The Bum's 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 10

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 10
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 10
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
-- The 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 9

Analysis

Favorites went 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in Week 10 and the 'chalk' is now 7-1 both SU and ATS over the last two weeks. In the three non-divisional games, the West posted a 2-1 record over the East.

The scoreboard operator was working hard this week as the 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 10 with five of eight teams scoring 30-plus points, and Saskatchewan lit it up with 54 points.

Team Betting Notes

-- Calgary (7-1-1) took over first place of the West Division on Saturday as it stifled Toronto 23-7 as a 10-point home favorite, improving to 4-0 at home this season. The Stampeders have won and covered five straight games and four of those decisions came by double digits. They've only allowed 169 points this season and that's the best scoring defense in the league.

-- Winnipeg (7-2) extended its winning streak to five games in Week 10 with a 34-31 road win over Montreal. The team is 4-1 ATS during this span and 7-2 overall versus the number, which is the best mark in the CFL. Including last week's win, the Blue Bombers are 3-1 this season with games decided by three points or less. The 'over' is 7-1.

-- After winning its first seven games of the season, Edmonton (7-2) suffered its second straight setback in Week 10 and the defense has contributed to the defeats. The unit was helpless in a 54-31 loss at Saskatchewan on Friday and helped the 'over' stay hot with a 5-1 run in the last six contests. This was the first home loss of the season for Edmonton.

-- British Columbia (5-5) is another team struggling in the West Divison, losers in three straight and four of their last five games. On Saturday, the club dropped a 31-24 road decision at Ottawa. The offense has been held to 49 points over the last three losses after averaging 31.4 points per game in their first seven games. The 'under' is on a 3-0-1 streak.

-- The week off helped Saskatchewan (4-4), who put up a season-high 54 points in its victory over Edmonton. The Roughriders cashed as road underdogs (+5.5) over the Lions and that victory was the first away win of the season for them. The club is 5-3 ATS overall.

-- Ottawa (3-6-1) showed some first for the second straight week as it defeated BC 31-24 as a short home favorite (-1). Despite putting up more than 30 points for the second straight week, total bettors saw the outcome push once again as it landed on the closing number of 55.

-- Defense continues to be a major issue for Montreal (3-6) lately and it showed on Thursday as the Alouettes lost a 34-31 home decision to Winnipeg. The team has allowed over 30 points in three of its last four games, which has led to a 1-3 record. Despite the loss, they only trail Toronto by one game in the East Division.

-- The Argonauts (4-6) haven't won back-to-back games all season and that trend continued on Saturday as the team was trounced 23-7 at Calgary. The Argos have gone 1-4 on the road this season and the 'under' is 3-2 in those games.

-- Hamilton (0-8) didn't win or lose in Week 10 as the club was on bye. The T-Cats will be returning on Sept. 4 versus Toronto.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 11

Thursday, August 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (3 - 6 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (7 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 4) - 9/3/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 2) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/4/2017, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (4 - 6) at HAMILTON (0 - 8) - 9/4/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CFL

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 31

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa


Sunday, September 3

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg


Monday, September 4

3:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

6:30 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

Week 11 CFL

Ottawa (3-6-1) @ Montreal (3-6)— RedBlacks (-4.5) beat Montreal 24-19 at home in first meeting this season, despite giving up 517 yards of offense. Ottawa scored 37-31 points in winning its last two games, after a 1-6-1 start- they’re 1-3 on road, with only win at winless Hamilton. Under is 5-1-2 in their last eight games; they pushed the total the last two weeks. Montreal allowed 38-34 points in losing last two games; they’re 3-2 at home after last week’s home loss to Winnipeg. Under is 6-3 in Alouette games this season. RedBlacks won six of last seven series games; under is 7-3 in series games.

Winnipeg (7-2) @ Saskatchewan (4-4)— Roughriders scored 41-54 points in winning its last two games; they scored 38.7 pts/game in winning last three home games. Over is 3-1 in their home games. Winnipeg (-1) won 43-40 in OT in Regina in their first meeting, back in Week 2. Blue Bombers won last four series games overall; they’re 3-1 in last four visits to Saskatchewan. Winnipeg won its last five games, covered its last four; they’re 4-1 on road this year, with two OT wins- four of the five games were decided by exactly three points. Over is 7-2 in their games this year.

Edmonton (7-2) @ Calgary (7-1-1)— Eskimos allowed 33-54 points in losing last two games after a 7-0 start that included five wins by 5 or less points. Edmonton is 3-1 on road, scoring 28.5 pts/game. Over is 5-1 in their last six games, 2-2 in their road tilts. Eskimos are 3-5 vs spread in their last eight visits here. Calgary swept Edmonton LY, 45-24/34-28 in OT; Stampeders are 14-3 in last 17 series games, with last three games going over the total. Calgary won/covered its last five games; they’re 4-0 at home, 3-1 vs spread, with wins by 4-17-59-16 points. Over is 5-4 in their games, 2-2 at home.

Toronto (4-6) @ Hamilton (0-8)— Weird week in Hamilton; June Jones is the new coach, but he tried to bring Art Briles in as an offensive assistant- that got vetoed by the CFL. Former Oregon QB Masoli gets nod here for Ti-Cats, who are 0-8 this year, 1-6-1 vs spread, with home losses by 15-3-27-19 points. Over is 5-2-1 in their games this season. Hamilton (-3.5) lost season opener in Toronto 32-15; they were outgunned 545-258. Argonauts lost four of last five games, including last four games on road. Under is 7-3 in Toronto games this season. Argonauts lost last five trips to Hamilton, losing by 1-16-30-3-13 points.

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, AUGUST 31

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

OTT at MTL 07:30 PM

OTT -1.0

U 52.0

[StarDust Bum]

RECAP
HARRIS HITS HIS STRIDE AS REDBLACKS ROLL OVER ALOUETTES

MONTREAL – Trevor Harris threw three touchdowns and the REDBLACKS defence allowed just four points as Ottawa cruised to a 32-4 victory over the Montreal Alouettes to kick off Mark’s Labour Day Weekend. Harris turned in one of his best performances of the season, completing 78% of his passes for 343 yards and three scores while WR Greg Ellingson eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards on the season. The Montreal Alouettes made a change at QB, replacing Darian Durant with Drew Willy after Durant completed just 12 of 21 passes for 140 yards and an interception through three quarters.

The REDBLACKS offence came out firing on their opening drive, as Trevor Harris guided his team into the Montreal half with ease. But after a failed challenge on an attempt at the end zone, the Alouettes defence came up big on second down, forcing a fumble and sending the REDBLACKS away without any points.

One week after surpassing Geroy Simon for the most receptions in CFL history, Nik Lewis was busy early, with Durant locked in on his number one target.

REDBLACKS K Brett Maher continued to find success, converting his 15th consecutive field goal to go along with a punt single to give Ottawa a four point lead at the end of the first quarter.

Ottawa caught a break early in the second quarter when Alouettes DB Greg Henderson was flagged for defensive pass interference in the Montreal end zone. With the ball on the one-yard line, Harris faked the handoff to Mossis Madu before finding Diontae Spencer, who had a clear path to the end zone for the game’s first touchdown. Up by 12, the REDBLACKS opted to try the two-point convert, but Madu couldn’t push the pile into the end zone.

Playing in his 100th career CFL game, Brad Sinopoli continued to find success, making several clutch grabs for first downs as Harris and the REDBLACKS offence clicked in the first half. A rare missed field goal from Maher resulted in Ottawa’s second single of the game, and the REDBLACKS led 13-1 in the dying minutes of the half.

With the REDBLACKS looking to add to their lead in the final minute, Harris’s attempt for Spencer down the left sideline was intercepted by Tyree Hollins. With the ball inside their own five yard line, Durant heaved up a deep ball for B.J. Cunningham which he pulled in for a 56-yard gain. Durant would use his legs to pick up another 19 yards and move within field goal range, but Bede’s field goal attempt was wide and Spencer was able to bring the ball out, preventing a single.

It was all Ottawa in the first half, tallying 17 first downs to Montreals five and carrying the pace of play through much of the half. Harris continued his strong QB play, completing over 70% of his passes for 170 yards with a touchdown and an interception.

The third quarter brought more of the same, as the REDBLACKS continued to bring the game to the Als.

WR Josh Stangby left his mark on the game in the third quarter, extending for a phenomenal diving touchdown catch to extend the REDBLACKS lead.

Greg Ellingson got involved in a big way after a quiet first half, eclipsing 1,000 receiving yards for the third consecutive season and pulling in a 42-yard touchdown from Harris to add to an already lopsided REDBLACKS lead.

With the REDBLACKS leading big late in the game, the Alouettes opted to make a change at quarterback, removing Darian Durant and giving Drew Willy his first extended action in Montreal.

Next week the Alouettes will head West where they’ll take on the BC Lions. The REDBLACKS will head home to Ottawa where they’ll host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in another important East Division matchup.

[StarDust Bum]

cfl last 17 games:

Date w-l-t % units record

08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50


totals..........34 - 15 - 1........69.38%.....+ 88.00

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s six-pack

— Undrafted rookie Cooper Rush won the backup QB job in Dallas.

— Patriots traded #3 QB Jacoby Brissett to the Colts for WR Phillip Dorsett, who was their first round draft pick in 2015.

— JJ Watt’s tremendous fundraising efforts have now raised over $17M.

— Marlins 7, Phillies 4— Giancarlo Stanton hit his 52nd home run.

— Miguel Cabrera’s suspension was reduced to six games; it started Saturday.

— Get well soon to Tigers DH Victor Martinez, who will undergo cardiac ablation surgery to fix a recurring heartbeat issue.

*************************

Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Alabama 24, Florida State 7— Horrific night for the Seminoles; QB Francois looks like he suffered a serious knee injury late in the game- they have no experience behind him.

FSU’s special teams imploded late in the third quarter, allowing a blocked punt, then fumbling the ensuing kickoff after an Alabama FG.

12) Maryland 51, Texas 41— Longhorns scored TD’s on defense, on a blocked FG and on a punt return, but STILL LOST BY 10 POINTS!!!! Texas was favored by 18.5. Oy.

Maryland also scored a TD on a blocked FG; they ran ball for 263 yards, threw it for 219 and their backup QB played the whole 4th quarter. Great win for the Terrapins.

11) USC 49, Western Michigan 31— Amazingly misleading final score; game was tied 14-14 at the half, was 28-28 with 7:30 left in 4th quarter. It was 35-31 with 4:00 left, but Trojans scored two TD’s in last 3:49 and won their opener, gaining 521 total yards.

USC has a backup long snapper named Jake Olsen who has been blind since he was 12 years old. He came in and made a perfect snap on a USC PAT late in the game. Good for him.

10) Oklahoma State 59, Tulsa 24— Cowboys averaged over 10 yards a play, but Tulsa converted 16-26 on third down, ran 98 plays, which is a huge red flag for an OSU defense that has to try and stop Big X offenses down the road.

9) Michigan 33, Florida 17— Gators’ defense had two pick-6’s in a 1:29 span early in 2nd quarter, but those were Gators’ only two TD’s of the game. Young Wolverines made two FG’s of 50+ yards and added a defensive TD late in the game. Florida had ten kids suspended for this game; for their sake, hope those ten kids are mostly on offense.

8) James Madison 34, East Carolina 14— Not only did the Pirates lose at home to a I-AA team, JMU was a 2.5-point road favorite. Not often a I-AA team is a road favorite at a I-A opponent.

7) There have already been 45 games this year where a I-A team played a I-AA team. Lot of schools treat these I-AA games are dress rehearsals for their conference games, an “exhibition” game with regular season prices, where you can work some of the kinks out. Not sure how much they help, especially if you lose, like ECU, Georgia State, UNLV and Baylor did.

6) Liberty 48, Baylor 45— Speaking of which, Matt Rhule’s debut in Waco didn’t go very well.

Howard 43, UNLV 40– Caylin Newton is Cam Newton’s brother; he threw for 140 yards, ran for 190 more, as Howard upset the Runnin’ Rebels.

Missouri 72, Missouri State 43— This game was 48-35 at the half. when you give up 35 points in a half to any team, especially a I-AA team, you have defensive issues.

Mizzou gained 815 yards, threw for 521, but they’re an SEC team and if you’re going to win SEC games, you damn sure better have a solid defense.

5) California 35, North Carolina 30— Golden Bears (+12.5) come east and post the upset, with soph QB Bowers throwing for 363 yards and four TD’s, including passes of 54, 67 yards.

4) Illinois 24, Ball State 21— Cardinals outgained the Illini 375-216 but couldn’t give the MAC an upset win. Illinois scored the winning TD with 2:06 left, then Ball State missed a 54-yard FG at the end. Cardinals were 12-21 on third down.

3) Nebraska 43, Arkansas State 36— Red Wolves have only 2 returning starts on their offensive line this year- that almost never happens!!! Despite being so young up front, junior QB named Hansen threw for 415 yards and three TD’s. Cornhuskers led 41-26 with 10:00 left, but when the game ended, Arkansas State had the ball on the Nebraska 10-yard line.

2) Louisville 35, Purdue 28— Lot tougher than expected. Cardinals committed 16 penalties for 110 yards, offsetting the 524 yards they gained from scrimmage.

1) Iowa 24, Wyoming 3— Hawkeyes held Cowboys’ QB Josh Allen without a TD, in a game where total offense was only 263-233 in good weather. Iowa’s offense has lot of work to do.

Flashback to 2003: Iowa (-10) beat Miami OH 21-3 in both team’s opener. Miami came to Iowa City with a highly-touted veteran QB, but also failed to score a touchdown that day.

Before you write off Josh Allen, remember that Miami’s QB that day was Ben Roethlisberger.

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday, September 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (7 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 4) - 9/3/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 3

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg

-------------------------------

Sunday, September 3

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 353-354
September 3, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
121.193
Saskatchewan
116.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 4
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 2 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+2 1/2); Over

--------------------------------

Winnipeg (7-2) @ Saskatchewan (4-4)— Roughriders scored 41-54 points in winning its last two games; they scored 38.7 pts/game in winning last three home games. Over is 3-1 in their home games. Winnipeg (-1) won 43-40 in OT in Regina in their first meeting, back in Week 2. Blue Bombers won last four series games overall; they’re 3-1 in last four visits to Saskatchewan. Winnipeg won its last five games, covered its last four; they’re 4-1 on road this year, with two OT wins- four of the five games were decided by exactly three points. Over is 7-2 in their games this year.

[StarDust Bum]

PREVIEW
BOMBERS, RIDERS EYE LABOUR DAY CLASSIC CROWN

REGINA — There will a little bit more on the line when the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Winnipeg Blue Bombers face off on Sunday at Regina’s new Mosaic Stadium.

The Labour Classic between the prairie provinces is a game that players and fans alike mark on their calendars as a highlight of the regular season.

Winnipeg and Saskatchewan are two teams that have been trending upwards in recent weeks, adding even more intrigue to the annual showdown.

The Bombers picked up a victory in a double overtime thriller against the Montreal Alouettes in Week 10, coming away from Percival Molson Stadium with a 34-31 win.

Bombers pivot Matt Nichols threw for 227 yards with three touchdowns passes and an interception. Clarence Denmark was on the receiving end of two of those passes, one of them coming in overtime, to lift the Bombers to their fifth straight win and their seventh of the season.

On defence, Chris Randle had a par of interceptions while Taylor Loffler racked up nine tackles.

The Bombers and Riders went down to the wire in Week 2, but it was Winnipeg that came out on top with a 43-40 overtime win. Bombers running back Andrew Harris says that both teams have improved since that first meeting.

“When you look at the film, [the Riders] don’t do too much different [compared to first game]. I just think now they’re making more plays,” Harris told BlueBombers.com. “They’ve come together. They had a lot of new pieces on their defence, on offence… they’re just finding a way to come together now.

“It’s definitely going to be a challenge for us. Obviously it was [in Week 2], but I think we’re a different team too from [then]. You build, you get better and better. It will be interesting to see how it’s going to play out once it’s all said and done.”

Receiver Weston Dressler will be back in the lineup for the Bombers on Sunday. The 32-year-old has not played since Week 6 when he left a game against the Alouettes with a lower body injury. Dressler was the team’s leading receiver before being sidelined for four games.

The Roughriders picked up where they left off prior to their bye week, defeating the Edmonton Eskimos 54-31 at Commonwealth Stadium.

Saskatchewan received offensive contributions from a number of players as Naaman Roosevelt, Cameron Marshall and Bakari Grant each had receiving touchdowns while Vernon Adams added a rushing major. Special teams also added to the scoreboard when Willie Jefferson picked up his own blocked punt and ran it into the end zone.

Kevin Glenn completed 19 of 31 passes for 240 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.

The Riders’ defence was equally as impressive, holding Eskimos pivot Mike Reilly to just 160 yards in the air with no touchdown passes. Kacy Rodgers and Jovon Johnson each had a pick-six in the win to add to Saskatchewan’s dominance on the scoreboard.

The victory was the first of the season for the Riders on the road. Saskatchewan is riding high heading into the Labour Day Classic, coming off of back-to-back blowout victories that saw the Riders score a combined 95 points compared to their opponents’ 39 points.

The Riders hope that they can carry that momentum forward into Sunday. Glenn says that the Labour Day Classic is a special game for a number of reasons.

“I think it’s the excitement and the build-up that goes into it,” Kevin Glenn told Riderville.com. “The fact that we’re playing Winnipeg, a close province team in the prairies. The tradition, the history behind it. I think all that kind of stuff plays into it… when you have the league in existence as long as it’s been and you play so many games, it continues that rich tradition.”

Depsite chatter that he may make his 2017 debut this week, Chad Owens will not play in the Labour Day Classic. Owens said earlier in the week that he was mentally preparing as if he would be in the lineup on Sunday. Owens started the season on the Riders’ six-game injured list because of a foot injury that he suffered last season that forced him to miss his last six games with the Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

By The Numbers

5 – Win streak for the Bombers heading into Week 11

12 – Turnovers forced by the Riders’ defence in their last two games

16 – Passing touchdowns for Kevin Glenn this season, third overall in the league.

23– Straight starts that Matt Nichols has made for the Bombers. The last quarterback to do that in Winnipeg was Kevin Glenn between 2006 and 2008.

The Skinny

The Bombers and Riders are two of the CFL’s hottest teams heading into this Labour Day Classic matchup. It is the first game of a home-and-home series, as the two teams travel back to Winnipeg in Week 12 for the Banjo Bowl.

While the Bombers’ offence has been dominant for most of this season, boasting a league-high 34.2 points per game, their defence has struggled. Winnipeg’s defence ranks second-last in yards given up per game (410.4) and points per game (30.9). It could spell trouble against a Saskatchewan squad that has been on an offensive surge the past two games,

A win for the Bombers would move them into first place in the West, at least temporarily, while the Riders are trying to keep pace for a playoff spot and are currently at the bottom of the division with a 4-4 record.

Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. ET and can be followed live via CFL.ca Game Tracker and seen on TSN and ESPN 3.

[StarDust Bum]

cfl last 17 games:

Date w-l-t % units record

08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

totals..........34 - 15 - 1........69.38%.....+ 88.00


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WPG at SSK 04:00 PM

SSK -2.5

O 60.0

[StarDust Bum]

RECAP
OFFENSIVE OUTBURST: RIDERS OVERPOWER BOMBERS FOR THIRD STRAIGHT WIN

REGINA — The Saskatchewan Roughriders put on an offensive display at new Mosaic Stadium on Sunday, defeating the Winnipeg Blue Bombers 38-24 in the annual Labour Day Classic.

The Riders jumped out to an early lead by scoring 34 points in the first half and never looked back.

Kevin Glenn tossed three touchdown passes and threw for 386 yards in the win while Bakari Grant led all receivers with 139 yards on seven catches.

The Riders were the first on the board, notching a field goal on the opening drive of the game. Tyler Crapigna split the uprights from 50 yards out for his longest successful attempt of the season.

The Blue Bombers responded on their first drive with a Justin Medlock field goal from 39 yards out to tie the game up a three apiece midway through the first quarter.

Saskatchewan would pull ahead before the quarter was over. Kevin Glenn hit Roosevelt in stride and the Riders’ leading receiver ran untouched into the end zone for a 53-yard major.

The Bombers didn’t have the ball back for long.

On the first play of the ensuing drive, Ed Gainey read the play perfectly and picked off Nichols’ pass. The defensive back ran the ball back 30 yards to set up a Riders first and goal. Vernon Adams made the short one-yard charge into the end zone to give Saskatchewan a 17-3 lead.

The Riders weren’t done there.

A Winnipeg two-and-out sent the ball back to Saskatchewan. Nic Demski took the punt return and surged past a sea of Blue and Gold, picking up 63 yards and setting Saskatchewan up for another first and goal. Glenn found Rob Bagg in the end zone to give the Riders their third touchdown of the quarter to hold a commanding 24-3 lead after 15 minutes.

Winnipeg appeared to score its first major of the day when Tim Flanders took a pass from Glenn and shook off a heard of Bombers defenders before crossing the plane. However, a late illegal block penalty took the points off the board.

Just two plays later, Glenn connected with Flanders again. The Bombers’ running back picked up 11 yards after the short pass and charged into the end zone. This time there were no flags, cutting the Riders’ lead to 24-10.

The Bombers added a field goal on their next drive as they continued to claw back into the game.

Saskatchewan managed to put more distance between the two teams before halftime. Bakari Grant caught a short pass from Glenn and sprinted up the field 44 yards after the catch to set up the Riders in the red zone. Glenn spotted Duron Carter alone in the end zone a couple plays later for another touchdown to pull the Riders further ahead.

Saskatchewan continued its offensive momentum when Cameron Marshall took a handoff from Glenn and streamed down the sideline for a 48-yard run. Marshall was pushed out of bounds just short of the goal line, but the Bomber defence held strong, sacking Glenn on a second down and keeping the ball out of the end zone. The Riders didn’t come away empty handed, settling for a field goal instead.

The Bombers notched another field goal before the end of the quarter to head into the half down 34-16.

The beginning of the second half was quiet for both teams. Crapigna’s third field goal of the game were the only points scored in the third quarter.

Andrew Harris refused to be silenced by the Riders, making his presence known midway through the fourth quarter. Nichols tossed a short pass to the dual threat running back, who then dashed 10 yards into the end zone to chip into the Riders’ lead.

That was as close as the Bombers would get. Nichols led a steady charge downfield and appeared to be putting Winnipeg in a position to score. The Bombers’ quarterback threw a pass into the end zone, but Nichols’ efforts were spoiled by Gainey, who picked off the pass for his second interception of the day.

Gainey’s sixth pick of the season extended his lead over the rest of the field in 2017.

The Bombers will be out for revenge next week when they travel back to Winnipeg to take on the Riders in the annual Banjo Bowl.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, September 4, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
3:00 PM Edmonton Eskimos Calgary Stampeders
6:30 PM Toronto Argonauts Hamilton Tiger Cats

WEEK 12
Friday, September 8, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
10:00 PM Montreal Alouettes British Columbia Lions

Saturday, September 9, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
3:00 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders Winnipeg Blue Bombers
6:00 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Ottawa Redblacks
9:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Edmonton Eskimos

*******************

WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Calgary 9 7 1 1 15 298 169 4-0-0 3-1-1 3-0-0

2 Edmonton 9 7 2 0 14 261 256 4-1-0 3-1-0 2-2-0

3 Winnipeg 10 7 3 0 14 332 316 3-1-0 4-2-0 2-3-0

4 Saskatchewan 9 5 4 0 10 289 227 4-1-0 1-3-0 3-3-0

5 BC 10 5 5 0 10 269 274 2-2-0 3-3-0 2-4-0


EAST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Ottawa 11 4 6 1 9 314 275 2-3-1 2-3-0 3-2-0

2 Toronto 10 4 6 0 8 230 254 3-2-0 1-4-0 4-1-0

3 Montreal 10 3 7 0 6 203 263 3-3-0 0-4-0 1-3-0

4 Hamilton 8 0 8 0 0 148 310 0-4-0 0-4-0 0-2-0

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s six-pack

Since 1980, the 10 largest pointspread upsets in college football history:

+43— Howard over UNLV, 9-2-17

+39— Stanford over USC, 10-6-07

+36.5— Texas State over Houston, 9-1-12

+36— Syracuse over Louisville, 9-22-07

+36— UTEP over BYU, 10-26-85

+36— Temple over Virginia Tech, 10-17-98

+35.5— Central Michigan over Western Michigan, 11-11-00

+35— Oregon State over Washington 10-19-85

+33— Appalachian State over Michigan, 9-1-07

+33— Liberty over Baylor, 9-2-17

— Florida State QB Deondre Francois is out for the year after his knee injury Saturday nite.
— UCLA 45, Texas A&M 44— Aggies led 44-10 in 3rd quarter. Really, they did.
— Virginia Tech 31, West Virginia 24— WVU was on the Tech 10-yard line when game ended.
— USA 81, Argentina 76— Americans were down 20 in third quarter. Jeff Van Gundy’s team comes home with the gold medal from the AmeriCup tournament— a great road win.

*********************

Monday’s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) If you have season tickets for an NFL team, you buy 10 games at regular season prices; the obvious problem is this: 2 of those 10 games are exhibition games.

NFL should reduce the price of those two unwatchable preseason games to $25, which would allow people who don’t normally go to exhibition games to go. At some point, the owners have to stop sucking every last dollar from the consumer. Its not good business. Greed isn’t good.

12) 37 Buccaneers sat out their exhibition game Thursday night; assuming all of those guys are making the squad, that means only 16 players who will be Bucs in Week 1 played vs Washington.

11) NFL owners get stadiums built for them; they’re rich people with a sense of entitlement that is out of control. At some point, NFL owners need to give something back to their communities.

10) Seahawks acquired defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson from the Jets on Friday. In return, Seattle sent WR Jermaine Kearse and a 2018 2nd-round draft pick to New Jersey.

9) A professional golfer named Kelly Kraft (#64 in FedEx Cup standings) made a 12 on the par-5 second hole Friday, shot a 44 on the front nine, then withdrew with a foot injury. Oy.

8) Nigel Williams-Goss transferred from Washington to Gonzaga, sat out 2015-16, then helped the Zags make the Final Four last year. He skipped his senior year at Gonzaga, was drafted in the second round by Utah, but instead of getting a two-way contract with Utah, he is off to Serbia to play ball for $130,000 this season. Curious decision.

7) 49ers cut QB Matt Barkley, who figures to get picked up by someone (Buffalo??). Browns cut Brock Osweiler, who still banks $16M from Cleveland— Osweiler is headed back to Denver with a hefty bank account, but with very little success on the field.

6) Baseball players who are September 1st call-ups making minimum MLB salary ($535,000 a year) will earn $90,628 for the rest of the season.

5) Was reading where Justin Verlander approved his trade to Houston one minute before the trade deadline. Supposedly there was a chance he would be traded to the Cubs, but that fell thru.

4) UL-Lafayette 51, SE Louisiana 48— Ragin’ Cajuns ran two kicks back for TD’s; Lions ran a punt back for a score. With 0:42 left, SE Louisiana scored a TD to make score 49-48- they went for two points and the win, but their QB fumbled and ULL ran it back for two points of their own. Game was 35-35 at halftime.

3) Cleveland Browns’ three QB’s (Kizer-Kessler-Hogan) have a total of zero NFL wins to their credit. Browns are paying Brock Osweiler $15M+ to be a backup in Denver.

Dolphins signed K Cody Parkey, which means RPI alum Andrew Franks is out of a job, at least for now.

2) Indians 11, Tigers 1— Cleveland has won 11 games in a row.

1) Jets, Jaguars, Browns picked up five guys each off the waiver wire; Ram picked up three, the Colts four. Most of the better teams didn’t add anyone— you can get a little bit of a feel of who the better teams are by seeing which teams add which players.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, September 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 2) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/4/2017, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (4 - 6) at HAMILTON (0 - 8) - 9/4/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 2) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/4/2017, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (4 - 6) at HAMILTON (0 - 8) - 9/4/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 4

3:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

6:30 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


----------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 4

Edmonton @ Calgary

Game 355-356
September 4, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
108.590
Calgary
125.027
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 16 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 11
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-11); Over

Toronto @ Hamilton

Game 357-358
September 4, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
109.394
Hamilton
101.473
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under

***********************

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Edmonton (7-2) @ Calgary (7-1-1)— Eskimos allowed 33-54 points in losing last two games after a 7-0 start that included five wins by 5 or less points. Edmonton is 3-1 on road, scoring 28.5 pts/game. Over is 5-1 in their last six games, 2-2 in their road tilts. Eskimos are 3-5 vs spread in their last eight visits here. Calgary swept Edmonton LY, 45-24/34-28 in OT; Stampeders are 14-3 in last 17 series games, with last three games going over the total. Calgary won/covered its last five games; they’re 4-0 at home, 3-1 vs spread, with wins by 4-17-59-16 points. Over is 5-4 in their games, 2-2 at home.

Toronto (4-6) @ Hamilton (0-8)— Weird week in Hamilton; June Jones is the new coach, but he tried to bring Art Briles in as an offensive assistant- that got vetoed by the CFL. Former Oregon QB Masoli gets nod here for Ti-Cats, who are 0-8 this year, 1-6-1 vs spread, with home losses by 15-3-27-19 points. Over is 5-2-1 in their games this season. Hamilton (-3.5) lost season opener in Toronto 32-15; they were outgunned 545-258. Argonauts lost four of last five games, including last four games on road. Under is 7-3 in Toronto games this season. Argonauts lost last five trips to Hamilton,

[StarDust Bum]

cfl last 17 games:

Date w-l-t % units record

09/03/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/31/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/26/2017 3-0-1 100.00% +15.00
08/25/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/24/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

totals..........36 - 15 - 1........70.58%.....+ 98.00