On the discussion about Phil Steal just know that his customers have not made any money this year bottom line. He has lost all 3 GOYS but more importantly his Late Phone record for NFL Preseason. College Football, and the NFL combined is under 50% documented.
The only person making money off Phil's picks is Phil by selling them not by betting them thats for sure. He can massage the numbers any way he wants , use any time frame that suits him , but he is under 50% combined for the season and then go figure in the cost of his service and the vig that his custmores shell out.
Not good but I have to give him credit he has people begging and drooling for his picks. Like PT Barnum said there is a sucker born every minute.
Sugar Bowl - Jan 3
Auburn (-6.5) 27 Virginia Tech 14
Auburn has no gripe about belonging in the National Championship Game, as they rate as the 4th best team in the nation in my ratings, but the Tigers are a very good team in all facets of the game and I’ll take them to complete their perfect season with a win over the streaking Hokies, who are riding an 8 game win streak and 3 straight spread wins. Teams that end the regular season on a roll of 3 or more consecutive spread wins are actually bad bets in their bowl game and the Hokies apply to a negative 30-61-1 ATS situation that is based on that fact. Auburn, meanwhile, applies to a 38-14 ATS major bowl situation and a 20-4 ATS subset of that angle applies. The technical analysis is not quite enough to get me on Auburn as a Best Bet unless the line comes down to -6, as those angles are worth 8 points and my math model favors the Tigers by only 5 points. Virginia Tech turned out to be much better than anticipated this season, as they rate at 0.3 yppl better than average offensively with a healthy Mike Imoh at running back. Imoh was hampered with a hamstring injury the final few games of the regular season, but he claims to be 100% for this game. Imoh and running mate Cedric Humes should have decent success running against an Auburn defense that was inconsistent defending the run this season and rates at 0.5 yards per rushing play better than average against the run, which is only slightly better than the +0.4 yprp rating of Virginia Tech’s rushing attack in the games that Imoh was healthy (he also missed Tech’s first 3 games of the season). Virginia Tech will have to be very good on the ground, since the Hokies’ modest pass attack (5.9 yards per pass play against teams that would allow only 5.7 yppp to an average offense) isn’t likely to have much success against an Auburn pass defense that rates at 1.3 yppp better than average (4.8 yppp allowed to teams that would average 6.1 yppp against an average defense). The strength of the Hokies is a defense that yielded only 4.5 yards per play this season to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average defense. That unit will be challenged by a very efficient Tigers’ attack that rates at 1.3 yppl better than average (6.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average offense). Auburn has the edge on both sides of the ball, rating a 0.5 yppl edge over Virginia Tech’s offense and a 0.2 yppl edge over the Hokies’ defense. The Hokies, however, played very well against good teams this season, as their offense was 0.7 yppl better than average against good defensive teams Miami-Florida, Maryland, Georgia Tech, NC State, and USC (5.0 yppl against those teams, which would allow a combined 4.3 yppl to an average offense) while their defense held very good offensive teams USC, North Carolina, Virginia, and Miami-Florida to just 5.1 yppl (those teams would average a combined 6.5 yppl against an average defense). However, Auburn’s offense averaged 5.7 yppl against the 3 very good defensive teams that they faced – LSU, Georgia, and Alabama – who would allow a combined 4.3 yppl to an average offense. The Tigers also allowed 14 points or less in 10 of their 12 games and the two teams that scored more than 14 points (Arkansas and Tennessee) are both 0.5 yppl better than Virginia Tech’s offense. The profile analysis (how teams have performed against teams of similar caliber) would favor Auburn by just 4 points in this game, but that analysis is less accurate than using all games and the difference is only 1 point, so it’s not really too significant. Regardless, the line value favors Virginia Tech in this game by a point or two, which takes away some of the value from the situations that favor Auburn. The Tigers still have a very profitable 56.7% chance of covering at the current line of -6 ½ points and I’ll consider Auburn a Strong Opinion at -7 points or less and I have no opinion on the total.
Upgrade Auburn to a 2-Star Best Bet if they become a favorite of 6 points or less.
Service Killer-In addition that 38 page PowerSweep Bowl issue is garbage. The infinite amount of material(most of it irrelevant) based on regular season stats that he stuffs into the issue while making him feel important, has very little relevance to what happens when the games are played.
The intangibles, coaching, team preparation, motivation, etc. are what decide these bowl games and NOT stale stats which have no meaning once regular season is over.
Alot of these services dont update records, and might have a good day followed with a bad. The only service I even like out of all these is Executive. If you want a good honest service, send an email to ***********@yah oo.com. He goes by the name of Big Jim. He is only hitting around 60%, but that is good enough to win some money. His prices are great, answers to all emails, and has won me alot of money. Just wanted to pass that along. Here are his plays for today
College Football
Auburn -6
NBA
Seattle +5
Seattle over 204
Detroit -4
College hoops
Clev State +2.5
Ill- Chicago -8
Ill State +9
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