Armadillo: Monday's six-pack
Top six picks for Week 11 in Westgate Super Contest:
6) Cowboys -6.5 (825)- W
5) Chiefs -3.5 (840)
4) Jets +1 (892)- W
3) Patriots -3.5 (1,071)- W
2) Texans +4 (1,080)- L
1) Cardinals +11 (1,192)- W
2019 record: 32-30-3
**********
Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……
Cowboys 35, Lions 27:
— Cowboys are 6-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Dallas is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as road favorites, 3-2 TY.
— Prescott threw for 444 yards and three TD’s, averaging 9.4 ypa.
— Detroit lost six of its last seven games.
— WR Galladay didn’t catch a pass until there was 3:01 left in game.
— Six of Detroit’s last eight games went over.
Vikings 27, Broncos 23:
— Denver led this game 20-0 at halftime.
— Broncos had ball on Vikings’ 8-yard line when game ended, couldn’t score.
— Denver is 23-7 ATS in last 30 post-bye games, 8-2 in last ten.
— Vikings in 1st half: 6 series, 23 plays, 37 yards, zero points.
— Vikings in 2nd half: 4 series, 35 plays, 279 yards, 27 points.
— Minnesota won for 6th time in last seven games.
Falcons 29, Panthers 3:
— Atlanta was 1-7 before its bye; they’re 2-0 since, not allowing an offensive TD.
— Falcons’ first TD came on a 78-yard punt return.
— This was Atlanta’s first game outdoors this season.
— Carolina lost three of last four games after a 4-2 start.
— In their first eight games, Panthers were +8 in turnovers; last two weeks, minus-6.
— Carolina lost to Atlanta for 7th time in last eight series games.
Saints 34, Buccaneers 17:
— Saints won seven of their last eight games.
— NO converted 8-15 on 3rd down, outgained Bucs 457-252- they gained 9.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints are 9-3 ATS in last dozen games as a road favorite.
— Buccaneers lost five of their last six games.
— In its last five games, Tampa Bay has a minus-14 turnover ratio.
— Seven of Tampa Bay’s last eight games went over the total.
Colts 33, Jaguars 13:
— Jaguars ran ball only 9 times, dropped back to pass 50 times.
— Jacksonville didn’t have a snap inside the Colts’ 20-yard line.
— Jags are 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog
— Colts ran ball for 264 yards, outgained Jaguars 389-310.
— Four of Indy’s six home games went over the total.
— Home side won eight of last nine series games.
Jets 34, Redskins 17:
— Darnold threw for 293 yards, a career-high four TD’s.
— Jets outgained Washington 394-225 in this game.
— Jets’ last four games went over the total.
— Redskins lost their last four games, outscored 52-18
— Washington scored two TD’s on its last 35 drives.
— Redskins are 2-10 ATS in last dozen post-bye games.
Bills 37, Dolphins 20:
— Buffalo outrushed the Dolphins 168-23. outgained them 424-303
— Bills’ first four drives: 30 plays, 212 yards, one TD, three FG’s.
— Hauschka made a 51-yard fG, snapping an 0-5 skid on 50+-yard FG’s.
— Dolphins have been outscored 159-37 in second half of games.
— This was first time in last five games that Miami trailed at halftime.
— Dolphins ran a kickoff back 101 yards for a TD just before halftime.
Ravens 41, Texans 7:
— Watson was sacked seven times, averaged only 3.7 ypa.
— Houston trailed at halftime in six of last eight games.
— Texans are now 0-6 all-time in Baltimore.
— Baltimore won its last six games, covered last four.
— Ravens ran ball for 263 yards; only 9 of their 64 plays were on 3rd down.
— Baltimore in 2nd half: 5 series, 30 plays, 298 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
49ers 36, Cardinals 26:
— Arizona led this game 16-0 in second quarter.
— Cardinals were outgained 442-266, but led 26-23 with 1:00 to play.
— Arizona covered five of its last six games as a road underdog.
— Garoppolo was 34-45/424 passing with four TD’s.
— 49ers’ last four games went over the total.
— Under Shanahan, 49ers are 4-6 ATS as a home favorites, 2-3 TY
Patriots 17, Eagles 10:
— Both teams scored one touchdown, combined to convert 8-28 on 3rd down.
— Once Patriots got the lead, they had six drives: 26 plays, 83 yards, six punts.
— New England is 18-11 ATS in last 29 games as a road favorite.
— Eagles’ 3rd drive was a 16-play, 95-yard TD drive; took 9:33.
— After that drive, on 9 drives, Philly ran 44 plays for 165 yards, zero points.
— New England had a 14-yard advantage in field position.
Raiders 17, Bengals 10:
— Cincy’s last nine drives: 44 plays, 158 yards, three points.
— Bengals are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 4-1 TY.
— Rookie QB Finley was 13-31/115 yards; not good.
— Oakland (6-4) is tied atop AFC West with the Chiefs.
— None of Raiders’ six wins are by more than 8 points.
— Oakland had nine plays of 20+ yards, most in the league the week.
Rams 17, Bears 7:
— The guy who drafted Trubisky over Mahomes/Jackson should be fired. Today.
— Chicago lost five of its last six games.
— Bears are 4-1 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-5 when they allow more.
— Rams were down three starters on OL and their two best WR’s. It showed.
— LA’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Rams’ OL coach and punter Hekker were great; the rookie OL played well enough.
Top six picks for Week 11 in Westgate Super Contest:
6) Cowboys -6.5 (825)- W
5) Chiefs -3.5 (840)
4) Jets +1 (892)- W
3) Patriots -3.5 (1,071)- W
2) Texans +4 (1,080)- L
1) Cardinals +11 (1,192)- W
2019 record: 32-30-3
**********
Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……
Cowboys 35, Lions 27:
— Cowboys are 6-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Dallas is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as road favorites, 3-2 TY.
— Prescott threw for 444 yards and three TD’s, averaging 9.4 ypa.
— Detroit lost six of its last seven games.
— WR Galladay didn’t catch a pass until there was 3:01 left in game.
— Six of Detroit’s last eight games went over.
Vikings 27, Broncos 23:
— Denver led this game 20-0 at halftime.
— Broncos had ball on Vikings’ 8-yard line when game ended, couldn’t score.
— Denver is 23-7 ATS in last 30 post-bye games, 8-2 in last ten.
— Vikings in 1st half: 6 series, 23 plays, 37 yards, zero points.
— Vikings in 2nd half: 4 series, 35 plays, 279 yards, 27 points.
— Minnesota won for 6th time in last seven games.
Falcons 29, Panthers 3:
— Atlanta was 1-7 before its bye; they’re 2-0 since, not allowing an offensive TD.
— Falcons’ first TD came on a 78-yard punt return.
— This was Atlanta’s first game outdoors this season.
— Carolina lost three of last four games after a 4-2 start.
— In their first eight games, Panthers were +8 in turnovers; last two weeks, minus-6.
— Carolina lost to Atlanta for 7th time in last eight series games.
Saints 34, Buccaneers 17:
— Saints won seven of their last eight games.
— NO converted 8-15 on 3rd down, outgained Bucs 457-252- they gained 9.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints are 9-3 ATS in last dozen games as a road favorite.
— Buccaneers lost five of their last six games.
— In its last five games, Tampa Bay has a minus-14 turnover ratio.
— Seven of Tampa Bay’s last eight games went over the total.
Colts 33, Jaguars 13:
— Jaguars ran ball only 9 times, dropped back to pass 50 times.
— Jacksonville didn’t have a snap inside the Colts’ 20-yard line.
— Jags are 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog
— Colts ran ball for 264 yards, outgained Jaguars 389-310.
— Four of Indy’s six home games went over the total.
— Home side won eight of last nine series games.
Jets 34, Redskins 17:
— Darnold threw for 293 yards, a career-high four TD’s.
— Jets outgained Washington 394-225 in this game.
— Jets’ last four games went over the total.
— Redskins lost their last four games, outscored 52-18
— Washington scored two TD’s on its last 35 drives.
— Redskins are 2-10 ATS in last dozen post-bye games.
Bills 37, Dolphins 20:
— Buffalo outrushed the Dolphins 168-23. outgained them 424-303
— Bills’ first four drives: 30 plays, 212 yards, one TD, three FG’s.
— Hauschka made a 51-yard fG, snapping an 0-5 skid on 50+-yard FG’s.
— Dolphins have been outscored 159-37 in second half of games.
— This was first time in last five games that Miami trailed at halftime.
— Dolphins ran a kickoff back 101 yards for a TD just before halftime.
Ravens 41, Texans 7:
— Watson was sacked seven times, averaged only 3.7 ypa.
— Houston trailed at halftime in six of last eight games.
— Texans are now 0-6 all-time in Baltimore.
— Baltimore won its last six games, covered last four.
— Ravens ran ball for 263 yards; only 9 of their 64 plays were on 3rd down.
— Baltimore in 2nd half: 5 series, 30 plays, 298 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
49ers 36, Cardinals 26:
— Arizona led this game 16-0 in second quarter.
— Cardinals were outgained 442-266, but led 26-23 with 1:00 to play.
— Arizona covered five of its last six games as a road underdog.
— Garoppolo was 34-45/424 passing with four TD’s.
— 49ers’ last four games went over the total.
— Under Shanahan, 49ers are 4-6 ATS as a home favorites, 2-3 TY
Patriots 17, Eagles 10:
— Both teams scored one touchdown, combined to convert 8-28 on 3rd down.
— Once Patriots got the lead, they had six drives: 26 plays, 83 yards, six punts.
— New England is 18-11 ATS in last 29 games as a road favorite.
— Eagles’ 3rd drive was a 16-play, 95-yard TD drive; took 9:33.
— After that drive, on 9 drives, Philly ran 44 plays for 165 yards, zero points.
— New England had a 14-yard advantage in field position.
Raiders 17, Bengals 10:
— Cincy’s last nine drives: 44 plays, 158 yards, three points.
— Bengals are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 4-1 TY.
— Rookie QB Finley was 13-31/115 yards; not good.
— Oakland (6-4) is tied atop AFC West with the Chiefs.
— None of Raiders’ six wins are by more than 8 points.
— Oakland had nine plays of 20+ yards, most in the league the week.
Rams 17, Bears 7:
— The guy who drafted Trubisky over Mahomes/Jackson should be fired. Today.
— Chicago lost five of its last six games.
— Bears are 4-1 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-5 when they allow more.
— Rams were down three starters on OL and their two best WR’s. It showed.
— LA’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Rams’ OL coach and punter Hekker were great; the rookie OL played well enough.
Comment