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From Thursdays Service picks thanks to Spark!
BIG AL SAT. PLAYS
Message: Ref# 155275
GameDate: Saturday, September 18, 2004 8:05 PM
Matchup: Troy State Trojans @ New Mexico St. Aggies
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is New Mexico St. Aggies
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source:
Line: 10.0 / -110
Reason:
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on New Mexico State vs. Troy State, as the
Trojans fall into a similar situation as Notre Dame following their
upset win over Missouri last week. In that game, Troy State was an
11-point underdog, yet upset Missouri 24-14. Now, Troy State is favored
on the road at New Mexico State, who lost 41-14 to California, but
covered as a 37-point underdog. Let's take New Mexico State, as
Non-Conference road favorites cover just 30% of the time off an
outright win as an underdog of 6 or more points, when matched up
against a foe off a pointspread win. Also, the Aggies are a perfect 6-0
ATS as a home underdog since being added to the Nevada rotation in 1999.
Take New Mexico State.
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Ref# 155274
GameDate: Saturday, September 18, 2004 7:00 PM
Matchup: Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Michigan State Spartans
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is Michigan State Spartans
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 3.5 / -110
Reason:
At 7 pm, on ESPN, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans vs.
Notre Dame, as we'll play against the Irish following their upset win
over Michigan as a 10-point dog last week. Now, Notre Dame is a road
favorite, but non-conference road faves are a very poor bet (20% ATS
since 1980) off an outright win as a 6-point dog, when matched up
against a foe off a win. Also, the underdog is 15-6 ATS in this series.
Take Michigan State tonight to get the money for the 8th time in 9 games
vs. Notre Dame.
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Ref# 155273
GameDate: Saturday, September 18, 2004 6:30 PM
Matchup: UAB Blazers @ Florida State Seminoles
Grade: Premium Play
Selection: Play is UAB Blazers
Line Type: Point Spread
Line Source: Pinnacle Sportsbook
Line: 24.5 / -110
Reason:
At 6:30 pm, on ESPN2, our selection is on UAB vs. Florida State, as the
Blazers fall into a system of mine that is 23-2 ATS since 1980. Two
weeks ago, UAB won its opener, 56-14 vs. Baylor, and Watson Brown's
squad had last week off to prepare for Bobby Bowden's Seminoles, who
lost last week at Miami. That was a heartbreaking loss for Florida
State, and this could be a flat spot for them, as they have a revenge
match against Clemson next week. But FSU better be ready, because UAB
falls into a great 23-2 (92% ATS) Game 2 momentum system that involves
playing on certain teams that won Game 1 by 35+ points, and covered the
spread in that game by more than 16 popints, provided they're not
favored in Game 2 by 14+ points. With 18 returning starters, and a 22-9
ATS pointspread record as an underdog since 1999, we'll take UAB on
Saturday evening.RED LIGHT UP THAT CIGAR
Comment
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Ball St
Missouri -26
This game set's up well for Head Coach Gary Pinkel's Missouri Tigers. They blew a lead against a very stubborn Troy St. Team as a double digit favorite in their last game and not only failed to cover but lost straight up. This will be the 3rd straight meeting for these teams and Missouri is 2-0 ATS and won very easily last year as a double-digit away favorite 35-7. Ball St. is coming off a dismal performance against Purdue and will find no compassion here with a Missouri Team that will be focused and wanting to show the country that they are better than their last performance against Troy St. I look for Brad Smith, Nash and the rest of this Missouri offense to have their way with a very young and inexperienced Ball St. Defense that is suffering from the trials of playing major college football on the road. The Ball St. defense has averaged giving up 45+ points a game their last 8 nonconference road games. Also Missouri is 6-2 ATS as Double Digit Home Favorites their last 8 and I look for this team to add to that Ball St. history of losing and losing big in these situations. My Blowout of the Week is MISSOURI!!
5* MISSOURI -26
AS Always Good Luck!
Marty Segal
Top Hat Sports
www.unitedsportsinfo.comLast edited by GR8Life; 09-18-2004, 12:43 AM.Wash. D.C. 8 sq. miles surrounded by REALITY
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Originally posted by OleBlueEyes
No problem spike! If you see Alatex please let us know, I am looking everywhere for it. Jonnie, Alatex website says that he is using a 5 piece day for Saturday.
OBE
THAT"S WHAT I HEARD,BUT I"LL KEEP LOOKING FOR ALATEX
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