The Bum's 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Saturday, September 9

Calgary @ Edmonton

Game 657-658
September 9, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
123.287
Edmonton
110.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 13
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 6
56
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-6); Over

Hamilton @ Ottawa

Game 655-656
September 9, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
101.345
Ottawa
119.909
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 18 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 12
54
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-12); Over

Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg

Game 653-654
September 9, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
115.864
Winnipeg
122.327
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 6 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
60
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-1); Over

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

Saturday, September 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 4) at WINNIPEG (7 - 3) - 9/9/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (1 - 8) at OTTAWA (4 - 6 - 1) - 9/9/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (8 - 1 - 1) at EDMONTON (7 - 3) - 9/9/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Saskatchewan (5-4) @ Winnipeg (7-3)— Roughriders ended Winnipeg’s 5-game win streak with a 38-24 home win last week. Saskatchewan won its last three games, scoring 41-54-38 points after a 2-4 start- they lost 43-40 at home to Bombers earlier this season. Riders are 1-3 on road, 2-2 as a road underdog; under is 3-1 in their road games. Winnipeg is 3-1 at home, 2-1 as a home favorite; seven of their last eight games went over. Blue Bombers have scored 33+ points in 8 of their 10 games this season. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Hamilton (1-8) @ Ottawa (4-6-1)— Short week for Tiger-Cats, who upset Toronto Monday for their first win of season. Hamilton is 0-4 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs; three of those four games went over total. Ottawa won its last three games after a 1-6-1 start; RedBlacks are 2-3-1 at home, 2-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-1-2 in their last nine games. Ti-Cats lost 37-18 at home to Ottawa three weeks ago; RedBlacks won five of last six series games- over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hamilton split its four visits here.

Edmonton (7-3) @ Calgary (8-1-1)— Eskimos allowed 33-54-39 points in losing last three games after a 7-0 start that included five wins by 5 or less points. Edmonton is 3-2 on road, 2-2 vs spread as an underdog; over is 6-1 in their last seven games, 3-2 in their home games. Calgary is 15-3 in its last 18 series games, with last four games going over the total. Calgary won/covered its last six games; they’re 3-1-1 on road, 3-2 as road favorites. Over is 3-2 in their road games. Short week for both teams after Calgary beat Eskimos 39-18 at home on Labor Day.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Week 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 9

3:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

6:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
Edmonton is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary

[StarDust Bum]

cfl last 17 games:

Date w-l-t % units record

09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

totals..........39 - 18 - 1.......68.42%.....+ 96.50


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SSK at WPG 03:00 PM


SSK +2.5

O 60.0

HAM at OTT 06:00 PM

OTT -11.0

O 54.0

CGY at EDM 09:00 PM

CGY -6.0

U 56.0

[StarDust Bum]

cfl last 17 games:

Date w-l-t % units record
09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

totals..........41 - 22 - 1.......65.07%.....+ 84.50

[StarDust Bum]

WEEK 13

Friday, September 15, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders Hamilton Tiger Cats

Saturday, September 16, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
4:00 PM Edmonton Eskimos Toronto Argonauts
7:00 PM British Columbia Lions Calgary Stampeders

Sunday, September 17, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Ottawa Redblacks Montreal Alouettes

*****************

WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Calgary 11 9 1 1 19 362 209 5-0-0 4-1-1 5-0-0

2 Winnipeg 11 8 3 0 16 380 344 4-1-0 4-2-0 3-3-0

3 Edmonton 11 7 4 0 14 301 320 4-2-0 3-2-0 2-4-0

4 BC 11 6 5 0 12 310 292 3-2-0 3-3-0 2-4-0

5 Saskatchewan 10 5 5 0 10 317 275 4-1-0 1-4-0 3-4-0


EAST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Ottawa 12 4 7 1 9 336 301 2-4-1 2-3-0 3-3-0

2 Toronto 11 4 7 0 8 252 278 3-2-0 1-5-0 4-2-0

3 Montreal 11 3 8 0 6 221 304 3-3-0 0-5-0 1-3-0

4 Hamilton 10 2 8 0 4 198 354 1-4-0 1-4-0 2-2-0

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s six-pack

NFL trends for Week 2:

— Houston is 1-8 in last nine games as a non-divisional road dog.

— Indianapolis covered 10 of last 12 tries as a home underdog.

— Cleveland is 6-19 vs spread in last 25 games as an underdog.

— Arizona is 3-9 vs spread in its last 12 games.

— Falcons are 4-13 vs spread in last 17 games as a home favorite.

— Detroit is 4-9 in last 13 games as a non-divisional road dog.

*********************

Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Baseball is cool because odd things sometimes happen; Monday night/Tuesday morning’s Dodger-Giant game was nothing if not odd.

There was a 42-minute rain delay at the start, then the game began, the Dodgers’ leadoff hitter struck out and then the rains came again, forcing a rain delay of 2:52.

The game resumed at about 1:55am here in the east; it ended around 5am. Thats 5 in the morning.

12) Pablo Sandoval was in a 1 for 47 slump when he singled to left in the 6th inning very late Monday night, or at roughly 4am Tuesday morning here in the east.

11) Indians were -$500 against Detroit Tuesday; I’ve never seen a baseball line that high.

10) Only nine out of over 2,000 people went 5-0 in the first week of the SuperContest at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas. Denver was -3 in the contest, so anyone who had that game got a push.

9) Charger-Bronco game Monday night was only Week 1 NFL game where no points were scored in the last 2:00 of either half.

8) All four NFC North teams covered the spread in Week 1, only division that can say that.

7) Dolphins are practicing in Oxnard, CA at the Cowboys’ training camp facility this week, as they prepare to play the Chargers Sunday. Has to be a very strange week for them.

6) Yasiel Puig’s platoon splits this year:
vs lefty pitchers: .162, one HR, 8 RBI, 105 AB
vs righty pitchers: .286, 24 HR, 58 RBI, 343 AB

Very odd for a right-handed hitter like Puig.

5) Tennessee started their game Sunday by trying an onside kick, the first team to try that since the Vikings in 2009. Neither onside kick worked.

4) 2018 baseball schedules were released Tuesday. Opening Day is Thursday, March 29— for the first time since 1968, every team will play on Opening Day.

3) A’s play the White Sox at home on April 17; the game is free for all fans— it marks the 50th anniversary of the A’s first game in Oakland, after they moved from Kansas City.

2) Milwaukee Brewers will find out early next season if they’re going to contend; they play 14 games in April against the Cubs/Cardinals.

1) Seattle Mariners play 18 road games next April; their schedule is usually more cumbersome because of their being in the Pacific Northwest, but 18 road games in April is tough.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 12
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 12
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 12
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 12
-- Home team posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 12
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 12

Analysis

In one of the most entertaining games of the season, Calgary (9-1-1) posted a comeback victory thanks to the arm of Bo Levi Mitchell, edging provincial rival Edmonton (7-4). Despite the 25-22 win, the Stampeders were unable to cover - their first non-cover since July 14 in Montreal, their only loss of the season. For the third time in four games it was an 'under' result.

The West Division continues to play well, or at least much, much better than the East Division. All teams in the West are .500 or above, even Saskatchewan (5-5). All teams in the East are at least three games under .500, and only Ottawa (4-7-1) has covered more games than they have not. Everyone in the East except for the RedBlacks has lost at least three games on the road, too.

Team Betting Notes

-- Hamilton (2-8) won for the second consecutive game, topping Ottawa. After an 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS start, the Tiger Cats have managed a 2-0 SU/ATS mark. It's mainly because their defense has improved. After allowing 31 or more points in each of their past eight, the Ti-Cats have given up 22 in each of their two wins. After a 5-1 'over' run, the 'under' is also 3-0-1 across the past four.

-- Despite their hot run, the Tiger Cats are still 1-8-2 ATS across their past 11 home games and 4-13-2 ATS in the past 19 overall. Things do not look to get much better this weekend with Saskatchewan visiting, as the Riders are 25-10-1 ATS across the past 36 in this series.

-- Ottawa remains in first-place, but just by one point. They suffered a 26-22 setback against the Ti-Cats at home, a shocking loss considering the RedBlacks were 12-point favorites. The non-cover stopped a 3-0 ATS run for Ottawa. One thing that has been consistent is the under for Ottawa, going 3-0-2 over their past five and 7-1-2 across their past 10.

-- Toronto (4-7) has dropped two in a row and five of their past six after a 3-2 SU start. The Argonauts just cannot seem to cover lately, going 1-7 ATS across the past eight. Bettors fading the Argos and betting the 'under' in their games have been cashing nicely. The 'under' is 4-0 over the past four, and 8-3 overall.

-- Montreal (3-8) has been in a tailspin lately, dropping four in a row and six of the past seven. Their lack of punch has been the reason for their struggles, averaging just 14.8 PPG during the four-game losing skid.

-- BC Lions (6-5) picked themselves off of the mat and slapped the brakes on a three-game losing streak in grand fashion. The Lions routed visiting Montreal by a 41-18 score for their first cover since Aug. 5. It was also their first 'over' result since July 28 after a 3-0-1 'under' run.

-- The Lions will face the Stamps in Calgary on Saturday night. The Lions are just 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings, and 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to Calgary. The 'over' has also cashed in seven of the past nine meetings in Calgary.

-- Winnipeg (8-3) posted their fourth consecutive victory at home with a 48-28 win over the Riders, going 3-1 ATS during the span. The 'over' has been the thing to bet with the Bombers, cashing in four straight and eight of the past nine.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
David Schwab

Friday, Sept. 15

Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

Last week’s loss snapped a three-game winning streak both SU and against the spread and the total has now gone OVER in the Roughriders’ last three games. The big concern for Friday’s contest is the throwing hand of Kevin Glenn after leaving last week’s game with an apparent injury. This would be a tremendous loss given that Glenn is third in the CFL in passing touchdowns with 21. Brandon Bridge got the call when Glenn left the game.

The Tiger-Cats will try and string together its third win in a row this week (SU and ATS) following that SU eight-game losing streak while going 2-6 ATS. Jeremiah Masoli has been under center for the last two victories and against Ottawa he threw for 231 yards while connecting on 17 of his 31 passing attempts. The main reason for the quick turnaround is a defense that has not allowed more than 22 points in either victory.

Betting Trends

-- The home team is 4-0 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings with the total evenly split at 2-2. Saskatchewan won the first meeting this season 37-20 on July 8 as a one-point home underdog. The total went OVER the closing 52 ½-point line.


Saturday, Sept. 16

Edmonton Eskimos (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

Edmonton needs to stop the bleeding in this SU four-game losing streak after winning its first seven contests SU. One of the biggest reasons why the Eskimos have lost their last four is a defense that has been burnt for an average of 37.8 points per game. The last two losses were to Calgary, but this unit gave up 54 points in a loss to Saskatchewan and 33 points in a loss to Winnipeg during this current slide.

The East Division is so weak this season that Toronto remains just a half game out of the lead despite a 1-5 run both SU and ATS in its last six games. Last week’s bye was a welcome relief on the heels of a stunning 24-22 loss to Hamilton as a three-point road favorite. The Argonauts still have Ricky Ray at quarterback as the third-leading passer in the league with 3,343 yards, but their top rusher Brandon Whitaker has just 318 total yards on the ground.

Betting Trends

-- This will be the first meeting this season as part of a home-and-home series and Edmonton comes in with a 3-0 edge both SU and ATS in the last three games between the two. The total went OVER in all three meetings.

British Columbia Lions (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (9-1-1 SU, 6-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

It looks like Jonathon Jennings will return to the starting lineup as the Lions’ signal caller after Travis Lulay was apparently lost for the rest of the season with a knee injury in last week’s win against Montreal. Jennings completed 22-of-29 attempts for 295 yards and two touchdowns against the Alouettes. He has now thrown for 1,720 yards and six touchdowns on the year.

Calgary looks like it is just warming up for another run deep into the postseason. The Eskimos put up much more of a battle this time around after the Stampeders rolled to a 39-18 as 10-point home favorites in the first game in this home-and-home tilt. Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and Jerome Messam anchoring the running game are the team’s two biggest stars, but Calgary’s shutdown defense is the reason for the current SU seven-game winning streak (5-1-1 ATS).

Betting Trends

-- Calgary got past BC 21-17 on Aug. 18 as a four-point road favorite to extend its SU winning streak over the Lions to four games. The total stayed UNDER 56 points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings.


Sunday, Sept. 17

Ottawa RedBlacks (4-7-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

Ottawa’s recent three-game run both SU and ATS came to a sudden end last week, but it still has the slight edge in the East to repeat as division champions. The total stayed UNDER in that loss to the Tiger-Cats and it has now stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the RedBlacks’ last 10 games. Adding injury to insult, quarterback Trevor Harris is expected to be out several weeks after badly bruising his shoulder in that loss.

With Harris out of the lineup for Ottawa, Montreal has an excellent opportunity to make up some ground in the East, but it is going to need a much better effort from its defense. The one strength of this team coming into this season was its defense, but going back to a 41-40 loss to Winnipeg on July 27, the Alouettes have allowed at least 32 points in five of their last six games.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has won seven of the last eight meetings both SU and ATS including a 32-4 victory against Montreal on Aug. 31 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Friday, September 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 5) at HAMILTON (2 - 8) - 9/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 4) at TORONTO (4 - 7) - 9/16/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 5) at CALGARY (9 - 1 - 1) - 9/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (4 - 7 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Saskatchewan (5-5) @ Hamilton (2-8)—- Ti-Cats won their last two games after an 0-8 start; new coach June Jones is known for offense, but Hamilton allowed 22-22 points in two wins, after allowing average of 40 pts/game in their losses. Under is 3-0-1 in last four Ti-Cat games. Roughriders had 3-game win streak snapped in Winnipeg last week; they’re 1-4 on road, with only win at Edmonton. Riders’ last three games went over the total. Saskatchewan won first meeting 37-20 (-1.5) back in Week 3. Hamilton is 1-3-1 this year as a home underdog.

Edmonton (7-4) @ Toronto (4-7)— Eskimos lost last four games, allowing 37.8 pts/game; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Edmonton won its last three games vs Toronto by 23-23-24 points; over is 10-2 in last 12 series games- visitor won five of last six series games. Eskimos lost two of last three visits to Toronto. Argonauts lost five of last six games; they’re 3-2 at home, with both losses to western teams. Under is 8-3 in Toronto games this season; over is 6-2 in Edmonton’s last eight games. Five of Edmonton’s seven wins are by five or less points.

Ottawa (4-7-1) @ Montreal (3-8)— Ottawa won six of last seven games with Montreal, beating them twice this year, 24-19 (-4.5) at home, then 32-4 (pick) here two weeks ago. RedBlacks won their last four visits to Montreal. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Ottawa had 3-game win streak ended by Hamilton last week; they’re 2-3 SU on road, 4-1 vs spread, 2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 7-1-2 in their last ten games. Alouettes lost their last four games, allowing 36.4 pts/game; they’re 3-3 at home. Under is 7-4 in their games this season.

BC Lions (6-5) @ Calgary (9-1-1)— Stampeders won their 7th game in row last week, first one of those they didn’t cover; Stamps are 5-0 at home, 4-1 as a home favorite- they beat rival Eskimos the last two weeks. Under is 3-1 in Calgary’s last four games. Calgary is 9-1 in its last 10 games vs BC; they beat Lions 21-17 (-3.5) in Vancouver four weeks ago. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Lions lost three of last four games; they lost last three road games, by 11-33-7 points- they’re 2-1 as a road underdog. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.




CFL

Week 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 15

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. HAMILTON
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home


Saturday, September 16

4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

7:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia


Sunday, September 17

1:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Friday, September 15

Saskatchewan @ Hamilton

Game 601-602
September 15, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
111.412
Hamilton
114.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 3 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 5
55
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+5); Over


Saturday, September 16

Edmonton @ Toronto

Game 603-604
September 16, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
109.934
Toronto
109.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
Even
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+2 1/2); Over

BC Lions @ Calgary

Game 605-606
September 16, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
112.889
Calgary
125.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 9
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-9); Under


Sunday, September 17

Ottawa @ Montreal

Game 607-608
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
111.319
Montreal
105.947
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 5 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 1 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-1 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Record Since July 19th

Date w-l-t % units record

09/09/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
09/08/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

totals..........41 - 22 - 1.......65.07%.....+ 84.50


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SSK at HAM 07:00 PM

HAM +5.0

O 55.5

[StarDust Bum]

RECAP
CLOSING OUT THE ‘CATS: RIDERS FEND OFF TICATS FOR 27-19 WIN

HAMILTON – Canadian quarterback Brandon Bridge made his first start as a Roughrider and his big second quarter, combined with a defence that held tough late, helped Saskatchewan hold on to a 27-19 victory over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats Friday night at Tim Hortons Field.

The one-score game was almost inconceivable at one point in this contest but a pesky Ticats squad almost pulled out the comeback were it not for a number of timely plays by the Riders defence.

Bridge finished 21 of 31 for 231 yards and tossed a trio of touchdowns.

The University of South Alabama product was the favourite to start the contest with Kevin Glenn nursing a sore had but his status wasn’t confirmed until hours before kickoff.

The ‘Cats had strung together a pair of wins after a challenging start to the year with Jeremiah Masoli firmly at the controls under centre.

The Riders had a golden opportunity to put the first major on the board when former Ticats DB Mike Edem pounced on a fumble by WR Mike Jones to set the Riders up at the Hamilton 6-yard line. Pinned deep in their end, the Ticats called a hitch screen to Jones who had the pigskin knocked out to put the Riders on the doorstep.

Head coach Chris Jones elected to go with Vernon Adams Jr. on the series, likely to use his athleticism to give the ‘Cats a different look but Hamilton’s defence wasn’t fooled. Adams Jr. was flushed out of the pocket on consecutive plays and was forced to throw the ball away and then take a sack.

Saskatchewan would settle for a 12-yard field goal.

Bridge would return on the Riders’ next drive with a 3-0 lead but on second-and-eight had the ball punched loose by LB Larry Dean and recovered by DL Davon Coleman. The Ticats, however, also couldn’t put a major on the board and went two-and-out.

As the second quarter began, Bridge settled in. A pair of first down completions to Rob Bagg and Bakari Grant helped launch a 6-play, 75-yard scoring drive which was capped off by a 9-yard touchdown pass to St. FX grad WR Devon Bailey for a 10-0 lead.

With a major under his belt, Bridge was afforded great field position once again the next time he took the field. On the ensuing drive the Tiger-Cats got a productive gain out of CJ Gable on the ground but elected a screen pass on second-and-one to Jalen Saunders. Saunders was short of the first down already but had the ball punched loose by DB Kacy Rodgers and scooped up by DB Tobi Antigha.

Bridge went to work on a short field, getting 10 yards on a hitch from RB Kienan LaFrance before throwing a strike to a wide open Grant in the endzone to increase the Riders lead to 17-0.

After consecutive stalled drives, the Ticats offence found their footing shortly thereafter, answering the Grant score with a 6-play 75-yard scoring drive. The possession was finished off with a touchdown pass from Masoli to Saunders who was on a crossing route, snagged the football and turned up field for a 36-yard major.

The clubs traded field goals before halftime with the Riders leading 20-10.

When the teams returned to the field, the Riders were primed on both sides of the ball. First, the defence forced another turnover when DB Ed Gainey snagged the interception in his own zone. Bridge once again had great field position shortly thereafter when Tiger-Cats DB Demond Washington was assessed a 25-yard penalty and an immediate disqualification for spitting at a Riders player.

Bridge made the Ticats pay by quickly finding SB Namaan Roosevelt for a 23-yard touchdown pass to increase the Riders lead to 27-10.

The Ticats responded with a pair of field goals off the foot of Sergio Castillo to cut into the advantage.

Despite being down, the Ticats moved the ball relatively well in the second half with Masoli leaning on Saunders and veteran receiver Luke Tasker who consistently found holes in the defence over the middle. On their first drive of the fourth quarter, Masoli worked the clock and got the Ticats into the red zone with completions from the aforementioned pass-catchers but Gainey bailed out the Riders again with his league-leading eighth interception of the season, this one in the endzone.

Even with the turnovers, the Ticats were a different team in the second half, the defence tightening up after the opening drive and keeping their squad in it. With just over two minutes remaining, Masoli went to work at midfield after a solid retun by SB Brandon Banks. Despite getting inside the Riders 35-yardline, Saskatchewan’s defence held tough and forced a turnover on downs with 90 seconds remaining.

A quick two-and-out by the Riders gave the Ticats one last shot and Masoli aired it out with 11 seconds left to Banks who was interfered with. The Ticats scrimmaged from the 1-yard line with five seconds remaining but elected to pass the football and a pass to Saunders fell incomplete to seal the deal for the Riders.

After dropping last week’s contest to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, the Riders will look to build some momentum off this win when they return home to host the league-leading Calgary Stampeders. It is unknown if Bridge will continue under centre.

The Ticats, meanwhile, head west to take on the BC Lions in Vancouver.

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, September 16, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
4:00 PM Edmonton Eskimos Toronto Argonauts
7:00 PM British Columbia Lions Calgary Stampeders

Sunday, September 17, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Ottawa Redblacks Montreal Alouettes

*************************

WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Calgary 11 9 1 1 19 362 209 5-0-0 4-1-1 5-0-0

2 Winnipeg 11 8 3 0 16 380 344 4-1-0 4-2-0 3-3-0

3 Edmonton 11 7 4 0 14 301 320 4-2-0 3-2-0 2-4-0

4 Saskatchewan 11 6 5 0 12 344 294 4-1-0 2-4-0 3-4-0

5 BC 11 6 5 0 12 310 292 3-2-0 3-3-0 2-4-0


EAST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Ottawa 12 4 7 1 9 336 301 2-4-1 2-3-0 3-3-0

2 Toronto 11 4 7 0 8 252 278 3-2-0 1-5-0 4-2-0

3 Montreal 11 3 8 0 6 221 304 3-3-0 0-5-0 1-3-0

4 Hamilton 11 2 9 0 4 217 381 1-5-0 1-4-0 2-2-0