The Bum's NBA October - Novemberr Best Bets-Trends,Stats,News !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA roundup: Kings file protest over loss

The NBA announced Monday that the Sacramento Kings have protested the team's 111-110 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Nov. 13 at FedExForum.

The basis for the Kings' protest is that guard Courtney Lee's game-winning shot should have been disqualified as having been made after time expired.

Under the protest procedures in the NBA Constitution, Memphis and Sacramento each will have an opportunity to submit evidence in support of its position and the protest will be decided by Dec. 2.

With just 0.3 of a second showing on the clock, Grizzlies guard Vince Carter threw an overhead inbounds pass from the side of the court to under the basket. Lee raced to meet the ball and tossed it in, looking over his shoulder to see if the red light on the backboard had come on yet. It hadn't.

The officials spent several minutes reviewing the play. The Kings' bench believed that Ryan Hollins, who was guarding Carter, had tipped the pass.

--The Phoenix Suns recalled two rookies, guard Tyler Ennis and forward T.J. Warren, from the Bakersfield Jam of the NBA Development League.

The 6-foot-3, 175-pound Ennis, the 18th overall pick of the 2014 draft from Syracuse, has appeared in two games with the Suns this season. Warren (6-8, 230), the 14th overall selection from North Carolina State, has played in one game with the Suns.

--The Sacramento Kings recalled rookie forward Eric Moreland from Reno of the NBA Development League.

The 6-foot-10, 218-pound Moreland, who played at Oregon State, was assigned to Reno on Nov. 4 and played in two games for the Bighorns. He totaled 30 points with 26 rebounds, three assists, five steals and one block in 58 minutes in starting both games.

--The Cleveland Cavaliers recalled rookie center Alex Kirk from the Canton Charge of the NBA Development League.

The 7-foot, 245-pound Kirk, 23, has appeared in two games for the Cavs this season, scoring two points.

-- The Los Angeles Lakers will be without forward Ryan Kelly for at least six weeks after he tore his right hamstring on Sunday night against the Golden State Warriors.

Kelly was examined on Monday morning when an ultrasound revealed the injury.

He has appeared in three games this season and averaged 3.7 points a game.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 18

LA Lakers at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
LA Lakers: 23-9 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Atlanta: 14-27 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

New York at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
New York: 34-20 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
Milwaukee: 64-92 ATS in home games off a road win

Oklahoma City at Utah, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 53-29 ATS off a home loss
Utah: 6-16 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games

New Orleans at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
New Orleans: 19-9 OVER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Sacramento: 8-19 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

November 18, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 0-14 ATS (-10.32 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 20% of their points from the free throw line.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Kings are 0-10 OU (-8.70 ppg) since Mar 06, 2007 as a favorite with rest after a win where their field goal to turnover ratio was at least eight.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 0-9 ATS (-8.11 ppg) since Nov 30, 2010 on the road after Kobe Bryant took more than 20 shots in a home loss

NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Lakers are 2-20 ATS as a dog after a game in which they scored less than 13.5% of their points from the three-point line.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Knicks are 7-0 OU (16.50 ppg) since Mar 16, 2012 after JR Smith increased his scoring by at least 15 points last game at home over the game prior.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet

November 18, 2014

Road teams dominated last night in the NBA, posting a 6-3 SU/ATS record, including the Nuggets pulling off a major upset of the Cavaliers as 12 ½-point underdogs, 106-97. The ‘under’ cashed in six of the nine games, including the two late tips between the Pelicans/Blazers and Bulls/Clippers. Only four games take place tonight on the NBA card, led off by the Lakers going for just their second win of the season in Atlanta.

Lakers at Hawks (-9 ½, 212) – 7:05 PM EST

It’s been a train wreck through 10 games for the Purple and Gold so far, as Los Angeles has won just one time. The Lakers begin a three-game road trip tonight after getting blown out at home by the Spurs and Warriors. How bad has L.A.’s defense been so far? Byron Scott’s team has allowed at least 107 points in eight of nine losses, but the Lakers managed a pair of backdoor covers on its most recent road swing at Memphis and New Orleans. Los Angeles owns a perfect 4-0 mark to the ‘over’ on the highway, while going 7-3 to the ‘over’ in 10 games overall this season.

The Hawks haven’t lost yet at Philips Arena, posting a 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS record. However, Atlanta looks to bounce back after getting run out at Cleveland on Saturday, 127-94, as the Cavs dropped 71 points in the first half. The Hawks converted just 3-of-22 three-pointers, while Cleveland drilled 19-of-31 attempts from downtown. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for the Hawks, who enter tonight’s action putting up at least 100 points in all four home victories.

The home team has won nine of the past 10 meetings, as the Hawks are 4-1 against the Lakers in the previous five matchups at Philips Arena.

Knicks at Bucks (-3, 189 ½) – 8:05 PM EST

Believe it or not, New York owned a 2-1 record to start the season, which included an upset of Cleveland as 13-point road underdogs. The Knicks went on to drop seven consecutive games before knocking off the Nuggets, 109-93 as 1 ½-point favorites on Sunday, as New York limited Denver to just eight points in the second quarter. Derek Fisher’s squad heads to the Midwest for a back-to-back set that continues to Minnesota on Wednesday, as the Knicks have lost three straight road games since beating the Cavaliers.

The Bucks return home after a splitting a pair of games in the Sunshine State, capped off by a 91-84 victory at Miami as five-point underdogs. Milwaukee has cashed the ‘under’ in seven straight contests, including a perfect 4-0 ‘under’ mark at home. Jason Kidd’s team isn’t listed as a favorite that often, but the Bucks have won and covered in both opportunities this season against the 76ers and Thunder.

Last season, the Knicks grabbed three of four meetings from the Bucks, while the two teams split a pair of matchups at BMO Harris Center.

Thunder at Jazz (-4, 189) – 9:05 PM EST

Utah returns home following a 2-3 road trip, as the Jazz are listed as a favorite against the Thunder for the first time since February 2011. Quin Snyder’s club has been an up and down from a betting standpoint, putting together a 6-5 ATS record, while laying points for the first time this season. Obviously if Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook were playing for OKC tonight, the Thunder would be favored, but the Jazz looks to improve on a 2-2 SU/ATS home mark, which includes wins over the Suns and Cavaliers.

Oklahoma City heads back on the road tonight after dropping pair of home contests to Detroit and Houston, but the Thunder improved to 4-0 ATS as a home ‘dog in Sunday’s 69-65 setback to the Rockets. The Thunder has won just once in five tries away from Chesapeake Energy Arena, while going 0-3 SU/ATS in the front end of a back-to-back set, as they head to Denver on Wednesday night.

Previous series history doesn’t mean much heading into tonight with Durant and Westbrook sidelined, but the Thunder won three of four matchups from the Jazz last season, while Utah has covered four of the past five home meetings with OKC, all as an underdog.

Pelicans at Kings (-3 ½, 200) – 10:05 PM EST

New Orleans plays with no rest tonight after blowing a 16-point lead in last night’s 102-93 setback at Portland as 3 ½-point underdogs. The Pelicans were outscored in the fourth quarter, 34-13, as Anthony Davis put up another solid game for New Orleans in the loss with 31 points and 11 rebounds. New Orleans has struggled on the road this season, dropping three of four games away from the Big Easy, with their only away victory coming at San Antonio as seven-point ‘dogs.

Sacramento overcame a pair of road meltdowns at Dallas and Memphis to hold off San Antonio on Saturday as short home ‘dogs, 94-91. The Kings have won three straight games at Sleep Train Arena following an opening night loss to the Warriors, while laying points at home for just the second time this season. Sacramento has put up several solid defensive efforts at home against playoff competition, limiting the Warriors, Blazers, and Spurs all to 95 points or less.

The Kings grabbed three of the final four meetings from the Pelicans last season, while limiting New Orleans to 97 points or fewer in all three victories.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 12 rapidly approaching.......

-- Chiefs covered their last six games as a road favorite.

-- Chicago is 2-12-2 in its last sixteen home games.

-- Colts covered 10 of last 14 divisional home games.

-- Giants covered five of last 16 divisional home games.

-- Seattle covered 15 of its last 22 as a home favorite.

-- Ravens covered seven of last nine games on Monday night. New Orleans covered five of its last six.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random post-vacation thoughts........

13) If you're in Las Vegas for a football Sunday, go to the Westgate Hotel, watch games in the theater there; can see all the games easily, bet on them and its a relaxing, almost quiet atmosphere. Plenty of room. I highly recommend it.

Meanwhile,, now that I'm back home, lets catch up on some things......
12) Damn I hate cold weather; get off the plane and its 25 degrees out, this after a week in the desert, where it was in the low 40's some nights. Feel bad for the people in Buffalo, who were already socked with a big winter storm. No bueno.

11) Giancarlo Stanton got $325M for 13 years from the Marlins; now that they've done that, how about moving the 20-foot tall CF fence in from 418 feet away, so that your best player doesn't look disgusted when he hits shots 410 feet that get caught? Its hard to believe Stanton will play his whole career as a Marlin....

10) Peyton Manning has played 42 regular season games with Denver: they scored 30+ points in 30 of 42 games, less than 20 twice; Sunday against the Rams and a 17-9 win at Kansas City couple years ago. Great job by Gregg Williams' defense Sunday.

9) Kentucky 72, Kansas 40-- This raises the question of whether Wildcats will lose a game, especially in a weakened SEC where Mizzou lost to UMKC, Ole Miss lost to Charleston Southern, Auburn lost by 30+ at Colorado.

8) Adrian Peterson is done for this season; lot of these athletes have kids out of wedlock with multiple women, so now they have to be wary of ex-girlfriends they had kids with who are embittered that the guy has moved on. Does Peterson still have to pay child support now that he is not getting paid anymore this year?

7) Russell Martin gets $82M for five years from Toronto. Martin is 31, he grew up in Montreal and the Blue Jays need a catcher. He made $8.5M this past year. Always risky to give a 30+-year old catcher big money-- this hurts the Pirates.

6) Miami 69, Florida 67-- Terrific win for Jim Larranaga that will speak very loudly on Selection Sunday. This rewards Miami for having PG Angel Rodriguez sit out last year when he could've played after transferring from Kansas State, but last year Miami wasn't as good. Now this year, the Hurricanes have a shot at a very big year.

5) Westgate Hotel is switching from Coke to Pepsi, so they were out of 20-ounce bottles of Coke this week, not good for me. Wonder how much money that is worth to Pepsi, getting one hotel like that to switch. Keep in mind they have several restaurants in the hotel, including a Pizza Hut and a great deli in the back of the sportsbook.

4) Rockets-Thunder played a game Sunday where no player in the game shot 50% or higher from the floor. None of them. Last time that happened? 1986.

3) Watched Wofford's win over Iona in the ESPN hoop marathon; wonder how much that helps either the Terriers or the weakened Southern Conference, which has been hurt badly by defections (Davidson/Charleston/Elon) the last couple years.

2) In Ken Whisenhunt's last 58 games as a head coach, which is 3.5 years, he's used nine different starting QB's. Nine. Thats a lot.

1) Over is 25-9 in NFL primetime games. No idea why, but it is what it is.

[StarDust Bum]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Letdown spot

The Virginia Tech Hokies got one of multiple monkeys off their backs last weekend, knocking off a ranked Duke team 17-16 as 3.5-point road underdogs in Durham. The win snapped a three-game slide and was just the Hokies’ third win since the middle of September. It also served as a splash of cold water on Frank Beamer’s blazing-hot office chair. Virginia Tech has a rivalry game with Virginia in two weeks, setting up the dreaded “lookahead letdown” spot when it travels to Wake Forest as 15-point road chalk Saturday.

The local media in Blacksburg is feeding into this situational spot, bombarding Beamer with questions about the Thanksgiving Day matchup with the Cavaliers and ignoring the challenge the Demon Deacons present this weekend – despite the coach’s best efforts to keep his team focused on Wake Forest. Virginia Tech is developing a bad habit of suffering a letdown after beating ranked opponents. It lost to Maryland after stunning No. 14 Miami last season and fell to East Carolina following its upset over No. 8 Ohio State back in Week 3.

Lookahead spot

The Toronto Raptors have picked up where they left off last season, parlaying a long-awaited playoff appearance into a strong 8-2 (7-3 ATS) start to the schedule. Toronto has a busy week with a string of three games in four nights starting Wednesday with a home stand against the Memphis Grizzlies and finishing with a massive matchup with LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday. In between those two games are the lowly Milwaukee Bucks Friday night.

Milwaukee is on the rise, with a big win at Miami Sunday giving Bucks backers their seventh ATS win in the last 10 games, heading into Tuesday’s date with New York. Milwaukee is cut from a similar cloth as the Raptors, depending on a stingy defense that is giving up just 92.6 points (fourth in NBA) on 41.8 percent shooting (third in NBA) per game. With Toronto eager to measure itself against the Cavs Saturday, the Raptors could get caught looking past the Bucks Friday.

Schedule spot

Normally, college coaches are begging their players to get to bed early. However, this week, it may be in Phil Martelli’s best interest to have his guys burning the midnight oil. Martelli’s St. Joseph’s Hawks make a cross-country trip to Gonzaga Wednesday, part of the preseason NIT Season Tip-Off Tournament. That game goes at 8 p.m. local time in Spokane – 11 p.m. back in Philadelphia.

The Hawks don’t have much down time to prepare for the grueling travel sked. St. Joe’s took a 52-49 win at Drexel Monday, leaving Tuesday to travel to Washington and settle in before hitting the floor at McCarthey Athletic Center, where the Zags have covered in five straight home games. The frantic cross-country travel and late tip could have the Hawks gassed before the whistle even blows Wednesday.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 19

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DALLAS (8 - 3) at WASHINGTON (7 - 2) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 57-42 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 134-99 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 277-224 ATS (+30.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 92-131 ATS (-52.1 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (6 - 4) at CLEVELAND (5 - 4) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 864-754 ATS (+34.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 288-228 ATS (+37.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (5 - 4) at ORLANDO (5 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 211-266 ATS (-81.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 198-250 ATS (-77.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (3 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 10) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (4 - 7) at INDIANA (4 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (6 - 5) at DETROIT (3 - 8) - 11/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DETROIT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (6 - 5) at BROOKLYN (4 - 6) - 11/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (10 - 1) at TORONTO (8 - 2) - 11/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (3 - 9) at MINNESOTA (2 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 9) at DENVER (3 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 301-250 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (2 - 9) at HOUSTON (9 - 2) - 11/19/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 87-119 ATS (-43.9 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 19

Hot Teams
-- Indiana won/covered three of last four games (2-2 HF).
-- Orlando won three of last four games, covered last seven.
-- Cavaliers/Spurs both won four of last five games (2-2 HF/2-1 AU).
-- Dallas won/covered its last four games (2-0 AF). Washington is 7-1 in its last eight games (4-0H, 0-2U- both A).
-- Bucks won four of their last five games (4-2 AU).
-- Memphis won its last four games (1-0 AU). Toronto won six of its last seven games (5-2 HF).
-- Rockets won nine of first eleven games (2-2 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost last two games, by 25-27 points (3-2 AU).
-- Clippers are 3-4 in last seven games SU, 1-8 vs spread this season.
-- 76ers are 0-10, but covered last three home games. Celtics lost last three games, by 15-1-4 points (1-2A, 0-0 AF).
-- Nets lost their last four games (2-3 HF).
-- Pistons lost five of their last six games (2-3H, 0-0 HU). Phoenix is 3-4 in its last seven games (1-2 AF).
-- Knicks lost eight of their last nine games (2-2-1 AU). Minnesota lost its last five games, misses injured PG Rubio (1-0 HF).
-- Denver lost seven of last nine games (1-2 HF).
-- Thunder lost four of last five games (2-5 AU).
-- Lakers lost four of last five games (3-0 last three AU).

Series Records
-- Spurs won last nine games against (Lebron-less) Cleveland.
-- Pacers won 15 of last 17 games with Charlotte.
-- Clippers lost eight of last eleven games with Magic, but won two of last three visits to Orlando, where Doc Rivers lives.
-- 76ers are 5-3 in their last eight games with Boston.
-- Mavericks won lst eight games with Wizards, winning last five visits to Washington by 11-1-6-9-9 points.
-- Nets won last five games with Milwaukee; this is Jason Kidd's return to Brooklyn after jumping ship on Nets last spring.
-- Home side won last seven Phoenix-Detroit games; Suns lost last three visits to Motor City, by 1-40-2 points.
-- Raptors swept Memphis LY by 16-13 points, after losing eight of its previous nine to Grizzlies.
-- Knicks won five of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with Denver.
-- Lakers lost last four games with Houston, all by 14+ points.

Totals
-- Eight of ten San Antonio games stayed under total. Four of last five Cleveland games went over.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Orlando games went over.
-- Last seven Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Detroit home games went over.
-- Seven of ten Toronto games went over.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Denver games.
-- Nine of eleven Houston games stayed under; eight of last ten Laker games went over.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 31-15 ATS: West 25-21
East teams HF vs West: 8-10
East teams HU vs West: 3-3
West teams HF vs East: 9-9
West teams HU vs East: 4-0

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, November 19

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
San Antonio is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. ORLANDO
LA Clippers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 13 games on the road
Orlando is 11-3 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Boston is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
Charlotte is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TORONTO
Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. BROOKLYN
Milwaukee is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. DETROIT
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MINNESOTA
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
Oklahoma City is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oklahoma City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

9:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, November 19

Thaddeus Young, Minnesota - Out Wed

Young is away from the team following the passing of his mother. He will not return until Sunday.


Hornets F Kidd-Gilchrist, questionable Wednesday

Kidd-Gilchrist has an injured right foot and missed the last three games. He is questionable to return Wednesday against the Pacers.


Worst ATS team, Clippers, look to climb out of hole

Entering the season, not many expected the L.A. Clippers to be the worst team against the spread in the association. The Clip show are an abysmal 1-8 ATS this season with their one lone cover coming just two games ago against the Suns.

The Clippers have been favored in seven of the eight ATS losses this season.


76ers have made it routine of being blown out

Not surprisingly, the Philadelphia 76ers have not been very good this season. Philly has yet to win a single game (0-10 straight up, 4-6 against the spread) and they have been losing games by an average of 16.9 points per game.

That losing margin is 6.4 points more than the next worst team (Lakers: -10.5)

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Memphis at Toronto
The Grizzlies (4-1 SU on the road) head to Toronto tonight to face a Raptors team that is 7-1 in its last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. Toronto is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Game 501-502: Dallas at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 126.917; Washington 122.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-2 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.001; Cleveland 122.458
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: LA Clippers at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.122; Orlando 115.177
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-4 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.723; Philadelphia 117.360
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 209
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6); Under

Game 509-510: Charlotte at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.612; Indiana 119.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 181
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2); Under

Game 511-512: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.602; Detroit 119.464
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Milwaukee at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.417; Brooklyn 119.973
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+6 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Memphis at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.312; Toronto 126.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 4 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2); Over

Game 517-518: New York at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.870; Minnesota 120.388
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Under

Game 519-520: Oklahoma City at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 113.078; Denver 114.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+7 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: LA Lakers at Houston (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 113.691; Houston 128.153
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 12; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-12); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, November 19

Dallas at Washington, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 11-2 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Washington: 1-10 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

San Antonio at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
San Antonio: 46-30 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
Cleveland: 3-13 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

LA Clippers at Orlando, 7:05 ET
La Clippers: 1-8 ATS in all games
Orlando: 118-81 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games

Boston at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Boston: 30-15 OVER after playing 2 consecutive games as a home underdog
Philadelphia: 24-9 OVER in home games off a road loss

Charlotte at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Charlotte: 57-76 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Indiana: 17-6 ATS in November games

Phoenix at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Phoenix: 30-14 ATS in road games
Detroit: 7-19 ATS off a home loss

Milwaukee at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 18-7 OVER after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
Brooklyn: 115-77 OVER in home games after a loss by 10 points or more

Memphis at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Memphis: 2-11 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins
Toronto: 33-19 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over

NY Knicks at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
New York: 71-47 ATS in road games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
Minnesota: 1-9 ATSafter allowing 120 points or more

Oklahoma City at Denver, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 21-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
Denver: 107-72 OVER after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots

Los Angeles at Houston, 9:35 ET
Los Angeles: 27-14 OVER in road games after a non-conference game
Houston: 16-6 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

November 19, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 14-0 ATS (9.32 ppg) since 1998 on the road with no rest after a loss on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 10-0 OU (12.80 ppg) since Mar 28, 2012 with no more than a day of rest after a double digit win where no more than 15% of their points came at the foul line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 9-0-1 OU (11.70 ppg) since Mar 18, 2014 after Marcin Gortat took fewer than 10 shots.

NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Lakers are 9-0 ATS (12.50 ppg) as a dog with no rest after a game on the road in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Timberwolves are 0-7 OU (-16.79 ppg) since Jan 19, 2013 at home after Nikola Pekovic scored fewer than 10 points.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet

November 18, 2014

Mavericks (-2, 200 ½) at Wizards – 7:05 PM EST

Dallas wraps up a mini two-game road trip in the Nation’s Capital looking for its fifth straight win. The Mavericks dominated the Hornets on Monday, 107-80, allowing less than 82 points for the third time this season, while easily cashing as four-point road favorites. Dallas has cashed the ‘under’ in six of the past seven games, while Rick Carlisle’s team is 6-2 ATS this season in the favorite role.

Washington tries to keep its winning streak alive as well, coming off three straight victories over Indiana, Detroit, and Orlando. The Wizards have beaten just one team this season that currently owns a record of .500 or better (Milwaukee), while their two losses are by double-digits to the Heat and Raptors. Randy Wittman’s club is just 1-3 ATS at the Verizon Center this season, but is listed as a home underdog for the first time (7-7 SU and 8-6 ATS last season). The Wizards will get a boost in their backcourt as Bradley Beal makes his season debut after missing the first nine games with a wrist injury.

Spurs at Cavaliers (-2 ½, 203) – 7:05 PM EST

A potential NBA Finals preview takes place at Quicken Loans Arena, as the Cavaliers attempt to put a flat effort against the Nuggets behind them. Cleveland lost for the second time this season as a double-digit home favorite, getting tripped up by Denver, 106-97 as 11 ½-point favorites on Monday. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for Cleveland, while scoring less than 100 points for the first time in six games.

San Antonio failed to cover its first five games of the season, but is 4-1 ATS the past five contests, including outright ‘dog wins against the Clippers and Warriors. The Spurs haven’t allowed more than 100 points in any of their 10 games, while cashing the ‘under’ in five of six road contests. In the four seasons LeBron James spent in Miami, the Spurs put together a perfect 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS record against the Cavaliers from 2010-14.

Bucks at Nets (-6 ½, 194 ½) – 7:35 PM EST

It’s Jason Kidd’s much anticipated return to Brooklyn after spending just one season running the Nets. Kidd is now the head man in Milwaukee, as the Bucks have made major strides since winning just 15 games last season, going 5-5 through the first 10 games this season. Milwaukee held off New York last night, 117-113 as 1 ½-point home favorites, while scoring at least 100 points for just the second time this season. The high-scoring affair against the Knicks snapped a seven-game ‘under’ streak, while the Bucks improved to 5-1 ATS the past six trips to the court.

Brooklyn has hit the skids of late, dropping four straight games since a promising 4-2 start. The Nets were tripped up by the short-handed Heat on Monday as eight-point favorites, 95-83, the second consecutive game scoring less than 87 points. Brooklyn owned Milwaukee last season, winning all three meetings by at least eight points.

Grizzlies at Raptors (-2 ½, 194) – 7:35 PM EST

The two teams with the best record in their respective conferences meet up in Toronto, as the Grizzlies go for their 11th win in 12 tries. Memphis dominated Houston on Monday, leading by as many as 36 points in a 119-93 blowout of the Rockets to cover for the first time in six games. The Grizzlies have been a terrific defensive team on the road, limiting all five opponents to 93 points or less, but the ‘under’ has hit only three times.

The Raptors continue a seven-game homestand, as Toronto is 4-1 so far with the lone loss coming to Chicago last Thursday night. Dwane Casey’s team hasn’t been tested much this season, playing a heavy home slate while the only two defeats are to the Bulls and Heat. The Raptors are pushing the pace, scoring at least 100 points in nine of 10 games, resulting in seven ‘overs.’

Lakers at Rockets (-12 ½, 210) – 9:35 PM EST

Los Angeles finally broke through on the road by holding off Atlanta on Tuesday, 119-114 as 8 ½-point underdogs to improve to 2-9 on the season. The Lakers shot a blistering 54% from the field, led by Kobe Bryant’s 28 points and Nick Young putting up 17 off the bench in his first game of the season. Byron Scott’s team has drilled the ‘over’ in all five road games, while giving up at least 107 points each time.

The Rockets return home following Monday’s embarrassing 26-point defeat at Memphis, as Houston is 0-3 ATS the past three games. When the Rockets and Lakers met up to open the season at Staples Center, Houston came away with a 108-90 victory, the fourth straight win in the series by at least 14 points. The Rockets are attempting an average of 32 three-pointers a game, but Houston has been an excellent ‘under’ team, cashing in nine of 11 games and all four at Toyota Center.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 12 upon us.......

-- Washington is 3-8 in its last eleven games as a road underdog.

-- Tennessee covered twice in its last eight road games.

-- Raiders covered three of last 14 tries as a home underdog.

-- Patriots covered 10 of last 13 non-divisional home games.

-- Jaguars are 5-10 last 15 times they were underdog of 7+ points.

-- Cowboys are 17-6 in game following their last 23 byes.

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Pretty sad that Jay Gruden apologized Wednesday for criticizing RGIII for what he said after the loss to Tampa Bay Sunday. In this day and age, speaking your mind only gets you in trouble. People risk their lives to protect our freedoms, but the freedom of speech seems to be slipping away anyway.

12) Bucks 122, Nets 118, 3 OT-- Jason Kidd's return to Brooklyn turned out to be a tremendous game, full of twists/turns and drama. Bucks have a nice young team that has a solid future. OJ Mayo had 21 points in 39 minutes off the bench; Milwaukee was +13 while he was oin the floor, -9 while he was off it.

11) Spurs 92, Cavaliers 90-- Kawhi Leonard held Lebron James to 6-17 from floor as Cleveland fell to 5-5, 2-3 at home. Lebron took only one foul shot the whole game.

10) Celtics 101, 76ers 90-- Sixers are now 0-11, on their way to becoming the worst team in NBA history. 76ers-Knicks in NYC Saturday should be a treat.

9) Timberwolves 115, Knicks 99-- Minnesota was floundering since Ricky Rubio got hurt, but they won easily here. Knicks' starters other than Anthony combined to miss 18 of 26 shots- at least their bench was 17-32. Anthony only took seven shots (7-10).

8) Not sure if this is the right time, but the Knicks are 3-10; there is only so much help PG Calderon will be when he returns soon from his injury. Why exactly did the Knicks pay Phil Jackson $12M a year? He's never constructed a roster before.

7) Suns 88, Pistons 86-- Seven of last nine Detroit games were decided by 4 or less points, or in overtime. Pistons are struggling (3-9) but they're fun to watch.

6) Kent State-Buffalo game was postponed because of the snowstorm in Buffalo; am guessing this game will be re-scheduled on some odd night when ESPN needs some programming. These two teams are starving for mational TV exposure.

5) Raptors 96, Grizzlies 92-- Toronto is 9-2, but eight of 11 games were played at home. Memphis is 10-2 but no one talks about them. What would ABC ever do if the Finals wound up being Memphis-Toronto? Good teams, bad TV ratings.

4) Not sure if it is solely for recruiting appearances, but 69-year old Steve Fisher signed a 3-year contract extentrion with the Aztecs Wednesday. San Diego State was a downtrodden program when Fisher took over; now they regularly lead the West Coast teams in attendance.

3) Gonzaga 94, St Joe's 42-- This game was 48-10 at the half. 48 to freakin' 10. Zags are really good, while Hawks are rebuilding. Spokane isn't a very good place to visit this year if your team is rebuilding.

2) Creighton 65, Oklahoma 63-- Sooners led by 18 early in second half, new-look Bluejays got untracked and stormed from behind to pull the upset. Games like this are why big-name teams don't go out on the road too often before Christmas.

1) Marshawn Lynch got docked $100K for not talking to the media; what he has to do is study some Belichick tapes, when the Patriots' coach fulfills his duty by saying words to the press, while never saying anything of substance. Saves him lot of cash.