The Bum's NBA October - Novemberr Best Bets-Trends,Stats,News !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 5

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ORLANDO (0 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 4) - 11/5/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (3 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 3) - 11/5/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 12-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (3 - 1) at BOSTON (1 - 2) - 11/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 78-113 ATS (-46.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (1 - 2) at BROOKLYN (2 - 1) - 11/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 169-211 ATS (-63.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (2 - 2) at DETROIT (0 - 3) - 11/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (1 - 3) at WASHINGTON (3 - 1) - 11/5/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 323-390 ATS (-106.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 91-127 ATS (-48.7 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (3 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 2) - 11/5/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 40-58 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (1 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (1 - 1) - 11/5/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 860-750 ATS (+35.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 680-578 ATS (+44.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 439-365 ATS (+37.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 69-38 ATS (+27.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (4 - 0) at PHOENIX (3 - 1) - 11/5/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 128-93 ATS (+25.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 2) at UTAH (1 - 3) - 11/5/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 130-174 ATS (-61.4 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
UTAH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 2) at SACRAMENTO (3 - 1) - 11/5/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (3 - 1) at GOLDEN STATE (3 - 0) - 11/5/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Rockets move to 5-0, top Heat

November 4, 2014

MIAMI (AP) - James Harden had 25 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds, Dwight Howard added 26 points and 10 boards, and the Houston Rockets stayed unbeaten, beating the Miami Heat 108-91 on Tuesday night.

Trevor Ariza added 19 points for the Rockets, who used a 13-0 run late in the fourth quarter to pull away. Patrick Beverley scored 15 for Houston (5-0).

Chris Bosh scored 21 points for Miami (3-1). Dwyane Wade added 19 for the Heat, with Shawne Williams and Mario Chalmers each scoring 12 and Luol Deng finishing with 11.

The Rockets outscored Miami 25-14 in the final quarter. Houston went 17 for 37 from 3-point range and now has 213 points from beyond the arc this season - as opposed to 198 points on 2-point baskets.

A 17-8 run by the Rockets closed the half and gave Houston a 57-55 lead at intermission. The run continued in the third.

Houston scored 18 points in a 4 1/2-minute stretch that was capped by three 3-pointers in 66 seconds - the last two by Beverley, helping the Rockets turn a tied game into a 77-64 lead.

Miami ripped off 10 straight points to get within 83-80 early in the fourth, and 3s from Justin Hamilton and Shabazz Napier cut Houston's lead to 90-86 with 7 minutes left.

But Ariza hit a 3, Harden laid in his own miss and then Ariza - over the outstretched arm of the 7-foot Bosh - made a high-arcing 3 to put Houston up 12 and in control for good.

---

TIP-INS

Rockets: Beverley missed Monday's game in Philadelphia with hamstring pain but showed no ill effects. ... F Donatas Motiejunas started because Terrence Jones (knee) was out. ... The Rockets were one of two teams with four road games in the first eight days, along with Oklahoma City. Houston plays eight of its next 11 at home. ... Harden was 10 for 10 from the line in the first half, doing that for the second time in his last three games.

Heat: Miami was without Danny Granger (hamstring), Udonis Haslem (quad) and Chris Andersen (ribs). ... Heat President Pat Riley sat with his former point guard, Magic Johnson. ... Miami doesn't plan to significantly increase Josh McRoberts' minutes until he gets more practices. McRoberts is coming off a toe injury. ... Hamilton, who had three 3-pointers in his career entering the night, made three, including two in a 19-second span of the first quarter.

[StarDust Bum]

Grizzlies, Suns clash

November 5, 2014


MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (4-0) at PHOENIX SUNS (3-1)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Even, Total: 195

The Grizzlies look to stay perfect when they visit the high-flying Suns on Wednesday night.

Memphis improved to 4-0 SU after defeating the Pelicans 93-81 at home on Monday, which was also the third straight ATS victory. Phoenix is also off to a great start at 3-1 SU, including a win over the defending champion Spurs on Halloween and just defeated the Lakers 112-106 in Los Angeles. The Suns played late on Tuesday night, so there’s a good chance that they’ll be dealing with some fatigue in this game.

Last season, the Grizzlies won-and-covered in all four meetings between these teams, giving them seven SU wins in the past 10 meetings between these teams. This includes going 3-1 (SU and ATS in Phoenix) in the past two seasons.

Over the past three seasons, the Grizzlies are 58-41 ATS (59%) after a game where they covered the spread. They are, however, 1-9 ATS after four or more consecutive wins over the past two years. Phoenix, meanwhile, is 24-8 ATS (75%) in the first half of the season over the past two seasons and 54-30 ATS (64%) in all games since the start of last season.

PG Mike Conley (ankle) and SG Courtney Lee (concussion) will likely both be giving it a go when the game tips off tonight, as both are listed as probable.

Memphis is off to an unbelievable start this season and that all begins with the play on the defensive end. The Grizzlies are allowing a NBA-low 85.0 PPG on 40.3% FG (4th in NBA).

One of the reasons this team is playing so well defensively is that C Marc Gasol (22.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 1.8 BPG) is healthier than ever. Gasol had 16 points, 11 rebounds and three blocks while anchoring Memphis in a 93-81 victory over New Orleans on Monday. He’s in the best shape of his life and is playing like a legitimate MVP candidate. Gasol may not be able to keep it up all season, but at the moment he’s truly difficult to deal with on both ends of the floor.

PF Zach Randolph (18.5 PPG, 12.3 RPG, 1.5 SPG) is also off to a hot start this season, and is coming off a game in which he scored 15 points and also added 11 rebounds and four assists. He’s taking much better shots early in the season and should be in for a big performance on Wednesday, as the Suns don’t have anybody who can match his size at the power forward position.

PG Mike Conley (13.3 PPG, 5.5 APG, 1.3 SPG) will need to be on top of his game in this one, as the Suns have three point guards that are capable of starting and he’ll be the one who constantly has to deal with their speed.

SG Vince Carter (6.3 PPG) will also be relied on heavily in this game, as Phoenix gets up and down the floor in a hurry. This could end up being a shootout and the Grizzlies need somebody who can catch fire like Carter.

Phoenix has picked up right where it left off last season, playing a fast-paced game and baffling teams with unique lineup combinations. SG Eric Bledsoe (11.0 PPG, 5.3 APG, 4.8 RPG) and PG Goran Dragic (13.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 2.0 APG) were one of the league’s best backcourts last season, and now the team has even more firepower in the backcourt with PG Isaiah Thomas (19.5 PPG, 4.5 APG) coming off the bench. Thomas had 22 points and nine assists in the Suns’ win over the Lakers on Tuesday.

He is an explosive scorer and has made SG Gerald Green (14.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.5 SPG) a much better player in the second unit. Green had 26 points on 11-of-19 FG in the win over Los Angeles on Tuesday. The two linked up on a number of plays and are allowing Bledsoe and Dragic to play with 100 percent intensity when they are on the floor due to a small decrease in minutes.

Another player who has been excellent for Phoenix is PF Markieff Morris (17.0 PPG, 7.8 RPG). The 6-foot-10, 245-pound Morris has spent a lot of time playing power forward and even center for this team, but the lack of height has not hurt them at all. Morris had 23 points, 10 rebounds and five assists against the Lakers Tuesday night. He will have to deal with Zach Randolph for a majority of this game, so he’ll need to be ready to defend and play physically. His twin brother, PF Marcus Morris (12.3 PPG), will also help out on Randolph defensively.

C Miles Plumlee (5.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 1.3 BPG) has been a disappointment to start the season for Phoenix, and will need to step his game up against Memphis or Marc Gasol will make it impossible for the Suns to pick up a victory.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, November 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte -1 500 *****
Charlotte - Under 191.5 500 *****

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Philadelphia - Under 195.5 500

Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Boston -2 500
Boston - Over 203.5 500

Minnesota - 7:30 PM ET Minnesota +5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Brooklyn - Under 210 500

New York - 7:30 PM ET New York +4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 186 500

Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Chicago -4.5 500
Milwaukee - Over 191 500

Indiana - 8:00 PM ET Washington -9.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Washington - Under 187.5 500

Atlanta - 8:30 PM ET Atlanta +8 500
San Antonio - Over 201.5 500

Memphis - 9:00 PM ET Memphis +1.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Phoenix - Over 192 500

Cleveland - 9:00 PM ET Cleveland -5.5 500 *****
Utah - Under 205 500

Denver - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento -3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Sacramento - Over 203.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Golden State - Over 210 500

[StarDust Bum]

RATED PLAYS:

10 - 10.........................................*****

5 - 6 ........................................DOUBLE PLAY

9 - 4 ........................................TRIPLE PLAY

6 - 6.........................................SLAM DUNK


RATED PLAYS AND OPINONS


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail

11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail

11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail

11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail

11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail

Totals 44-*38-*2 53.66% +1100

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Houston
The Rockets host the Spurs tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games versus San Antonio. Houston is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Game 701-702: San Antonio at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.614; Houston 127.820
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 3; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Under

Game 703-704: Dallas at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.861; Portland 126.369
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 6

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SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) at HOUSTON (5 - 0) - 11/6/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 860-751 ATS (+33.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 288-227 ATS (+38.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (3 - 1) at PORTLAND (2 - 2) - 11/6/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 132-98 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 276-223 ATS (+30.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 6

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won their first four games; three were on the road. Spurs won two of first three games; games were decided by total of 8 points.
-- Dallas won its last three games, by 18-5-5; they're 3-1 vs spread so far this season.

Cold Teams
-- Portland split its first four games, winning two of three at home.

Series Records
-- Spurs lost their last five games with Houston.
-- Trailblazers lost four of their last five games with Dallas.

Totals
-- Four of last five Rocket-Spur games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Dallas games went over the total; all four Portland tilts went under the total. Eight of last eleven Mav-Blazer games went over.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 14-3 ATS: West 12-5
East teams HF vs West: 2-3
East teams HU vs West: 1-1
West teams HF vs East: 5-2
West teams HU vs East: 3-0




NBA

Thursday, November 6

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Houston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home
Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some of the better giveaway days at Citi Field for 2015 (these are all Saturdays)

-- May 2 (Nationals): Jacob deGrom garden gnome

-- May 16: (Brewers) Mets fedora (color unknown)

-- June 13: (Braves) David Wright replica jersey

-- July 11 (Arizona): Juan Lagares bobblehead

-- August 29 (Red Sox); 1986 World Series bobblehead

-- October 3 (Nationals): Mets fleece blanket

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Lebron James played 85 minutes in Cleveland’s first two games, which is way too many; he was down to 35 in Tuesday’s loss in Portland, then played 42 minutes in Utah last night, where the Cavaliers lost 102-100.

Coach Blatt is going to have to learn how to dispense minutes to preserve his starters for the long season, especially James. Season is 82 games and as many as four playoff series, which could be 28 more games.

High drama at the end in Utah last night; Gordon Hayward hit a fadeaway from deep on the right wing as the horn sounded, dropping the Cavaliers to 1-3.

12) Cavaliers made their first ten shots in Portland, five of which were 3-pointers, then shot 28% the rest of the game; they need to find a dependable third scorer to supplement James/Kevin Love’s production.

11) Speaking of James, did the Miami Heat lower its ticket prices once he left? Its fairly obvious they won’t be as good; somehow I doubt they lowered prices, but hopefully they did.

10) FOX Sports 1 basketball analyst Bill Raftery filed for trademarks to his pet phrases "Onions" and "With a kiss" last week, protecting the use of the words as Raftery's during sports broadcasts and on clothes.

9) How did Sacramento let Isaiah Thomas get away? The lefty Washington alum is pretty good and is helping Phoenix bigtime so far. Not like the Kings have so many good guards that they couldn’t use the guy.

8) If you’re in Las Vegas December 17-20, the Jerry Tarkanian Classic will be played, a terrific high school basketball tournament with lot of really good players. I was there the last two years; its worth your time, if you’re in Vegas that week. Most of the games are at Bishop Gorman HS, I think.

7) Next big Cuban baseball star to come here will be 3B/OF Yasmany Tomas, who is said to be a stocky slugger being pursued by both the Phillies and Red Sox. Philly could use the money AJ Burnett just turned down to sign Tomas, who is 24 years old.

6) There are reports the Eagles were souring on Nick Foles even before he got hurt; Philly turned ball over 16 times in their last five games (-9) prompting rumors Eagle brass weren’t happy with him, all of which makes Mark Sanchez’ first Philly start Monday night a little more interesting.

5) Alfonso Soriano retired this week; he is one of six players in history with 400+ doubles, 400+ homers and 250+ steals in his career. Wasn’t much of a fielder, but was a very dangerous hitter.

4) Houston Texans pulled the plug on Ryan Fitzpatrick and will start Ryan Mallett at QB in Week 11; they have this week off. This was inevitable, with Mallett having been acquired from New England for a draft pick- they have to see what they have to see if they want to sign Mallett going forward.

3) Dodgers signed A’s assistant general manager Farhan Zaidi, a Berkeley-educated economist, as their next GM. Zaidi grew up in the Philippines, attended MIT as an undergraduate and, after getting his doctorate at Cal-Berkeley, decided to try to break into baseball after reading Moneyball. Hey, I've seen Moneyball the movie 25 times; can I get a job with the A's?

Not surprising, but it looks like the Dodgers’ new direction under Andrew Friedman will be heavily weighted towards analytics.

2) Timberwolves 98, Nets 91-- Minnesota led 17-2, then Nets went on a 34-14 run, but Wolves closed game on 18-5 run. Rubio had 14 points, 12 assists, 8 rebounds as all five Minnesota starters scored in double figures.

1) I know they do it because they can charge more for those tickets, but it is weird how close some fans sit to the team benches in NBA arenas. At Lakers' home games in Staples Center, the opposing coach often stands right in front of Jack Nicholson. If a guy goes lunging out of bounds for a loose ball, he might knock over people's drinks who are sitting right there. You don't get that in other sports.

[StarDust Bum]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Lookahead spot

The fact Tony Romo even made the trip to London is baffling to some. Dallas jumps the pond to play Jacksonville in London with a laundry list of injuries, and not just to its star quarterback. The defensive corps have been dropping like flies the past two weeks and this overperforming stop unit doesn’t have much depth behind the first teamers.

Limping into Week 10’s neutral-site matchup with the Jaguars on a two-game losing streak, and with the bye week on the horizon, the Cowboys could get caught looking ahead to some time off to lick those wounds. Books that have gone ahead and posted a line for this London game, regardless of Romo's status, have Dallas as high as a touchdown favorite. If he does play it could go as high as Cowboys -10.

Letdown spot

The Florida Gators haven’t had much to play this season. But when it came time to lay the lumber to SEC rival Georgia, UF rolled the Bulldogs in the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” last weekend. The Gators rushed for 418 yards in the 38-20 win as 11.5-point underdogs in Jacksonville, and may have saved head coach Will Muschamp’s job for the time being.

Florida doesn’t have much left on the schedule in terms of motivational factors, besides a season-ending chance to spoil Florida State’s bid for a spot in the College Football Playoff. In the meantime, the Gators waddle into Nashville all fat and cocky, tabbed as 14.5-point road favorites versus Vanderbilt Saturday. The Commodores have been a hot bet, covering in five of their last six games.

Schedule spot

The Dallas Mavericks will be breaking out the Advil and ice packs after their upcoming stretch of schedule, playing three games in four nights. While most teams handle these busy spots with moderate success, few are as ancient as the Mavs. Heading into the 2014-15 season, Dallas is tied with San Antonio as the oldest team in the league, with an average age of 28.7.

The bulk of that youth is coming off the bench while starters like Dirk Nowitzki, Tyson Chandler, Monta Ellis and Jameer Nelson are all old as dirt by NBA standards with 53 combined years of experience between them. Those greybeards could be showing their age by the time this grueling span is over. The Mavericks are at Portland and Utah Thursday and Friday, then back on the court hosting the Heat Sunday.

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday

November 6, 2014


After watching the favorites dominate the betting counter over the first few days of the NBA regular season, we’re starting to see the pendulum swing the other way, especially last night.

Even though favorites produced a 7-5 straight up record, underdogs prevailed with a 9-3 mark against the spread.

The most notable upset came in Salt Lake City as Utah nipped Cleveland 102-100 as a 5 ½-point home underdog. Jazz small forward Gordon Hayward buried the game-winning jumper as time expired.

The Cavaliers are now 1-3 it’s obvious that the team hasn’t developed any chemistry and nobody should start criticizing LeBron James and company, yet. For those of you who forgot, Miami started 9-8 in LeBron’s first season in South Florida and the team finished 58-24 and earned a trip to the NBA Finals.

Barring serious injuries, I expect Cleveland to reach the NBA Finals, which isn’t going out on a limb since they’re the top betting choice (5/2) at Sportsbook.ag and every other major betting shop too.

Who will they play?

The Western Conference is stacked and Thursday’s TNT card will feature a pair of games within the conference.

Let’s take a closer look.

San Antonio (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) at Houston (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS)

The Rockets opened as a three-point home favorite and the number has jumped to 3 ½ at most outfits. Despite the current form of Houston and the recent head-to-head history between the pair, I believe the opening number is right.

There is no doubt about it that Houston has looked great, winning and covering five straight to start the season. All of the victories came by double digits and even though the competition hasn’t been great, four of the wins were on the road and I put a lot of stock into that.

On Tuesday, the Rockets pulled away from a solid Miami squad and earned a 108-91 win as a two-point road underdog.

San Antonio has started the season 2-1 but the defending champions haven’t looked great. The two victories are by a combined three points, which includes last night’s 94-92 win against Atlanta. The Spurs failed to cover as eight-point home favorites, dropping their ATS record to 0-3.

Including four wins last season, Houston has won and covered five straight meetings against San Antonio. In the two home games from the 2013-14 season played in Houston, the Rockets were underdogs (+2) in the one meaningful contest. In the other home game played in mid-April, Houston was a six-point ‘chalk’ as the Spurs were expected to rest starters for the playoffs. Seeing Houston give points tonight shows you how the oddsmakers have adjusted their ratings on both clubs.

Total players might want to keep their on the ‘under’ in this matchup tonight. The game opened 201 ½ and has been bet down to 199 ½.

In the last five meetings between the pair, the ‘under’ has gone 4-1. Also, the Rockets (5-0) and Spurs (3-0) have both started the season with perfect ‘under’ records.

The most important metric to handicapping totals is pace, in particular field goals attempted. Most teams average 80 shots per game. TeamRankings is a great site for this and you can see that the Spurs (72.3) and Rockets (73.8) have played to the slowest pace this season. However, Houston leads the league in 3-point attempts (32.2) and San Antonio (23.3) isn’t far behind.

San Antonio did play last night and while some bettors might be hesitant to back them on no rest, make a note that the Spurs went 14-5 SU and 12-7 ATS in back-to-back spots last season. The ‘under’ went 12-7 in those games.

Dallas (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) at Portland (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

This is a great matchup and certainly a solid test for both clubs. Portland is listed as a 2 ½-point home favorite while total opened at 2016 ½.

Dallas has started the 3-1 both SU and ATS, the lone loss coming by one point (100-101) at San Antonio last Tuesday. This Mavericks team might not have an All-Star on their roster but it does have five players averaging double digits and the bench goes 10 deep.

The free agent acquisition of Chandler Parsons has given them another scoring threat, plus backup point guards Jameer Nelson and J.J. Barea have helped immensely. This is the most balanced offensive team in the league from top to bottom and the results are evident.

Dallas leads the league in points per game (111.8) and field goal percentage (52.4) this season. Also, the Mavs are ranked second in true shooting percentage (120.0), which really shows you how efficient they are from the field.

Defensively, the Mavs are allowing 105 PPG, which is ranked 27th in the league and something they need to correct going forward. All of these factors have helped the ‘over’ go 3-1 this season.

Portland could be in for a letdown tonight after beating Cleveland 101-82 on Tuesday as a 2 ½-point home underdog. The Trail Blazers have a great homecourt advantage and it helped as they outscored the Cavaliers 25-13 in the final quarter.

With that victory, the Trail Blazers have now gone 2-1 both SU and ATS at home this season.

Total players could be scratching their heads for this game, especially when you measure the Dallas offense against the Portland defense, which is allowing 92.2 PPG, ranked third in the league.

At home, Portland has allowed 88.7 PPG and that came against three decent opponents in Oklahoma City (with Westbrook), Golden State and Cleveland.

Last season, the Mavericks went 3-1 both SU and ATS versus the Trail Blazers last season and two of those wins came at the Moda Center. The total went 2-2.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

November 6, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since Apr 25, 2003 as an away dog of less than eight points with rest after a win where they scored at least 30% of their points on threes.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Trailblazers are 11-0-1 OU (14.58 ppg) since Nov 20, 2006 at home with no more than a days rest after a double digit win where they allowed at least 15 points less than expected.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 8-0 OU (18.06 ppg) since Jan 29, 2014 after Monta Ellis was not the Mavericks’ high scorer in a home win.

NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Trailblazers are 14-0 ATS (7.39 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest after a double-digit home win in which they allowed less than 40.25% from the field.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Spurs are 0-7-1 ATS (-8.00 ppg) since Jan 15, 2005 and on the road with no rest after a 1-4 point win as a favorite where they led by double digits.

[StarDust Bum]

RATED PLAYS:

10 - 10.........................................*****

5 - 6 ........................................DOUBLE PLAY

9 - 4 ........................................TRIPLE PLAY

6 - 6.........................................SLAM DUNK


RATED PLAYS AND OPINONS


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail

11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail

11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail

11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail

11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail

Totals 44-*38-*2 53.66% +1100


Thursday, November 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Houston -6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Houston - Under 197 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Dallas - 10:30 PM ET Dallas +2.5 500 SLAM DUNK

Portland - Over 208 500 SLAM DUNK

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tips

November 6, 2014

The Friday night card in the NBA is loaded with 11 games, including four teams searching for their fifth win on the season (Bulls, Wizards, Raptors, and Kings). Memphis tries to stay unbeaten with a trip to struggling Oklahoma City, but we’ll start with a Southeast Division matchup with two struggling teams trying to get on track.

Hawks at Hornets – 7:05 PM EST

Charlotte snapped a three-game skid on Wednesday by beating Miami for the first time in 21 tries, 96-89 as one-point favorites. The Hornets limited the Heat to 39% shooting from the floor, while picking up their first combined win and cover of the season to improve to 2-3 SU/ATS. Al Jefferson eclipsed the 20-point mark for the third straight game, while Kemba Walker put together his most efficient shooting game from the floor by going 5-of-6 for 18 points against Miami.

v The Hawks have played just three games, losing twice, including a two-point setback at San Antonio on Wednesday. Atlanta erased a 17-point deficit in the 94-92 loss to cover as eight-point underdogs, but the lone victory for the Hawks has come against the injury-ravaged Pacers. Last season, Atlanta won three of four matchups against Charlotte, while the Hawks have taken 11 of the past 12 meetings since 2012.

Timberwolves at Magic – 7:05 PM EST

Minnesota owns a perfect 4-0 ATS record through four games, one of only two teams remaining in the league that has covered every game (Golden State the other). The Wolves continue their road trip in Orlando after holding off the Nets on Wednesday, 98-91 as five-point underdogs. All five starters scored in double-figures for the Wolves, who have moved on from the Kevin Love era as Kevin Martin is averaging a team-high 23.7 points per game.

Orlando finally picked up its first win of the season on Wednesday, beating Philadelphia at the buzzer, 91-89. The Magic closed as 2 ½-point favorites, as Orlando backers certainly would have preferred overtime for five more minutes to grab cover. Jacque Vaughn’s team has covered just once in five games, while losing both games as a home underdog to the Raptors and Wizards.

Bulls at 76ers – 7:05 PM EST

Since blowing a late lead in an overtime loss to the Cavaliers, the Bulls have stormed back with three consecutive wins to improve to 4-1. Chicago pulled away from Milwaukee in Wednesday’s 95-86 road victory as five-point favorites, as the front-court duo of Taj Gibson and Pau Gasol combined for 45 points and 24 rebounds. Joakim Noah is expected to return to the Chicago lineup after missing the last two games with the flu.

The 76ers are expected to have another long season, as Philadelphia is winless through its first five games. Philadelphia wraps up a four-game homestand coming off narrow ATS covers in losses to Houston and Orlando. The Sixers cashed in three of four meetings with the Bulls last season, including a shocking 107-104 victory as nine-point home ‘dogs last November.

Pacers at Celtics – 7:05 PM EST

Indiana won its opener against Philadelphia, but the Pacers have stumbled to four consecutive losses. Frank Vogel’s team managed a cover as 9 ½-point road underdogs at Washington on Wednesday in a 96-94 setback, as David West has not played a game yet this season due to an ankle injury. In spite of Indiana scoring 94 points or less in four of five contests this season, the Pacers have hit the ‘over’ four times.

The Celtics squandered an early 16-point lead in Wednesday’s 107-104 home loss to the Raptors, the fourth time this season Boston has allowed at least 104 points. Since blasting Brooklyn in the season opener, the Celtics have dropped three straight games, while converting just 22-of-82 three-point attempts during this skid (including a 1-for-25 effort at Houston).

Knicks at Nets – 7:35 PM EST

The first battle of New York City takes place on Friday at Barclays Center. The Knicks are 2-3 through their first five games, as their fourth quarter rally at Detroit on Wednesday came up short in a 98-95 defeat as four-point underdogs. Derek Fisher’s team hasn’t broken the 96-point mark yet this season, but has allowed at least 100 points just once. New York owned Brooklyn last season, winning three of four meetings, including a 2-0 mark at Barclays Center.

The Nets failed to capitalize off Monday’s blowout of the Thunder, as Brooklyn fell short in a 98-91 home loss to Minnesota as five-point favorites. Brooklyn didn’t reach the 100-point mark for the first time in four games in the defeat to the Wolves, while the ‘under’ hit in by far the highest total of the young season at 208. Friday’s total is adjusted back down to 192 ½, as Brooklyn is 2-1 to the ‘over’ in totals below 200.

Bucks at Pistons – 7:35 PM EST

Detroit broke through the win column after three losses by holding off New York, 98-95. The Pistons haven’t covered a game yet through four outings, as the offense reached their highest output following three losses in which they didn’t bust the 91-point mark. Detroit grabbed three of four matchups from Milwaukee last season, as all four games finished ‘over’ the total.

The Bucks are definitely off to a better start this season than last year’s disaster, winning two of their first five games. Milwaukee’s offense sputtered in the second half of Wednesday’s 95-86 home defeat to Chicago, as this team has alternated wins and losses through five games.

Wizards at Raptors – 7:35 PM EST

A battle of two 4-1 clubs north of the border, as Washington is listed as an underdog for just the second time this season. The Wizards have won four straight since a season-opening loss at Miami, but Washington hasn’t really faced great competition of late (Orlando, Milwaukee, New York, and Indiana). If the Wizards can knock off the Raptors, Randy Wittman’s club is staring at a possible 8-1 start as the next three games are against the Pacers, Pistons, and Magic.

The Raptors rallied past the Celtics on Wednesday to improve to 4-1 with their lone defeat coming at Miami. Toronto’s offense has looked sharp so far by eclipsing the 100-point mark in all five games, while the dynamic backcourt of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan are combining to score 41 points per game. The Raptors beat the Wizards three times last season in four tries with all three victories coming by eight points or more.

Grizzlies at Thunder – 8:05 PM EST

Memphis barely qualified for the playoffs last season, but the Grizzlies have stormed out of the gate with a 5-0 record. The Grizzlies face the Thunder for the first time since getting eliminated by the Thunder in the first round of the postseason, but this OKC team isn’t close to what we saw in April. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook remain out for the Thunder, as OKC has scored 90 points or less in each of its four losses.

The Grizzlies have covered four straight since a four-point victory over the Wolves to open the season, as Memphis is fresh off a 102-91 triumph at Phoenix as a short ‘dog. OKC returns home for two games after playing four of its first five contests on the road. The only good news for the Thunder is their lone victory came at Chesapeake Energy Arena over the Nuggets, 102-91.

Kings at Suns – 9:05 PM EST

Sacramento put up a clunker to begin the season in a home loss to Golden State, but the Kings have rebounded nicely with four straight wins. The duo of Rudy Gay and DeMarcus Cousins is averaging 24 points per game each, while each player is shooting at least 51% from the floor. The Kings swept a home-and-home series from the Nuggets, while converting 79-of-97 free throws in those two victories alone.

The Suns held off the Lakers as a six-point road favorite on Tuesday, but followed up that win with a home loss to the unbeaten Grizzlies the next night. Phoenix has hit the ‘over’ in four of five games, as former King Isaiah Thomas is averaging 18.6 points per game and faces Sacramento for the first time since getting traded this past summer.

Mavericks at Jazz – 9:05 PM EST

Dallas plays with no rest following Thursday’s game at Portland, as the Mavs face the Jazz for the second time this season. Rick Carlisle’s team ran out the Jazz at home last Thursday, 120-102 to cash as 10 ½-point favorites, the sixth straight win in the series. The Mavs have broken the 100-point mark in each of the first four games, but have also allowed at least 100 points in each contest this season.

Utah stunned Cleveland with a buzzer-beater on Wednesday, 102-100 as 5 ½-point underdogs, the third straight cover following the 18-point loss at Dallas. The Jazz hits the road for five games following Friday’s contest, as Utah is 3-6-1 ATS in the past 10 home contests in the underdog role since last March.

Cavaliers at Nuggets – 10:35 PM EST

The LeBron James era in Cleveland (Part II) has gotten off to a slower start than expected, as the Cavs are just 1-3. The Cavs escaped Chicago with an overtime win, but stubbed their toe in losses at Portland and Utah as a road favorite. The road trip concludes in Denver as the Cavs have allowed at least 100 points in each of their three losses, while James has been up and down so far, scoring 31 points in the buzzer-beating loss at Utah.

The Nuggets don’t exactly have the same home-court advantage at Pepsi Center that they had in previous seasons. Denver went 22-19 last season at home, one year after losing just three games in the high altitude. The Nuggets held off the Pistons in the season opener, but is riding a three-game losing streak, while allowing at least 100 points in each defeat.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some football trends for this weekend........

-- Alabama covered once in its last seven games as a road favorite.

-- Washington State is 8-4 as a road underdog under Mike Leach

-- Indiana covered in three of its last fifteen conference games.

-- Since 2007, Louisiana Tech covered 10 of 14 as a road favorite.

-- Michigan covered twice in its last nine road games.

-- Over is 22-6 in NFL primetime games this season.

**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Our NFL's bottom 5 and top 8.........

32) Raiders—Common thread between bottom four teams on this list are QB issues; Carr looks like he’ll be fine, but playing a rookie has its drawbacks. Oakland has played better the last four weeks, under interim coach Sparano.

31) Jaguars—Another rookie QB, another team that has been more competitive of late, but 1-7 is 1-7. They’re in England this week; NFL cheated their fans out of seeing the popular Cowboys to move this game to London.

30) Jets—Fire everyone as soon as the season ends. Coaches, QB’s, GM, janitors, secretaries, everyone. Start over; that way it’ll be easier to win in the long run.

29) Titans—First road start this week for young Mettenberger against Baltimore team smarting after consecutive division losses.

28) Buccaneers—Offense has legit excuse in that OC Tedford had to leave before season really started because of heart issues, so they’re getting outcoached badly on that side of ball since HC Smith is defensive guy and couldn’t step in and take over.

8) Dolphins—This time LY, Miami was in hell, its season ruined by the Incognito bullying scandal; Joe Philbin had wanted to cut Incognito the previous spring but was overruled, which is probably why the owner fired the GM after last season. Now Philbin has his team rolling and headed towards the playoffs.

7) Eagles—Mark Sanchez makes his first Eagle start this week at home on Monday Night Football. If he plays well, it’ll be another nail in the 2014 Jet coffin- they couldn’t wait to dump the guy two years ago.

6) Colts—Have a vast array of offensive weapons, but Luck has taken lot of hits this season; they’re screwed if he gets hurt. RB’s Richardson/Bradshaw are suspects, but they do have lot of weapons at WR/TE.

5) Packers—How healthy is Rodgers’ hamstring? He tweaked it at end of Saint game two weeks ago. Interesting game against reeling Bears Sunday night; both teams are coming off byes. Chicago lost four of its last five games.

4) Steelers—Roethlisberger is first QB EVER to throw 12 TDs in two-game span; now they go on road to face reeling Jets. Pitt lost only previous game on artificial turf this year, in Week 2 at Baltimore.

3) Broncos—Raiders can’t catch a break; they play Denver this week with Broncos reeling after their beatdown in Foxboro.

2) Patriots—Healthy Gonkowski makes a big difference in their passing game; still amazing how Patriots don’t have any good WRs. Edelman was a QB in college.

1) Cardinals-- Life is all about opportunity; Bruce Arians had to wait for a head coaching job until he was in his 60’s, now he is making the most of it. There are people out there saying Arizona is lucky; I say they’re getting the most out of what they have, despite a lot of injuries.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Milwaukee at Detroit
The Bucks head to Detroit tonight to face a Pistons team that is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games. Milwaukee is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 7

Game 501-502: Atlanta at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.519; Charlotte 120.961
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-1 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Minnesota at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.590; Orlando 111.708
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 201
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 505-506: Chicago at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.231; Philadelphia 107.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 11; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-11); Under

Game 507-508: Indiana at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.960; Boston 116.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: New York at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.430; Brooklyn 121.358
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 113.780; Detroit 114.557
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Washington at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.239; Toronto 126.395
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 195
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Over

Game 515-516: Memphis at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 125.545; Oklahoma City 115.449
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 7; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7); Under

Game 517-518: Sacramento at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 120.540; Phoenix 122.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 206
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+5); Over

Game 519-520: Dallas at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.862; Utah 119.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3; 206
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3); Under

Game 521-522: Cleveland at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 115.858; Denver 118.995
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, November 7

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ATLANTA (1 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) - 11/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-92 ATS (-41.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 2) at ORLANDO (1 - 4) - 11/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 35-49 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (4 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 5) - 11/7/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (1 - 4) at BOSTON (1 - 3) - 11/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 187-137 ATS (+36.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
BOSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 78-114 ATS (-47.4 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (2 - 3) at BROOKLYN (2 - 2) - 11/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (2 - 3) at DETROIT (1 - 3) - 11/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (4 - 1) at TORONTO (4 - 1) - 11/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 91-128 ATS (-49.8 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 124-163 ATS (-55.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
TORONTO is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (5 - 0) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 4) - 11/7/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 297-247 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 107-75 ATS (+24.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 12-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 10-9 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (4 - 1) at PHOENIX (3 - 2) - 11/7/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (3 - 2) at UTAH (2 - 3) - 11/7/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
DALLAS is 100-75 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 132-99 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 3) at DENVER (1 - 3) - 11/7/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons