Announcement

**StarDust Bum** · 10-01-2014, 07:32 PM

NCAAF

Week 6

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 2

7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Florida Atlantic is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Florida Atlantic is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Florida International is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida International's last 13 games

7:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. HOUSTON
Central Florida is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

10:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. OREGON
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Oregon is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

Friday, October 3

7:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. SYRACUSE
Louisville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Syracuse
Louisville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games

10:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games
Fresno State is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Fresno State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:15 PM
UTAH STATE vs. BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
BYU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State

Saturday, October 4

12:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. MARYLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ohio State's last 7 games
Ohio State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Maryland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Maryland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Texas A&M is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 12 games
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
PURDUE vs. ILLINOIS
Purdue is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing at home against Purdue
Illinois is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue

12:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Iowa State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Iowa State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State

12:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. TENNESSEE
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Florida is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Tennessee is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Southern Miss is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games
Southern Miss is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
Middle Tennessee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. ARMY
Ball State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 5 games
Army is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ball State
Army is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. OLD DOMINION
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marshall's last 7 games on the road
Old Dominion is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. EAST CAROLINA
Southern Methodist is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 9 games
East Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

12:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
North Carolina is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina's last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech

2:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. AKRON
Eastern Michigan is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games
Eastern Michigan is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
Akron is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
Akron is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan

2:30 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 9 games on the road
Massachusetts is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 23 games
Miami (Ohio) is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games

2:30 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. INDIANA
North Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
TULSA vs. COLORADO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games
Tulsa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games at home
Colorado State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

3:30 PM
STANFORD vs. NOTRE DAME
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
BAYLOR vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games at home
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. BOWLING GREEN
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Bowling Green is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
NAVY vs. AIR FORCE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games when playing on the road against Air Force
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Air Force
Air Force is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Navy
Air Force is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Navy

3:30 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. UTSA
New Mexico is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Mexico's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UTSA's last 5 games at home
UTSA is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

3:30 PM
OHIO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Ohio is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ohio
Central Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TCU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
TCU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games

3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Mississippi is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Alabama
Mississippi is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama

3:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. CLEMSON
North Carolina State is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
North Carolina State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Clemson is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina State

3:30 PM
WISCONSIN vs. NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing Northwestern
Wisconsin is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northwestern
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
Northwestern is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. FLORIDA STATE
Wake Forest is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Wake Forest's last 13 games on the road
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest

TBA
ARIZONA STATE vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Arizona State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Southern Cal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona State
Southern Cal is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Arizona State

4:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. GEORGIA
Vanderbilt is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 7 games when playing Vanderbilt
Georgia is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Vanderbilt

4:00 PM
KANSAS vs. WEST VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games
Kansas is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
West Virginia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games at home

4:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games on the road
Oregon State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Colorado is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games

5:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Kent State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Kent State is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Northern Illinois is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Northern Illinois is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

6:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 5 games
South Alabama is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Appalachian State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Appalachian State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Georgia State is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

7:00 PM
UAB vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
UAB is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
UAB is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Western Kentucky is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Western Kentucky is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
IDAHO vs. TEXAS STATE
Idaho is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Idaho is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe

7:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Texas El Paso is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Texas El Paso is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Louisiana Tech's last 17 games

7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. RUTGERS
Michigan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Michigan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Rutgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 6 games
Toledo is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Western Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toledo
Western Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toledo

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CINCINNATI
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas Tech's last 13 games
Texas Tech is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas State's last 9 games
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
HAWAII vs. RICE
Hawaii is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Rice
Hawaii is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rice
Rice is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
LSU vs. AUBURN
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 7 games when playing on the road against Auburn
LSU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Auburn's last 14 games when playing LSU
Auburn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing LSU

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. GEORGIA TECH
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

7:30 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. KENTUCKY
South Carolina is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Kentucky is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. VIRGINIA
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 18 games on the road
Virginia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
Virginia is 7-12-3 ATS in its last 22 games at home

8:00 PM
GA SOUTHERN vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Ga Southern is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
Ga Southern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
New Mexico State is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games

8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games at home
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
UNLV vs. SAN JOSE STATE
UNLV is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV's last 6 games
San Jose State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
San Jose State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

10:30 PM
BOISE STATE vs. NEVADA
Boise State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nevada
Boise State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Nevada
Nevada is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Boise State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games when playing Boise State

10:30 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington State
California is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington State's last 8 games at home
Washington State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

**StarDust Bum** · 10-01-2014, 07:33 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 2

Ducks causing headaches for spread bettors at home

The Oregon Ducks have not been a good play against the spread at home, covering in just one of their previous five games at Autzen Stadium.

No. 4 ranked Oregon will try and buck that trend Thursday when they host the Arizona Wildcats in Week 7 college football action.

The Ducks are presently 23.5-point home faves for the matchup.

Dogs prevailing between FIU-Florida Atlantic

When Florida International and Florida Atlantic have gotten together recently, the underdog has prevailed for bettors in the Sunshine State showdown.

Dogs have gone 4-1 against the spread in the last five games between the Golden Panthers and the Owls.

That's a trend that favors Florida International, as they're currently listed as 6.5-point home dogs for the clash.

UCF-Houston have history of going Over the total

Central Florida and Houston will meet in Week 6 college football action Thursday evening, and based off of recent matchups between the two schools, bettors need to be aware of their high-scoring history.

In the teams' last five meetings, the Over is 4-1.

Houston is currently 3-point home faves for the contest.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-01-2014, 07:40 PM

Tech Trends - Week 6

October 1, 2014

Thursday, October

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

FAU at FIU
FIU has covered last three in Shula Bowl, but FAU has covered 20 of its last 26 on board and is 7-2 vs. spread last nine away.

FAU, based on team trends.

UCF at HOUSTON
UCF was 4-0 as dog LY but 0-1 in role in 2014. Cougs 13-6 as home chalk since 2011 (1-1 TY).

Slight to UH, based on extended home chalk marks.

ARIZONA at OREGON
Revenge for Ducks after losing 42-16 at Tucson LY. Ducks had won and covered previous two meetings by 105-31 combined score. Oregon only 2-8 vs. line last ten reg.-season games. But Rodriguez only 2-7 vs. spread last nine in reg. season and 0-3 as road dog LY.

Slight to UA, based on team trends.

Friday, October 3

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE
Cards just 4-6-1 as visiting chalk since 2012.

Slight to Cuse, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at FRESNO STATE
FSU now 6-12-1 last 18 on board since late 2012. SDSU 8-4 vs. spread last 12 away from Qualcomm.

SDSU, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at BYU
Ags had covered five straight in series prior to LY's 31-14 loss at Logan . Cougs no covers first two at home TY after 14-8 mark in role previous four seasons. Utags no covers first four on board TY, and just 1-5 as dog for Matt Wells.

Slight to BYU, based on recent trends

Saturday, October

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

VANDERBILT at GEORGIA
Dores slaughtered last two in Athens (91-3 combined score). Richt has now won and covered big last three as home chalk after dropping 8 of previous 12 in role.

Georgia, based on team trends.

WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE
Noles now 0-4 vs. line TY, Wake has covered last three for Clawson. But Noles have won last two vs. Deacs by combined 111-3 score. FSU 4-1 vs. line last five years in series after losing three straight to Grobe 2006-08.

Slight to FSU, based on recent series trends.

MIAMI-FLA. At GEORGIA TECH
This has been a bad matchup lately for GT, which has lost and failed to cover last five years vs. Canes. Jackets 0-2 as home chalk TY.

Miami, based on series trends.

NORTH TEXAS at INDIANA
UNT 13-5 last 18 vs. number, and 7-3 last 10 vs. spread away from Denton. Even after Mizzou win, IU just 6-13 vs. spread last 19 on board, and 3-7 last 10 as home chalk.

UNT, based on team trends.

PURDUE at ILLINOIS
Last three decided by 7 or fewer, and home team has covered each. But Illini 1-2 as home chalk TY and Beckman 4-7 laying points since 2012. Hazell 6-10 vs. line since LY but has split six spread decisions as dog away from home.

Slight to Purdue, based on Illini Beckman chalk woes.

OHIO STATE at MARYLAND
Bucks just 3-6 last 9 on board since late 2013 (though 2-1 TY). Meyer 5-4 as road chalk with Buckeyes. Edsall 6-4 vs. line last 10 at College Park, 6-3 last 8 as dog.

Maryland, based on team trends.

SMU at EAST CAROLINA
Ponies 0-4 SU and vs. line in terrible 2014 break from gate. Ruffin McNeill has covered five straight and 8 of last 9 since late LY, and ECU 8-4 last 12 as home chalk.

ECU, based on recent trends.

MEMPHIS at CINCINNATI
Tigers 3-1 vs. line early in 2014. Justin Fuente also 5-2 last seven as road dog.

Memphis, based on recent trends.

PITT at VIRGINIA
Cavs 5-0 vs. line in 2014, including 4-0 at home. Pitt 1-5 vs. spread as visitor since 2013.

Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.

OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Solich 1-5 vs. spread last six away from Athens, and 3-11 last 14 vs. number away from Peden Stadium.

Slight to CMU, based on recent Solich road woes.

KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA
Revenge for WVU after losing to Weis LY. Weis just 10-18 vs. line since 2012 with KU, 4-8 as road dog. Mounties 3-1 vs. line TY for Holgorsen.

WVU, based on KU negatives.

TOLEDO at WESTERN MICHIGAN
Broncs surprising 4-0 vs. line in early 2014. Rockets, however, have won and covered big last two vs. WMU, which was 0-4 as home dog in 2013.

Slight to Toledo, based on recent series trends.

MARSHALL at OLD DOMINION
Herd 2-6 last eight as visiting chalk since LY but did win and cover handily at Akron last chance in role. Herd 12-6 last 18 on board.

Marshall, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA
UNC no covers first four TY but Beamer 13-30-2 vs. number since late 2010. If Beamer chalk note 0-6 mark laying points as visitor since 2012. Fedora was 10-4 vs. line at Chapel Hill past two seasons .

UNC, based on extended trends.

KENT STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Flashes no covers first four in 2014, now 5-11 vs. line for Paul Haynes since LY (2-2 as DD dog).

NIU, based on Kent State negatives.

WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN
Pat Fitz 2-12 last 14 on board dating to mid 2013 but off rousing Penn State win. Cats 2-5 last seven as Evanston dog. Badgers 11-6 vs. line for Gary Andersen, whose Utag and Badger teams are 21-9 vs. line since 2012.

Wisconsin, based on team trends.

UMASS at MIAMI-OHIO
RedHawks have lost 21 in a row SU so tough tech argument to make for Miami, though a bit better 4-5-1 vs. line last 10 at Oxford. Mass only 1-16 SU its last 16 and 5-10 as visiting dog since 2012 (1-1 TY).

Slight to Miami, based on Mass negatives.

SOUTH ALABAMA at APP STATE
USA 8-2 vs. spread last eight on road and 12-5 last 17 vs. number away from Mobile.

USA, based on road marks.

SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY
Spurrier only 1-4 vs. line early in 2014, and SC 1-4-1 last six as visiting chalk. UK 3-1-1 vs. spread last five in series.

Kentucky, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at ARMY
Ball has won last three and covered last four in series. Lembo 9-3 vs. line last 12 as visitor.

Ball, based on series trends.

BUFFALO at BOWLING GREEN
BGSU has won and covered last three meetings, and Falcs now 13-6 last 19 vs. points at home (2-0 TY for Dino).

BGSU, based on series and team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON
EMU 1-3 vs. line TY, now 7-21 vs. spread since 2012, 4-12 last 16 as road dog.

Akron, based on EMU negatives.

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE
TT now 1-8 vs. line last nine reg.-season games after OSU cover. Snyder has won and covered last three years vs. Red Raiders and is 28-14 vs. spread since 2011.

K-State, based on team and series trends.

HAWAII at RICE
In WAC days, the Kenny Hatfield Owls covered all six meetings from 1999-2004. Rice 15-9-1 last 25 vs. spread at home, Hawaii 5-7 last 12 vs. line on mainland for Norm Chow.

Rice, based on team trends.

TULSA at COLORADO STATE
Tulsa 0-4 vs. line as road dog since 2013. CSU on 16-5 spread run since mid 2012 and 7-2 last 9 as Fort Collins chalk.

CSU, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE
GSU 5-1 as road dog since 2013, ULL 1-8 vs. line last nine reg.-season games.

GSU, based on team trends.

STANFORD at NOTRE DAME
If Shaw is a dog note 5-0-1 spread mark in role since 2011. Tree 16-6 vs. spread as visitor since 2010.

Stanford, especially if dog, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at SOUTHERN CAL
ASU put 62 on SC in 2013, tying most-ever points allowed by Trojans (which was 62 previous year vs. Oregon). Graham ran up 53-24 score on Sark's UW last year, too. But Sun Devils just 1-6 as dog under Graham, and Trojans 10-6 as Coliseum chalk since 2011.

SC, based on team trends.

LSU at AUBURN
Auburn has covered the last two meetings at Jordan-Hare, and Malzahn 13-2 last 15 vs. spread. Les Miles 4-2 last six as dog.

Auburn, based on team trends.

NAVY at AIR FORCE
Mids 10-1 SU, 9-1-1 last 11 vs. line in series. Navy 7-2 vs. spread last nine away from Annapolis and 12-6 overall vs. number since 2013. Force 1-4 as home dog since LY.

Navy, based on series trends.

OKLAHOMA at TCU...
TCU had been 5-12 vs. line as host past three seasons before opening two wins TY. OU has now covered five straight away from Norman.

OU, based on recent Sooner road mark.

FLORIDA at TENNESSEE
If Vols chalk note 3-9 mark at home in role since 2012 (2-4 for Butch). But Muschamp 2-5 vs. line last seven away from home.

UT, based on recent Gator road mark.

BAYLOR at TEXAS
Briles 29-13 overall vs. line since 2011. Bears just 5-10 vs. mark as visitor that span, but have covered last 4 vs. Texas. Charlie Strong teams 9-1 as dog since 2011.

Baylor, based on team and series trends.

IOWA STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE
OSU has won and covered handily the past two seasons vs. ISU since the big Cyclone upset in 2011. Cowboys 1-2 as home chalk TY after Texas Tech but were 23-9 in role since 2008 in role entering this season.

OSU, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at OLE MISS
Road team had covered five straight in series prior to LY's Bama 25-0 win. Hugh Freeze 7-4 as dog with Rebs and he is now 31-11 vs. spread since 2011 with Ark State and Rebs. Nick just 1-5 last six as chalk away from home.

Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze marks.

TEXAS A&M at MISSISSIPPI STATE
Bulldogs now 8-1 vs. line last 9 on board since late 2013. MSU 14-8 vs. line at Starkville since 2011. Ags were 0-4 vs. spread as visitor in 2013.

MSU, based on recent trends.

UTAH at UCLA
Bruins 0-1 vs. line at home TY but 41-22 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since early 2004.

UCLA, based on extended home trends.

UTEP at LA TECH
Skip 4-1 v. line in 2014. UTEP lost at home to Skip LY and is 0-7 as visiting dog since 2013.

La Tech, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at MTSU
USM 4-11 as road dog since 2012 (3-6 for Monken since LY). MTSU now 4-1 vs. line TY after ODU win and 8-4 since 2012 vs. line at Murfreesboro.

MTSU, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at COLORADO
OSU 1-3 as visiting chalk since since 2012. CU 6-2 vs. spread at Boulder since LY for MacIntyre (2-0 TY).

Slight to Colorado, based on team trends.

CAL at WASHINGTON STATE
Cougs had lost 8 in a row SU vs. Bears prior to 44-22 win LY at Berkeley. Wazzu 4-0 as Pullman chalk since 2013. Leach 13-6 last 19 on board since late 2012.

Slight to WSU, based on team trends.

IDAHO at TEXAS STATE
Vandals have covered first two away TY (road team 4-0 vs. spread in Idaho games TY).

Slight to Idaho, based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN at RUTGERS
Rutgers 3-6 last 9 as chalk. But Brady Hoke 2-5 as road dog since 2012, 3-7-1 as dog same span.

Rutgers, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO at UTSA
Davie 0-4 vs. line TY after Fresno loss and now 7-14 against line last 21 on board since mid 2012. Lobos, however, were 4-2 as road dog LY.

UTSA, based on team trends.

ULM at ARKANSAS STATE
Ark State has won and covered last four meetings.

Ark State, based on series trends.

NC STATE at CLEMSON
Pack has covered last four meetings though won only one of those outright. Clemson, however, 6-2 last eight as ACC home chalk. Pack has covered last three on board after dropping seven straight vs. line for Doeren.

NCS, based on series trends.

UAB at WESTERN KENTUCKY
Blazers 1-5 as away dog LY but 1-0 in role for new HC Clark in 2014.

WKU, based on extended team trends.

NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN STATE
Road team has won and covered last two years in series. Bo Pelini 3-1 as dog LY and has covered 5 of last six away from Lincoln.

Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at NEW MEXICO STATE
GSU a revelation now 5-0 vs. line this season after App State win!

GSU, based on current trends.

UNLV at SAN JOSE STATE
Rebs now 8-21 vs. spread away since late 2009.

SJSU, based on UNLV road woes.

BOISE STATE at NEVADA
Nevada has covered last five and 6 of last 7 vs. Boise. Pack has also covered last four and five of last six as dog since late 2013, and 6-1 as home dog since 2010.

Slight to Nevada, based on series trends.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-02-2014, 12:40 AM

CFB > (365) GEORGIA ST@ (366) LA LAFAYETTE | 10/04/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play AGAINST LA LAFAYETTE using the money line in all lined games
The record is 5 Wins and 6 Losses for the last two seasons (-23.1 units)

CFB > (327) SMU@ (328) E CAROLINA | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play AGAINST SMU using the money line when playing on a Saturday
The record is 3 Wins and 6 Losses for the last three seasons (-18.55 units)

CFB > (353) BALL ST@ (354) ARMY | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play ON BALL ST using the money line in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56
The record is 9 Wins and 4 Losses for the since 1992 (+18.4 units)

CFB > (315) VANDERBILT@ (316) GEORGIA | 10/04/2014 - 04:00 PM

Play AGAINST VANDERBILT using the money line in weeks 5 through 9
The record is 19 Wins and 61 Losses for the since 1992 (-53.25 units)

CFB > (391) SOUTHERN MISS@ (392) MIDDLE TENN ST | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play AGAINST SOUTHERN MISS using the money line when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 3 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (-17.3 units)

CFB > (407) UAB@ (408) W KENTUCKY | 10/04/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play AGAINST UAB using the money line in all lined games
The record is 61 Wins and 92 Losses for the since 1992 (-96.05 units)

CFB > (337) TOLEDO@ (338) W MICHIGAN | 10/04/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play AGAINST W MICHIGAN using the money line against conference opponents
The record is 1 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (-12.5 units)

CFB > (319) MIAMI@ (320) GEORGIA TECH | 10/04/2014 - 07:30 PM

Play AGAINST GEORGIA TECH using the money line when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
The record is 13 Wins and 20 Losses for the since 1992 (-32.1 units)

CFB > (323) PURDUE@ (324) ILLINOIS | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play AGAINST ILLINOIS in the first half against conference opponents
The record is 0 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (-9.9 units)

CFB > (363) TULSA@ (364) COLORADO ST | 10/04/2014 - 03:00 PM

Play AGAINST TULSA in the first half versus the first half line in all games
The record is 2 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (-13.4 units)

CFB > (309) LOUISVILLE@ (310) SYRACUSE | 10/03/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play UNDER LOUISVILLE on the total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.8 units)

CFB > (335) KANSAS@ (336) W VIRGINIA | 10/04/2014 - 04:00 PM

Play ON W VIRGINIA in the first half when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
The record is 16 Wins and 2 Losses for the since 1992 (+13.8 units)

CFB > (311) SAN DIEGO ST@ (312) FRESNO ST | 10/03/2014 - 10:00 PM

Play ON FRESNO ST in the first half against conference opponents
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses for the last three seasons (+9 units)

CFB > (383) ALABAMA@ (384) OLE MISS | 10/04/2014 - 03:30 PM

Play ON ALABAMA in the first half in weeks 5 through 9
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses for the last three seasons (+9 units)

CFB > (327) SMU@ (328) E CAROLINA | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play ON E CAROLINA in the first half in games played on a grass field
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+9.9 units)

CFB > (415) BOISE ST@ (416) NEVADA | 10/04/2014 - 10:30 PM

Play UNDER NEVADA on the total in games played on turf
The record is 1 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.9 units)

CFB > (411) GA SOUTHERN@ (412) NEW MEXICO ST | 10/04/2014 - 08:00 PM

Play OVER NEW MEXICO ST on the total as an underdog
The record is 13 Overs and 2 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)

CFB > (349) S ALABAMA@ (350) APPALACHIAN ST | 10/04/2014 - 06:00 PM

Play UNDER S ALABAMA on the total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders for the last two seasons (+8 units)

CFB > (357) E MICHIGAN@ (358) AKRON | 10/04/2014 - 02:00 PM

Play OVER E MICHIGAN on the total after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+8 units)

CFB > (361) HAWAII@ (362) RICE | 10/04/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play AGAINST HAWAII in the first half when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
The record is 3 Wins and 17 Losses for the since 1992 (-15.7 units)

CFB > (327) SMU@ (328) E CAROLINA | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play UNDER SMU on the total in October games
The record is 4 Overs and 19 Unders for the since 1992 (+14.6 units)

CFB > (371) LSU@ (372) AUBURN | 10/04/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play ON AUBURN using the against the spread when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)

CFB > (327) SMU@ (328) E CAROLINA | 10/04/2014 - 12:00 PM

Play ON E CAROLINA using the against the spread in games played on a grass field
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)

CFB > (303) FLA ATLANTIC@ (304) FLA INTERNATIONAL | 10/02/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play ON FLA ATLANTIC using the against the spread when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 15 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.7 units)

CFB > (379) BAYLOR@ (380) TEXAS | 10/04/2014 - 03:30 PM

Play ON BAYLOR using the against the spread in games played on turf
The record is 19 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+13.5 units)

CFB > (361) HAWAII@ (362) RICE | 10/04/2014 - 07:00 PM

Play AGAINST HAWAII using the against the spread after a bye week
The record is 4 Wins and 18 Losses for the since 1992 (-15.8 units)

CFB > (373) NAVY@ (374) AIR FORCE | 10/04/2014 - 03:30 PM

Play ON NAVY using the against the spread when playing on a Saturday
The record is 87 Wins and 42 Losses for the since 1992 (+40.8 units)

CFB > (409) NEBRASKA@ (410) MICHIGAN ST | 10/04/2014 - 08:00 PM

Play AGAINST MICHIGAN ST using the against the spread in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63
The record is 2 Wins and 13 Losses for the since 1992 (-12.3 units)

CFB > (383) ALABAMA@ (384) OLE MISS | 10/04/2014 - 03:30 PM

Play ON OLE MISS using the against the spread in games played on turf
The record is 18 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+12.5 units)

**StarDust Bum** · 10-02-2014, 01:28 PM

Big Ten Report - Week 6

October 2, 2014

Game of the Week

Michigan State (-7) vs. Nebraska – 8:00 PM EST
Michigan State is still regarded as the best team in the conference, but Nebraska is the last remaining undefeated team. So this game should determine a lot. This game also has the potential to provide a preview of the Big Ten title game; a lot is on the line here. Nebraska is led by star RB Ameer Abdullah, who has rushed for over 200 yards in each of the last two games and ranks 1st in the nation in rushing yards. The Huskers are 8th in total YPG, 3rd in rush YPG, and 7th in PPG. QB Armstrong Jr. has performed admirably through the first five games and while has been a nice complement to Abdullah (10 TD & 3 INT), his 53.9% completions is a bit concerning and he has yet to face a defense on par with Michigan State. Armstrong, Abdullah, and Co. won’t get any easy yards against this MSU defense that ranks 5th against the run and 11th overall.

After losing at Oregon on September 6th, the Spartans have won back-to-back games by a combined score of 129-28. We didn't find out anything new about the Spartans in the two most recent blowouts except that they were able to develop some more depth as backups saw most of the action in the 2nd half of both games. MSU won the most recent meeting, 41-28 last November in Lincoln, but Nebraska's offense was able to move the ball quite well against MSU. The Huskers outgained the Spartans (392-361) and had more first downs despite having 17-fewer minutes TOP. If it wasn't for a -5 TO margin in the game, the Huskers may have come out on top. Nebraska is 5-1 SU & ATS in the last six meetings with Michigan State dating back to 1995 – including 2-1 SU & ATS in the first three years as a member of the B1G conference. MSU is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 games overall and 5-0 ATS in the last five home games. Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in the last six games and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 road games.

Best of the Rest

Ohio State (-7.5) @ Maryland – Saturday, 12:00 PM EST
There were a couple of hiccups for the Buckeyes last week against - allowed 19-yard, 60-yard, 83-yard TD passes in the 1st half - but OSU weathered all that with an unstoppable offensive performance en route to a 50-28 victory over a pesky Cincinnati team. OSU gained an astonishing 710 total yards yards and 45 first downs and controlled the ball for 41 minutes, not allowing a solid Cincy offense to get back into the game. After a couple of bad games against Navy and Virginia Tech, freshman QB J.T. Barrett has bounced back to throw for 642 yards and 10 TD on 72% completions in the last two games. It helps that he's been able to lean on the rushing attack that notched 284 yards and 380 yards in back-to-back wins, but he looks natural and comfortable in Urban Meyer's offensive scheme just in time for Big Ten play to start. The defense remains a bit of a concern, mostly in the secondary as OSU allowed Cincy's QB Kiel to complete 21-of-32 passes for 352 yards and 4 scores.

OSU will have to shore up its defensive issues as the Bucks now travel to Maryland for the Terps' first home game as a member of the B1G. The Terrapins made themselves right at home in their Big Ten debut at Indiana last week as they throttled the Hoosiers. QB's C.J. Brown & Caleb Rowe combined to throw for 361 yards, 3 TD, and 0 INT on 22-of-33 passing. Brown, the starter, was injured in the win and his status for Saturday's game is still unclear. Rowe stepped in last year when Brown was injured and started three games games for the Terps. Maryland would much rather have Brown under center, but Rowe isn't a terrible 2nd option. Defensively it was a promising performance for a struggling unit as the Terps held Indiana out of the end zone until mid-4th quarter. IU's rushing attack had a solid day (206 yards on 4.4 YPC) but QB Sudfeld was just 14-of-37 passing for 126 yards (0 TD, 1 INT). This unit that surrenders 200.6 rush YPG (102nd nationally) will need to play better against this OSU rush offense if the Terps want any shot at the upset. OSU is 28-11-1 ATS in its last 40 road games and 22-9-1 ATS in its last 32 as a road favorite. Maryland is 6-14 ATS in the last 20 home games and 3-6 ATS in the last nine as a home underdog.

Wisconsin (-7.5) @ Northwestern – Saturday, 3:30 PM EST
We know about the Badgers’ high-powered rushing attack, but it might be time to start paying attention to their defense. Wisconsin now ranks 8th against the run, 19th against the pass, 7th in total yards allowed, and 11th in points allowed. They've held the last three opponents to 30 combined points and 73 rush YPG. If the defense continues to play like that, it will keep Wisconsin in most games even if the offense sputters like it did on Saturday. The Badgers were able to put just three points on the board by halftime against South Florida. They got going in the 2nd half, scoring 24 points en route to a 17-point victory. Melvin Gordon and this offense continues to pile up the rushing yards. Wisconsin has outrushed its last two opponents by 773 yards and Gordon has 434 rush yards and 7 TD on 9.6 YPC in the last two games. Credit the Bulls for not allowing athletic Badger QB McEvoy to escape the pocket and making him throw the ball - which he has not done with great success so far this season. McEvoy finished with just 23 rush yards and completed just 11-of-18 passes for 160 yards. He doesn't have to be spectacular in this offense, but the Badgers would like to see him make a few more plays.

The Badgers take their first conference road trip in a trip to Evanston to take on Northwestern this Saturday. The Wildcats looked so sluggish in their first three games before an absolutely dominating performance against Penn State last week. Northwestern’s defense allowed PSU to gain just 266 yards, achieve 14 first downs, and put 6 points on the board. They held the Nittany Lions out of the end zone by limiting the rushing attack to just 50 yards on 25 carries and by shutting down dynamic QB Hackenberg (22-of-45 for 216 yards with 0 TD and 1 INT). The Wildcats weren’t explosive on offense (103 rush yards on 2.7 YPC) but QB Siemian managed the game well (21-of-37 for 258 yards) and the defense was opportunistic (INT return for TD). It was the type of performance that might get the Wildcats officially out of their slump. Wisconsin has won and covered the last two meetings by a combined score of 105-29, but has historically struggled against the Wildcats with just a 4-9 ATS record in the last 13 meetings. Last year Wisconsin had +286 yards and +14 first downs in the 29-point win. The Badgers have dropped three straight games to Northwestern in Evanston, losing all three times as a favorite.

Rutgers (-3) vs. Michigan – Saturday, 7:00 PM EST
The Rutgers easily took care of business against an overmatched Tulane team last week, winning 31-6. It was a promising sign that the running game notched 171 yards on 4.3 YPC without star RB Paul James, who was lost for the season with a knee injury last week. QB Nova also stepped up with 291 pass yards and 4 TD on just 14 completions. Nova will have to continue to improve and lead this team through the air because, while the rushing attack was solid against Tulane, yards won't come as easy against Michigan this week and the rest of the B1G moving forward. Defensively, the Scarlet Knights allowed just 304 yards - 86 of which came on one long TD run in the 2nd quarter - and 13 first downs to Tulane. Up next the Scarlet Knights aim for their first B1G victory against the reeling Michigan Wolverines.

Michigan is 1-3 in the last four games, beating only winless Miami OH. The Wolverines have 13 turnovers in those four games and have been outscored by an average of 29-8 in the three losses to Notre Dame, Utah, and Minnesota. Backup QB Shane Morris got the call last week in place of Devin Gardner. Morris was just 7-of-19 for 49 yards with an INT. He got injured in the game and Michigan will make the move back to Gardner. It's a shame that Michigan's offense is so lackluster, because the defense has been playing well. The Wolverines rank 22nd against both the pass & the rush and 9th in overall defense. None of that will matter going forward if the Wolverines can't get consistent play from the quarterback position. Head coach Brady Hoke's seat can't get much hotter, and it'll be interesting how he gets the team to respond to all the negatively surrounding the program. Michigan is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games as an underdog. Rutgers is just 2-6 ATS in the last eight games as a home favorite.

Illinois (-10) vs. Purdue – Saturday, 12:00 PM EST
Without QB Lunt leading the way against Nebraska last week, the Illini stood no chance at the upset. Backup QB O'Toole completed just 17-of-38 passes for 261 yards with 1 TD and 3 INT. His inaccuracy and Illinois' inability to run the football (78 yards on 24 carries) repeatedly stalled drives and allowed the Huskers to control the TOP (+20 minutes). Illinois' defense allowed Nebraska to rush for 458 yards on 70 carries (6.5 YPC) with 5 rush TD. We knew Illinois wasn't a very strong team after narrow wins over FCS Youngstown State (28-17), Western Kentucky (42-34), and Texas State (42-35); but the arm of Wes Lunt always made them competitive. Without Lunt, the Illini become one of the bottom-feeders of the B1G.

Luckily for them, Lunt will return this weekend as the Illini host Purdue. He has 1,237 pass yards, 11 TD, and just 3 INT through four games this season. Purdue coach Hazell doesn't know where to turn at quarterback as both Danny Etling (54.9%, 6 TD, 5 INT) and Austin Appleby (39.1%, 1 TD, 1 INT) have struggled so far this season. Both struggled in the loss last week as Purdue managed just 156 total yards and 9 first downs against Iowa. The defense played well and kept the Boilers down just seven points late in the 4th quarter, but it's not going to matter how good the defense performs if the offense keeps putting up numbers like that. Offensively Purdue now ranks 95th in rush YPG, 97th in PPG, 107th in pass YPG, and 117th in total YPG. The Boilers are 7-2 SU in the last 9 meetings with Illinois, including 3-1 SU the last four trips to Champaign. Illinois won the meeting last year, 20-16, in a rather ugly game. The Illini are 6-3 ATS in the last 9 games as a Big Ten favorite of 10 points or more. Purdue is 3-6 ATS in the last nine as a Big Ten underdog of 10 points or more.

Indiana (-13.5) vs. North Texas – Saturday, 2:30 PM EST
Indiana followed up its promising road win over SEC Missouri with a blowout loss at home to Maryland. An offense that looked so good in the first three games sputtered to just 15 points, with the lone offensive touchdown coming when the game was already decided. QB Sudfeld had one of his worst games as he completed just 14-of-37 passes for 126 yards with an INT. Defensively this is still a major work in progress. They allowed Maryland QB's Brown & Rowe to throw for 361 yards, 3 TD, and 0 INT on 22-of-33 passing. The Hoosiers have now allowed 36.3 PPG to its three FBS opponents and rank 90th in YPG allowed. It appears that the only reliable Hoosier these days is RB Tevin Coleman, who has rushed for 120+ yards in each game this season and has reached the end zone seven times.

Indiana closes up non-conference play this weekend as North Texas visits Bloomington. North Texas is 2-2 this season, with the two wins coming against hapless SMU & FCS Nicholls State. UNT's two losses were to Texas and Louisiana Tech by a combined score of 28-80. Despite the fact that UNT put up 77 points last week, this remains one of the poorer offensive teams in the nation. The Mean Green are 123rd in pass yards and 115th in total yards. Yes, they put up 77 points last week, but three of the scores were from defense/special teams. Since 2010, North Texas is 6-0 ATS against Power Five conference teams, including covers against four teams ranked in the top 15. The only prior meeting with Indiana came in 2011, a 24-21 win. UNT is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games as a double-digit underdog. Indiana is 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a double-digit favorite.

Minnesota – Bye Week
Minnesota ended a six-game losing streak against Michigan to claim the Little Brown Jug. The Gophers have a solid formula to make life miserable for opponents, leaning on a powerful rushing attack and a stout defense. They simply wore down Michigan to the tune of 206 rush yards on 47 carries while controlling the clock for +9 minutes TOP. Defensively the Gophers held Michigan to just 171 total yards, including 83 rush yards on 28 carries (3.0 YPC). QB Mitch Leidner wasn't spectacular (14-of-22 for 167 yards and 1 TD), but he managed the game well and didn't make any mistakes. They earned their bye week, and now have four manageable games coming up (vs. Northwestern, vs. Purdue, @Illinois, vs. Iowa) that could conceivably put this Minnesota team at 8-1 heading into a home showdown with Ohio State on November 15th.

Iowa – Bye Week
In classic Iowa Hawkeye football fashion, they got the win at Purdue, but it sure wasn't pretty. Iowa had a +264 yard advantage and +13 first downs, but didn't take the lead until late in the 3rd quarter. They didn't put the nail in the coffin until 5:10 remaining in the 4th. Iowa rushed for 175 yards but on just 3.4 YPC while QB Beathard wasn't very efficient against Purdue's defense (17-for-37 for 245 yards). Coach Ferentz has stated that he won't make a decision on who starts at QB in the next game until next week, but indicated that when the Hawkeyes return to action on Oct. 11 against Indiana, they plan on playing more than one guy under center. Beathard didn't seize the job against Purdue and Rudock is the more proven option. With little rushing success to speak of, the QB play will have to get better going further into conference play. Next up is a home game against Indiana.

Penn State – Bye Week
No team needs the bye week more than the Nittany Lions after last week's performance against Northwestern. In one of the more surprising outcomes of the week, a struggling Northwestern squad completely dominated the previously undefeated Nittany Lions. The Wildcats held PSU to just 50 rush yards on 2.0 YPC and 14 first downs. And unlike previous contests where QB Hackenberg bailed out a struggling PSU offense, he was inefficient and unproductive against Northwestern. He completed just 22-of-45 passes for 216 yards with 0 TD and 1 INT as PSU failed to reach the end zone. The defense remains elite, but unless this offensive line starts opening up holes for the running game and creating some more time in the pocket for Hackenberg, this offense is going to struggle. The Nittany Lions travel to Michigan in their next game on October 11th.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-02-2014, 01:31 PM

Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Marshall Thundering Herd (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

This week: -17.5 at Old Dominion

Old Dominion head coach Bobby Wilder said it was “disheartening” to watch the film of Marshall’s 48-17 blowout of Akron and he added that the Thundering Herd are “the best team we’ve ever played.” They have certainly been incredible through four games (all victories) this season. Marshall is averaging 45.5 points and 596.8 yards and doing it with a balanced attack (approximately 310 passing, 286 rushing) that Wilder called “really impressive.”

Juniors Devon Johnson, Remi Watson, and Steward Butler - “Thunder and Lightning” as they call themselves - have combined for 899 yards and eight touchdowns while taking advantage of defenses that are spread out by the threat of QB Rakeem Cato and Marshall’s vaunted passing attack.

While the Thundering Herd have the benefit of coming off a bye week, Old Dominion not only played but also got banged up in a loss to Middle Tennessee last Friday. Center Josh Mann may be good to go but will likely be less than 100 percent after spraining an ankle. The Monarchs lost three offensive line starters to graduation to begin with and are also without injured starters Troy Butler and Ely Anderson.

Team to beware: Idaho Vandals (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS)

This week: +17.5 at Texas State

Idaho is 0-4 (1-3 ATS) this season and 1-8 ATS in its last nine overall. Things appeared to go from bad to worse for the Vandals against South Alabama last week. Head coach Paul Petrino implemented a carousel of four running backs in attempt to turn his offense around.

Jerrel Brown started but rotated with Elijhaa Penny, Aaron Duckworth, and Kris Olugbode. The result was a team total of 33 rushes for 30 yards. Idaho also surrendered seven sacks to seven different Jaguars in its 34-10 loss.

On the injury front, guard Jordan Rose has missed two straight games with a leg injury. Safety Jordan Grabski was sidelined against South Alabama due to an ankle issue. Wide receiver David Ungerer ended the most recent contest wrapped in ice with an apparent shoulder problem.

Total team: Utah State Aggies (2-2 SU, 2-2 O/U)

This week: 53 at BYU

Brigham Young is preparing for two different Utah State quarterbacks, but the Cougars are likely to go up against just one. The status of normal Aggie starter Chuckie Keeton has already caused plenty of controversy this week. Keeton, who suffered a torn ACL against BYU last year, sustained an injury to the same knee against Wake Forest on Sept. 13.

Cougars defensive lineman Remington Peck said on Monday that he learned Keeton is going to be medically redshirted, something that Utah State head coach Matt Wells promptly denied. Replacement Darell Garretson has been picked off in each of his two games for the Aggies and has completed just 38 of 62 passes, but he has tossed three touchdowns.

The Under is 7-2 in Utah State’s last nine overall, 5-0 in the team’s last five road game, 5-2 in BYU’s last seven overall, and 7-0 in the last seven meetings between the two.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-02-2014, 01:32 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Arizona at Oregon
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 76)

Two of the final three undefeated Pac-12 teams meet Thursday as Arizona visits fourth-ranked Oregon, which is looking to avenge last season’s 42-16 loss. Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota, who threw two interceptions in last season’s defeat, leads the Heisman Trophy race with 13 touchdowns and no interceptions while completing 74 percent of his passes through four games. Mariota should thrive against the Pac-12’s second-worst passing efficiency defense, but Arizona’s explosive offense has the weapons to keep pace.

Both teams are playing for the first time since Sept. 20, when the Wildcats used a Hail Mary pass from Anu Solomon to Austin Hill on the final play of the game to record a 49-45 win over California. Mariota was sacked seven times in the Ducks’ 38-31 triumph at Washington State, but he passed for 329 yards and five touchdowns - including the game-winner with less than six minutes remaining. Arizona, which snapped its five-game losing streak against Oregon last season, has won three of its four contests this year by seven points or fewer.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Ducks as 22.5-point faves but that is now -23.5. The total opened at76.

INJURY REPORT: Arizona - DL Jeffrey Worthy (Questionable, concussion), WR Samajie Grant (Questionable, concussion).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s under clear skies. Wind will blow across the field at 4 mph.

ABOUT ARIZONA (4-0 SU 1-0 Pac-12, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Solomon, a redshirt freshman, overcame a slow start and completed 47-of-73 passes for a school-record 520 yards and five touchdowns against California. Wide receiver Cayleb Jones is an emerging star for the Wildcats’ offense, which averages 405 yards and features freshman Nick Wilson - who ranks second in the Pac-12 in rushing yards (482) and yards per game (120). The defense allowed 573 yards against California, but linebacker Scooby Wright III has been a bright spot as he leads the Pac-12 with 12.8 tackles per game.

ABOUT OREGON (4-0 SU 1-0 Pac-12, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): The bye week came at an opportune time for Oregon, which needed the extra rest to improve an offensive line that lost tackles Tyler Johnstone, Andre Yruretagoyena and Jake Fisher to leg injuries early in the season. The Ducks’ defense allowed 436 passing yards against Washington State and will be tested again by the Wildcats, who are hoping to repeat last year’s effort as they were 6-for-6 inside the red zone. “It’s a new year, and new teams, and I feel like both teams are better,” receiver Keanon Lowe told goducks.com. “That being said, we remember vividly that feeling of going in Arizona and getting our butt whooped.”

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Ducks are 0-5 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Under is 4-0 in Ducks last four Thursday games.
* Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 50.17 percent of bettors are backing the visiting Wildcats.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-02-2014, 03:25 PM

HISTOR
ICALLY SPEAKING
All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:
Some pointspreads have been estimated and may not be accurate by game time
DD=double-digit, R=road, H=home, F=favorite, D=dog, L=last, S/U=straight-up
NCAA TRENDS (Trends current through September 27, 2014):

Florida Atlantic is 6-2 as a R/F since ’07 – Florida International is 3-0 the last 3 vs. FAU

Central Florida is 11-6 as a single-digit R/D since ’05 – Houston 19-9-1 as a H/F since ‘08

Arizona is 3-7 at Oregon since ’89 – Oregon is 30-26-2 as a H/F since ‘05

Louisville is 2-6 vs. Syracuse since ’05 – Syracuse is 8-15-1 as a H/D since ‘07

SDSU is 35-25 as a single-digit R/D since ’81 – Fresno St. is 12-21-3 as a H/F since ‘06

Utah State is 5-1 vs. BYU since ’08 – BYU is 16-0 S/U at home vs. Utah State since ‘80

Vanderbilt is 28-13-2 as a R/D since ’04 -Georgia is 3-5 vs. Vanderbilt since ‘06

Wake Forest is 2-7 as an underdog of 20+ since ’10 - Florida State is 6-10 vs. WF since ‘98

Miami, FL is 41-23 as a single-digit dog since ’80 – Georgia Tech is 2-6 vs. Miami since ‘00

North Texas is 10-5 as a double-digit dog since ’10 – Indiana is 18-13 as a H/F since ‘01

Purdue is 2-8 as a home underdog since ’12 – Illinois is 2-7 S/Uvs. Purdue since ‘03

Ohio State is 21-10-1 as a R/F since ’05 – Maryland is 3-6 as a home underdog since ‘11

Memphis is 0-6 vs. Cincinnati since ’00 – Cincinnati is 27-21 at home since ’06

Pittsburgh is 20-28 as a R/F since ’91 – Virginia is 7-11-1 as a H/D since ‘09

Ohio is 1-5 S/U vs. Central Michigan since ’05 – Central Michigan is 6-17-1 home since ‘10

Kansas is 7-18-1 on the road since ’09 – West Virginia is 17-27-2 as a H/F since ‘06

Toledo is 5-1 at Western Michigan since ’02 – Western Michigan is 6-10 vs. Toledo since ‘98

Marshall is 7-15 as a double-digit R/F since ’98 – Old Dominion is 0-3 at home this season

Virginia Tech is 8-2 S/U vs. UNC since ’04 – North Carolina is 13-5-1 the L19 as a H/D

Kent State is 1-7-1 vs. NIU since ’99 – Northern Illinois is 17-10-1 as a H/F since ‘09

Wisconsin is 1-9 at Northwestern since ’88 – Northwestern is 5-10 as a H/D since ‘08

Massachusetts is 2-0 vs. Miami, OH since ’12 – Miami, OH is 6-15-1 as a favorite since ‘06

South Alabama is 12-5 on the road since ’11 – Appalachian State is 1-0 at home this season

South Carolina is 15-8 vs. Kentucky since ’81 – Kentucky is 2-10 hosting SC since ‘81

Ball State is 4-0 vs. Army since ’09 – Army is 11-6 at home since ‘11

Buffalo is 0-3 the last 3 vs. Bowling Green – Bowling Green is 25-17 as a favorite since ‘08

Eastern Michigan is 6-1-1 vs.Akron since ’96 – Akron is 13-23 at home since ’08

Texas Tech is 7-13 as a R/D since ’05 – Kansas St is 45-29-1 as a double-digit H/F since ‘82

Hawaii is 0-6 vs. Rice since ’99 – Rice is 11-5 as a H/F since ‘08

Tulsa is 22-37-2 as a R/D since ’96 – Colorado State is 5-1 vs. Tulsa since ‘88

Georgia State is 5-1 on the road since ’13 – Louisiana is 9-14 at home since ‘10

Stanford is 9-15 S/U vs. Notre Dame since ’ 88 – Notre Dame is 20-31-3 at home since ‘06

Arizona State is 14-28-2 as a R/D since ’01– USC is 2-6-1 vs. Arizona State since ‘05

LSU is 35-26-2 as a R/D since ’82 – Auburn is 6-3 vs. LSU since ‘05

Navy is 9-1-1 vs. Air Force since ’03 – Air Force is 16-21 as a H/D since ‘88

Oklahoma is 15-25 as a single-digit R/F since ’83 – TCU is 11-6 as a H/D since ‘97

Florida is 14-6-1 vs. Tennessee since ’93 – Tennessee is 3-10 as a H/D since ‘08

Baylor is 6-1 vs. Texas since ’07 – Texas is 7-12 as an underdog since ‘10

Iowa St is 26-20 as a R/D since ’04 – Oklahoma St is 29-11 as a double-digit H/F since ‘02

Alabama is 10-0 S/U vs. Ole Miss since ’04 – Mississippi is 4-8 as a H/D vs. Alabama ‘80

Texas A&M is 4-7 as a R/F since ’11 – Mississippi State is 17-24 as a H/D since ‘02

Utah is 11-4 as a double-digit dog since ’93 – UCLA is 23-14 as a H/F since ‘04

UTEP is 8-15 in back-2-back road games since ’00 – La Tech is 1-3 vs. UTEP since ‘02

Southern Miss is 8-13 as a doublgit R/F since ’02 – Colorado is 4-8 the last 12 as a H/Dis 10-14-1 at home since ‘10

Oregon State is 5-1 as a double-digit R/F since ’02 – Colorado is 4-8 the last 12 as a H/D

California is 4-9 vs. WSU since ’99 – Washington State is 17-24 as a H/F since ‘98

Idaho is 5-11 as a R/D since ’12 – Texas State is 2-3 as a favorite since ‘13

Michigan is 17-31-2 as a R/F since ’98 – Rutgers is 16-10 as a H/D since ‘02

New Mexico is 9-4-2 the last 15 as a R/D – Texas San Antonio is 6-3 as a favorite since ‘12

UL-Monroe is 14-8 on the road since ’11 – Arkansas State is 4-0 vs. UL-M since ‘10

NC State is 21-13 vs. Clemson since ’80 – Clemson is 2-6 vs. NC State since ‘06

UAB is 33-47 on the road since ’02 – Western Kentucky is 4-11 as a H/F since ‘08

Nebraska is 5-1 vs. MSU since ’95 – Michigan State is 9-17 as a single-digit H/F since ’01

Georgia Southern is 5-0 this season – New Mexico State is 14-22 at home since ‘08

UNLV is 7-55 S/U on the road since ’04 – San Jose State is 5-11 as a H/F since ‘09

Boise State is 0-6-1 the last seven vs. Nevada – Nevada is 14-6 as a an underdog since ‘10

**StarDust Bum** · 10-02-2014, 06:35 PM

Thursday, October 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Central Florida - 7:00 PM ET Central Florida +2 500 *****
Houston - Over 50 500 *****

Florida Atlantic - 7:00 PM ET Florida International +6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Florida International - Over 47 500

Arizona - 10:30 PM ET Oregon -23 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Oregon - Under 83.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2014, 11:47 AM

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD:

1 - 1........................*****

2 - 0........................DOUBLE PLAY

0 - 1........................TRIPLE PLAY

0 - 0........................LIGHTS OUT

RATED PLAYS AND OPINIONS

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/02/14 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail

Totals 4-*2-*0 66.67% +900

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2014, 11:52 AM

Utah State at BYU

October 1, 2014

**Utah State at BYU**

-- As of Wednesday, most books had BYU (4-0 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) installed as a 21-point favorite with a total of 52. The Westgate SuperBook has the Aggies at +950 on the money line (risk $100 to win $190).

-- BYU is led by junior quarterback Taysom Hill, who has completed 80-of-120 passes for 867 yards with a 6/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Hill has also rushed for 428 yards and seven TDs, averaging 5.4 yards per carry.

-- BYU has failed to cover the number in its first two home games, beating Houston (33-25) and Virginia (41-33) as a double-digit favorite. Bronco Mendenhall's team got ahead of the number with a pair of 15-point advantages (as a 14.5-point 'chalk) thanks to fourth-quarter scores in the win over UVA. However, the Cavs answered with TD drives both times, including a score on an 11-yard TD pass with 1:48 left to secure the backdoor cover.

-- BYU gave up 519 yards of total offense against Virginia and only produced 332 yards. The Cougars overcame those factors, in addition to 12 penalties for 133 yards, thanks to a 99-yard kickoff return for a TD from Adam Hine, a plus-two margin in the turnover department and a pair of fourth-down stops from their defense.

-- Utah State (2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS) is dealing with injuries galore. Star QB Chuckie Keeton and RB Joe Hill are 'questionable' against the Cougars. The Aggies have already lost starting WR Brandon Swindall to a season-ending injury and junior LB Kyler Fackrell to a torn ACL. Fackrell, a first-team All Mountain West selection in 2013, was injured in a 38-7 season-opening loss at Tennessee. In 2013, Fackrell had 82 tackles, five sacks and a pair of forced fumbles.

-- UPDATE: According to multiple reports early Wednesday night, Utah St. QB Chuckie Keeton will likely miss the rest of the season. He has the option of using a medical redshirt and returning to school in 2015. He tore his ACL in a home loss to BYU last year after beginning the season with 18 TD passes compared to only two interceptions. Keeton had been unable to regain that form before injuring his knee in a 36-24 non-covering home win over Wake Forest on Sept. 20. He was in street clothes for a 21-14 overtime loss at Arkansas State in Week 4. Keeton came into the 2014 season with 7,114 career yards (rushing and passing), an incredible 56/13 touchdown-to-interception ratio and 14 rushing TDs. However, in the Aggies' first three games, Keeton has been intercepted four times and has produced just three scores (two TD passes, one rushing score). If Keeton can't go in Provo, sophomore Darrell Garretson will get his ninth career start. Garretson led Utah State to six wins in seven starts last season, with the only defeat coming in a 24-17 loss at Fresno State in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game.

-- Utah State is fourth in the nation in rush defense, allowing only 78.0 yards per game. The Aggies will face a BYU ground attack that ranks 26th in the country with a 231.2 yards-per-game average.

-- Despite missing a season-opening win at UConn due to a one-game suspension, BYU junior RB Jamaal Williams has rushed for 296 yards and three TDs while averaging 4.9 yards per carry.

-- BYU might be without its top WR Jordan Leslie, who is 'questionable' with an ankle injury. Leslie, a transfer from UTEP, has 19 receptions for 227 yards and one TD.

-- Utah State is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog on Matt Wells' watch. However, if we go back to 2007, the Aggies are 24-11 ATS in 35 contests as road 'dogs.

-- During Mendenhall's 10-year tenure, BYU owns a 27-21 spread record as a home favorite.

-- BYU has won three in a row over Utah State, but the Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six head-to-head meetings. The 'under' has cashed in each of the last seven meetings.

-- Totals have been an overall wash for BYU both overall (2-2) and at home (1-1).

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- In other Friday action at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN, Louisville (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) will travel to the Carrier Dome to take on Syracuse in an ACC affair. As of Wednesday, most spots had U of L favored by 1.5 with a total of 47. The Cardinals, who failed to cover in a 20-10 home win over Wake Forest last week, have seen the 'under' cash at a 4-1 clip. Bobby Petrino's team will give true freshman QB Reggie Bonnafon his second straight start, while Will Gardner continues to recover from a knee injury sustained in a Sept. 20 win at Florida International. In his first start against the Demon Deacons, Bonnafon completed 16-of-32 throws for 206 yards and also rushed for 42 yards.

-- The other Friday game is on the CBS Sports Network at 10:00 p.m. Eastern, pitting Fresno State against San Diego State as a 2.5-point home favorite. The Aztecs will be without their starting QB (Quinn Kaehler) and their best WR (Ezell Ruffin). True freshman QB Nick Bawden will make his first career start for San Diego State

-- LSU has lost a key part of its secondary for the rest of the season. Dwayne Thomas, a true sophomore, tore his ACL in last week's blowout win over New Mexico State As a four-star member of the 2013 recruiting class, Thomas had three sacks and five passes broken up in his freshman campaign.

-- Maryland QB C.J. Brown is expected to be a game-time decision for Saturday's home game vs. Ohio State. Brown, who injured his (non-throwing) wrist in a 37-15 win at Indiana, has led the Terrapins to a 4-1 record by throwing for 996 yards with a 7/3 TD-INT ratio. He has also rushed for a team-high 266 yards and five TDs. Caleb Rowe would make his fourth career start if Brown can't play. Rowe, a junior, has completed 21-of-32 throws this year for 316 yards with a 4/1 TD-INT ratio.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2014, 11:54 AM

BYU hosts Utah State

September 30, 2014

UTAH STATE AGGIES (2-2) at BYU COUGARS (4-0)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: BYU -21

No. 18 BYU Cougars hosts Utah State Friday night in an attempt to maintain a flawless record for the 2014 campaign.

Utah State has had a disappointing start to the season and while the school has earned wins as large favorites against both Idaho State and Wake Forest, it has failed to cover a spread in four contests this season. Last week the Aggies traveled to Arkansas State as 2.5-point underdogs and were unable to pull off an upset as they absorbed a 21-14 overtime loss despite outgaining their opponent 413-316 and forcing four turnovers. Over the first four games, they rank in the bottom half of the nation in nearly every category, both offensively and defensively, and will have a very tough matchup this week.

BYU has been impressive thus far with four consecutive SU victories, but has failed to cover the spread in each of its past two contests. In the most recent game against Virginia on Sept. 20, the Cougars overcame an early 10-3 deficit to win 41-33 as 16-point favorites, as they were outgained 519-332 in total yards while forcing two turnovers in the contest. These two programs have played some rather low-scoring games over the past two years with BYU coming away with a 31-14 victory as a 5.5-point underdog last season and winning 6-3 back in 2012 as a 6.5-point favorite. Trends show that Utah State is an impressive 10-3 ATS (77%) over the past three seasons after playing its previous game on the road, while the Cougars are 8-2 ATS (80%) after failing to cover the spread in two of their past three contests in the same timeframe.

As far as injuries are concerned, the Aggies may be without starting QB Chuckie Keeton (knee) and HB Joe Hill (ankle) who are questionable for this contest. BYU has top WR Jordan Leslie (ankle), HB Algernon Brown (ankle) and LB Bronson Kaufusi (ankle) all listed as questionable for the matchup.

Utah State distributes its offense between the running attack (154 YPG) and passing game (215 YPG) while ranking 94th among FBS schools in total yards (369 YPG). The Aggies have scored a meager 24.3 PPG (95th in nation) behind the arms of QBs Chuckie Keeton (426 pass yards, 2 TD, 4 INT) and Darell Garretson (389 pass yards, 3 TD, 2 INT). Garretson has played the bulk of the past two contests with Keeton out, and has played well, going 27-for-46 (59%) with 268 yards (5.8 YPA) and 2 TD (1 INT) in the overtime loss last week.

The running back situation has been cloudy thus far with three different backs getting 20 or more attempts with HB Rashad Hall (141 rush yards, 1 TD) leading the way with 33 attempts (4.3 YPC). WR JoJo Natson has also been a big-play guy out of the backfield with 158 yards on a mere 17 attempts (9.3 YPC). Natson has also been a big part of the passing game with 172 yards on 20 catches (8.6 avg) and a touchdown while WR Hunter Sharp (305 rec. yards, 2 TD) has been the top option through the air. The defense has not looked great while allowing 25.8 PPG and giving up a fairly low 334.8 YPG (32nd in FBS). LB Zach Vigil (37 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT) is the leader of the defense that will need to perform, especially with fellow all-MWC LB Kyler Fackrel out for the season.

BYU ranks among the top-50 FBS schools in total offense (449.3 YPG) this season thanks to an impressive performance so far from its ground game (230.3 YPG, 26th in FBS). QB Taysom Hill (876 pass yards, 6 TD, 3 INT) has improved from last season, as he is completing 66.1% of his passes for 7.2 YPA and was a solid 13-for-23 (56.5%) with 187 yards and 2 TD (0 INT) in the team's last game two weeks ago. Hill's biggest threat does not come from his arm though, but rather his legs that have helped him gain 428 rushing yards (5.4 YPC) and 7 TD through the first four games. He leads the team in rushing, while HB Jamaal Williams (296 pass yards, 3 TD) is the top running back, averaging 4.9 YPC in three contests. Williams performed exceptionally well two weeks ago against Houston as he picked up 139 yards on 28 attempts (5.0 YPC) and two touchdowns.

WR Jordan Leslie (227 rec. yards, 1 TD) is the top guy in the passing game and could miss this game, leaving WR Mitch Matthews (134 rec. yards, 2 TD) as the No. 1 option. The defense has been impressive this season, as it has allowed 18.8 PPG (25th in FBS) while giving up 364.3 YPG. DB Craig Bills (26 tackles, 1 INT) and LB Alani Fua (24 tackles, 1 sack) have looked impressive amongst a defense that has proven to be full of playmakers.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2014, 11:58 AM

Weekend Watch List: Sorting the playoff picture on 'Shakeout Saturday'

October 3, 2014 10:05 am ET

Excuse us if no copyright lawyers have been consulted, but this is Shakeout Saturday.

Book it. Trademark it. Nine of the top 10 in AP are either playing on the road or engaging a ranked team -- or both. There are seven games in which both teams are ranked.

Following Arizona's upset of Oregon on Thursday, six of the remaining 16 FBS unbeatens are on the road.

By the end of the day we'll know a lot more about the SEC West. That's another way of saying we'll know a lot more about the playoff. Never mind the SEC having two teams in the top four. It could have two from the same division. (Disclaimer: It won't matter for 24 more days when the selection committee releases its first poll.)

Son of Weekend Watch List
Dodd: Abdullah quietly breaking records at Nebraska

Except that it does matter a lot in Week 6. Ole Miss and Mississippi State are hosting top 10 teams. No. 1 (in the coaches poll) Alabama is playing both its first true road game and ranked team of the season. Heading to Starkville, Texas A&M might be the nation's most accomplished team away from home.

We'll know if the Big Ten is back in the playoff discussion. Ohio State has a trap game at ... Maryland? Nebraska (4-0, traveling to Michigan State) has inserted itself into the discourse.

• If Stanford can score, it can win at Notre Dame. A big if ...

• Crazy Les at LSU is going all in with a freshman quarterback at Auburn. Really, what choice does he have?

• TCU is 3-0 and Gary Patterson has the Frogs playing the type of defense that should concern No. 4 Oklahoma.

• For the first time this season, Notre Dame, Ohio State and Alabama either play a true road game or play a ranked team. Or both.

Shakeout Saturday is here in all its glory -- copyright lawyers be damned.

After last week's comeback vs. Arkansas, A&M can't be overconfident at Mississippi State. (USATSI)After last week's comeback vs. Arkansas, A&M can't be overconfident at Mississippi State. (USATSI)

Shakin' 'em out

Texas A&M at Mississippi State: A pick-em game that moved this week to 1½ in favor of the Bulldogs.

Dan Mullen's crew remains underrated after going into Death Valley and out-athleting LSU. That's not a cheap win.

But Kevin Sumlin -- 25-6 as an SEC coach -- has been here before. In a weird way, so has quarterback Kenny Hill. The sophomore already has won at South Carolina and rallied the Ags from two touchdowns down last week against Arkansas.

Is a similar performance in Starkville too big an ask? No.

Alabama at Ole Miss: The Rebels aren't acting like this is one of the biggest games in school history.

"I've been working hard on the wishbone for three weeks," Hugh Freeze told a reporter who asked about new wrinkles in his attack. "Can't wait to pull it out.

"The reporter's on the phone. He can't see me. That's the way I stopped it."

To be clear, Ole Miss' coach was joshing. Bo Wallace is avoiding the hype, turning off his Twitter account this week. He admitted not venturing out much because several of his classes are online.

Magnolia State spotlight
Dodd: Big week in Mississippi a milestone for Freeze, Mullen

"It's hard [to concentrate] in class anyway," said Wallace, who already has his undergrad in general studies. "You have your degree."

Wallace laments his performance in last year's 25-0 loss to Alabama "when the defense kept getting stops."

Ole Miss' D is perhaps the deciding factor. A unit that is No. 1 in the SEC will be facing the emerging Blake Sims and Lane Kiffin's dangerous play-calling.

Ole Miss has never beaten a No. 1. But the implications of an upset are interesting. The Rebels still have to go to Texas A&M, LSU and Arkansas.

Even if Alabama loses, it might not be out of the SEC West race.

LSU at Auburn: How close was LSU quarterback Brandon Harris to going to Auburn? Auburn OC Rhett Lashlee was already calling him "Mini-Cam." LSU's season flashes before its eyes. The loss to Mississippi State makes this a must-win. Les Miles is going all in with the freshman Harris.

Stanford at Notre Dame: Either Stanford is going to score its fourth touchdown against Power 5 competition (in three games) or Everett Golson is going to reinforce his Heisman credentials.

Go with Golson for Heisman campaign. The Cardinal's imbalance between offense (70th nationally) and defense (No. 1) has been wholly unforeseen.

Arizona State at Southern California: The Sun Devils' defense has to find its manhood after the UCLA debacle. Cody Kessler is on pace to have a record year for the Trojans. He is the only quarterback in the nation with at least 106 attempts without an interception.

Ohio State at Maryland: Trap game for the Buckeyes, who play their first true road game. They've won 16 consecutive Big Ten regular-season games. J.T. Barrett leads the Big Ten with 13 passing touchdowns. Maryland's Stefon Diggs is second in the league with 29 catches. Randy Edsall seems to be building something with the Terps going into the school's first Big Ten home game.

SMU at East Carolina: Someone say novenas for the Mustangs. This is one of the biggest mismatches of the season. ECU leads the American in scoring. SMU (0-4) is totally punches -- second-to-last nationally in total defense, last in scoring offense with one touchdown all season.

Baylor at Texas: The Horns still look down their haughty noses at the defending Big 12 champs. Texas corner Quandre Diggs said, "No one's ever heard of" Baylor as Wide Receiver U. Be enlightened then, Q. Fourteen Bears have caught passes this season. Twelve of those 14 are Texas natives who didn't attend Texas. Three of them are on the Biletnikoff Award (nation's best receiver) watch list. No school has had more wideouts drafted into the NFL since 2010. I don't know about you, Quandre, but if I were a receiver in 2014 I would want to be in Waco. Baylor is looking to make it four out of five over the Horns for the first time since 1992.

Oklahoma at TCU: Just got done watching the Frogs blast SMU last week. One thing troubled me: As bad as the Ponies are, they picked up giant chunks of yards before the game got out of hand. What this means in a sudden showdown for two Big 12 unbeatens may not matter. TCU has given up three touchdowns in three games. OU has scored 23 in four.

Michigan at Rutgers: Of course Devin Gardner is starting for the Wolverines ...

Might as well rename this one The Scandal Bowl. If you have to ask why then you haven't been paying attention to Rutgers and Michigan lately.

Both schools have endured/caused their share of controversy. Perhaps both ADs can come out for the coin toss, throw their hands in the air and ask for forgiveness.

We're talking about a combined 280 years' worth of football meeting in the game's birthplace. Not many folks are talking football.

One final insult for Michigan: Rutgers is favored by three.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2014, 05:23 PM

Pac-12 Report - Week 6

October 3, 2014

One game in the Pac-12 is already in the books, and what a game it was. Arizona went to Autzen Stadium in Eugene and knocked Oregon from the ranks of the unbeaten. The Wildcats entered the game as 21.5-point underdogs, and were plus-850 on the moneyline. Under tickets cashed surprisingly easy, too, as the line closed at 82, but a total of just 55 points were scored. Will there be more upsets in Pac-12 play this weekend?

2014 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 5-0 2-0 2-3 2-3

Arizona State 3-1 1-1 1-3 2-2

California 3-1 1-1 3-1 3-1

Colorado 2-3 0-2 3-2 2-3

Oregon 4-1 1-1 1-4 2-3

Oregon State 3-1 0-1 1-3 1-3

Southern California 3-1 2-0 3-1 2-2

Stanford 3-1 1-1 2-2 0-3

UCLA 4-0 1-0 1-3 2-2

Utah 3-1 0-1 3-1 2-2

Washington 4-1 0-1 2-3 1-4

Washington State 2-3 1-1 3-2 2-3

Stanford at Notre Dame (NBC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

The Cardinal might have a loss this season, but a win in South Bend against a Top 10 Irish team would go a long way toward bouncing them right back into the big picture, especially in the wide-open Pac-12 following Oregon's loss Thursday. Notre Dame has won 15 of their past 16 home games, while the road team has covered in four of the past five meetings in this series. Something has got to give. The Cardinal are 20-7-1 ATS in the past 28 road games, and 13-5 ATS in the past 18 non-conference tilts. However, they're also just 2-5 ATS in the past seven against a team with a winning overall record. The Irish have covered four in a row against a team with a winning overall record, and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five home games against a team with a winning road record. The total might be where the more certain trends come from. The under is 10-1 in Stanford's past 11 against a team with a winning record, and 10-2 in their past 12 overall. That includes a 5-2 mark in the past seven against non-conference teams. The under is 21-8 in Notre Dame's past 29 against Pac-12 foes, and 20-6-1 in their past 27 against teams with a winning record. In this series, the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 6-1 in the shadows of 'Touchdown Jesus'.

Oregon State at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)

The Beavers were beat down at the L.A. Coliseum last weekend, and lick their wounds heading for Boulder to take on the Buffs. Colorado enters as a near-touchdown underdog at home, as they look to improve on their terrible 4-25 conference record since joining the Pac-12. They came close to a fifth win last weekend in Berkeley, falling 59-56 in double-overtime to California. Colorado can obviously score points, and the combination of QB Sefo Liufau to WR Nelson Spruce is one of the most dynamic in the nation. Despite last week's road loss and non-cover, OSU is still 23-11-1 ATS in the past 35 road games. Colorado has covered five straight in conference, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight overall.

Arizona State at Southern California (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)

The Sun Devils were hammered by UCLA in their last game, as they looked like a shell of themselves without QB Taylor Kelly (foot) under center. QB Mike Bercovici will get a second straight start in Kelly's stead. He went 42-for-68 with 488 yards and two touchdowns against UCLA, but he also tossed two picks. USC has won seven straight home meetings against AZ State, and 19 of 30 meetings overall. The Sun Devils are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven conference games dating back to last season, and 1-5 ATS in their past six overall. USC has covered seven of the past nine Pac-12 games, and they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven at the Coliseum. USC is also 6-1 ATS in the past seven against a team with an overall winning mark.

California at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m.)

This one could be the biggest track meeting the league this weekend, as evidence by the 77-point total set by Vegas. Last weekend, QB Jared Goff and the Cal offense outlasted Colorado 59-56 in 2OT, while Washington State erased as 21-0 deficit on the road to stun Utah 28-27. The Cougs have covered three straight after starting out 0-2 SU/ATS. The most surprisingly thing might be the fact the under is 3-1 in Washington State's past four games. While the road team is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 meetings in this series, Cal is also 4-9 ATS in the past 13 meetings against Washington State. The Cougs are an impressive 12-5 ATS in the past 17 against a team with a winning overall record.

Utah at UCLA (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)

Utah is looking to rebound after a shocking collapse against Washington State last weekend. Utah enters as a near-two touchdown underdog, while UCLA is looking to move to 5-0 in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1966-67. UCLA is trying for its first seven-game win streak since the 2005 season. The Bruins have played just once since Sept. 13, pounding Arizona State 62-27 on the road back on Sept. 25. It was their first cover in four tries this season, and perhaps the first time they have really looked the part of a Top 10 team. Utah had covered its first three this season, including its only road game at Michigan Sept. 20, before last weekend's collapse. The under has cashed in two in a row for Utah, while the over hit in the only home game to date for UCLA this season.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2014, 05:28 PM

ACC Report - Week 6

October 3, 2014

2014 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 3-2 0-1 3-2 2-2-1

Clemson 2-2 1-1 3-1 3-1

Duke 4-1 0-1 2-2-1 1-3

Florida State 4-0 2-0 0-4 2-2

Georgia Tech 4-0 1-0 2-2 3-1

Louisville 4-1 2-1 3-2 1-4

Miami (Fla.) 3-2 1-1 2-3 2-3

North Carolina 2-2 0-1 0-4 2-1

North Carolina State 4-1 0-1 3-2 3-2

Pittsburgh 3-2 1-0 2-3 2-2-1

Syracuse 2-2 0-0 1-3 1-2-1

Virginia 3-2 1-0 5-0 3-2

Virginia Tech 3-2 0-1 2-3 2-2

Wake Forest 2-3 0-1 3-2 1-4

Louisville at Syracuse (Fri. - ESPN, 7:00p.m. ET)

The Cardinals head to the Carrier Dome looking to run their record to 5-1 overall, and 3-1 in conference. However, the Orange have given the Cardinals fits over the years, posting a 6-2 ATS mark over the past eight meetings, and Syracuse routed Louisville 45-26 in the most recent meeting Nov. 10, 2012 at the Carrier Dome. And who could forget the Orange as a 37-point underdog shocking the Cardinals 38-35 back on Sept. 22, 2007 in Louisville? The Orange have always been a thorn in the side of the Cards. Given Louisville's uninspiring 20-10 win against Wake Forest last week, that should give bettor's pause. Plus, Syracuse really needs this one if they want to keep their dreams of bowl eligibility afloat. Expect a solid effort from the home team.

Virginia Tech at North Carolina (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Virginia Tech upset Ohio State in Columbus in September, and all was right with Hokie Nation. However, two straight home losses to East Carolina and Georgia Tech turned things sour in a hurry. Va. Tech got on track last week with a 35-17 win against Western Michigan on homecoming, but failed to cover for the third straight game since that upset of the Buckeyes back on Sept. 6. Meanwhile, North Carolina had their doors blown off again last week, as Clemson roughed the Heels up in Death Valley by a 50-35 score. Over the past two games, UNC is allowing a whopping 60.0 points per game. UNC is also 0-4 ATS so far this season. In this series, the road team is 6-2 ATS over the past eight meetings, so those two trends explain why the public is all over Frank Beamer's bunch.

North Carolina State at Clemson (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)

The Wolfpack probably doesn't care for moral victories, but they certainly scored one last week against top-ranked Florida State. N.C. State went toe-to-toe with the defending champs before running out of gas in the final 15 minutes. QB Jacoby Brissett definitely burst onto the national scene, appearing on highlight shows from coast-to-coast with his amazing TD pass and overall great game. It is something to build upon as the Pack travel to Death Valley to meet a wounded, but still dangerous Clemson team. The Tigers hung 50 on N.C. State's rival, UNC, last weekend. While the Pack covered at South Florida earlier this season, they are still 3-9-1 ATS in the past 13 road games, and need to prove they are better before gaining the confidence of bettors. Clemson is 4-0 ATS in the past four at home, and 21-8 ATS in the past 29 ACC games.

Wake Forest at Florida State (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

After a close shave in Raleigh, the Seminoles are back home to take on Wake Forest in Tallahassee. The defending champs are 4-0 straight-up, but a polar opposite 0-4 ATS this season. That certainly makes Wake attractive as a 38-plus-point underdog. However, FSU is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, and that includes a 59-3 whitewashing in Winston-Salem last season when the 'Noles were a 34-point road favorite. In fact, the past three times Florida State has been a 20-plus-point favorite against Wake, the 'Noles have come away with a cover. In those three instances, Wake Forest has a TOTAL of three points, getting shutout twice.

Miami, Fla. at Georgia Tech (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

The Hurricanes exacted some revenge on visiting Duke last weekend, winning 22-10 and covered as a 3.5-point favorite. Miami is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at home this season, but they have been outclassed on the road. Away from sunny South Florida, the Hurricanes are a gloomy 0-2 SU/ATS. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech has dropped all comers, going 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS. They have failed to cover big numbers at home against Wofford and Georgia Southern. Their signature win to date is a 27-24 road triumph in Blacksburg Sept. 20. Georgia Tech has scored 27 or more points in each of its four games, and they're allowing 27.7 points per game over the past three. If anything, this game could evolve into a track meet. Miami's Duke Johnson ran for 184 yards in last season's meeting with the Ramblin' Wreck, and a solid run game would take the pressure off of freshman QB Brad Kaaya.

Pittsburgh at Virginia (ESPN3, 7:30 p.m.)

The Pitt Panthers have fallen apart lately, losing back-to-back games to Iowa and Akron at home after a 3-0 start. The offense was listless in last week's shocking loss to the Zips, amassing just 10 points. Meanwhile, UVA is one of just two teams in the nation (Georgia Southern is the other) to sit at 5-0 ATS at this juncture of the season. The Cavaliers struggled against the number in recent years, but have picked it up. They are 7-0 ATS in the past seven games dating back to last season, and they're 5-0 ATS in the past five home games. They have also rattled off five straight covers against teams with a winning record. In this series, the favorite has covered four straight.

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