NFL Playoffs Info

[Blackbeard]

gL tomorrow buddy!!!!!!!!!!

[Spiccoli]

1)NE/Jax Over 37 ---------------------Loss
2)Wash +10 and under 44 -------------Win

On to tomorrow.

Carolina and Over

Cinci Over

[Spearit]

Thanx Spiccoli- Sorry to see our bucs slide.

[tash]

Thanks Spear! much appreciated.

[Spearit]

I felt robbed of the over in yesterdays Jax/NE game. The offensive penalties were killer and Jax should not have left home. NE provided their share of points but Del Gado love relationship with Leftwich is tiring to us Jags. The more mobile Garrard should have started as Leftwich always struggles in the first half.

Lets get it on today. Wash/TB was capped beautifully and the NE/Jax game needed more info on TO, Rush, and Pass stats. My bad as I did not include it. So lets take a look at today's games.

[Spearit]

Turnovers
Carolina has lost 7 TO and taken 15 in the last 6
I do not count New Orleans 6 as a good representation- so 7-9
NY Giants has lost 9 TO and taken 11
I see little advantage here between the teams- but do believe the TO will play a big part in todays games.

[Spearit]

Rushing favors the Giants and Passing favors Carolina on pecentage caught but give the edge to Giants for number of yards per catch. Third down % is a draw. Penalties favor Carolina.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (61-65)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY GIANTS games 54% of the time since 1992. (88-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY GIANTS games 56.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-14)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 56.5% of the time since 1992. (78-60)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 53.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY GIANTS games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (85-91)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY GIANTS games 45% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-22)
No Edge.

[Spearit]

Spear Play #3 NY -2 1/2

I realize alot of people are on Carolina. I actually liked them myself - given Eli Mannings record lately. Carolina has been there and that isn't to be taken lightly.

My gut feeling is to go with the trends for a better chance at winning this bet. I see many aspects that can turn this game around quickly but I will go with the better ATS at home - 7-2 vs the 5-3 away for Carolina. Also -I site the two favorable trends that bring me to playing this:

* Home Teams in the +3 to –3 line range are 24-11 SU & 19-12-4 ATS, for 61.3% ATS, a pretty strong success record.

* Following line movements towards a road team (betting the road team) would have resulted in just a 11-24-3 ATS (31.4%) record. The line moves in favor of Carolina from +3 to + 2 1/2

[Spearit]

NFL | CAROLINA at NY GIANTS
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (CAROLINA) a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 30 points or more last game
90-58 since 1997. ( 60.8% )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% )

[Cadillac]

I think you are right, Spearit. Carolina hasn't shown up this year in a lot of games like people thought they would. Not enough of a run game, and Strahan will play possessed.

Caddy

[rocko]

NICe WORK BUDDY THANK U,U HAVE ANYTHING FOR THE O/U??
THANKS GETER DONE

[Spearit]

Thanx Caddy and Rocko- I mentioned at the beginning that playing these games is a crap shoot and that better value is found on Hoops, Pucks, and other. These games can flipflop at any time. Please remember that in your betting status. Play a little to keep involved if you like but stronger plays exist elsewhere.
One downside that I just noted to playing against Carolina- Carolina is 16-3 as underdogs the last 3 years. Sheesh - As soon as you think you have a handle a 10Dime Bry jumps out of the pan before it heats up. Just giving you the facts. Oh, maybe its okay NY is 4-1 as a fav at home 3 points or less. nevermind.

[rocko]

LMFAO gEZZZZZZZZZ I SEE YOUR POINT DAM IF U DO DAM IF U DONT LOL

[Spearit]

Both teams have been on the mark for Vegas concerning the total. A slight favor to the Under in this situation for both teams. Carolina is 8-7 O/U 1 push 5-3 Away. NY is 8-8 O/U and 4-5 @Home ---No Edge

[keawe]

Thanks for the info!!!!!!
Goodluck today Spear!!!!!