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How To Win In Sports Gambling

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  • How To Win In Sports Gambling

    These are things that I have found from gambling for several years I think everyone would like to know especially newbies.
    First and foremost remember 1 thing-you have to be very disciplined to win at this game-It can be done and here is how.

    Don'ts and why
    1. Never bet on a home team laying 1 point in any sport (This is a huge sucker bet. "All they have to do is win"-That is what the books want you to think)

    2. NFL-Never lay these numbers with the fave(1, 2.5, 5.5) These numbers entice you to take the favorite-you would be at 36% in the nfl this year if you played all of these.

    3. Never play home favorites in TV games (big games) when the consensus is on that team.

    4. Never play teasers in any sport accept NFL-and only then in certain situations.

    5. Never bail out on Sunday Night and Monday Night-(why do you think payday is tuesday with most locals?)

    6. Never ever play parlays-if you really like two games-you are better off betting an action reverse bet. (Better numbers here)

    7. Never ever follow sports services or analyst (they always hype one team aka auburn)

    8. Never bet on trends posted (Sportsbooks put out these-just so you know)

    9. Never buck a streak (I.E. Don't bet against the Patriots when they are 20-2 ATS)

    10. Don't play too many totals-these are complete crapshoots

    11. Never pay money to a service (this is just a waste)

    12. Never buy points-except to 3 in the NFL (waste of money if you do)

    13. Never lay 120-150 with home teams in MLB (these hit 45% of time)

    14. Never bet against a team because there star player is hurt (lines are already adjusted)

    15. Never bet on a favorite in the NFL if the line doesnt move from open to close

    16. Never bet on the dog on the moneyline in football when the line is between 1-3 in the NFL. Payout is not worth the risk-if you notice the dogs that win outright are usually between 4-10 point dogs

    17. Never bet a fave on the moneyline if the ml is more than 125-this is just a bad propostion.

    18. Do not bet on a team because their stats are better-this is already taken into account in the line.

    19. Do not bet on the Lakers or Yankees-these games seem funny (if you know what I mean)-these are lucky if you win

    20. Do not bet on a team when every service has them-especially as a GOY.

    21. Do not bet on a game because someone on a forum has it as a GOY-unless it is someone who is credible.

    22. Do not play against a system-i.e. one already mentioned

    23. Do not play a total because you think the weather will affect it. (line has been adjusted already)

    Do's and why

    1. Do bet on a road dog when the consensus is on the home fave in a big tv game unless you are bucking a streak (i.e. 3:30 CFB game on CBS or ABC) Road dogs against the public hit at over 70% this year in this situation)

    2. Do bet on a dog in the NFL if the line does not move all week-(i.e. line opens at 3 and stays there all week-bet the dog)

    3. Do bet on a road dog when the public is on that same team-this goes for any sport-(NFL this year 67%-CBB 65% so far)

    4. Do bet on a team when their star QB is hurt in the NFL (the teams always steps up and wins)

    5. Do bet on a team that is on a streak when they are an underdog.

    6. Do bet on the home favorite when they are unranked and playing a ranked team in CBB (67% over last 6 years)

    7. Do bet on the opposite of what happened in the earlier games the same night (i.e. both dogs covered the first 2 NBA games-so play should have been on the favorite in the late game) This works in every sports-home vs. road, dog vs. fave, over vs. under (Wednesday night in the NBA the first 6 games that ended went 5-1 on dogs and 6-0 on under- the last 6 games went 6-0 on faves and 5-1 on the over

    8. Do have many outs-line shopping will do you better than buying points(i.e. line on chargers game-you can get 6 at pinnacle or 7.5 at bodog) big diff

    9. IN CBB do bet on the road team when both teams are ranked(13-6 this year & hits 60-65% over time)

    10. Do bet against home favorites that are ranked in CBB (hits 65% over time-45-25 this year)

    11. Do bet on home dogs getting more than 10 points in CFB or NFL

    12. Do bet the over when the total is 54 or higher in NFL.

    13. Do bet the over when the total is 74 or higher in CFB.

    14. Do bet the under when the total is less than 39 in CFB.

    15. Do bet the under when the total is less than 34 in NFL.

    Remember if you go to bar and ask 20 people who they like in a game-and 15 or more of the 20 tell you the same side-I would either bet the other way or sit the game out-Vegas (bookies) set lines at a certain place for a reason-if it seems to good to be true-it may be-on the other hand do not just bet opposite the public all time-remember the consensus reports we all know of (i.e. *********, sportsbook, sports insights, carib, bigguy, ********* and so on are published many times by the sportsbooks themselves-do you think they would publish these if all you had to do was bet against the masses everytime-I don't think so. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always pay up on time-When you call your local ask him who he is rooting for on a particular game-if he says I need one team really really bad-I would not play the otherside-Bookies make money in the long run-but if you follow some of the above tips and strategies you should make money in the long run-just remember it is a marathon not a sprint

    These are just a few and they are my opinions (that have been tested) only
    Please feel free to add- and I will add more soon
    Last edited by linemover; 01-08-2005, 03:52 AM.

  • #2
    Good Info Blake!!!!!

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    • #3
      Thanks a bunch blake
      Quitters Never Win, Winners Will NEVER Quit

      Comment


      • #4
        blake as i read this i was amazed at how many of those i agreed with and recognized with you. I believe several of those to be SO TRUE.

        Nice post!

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        • #5
          Excellent post blake ...

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          • #6
            According to this, you should bet San Fran tonight.

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            • #7
              I agree with alot of them. I'd also add only bet Moneyline parlays, cause the big favorite on has to win. I just printed this out and everyone else should also or just don't bet at all. Thanks alot Blake, it' s truely appreciated, but hard to do, that's why it's called gambling.

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              • #8
                mbates-doesnt apply as much to small time teams as loyola

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                • #9
                  I'm giving it a "Sticky" cause it's a great read for many that need to see it.

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                  • #10
                    A couple more

                    Watch for line reversals where the dog becomes the favorite....latest example was USC/OKLAH. USC in a blowout.

                    1)Services want only ONE THING........YOUR MONEY.......they will notoriously put up the TV games and BIG games that are always on TV because that is what the public wants action on...all the while the money games are in the smaller and no name markets.

                    2)Blake has a SUPER point in the "Star Injury" line. Look no further than Purdue/Arz St.!

                    3)Trends are useful to the point you use them! Meaning Team A is 10-1 vs Team B on the road. In CBB you have already changed personnel at least two to four times in that time frame so that spread is there to sucker you to a side. Look at things like the current schedule instead.
                    I am NOT schizophrenic......and NEITHER am I! Just paranoid that fear may overcome my insanity!

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                    • #11
                      I've also been saying that about New England and their great run. In any sport the "Their Due" Theory is a HORRIBLE Technique of gambling!

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                      • #12
                        Something I do wrong way too often.....

                        Never expect miracles from a sh*t team. One that has a flat out horrible w/l record or is generally lacking in discipline (ie turnovers, fouls, penalties (Raiders), free throws (Pitt)). Hope and reality are two different streets.
                        Don't argue with an idiot; people watching may not be able to tell the difference.

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                        • #13
                          Goldvike posted

                          Watch for line reversals where the dog becomes the favorite....latest example was USC/OKLAH. USC in a blowout

                          This was such easy money in the 2nd half line.USC +3. moneyline +174.
                          You can steal money when vegas keeps getting the public to bite on 2nd half lines.
                          I really will remember that one Gold V.

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                          • #14
                            Great Info Guys
                            jordanrules..................

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                            • #15
                              To Everyone

                              On Blake's #6. Do bet on the home favorite when they are unranked and playing a ranked team in CBB (67% over last 6 years). This is an excellent situation to start posting on the forum. Like the way Wayne posts his plays in the NBA on playing against the home team in their first game back from an east-west coast series. We should start posting the plays, when someone gets the lines and the unranked home team is the favorite over a ranked opponent. Just title it something like unranked home favorite Weber St -3 over ranked Duke. Just make the forum aware this is a bet on situation.

                              Krunch

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