Friday's Service Plays & Request Thread

[BettorsChat]

nt

[fleetfox]

WinOnBaseball.com - Friday Report - 05/21/04

Welcome to our first annual service free trial!

-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.

-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated daily on the "Records" page of our website.

-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)

-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Saturday, May 22st.

Season record: 81-93 -22.49 UNITS

Six plays for Friday:

Lines from Pinnacle current as of 2:15am Pacific on 05/21/04.

STL (CARPENTER) -118 over CHC (Mitre) - 1 UNIT - 12:20pm Pacific
Carpenter has been as consistent as you can get, and I expect him to put in another solid performance. He has given up 9 HR, but 4 of them came in one outing, and has given up only 4 flyballs in his last 46 outs. Since he's keeping th ball down, this will help him in Wrigley, where the winds are expected to blow out today. Sosa out of the lineup also helps. Mitre is nothing special, and I expect the Cards to win behind the strength of Carpenter and the offense.

MIL (SHEETS) -135 over Pit (Fogg) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Sheets now has 8 high quality starts in a row, including the dominating 18 K performance his last time out. Even with those Ks, he threw only 116 pitches, so I don't expect a burnout from him in this game. I love betting against Fogg, especially at relatively low number like this. Fogg has improved over his last two starts, but he is still bad. The big edge in starting pitching goes to Milwaukee.

CHW (BUEHRLE) -119 over Min (Silva) - 1 UNIT - 5:10pm Pacific
Buehrle has been on a roll this month, and dominated the Twins in his last start. The Twins lineup traditionally struggles against lefties, so I think Buehrle can pitch another good game. Silva was bound to get hit hard sooner or later, and it happened in his last start. He's been lucky with the HR ball, but the Sox have the type of lineup that will take advantage of any lapse in control, which Silva needs in order to keep the ball in the park.

KC (ANDERSON) +183 over Oak (Mulder) - 1 UNIT - 6:05pm Pacific
Oakland's batters have historically struggled against lefty flyball pitchers such as Anderson. Oakland was able to get to him in his last start, but I still believe this is good value. The park will certainly benefit him in this one, as it is much more pitcher friendly than Kauffman Stadium, where he took the loss in his last start. Mulder has pretty much dominated the KC hitters, which is why I also like the under, but I think Anderson can keep them in the game.

UNDER 9 KC (ANDERSON)/OAK (MULDER) -103 - 1 UNIT - 6:05pm Pacific

UNDER 9 BAL (DUBOSE)/ANA (WASHBURN) -116 - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Anaheim pounded Dubose in his last start, but the Angels' injuries seem to be finally catching up to them. They have had only one extra base hit in their last four games. Washburn has been pitching pretty well, and has done well against Baltimore. If Anaheim's offense continues to struggle, this should be a pretty safe under, as I think Washburn can shut Baltimore down.

PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITS

[caper]

Prophet out early again:

NHL:

no games scheduled

NBA:

PASS

MLB:

St. Louis (Carpenter) -115 over Chicago Cubs (Mitre) <<3:20 Eastern Start>>
Philadelphia (Millwood) -146 over San Diego (Eaton)
Milwaukee (Sheets) -135 over Pittsburgh (Fogg)
Florida (Oliver) -138 over Arizona (Daigle)


JRM/THE PROPHET

nonigoji

[Kaptain]

Dunkel Index, Friday May 21

*denotes home team
Cards (Carpenter) 11.71 (2)....Cubs* (Mitre) 9.62
Expos* (Hernandez) 9.83 (1/2)....Giants (Tomko) 9.16
Phillies* (Milwood) 10.71 (1 1/2)....Padrers (Eaton) 9.33
Brewers (Sheets) 10.93 (2)....Pirates* (Fogg) 9.09
Mets* (Ginter) 10.30 (1 1/2)....Rockies (Young) 8.64
Astros (Pettite) 10.33 (1)....Reds* (van Poppel) 9.52
Dodgers (Perez) 9.27 (1/2)....Braves* (Ortiz) 8.97
Marlins* (Oliver) 10.03 (2).....D Backs (Daigle) 8.21

Red Sox* (Arroyo) 9.81 (1)....Blue J's (Hallady) 8.89
Indians (Sabathia) 10.54 (2 1/2)....D'Rays* (Abbot) 8.03
Yanks (Brown) 11.74 (2 1/2)....Rangers* (Benoit) 9.44
C W SOX (Buehrle) 10.02 (1)....Twins* (Silva) 9.00
A's (Mulder) 11.33 (3)....Royals (Anderson) 8.13
Mariners* (Pineiro) 9.71 (1/2)...Tigers (Robertson) 9.57
Angels* (Washburn) 10.94 (1 1/2)...Orioles (Dubose) 9.33

k-factor plays to follow....See new thread by Coverboy---Sports Discussions....

[timster]

Thanks Kmann for posting Dunkel index.
Has anyone tracked totals that are off by more than a run?
for example today
mon/sf 9.5 line is O 8.5+104
mil/pit 10.01 line is O 8-104
bal/ane 10.14 line is O 9+101

[Cubs04]

Windy City Sports Review

Hey guys, just wanted to say thanks to everyone who contributed this week. It was a good one.

Windy City Sports Review went 3-0 last night.

50* Toronto Blue Jays/Halladay -105
20* Los Angeles Lakers -1.5
10* Milwaukee Brewers/Sheets -134

[Cruzer0210]

***********?

Bobby Vocelli 8-0 the last 2 days

[Sportsrmylife]

NSA 20* Western Conf Playoff GOY?

the are back on a hot streak winning their last 3 20* plays.

[dingo]

nsa

20 t-wolves

[SHORE BET]

Thanks for NSA Dingo !!!

[SHORE BET]

Is it to early for Animals picks .

[Blackbeard]

JB SPORTS

3* LAKERS

[Gookis]

Animal gave out 2 free 4*'s today

Mets
Indians

Don't have his other plays.

[Spark]

Cards v. Cubs - Friday Afternoon

5/21/04: MLB

ST. LOUIS (Carpenter) –120 at CUBS (Mitre) +110:
MLB - 3:20PM (EST)

The Cards are on a roll right now winning 8 of their last 10 and have one of they best lineups in the league. Today they face a depleted Cubs lineup that will be without Sosa again. Chris Carpenter will take the mound for St. Louis this afternoon. Carpenter has won his last 3 outings and pitched well, especially on the road in 2004.

The Cubs will look to Mark Priors replacement, Sergio Mitre to try and turn things around. Mitre has not been terrible, but he is hittable and should fall victim to the potent Cardinals bats.

Go with St. Louis here on Friday afternoon.

Best of luck,
-Drew

Prime Sports Picks

[secretservice]

Aavalonsports.com

3* Florida (Oliver) to beat the Diamondbacks (Daigle)
3* Boston(Arroyo)
3* Kansas City/Oakland UNDER 9
3* St. Louis (Carpenter) to beat the Cubs (Mitre)
3* Houston (Pettite) to beat the Reds (Van Poppel)
3* Anaheim (Washburn) to beat the Orioles (Dubose)

Bucking some pretty heavy trends with the first two plays, but I'll take Boston at EVEN money at home anytime and they're undefeated (5-0) as a dog this year. Oliver????, let's just say I got a feeling. Riding out the UNDER trend in A's games. Anderson for KC no superstar but has pitched relatively well against the A's in his career and Mulder owns the Royals.
A's still not hitting the ball very well, and they're an UNDER team at home. Van Poppel pitched very well last outing and recorded a shutout. He's gotta show me he can do it a couple of times in a row. When he blows he's gonna get shelled. Anaheim not swinging the bats as well since piling up all those injuries but they have the best record in the majors vs lefthanded pithching and Washburn absolutely owns the Orioles and is in good KW and WHIP form. Aloha.