Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The bum's college football 2020-2021 season news,trends, picks !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Friday, Dec. 18

    UAB at Marshall (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
    Conference USA Title Game

    John C Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
    After recent overachieving vs. the line, UAB tailed off in 2020, just 2-6 vs. spread
    Blazers also no covers in their last five

    Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on recent trends.

    Ball State at Buffalo (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
    MAC Championship

    Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
    Buffalo covered 4 of 5 while recording an unbeaten 5-0 SU mark this season
    Upping head coach Lance Leipold’s spread mark to 30-13-3 the last three+ seasons

    Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

    Oregon at USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
    Pac-12 Championship
    L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
    Ducks no covers last three in 2020
    USC 3-0 last three games vs. the spread
    Trojans “under” 4-1 this season

    Tech Edge: Slight to USC and “under,” based on recent team and “totals” trends

    Nebraska at Rutgers (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
    Scarlet Knights an improved 5-3 vs. line this season in head coach Greg Schiano debut.
    Huskers 6-13-1 vs. line for Frost since last season

    Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • UAB at (21) Marshall Odds
      Opening line
      Marshall -5.5, Over/Under 41.5


      Why the line moved
      FanDuel opened the Thundering Herd 5.5-point home favorites in the Conference USA championship game, and the number is still Marshall -5.5 Monday night. Marshall is taking 86 percent of early tickets and 74 percent of early money. The total bounced from 41.5 to 42.5 and back to 41.5, but FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

      Ball State vs Buffalo Odds
      Opening line
      Buffalo -11.5, Over/Under 66.5


      Why the line moved
      Buffalo is already up two points Monday night at Fanduel, sitting at -13.5 for the Mid-American Conference title game at Detroit's Ford Field. The Bulls are drawing 86 percent of tickets and 97 percent of money. The total is steady at 66.5, though practically all the tickets and dollars through Monday night are on the Over.

      (23) Oregon at (13) USC Odds
      Opening line
      Southern Cal -3.5, Over/Under 62.5


      Why the line moved
      Oregon is a substitute invitee to Friday night's Pac-12 championship game, after Washington had to withdraw Monday due to COVID issues within the program. Host USC opened -3.5 and remains there late Monday evening on some interesting early betting splits: 78 percent of tickets are on the Trojans, while 79 percent of money is on the Ducks.

      The total is down a point to 61.5, though the early splits don't reflect that, with 87 percent of tickets and pretty much every dollar on the Over.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • FRIDAY, DECEMBER 18

        GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


        UAB at MRSH 07:00 PM
        MRSH -4.5
        U 42.5

        NEB at RUTG 07:30 PM
        RUTG +7.0
        O 54.0


        BALL at BUFF 07:30 PM
        BUFF -13.5 *****
        U 67.5


        ORE at USC 08:00 PM
        USC -3.0
        O 63.0
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Friday’s 6-pack
          Biggest contracts in the NBA:

          — Stephen Curry, $201M, five years
          — Paul George, $226M, five years
          — James Harden, $228M, six years
          — Russell Westbrook, $233M, six years
          — Giannis Antetokounmpo, $255.6M, six years
          — Damian Lillard, $257M, six years

          Americans who have died from COVID-19: 309,344
          PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


          Quote of the Day
          “‘If Iowa State were to win the championship game, they would have won six straight games … the same number that Ohio State has played the entire season.’’
          Big X commish Bob Bowlsby

          Friday’s quiz
          Where did Aaron Rodgers play his college football?

          Thursday’s quiz
          Green Bay beat the Chiefs 35-10 in the first Super Bowl.

          Wednesday’s quiz
          Oklahoma City Thunder were the Seattle SuperSonics, before moving to Oklahoma.

          ***************************

          Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

          13) LA Chargers 30, Las Vegas 27 OT
          — Chargers won last two games, both on last play of the game.
          — Herbert threw for 314 yards, two TD’s, and scored game-winning TD.
          — Chargers converted 7-12 third down plays.
          — Bolts had ball nine times; scored four TD’s, tried three FG’s.

          — Carr hurt his leg in first half; backup Mariota threw for 226 yards, ran for 88 more.
          — Las Vegas lost four of last five games, giving up 36 ppg.
          — Last four games, Las Vegas allowed 19 TD’s on 49 drives.
          — Over is 11-3 in Raider games this season.

          12) Kansas 58, Texas Tech 57:
          — High-quality game between top 10 teams.
          — Kansas was 14-15 on foul line, Tech 11-18.
          — Tech led by 7 with 8:57 left.

          11) Saint Louis 80, NC State 69:
          — Billikens are probably best team in A-14.
          — State led by 10 just before halftime.
          — Billikens won despite turning ball over 21 times (-13).

          10) Seton Hall 70, Marquette 63:
          — Pirates have played schedule #38; they’re 2-0 in Big East.
          — Marquette lost three of five top 100 games.

          9) Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 5-year, $228M contract extension works out to $556,585 a game, whether he plays or not.

          8) New Jersey Giants’ offensive coordinator Jason Garrett tested positive for COVID, so he won’t be at the Sunday night game with Cleveland. Calling plays in his place will be Freddie Kitchens, the tight end coach, who was Cleveland’s head coach last year.

          7) One of America’s best actors turns 84 next week; Hector Elizondo has 155 acting credits on IMDB.com. He’s been all over the place, with roles in these movies:

          — Beaches, American Gigolo, Runaway Bride
          — Pretty Woman, New Year’s Eve, Necessary Roughness, Frankie & Johnny

          He also guested on his share of TV shows, before he made it in the movies:

          — West Wing, Without a Trace, Columbo, Kojak
          — Hill Street Blues, The Equalizer, Matlock, Rockford Files

          Happy birthday!!!

          6) Teams are 2-9 ATS this season, the week after playing the Chiefs.

          5) When Kansas State won at Iowa State Tuesday, they started three freshmen; it was the first time they had ever done that in conference play.

          4) College basketball teams playing some of the fastest tempos:
          — Eastern Kentucky, Citadel, Arizona State, Memphis, Gonzaga

          3) College basketball teams with the most experience:
          — Eastern Illinois, Cal-Bakersfield, Detroit, Georgia Tech, Missouri

          2) College basketball teams who take highest %age of their shots as 3’s:
          — Wofford, Monmouth, UNLV, Oral Roberts, St Joe’s, Northern Iowa

          1) It snowed so much here Thursday, I couldn’t open the front door to my house, and I barely got out the back door. Over two feet of snow, and winter doesn’t start until Monday. Awesome.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

            12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
            12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
            12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
            12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
            12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
            12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
            12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


            Totals...........54-43-2.....55.67%....+33.50
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2020, 05:18 PM.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19

              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


              NW at OSU 12:00 PM
              NW +18.0
              U 56.0


              TAM at TENN 12:00 PM
              TAM -13.5
              U 51.0

              OKLA at ISU 12:00 PM
              ISU +6.0
              O 58.5


              WSU at UTAH 01:30 PM
              WSU +10.5
              U 55.5


              AFA at ARMY 03:00 PM
              ARMY +2.5
              U 38.0


              MISS at LSU 03:30 PM
              LSU +1.0
              U 74.0


              MIZZ at MSST 03:30 PM
              MIZZ -1.0
              U 49.5

              MINN at WIS 04:00 PM
              WIS -12.5
              U 46.5


              CLEM at ND 04:00 PM
              ND +10.0
              O 59.5

              BSU at SJSU 04:15 PM
              SJSU +6.5
              O 56.5


              ILL at PSU 05:30 PM
              PSU -15.5
              U 53.0


              STAN at UCLA 07:00 PM
              UCLA -6.5
              U 59.0


              TLSA at CIN 08:00 PM
              CIN -14.0
              O 44.5


              ALA at FLA 08:00 PM
              ALA -17.0
              O 74.0


              ASU at ORST 10:30 PM
              ORST +7.0
              O 54.5
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Monday’s 6-pack
                Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
                — Minnesota @ New Orleans (-7.5)
                — Tampa Bay (-8) @ Detroit
                — San Francisco @ Arizona (-3.5)
                — Miami (-2.5) @ Las Vegas
                — Denver @ LA Chargers (-3)
                — Cleveland (-10) @ NJ Jets

                Americans who have died from COVID-19: 316,013
                PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

                Quote of the Day
                “This is one of those disappointing wins the way that we played in the second half. So I have a sour taste in my mouth how we played in the second half. We’ve got to get back to the drawing board. That kind of football is not going to beat a lot of teams.”
                Aaron Rodgers

                Monday’s quiz
                When was the last time an NFL team made the playoffs with a losing record?

                Sunday’s quiz
                Florida State was the last football team other than Clemson to win the ACC title, in 2014.

                Saturday’s quiz
                Alvin Gentry was coach of the Phoenix Suns last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

                *****************************

                Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

                Indianapolis 27, Texans 20:
                — WR Coutee fumbled on Colts’ 1-yard line in last minute.
                — Texans in red zone: 4 drives, 13 points. Indy: 4 drives, 24 points.
                — Houston is 0-9 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
                — Texans’ last five drives: 50 plays, 363 yards, 2 TDs, 2 FGs, one fumble.

                — Colts won seven of their last nine games overall.
                — Indy/Tennessee are tied for first in AFC South.
                — Indianapolis won seven of last nine series games.
                — Last five games, Colts outscored opponents 92-33 in 2nd half.

                Tennessee 46, Lions 25:
                — Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.
                — Detroit allowed 27+ points in seven of its last eight games.
                — Detroit scored 27.0 ppg the last four weeks.
                — Six of last eight Lion games went over the total.

                — Titans converted nine of 11 third down plays.
                — Tennessee won four of last five games, is tied for first in AFC South.
                — First three drives: 21 plays, 243 yards, three TD’s.
                — Last three drives: 25 plays, 160 yards, three TD’s.

                Buccaneers 31, Atlanta 27
                — Buccaneers trailed this game 17-0 at halftime.
                — Bucs’ first three drives in third quarter: 22 plays, 231 yards, three TD’s.
                — Last five games, Bucs converted 29-60 third down plays.
                — Bucs won last four road games, scoring 37.0 ppg.

                — Falcons lost four of their last five games.
                — Atlanta lost six of its eight home games.
                — Atlanta led seven of its last nine games at halftime.
                — Falcons’ last five drives: 19 plays, 33 yards, 3 points.

                Miami 22, Patriots 12:
                — New England misses playoffs for first time since 2008.
                — Last two Patriot games: no TD’s, five FG’s on 19 drives.
                — New England lost five of its last seven visits to Miami.
                — Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

                — Dolphins won eight of their last ten games.
                — Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.
                — Miami is 9-1-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
                — Dolphins have 16 takeaways in last seven games (+9)

                Seahawks 20, Washington 15:
                — Seattle won four of its last five games overall.
                — Seahawks take over first place in NFC West.
                — Last five games, Seahawks outscored foes 71-21 in first half.
                — Last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
                — Seahawks won field position by ten yards.

                — Backup QB Haskins was 38-55/295 passing; he is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
                — Loss snaps Washington’s four-game win streak.
                — Washington outscored last seven opponents 120-37 in second half.
                — Washington converted 10-17 third down plays, outgained Seattle 353-302.

                Bears 33, Minnesota 27
                — Bears ran for 199 yards, scored seven of nine times they had ball.
                — Last four games, Chicago scored 31.0 ppg.
                — Bears won field position by 13 yards in this game.
                — Bears won five of their last six games with Minnesota.

                — Vikings split last four games, giving up 27 ppg.
                — Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last four games.
                — Vikings won field position in only one game so far this year (1-12-1)
                — Minnesota is 1-6 ATS as a home favorite TY.
                — Seven of eight Viking home games went over the total.

                Baltimore 40, Jaguars 14
                — Jaguars lost their last 13 games; they’re now in line for #1 pick in draft.
                — Last four weeks, Jacksonville gave up 190 rushing yards/game.
                — On first series, Jaguars picked off pass on 1-yard line, then gave up a safety on offense.
                — Jacksonville in first half: 5 drives, 61 yards, outscored 2-0 by Ravens’ defense.

                — Baltimore won last three games, scoring 34-47-40 points.
                — On their first eight drives, Ravens scored 5 TD’s, tried 2 FG’s.
                — Ravens lost field position in only one game this season.
                — Over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five games.

                Arizona 33, Eagles 26:
                — Eagles lost five of last six games; they’re 1-6 SU on road.
                — Philly is 2-7-1 SU outside their division.
                — Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-9-1 if they allow more than 21.
                — Eagles trailed 16-0 after first quarter, would’ve led had they not failed on 2-point plays when it was 26-20/26-26.

                — Cardinals drove 86 yards for game-winning TD with 7:17 left.
                — Arizona has a one-game lead for the #7-seed (last playoff spot)
                — Murray threw ball for 406 yards, three TD’s.
                — Hopkins caught nine passes for 169 yards.

                NJ Jets 23, Rams 20
                — Jets scored TD on first drive of each half.
                — Jets scored on first drive in their last eight games, best in NFL.
                — Jets blocked punt in 2nd quarter, started drives on LA’s 27/22-yard line.
                — Third down conversions: Jets 7-17, Rams 2-11.

                — Rams fall out of first place in NFC West.
                — LA’s first six series: 23 plays, 68 yards, zero points.
                — Rams lost three of four games vs AFC East this year.
                — LA had only two plays that gained 20+ yards.

                Chiefs 32, New Orleans 29:
                — Chiefs won their last nine games, are 0-5-1 ATS in last six.
                — Kansas City won all eight of its road games this year (3-4-1 ATS)
                — Chiefs outgained Saints 411-285; they had 34 first downs, Saints 15.
                — Last six games, Kansas City allowed 26.3 ppg.

                — New Orleans lost its last two games, both by 3 points.
                — Saints ran only 52 plays; Chiefs ran 92 plays.
                — Third down conversions: Chiefs 9-18, Saints 1-11.
                — Saints scored only once on seven first half drives.

                Dallas 41, 49ers 33:
                — 49ers lost six of their last seven games SU.
                — SF is 5-16 SU in last 21 games Garoppolo didn’t play.
                — Last seven games, SF was outscored 101-55 in first half.
                — 49ers are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite away from home.

                — Dallas was outgained 458-291, but was +4 in turnovers.
                — Cowboys won field position by 17 yards.
                — Dallas was leading at halftime in five of last seven games.
                — Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • 267NORTH TEXAS -268 APPALACHIAN ST
                  NORTH TEXAS are 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

                  269TULANE -270 NEVADA
                  TULANE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a conference game in the current season.

                  271UCF -272 BYU
                  UCF is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

                  273GA SOUTHERN -274 LOUISIANA TECH
                  LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a bye week in the last 3 seasons.

                  275FLA ATLANTIC -276 MEMPHIS
                  MEMPHIS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an favorite of 3.5-10 since 1992.

                  277HAWAII -278 HOUSTON
                  HAWAII is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

                  287W KENTUCKY -288 GEORGIA ST
                  W KENTUCKY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NCAAF
                    Long Sheet


                    Monday, December 21

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NORTH TEXAS (4 - 5) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 3) - 12/21/2020, 2:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                    NORTH TEXAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                    NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
                    NORTH TEXAS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
                    NORTH TEXAS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
                    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
                    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
                    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Tuesday, December 22

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    TULANE (6 - 5) vs. NEVADA (6 - 2) - 12/22/2020, 3:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    TULANE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    TULANE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    UCF (6 - 3) vs. BYU (10 - 1) - 12/22/2020, 7:00 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Wednesday, December 23

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    GA SOUTHERN (7 - 5) vs. LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 4) - 12/23/2020, 3:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 3) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 3) - 12/23/2020, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MEMPHIS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
                    MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Thursday, December 24

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    HAWAII (4 - 4) vs. HOUSTON (3 - 4) - 12/24/2020, 3:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    HAWAII is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
                    HAWAII is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Saturday, December 26

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    W KENTUCKY (5 - 6) vs. GEORGIA ST (5 - 4) - 12/26/2020, 3:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    W KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
                    W KENTUCKY is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    NCAAF

                    Week 17


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Trend Report
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Monday, December 21

                    Appalachian State @ North Texas
                    Appalachian State
                    Appalachian State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
                    Appalachian State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
                    North Texas
                    North Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
                    North Texas is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games


                    Tuesday, December 22

                    Tulane @ Nevada
                    Tulane
                    Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                    Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                    Nevada
                    Nevada is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games

                    Central Florida @ Brigham Young
                    Central Florida
                    Central Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 10 games
                    Brigham Young
                    Brigham Young is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


                    Wednesday, December 23

                    Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern
                    Louisiana Tech
                    Louisiana Tech is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
                    Louisiana Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                    Georgia Southern
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
                    Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

                    Memphis @ Florida Atlantic
                    Memphis
                    Memphis is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
                    Florida Atlantic
                    Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home


                    Thursday, December 24

                    Hawaii @ Houston
                    Hawaii
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
                    Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
                    Houston
                    Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                    Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games


                    Saturday, December 26

                    Western Kentucky @ Georgia State
                    Western Kentucky
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
                    Western Kentucky is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
                    Georgia State
                    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 10 games
                    Georgia State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games


                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • NCAAF
                      Dunkel

                      Week 17


                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • NCAAF
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Week 17


                        Bowl Games

                        Myrtle Beach Bowl
                        Appalachian State vs North Texas

                        Appalachian State (8-3)
                        — App State won seven of its last nine games.
                        — ASU was minus-6 in turnovers in its three losses, +6 in its wins.
                        — App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                        — ASU has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
                        — App State has a senior QB with 37 career starts.
                        — ASU is 1-4 ATS this year as a double digit favorite.
                        — App State won its last five bowls, scoring 31+ points in all five.

                        North Texas (4-5)
                        — North Texas allowed 31+ points in eight of its nine games.
                        — Mean Green allowed 200+ rushing yards in six of last eight games.
                        — North Texas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                        — Mean Green has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
                        — North Texas has a soph QB with 9 career starts.
                        — Mean Green are 4-5 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.
                        — North Texas lost last three bowls, giving up 46.7 ppg.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                          12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
                          12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
                          12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail

                          12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
                          12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
                          12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
                          12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
                          12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


                          Totals...........67-59-3.....53.17%....+10.50
                          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 11:43 PM.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • Tuesday’s 6-pack
                            Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:

                            — Cincinnati @ Houston (-9)
                            — Indianapolis @ Pittsburgh (-2.5)
                            — Chicago (-7.5) @ Jacksonville
                            — Carolina @ Washington (-2.5)
                            — NJ Giants @ Baltimore (-10)
                            — Atlanta @ Kansas City (-10.5)

                            Americans who have died from COVID-19: 319,086
                            PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                            Quote of the Day
                            “I think I’ve always said that it’s sort of the manifest destiny of the league that you expand at some point. I’d say it’s caused us to maybe dust off some of the analyses on the economic and competitive impacts of expansion. We’ve been putting a little bit more time into it than we were pre-pandemic. But certainly not to the point that expansion is on the front burner.”
                            NBA commissioner Adam Silver

                            Tuesday’s quiz
                            In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, where Kevin Costner is a pitcher for the Tigers, what veteran actor plays his catcher?

                            Monday’s quiz
                            2015 was the last time an NFL team made the playoffs with a losing record; Carolina Panthers won the NFC South, with a 7-8-1 record.

                            Sunday’s quiz
                            Florida State was the last football team other than Clemson to win the ACC title, in 2014.

                            **************************

                            Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

                            13) Its never fun to lose your job, but losing it four days before Christmas as to be especially bad; Carolina Panthers fired GM Marty Hurney Monday- the teams wants someone who is more analytical and data-driven to be their GM.

                            12) Detroit Lions fired special teams coach Brayden Coombs Monday; apparently he called a fake punt Sunday without consulting any of the other coaches. When you do that, the play damn well better work, but it did not, and now Coombs is unemployed.

                            Lions trailed 32-18 when they faked the punt; game ended with Tennessee winning 46-25.

                            Coombs is son of Ohio State defensive coordinator Kerry Coombs, who was the defensive backs coach for the Titans last year.

                            11) Kentucky Wildcats are 1-5 so far this basketball season, their worst start since 1927; the last time a team got an at-large bid to the NCAAs after starting a season 1-5 or worse was 1999, when the Texas Longhorns went 19-13 (13-3 in Big X) in Rick Barnes’ first year in Austin.

                            10) NHL will have a 56-game regular season, starting January 13.

                            NBA starts its regular season with two games Tuesday, a full slate of games Wednesday.

                            9) Was interesting to hear how some college teams have opted out of bowl games because their players just want to go home for the holidays. Kids have been in a routine since June/July where they have been tested for COVID three times a week, and isolated from their families.

                            8) Tennessee Vols’ senior QB Jarrett Guarantano will transfer away from Knoxville; he got benched in favor of younger guys recently. Guarantano winds up with 6,174 yards passing, 38 touchdowns and 17 interceptions in 41 games played for the Vols.

                            Guarantano has another year to play due to this year being a free year for all the players, it doesn’t count against their eligibility.

                            Speaking of Tennessee, they opted out of the Liberty Bowl because of COVID issues; Army takes their place and will play West Virginia in Memphis Saturday.

                            7) RIP to Hall of Fame linebacker Kevin Greene, who passed away Monday at age 58. Greene was a great player for the Steelers/Rams/Panthers. RIP, sir.

                            6) 9 of the 32 current NFL head coaches grew up in Pennsylvania, which seems like a lot.

                            5) Eagles coach Doug Pederson baffles me; he loves to go for two points when the Eagles score a TD, but trailing 16-0 in Arizona Sunday, Philly scores a TD and they kick the PAT instead of trying for a 2-point play that would’ve cut the lead in half. Go figure.

                            4) Anyone who tells you that Randy Moss was a better receiver than Jerry Rice is wrong, and this is coming from a Rams’ fan who has no love for anything 49er-related. Rice was the best wide receiver ever, and he did it quietly. Nothing wrong with that.

                            3) Washington is only NFL team this season that hasn’t scored a point on their first drive of a game, but with two weeks left in the season, they lead the NFC East.

                            2) Appalachian State 56, North Texas 28:
                            — App State ran ball for 502 yards (12.9 yards/carry)
                            — Cameron Peoples ran ball 22 times for 319 yards.
                            — Both teams had 100+ yards in penalties.
                            — App State won its last six bowls, scoring 31+ points in all five.
                            — North Texas lost last four bowls, giving up 49.0 ppg.

                            1) Cincinnati 27, Steelers 17:
                            — Steelers were 11-0 at one point; now they’re 11-3.
                            — Last four games, Steelers scored 17 ppg.
                            — Pittsburgh threw ball for only 78 yards.
                            — Steelers are now one game ahead of Cleveland in AFC North.

                            — Cincinnati gets its first win over Steelers in last dozen tries.
                            — Bengals had lost previous five games overall by combined 124-50.
                            — Total yardage was 244-230 Bengals.
                            — Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS this season as a home underdog.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • TUESDAY, DECEMBER 22

                              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                              TULN at NEV 03:30 PM
                              TULN -2.5
                              U 57.5


                              UCF at BYU 07:00 PM
                              BYU -6.0
                              O 76.0
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Tuesday, December 22

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                TULANE (6 - 5) vs. NEVADA (6 - 2) - 12/22/2020, 3:30 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                TULANE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                                TULANE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                UCF (6 - 3) vs. BYU (10 - 1) - 12/22/2020, 7:00 PM
                                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                                Tuesday, December 22

                                Tulane @ Nevada
                                Tulane
                                Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                                Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                                Nevada
                                Nevada is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games

                                Central Florida @ Brigham Young
                                Central Florida
                                Central Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 10 games

                                Brigham Young
                                Brigham Young is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


                                ***************************************

                                NCAAF
                                Armadillo's Write-Up

                                Bowl Games


                                Dec 22

                                Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise
                                Tulane (6-5) vs Nevada (6-2)

                                — Tulane won four of last five games, after a 2-4 start.
                                — Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
                                — Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                                — Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
                                — Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 18 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
                                — Tulane is 5-3 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
                                — Tulane won four of last five bowls, winning 41-24/30-13 last two years.

                                — Nevada lost two of last three games after a 5-0 start.
                                — Wolf Pack allowed 30-34 points in its losses, 21.5 ppg in wins.
                                — Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                                — Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
                                — Nevada’s soph QB has 18 career starts.
                                — Wolf Pack is 2-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
                                — Nevada is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.
                                — Nevada lost 30-21 to Ohio U in this bowl last year.

                                Boca Raton Bowl
                                Central Florida (6-3) vs BYU (10-1)

                                — Central Florida won four of last five games, after a 2-2 start.
                                — UCF gained 455+ yards in seven of their nine games.
                                — Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                                — UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                                — Knights have a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
                                — UCF is 3-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
                                — Knights are 2-3 in last five bowls; average total in last three, 68.7.

                                — BYU had its first loss of year December 5, at Coastal Carolina.
                                — Eight of BYU’s ten wins are by 17+ points.
                                — Cougars beat Navy (55-3), Houston (43-26) of AAC.
                                — Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                                — BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
                                — Cougars have a junior QB with 28 career starts.
                                — BYU is 3-0 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
                                — BYU is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X