IG AL SAT. PLAYS
Message: Ref# 155275
GameDate: Saturday, September 18, 2004 8:05 PM
Matchup: Troy State Trojans @ New Mexico St. Aggies
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is New Mexico St. Aggies
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source:
Line: 10.0 / -110
Reason:
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on New Mexico State vs.
Troy State, as the
Trojans fall into a similar situation as Notre Dame
following their
upset win over Missouri last week. In that game, Troy
State was an
11-point underdog, yet upset Missouri 24-14. Now, Troy
State is favored
on the road at New Mexico State, who lost 41-14 to
California, but
covered as a 37-point underdog. Let's take New Mexico
State, as
Non-Conference road favorites cover just 30% of the
time off an
outright win as an underdog of 6 or more points, when
matched up
against a foe off a pointspread win. Also, the Aggies
are a perfect 6-0
ATS as a home underdog since being added to the Nevada
rotation in 1999.
Take New Mexico State.
Ref# 155274
GameDate: Saturday, September 18, 2004 7:00 PM
Matchup: Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Michigan State
Spartans
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is Michigan State Spartans
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 3.5 / -110
Reason:
At 7 pm, on ESPN, our selection is on the Michigan
State Spartans vs.
Notre Dame, as we'll play against the Irish following
their upset win
over Michigan as a 10-point dog last week. Now, Notre
Dame is a road
favorite, but non-conference road faves are a very
poor bet (20% ATS
since 1980) off an outright win as a 6-point dog, when
matched up
against a foe off a win. Also, the underdog is 15-6
ATS in this series.
Take Michigan State tonight to get the money for the
8th time in 9 games
vs. Notre Dame.
Ref# 155273
GameDate: Saturday, September 18, 2004 6:30 PM
Matchup: UAB Blazers @ Florida State Seminoles
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is UAB Blazers
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 24.5 / -110
Reason:
At 6:30 pm, on ESPN2, our selection is on UAB vs.
Florida State, as the
Blazers fall into a system of mine that is 23-2 ATS
since 1980. Two
weeks ago, UAB won its opener, 56-14 vs. Baylor, and
Watson Brown's
squad had last week off to prepare for Bobby Bowden's
Seminoles, who
lost last week at Miami. That was a heartbreaking loss
for Florida
State, and this could be a flat spot for them, as they
have a revenge
match against Clemson next week. But FSU better be
ready, because UAB
falls into a great 23-2 (92% ATS) Game 2 momentum
system that involves
playing on certain teams that won Game 1 by 35+
points, and covered the
spread in that game by more than 16 popints, provided
they're not
favored in Game 2 by 14+ points. With 18 returning
starters, and a 22-9
ATS pointspread record as an underdog since 1999,
we'll take UAB on
Saturday evening
Hello Guys and Gals, new to the board but would like to invite
everyone to a free weekend of Consensus, email [no e-mails on site] to get added for the weekend.
He is advertising a no limit today in a BIG 12/PAC TEN game. I think the only matchup is Oregon vs. Oklahoma. I would guess he is taking Oregon as the big dog. I have never known him to take a favorite of 28.
Comment