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**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 02:47 AM

Who's Hot - NL Edition

July 30, 2014

The trading deadline is just about here, and the teams that are the hottest in the National League are the ones who really should be making the moves at this point. Though each of the five best money teams in the game are all in the American League, we'll be taking a look at the top teams in the NL for bettors in pro baseball betting action.

Miami Marlins (53-53, +$540) – The Fish are still living just a bit on what they did at the outset of this season at home. All of their profits are from games played at Marlins Park, and their +$547 mark here at home is a fraction of what they were up when they started off like gangbusters in South Beach. That being said, this young pitching staff really is coming together, and it's only going to get better when left-handed pitcher Andrew Heaney really figures it out and is set to become the stud that we know he can be. All of these prospects that have been put together in trades over the years are finally coming together, and though this probably isn't the year the Marlins will make the playoffs, they can legitimately finish right here as a .500 team with a solid last two months of the season.

Pittsburgh Pirates (57-49, +$513) – The Bucs are starting to get sneaky at the trade deadline, and we wonder if they are ultimately going to end up making a big move that could change the course of how the National League playoff race ends up looking. When outfielder Starling Marte and right-handed pitcher Gerrit Cole both come back from the disable list, this really might end up being the best team in the NL, and that's saying something, especially in the crowded NL Central. The reason why the Pirates are going to be a decent bet all year long is because they don't have any of those "name pitchers" who are always the big time favorites every time they get on the bump. Pittsburgh should continue to trend upwards, and we would be surprised if it wasn't one of the best five teams in baseball from a betting perspective at season's end.

Milwaukee Brewers (59-49, +$447) – The Brewers were once the best money team in the league, and though they have had a bit of a plight, they have still hung in there and would be in the playoffs if they started today. It's a heck of an accomplishment for a club with no really bona fide ace pitchers and bats that have generally overachieved as we see it. Our concern? The team has scored just two runs in its last three games combined, and it has three road games against the Cardinals coming up here over the weekend. There is a real chance that the schedule is going to end up getting the best of this team by October, and that will probably see the Brewers left out of the postseason dance when it's all said and done with.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 02:48 AM

August Pitchers Report

July 31, 2014

With the MLB trade deadline having closed and the NFL preseason whetting our pigskin appetite, the month of August sets the table for the stretch run of the baseball season. Which pitchers can we count on to satisfy our tastes, and which ones figure to turn our stomach? Take a look below.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of August. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in August team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each August over the last three years. *Designates this pitcher appeared on the list last season.

I’ll be back next month with September’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy the hot August nights.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

Buehrle, Mark (11-5)

After a phenomenal start, the Toronto left-hander has returned to career norms, but if the Blue Jays are to make the postseason, Buehrle will have to play a large role. Toronto overall has flourished with the Missouri native on the mound with a 15-7 overall record and a sharp 10-3 when he’s been the favorite.

*Chen, Bruce (12-6)

Chen has only been back in the Kansas City rotations since the end of June and frankly has not been effective. Because the Royals offense runs cold and warm, they are dependent on their starters like Chen to keep them in games. They will need the Chen of August’s past to stay in wild card contention.

*Gallardo, Yovani (12-1)

The Brewers ace has not put up the kind of numbers Milwaukee fans have come to expect. In his last 11 starts he’s just 3-2, but Gallardo has lowered his ERA just over a run, which shows progress. The Brew Crew does not figure to win the division without one of their key elements and they need him to own this month like in the past.

Greinke, Zack (13-4)

Manager Don Mattingly is receiving just what he needs from his No. 2 pitcher... consistency. What makes Greinke unique is his approach since he has an array of pitches he can throw for strikes. On days maybe when the fastball lacks the usual juice or location is an issue, he can turn to various breaking pitches to get batters out and keep changing speeds to keep them off-balance.

Hamels, Cole (11-4)

After a slow start coming back from injury, Hamels has been brilliant with a sparking 1.77 ERA in his last 10 starts. He’s averaging better than a strikeout an inning and on the season and has a 1.70 ERA on the road, doing his best on aging team that will be rebuilding go forward.

Lohse, Kyle (11-4)

Though not the official ace of the Brewers, he’s pitched like one all season. The Crew is 15-7 when Lohse takes the ball and they are a gritty 5-2 as underdogs. Milwaukee’s right-hander is bulldog on the road, as he and his teammates are 9-4 away from Miller Park.

Minor, Mike (10-5)

To say this has not been a good season for Minor is an understatement, as his ERA has risen by 3.5 runs in his last 10 starts and the left-hander has surrendered a head-shaking .393 batting average against lefties no less. Despite Atlanta averaging just 3.9 runs a game, they have scored a full run more in Minor’s 16 outings, which why they are .500 when he’s pitched. It’s hard to imagine a quick about face.

*Santana, Ervin (12-5)

This turned out to be a great pickup for Atlanta after suffering heavy losses to its starting staff in the spring. Santana does not overpower opposing hitters, but he’s really kept right-handed batters off balance as they are hitting only .206 against. Santana has always pitched better at home than on the road and be sure to play him this month at Turner Field.

*Scherzer, Max (13-4)

Some baseball pundits wondered if Scherzer found lightning in a bottle last season in winning the Cy Young, but he’s come right back with another solid campaign. Among his strengths is he doesn’t beat himself and has a 4-to-1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s also known for his relentless determination, making him tough to bet against.

*Shields, James (13-4)

Shields is a true professional and David Price of Tampa Bay credits him for setting the standard for hard work and enhancing his career. The righty might not have the lowest ERA or flashiest numbers, yet he will more often than not hold the opposition to one less run than his team scores, which piles up the W’s.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Hernandez, Roberto (4-8)

Since winning 19 games in 2007, the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona is 44-72, had two stints in the minors and is primarily a fifth starter trying to hold on to a big league paycheck (Maybe the Cubs could use him). Whatever name he signs on the back of his paycheck these days is definite play against material here.

*Correia, Kevin (2-10)

Though the Twins soft-tossing starter had a good stretch over seven starts beginning on June 10, the fact of the matter is 5-13 with an ERA of 5.06 this season. (As of 7-31-14) Since this is the fourth different team he’s been a starting pitcher for since 2008, don’t expect any real improvement this month.

Hellickson, Jeremy (5-11)

Hellickson began the season on the disabled list due to right elbow surgery and has spent most of the season at Double and Triple-A, trying to work his way back to the big club. He made two spot starts in July and it is not guaranteed he will do anything more than that in August.

Jimenez, Ubaldo (5-12)

Jimenez last pitched for Baltimore on July 5th after suffering a right ankle sprain. He’s scheduled to make two rehab starts in the first part of August before returning to the Orioles. However, the Birds have been playing very good baseball without him and his 3-8 record and 4.52 ERA, thus you have to wonder if he moves back into Buck Showalter’s rotation.

*Maholm, Paul (3-8)

Strictly a reliever and spot starter for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who has an ERA of almost five and just 34 punch-outs to go along with 27 walks.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:11 PM

Diamond Trends - Friday

August 1, 2014

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nationals are 10-0 since August 09, 2013 as a home favorite after allowing 6+ runs for a net profit of $1000.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Chris Sale starts the White Sox are 10-0 since May 23, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Yankees are 1-13-1 OU since July 23, 2012 after a one run loss and it is the first game of a series.

-- The Rockies are 0-12 since May 09, 2014 as a dog after a loss it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Rockies are 0-12 since May 09, 2014 as a dog after a loss it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Justin Verlander starts the Tigers are 21-4 since July 24, 2009 as a home 140+ favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $1290.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:19 PM

Friday's Tip Sheet

August 1, 2014

Mariners at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
SEA: Elias (8-8, 4.31 ERA)
BAL: Chen (11-3, 3.92 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Orioles failed to pull off the sweep over the Angels after last night’s 1-0 loss in 13 innings. However, Baltimore captured the first two games by one runs each as a home underdog, while posting a 4-2 record this season against Los Angeles. Seattle rallied late to top Cleveland on Thursday, 6-5 to cash as +130 ‘dogs to take two of three from the Indians.

What to watch for: Last night’s high-scoring affair in Cleveland snapped a nine-game ‘under’ streak for the Mariners, which included four ‘unders’ in last weekend’s home set against the Orioles. Chen tossed eight scoreless innings in the series opener at Safeco Field last Thursday, 4-0 as +135 underdogs. The Orioles have won six of their past seven home series openers, while the M’s are 1-8 in their previous nine games off a victory.

Angels at Rays – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Shoemaker (8-3, 4.13 ERA)
TB: Hellickson (0-0, 1.00 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels scored just one run in their series finale at Baltimore on Thursday, but that was enough in a 13-inning triumph to avoid a three-game sweep. The Rays won two of three against the Brewers at home, but lost the series finale, 5-0 in David Price’s final start with Tampa Bay before he was dealt to Detroit on Thursday.

What to watch for: Tampa Bay has struggled after getting shut out this season, posting a 4-8 record in this situation, while the Rays are currently riding a five-game ‘under’ streak. The Angels won three of four home matchups with the Rays back in May, which included an incredible late rally in the series opener. Los Angeles is 6-2 in Shoemaker’s last eight starts, but the Halos own a 2-7 record in their previous nine road series openers.

Brewers at Cardinals – 8:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
MIL: Peralta (12-6, 3.56 ERA)
STL: Wainwright (13-5, 1.92 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Brewers’ offense didn’t do much at Tropicana Field, scoring two runs in the first losses to the Rays. Milwaukee avoided the sweep with an impressive 5-0 victory on Wednesday to cash as +155 underdogs, while snapping a three-game skid. The Cardinals return home off a win at San Diego on Thursday, but St. Louis dropped two of three games in that series to finish its road trip at 3-3.

What to watch for: The road team is 6-3 through the first nine meetings this season between these division rivals, while each of the past six matchups have finished ‘over’ the total. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright’s last four starts against the Brewers since 2012, including a 10-2 victory at Miller Park last month. Milwaukee owns an 8-2 record in Peralta’s past 10 starts since the beginning of June, which includes a 4-1 record on the highway.

Royals at Athletics – 9:35 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
KC: Guthrie (6-9, 4.70 ERA)
OAK: Gray (12-3, 2.65 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Royals rallied for two victories over the Twins the last two days to finish their homestand at 5-2. Oakland returns to the Bay Area after splitting six games in the state of Texas, but lost two of three to Houston. The final four contests of Oakland’s road trip went ‘over’ the total, while the A’s have scored at least five runs in each of their last seven wins.

What to watch for: This is the first meeting between these teams this season, as the A’s won five of six matchups in 2013, including a three-game home sweep last May. The Royals are riding a five-game ‘under’ streak on the road, while Kansas City owns a 6-4 road record against AL West competition this season. Oakland owns a 7-0 record in Gray’s last seven starts, while seven of its eight home wins with the right-hander taking the mound have been decided by at least two runs.

Braves at Padres – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
ATL: Minor (5-6, 4.23 ERA)
SD: Stults (3-13, 5.22 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Braves’ offense dried up in a three-game sweep at the hand of the Dodgers, scoring just seven runs. Atlanta faced Cy Young winners Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw in the final two losses, as the Braves dropped to 3-7 in their last 10 road contests. The Padres fell short of pulling off a sweep of the Cardinals after Thursday’s 6-2 defeat to St. Louis.

What to watch for: San Diego has compiled a 9-4 record in the past 13 games at Petco Park, including three straight wins in home series openers. The Braves and Padres met last week at Turner Field as Atlanta took the final three contests after losing the series opener. Last season, San Diego pulled off a three-game home sweep of Atlanta with all three wins coming in the underdog role.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:23 PM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Cliff Lee hurt his elbow, is probably done for the year; Phillies did nothing to start over on trade deadline day; not sure what their plan is, if they have one.

-- Braves lost 2-1 in LA, have now lost their last seven one-run games.

-- Cleveland scored in first inning Thursday, first time in their last 18 games.

-- When big league teams have bases loaded with none out, they score 85% of time.

-- In parts of the south, school starts next week. Oy.

-- A's are still giving away 10,000 Yoenis Cespedes t-shirts Saturday; guess they are collectors' items now.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things to ponder with weekend here.......

13) I was fired up when the A's got Jeff Samardzija last month; wrote a long list in this space, then went to Denny's for breakfast-- at 5:30am, with no sleep. When I was awakened by a flurry of texts Thursday morning, having just come back from Las Vegas the night before,. I was stunned by the Lester/Cespedes trade. Still am.

12) As a longtime A's fan, I know any player who is any good will leave after a few years, but usually they leave on their own, not in the middle of a pennant race. You trade your cleanup hitter for an ace pitcher, it tells me one thing-- they're building a team that can win a short series. Ace pitchers win short series (see J Verlander).

11) So now the A's lack depth in outfield, are loaded on the mound- they brought Sam Fuld in to plug the Crisp/Gentry injury gap in CF, they'll platoon Gomes with Vogt or Reddick in the outfield and they'll probably need to score less since they figure to give up fewer runs. Could still use an upgrade at second base, but I have all the faith in the world in Billy Beane, so while I am stunned, I am not stressed.

10) Word late Thursday was that the A's were going to trade Cespedes after this season anyway, since he is a free agent after 2015. Oakland made the playoffs both years he was on the team-- Cespedes will be missed, like so many others.

9) Sonny Gray might get extra time between starts; A's figure to bring Drew Pomeranz up at some point to become a spot starter. At this rate, Gray is going to shatter his career high in innings pitched and teams are reluctant to let that happen, since that has been identified as a cause of arm injuries.

8) Ton of activity Thursday; Austin Jackson got pulled off the field during an inning in Detroit, when the David Price trade was announced. Don't see that a lot.

7) Lester/Lackey trades mean that I finally get my wish with Boston promoting Anthony Ranaudo to start on the mound Friday night. Still very odd seeing the Red Sox dump salary like they're the Rays or the Pirates.

6) Giancarlo Stanton has eight first-inning homers, most in MLB; all eight have come at home in Miami, a lousy home run park.

5) The "blocking home plate before you have the ball" rule has to go-- there was a total lack of common sense on an 8th inning call in Miami which cost the Marlins the winning runs in a 3-1 loss to Cincinnati. This is how bad the call was- it totally helped ny fantasy team, but it still made me mad, it made the sport look bad. They have to look at this immediately, if not sooner and make some changes.

4) Indians are unveiling a statue of Jim Thome outside their stadium this week; was surprised by this. Think you need to be a Hall of Famer or win a World Series to get yourself a statue, but thats their business.

3) Lost/found department at the New York City transit department has almost 30,000 cellphones waiting to be clained. Yikes.

2) Best wishes to golfer Dustin Johnson, who is taking some time off to deal with a personal issue; Johnson is engaged to Wayne Gretzky's daughter.

1) Memphis Grizzlies hired a mental endurance coach, which I'm assuming is a euphemism for a shrink. I'm guessing Lionel Hollins got a good laugh when he heard that one. Memphis fired him after he won 56 games two years ago-- maybe if they hadn't fired him, they wouldn't have to deal with this endurance hocus-pocus.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:24 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Atlanta at San Diego
The Braves head to San Diego tonight to open a series against the Padres and come into the contest with a 4-11 record in Mike Minor's last 15 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. San Diego is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 1

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.357; Washington (Fister) 14.462
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+200); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 12.826; Miami (Tuner) 14.117
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+100); Under

Game 955-956: San Francisco at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 13.704; NY Mets (Niese) 15.235
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-130); Under

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.056; St. Louis (Wainwright) 17.380
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Over

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Volquez) 16.215; Arizona (Nuno) 14.776
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Under

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hendricks) 14.024; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.067
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-210) Over

Game 963-964: Atlanta at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.978; San Diego (Stults) 16.311
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Under

Game 965-966: Seattle at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 16.868; Baltimore (Chen) 15.001
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over

Game 967-968: Texas at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Williams) 15.215; Cleveland (Salazar) 14.145
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Under

Game 969-970: LA Angels at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 16.270; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.664
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Capuano) 17.349; Boston (Ranaudo) 15.899
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 973-974: Toronto at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 16.783; Houston (McHugh) 15.177
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-130); Under

Game 975-976: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Darnell) 13.840; White Sox (Sale) 16.931
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-265); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-265); Under

Game 977-978: Kansas City at Oakland (9:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.877; Oakland (Gray) 16.454
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-210); Under

Game 979-980: Colorado at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Morales) 15.787; Detroit (Verlander) 14.667
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-220); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+180); Over

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:24 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, August 1

Phillies-Nationals
Hernandez is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts.
Fister is 4-0, 2.36 in his last four starts.

Phillies lost ten of their last sixteen games.
Washington won nine of its last thirteen home games.

Under is 8-0-1 in last nine Fister starts.

Reds-Marlins
Latos is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
Turner is 2-0, 2.53 in his last two starts; he finished sixth inning in only four of his eleven starts.

Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 13 games.
Marlins won nine of their last twelve games.

Five of last six Latos starts stayed under the total.

Giants-Mets
Vogelsong is 0-5, 4.28 in his last six starts; Giants were shut out in four of his last five starts.
Niese is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts.

San Francisco lost six of its last seven games.
Mets won six of their last nine games.
Under is 5-1 in last six Vogelsong starts.

Brewers-Cardinals
Peralta is 3-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
Wainwright is 4-2, 1.60 in his last eight starts.

Milwaukee lost four of last five road games.
Cardinals lost six of their last nine games.

Six of last eight Peralta starts went over the total.

Pirates-Diamondbacks
Volquez is 0-1, 8.10 in his last couple starts.
Nuno is 0-2, 6.06 in his last three starts.

Pirates lost 10 of their last 15 road games.
Arizona won six of its last eight home games.

Last four Volquez road starts went over the total.

Cubs-Dodgers
Hendricks is 1-1, 2.33 in his first three MLB starts.
Haren is 0-4, 9.47 in his last four starts.

Cubs lost nine of their last ten road games.
Dodgers won 15 of its last 20 home games.

Six of Haren's last eight home starts went over.

Braves-Padres
Minor is 2-2, 7.09 in his last six starts.
Stults is 1-8, 5.87 in his last ten starts.

Atlanta lost seven of its last ten road games.
San Diego won four of its last five home games.

Seven of last nine Minor starts went over total.; under is 11-2 in Stults' last 13.

Mariners-Orioles
Elias is 1-0, 1.74 in his last couple starts.
Chen is 4-0, 2.92 in his last four starts.

Seattle lost six of its last nine games.
Baltimore won seven of its last ten games.

12 of last 14 Seattle games stayed under the total.

Rangers-Indians
Williams won his first '14 start, allowing one run in six IP.
Salazar is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.

Rangers lost eight of their last twelve games.
Cleveland lost eight of its last eleven games.

Seven of ten Salazar starts went over the total.

Angels-Rays
Shoemaker is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
Hellickson is 0-0, 1.00 in two starts, pitching total of nine innings.

Angels wn 17 of their last 24 games.
Tampa Bay won nine of 11 games since All-Star break.

12 of last 16 Angel games stayed under the total.

Bronx-Red Sox
Capuano was 1-1, 4.55 in 28 relief appearances for Boston earlier this season; he allowed two runs in six IP in his first '14 start.
Ranaudo is making MLB debut; he was 12-4, 2.41 in 21 AAA starts this year.

Bronx lost four of its last five games.
Red Sox lost eight of their last nine games.

Five of last six Bronx road games stayed under.

Blue Jays-Astros
Happ is 1-0, 2.38 in his last couple starts.
McHugh is 0-6, 5.51 in his last six starts.

Blue Jays won eleven of their last thirteen games.
Astros lost nine of their last twelve home games.

Over is 18-8 in last 26 Houston games.

Twins-White Sox
Darnell allowed seven runs in five IP in his first MLB start.
Sale is 4-0, 1.16 in his last five starts.

Minnesota lost nine of its last thirteen games.
White Sox won five of their last seven games.

Six of Sale's last eight home starts stayed under.

Royals-A's
Guthrie is 1-3, 8.20 in his last five starts.
Gray is 5-0, 1.59 in his last five starts.

Royals won seven of their last nine games.
Oakland won 15 of its last 18 home games.

Five of last six Guthrie starts went over the total.

Rockies-Tigers
Morales is 0-3, 8.14 in his last four road starts.
Verlander is 2-2, 5.19 in his last four starts.

Colorado lost 15 of its last 17 road games.
Tigers lost five of their last six games.

Seven of last nine Morales starts stayed under.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hernandez 7-11; Fister 11-3
-- Latos 3-5; Turner 6-5
-- Vogelsong 11-10; Niese 10-9
-- Peralta 12-8; Wainwright 16-5
-- Volquez 11-9; Nuno 0-4
-- Hendricks 2-1; Haren 10-11
-- Minor 8-8; Stults 7-14

-- Elias 10-11; Chen 13-7
-- Williams 1-0; Salazar 5-5
-- Shoemaker 8-3; Hellickson 2-0
-- Capuano 0-1; Ranaudo 0-0
-- Happ 10-5; McHugh 5-10
-- Darnell 0-1; Sale 11-5
-- Guthrie 11-10; Gray 15-6

-- Morales 6-9; Verlander 12-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hernandez 9-19; Fister 4-14
-- Latos 0-8; Turner 5-11
-- Vogelsong 3-21; Niese 6-19
-- Peralta 9-21; Wainwright 3-21
-- Volquez 6-20; Nuno 1-4
-- Hendricks 2-3; Haren 11-21
-- Minor 5-16; Stults 8-21

-- Elias 6-21; Chen 6-20
-- Williams 1-0; Salazar 1-10
-- Shoemaker 1-10; Hellickson 0-2
-- Capuano 0-1; Ranaudo 0-0
-- Happ 2-15; McHugh 8-15
-- Darnell 0-1; Sale 1-16
-- Guthrie 7-21; Gray 7-21

-- Morales 2-15; Verlander 7-21

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:26 PM

MLB

Friday, August 1

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Seattle

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
Texas is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

7:08 PM
COLORADO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games at home
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Yankees's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. HOUSTON
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi White Sox's last 15 games

8:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

9:35 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games at home
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

9:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

10:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN DIEGO
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 19 games on the road
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:26 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, August 1

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PHILADELPHIA (48 - 61) at WASHINGTON (58 - 48) - 7:05 PM
ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 121-150 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 87-116 (-30.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 7-19 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 120-104 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-26 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-16 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 382-358 (+42.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 100-92 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 (+0.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.61 and a WHIP of 0.985.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FISTER is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.533.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (54 - 54) at MIAMI (53 - 55) - 7:10 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. JARRED COSART (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. MIAMI since 1997
LATOS is 0-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.9 units)

JARRED COSART vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (58 - 50) at NY METS (52 - 56) - 7:10 PM
RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-76 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 79-90 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-66 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-20 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-20 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-11 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-19 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 43-32 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 7-2 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 7-2 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 30-20 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 45-64 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 96-117 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 96-117 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 52-74 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 22-36 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 9-29 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. NY METS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

JON NIESE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NIESE is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.3 units)

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MILWAUKEE (60 - 49) at ST LOUIS (57 - 50) - 8:15 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 129-81 (+28.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 404-278 (+57.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 25-11 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-16 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-23 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-16 (+14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-45 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 93-83 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-48 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 26-30 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-4 (+0.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PERALTA is 3-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 10-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 0.909.
His team's record is 13-7 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.2 units)

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PITTSBURGH (57 - 51) at ARIZONA (48 - 61) - 9:40 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. VIDAL NUNO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 154-122 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 152-121 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-29 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 70-51 (+18.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 84-54 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 45-30 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 22-31 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 22-31 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 77-80 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-29 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NUNO is 2-9 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
NUNO is 2-9 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

VIDAL NUNO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NUNO is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (45 - 62) at LA DODGERS (62 - 47) - 10:10 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

DAN HAREN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HAREN is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

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ATLANTA (58 - 51) at SAN DIEGO (48 - 60) - 10:10 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. ERIC STULTS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 42-32 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
STULTS is 15-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 45-24 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 73-38 (+33.7 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 48-60 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 48-60 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MIKE MINOR vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MINOR is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.553.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

ERIC STULTS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STULTS is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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SEATTLE (56 - 52) at BALTIMORE (60 - 47) - 7:05 PM
ROENIS ELIAS (L) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 61-47 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 98-81 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 54-45 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 44-26 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 12-1 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-17 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-18 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 12-6 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHEN is 45-31 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 28-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 44-26 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 15-6 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 30-21 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 27-20 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 42-41 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-14 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 19-12 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 23-16 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 (+3.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

ROENIS ELIAS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ELIAS is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
CHEN is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

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TEXAS (43 - 65) at CLEVELAND (53 - 55) - 7:05 PM
JEROME WILLIAMS (R) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 43-65 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 41-61 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 29-49 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 32-45 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 115-111 (-32.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-20 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 145-126 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 81-52 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 139-120 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 77-43 (+27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-15 (+20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 17-40 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
WILLIAMS is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (64 - 43) at TAMPA BAY (53 - 55) - 7:10 PM
MATT SHOEMAKER (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 64-43 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 37-15 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 730-716 (+61.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 185-166 (+30.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 268-196 (+51.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 102-64 (+31.4 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 31-11 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 53-55 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-30 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-30 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-36 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-33 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 5-15 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-31 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HELLICKSON is 3-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

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NY YANKEES (55 - 52) at BOSTON (48 - 60) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. ANTHONY RANAUDO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 6-4 (+1.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. BOSTON since 1997
CAPUANO is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

ANTHONY RANAUDO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (60 - 50) at HOUSTON (44 - 65) - 8:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 60-50 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 30-27 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TORONTO is 27-23 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TORONTO is 40-29 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 46-35 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 14-5 (+8.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
HOUSTON is 41-100 (-43.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-90 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-55 (-20.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-90 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-61 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 56-118 (-32.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-99 (-40.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-50 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAPP is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.687.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (48 - 59) at CHI WHITE SOX (53 - 56) - 8:10 PM
LOGAN DARNELL (L) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-56 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-55 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-32 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-77 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-110 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-41 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 53-50 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 22-38 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-68 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-5 (+0.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

LOGAN DARNELL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DARNELL is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 12.60 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SALE is 6-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.993.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

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KANSAS CITY (55 - 52) at OAKLAND (66 - 41) - 9:35 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 66-41 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 138-79 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 277-204 (+66.0 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 64-37 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 99-66 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 110-76 (+19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 103-76 (+27.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 77-53 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 31-18 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 10-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 70-64 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 70-58 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 46-37 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 30-21 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 27-16 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.72 and a WHIP of 1.426.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.2 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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COLORADO (44 - 64) at DETROIT (58 - 47) - 7:05 PM
FRANKLIN MORALES (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 44-64 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 46-71 (-27.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-36 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 11-24 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 44-64 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 29-43 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 29-46 (-18.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
VERLANDER is 15-1 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 156-122 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-27 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 27-27 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 12-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 22-24 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 25-30 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
VERLANDER is 27-32 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 12-16 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 26-31 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 14-18 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 7-16 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FRANKLIN MORALES vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. COLORADO since 1997
VERLANDER is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.886.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:27 PM

MLB

Friday, August 1

Orioles-Mariners meetings on hot Under streak

Heading into Friday's meeting at Oriole Park, the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles have kept scorelines under the closing total in five-straight ball games.

The streak dates back to the final meeting of the 2013 season, but the two clubs have cashed in for Under bettors in all four prior meetings this season. The teams concluded a four-game set at Safeco Field in late July.

Roenis Elias (8-12 O/U) gets the start for the Mariners, while the Orioles counter with Wei-Yin Chen (9-10 O/U).

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 01:28 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, August 1

Philadelphia at Washington, 7:05 ET
Hernandez: PHILADELPHIA 16-11 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive road games
Fister: WASHINGTON 20-10 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more

Cincinnati at Miami, 7:10 ET
Latos: n/a
Cosart: n/a

San Francisco at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Vogelsong: SAN FRANCISCO 3-14 in road games when playing with a day off
Niese: NY METS 23-9 after 3 or more consecutive home games

Milwaukee at St Louis, 8:15 ET
Peralta: MILWAUKEE 5-0 as a road underdog of +150 or more
Wainwright: ST LOUIS 26-30 after a win

Pittsburgh at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Volquez: PITTSBURGH 2-11 when the total is 8.5 to 10
Nuno: ARIZONA 35-22 after 2 or more consecutive overs

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Hendricks: n/a
Haren: n/a

Atlanta at San Diego, 10:10 ET
Minor: ATLANTA 33-39 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150
Stults: 15-5 TSR in home games in night games

Seattle at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Elias: SEATTLE 14-6 in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Chen: BALTIMORE 21-8 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150

Texas at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Williams: 16-40 TSR as an underdog
Salazar: 77-42 TSR as a favorite

LA Angels at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Shoemaker: LA ANGELS 22-11 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Hellickson: TAMPA BAY 5-15 after getting shut out

NY Yankees at Boston, 7:10 ET
Capuano: n/a
Ranaudo: n/a

Toronto at Houston, 8:10 ET
Happ: TORONTO 17-7 UNDER against AL West opponents
McHugh: HOUSTON 21-58 revenging a one run loss to opponent

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Darnell: MINNESOTA 21-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses
Sale: CHI WHITE SOX 10-0 as a favorite of -150 or more

Kansas City at Oakland, 9:35 ET
Guthrie: KANSAS CITY 14-21 after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Gray: 10-1 TSR after a loss

Colorado at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Morales: COLORADO 8-35 as a road underdog of +150 or more
Verlander: 15-1 TSR in home games in an inter-league game

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 06:28 PM

MLB

Friday, August 1

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MLB week-end betting cheat sheet: BoSox Blues
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Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league action:

Dioner Dialed In

Dioner Navarro has been on fire for the Blue Jays (-110, 8.5) as of late. The surprise catcher has been one of the team's most productive hitters during their recent streak. Navarro has hits in five of the Blue Jays last six games including five RBIs as Toronto continues to hold the second AL Wild Card spot while chasing the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East.

Action Jackson

Austin Jackson left his last appearance with the Detroit Tigers midway through an eventual loss to the Chicago White Sox, but the new Seattle Mariners outfielder who was a part of the three team David Price deal will be bringing a needed red hot bat to the Pacific Northwest. Jackson had two hits and an RBI to stretch his hitting streak to five games.

BoSox Blues

Boston Red Sox fans can likely finally give up any hopes of turning around their season as defending World Series champions. After trading Jon Lester and John Lackey at the deadline, things are likely to go from bad to worse for Boston. Not a good sign for a team that is 2-8 in their last ten ball games

Pitching Notes

* AJ Burnett starts Saturday for the Phillies and has been providing consistent overs since July when on the mound. Since July 1, the Over is 5-1 when the former Blue Jays and Yankees pitcher gets his start.

* Marcus Stroman will start Sunday's series finale for the Blue Jays against the cellar dwelling Astros in the midst of a breakout streak of a quality starts for Toronto. The young potential ace has three straight wins on the mound, two of which were against the Red Sox including a no hitter bid at the Rogers Centre and a win at Fenway.

Hitting Notes

* Dodgers outfielder Yaisel Puig is doing his best to put himself in NL MVP consideration with the Dodgers and is red hot heading into August. The Cuban is 12-26 in his last five games at the plate, including two four hit games and hits in all but one appearance for Los Angeles.

* Oakland will have to find production to replace Yoenis Cespedes, the back to back Home Run Derby champion who was included in the Jon Lester trade with Boston. Cespedes currently has 17 home runs and 67 RBI's this season as one of the best bats for the A's so this weekend will be interesting for Oakland in terms of finding out where their new power will come from.

Totals Streak

Cincinnati Reds (1-9 O/U in last ten): Cold bats have been the issue for the Reds all season, so it should be no shock that they have quite the streak of Unders going during their recent struggles. Going 3-7 in their last ten, nine games have went under the total for the Reds in those ten ballgames.

Prop of the Day

Yu Darvish has been the lone bright spot for the Texas Rangers this season and is still very much an ace in the AL with a 10-6 record and a 2.90 ERA. A play on the Rangers F5 ML or the F5 Under could be a strong Sunday prop play with Darvish on the mound.

Injury Notes

* Boston outfielder Shane Victorino will miss Friday's game against the Mariners with a slight back injury that is causing him discomfort. Red Sox manager John Farrell will be hoping newly acquired outfielder Yoenis Cespedes will be able to replace him in the lineup.

* Cincinnati Reds outfielder Jay Bruce will be expected to return to baseball this weekend following a leave of absence to due to passing of a family member. Bruce is currently struggling along with the Reds, but will be looking to get back on track at the plate in a return to the game.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 06:30 PM

MLB

Friday, August 1

Friday's must read weather update

The Detroit Tigers host the Colorado Rockies with 35 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms.

In Baltimore the Orioles host the Seattle Mariners where there is a 58 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms.

The Red Sox and Yankees continue their rivalry at Fenway, with a 30 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms and a seven mile per hour wind blowing out to center.

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Washington Nationals, where there is a 70 percent chance of rain.

In Chicago, the White Sox host the Minnesota Twins, where there is a chance of thunderstorms and a 23 percent chance of rain.

Newest Marlin Cosart to start Friday's game

Jarred Cosart will get the start for the Miami Marlins following his trade to the N.L. East ball club from the Houston Astros Thursday.

Jacob Turner was slated to get the start, but MLB.com has reported that the the newest addition to the Marlins starting rotation will debut at Marlins Park.

Cosart was 9-7 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 20 starts for the Astros this season.

The Marlins are currently -103 home faves.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-01-2014, 06:42 PM

MLB

Friday, August 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Seattle - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -143 500 *****
Baltimore - Under 8 500

Texas - 7:05 PM ET Texas +175 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:05 PM ET Washington -222 500
Washington - Under 7.5 500

Colorado - 7:08 PM ET Detroit -227 500
Detroit - Over 9 500

NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Boston -121 500
Boston - Under 9 500

Cincinnati - 7:10 PM ET Miami -110 500 *****
Miami - Under 7 500

LA Angels - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -105 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Tampa Bay - Under 7.5 500

San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -115 500 GRAND SLAM
NY Mets - Over 7 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Toronto -106 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Houston - Over 8.5 500

Milwaukee - 8:15 PM ET Milwaukee +137 500 TRIPLE PLAY
St. Louis - Over 7 500

Kansas City - 9:35 PM ET Kansas City +204 500
Oakland - Over 7.5 500

Pittsburgh - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +112 500 *****
Arizona - Over 9 500

Atlanta - 10:10 PM ET San Diego +120 500 DOUBLE PLAY
San Diego - Under 7 500

Chi. Cubs - 10:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +146 500 TRIPLE PLAY
LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500

Announcement

The Bum's MLB August Thread- stats-trends-rated games !

The Bum's MLB August Thread- stats-trends-rated games !

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