The bum's college football 2020-2021 season news,trends, picks !

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 26
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ULL at UTSA 03:30 PM
ULL -14.0
U 54.5

WKU at GSU 03:30 PM
GSU -3.5
U 49.5

LIB at CCU 07:30 PM
LIB +7.0
U 59.5

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/26/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
12/25/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
12/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
12/23/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
12/22/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail

Totals...........73-71-3.....50.69%....-25.50

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Six of the least-experienced teams in college basketball this year:
329) Auburn
327) Kentucky
326) Duke
324) Louisville
323) UMass
322) Cal-Irvine

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 331,732
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“Winning helps, and losing doesn’t.”
Bill Parcells

Sunday’s quiz
What veteran actor played the pitching coach in the baseball movie, Bull Durham?

Saturday’s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the Los Angeles Rams; he also owns the NBA’s Denver Nuggets and the NHL’s Colorado Avalanche.

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner is GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary plays the coach of the Browns.

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Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) 49ers 20, @ Arizona 12:
— Chicago now holds its own playoff fate in its hands.
— Wilson ran for 183 yards for the 49ers, who averaged 7.6 yards/rush.
— Kittle caught four passes for 92 yards in his return from injury.
— Just third win in last dozen series games for San Francisco.

— Cardinals were 5-2 before their bye, are 3-5 since the bye.
— Arizona converted 4-16 third down plays, 4-6 fourth down plays.
— Redbirds are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as home favorites, 2-4 TY.
— Arizona trailed at halftime in 10 of its 15 games.

12) Buccaneers 47, Lions 7
— Detroit didn’t have most of its coaches; this was an embarrassment to the NFL, a totally non-competitive game.
— Plus, Detroit QB Stafford (ankle) went out in first quarter.
— Tampa Bay is in playoffs for first time since 2007.
— Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games.

11) Dolphins 26, Las Vegas 25:
— Fitzpatrick came off bench, was 9-13/182 passing to save their butts.
— There were five scores (22 points) in last 4:13 of this game.
— Dolphins won nine of their last 11 games.
— Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.

— Raiders kicked FG with 0:19 left to take 25-23 lead.
— Las Vegas lost five of their last six games overall.
— Raiders lost six of their last eight home games this year.
— Over is 12-3 in Raider games this season.

10) All three of the Cleveland Browns’ top WR’s — Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones — are out of Sunday’s game with the Jets, due to contact tracing.

9) Louisville 62, Kentucky 59:
— Kentucky lost its last six games for first time since 1911.
— Wildcats were held to 64 or fewer points in six consecutive games, for first time since 1946.

8) Last week, John Calipari asked freshman Cam’Ron Fletcher to “take some time away from the team” after Fletcher pouted about his lack of playing time during a loss to North Carolina.

This is what is called a euphemism, which is defined as: “amild or indirect word or expression substituted for one considered to be too harsh or blunt when referring to something unpleasant or embarrassing.”

Truth is, they suspended the kid, but didn’t want to announce that.

7) Northwestern 71, Ohio State 70:
— Wildcats are 3-0 in the Big 14 for first time since 1968.
— Northwestern already has three top 40 wins.

6) Was looking thru some old stuff the other day: after the 1981 college football season, there were only 15 bowl games- the last ones were on January 1st. Times have changed.

5) Liberty 37, Coastal Carolina 34 OT:
— Coastal Carolina, Liberty have only been I-A programs for a combined seven years; they met here as ranked teams with a combined 20-1 record. Things change fast these days.
— Liberty led 31-19 in 4th quarter; Coastal tied it with 3:01 left.

4) Sunday is December 27, and the favorite in the MAAC, the Siena Saints, haven’t played a game yet. They’re supposed to play Monmouth January 3-4; we’ll see how that goes.

Lets look at how some teams are doing as far as team over/unders; these stats are prior to the games played Friday/Saturday:
3) Buffalo/Arizona went over their team total in 10 of their first 14 games this season; Cardinals weren’t so lucky Saturday, so now they’re 10-5 to the over.

2) Texans, Patriots, Giants, Eagles have been held under their total in nine of 14 games.

1) Steelers were 7-1-1 to the over in their first nine games, but stayed under their total in their last five, losing the last three.

Likewise, Seattle went over in seven of first eight games, but was held under their total in five of their last six games.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads:
— Washington @ Philadelphia (-1.5)
— Jacksonville @ Indianapolis (-14)
— Green Bay (-4.5) @ Chicago
— Dallas (-2.5) @ NJ Giants
— Pittsburgh @ Cleveland (-7)
— Tennessee (-7) @ Houston

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 331,732
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“When I threw it, I didn’t see it. As you saw, my facemask got basically ripped off. I didn’t know he caught it. And everybody on the sideline was all excited. … It was pretty incredible.”
Ryan Fitzpatrick, on his pass Saturday that set up Miami’s game-winning FG

Late baseball trade: Tampa Bay is trading P Blake Snell to San Diego for prospects.

Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee, where did the Titans call home?

Sunday’s quiz
Robert Wuhl played the pitching coach in the baseball movie, Bull Durham.

Saturday’s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the Los Angeles Rams; he also owns the NBA’s Denver Nuggets and the NHL’s Colorado Avalanche.

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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Jets 23, Browns 16
— Browns were missing their three best WR’s (contact tracing)
— Cleveland in first half: 38 plays, 113 yards, 3 points.
— Cleveland was outrushed 131-45; they threw 53 passes, ran ball only 18 times.
— Browns are in a massive tie for AFC Wild Card; one of six teams will miss out.

— Jets won their second straight game after an 0-13 start.
— Jets are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
— Jets are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games as a home dog
— Jets have a +2 turnover ratio this season.

Cincinnati 37, Texans 31
— Second straight win for Cincinnati, scoring 27-37 points.
— QB Allen threw for 371 yards; he is now 2-5 as an NFL starter.
— Bengals in 2nd half: 35 plays, 305 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
— Bengals trailed at halftime only twice in last ten games.

— Texans lost last four games, giving up 31.5 ppg.
— Houston has zero takeaways in last three games (-7).
— Texans allowed 11 TD’s on opponents’ last 29 drives.
— Total yardage in game: 540-488, Cincinnati.

Steelers 28, Indianapolis 24
— Colts led 24-7 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
— Indy’s last five drives: 25 plays, 97 yards, zero points.
— Colts are 8-0 when they score 27+ points. 2-5 when they do not.
— Eight of their last 11 games went over the total.

— Pittsburgh snaps a 3-game losing streak, clinches AFC North title.
— Steelers’ last four drives: 24 plays, 232 yards, 21 points.
— Pittsburgh still ran for only 20 yards on 14 carries.
— Steelers won last seven series games, last three by total of 9 points.

Bears 41, Jacksonville 17
— Jaguars had ball in 10-10 game with 0:24 left in first half; they threw INT, Bears kicked FG, and the was the end of that.
— Chicago’s first four 2nd half drives: 30 plays, 204 yards, four TD’s.
— Bears are in playoffs if they beat Green Bay next week.
— Last five games, Chicago scored 33.0 ppg.

— Jaguars lost their last 14 games; they clinched 1st pick in 2021 draft.
— Jacksonville gave up 27+ points in 12 of their last 13 games.
— Jaguars in 2nd half: 24 plays, 84 yards, four first downs. No bueno.
— Jaguars are 8-11-2 ATS in last 21 games as a home dog.

Baltimore 27, NY Giants 13
— Giants lost last three games, outscored 73-26.
— Giants are 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS outside their division.
— Last four games, Giants were outscored 51-6 in first half.
— Despite all that, Giants win NFC East if they win and Eagles win next week.

— Baltimore won last four games, scoring 37 ppg.
— Baltimore scored 18 TD’s on their last 37 drives.
— Ravens won field position by 18 yards in this game.
— Right now, Baltimore is odd-man out in playoff logjam.

Kansas City 17, Falcons 14
— Atlanta missed 39-yard FG with 0:09 left.
— Falcons lost five of their last six games.
— Atlanta trailed in only two of last 10 games at halftime.
— Nine of their last 12 games stayed under the total.

— Chiefs won their last ten games, are 0-6-1 ATS in last seven.
— KC won its last seven games by 6 or fewer points, longest-such streak in NFL history.
— Chiefs scored game-winning TD with 1:55 left.
— Kansas City clinched #1-seed in AFC with win here.

Panthers 20, Washington 13
— Carolina won for only second time in last ten games.
— Panthers in second half: 29 plays, 79 yards, zero points.
— Carolina is 5-0 when they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-10 when they allow 23+.
— Panthers won field position in this game by 10 yards.

— QB Haskins was relieved by Heinicke, playing in NFL for first time in two years.
— Somehow, Washington still leads the NFC East.
— Washington outscored last seven opponents 130-37 in second half.
— Last six weeks, Washington allowed 16.2 ppg.

Seahawks 20, Rams 9
— Seattle wins AFC West fir fifth time under Pete Carroll.
— Seattle won five of its last six games overall.
— Last five games, Seahawks allowed 12.2 ppg.
— Last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.

— Down 13-6 in 3rd quarter, Rams had 1st-and-goal on 1-yard line, did not score.
— In their six losses, Rams were outscored 96-31 in first half.
— QB Goff dislocated his right thumb in 3rd quarter, finished the game.
— Ten of LA’s last 12 games stayed under the total.

Dallas 37, Eagles 17
— Eagles lost six of last seven games; they were 1-7 SU on road.
— Philly gained 413-422-477 yards in Hurts’ first three starts at QB.
— Last four games, Philly allowed 458.5 yards/game.
— Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-10-1 if they allow more than 21.

— Dallas won its last three games, scoring 30-41-37 points.
— Dalton threw for 377 yards and three TD’s.
— Cowboys have ten takeaways in those three games (+9)
— Dallas was leading at halftime in six of last eight games.

LA Chargers 19, Denver 16
— Broncos had ball in red zone four times, scored only 10 points.
— Denver lost seven of their last nine games.
— Broncos turned ball over 21 times (-13) in their last ten games.
— Denver outgained the Chargers 396-316, but the red zone killed them.

— Badgley kicked 37-yard FG with 0:37 left for the win.
— Chargers won their last three games, all in last minute.
— Bolts won five of eight games in their new home.
— Four of last five Charger games stayed under the total.

Green Bay 40, Tennessee 14
— Tennessee was outgained 448-260 on a snowy night at Lambeau.
— Titans are still tied for first with Indy in AFC South.
— Tennessee gave up 234 rushing yards.
— Over is 10-3-1 in Titans’ last fourteen games.

— Green Bay won five in row, seven of last eight games.
— Packers scored 32.8 ppg in their last six games,
— Green Bay has converted 85-173 third down plays (49.1%)
— Davante Adams caught 11 passes for 142 yards, three TD’s.

2) Halftime score of the day: Mavericks 77, Clippers 27. Really. 77-27. Dallas wound up winning by 51.

1) College hoop scores of note:
— Providence 95, DePaul 90 (2OT)
— Cal-Irvine 75, UCSB 56
— Drake 81, Indiana State 63 (Drake is 10-0)
— Southern Illinois 63, Evansville 57

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads:
— New Orleans (-6.5) @ Carolina
— NJ Jets @ New England (-3.5)
— Minnesota (-6.5) @ Detroit
— Atlanta @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
— Baltimore (-11.5) @ Cincinnati
— Seattle (-4.5) @ San Francisco

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 334,116
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“He is going to stand on his beliefs and he’s certainly not going to be politically correct. To be honest, I’m certainly paying attention, but it doesn’t affect us at all. Whether or not he upset (people), Ohio State is going to be excited to play because it’s the Playoff, it’s a great opportunity. I mean, that’s what it’s all about. Just making the most of your opportunity. Certainly this year, everybody has worked hard, struggled, made a lot of sacrifice”
Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables, talking about Dabo Swinney voting Ohio State 11th in the last coaches’ poll

Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time an NFL team went 0-16 for a season?

Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee, the Titans were the Houston Oilers.

Sunday’s quiz
Robert Wuhl played the pitching coach in the baseball movie, Bull Durham.

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Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

13) An ethical question to start off today: if you owned an NFL team (an average NFL team is worth $3B), and your team had the worst record in the league in December, would you to tell the coach to make sure the squad kept losing, to make sure you get the #1 pick in the draft?

Drafting Trevor Lawrence will sell a lot of tickets, when fans can go to games again; trading the first pick would bring a back a big haul of draft picks, which would fill a lot of holes that a bad team obviously has.

Lot of money at stake; these conversations would have been interesting to hear.

12) CBS analyst/former NFL QB Rich Gannon had the Bears-Jaguars game Sunday; he was very critical of the Jacksonville coaches as Chicago pulled ahead and routed the Jaguars, but it has to be a possibility that Doug Marrone was doing his job, making sure Jacksonville lost and clinched the #1 pick in the draft, which they did Sunday.

For the long-term success of the Jaguars, having that #1 pick is probably the best way for them to become good again.

11) An unnamed someone bet $500,000 on the Carolina Panthers’ money line Sunday; that person mustn’t think much of Dwayne Haskins as a quarterback. Panthers won 20-13, and the gambler had a big day, just in time, too. Washington released Haskins Monday.

It takes a lot of onions to wager $500,000 on the Panthers to win straight up- they had lost eight of their previous nine games.

10) Haskins was Washington first round draft pick LAST YEAR, the 15th pick in the draft, and they freakin’ cut him before his second year was over, making him the only QB in the last 20 years who was drafted in the first round, then cut before his second year was over.

Four 1st round QBs in the last twenty years were traded/cut after their second year in the NFL: Paxton Lynch, Johnny Manziel, Josh Rosen and Brandon Weeden.

9) Mike Glennon played QB for Jacksonville Sunday; he’s had a nomadic career:
2009-12: NC State, started last two years, replacing Russell Wilson
2013-16: Tampa Bay- Was 5-13 as a starter, with 30 TD’s, 15 INTs
2017: Chicago- Went 1-3 as a starter, with 4 TD’s, 5 INT’s
2018: Arizona- Threw 21 passes in two relief stints.
2019: Oakland: Threw 10 passes in two relief stints.
2020: Jacksonville: 0-4 as a starter, with 5 TD’s, 5 INT’s

6-20 as a starter, still making seven figures a year ($1.19M this year)

8) Was a little odd Sunday, watching NFL games on the dish, and CBS get doing promos for the Ball State-San Jose State bowl game, but both teams have really good years. San Jose is actually undefeated; good for them!!!

7) Baseball stuff:
— Texas Rangers signed Japanese P Kohei Arihara.
— San Diego signed Korean IF Ha-seong Kim

6) RIP to Phil Niekro, the knuckleballer pitcher who won 318 games in a 24-year career, mostly for the Braves. Niekro pitched until he was 48 years old; he passed away this weekend. RIP, sir.

5) College hoop scores of note:
— Maryland 70, Wisconsin 64
— Drake 66, Indiana State 63 (Drake is 11-0)
— Evansville 84, Southern Illinois 72

4) In their 52-33 win over Minnesota Christmas Day, the Saints had 11 first downs on their first 14 plays, which is incredibly bad defense by the Vikings (and good offense by the Saints).

52 points the Saints scored are the most points the Vikings gave up since 1963, when the Cardinals drilled them 56-14.

3) Rams’ QB Jared Goff had his broken right thumb surgically repaired Monday, is out for this week’s game with Arizona. Backup QB John Wolford will get his first NFL start; he started for four years at Wake Forest, then played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in 2018- they were 5-3 when the league stopped playing, and Wolford was leading the league in TD passes.

2) Minnesota Timberwolves’ star Karl-Anthony Towns dislocated his left wrist, will be evaluated every week. Timberwolves are obviously hoping for a short absence for their star.

Nets’ Spencer Dinwiddie partially tore his ACL, is out for the season.

1) Bills 38, New England 9
— Bills sweep New England for first time since 1999.
— Buffalo won eight of last eight games, covered last seven.
— Bills outscored last six opponents 128-61 in first half.
— Over is 11-4 in their games this season.

— New England lost last three games, are out of playoffs for first time since ‘08.
— Last three games, Patriots scored only one touchdown.
— Patriots converted only 9 of last 34 third down plays.
— This was Buffalo’s 7th win in last 42 series games.

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Bowls
Bruce Marshall

The College Football Bowl Season kicks off on Monday, Dec. 21 and concludes on Saturday, Jan. 2 before the College Football Playoff championship on Monday, Jan. 11.

We've identified betting trends and angles for the final 27 bowl games and we also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

OKLAHOMA STATE vs. MIAMI-Fl.
Canes slowed down late in season, just 2-5 last seven vs. line in 2020.
Though OSU only 1-5 last six vs. spread.
Cowboys also on 3-11 “under” run since late last season.
Gundy has also covered four straight bowls.
Meanwhile, Miami has lost and failed to cover 8 of last 9 bowls.

Tech Edge: Oklahoma State and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

COLORADO vs. TEXAS
Tom Herman 4-0 SU and vs. line in bowls (3-0 with Texas).
Buffs were 4-1 vs. line for Karl Dorrell this season.
CU 0-5 SU (1-4 vs. line) last five bowls, only one since 2007, and no SU wins since ‘99 Insight.com Bowl vs. BC.

Tech Edge: Texas, based on bowl trends. slight to UCF, based on bowl trends.


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NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Week

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Bowl Week

[StarDust Bum]

211W VIRGINIA -212 ARMY
W VIRGINIA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) vs. poor passing teams with a completion pct. of 48% or worse. since 1992.

295OKLAHOMA ST -296 MIAMI
MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.

297COLORADO -298 TEXAS
COLORADO is 14-30 ATS (-19 Units) in road games after allowing >=37 pts. since 1992.

311WISCONSIN -312 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

313MISSOURI -314 IOWA
MISSOURI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

313MISSOURI -314 IOWA
MISSOURI is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

315FLORIDA -316 OKLAHOMA
FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.

317MISSISSIPPI ST -318 TULSA
MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.

321BALL ST -322 SAN JOSE ST
BALL ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

323ARKANSAS -324 TCU
ARKANSAS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games against the Big 12 since 1992.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Bowl Week

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Trend Report
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[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

OKST at MIA 05:30 PM
OKST -1.5
U 62.0

TEX at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO +7.5
O 65.5

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/29/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
12/26/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
12/25/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
12/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
12/23/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
12/22/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail

Totals...........75-73-3.....50.67%....-26.50

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Money made by Nevada casinos in November:
— Penny slots: $224.3M
— Sports betting: $61.8M
— Blackjack: $58.1M
— Baccarat: $42M
— Dollar slots: $36M
— Roulette: $14.2M

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 336,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“They should be in the KGB stealing communications, they’re that good.”
Ohio State football coach Ryan Day, talking about Clemson

Wednesday’s quiz
In the last 40 years, Ohio State has had two QB’s picked in the first round of the NFL Draft: Dwayne Haskins is one. Who was the other?

Tuesday’s quiz
2017 Cleveland Browns were the last NFL team that went 0-16 for a season; Detroit Lions went 0-16 in 2008.

Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee, the Titans were the Houston Oilers.

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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……

13) Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen is having a great season, which makes college football recruiting gurus look even dumber. Recruiting/drafting are fascinating, because no one KNOWS. They THINK they know, but no one knows for sure.

When Allen was coming out of Reedley College, a JC in California, he got two scholarship offers; Eastern Michigan and Wyoming. Now he’s an All-Pro quarterback; go figure.

12) Washington told QB Dwayne Haskins to take a hike Monday, then he went unclaimed on the waiver wire. SOMEONE will take a chance on him; he was a first-round draft pick last year, so someone will take a shot at developing him as a QB of the future. Good luck there.

— It is an underreported thing how many totally obscure guys are backup QBs in the NFL:

11) John Wolford is making his NFL debut when he starts for the Rams Sunday; he started for four years at Wake Forest, starting as a true freshman, which ain’t easy. He went 15-11 the last two years at a school that isn’t a football factory. Not a lot of QB’s are 4-year college starters.

Wolford also played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in the spring of 2018; he was leading the AAF in touchdown passes when the league shut down. Rick Neuheisel was his coach, an old QB himself. Wolford is mobile; will be fascinating to see how he does Sunday.

10) Rams have other issues; two of their three running backs have ankle injuries, WR Cooper Kupp is on the COVID list (status unknown). LA signed QB Blake Bortles to back up Wolford.

9) Social media is funny; people are so damn fickle; everyone is either great or needs to be cut, no middle ground. The typical fan is like “We’re with you win or tie and we aren’t crazy about ties”

But when I woke up Tuesday morning, and I’m scrolling thru Instagram, someone had posted these film packages on Wolford playing in the AAF— I probably saw 30-40 of his plays, which was interesting.

8) Arizona Cardinals’ backup QB is Chris Streveler, who helped the Winnipeg Blue Bombers win the Grey Cup before coming to Arizona; he played college ball at Minnesota for two years, where he threw 11 passes, ran ball 40 times, before he transferred to I-AA South Dakota. Reading about him, he seems like the Taysom Hill of Canada; he played some WR for Winnipeg.

7) Tennessee Titans’ backup QB is Logan Woodside, who was a 3-year starter at Toledo; he’s thrown three passes this season, landing with Tennessee after hanging around with the Bengals for a while in 2018.

6) Seattle’s backup is Geno Smith, who went 12-19 as a starter in New Jersey. Smith had a great college career at West Virginia, where his WR’s were Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, both of whom wound up with the Rams (Austin is with Green Bay now).

5) I’m going to do a whole thing pretty soon on how Ohio State quarterbacks have fared in the NFL; the results, up to now, have not been good. Justin Fields could turn the whole thing around, but so far, the best Buckeye to play QB in the NFL seems to be Joe Burrow, who transferred out of Columbus and starred at LSU.

4) NFL stuff:
— Washington outscored its last ten opponents in 2nd half (total 152-44)
— Last three weeks, Buffalo outscored opponents 58-14 in second half.
— Last three weeks, New England was outscored 43-6 in second half.

3) Until couple days ago, I had no idea that Ron Reiner was the director of A Few Good Men, which is a great movie. I usually associate the Reiner family with comedies, but that movie is no comedy. The courtroom scene at the end with Jack Nicholson is a classic.

2) Oklahoma State 37, Miami 34:
— OSU stormed out to a 21-0 lead, had to hang on for dear life.
— WR Presley caught six passes for 118 yards, three TD’s for the Cowboys.
— Miami QB King (knee) got hurt in 2nd quarter, didn’t return.
— Backup QB Perry threw for 228 yards, two TD’s; Miami gained 512 yards.

1) Alamo Bowl was in San Antonio last night; I was in San Antonio for a couple days, maybe in 2003, anyway it was a while ago, but San Antonio is a cool place. There is a river that goes right thru part of the city, and they have restaurants with patios where you can sit by the water on either side and watch boats go by while you eat.

The actual Alamo is very small; it looks like an old convenience store. People were nice enough, I enjoyed my brief time there. Should’ve gone during basketball season, I guess.

[StarDust Bum]

WISCONSIN vs. WAKE FOREST
Badgers no covers last four in 2020, longest spread skid since beginning of 2012 (reached six, including last two of 2011).
Meanwhile, Wake 6-2 vs. line in 2020.
Wiscy had won and covered five bowls in a row prior to close Rose Bowl loss to Ducks last season.

Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on recent trends.

MISSOURI vs. IOWA
Mizzou cooled off late in 2020, lost last three vs. line.
Tigers just 1-3 vs. line away from Columbia.
Now, 1-9 vs. spread last 10 away from home.
Iowa 6-0 SU, 5-1 vs. line last five in 2020.
Kirk Ferentz has won and covered last three bowls.

Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team trends.

FLORIDA vs. OKLAHOMA
Sooners won last seven outright, covered last six, in 2020.
Though OU just 2-4 vs. line last six bowls, and 3-2 last five in rare dog roles.
Gators head coach Dan Mullen 4-5 vs. line in bowls.

Tech Edge: Slight to OU, based on recent trends.


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311WISCONSIN -312 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

313MISSOURI -314 IOWA
MISSOURI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

313MISSOURI -314 IOWA
MISSOURI is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

315FLORIDA -316 OKLAHOMA
FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Week

Dec 30

Mayo Bowl
Wake Forest (4-4) vs Wisconsin (3-3)
— Wake lost its last two games, giving up 104 points.
— Deacons allowed 46.5 ppg in losses, 16.8 ppg in wins.
— Wake has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Deacons have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 17 career starts.
— Deacons covered three of four games as an underdog this year.
— Wake Forest won three of its last four bowl games.

— Wisconsin lost three of last four games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Badgers have allowed only 15.7 ppg this season.
— Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Wisconsin has 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with six starts.
— Badgers are 0-5 ATS in last five games overall (under 5-0).
— Wisconsin won four of its last five bowl games.

Cotton Bowl, Dallas
Oklahoma (8-2) vs Florida (8-3)
— Oklahoma won its last seven games, after a 1-2 start.
— Sooners scored 35-30 points in their two losses.
— Oklahoma hasn’t lost since October 3rd vs Iowa State
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sooners have a freshman QB with 10 career starts.
— Oklahoma covered five of its last six games overall.
— Sooners lost their last three bowls, giving up 54 ppg.

— Florida lost its last two games, giving up 37-52 points.
— Gators’ losses this season are by 3-3-6 points.
— Florida threw ball for 400+ yards in their last three games.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators have a senior QB who has started 22 games.
— Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games overall.
— Gators won their last three bowls by a combined score of 107-46

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 30

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAKE at WIS 12:00 PM
WAKE +10.0
U 51.0

FLA at OKLA 08:00 PM
FLA +6.5
O 64.0

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/30/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/29/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
12/26/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
12/25/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
12/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
12/23/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
12/22/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........76-76-3.....50.00%....-38.00