on some of there more valuable assets (McCutchen etc) started to make headlines.

However, since the 4th of July, Pittsburgh is 13-4 SU – including 10-3 SU last 13 – to get back to the .500 mark and sit just 2.5 games behind Milwaukee for 1st place.

There is still the ultra-talented Chicago Cubs between the Pirates and Brewers, but Pittsburgh looks like a team doing everything they can to make a playoff push and will likely actually be buyers now at the trade deadline.

The opposite can be said for the Giants who are in the midst of an very disappointing 2017 campaign at 38-63 SU. They've been hit by the injury bug rather hard over the course of the year, but they have also been playing like crap for the majority of the season and are now threatening Philadelphia for the worst record in MLB.

There is no doubt that San Fran will trade off a few of their bigger names in the coming weeks, but for now it's all about playing spoiler for this squad. Can they even up this series with the red-hot Pirates tonight?

This line has already seen significant movement this morning as the majority of bettors prefer to back the hotter team in a spot like this. The Pirates fit that billing, and after opening up in the +115 to +120 range, the majority of support coming their way has forced the move to the current number. With San Francisco having the 2nd worst record in MLB, bettors should see the Giants getting faded a lot the rest of the way, but tonight's game may not be one of those times to follow the masses and go that route.

VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers show nearly 80% of the ML wagers coming in on Pittsburgh right now, putting them in that dreaded “public underdog” role. Publicly backed underdogs are teams I almost always prefer to fade for a variety of reasons and this game definitely fits that mold.

Yes, Pittsburgh is the hotter team right now and looked rather impressive in their 10-3 victory last night, but the Giants have plenty of professional pride in that locker room full of World Series champions and I wouldn't be quick to go against them in a spot like this – especially with Madison Bumgarner on the mound.

Bumgarner has been hurt for most of the year and has looked a little rusty in his two starts (both vs. San Diego) since returning from the DL. Oddly enough, Bumgarner has yet to pick up a win this year (0-4 SU record), and the Giants are 0-6 SU in all six of his starts. It was giving up the HR ball that hurt him in both recent starts vs. San Diego (allowed two HR's in each game) but he was still able to go 6+ innings in both.

More importantly though, when was the last time you saw a Madison Bumgarner start priced at -115? On pure value alone that price is a steal, no matter what the other numbers say. Yes, the Giants have yet to win with him on the hill this year, but that won't last forever, and with this being his third start back from injury, rust isn't going to be an issue.

Bumgarner was a -205 favorite in his last outing (also at home) vs. San Diego and I'm sure many of the bettors backing Pittsburgh tonight are the same ones who got burned on Bumgarner in that game last week. To go from a -200 favorite to a -115 favorite in the span of five days is absurd given it's still the same ballpark Bumgarner is comfortable in and he's facing a slightly better team that's playing great at the moment.

As long as Bumgarner can eliminate those HR's (or at worst keep them to solo shots), the Giants have a much better shot then the 53.49% implied probability of winning this game that the -115 line suggests.

Throw in the public underdog fade theory on Pittsburgh, and I don't know how you can't back the Giants at this price in this spot tonight.

Odds per - Bookmaker.eu

Best Bet: San Francisco ML (-115)

[StarDust Bum]

Rangers GM making trade calls
July 25, 2017

Yu Darvish's days with the Texas Rangers may very well be numbered.

On Monday, Rangers general manager Jon Daniels began making phone calls to alert teams that he is willing to trade the four-time All-Star and former American League strikeout leader for the "right deal," ESPN reports.

If Daniels is unable to find a deal he likes, he will hold onto Darvish and the Rangers will continue to pursue an AL wild-card spot, per ESPN.

Darvish, 30, is 6-8 with a 3.44 ERA and 143 strikeouts -- fourth in the AL -- through 21 starts this year. He is scheduled to start Wednesday against the Miami Marlins, his final outing before Monday's 4 p.m. ET trade deadline.

The Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros, New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs are among the major league clubs who have sent scouts to watch Darvish's recent outings, according to ESPN.

Darvish is eligible to become a free agent this November.

Texas (48-51) is fourth in the AL West standings, 18 games behind the division-leading Astros. However, the Rangers are just 3 1/2 games back of the Kansas City Royals for the league's second wild-card spot.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, JULY 25

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHW at CHC 02:20 PM

CHW +180

O 9.0

CIN at NYY 07:05 PM

O 9.0

MIL at WAS 07:05 PM

MIL +105

O 10.0

HOU at PHI 07:05 PM

PHI +140

O 8.5

OAK at TOR 07:07 PM

OAK +100

U 9.5

LAA at CLE 07:10 PM

O 9.0

BAL at TB 07:10 PM

O 9.0

KC at DET 07:10 PM

KC +125

O 9.0

MIA at TEX 08:05 PM

MIA +115

U 10.5

COL at STL 08:15 PM

COL +105

U 8.5

ATL at ARI 09:40 PM

ATL +135

MIN at LAD 10:10 PM

MIN +230

O 8.5

BOS at SEA 10:10 PM

U 8.0

NYM at SD 10:10 PM

U 8.5

PIT at SF 10:15 PM

PIT +100

O 7.5

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s six-pack

More odds to win the PGA Championship, August 10-13th

40-1— Phil Mickelson

50-1— Branden Grace

60-1— Patrick Reed

80-1— Marc Leishman

100-1— Lee Westwood

125-1— Ryan Moore

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Wednesday’s Den: Random Lists of 3:

13) If I were 17 again, three colleges I’d consider attending:
Cal-Santa Barbara, Pepperdine, Cal-Irvine…….I would’ve flunked out of UNLV as quickly as it could possibly have happened. Hell, I had a hard time getting thru UAlbany.

12) Favorite TV analysts, any sport: a) Jeff Van Gundy, NBA b) Ron Darling, MLB c) Troy Aikman NFL

11) Underrated events a sports fan should attend:
a) NBA Summer League— For $30, can watch pro basketball all day, and when you’re done, you are in Las Vegas.
b) Any pro golf tournament— Interesting how quiet thousands of people can be. A guy finishes his 18 holes, and is back on the driving range fairy quickly- they practice A LOT.
c) Minor league baseball— For $10 or $12, can watch future major leaguers in action.

10) Favorite kinds of soda: a) Dr Brown’s cream soda b) Cherry Coke c) Sierra Mist

9) If I had a son who was a bigtime basketball recruit, I’d want him to play for one of these three coaches: a) Bob Huggins b) Roy Williams c) James Jones (Yale)

8) Three stadiums/arenas I’d like to visit someday:
a) Tiger Stadium, LSU football b) Oakland Coliseum (baseball) c) Hinkle Fieldhouse (college hoop)

7) Three stadiums/arenas I loved watching a game in:
a) Thomas & Mack Arena (UNLV) b) Edward Jones Dome (St Louis Rams) c) Minute Maid Park (Astros baseball)

6) Three other random observations about sports:
a) Going to a NASCAR race would be too loud for me.
b) I’d like to see some Japanese pro baseball on TV during the All-Star break. Don’t need any announcers, just good graphics. MLB Network should do this.
c) I think I’d be a good radio talkshow host, and I bet most of you think you could be, too. I’m envious seeing some of these people make $5-6M a year to talk about sports.

5) Annoying people: a) Both Donald Trumps b) LaVar Ball c) Jeffrey Loria (Marlins owner)

4) My team has the ball on its own 20-yard line, 2:00 to go, we’re down 3. QB’s I would want running my team: a) John Elway b) Kurt Warner c) Ben Roethlisberger

3) Bases loaded, two outs, game tied, bottom of 9th; I’d want these hitters up:
a) Jose Altuve b) Paul Goldschmidt c) Josh Donaldson

2) Things that bother me, whether they should or shouldn’t:
a) When Lebron James has the ball late in the game, and he gets criticized for passing the ball to an open teammate- thats what he is supposed to do.
b) LSU firing Les Miles as football coach, because he didn’t win as much as Nick Saban has won at Alabama. Miles won more at LSU than Saban did.
c) Astros not being on national TV enough; they’re great fun to watch. If MLB wants big ratings for the playoffs, they need to promote Houston/Washington more.

1) Three other fun things I’ve gotten a chance to do………
a) Got to sit in on a UNLV basketball practice couple years ago. I was a student manager in college, was very interesting to see how a D-1 practice is run.
b) Watch first weekend of NCAA tournament in a Las Vegas sports book. Good stuff.
c) Once shot free throws for beer during a timeout at an Albany Patroons CBA game; for every FT I made in 0:24, I got a case of beer. Made 4 out of 7, but I don’t like beer. Tried to trade it for four cases of Coca-Cola; wasn’t happening. ��

[StarDust Bum]

Giants trade infielder Eduardo Nunez to Red Sox
July 26, 2017

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) Infielder Eduardo Nunez was traded from the San Francisco Giants to the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday night for minor league right-handers Shaun Anderson and Gregory Santos.

The deal was finalized during San Francisco's 11-3 win over Pittsburgh and announced after the game.

Nunez started at third base, hit a two-run double and scored twice before he was removed for a pinch hitter in the fifth inning. The infielder, who was hit by a pitch on the left elbow earlier in the game, was shown on television shaking hands with teammates in the Giants clubhouse.

The 30-year-old hit .308 in 76 games with San Francisco this season and has reached base safely in 40 of his last 42 games. Nunez drove in 31 runs and had a team-high 17 stolen bases despite being slowed by a hamstring injury this month.

The move could clear the way for the Giants to recall Pablo Sandoval from the minors. The 2012 World Series MVP with the Giants, Sandoval signed a minor league contract with San Francisco last weekend after he was released by Boston, which signed him to a $95 million, five-year deal after the 2014 season.

He hit just .237 with 14 homers and 59 RBIs during 2+ injury-decimated seasons with the Red Sox. Sandoval has played for Class A San Jose and Triple-A Sacramento since rejoining the Giants organization.

Giants pitchers Jeff Samardzija and Johnny Cueto are could be dealt before Monday's trade deadline.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 26

National League
Brewers @ Nationals
Nelson is 3-1, 3.52 in his last five starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven.. Brewers are 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-10-2

Gonzalez is 1-4, 2.45 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Washington lost his last five home starts-first 5-inning record with him: 12-5-3

Brewers lost seven of last nine games; under is 8-2 in their last ten. Washington is 8-3 in its last 11 games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Rockies @ Cardinals
Hoffman is 1-1, 8.34 in his last three starts; over is 7-4 in his MLB starts. Colorado is 4-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-4

Martinez is 0-3, 5.14 in his last six starts; four of his last five starts went over. Cardinals are 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-10-2

Rockies won six of last nine games; over is 9-2 in their last 11. St Louis won its last four home games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games.

Braves @ Diamondbacks
Blair is making his first ’17 start; he is 2-7, 7.59 in 15 major league starts and is 6-5, 4.86 in 18 AAA starts this season.

Corbin is 1-3, 2.78 in his last six starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Arizona is 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-10-3

Braves lost six of last nine games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven. Arizona lost five of last seven home games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Mets @ Padres
Matz is 0-2, 13.07 in his last three starts; over is 5-3 in his starts this year. New York is 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-5-1

Chacin is 3-0, 2.35 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. San Diego is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11-2

Mets won six of last seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. San Diego lost three of last four games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 12.

Pirates @ Giants
Williams is 1-1, 5.11 in his last eight starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Pirates are 4-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-1

Samardzija is 0-2, 8.31 in his last three starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Giants are 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-12-5

Pirates are 13-5 in last 17 games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. Giants lost four of last six games; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.

——————————–

American League
A’s @ Blue Jays
Blackburn is 1-1, 3.33 in four starts this year (over 2-1-1). A’s are 1-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-0-2

Estrada is 0-5, 9.52 in his last nine starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Toronto is 3-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-3

Oakland lost six of last eight games; under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Toronto won three of last four home games; under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Angels @ Indians
Nolasco is 0-2, 9.88 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Angels are 2-8 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-9

Carrasco is 2-1, 3.46 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Indians won his last five home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-1

Angels won three of last five games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Cleveland won eight of last nine home games; over is 4-2 in their last six overall.

Royals @ Tigers
Kennedy is 0-0, 5.94 in his last three starts; over is 10-3-1 in his last 14 starts. Royals are 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-3

Sanchez is 2-0, 5.09 in his last three starts; Detroit scored 25 runs in his last four starts. Over is 3-3 in his starts this year. Tigers are 3-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-1-1

Royals won their last seven games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 13. Detroit lost five of last seven games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home tilts.

Orioles @ Rays
Jimenez is 1-3, 9.95 in his last four starts; over is 10-4-1 in his starts this year. Orioles are 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-9-1

Cobb is 2-0, 1.54 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Rays split his eight home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-5-3

Orioles won six of last nine games; over is 11-4-1 in their last 16. Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games; under is 8-3-2 in their last 13.

Boston @ Seattle
Sale is 4-1, 1.70 in his last six starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Red Sox are 7-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-3-6

Moore is 0-2, 6.26 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Seattle is 1-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2-2

Boston lost five of last six games (over 4-2). Mariners won nine of their last 12 games; under is 8-5 in their last 13.

__________________________

Interleague

Cubs @ White Sox
Arrieta is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts; over is 12-7 in his last 19 starts. Cubs are 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-7-2

Shields is 0-1, 9.60 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. White Sox are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-2

White Sox are 1-9 since All-Star break; under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Cubs are 9-2 since All-Star break; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Astros @ Phillies
Fiers is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Houston is 7-3 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-3

Nola is 4-1, 1.70 in his last six starts; his last four starts stayed under. Philly is 4-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-3-5

Astros are 8-4 in last 12 games; over is 10-2 in their last 12 road games. Philly lost three of last four games (over 3-1).

Cincinnati @ New York
Bailey is 2-4, 8.56 in six starts this year; under is 3-1 in his last four. Reds are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-1

Severino is 1-0, 1.71 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. New York is 5-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-3

Reds lost 10 of last 12 games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. New York won four of last five games; under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games.

Marlins @ Rangers
Urena is 2-2, 5.76 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Miami is 6-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-2

Darvish is 0-3, 5.01 in his last five starts; under is 13-1-1 in his last 15 starts. Texas is 4-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-8-6

Miami won eight of last 11 road games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games overall. Texas won four of its last five games; under is 10-5-1 in their last 16 games.

Twins @ Dodgers
Santana is 1-3, 6.08 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Twins are 7-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-3

Wood is 5-1, 2.87 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Dodgers are 7-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-3-1

Twins are 4-9 in last 13 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Dodgers are 18-3 in last 21 games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mil-Wsh: Davies 13-7; Jackson 1-0
Col-StL: Gray 6-1; Lynn 9-11
Atl-Az: Foltynewicz 11-7 (8-0 last 8); Walker 10-5
NY-SD: Lugo 5-2; Chacin 11-9
Pitt-SF: Taillon 7-6; Bumgarner 0-6

American League
A’s-Tor: Gray 8-7; Valdez 0-0
KC-Det: Duffy 7-8; Fulmer 11-8
LAA-Clev: Chavez 8-11; Clevinger 6-6
Balt-TB: Miley 10-10; Faria 6-2
Bos-Sea: Pomeranz 13-6; Hernandez 5-6

Interleague
Chi-Chi: Rodon 1-3; Lackey 9-9
Hst-Phil: Morton 8-5; Pivetta 4-9
Cin-NY: Castillo 2-4; Montgomery 7-11
Mia-Tex: Straily 11-9; Hamels 5-5
Minn-LA: Berrios 9-4; Maeda 11-4

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mil-Wsh: Davies 8-20; Jackson 1-1
Col-StL: Gray 1-7; Lynn 6-20
Atl-Az: Foltynewicz 4-18; Walker 6-15
NY-SD: Lugo 2-7; Chacin 8-20
Pitt-SF: Taillon 2-13; Bumgarner 1-6

American League
A’s-Tor: Gray 2-15; Valdez 0-0
KC-Det: Duffy 3-15; Fulmer 6-19
LAA-Clev: Chavez 4-19; Clevinger 1-12
Balt-TB: Miley 8-20; Faria 2-8
Bos-Sea: Pomeranz 5-19; Hernandez 6-11

Interleague
Chi-Chi: Rodon 2-4; Lackey 10-18
Hst-Phil: Morton 2-13; Pivetta 5-13
Cin-NY: Castillo 2-6; Montgomery 4-18
Mia-Tex: Straily 5-20; Hamels 4-10
Minn-LA: Berrios 3-13; Maeda 6-15

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Col-StL: Three of last four Culbreth games went over.
Atl-Az: Five of last six Whitson games went over total.
NY-SD: Last three Hallion games went over the total.
Pitt-SF: Last three Meals games went over the total.

American League
A’s-Tor: Over is 5-3 in last eight Timmons games.
KC-Det: Six of last nine Wolf games stayed under.
Balt-TB: Over is 4-0-3 in last seven Wendelstedt games.
Bos-Sea: Over is 8-3 in last eleven Demuth games.

Interleague
Chi-Chi: Last three Barksdale games went over total.
Hst-Phil: Over is 8-3 in last eleven Iassogna games.
Mia-Tex: Last four Drake games stayed under the total.
Minn-LA: Four of last six LBarrett games stayed under.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 47-39 AL, favorites -$857
AL @ NL– 52-48 NL, favorites -$866
Total: 95-91 AL, favorites -$1,723

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 47-42-2
AL @ NL: Over 53-40-3
Total: Over 100-82-5

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/24/17
Ariz 17-20-11……29-15–8……….45-35
Atl 21-21-7……19-25-4………..40-46
Cubs 23-24-3……21-19-8………..44-43
Reds 14-27-5……19-29–5…………33-56
Colo 27-18-6…….27-20-2……….54-38
LA 22-18-5…….35-15-5……….57-33
Miami 21-24-4…….23-19-6……..44-43
Milw 24-17-8…….25-20-7………48-37
Mets 23-19-2……..23-27-3………46-46
Philly 12-29-11……16-22-7……….28-51
Pitt 24-23-3…….19-22-9………43-45
St. Louis 18-22-8……29-15-7……….47-37
SD 14-31-6……..24-20–4………38-51
SF 10-35-7……..18-25-6……….31-60
Wash 34-14-4……21-17-7………….55-31

Orioles 17-27-4……..22-26-3………39-53
Boston 21-26-7………21-24-2…….42-50
White Sox 18-28-8……..18-21–3……..36-48
Cleveland 23-19-6……..23-20-6……..45-39
Detroit 19-24-8…….23-20-4……..42-44
Astros 25-15-8……..31-17-4……..56-32
KC 16-22-7………22-21-10…….38-43
Angels 18-25-7………21-18-11………39-43
Twins 23-15-6………22-26-6……..45-40
NYY 22-28-4……….25-15-3…..…47-43
A’s 17-25-7……..23-18-10……..40-43
Seattle 17-25-6……..26-19-9……..43-44
TB 23-17-10……..31-12-7……..54-29
Texas 25-18-10……..20-18-8………45-36
Toronto 20-29-3……..16-23-8……..36-52

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/24/17)
Ariz 14-47……..20-52………..34
Atl 10-49……..13-48………..23
Cubs 14-50……..17-48……….31
Reds 18-46……..19-52……….37
Colo 12-51……..17-50..……..29
LA 14-45……..20-54..……..34
Miami 21-49……..17-48………38
Milw 19-49……20-52…..…..39
Mets 19-44……..17-53……….36
Philly 15-52……..13-46………..28
Pitt 15-50……..16-50……….31
StL 12-48……..15-51………..27
SD 20-51……..14-48…………34
SF 12-52……..14-49…………26
Wash 22-52……..20-45……….42

Orioles 7-48……..17-52……….24
Boston 17-54……..10-47………27
White Sox 15-54……12-42……….27
Clev 9-48……..16-49……….25
Detroit 10-51…….20-47……..30
Astros 15-48……..21-51………36
KC 9-45……..10-53………..19
Angels 20-50…….12-50……….32
Twins 11-44……..12-54……….23
NYY 12-54……..14-43………27
A’s 11-47……..16-52………26
Seattle 16-47…….19-54………35
TB 14-50……..20-50……..34
Texas 17-53……..21-46………38
Toronto 16-52……..10-47……..26

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Wednesday, July 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games at home

1:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

3:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

3:40 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
Boston is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,on the road
Boston is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
Seattle is 4-12-1 SU in its last 17 games ,at home

3:45 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games at home
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

7:07 PM
OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Oakland
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games on the road
LA Angels are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games at home

8:05 PM
MIAMI vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games when playing Miami
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games

8:15 PM
COLORADO vs. ST. LOUIS
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of St. Louis's last 25 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets

10:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA DODGERS
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 22-3 SU in their last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, July 26


Minnesota @ LA Dodgers

Game 979-980
July 26, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Santana) 16.300
LA Dodgers
(Stewart) 14.534
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-230
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+200); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

Game 977-978
July 26, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 15.781
Chicago White Sox
(Shields) 13.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-220
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-220); Under

Miami @ Texas

Game 975-976
July 26, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Urena) 13.367
Texas
(Darvish) 14.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-185
10
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-185); Under

Houston @ Philadelphia

Game 973-974
July 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Fiers) 15.983
Philadelphia
(Nola) 16.887
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+115); Over

Cincinnati @ NY Yankees

Game 971-972
July 26, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bailey) 12.658
NY Yankees
(Severino) 15.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-230
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-230); Under

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 969-970
July 26, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 14.324
Detroit
(Sanchez) 17.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-115); Under

LA Angels @ Cleveland

Game 967-968
July 26, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Nolasco) 15.517
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 16.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Oakland @ Toronto

Game 965-966
July 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Blackburn) 12.326
Toronto
(Estrada) 15.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-160); Under

Boston @ Seattle

Game 963-964
July 26, 2017 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Sale) 14.533
Seattle
(Moore) 15.473
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-220
8
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+185); Over

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 961-962
July 26, 2017 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Jimenez) 13.545
Tampa Bay
(Cobb) 16.076
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-140); Over

NY Mets @ San Diego

Game 959-960
July 26, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.290
San Diego
(Chacin) 13.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
N/A

Colorado @ St. Louis

Game 957-958
July 26, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Hoffman) 18.378
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 15.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-155
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+135); Over

Milwaukee @ Washington

Game 955-956
July 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 16.660
Washington
(Gnzalez) 14.213
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+115); Over

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco

Game 953-954
July 26, 2017 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 15.238
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 13.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Over

Atlanta @ Arizona

Game 951-952
July 26, 2017 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Blair) 14.118
Arizona
(Corbin) 16.954
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-185
13
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-185); Over

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (48 - 51) at ARIZONA (57 - 43) - 3:40 PM
AARON BLAIR (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 57-43 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 35-18 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 47-31 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 122-84 (+29.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 48-51 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 21-25 (+18.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-26 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 56-59 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-71 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-28 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

AARON BLAIR vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BLAIR is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

PAT CORBIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CORBIN is 2-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.70 and a WHIP of 1.052.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (50 - 51) at SAN FRANCISCO (39 - 63) - 3:45 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-111 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 44-27 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-63 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-48 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-45 (-23.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-29 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-25 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-45 (-24.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-25 (-13.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-31 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SAMARDZIJA is 7-13 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 5-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 9-14 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 28-47 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 31-45 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WILLIAMS is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 4-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 5-8 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (54 - 48) at WASHINGTON (59 - 39) - 7:05 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 40-18 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 54-48 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-24 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 10-4 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-28 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-28 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-26 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-19 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 175-154 (-50.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
GONZALEZ is 25-28 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 6-12 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NELSON is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.631.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.514.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (58 - 44) at ST LOUIS (49 - 51) - 8:15 PM
JEFF HOFFMAN (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 244-438 (-84.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
COLORADO is 663-1017 (-180.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 237-309 (-78.9 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 439-696 (-138.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 5-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 252-159 (+67.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
COLORADO is 58-44 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 49-51 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 27-32 (-20.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 66-67 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 89-88 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 37-40 (-9.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-36 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-35 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 10-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JEFF HOFFMAN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
MARTINEZ is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (47 - 51) at SAN DIEGO (43 - 57) - 10:10 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MATZ is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.409.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. NY METS since 1997
CHACIN is 1-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.68 and a WHIP of 1.742.
His team's record is 2-5 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

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BALTIMORE (48 - 52) at TAMPA BAY (52 - 49) - 12:10 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. ALEX COBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
JIMENEZ is 7-19 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 42-57 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 31-58 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 136-126 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 276-357 (+42.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 26-21 (+7.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
JIMENEZ is 18-10 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 120-142 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-25 (-16.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 46-54 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-5 (+1.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
JIMENEZ is 5-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.332.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

ALEX COBB vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COBB is 4-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.210.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.1 units)

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BOSTON (55 - 47) at SEATTLE (51 - 51) - 3:40 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. ANDREW MOORE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SALE is 21-31 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SALE is 5-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 110-107 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 61-80 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 49-59 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SALE is 4-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 0.795.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.1 units)

ANDREW MOORE vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (44 - 56) at TORONTO (46 - 54) - 7:05 PM
PAUL BLACKBURN (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 181-243 (-53.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 12-24 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 16-33 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 56-93 (-32.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 74-103 (-31.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 46-54 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 26-37 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 18-28 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 18-24 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

PAUL BLACKBURN vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.38 and a WHIP of 1.861.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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LA ANGELS (49 - 52) at CLEVELAND (53 - 45) - 7:10 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
NOLASCO is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.1 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CARRASCO is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 0.862.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

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KANSAS CITY (52 - 47) at DETROIT (45 - 54) - 7:10 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 52-47 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 66-53 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 35-30 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-31 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 30-22 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-14 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 45-54 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 44-63 (-22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-39 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 29-42 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-6 (+0.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. DETROIT since 1997
KENNEDY is 2-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.6 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SANCHEZ is 6-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 8-5 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.2 units)

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CINCINNATI (41 - 59) at NY YANKEES (52 - 46) - 1:05 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEVERINO is 3-10 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEVERINO is 1-6 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAILEY is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (67 - 33) at PHILADELPHIA (34 - 64) - 7:05 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 428-428 (+44.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HOUSTON is 67-33 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 37-12 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 28-11 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
HOUSTON is 48-24 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 52-20 (+25.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 26-10 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 23-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-64 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-43 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-49 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-45 (-20.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FIERS is 0-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 12.14 and a WHIP of 2.549.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

AARON NOLA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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MIAMI (45 - 53) at TEXAS (49 - 51) - 8:05 PM
JOSE URENA (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 93-111 (-25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 144-121 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-51 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
TEXAS is 104-85 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 111-90 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 82-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 48-41 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
URENA is 9-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 5-14 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JOSE URENA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

YU DARVISH vs. MIAMI since 1997
DARVISH is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (52 - 47) at CHI WHITE SOX (39 - 58) - 8:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 52-47 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 420-446 (-92.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-41 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-26 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 806-764 (-160.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ARRIETA is 2-7 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-10 (+14.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +175 or more since 1997.
SHIELDS is 12-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+1.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ARRIETA is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.234.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SHIELDS is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (49 - 50) at LA DODGERS (70 - 31) - 10:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. BROCK STEWART (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 59-94 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 21-30 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 70-31 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 43-13 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 110-46 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-8 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 49-50 (+2.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 26-19 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-24 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-34 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 151-173 (-58.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 99-121 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 185-139 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SANTANA is 5-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.8 units)

BROCK STEWART vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Diamond Notes
July 26, 2017

Hottest team: Royals (7-0 past seven overall)

The Royals have ripped off seven consecutive victories, but unfortunately for them they cannot make up any ground on the first-place Indians. Cleveland won its fifth consecutive game in dramatic fashion with a walk-off grand slam from Edwin Encarnacion on Tuesday. Still, the Royals continue to get good pitching and timely hitting in low-scoring games lately. The Royals are 7-0 over their past seven against AL Central teams, 7-0 over their past seven against teams with a losing record and 19-7 over their past 26 games vs. right-handed starting pitching. Kansas City has also been successful on 13 of their past 19 road outing while winning seven of Ian Kennedy's past eight outings overall.

Coldest team: White Sox (1-10 past 11 games, 8-22 past 30 overall)

On the flip side of things in the AL Central, the White Sox continue to scuffle. They have won just once over the past 11 outings, and they have traded off key pieces to contenders for prospects. As such, they continue to be in full rebuild mode. Bettors have been having a lot of luck fading the Pale Hose lately, as they have won just once over the past 11 overall, they have dropped five in a row at home and they're 2-8 over their past 10 interleague outings. In addition, they're just 1-8 over their past nine following a loss, 1-5 across James Shields' past six outings and 5-11 in their past 16 at home against teams with an overall winning mark.

Hottest pitcher: Chris Sale, Red Sox (12-4, 2.48 ERA)

Sale checks into Wednesday's series finale at Safeco Field with the third-best ERA in the majors at 2.48. He also is tied for the lead in the American League with 12 victories while sitting as the only pitcher in the majors with 200 strikeouts and it's not even August. The Red Sox have won 11 of Sale's past 15 outings, including five of his past seven on the road. He should be the key to snapping their four-game losing skid, and the public seems to think so by backing the Red Sox hard on Wednesday. The Red Sox are also 8-2 over Sale's past 10 when working on four days of rest.

Coldest pitcher: Ricky Nolasco, Angels (4-11, 5.13 ERA)

Nolasco takes the mound at Progressive Field in Cleveland trying to cool off the Indians. They're on a five-game winning streak, and they'll be licking their chops to face the league leader in homers allowed (26). He hasn't faced the Tribe this season, but he has an extensive history against them from his days as a member of the Minnesota Twins. He is 0-2 with a 5.54 ERA over his past six starts and one relief appearance against Cleveland since the start of the 2014 season, and the Indians have clobbered nine homers against him across 39 innings during the span, tied with the White Sox for most of any team in the majors.

Biggest UNDER run: Pirates (27-10-2 past 39 overall)

The 'under' has been a regular occurrence for the Bucs lately, going 27-10-2 over their past 39 games overall. The under is also an impressive 21-6-1 across their past 28 games against a right-handed starter, 6-2-1 in their past nine on the road vs. RHP and 12-2 in their past 14 outings following a loss. In addition, the under is 5-1 in the past six outings by Trevor Williams while going 4-1 over his past five when working on four days of rest. However, the over is 6-0-3 in the past nine meetings in San Francisco, while going 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings overall between these two clubs.

Biggest OVER run: Braves (6-1 past seven overall)

The 'over' continues to hit for the Braves on their west coast road swing. The total has gone over in six of their past seven overall, and five of six on their road trip, including each of the first two games in Arizona. Tuesday's game barely inched over the total (10.5), as Atlanta won 8-3 behind Mike Foltynewicz. Atlanta is averaging 5.8 runs per game over the past six outings while allowing 5.4 runs per game over the past seven outings. The Braves turn to Aaron Blair to start Wednesday, and that usually means plenty of runs. The over is 4-1 over his past five starts, and 3-1-1 in his past five on the road against teams with a winning overall mark. The over is also 8-1 in Atlanta's past nine on the road overall.

Matchup to watch: White Sox vs. Cubs

The Battle of Chicago has been fairly close over the years. However, there is a wide gulf between these two sides right now, as the Cubs are coming off a world championship and challenging for another, while the White Sox have the third-worst winning percentage in baseball, and they're dead last in the American League. The Cubs have won seven straight on the road, and nine of their past 11 overall. The White Sox have lost 22 of their past 30, and five straight at home. However, the two sides split a pair on the north side earlier this week, with the Cubs winning 7-2 on Tuesday and the White Sox winning 3-1 on Monday.

Betcha didn’t know: There have been 127 home runs hit at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia this season, or 2.76 per game. Houston Astros RHP Mike Fiers has served up 21 home runs across 107 2/3 innings over 19 starts, so it's likely we'll see quite a few homers in Wednesday's series finale. Aaron Nola has been a little better for the Phillies, serving up just five homers across 47 1/3 innings at home, and one home every 9.33 innings overall on the season.He is also 4-3 with a 3.23 ERA and .220 opponent batting average over seven starts at 'The Vault'.

Biggest public favorite: Yankees (-240) vs. Reds

Biggest public underdog: Twins (+230) at Dodgers

Biggest line move: Dodgers (-205 to -230) vs. Twins

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, JULY 26

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BAL at TB 12:10 PM

U 9.0

CIN at NYY 01:05 PM

CIN +200

O 9.0

BOS at SEA 03:40 PM

U 8.0

ATL at ARI 03:40 PM

ATL +170

O 10.0

PIT at SF 03:45 PM

PIT +130

U 8.0

[StarDust Bum]

Evening Action:

HOU at PHI 07:05 PM

PHI +110

O 8.0

MIL at WAS 07:05 PM

O 8.5

OAK at TOR 07:07 PM

OAK +150

O 10.0

LAA at CLE 07:10 PM

LAA +185

KC at DET 07:10 PM

O 10.0

MIA at TEX 08:05 PM

MIA +175

U 10.5

CHC at CHW 08:10 PM

CHW +190

COL at STL 08:15 PM

U 8.5

MIN at LAD 10:10 PM

MIN +160

NYM at SD 10:10 PM

SD +100

O 8.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the World Series:

3-1—Los Angeles Dodgers

9-2— Houston Astros

5-1— Washington Nationals

6-1— Boston Red Sox

7-1— Chicago Cubs

8-1— Cleveland Indians


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: A night of basketball in Las Vegas…….

13) I was at the AAU game in Las Vegas last night, pitting the SC Supreme against the Big Ballers in a pool play game. The place was ridiculously crowded, so crowded that the game was almost cancelled due to concerns about crowding from the fire marshal.

First of all, this is a very organized, well-run event; seven games going on at all times under one roof in the Cashman Center, with bleachers and a good concession stand, but a lot more people than usual showed up to watch last night.

They put out boxscores for these games, which is great. Lot of work goes into doing a good job of running a tournament like this.

12) Most people I listened to before the game thought SC Supreme, featuring top recruit Zion Williamson, would dispose of LaVar Ball’s team easily, but the Ballers played their hearts out and didn’t get blown out, losing 104-92 in a raggedy game.

11) “Unreal. Never seen anything like it,” Kansas coach Bill Self, who was at the game, told ESPN.

10) Supposedly, Lebron James came to the Cashman Center for the game, but didn’t come in when he was told about the crowd concerns. Four or five other NBA players were at the game.

9) OK, so you know I love boxscores; here are some stats from this game:

— SC Supreme was 0-2 on the arc in this game; Ballers were 15-46. Wow
— LaMelo Ball scored 36 points; was 7-15 inside the arc, 3-12 outside the arc, 13-16 on the line. He is a good passer, but is more of a shoot-first guy than his older brother Lonzo, who was also at this game.
— Zion Williamson, one of the best high school players in the country, scored 31 points in 31:00, but was only 7-20 on the foul line- his teammates were 25-34.
— SC Supreme shot 57.1% from the floor, were 32-54 on the foul line.
— Ballers’ five subs who played took a total of two shots in 34:00 played.

8) LaVar Ball has become semi-famous for his promotional skills; he seems to crave attention, but during the game, he was quiet, sitting with this ankles crossed watching the game. He did get a technical foul in the second half.

As for the Ballers’ defense, I’ll say this: they rebounded and went after loose balls with great abandon— they trapped the ball a lot but other than that, SC Supreme got a lot of layups.

7) Underrated weird event of the evening: Guy who was coaching the SC Supreme team was roaming the sidelines while holding his young son (looked about 2 years old) with his left arm the entire first half. Kid looked like he was asleep with his head on his dad’s left shoulder.

6) I saw four games Wednesday; best of the four was Compton Magic beating Iowa Barnstormers 73-62; Compton shot 69% from the floor in the second half, pulling away late after blowing a double-digit lead earlier in the game.

5) So these end-of-summer national AAU events are fun to watch; talented kids from all over the country playing each other and trying to earn college scholarships. Good stuff.

Elsewhere in the world……..
4) Michael Vick wants to become a football coach, is an intern for the KC Chiefs this summer. Plaxico Burress is a coaching intern with the Arizona Cardinals.

3) If you’ve seen the TV show Billions on Showtime, the guy who plays pizzeria owner Bruno was a decorated police officer in real life, a “gold-star” officer, so that is pretty cool.

2) The A’s have to demote closer Santiago Casilla; he is awful. Oakland led 2-0 in 9th inning last night, Casilla faced three batters, all of whom scored. I’m grateful I wasn’t around a TV to see it.

1) Trailblazers saved $60M in salary/luxury tax by trading Allen Crabbe to the Nets.