The Bum's February's College Basketball PODS-Stats-News & Game of the Year !

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 16

Wright State (-7) shot 65% inside arc in 76-64 home win vs Oakland Jan 2, teams' first Horizon meeting; this is first game in 8 days for Raiders squad that lost four of last five games, losing last three on road by 1-4-7 points. Horizon home teams are 6-21 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less point. Oakland won rivalry game in OT Friday vs Detroit, snapping 3-game losing kid- their last three wins are all by one point.

Michigan (+7.5) won 77-70 at Wisconsin Jan 18, making 7-13 from arc; just second series win in last 14 games for Wolverines. Michigan is 4-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 23-13-8-9-29 points- they're 2-2 in last four games overall, after winning 10 straight. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-5 vs spread. Wisconsin won three in a row after losing five of its previous six games.

SMU (-13) held Temple to 30.3% from floor in 75-52 home win 10 days ago; Mustangs won last four games, nine of last 10- they won three of last four road games, winning by 12-7-12 points. AAC single digit home underdogs are 5-9 vs spread. Owls lost four in row (all by 14+), 12 of last 13 games, with only win at home vs Rutgers; they've lost conference home games by 7-10-4-16-24 points.

Oregon State (+3) survived 20 turnovers (-9) in 80-72 home win over its rival Oregon Jan 19, game they led by 16 in first half, its first win in last four games vs Ducks. State is 1-5 on Pac-12 road, with three losses by 6 or less points (only win at Wash State). Oregon lost eight of its last ten games- they're 1-3 at home in Pac-12, with only win vs USC. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 14-9 vs spread.

Creighton (+6.5) was ridiculous 21-35 from arc, scoring 1.45 ppp in its 96-68 win at Villanova Jan 20; Bluejays won 15 of last 17 games, are 6-0 at home in Big East, with four wins by 12+ points. Underdogs are 11-7 vs spread in Big East games where spread was 4 or less points. Villanova won last six games, last four by 16+ points; they're 6-0 on road in Big East- their only road loss all season was by 16 at Syracuse.

Notre Dame (-6.5) beat Boston College 76-73 in OT Feb 1, despite being outscored 20-9 on foul line; Irish lost eight of its last 11 games, with last two wins in OT- they're 0-5 on ACC road, with all five losses by 8 or less points. ACC home teams are 11-26 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points. BC lost four in row, 14 of last 17 games; they're 1-4 at home in ACC, with only win against Virginia Tech.

Northwestern (+10.5) won 55-54 at Minnesota Feb 1; Andre Hollins did not play that day. Wildcats are 6-4 in last ten series games, winning last five played here by 9-3-11-11-7 points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-7 vs spread. Gophers lost last five road games, four of last five overall, with three road losses by 4 or less points or in OT. Hollins is back in lineup, scoring 22 points vs Wisconsin in last game.

Georgetown (-7.5) was up 42-16 at half in 77-60 win over St John's Jan 4; Hoyas made 9-13 from arc, outscored Red Storm 22-10 on line in its 6th straight series win- they won last two visits here by 20-16 points. Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. St John's won seven of last eight games, winning last two by total of six points- they're leading Big East in both blocked shots and steals.

Colorado (-11.5) waxed USC 83-62 at home Jan 18, big man Scott had 20 points in 24 minutes for Buffs, who are 3-0 vs USC in Pac-12 play, winning by 24-6-21 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 12-7 vs spread. Shorthanded Colorado (down three guys) lost its last four road games, all by 12+ points. Trojans lost last five games, four by 8+ points- their only conference win was a home upset of California.

Drexel (-4) won 77-74 at Hofstra Jan 29, making 10-21 from arc in game it trailed by 5 with 9:01 left; Dragons won last six series games, winning last two played here, by 9-11 points. CAA home favorites of 9+ points are 2-5 vs spread. Hofstra lost six of last seven games, losing last four on CAA road, by 18-18-8-6 points. Drexel is just 5-6 in CAA, but won its last two home games, by 11-18 points.

Monmouth (+6) lost 75-73 at Marist Jan 30; Red Foxes made 11-26 on arc in game they trailed by 11 in first 10:00. Marist is 10-6 in its last 16 games after an 0-9 start; they won four of last five, but is just 1-6 on the road in MAAC, with only win at Rider. MAAC home teams are 13-17 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points. Monmouth lost its last six games, but five of those were on road- they're 3-3 at home.

Canisius has long road trip after winning rivalry game at Niagara Friday; they beat Siena 93-78 (-6.5) in first meeting Dec 8, making 15-26 on arc in game they led 57-36 at half. Griffins lost last seven visits to Albany, with five losses by 11+ points. Siena lost in last minute at Marist in its last game Friday, but they've won three of their last four home games. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-9 vs spread.

Quinnipiac is 11-4 in its first year in MAAC, but they lost 74-67 (-4.5) to Peacocks Jan 12 in Jersey City, shooting 33% from floor in game they trailed 32-20 at half. Bobcats won last four games, are 7-1 at home in its MAAC games, with only loss to Canisius. MAAC home favorites of 8 or less points are 16-21-1 vs spread. St Peter's lost six of its last eight games, losing last four on road by 7-17-15-3 points.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MICHIGAN
Wisconsin is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games on the road
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 1:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. OAKLAND
Wright State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wright State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
MARIST vs. MONMOUTH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist's last 5 games on the road
Marist is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Monmouth is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Monmouth's last 7 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
WESTERN CAROLINA vs. UNC GREENSBORO
Western Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Carolina's last 7 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNC Greensboro's last 7 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. MANHATTAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Niagara is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 6 games at home
Manhattan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TEMPLE
No trends available
Temple is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Temple is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
CANISIUS vs. SIENA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Canisius's last 5 games on the road
Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Siena's last 6 games when playing at home against Canisius

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 3:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Nebraska is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Michigan State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Michigan State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 3:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. OREGON
Oregon State is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oregon is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 4:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. QUINNIPIAC
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's last 6 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Quinnipiac is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Quinnipiac's last 7 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 5:00 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. EVANSVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Wichita State's last 16 games on the road
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Evansville's last 8 games when playing at home against Wichita State
Evansville is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Wichita State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 5:07 PM
VILLANOVA vs. CREIGHTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Villanova's last 10 games on the road
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 6:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Notre Dame is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Notre Dame is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games at home
Boston College is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 6:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. LOUISVILLE
Rutgers is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rutgers's last 9 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Louisville is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 7:00 PM
GEORGETOWN vs. ST. JOHN'S
Georgetown is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgetown is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. John's is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgetown
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. John's last 14 games when playing Georgetown

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 8:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. DREXEL
Hofstra is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Drexel
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hofstra's last 5 games when playing on the road against Drexel
Drexel is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Drexel's last 11 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of USC's last 8 games
USC is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Villanova at Creighton
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Villanova Wildcats at Creighton Bluejays (-3.5)

In its first meeting against Villanova on Jan. 20, Creighton drilled a Big East- and school-record 21 3-pointers while handing the Wildcats their worst home loss since 1980-81. No. 6 Villanova, which hits the road Sunday in a showdown between the top two teams in the conference, holds a half-game lead over the 17th-ranked Bluejays and has won six straight since their 28-point setback. "I think a lot of people watched that game and learned how not to play them," Wildcats coach Jay Wright said.

Wright suggested the Wildcats’ overall aggressiveness worked against them in the first meeting and perhaps no Creighton player benefited more than Ethan Wragge, who tied a school record with nine 3-pointers. Villanova began its three-game road trip with an 87-62 win over DePaul on Wednesday, but faces a difficult challenge against the Bluejays, who have won four of five since routing the Wildcats. Creighton, which posted a 20-win season for the 16th time in 17 years with Thursday’s five-point win at Butler, is looking for its 16th straight home victory.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE HISTORY: The Bluejays opened as 3.5-point home faves.

POWER RANKINGS: Villanova (-16.4) - Creighton (-14.3) + Home Court (-3.0) = Creighton -0.9

INJURY WATCH: N/A

WHY BET VILLANOVA (22-2 SU, 17-5 ATS, 15-7 O/U): The Wildcats took a page out of the Bluejays’ book in the win over DePaul, knocking down a season-high 15 3-pointers while leaving Wright pleased with his team’s focus. “I know they're going to concentrate on (Sunday), but for a team to go in and concentrate like they did against DePaul is impressive to me," Wright told the school’s official website. Villanova has also picked it up at the defensive end, allowing 61.4 points over its last five games after surrendering 96 to Creighton and 85 five days later at Marquette.

WHY BET CREIGHTON (20-4 SU, 13-9 ATS, 8-13 O/U): In addition to passing Allan Houston and Kevin Bradshaw on the NCAA's career scoring list against Butler, Doug McDermott delivered his second game-winning basket in the Bluejays’ last three games and third of the season after never having done so previously. Incidentally, McDermott’s go-ahead 3-pointer sparked a game-ending 7-0 run and gave coach Greg McDermott (Doug’s father) his 100th career win at Creighton. Greg McDermott needed only 134 games to do so, allowing him to reach the benchmark quicker than all but one coach in school history.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Bluejays are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East.
* Bluejays are 30-10 ATS in their last 40 Sunday games.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Underdog hot in Wisconsin-Michigan meetings
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you're looking for an underdog play in college basketball action Sunday, consider the Wisconsin Badgers.

The Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the previous five meetings between the Badgers and the Michigan Wolverines.

The two will renew acquaintances at Michigan Sunday with the Badgers as 4.5-point road dogs.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Oregon State at Oregon
The Beavers head to Eugene today to face an Oregon team that is coming off a 74-72 loss at Arizona State and is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following a SU defeat. Oregon State is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 16

Game 853-854: Wright State at Oakland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 55.788; Oakland 53.087
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+1)

Game 855-856: Wisconsin at Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 68.712; Michigan 70.649
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4 1/2)

Game 857-858: SMU at Temple (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 66.237; Temple 61.584
Dunkel Line: SMU by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+8 1/2)

Game 859-860: Oregon State at Oregon (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 63.481; Oregon 69.378
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 6
Vegas Line: Oregon by 9
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9)

Game 861-862: Nebraska at Michigan State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 61.589; Michigan State 77.756
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 16
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13)

Game 863-864: Wichita State at Evansville (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 69.761; Evansville 53.662
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 16
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-12 1/2)

Game 865-866: Villanova at Creighton (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 68.948; Creighton 79.359
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 3
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-3)

Game 867-868: Rutgers at Louisville (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 54.895; Louisville 79.833
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 25
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-21)

Game 869-870: Notre Dame at Boston College (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 61.235; Boston College 60.496
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 1
Vegas Line: Boston College by 1
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+1)

Game 871-872: Minnesota at Northwestern (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 67.499; Northwestern 61.373
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 6
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3)

Game 873-874: Georgetown at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 63.364; St. John's 73.319
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 10
Vegas Line: St. John's by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-4)

Game 875-876: Colorado at USC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 65.822; USC 60.988
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 5
Vegas Line: Colorado by 3
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3)

Game 877-878: Hofstra at Drexel (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.395; Drexel 57.691
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-10 1/2)

Game 879-880: Marist at Monmouth (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 52.076; Monmouth 49.049
Dunkel Line: Marist by 3
Vegas Line: Monmouth by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+1 1/2)

Game 881-882: Niagara at Manhattan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 48.450; Manhattan 59.908
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+15 1/2)

Game 883-884: Canisius at Siena (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 58.751; Siena 52.748
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 6
Vegas Line: Canisius by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-2 1/2)

Game 885-886: Western Carolina at NC-Greensboro (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.256; NC-Greensboro 44.258
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 1
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-1)

Game 887-888: St. Peter's at Quinnipiac (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 49.930; Quinnipiac 54.206
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+7 1/2)

Game 891-892: Bryant at Wagner (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 53.077; Wagner 51.900
Dunkel Line: Bryant by 1
Vegas Line: Wagner by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+3)

[StarDust Bum]

February's Record:

*****............68 - 69 - 3

DOUBLE PLAYS.. 33 - 30 - 2

TRIPLE PLAYS.... 25 - 24 - 1

GOY..................1 - 0

GOM.................0 - 1


OVERALL PICKS FOR FEBRUARY:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

02/15/14 56-*39-*4 58.95% +*6550 Detail
02/14/14 8-*5-*1 61.54% +*1250 Detail
02/13/14 17-*28-*1 37.78% -*6900 Detail
02/12/14 16-*18-*0 47.06% -*1900 Detail
02/11/14 11-*7-*2 61.11% +*1650 Detail
02/10/14 10-*7-*0 58.82% +*1150 Detail
02/09/14 15-*14-*2 51.72% -*200 Detail
02/08/14 53-*34-*2 60.92% +*7800 Detail
02/07/14 8-*9-*0 47.06% -*950 Detail
02/06/14 29-*28-*0 50.88% -*900 Detail
02/05/14 28-*19-*2 59.57% +*3550 Detail
02/04/14 12-*16-*1 42.86% -*2800 Detail
02/03/14 5-*6-*1 45.45% -*800 Detail
02/02/14 7-*7-*0 50.00% -*350 Detail
02/01/14 52-*51-*2 50.49% -*2050 Detail

Totals 327-*288-*18 53.17% +5100


Sunday, February 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Wisconsin - 1:00 PM ET Wisconsin +4 500 *****
Michigan -

Wright St. - 1:00 PM ET Oakland -1.5 500 *****
Oakland -

Canisius - 2:00 PM ET Canisius -3 500
Siena -

Niagara - 2:00 PM ET Niagara +14 500
Manhattan -

Western Carolina - 2:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro +2.5 500 *****
NC-Greensboro -

Marist - 2:00 PM ET Marist +2 500
Monmouth-NJ -

Southern Methodist - 2:00 PM ET Southern Methodist -7.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Temple -

Oregon St. - 3:00 PM ET Oregon St. +9.5 500 *****
Oregon -

Nebraska - 3:00 PM ET Nebraska +13.5 500 *****
Michigan St -

St. Peter's - 4:00 PM ET Quinnipiac -8 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Quinnipiac -

Wichita St. - 5:00 PM ET Evansville +12 500
Evansville -

Villanova - 5:07 PM ET Villanova +2.5 500 BIG EAST GOW
Creighton -

Rutgers - 6:00 PM ET Rutgers +21.5 500
Louisville -

Notre Dame - 6:00 PM ET Boston College -2 500 *****
Boston College -

Minnesota - 6:00 PM ET Northwestern +4 500 *****
Northwestern -

Georgetown - 7:00 PM ET Georgetown +4.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
St. John's -

Hofstra - 8:00 PM ET Drexel -10 500
Drexel -

Colorado - 8:00 PM ET Colorado -3.5 500
Southern California -

[StarDust Bum]

Big Monday Action

February 16, 2014


**North Carolina at Florida State**

-- Some offshore betting shops opened North Carolina (17-7 straight up, 13-11 against the spread) as a 1.5-point favorite for Monday's ACC showdown in Tallahassee. However, as of early Sunday night, most books had the Seminoles favored by one point.

-- Roy Williams' team is on fire with six straight wins both SU and ATS, including Saturday's 75-71 win over Pittsburgh as a 3.5-point home favorite. James Michael McAdoo was the catalyst for the Tar Heels, producing 24 points and 12 rebounds. Marcus Paige buried 5-of-6 attempts from 3-point land and finished with 18 points, four assists and four steals.

-- Paige and McAdoo form an outstanding 1-2 punch. McAdoo, the junior power forward, averages 15.3 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. Paige averages team-highs in scoring (17.1 PPG) and assists (4.5 APG).

-- FSU (15-10 SU, 13-10 ATS) is desperate for a quality win over UNC because it has lost five of its last seven games both SU and ATS. The Seminoles are No. 59 in the RPI Rankings. They are just 2-6 against the RPI Top 50 and 5-9 versus the Top 100.

-- FSU picked up a mandatory 67-60 win at Wake Forest as a two-point road favorite. Ian Miller knocked down 5-of-7 shots from deep and scored a game-high 25 points. Aaron Thomas added 18 points, 14 rebounds and four steals.

-- Leonard Hamilton's squad has won eight of its 11 home games while going 5-4 ATS. Depending on if and how the line moves, this could end up being the first home underdog situation of the season for the Seminoles.

-- UNC is No. 27 in the RPI Rankings. The Tar Heels are 5-3 against the RPI Top 50 and 8-5 versus the Top 100.

-- Although the 'over' has hit in six of its last eight games, UNC has still seen the 'under' go 12-11 overall.

-- The 'under' is 14-8-1 overall for FSU, 5-4 in its home games.

-- UNC has won three in a row over FSU both SU and ATS, including a 77-72 win as a three-point underdog in Tallahassee last year. The 'over' is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Oklahoma State at Baylor**

-- Both of these teams have been fading fast and they're both in dire need of a victory Monday night in Waco. A few offshore shops opened Baylor (16-9 SU, 7-11-1 ATS) as a 5.5-point home favorite, but that number was reduced to four by early Sunday night.

-- After losing eight of its first 10 Big 12 games, Baylor has won back-to-back contests. The Bears cruised to an easy win at TCU last week and then pulled out a miracle win and cover Saturday. They trailed Kansas State nearly the entire game and were down 30-21 at intermission. But down three on the final possession, an offensive rebound led to a pass out to Brady Heslip, who hadn't made a shot all day but buried a rushed 3-ball at the buzzer to force overtime. The game would go to a second overtime and in that extra session it was all Baylor. The Bears got the scoring in double OT started with a 3-pointer off the backboard. That was ominous sign for Kansas State backers like me. Gamblers on the Wildcats as five-point underdogs suffered a painful loss as Baylor pulled away to win 87-73.

-- Kenny Cherry was the catalyst against Kansas State, producing a triple-double with 20 points, 12 assists, 10 rebounds and three steals. The winners also got a double-double from Cory Jefferson, who had 21 points and 11 rebounds. Isaiah Austin added 18 points, seven boards and nine blocked shots.

-- Oklahoma State (16-9 SU, 8-13 ATS) has lost six in a row and seven of its last eight to fall out of the Top 25 and into the heart of the bubble conversation. Even worse for our purposes, the Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive contests. They came out on the wrong side of a 77-74 decision in a gut-wrenching home loss to Oklahoma on Saturday.

-- In the Bedlam setback vs. OU, Markel Brown scored 26 points and grabbed nine rebounds. Le'Bryan Nash finished with 15 points and 10 boards.

-- Oklahoma State star Marcus Smart (17.5 PPG) is 'out' Monday as he serves the third and final game of a suspension stemming from shoving a fan in a loss at Texas Tech.

-- This is a revenge game for Oklahoma State When these Big 12 rivals met in Stillwater on February 1, Baylor captured a 76-70 win over the Cowboys as an 11.5-point road underdog. Heslip hit six 3's and scored a team-high 20 points. Rico Gathers added 14 points and six rebounds, while Jefferson finished with 11 points and 13 boards. In the losing effort, Brown had a game-high 24 points. Nash had 19 points and six boards, while Smart was held to 15 points on 3-of-14 shooting from the field.

-- Travis Ford's team is No. 42 in the RPI Rankings. OSU is 3-8 vs. the RPI Top 50, 6-8 against the RPI Top 100. The Cowboys' best wins have come over Colorado, Texas and Memphis.

-- Baylor is No. 49 in the RPI, going 4-7 against the Top 50 and 5-8 versus the Top 100.

-- The 'over' is on a 6-2 run for the Cowboys to improve to 13-8 overall.

-- The 'over' has hit in three straight Baylor games. The Bears have seen the 'over' go 11-7 overall, but the 'under' is 5-4 in their home games.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- I wish Bill Raftery was the analyst for every college basketball game I watch. I also wish there was an auto-mute button for Seth Davis.

-- Wisconsin center Frank Kaminsky scored 17 of his game-high 25 points, including a dagger step-back trey off the dribble at crunch time, to lead the Badgers to a huge 75-62 win at Michigan as 4.5-point underdogs. The Wolverines trailed by 15 at halftime, but they cut the deficit down to three with more than five minutes left. However, Wisconsin promptly answered with back-to-back triples from Josh Gasser and Kaminsky and cruised into the winner's circle from there.

-- Nebraska beat a top-10 opponent on the road for the first time in 17 years Sunday when it went into East Lansing and emerged with a 60-51 win at Michigan State as a 13.5-point underdog. The Cornhuskers hooked up money-line supporters with an incredible +900 payout (paid $100 on $900 wagers). If you haven't seen Nebraska junior Terran Petteway play recently, you're missing out. This dude is a beast who took over at crunch time in a win at Northwestern last Saturday. He did the bulk of the work Sunday, too, finishing with 23 points and five rebounds. Let's all welcome Nebraska to the bubble-banter conversations we're going to be having in the upcoming weeks. The Cornhuskers had an RPI of 65 before beating the Spartans, so I would think they'll get a bump up into the 50s. They are 6-6 in Big Ten play and have a shot at winning all of their six remaining games: against Penn State, Purdue, at Illinois, Northwestern, at Indiana and Wisconsin. I think Nebraska will be favored in three of the four home games and will be very short 'dogs at Illinois and at Indiana.

-- Behind strong performances from seniors Scottie Wilbekin, Casey Prather and Patric Young, Florida captured its first win at Rupp Arena since 2007 on Saturday night in Lexington. The Gators beat Kentucky 69-59 as 2.5-point underdogs. The 128 combined points stayed 'under' the 130.5-point total. UF has now seen the 'under' cash at a 15-5-1 overall clip.

-- On Sunday, I asked Kenny White of DonBest what his line would be if Florida and Syracuse met this week in Omaha. White would make the Gators two-point favorites.

-- I asked Cecil Hurt, the long-time Alabama beat writer for the Tuscaloosa News, about the status of Anthony Grant last week. In his fifth season as the head man for the Crimson Tide, Grant has only one NCAA Tournament appearance and zero wins. Hurt indicated that it could go either way depending on how Alabama finishes the season. In other words, the school doesn't want to pay a class act like Grant nearly $10 million to get lost. He has five years at $1.9 million per left on his contract. However, Saturday's loss at South Carolina didn't help Grant's cause.

[StarDust Bum]

Hot & Not

February 17, 2014


Bubbles are going to be bursting all around in college basketball, but today, we're going to be looking at the teams which are bursting our bankrolls instead of our bubbles. Check out the list of teams who are on the nastiest slides in the land as we head into the middle of February.

Oklahoma State Cowboys (0-7 ATS L/7) – Things have gone from bad to worse for the Cowboys, as they aren't just in gambling trouble. They're in bubble trouble, too. They have lost six games in a row, and their only wins since beating Texas at the beginning of January are against West Virginia and TCU. Having G Marcus Smart suspended for three games hasn't helped any either. The Pokes are really dipping fast down the stretch and need to be resuscitated in a hurry.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-6 ATS L/6) – The Hilltoppers very well could be ones to remember this year, as they could end up winning the Sun Belt. However, the oddsmakers have definitely caught onto this team being one of the elites in the conference. In spite of the fact that WKU is 4-2 SU in its last six, it has failed to beat the number in all six. Granted, four of those six ATS losses have come by a combined 7.5 points, so things could change, but the Toppers are still going to have to put forth an exemplary effort to cover against most in this conference.

San Jose Spartans (0-6-1 ATS L/7) – Normally, we wouldn't include a team with a push in the mix on this list, but San Jose State has been dreadful. The team hasn't scored more than 56 in a game in a month, and it is averaging just 63.0 points per game on the season, ranking 330th in the land. The team is only shooting 37.7 percent for the season from the field and is under 35 percent in conference play. There aren't many worse cases in the country than this from a betting perspective.

James Madison Dukes (0-6 ATS L/6) – The CAA is down this year, and the Dukes aren't helping their own cause any. They only have their defense to rely upon, and when that unit fails, there is just no hope. F Charles Cooke is really the only solid offensive weapon that the team has at its disposal, and when he isn't playing well, forget about it. JMU has won two of its last six games along the way, but it has failed to cover all six.

Pittsburgh Panthers (0-6 ATS L/6) – Pitt has only won two of its last six games, and though it won't fall out of the dance, it certainly could make its own situation a lot less appealing if it can't get back on the horse here against Florida State next Sunday. Three of the last four are on the road, and this will be the first time that the team has played in the ACC Tournament. The Panthers haven't won a game in regulation since January 25th.

Loyola Marymount Lions (0-6 ATS L/6) – The Lions have been pathetically bad this year from an ATS standpoint at 8-18 ATS, and they have now failed in six in a row to beat the number. That said, they aren't the worst team in this conference; having G Anthony Ireland should be enough to keep this team competitive every night. The Lions could turn this around and surprise down the stretch with nothing but home games and the WCC Tournament left on the docket.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (0-5 ATS L/5) – Offense has been the problem for the Deacs all season long, but of late, it has been the defense which has really let them down. They have allowed at least 79 points in three of their last four games, and for a team which only averages 65 points per game in conference play, that's awfully bad news. There have been some close calls in here that have gone the wrong way from a betting standpoint for Wake Forest though, so things could turn around yet.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

ESPN.com's Jeff Goodman's top six freshmen in college hoop.......

6) Marcus Foster G, Kansas State-- Scoring 15.1 ppg, had 38 points in his last two games, both of which went to OT.

5) Joel Embiid, C Kansas-- Struggling with knee/back injuries right now.

4) Andrew Wiggins, F Kansas-- Scoring 16.1 ppg, is solid defender-- hype he had coming into season was hard to live up to.

3) Julius Randle, F Kentucky-- Averaging 15.7 ppg, 10 boards/game.

2) Tyler Ennis, G Syracuse-- Frosh engine driving the unbeaten Orange.

1) Jabari Parker, F Duke-- 2nd in ACC in scoring, tops in rebounding.

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Nebraska 60, Michigan State 51-- Tim Miles has his team primed to make a run in the NIT. Every team in the Big Dozen has at least three losses, and every team has at least three wins. No great teams, though.

12) Wisconsin 75, Michigan 62-- In a 60-possession road game, Badgers had two turnovers. Two. Wisconsin has now won four games in a row after they had lost five of six. Resilient team.

11) Pretty exciting Sunday in the MAAC.........
Canisius 92, Siena 88, triple OT....Marist 96, Monmouth 92 double OT

10) Golf is weird. Pat Perez eagled the 10th hole at Riviera Saturday, then had a triple bogey on the same hole Sunday. Go figure.

9) Disappointed to hear that Mark Mulder tore an achilles trying to make a comeback with the Angels. Mulder was 81-42 in five years with the A's-- I was in Fenway Park in August 2003 when he left with a stress fracture in his hip. Mulder completed 22 of his 150 starts for the A's. Thats a lot now; A's had six complete games all of last season.

8) Pat Knight was mercifully fired by Lamar after going 6-50 the last two years, after he went 23-12 in 2012 with the previous coach's players, whom he publicly blasted in a bizarre February 2012 news conference.

Odd that former Lamar/Oklahoma coach Billy Tubbs was the person most often quoted in the wire story; he used to be Lamar's AD. Tubbs' teams ran and ran and ran-- you'd think Lamar would go for someone more like that.

7) Watching Notre Dame-Boston College last night, it just didn't seem like an ACC game. Terrible level of play. BC has to go get alum Bruce Pearl, who is eligible to be hired this spring. Great coach; he would invigorate what is right now a program in a coma.

6) If Boston College doesn't hire Pearl, then Wake Forest, Washington State, Auburn, DePaul-- one of those schools should.

5) If you care about such things, road team is 11-1 vs spread in Syracuse's ACC games, 11-0-1 in Western Kentucky's Sun Belt games.

4) I turn on the TV and I see Charles Barkley interviewing the President of the United States, and I have no idea what to think. Still don't. Listening to the President, seems like he watches a lot of basketball. Interesting.

3) Why doesn't every golfer who wins a PGA Tour event get invited to play in The Masters? Seems like that would be a good reward for winning.

2) Creighton 101, Villanova 80-- Bluejays have lot of trouble with athletic defense of St John's, but not so much with Villanova-- they scored a total of 197 points in two wins over the Wildcats, a couple of easy wins-- they made 30 of 50 3-pointers vs Villanova.

1) Temple 71, SMU 64-- A bright day in a dismal season for the Owls, who are 2-12 in their last 14 games. SMU has had a good season, but they've also lost at Temple/South Florida, little bit of a red flag.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNC-WILMINGTON (8 - 20) at WM & MARY (15 - 9) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
WM & MARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WM & MARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 82-51 ATS (+25.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WM & MARY is 120-155 ATS (-50.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 2-2 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 3-2 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DELAWARE (19 - 7) at TOWSON ST (17 - 9) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games this season.
DELAWARE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOWSON ST is 4-2 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-2 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (17 - 7) at FLORIDA ST (15 - 10) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (16 - 9) at BAYLOR (16 - 9) - 2/17/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 5-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 4-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WEBER ST (14 - 7) at IDAHO ST (9 - 13) - 2/17/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
WEBER ST is 134-98 ATS (+26.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WEBER ST is 59-28 ATS (+28.2 Units) in February games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 131-96 ATS (+25.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 145-189 ATS (-62.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 145-189 ATS (-62.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 90-122 ATS (-44.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 4-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DAVIDSON (15 - 11) at THE CITADEL (4 - 23) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-2 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 5-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (7 - 17) at GEORGIA ST (17 - 7) - 2/17/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISS VALLEY ST (8 - 17) at SOUTHERN U (14 - 11) - 2/17/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISS VALLEY ST is 3-2 straight up against SOUTHERN U over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 17

Wm Mary (-3) beat NC-Wilmington 54-50 Feb 5, their third win in row vs Seahawks, who were 1-6 from line. Tribe won five of its last seven games, but both losses were at home. CAA home favorites of 9+ points are 3-5 vs spread. UNCW won two of last three games after starting out 0-10 in CAA; they're 4-2-1 as road underdogs; six of their seven losses on road came by 9 or less points, or in overtime.

Delaware won its last 13 games, is 11-0 in CAA; they were underdogs in three of four CAA road games. Blue Hens (-6.5) beat Towson 83-76 Jan 25, in foulfest with both sides taking 39+ FTs. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-15 vs spread. First road game in 19 days for Hens-- seven of their 10 CAA wins are by 7 or less points. Towson won four home games in a row- they're 3-3 as a CAA home favorite.

North Carolina won/covered its last six games; this is trap game, since they play Duke Thursday, but Tar Heels won at Ga Tech/Notre Dame in last two road games, after losing first three. UNC won five of last six vs Florida State, sweeping FSU by 5-21-21 points LY. Seminoles lost five of last seven games- they're 3-3 at home in ACC. ACC home teams are 8-19 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.

Oklahoma State lost its last six games, losing by 12-4-19 points in last three road games; this is last game of Smart's 3-game suspension. OSU lost 76-70 (-11) at home to Baylor Feb 1- Bears made 11-23 from arc. Cowboys lost last three visits to Waco by 19-41-10 points. Baylor won in double OT Saturday, its second win in row after a 1-7 skid. Big X home favorites of less than 5 points are 7-3 vs spread.

Weber State won nine of last ten games, covered last three; they're 3-1 as road favorites, winning road games by 12-9-20 points, with losses at No Colorado/Sacramento. Wildcats won three in row, 10 of last 11 games vs Idaho State, winning 65-59 (-9) at home Jan 20; Wildcats made 12 of 25 from arc, were -7 (13-6) in turnovers. Big Sky home underdogs of 6 or less points are 11-5. Bengals are 5-2 at home (both losses are by 5).

Davidson (-22) beat Citadel 62-43 at home Feb 1, but they trailed by a point early in second half; Wildcats won their last eight games, are 6-0 as SoCon road favorites, with five road wins by 11+ points. Citadel is 2-7 vs spread in last nine games; they're 1-3 as home underdogs, losing by 4-5-13-18-21 points at home. SoCon home underdogs are 2-15 against the spread. Davidson is making 45.8% of its 3's in league play.

Georgia State lost at Troy Saturday, its first Sun Belt loss in 11 games; Panthers are 2-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 9-1-26-20-10 points- they covered five of last seven games overall. Texas State is 2-3 as road underdog, losing road games by 23-5-4-7 points- they're 4-1 vs spread in last five games overall. Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 5-10 vs spread. Georgia State has 3-game lead for #1 seed.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, February 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina
Florida State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against North Carolina

7:00 PM
DELAWARE vs. TOWSON
Delaware is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Delaware is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Towson
Towson is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Towson's last 7 games when playing at home against Delaware

7:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. WILLIAM & MARY
UNC Wilmington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against William & Mary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games when playing on the road against William & Mary
William & Mary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of William & Mary's last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
DAVIDSON vs. THE CITADEL
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Davidson is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against The Citadel
The Citadel is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Davidson
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of The Citadel's last 5 games when playing Davidson

7:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. GEORGIA STATE
Texas State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games on the road
Georgia State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Georgia State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. BAYLOR
Oklahoma State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

9:05 PM
WEBER STATE vs. IDAHO STATE
Weber State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Weber State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Idaho State's last 9 games when playing at home against Weber State
Idaho State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Weber State

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, February 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Oklahoma State at Baylor
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears (-4, 145)

While Marcus Smart was powerless to stop Oklahoma State from dropping its sixth straight game over the weekend, Baylor’s Kenny Chery put on a show many expect from the Cowboys’ star. The Bears, who host the Cowboys in a battle between the two most disappointing teams in the Big 12 on Monday, snapped a four-game home losing streak with Saturday’s double-overtime win against Kansas State. Chery finished with 20 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds to post the sixth triple-double in school history.

Chery’s career game could serve as salt in the wound for Oklahoma State and Smart, who sat out Saturday’s loss to Oklahoma and will miss Monday as he completes his three-game suspension for shoving Texas Tech fan Jeff Orr on Feb. 8. The Cowboys are in the midst of their longest losing streak since 2008 after beginning conference play with a 4-2 mark and, like Baylor, face an uphill battle to qualify for the NCAA Tournament without a strong finish. Oklahoma State could help its cause with a win on the road, where it is 1-5 in league play.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Bears are early 4-point faves.

POWER RANKINGS: Oklahoma State (-9.1) - Baylor Bears (-1.0) - Home Court (-3.0) = Oklahoma State -5.1

INJURY WATCH: Oklahoma State - Marcus Smart (Out - suspension)

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (16-9 SU, 8-13 ATS, 13-8 O/U): Phil Forte III entered Saturday 41-of-41 from the foul line at home, but went 1-of-4 as the Cowboys missed 10 of their 22 free throws in a 77-74 loss. Four of the team’s last five setbacks have been by six points or fewer and fatigue may be playing a factor as the starters have played 341 of a possible 400 minutes over the last two games. “We had some tired guys out there…they're down. This is as down of a locker room that I've seen,” coach Travis Ford told reporters after the game.

ABOUT BAYLOR (16-9 SU, 7-11-1 ATS, 11-7 O/U): Isaiah Austin – the Bears’ athletic 7-1 center – took advantage of an undersized Kansas State front line with a career-high nine blocks and could enjoy similar success against the Cowboys, who do not give regular minutes to a player taller than 6-8 Kamari Murphy. Brady Heslip, who drained half of Baylor’s season-high 16 3-pointers in Wednesday’s rout of Texas Christian, went 1-of-8 beyond the arc on Saturday. Heslip had knocked down 26 of his previous 49 3-point attempts since joining the starting lineup five games earlier.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Baylor.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Cowboys are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings in Baylor.

CONSENSUS: 64.5 percent of the wagers are on Baylor -4.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oklahoma State running out of options without Smart
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma State went from national title contender to one of the coldest teams in the country heading toward the postseason.

The Cowboys, who have dropped six straight games SU and ATS, have transitioned from Top-10 status to the Big 12 basement over the course of the past few weeks. Things have bottomed out for the Cowboys, missing star point guard Marcus Smart for the final game of a three-game suspension heading into Monday’s game against the Baylor Bears. Early odds in Las Vegas have OSU as a 4.5 point underdog in Waco.

Already losers of three in a row before Smart's ban for shoving a fan, the Cowboys were going through a rough patch. Smart’s value was estimated to be around three points to OSU’s pointspreads, but he could be worth even more after watching the Pokes struggle in the first two games of his suspension.

“So talented defensively, and that’s what Okie State will miss the most when he is out the next three games,” Michael Perry of Sportsbook.ag told Covers when Smart was first suspended last week.

Game 1 without Smart was a disaster for OSU. It came out flat on the road against a tough Texas Longhorns team that ran them out of the gym in the first half, jumping out to an early 54-33 lead on the way to an 87-68 blowout win. Le'Bryan Nash stepped up to fill the absence of Smart's scoring with 23 points, but it was nowhere near enough to help them end the losing streak.

Saturday night was a better performance at home against the Sooners, but Smart's reported three-point value may have held true in a 77-74 loss to Oklahoma. Three Cowboys finished in double digits, including Markel Brown, who led the team with 26. But a lack of stops allowed the Sooners to sweep the season series with a road win.

Going into Monday night's clash with Baylor, bettors should be wary of the Cowboys. The absence of Smart has exasperated the team's obvious issues but also exhausted them physically, trying to make up for Smart’s contributions on both ends of the floor. That could be even more evident with a quick turnaround and only one day off between Saturday’s loss and Monday’s game in Waco.

The Cowboys have just two ATS victories in their last 10 games and are a woeful 8-13 ATS on the season. Even with Smart in the lineup, Oklahoma State is 0-4 ATS in its last four meeting with Baylor and has failed to cover in its last seven trips to the Ferrell Center.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Oklahoma State at Baylor
The Cowboys look to snap a six-game losing streak as they head to Baylor tonight to face a Bears team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Oklahoma State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 17

Game 701-702: NC-Wilmington at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 44.057; William & Mary 56.461
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 10
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-10)

Game 703-704: Delaware at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 57.992; Towson 55.848
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 2; 147
Vegas Line: Towson by 3 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+3 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: North Carolina at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 68.976; Florida State 64.957
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4; 138
Vegas Line: Florida State by 1; 143
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+1); Under

Game 707-708: Oklahoma State at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 68.093; Baylor 68.172
Dunkel Line: Even; 147
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Weber State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 53.408; Idaho State 51.421
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+4 1/2)

Game 711-712: Davidson at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 59.556; The Citadel 38.152
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-15 1/2)

Game 713-714: Texas State at Georgia State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.903; Georgia State 65.574
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-13 1/2)

Game 721-722: Mississippi Valley State at Southern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 36.494; Southern 56.600
Dunkel Line: Southern by 20; 147
Vegas Line: Southern by 15; 142
Dunkel Pick: Southern (-15); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, February 17

FLORIDA ST: 3-16 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite

WEBER ST: 2-12 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds

DAVIDSON: 9-1 ATS in road games

TOWSON ST: 20-6 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week

OKLAHOMA ST: 33-64 ATS as a road underdog