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Baseball - 961 Chicago Cubs - M Clement +100 ( 3* )
I have A SWEET 5* "Dump" play (4-0) that goes off at 7pm est.for only 24.95. if intersted in the play visit www.***********.com
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Carlo Campanella--TAPIT
MIKE LEE--This Derby is a wide open race where anything can happen and usually does! The track might be off as there will be rain coming in later today. In such a wide-open race, one can spread the ticket over many places but the KEY is to have a KEY HORSE. My key horse in this race is the #3 horse, LION HEART. This horse has good early speed which might be useful on an off track. When mud is flying around, it is far better to have your horse kicking it in the others' faces than vice-versa. Lion Heart's morning line odds are 10/1. Put the #3 on TOP and BOTTOM in an exacta, that is, bet him to WIN on top of the upcoming 7 horses. Then turn around and put the other 7 horses on top of him. This is a fancy WIN-PLACE bet with a chance for a much bigger payoff. Put the #3 to these horses top and bottom: 1 - 7 -11 - 14- 15- 16 - 19. These are the horses names you are putting Lion Heart with. Limehouse (30/1), Minister Eric (30/1), The Cliff's Edge (4/1), Read The Footnotes (12/1), Smarty Jones (9/2), Castledale (15/1) and Pro Prado (30/1). As you can see, you have some MONSTER odds here. My OFFICIAL RELEASE is the #3 to 1-7-11-14-15-16-19 (top and bottom). A $2 exacta-key-reverse of this nature would cost you $28. A $5 EKR would cost you $70 and so on. Also, bet $20 on the #3 Lion Heart to WIN. Here you have a straight bet to win on the horse you like and a pretty good exotic (exacta) wager as well. The payoff could be HUGE! Have fun and let's bring `em in!
Will someone help explain this exacta wager?
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What he wants you to do is take the # 3 horse and play 7 exacta box wagers with the other horses. A $ 2 bet would cost you $ 28.
You would say you want a $ 2 exacta box with the # 3 and # 1 horses. If they finish first and second either way you win..this bet actually costs you $ 4 because you are betting $ 2 for the 3 - 1 finsish and $ 2 for the 1 - 3 finish ( hence the term exact box )You win if they come in first or second either way. Now you do this with all of the other horses and you will have 7 exacta box wagers with in actuality 14 possibile scenarios covered.
Hope this helps.
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WinOnBaseball.com - Saturday Report - 05/01/04
Welcome to our first annual service free trial!
-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated daily on the "Records" page of our website.
-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)
-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 1:00pm Pacific on Saturday, May 1st.
All lines taken from Pinnacle and current as of 5/01/04 10:55pm Pacific.
Season record: 47-55 -14.51 UNITS
Plays for Friday:
(There will likely be an additional play on the ANA/MINN OVER. An additional e-mail will be sent before 1:00pm Pacific as line is updated due to pitching change.)
UNDER 7.5 ARI (JOHNSON)/PHI (PADILLA) -124 - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Both starters have been pitching really well, with Johnson looking dominant again. I don't trust Arizona's bullpen, but Johnson threw only 98 pitches in his last start, so I think he can get deep into the game today. Also, Philly's lineup doesn't handle lefties too well. Padilla is 0-3 but has been pitching well enough to deserve wins. He is third to last in run support. The Dbacks should begin to feel the loss of slugger Richie Sexson as well.
PIT (PEREZ) -110 over Mil (Obermueller) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Obermueller is not starter quality, and I think the Pirates can hit him while he's in the game. Perez looks pretty dominating so far. I'm not expecting him to keep this up, but if he can put in a solid 6, I'll be happy. Milwaukee is currently hitting .188 against lefties.
UNDER 8.5 CHC (CLEMENT)/STL (SUPPAN) +110 - 1 UNIT - 4:15pm Pacific
Both starters have been on fire as of late. Clement has been dominant in 4 out of his last 5 starts, and leads the leagu in BAA and K/9. In Suppan's last three starts, he has a 1.74 ERA.
OAK (HARDEN) -120 over TB (GONZALEZ) - 1 UNIT - 3:15pm Pacific
Gonzalez had three consecutive poor outings before pitching well in his last start. His trends show a declining dominance and command rate. The Oakland lineup usually can perform well against those types of trends. Harden has looked good, even in his last start, which was a loss.
TOR (HALLADAY) -121 over CHW (Buehrle) GAME ONE - 1 UNIT - 4:05 pm Pacific
(Line not posted yet, using line from Friday game which was a rainout.)
Although his record doesn’t show it, Halladay is pitching as well as ever. He hasn’t given up a HR in his last three starts, and his command, control and dominance rates are all very good. Buehrle has been hit hard recently, and Toronto’s lineup is good against lefties, even though their numbers don’t show it so far this year.
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kentucky derby
if anyone has somebody thats good at horse race handicapping would love to have their picks posted for the derby.i usually do my own but this years derby is so wide open im just looking for anyone that has some info they might have and hope they can share it.
thanks seaofredI AM A NITWIT
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Just curious if anyone has Kelso Sturgeon's picks on the Derby.
This alleged horse guru(I say alleged because I paid for his picks in big stakes races 3 or 4 times several years ago, and he could not even produce a show ticket).
Yet, as usual a couple of weeks ago like many of you I received his hype in the mail about a can't miss longshot for the Derby, blah, blah, blah.
I am not going to pay the $25 to find out what the horse is , as personally I think he is all hot air.
That being said, I would still be curious as to which horse or horses he is on (maybe all of them to be sure he has a winner).
Last edited by savage1; 05-01-2004, 12:06 PM.
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THIS WEEK'S FREE PLAY (Courtesy of InsideBetting.com)
Braves vs. Rockies (Saturday)
John Thompson (2-1, 2.67 era) vs. Scott Elarton (0-4, 10.66 era)
This is the second game of a weekend series. Atlanta is hovering at the .500 level and is being led by Marcus Giles who?s batting .393. The pitching has been spotty for Atlanta and the noticeably diminished lineup just doesn?t have the power of past years without the likes of Gary Sheffield and Javy Lopez. The Braves still have John Smoltz., so the bullpen should remain a strength as long as he is the closer. The injury to Chipper Jones leaves Andrew Jones as their primary long ball threat. The Rockies early season power surge has four players (Helton, Burnitz, Johnson and Castilla) with 5 or more homers but as usual it?s the pitching which has them nesting a game from the NL West basement. Both teams have split their last ten games. The Rockies, Elarton (11.25 era in last three starts) is a big question mark to get past the fifth inning while Thompson is shaping up as a stopper for the Braves. Take Atlanta.
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