The Bum's January's NBA POD'S - Trends - Stats - News !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, January 7

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CLEVELAND
Philadelphia is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Indiana is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. NEW YORK
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing New York
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 11 games
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CHICAGO
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MILWAUKEE
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

8:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. UTAH
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

9:00 PM
BOSTON vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Boston
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. SACRAMENTO
Portland is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing Portland

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, January 7

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Spurs at Grizzlies: What bettors need to know
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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies (+5.5, 196.5)

The San Antonio Spurs' frontcourt depth is about to be tested - a notion that's all too familiar for their next opponent. The Spurs will be without center Tiago Splitter when they travel to Memphis on Tuesday to face the Grizzlies, who are still without big man Marc Gasol. Memphis has gone 8-12 since losing Gasol to a sprained knee to slip 3 1/2 games behind eighth-place Dallas in the Western Conference.

The Spurs whipped the Clippers 116-92 on Saturday, but their fourth win in five games came at a price as Splitter was lost for three-to-five weeks with a sprained right shoulder. "Very, very tough," veteran forward Tim Duncan told the San Antonio Express-News. "It's going to be a big loss for us. He's been playing great for us all year." If the Grizzlies can start winning at home - they're 7-11 at FedEx Forum - they might be able to make a charge with six of their next seven games on their own floor.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FSN Southwest (San Antonio), SportSouth (Memphis)

LINE: The Grizzlies opened as 5.5-point home dogs. The total opened at 196.5.

POWER RANKINGS: San Antonio (-13.8) - Memphis (-5) + home court (-3) = San Antonio -5.8

ABOUT THE SPURS (26-8, 18-16 ATS): San Antonio boasts one of the most productive benches in the league but it's getting thin in the post with Splitter out. Second-year center Aron Baynes likely will need to pick up extra minutes to spell Boris Diaw (9.4 points, 3.5 rebounds), who is expected to be back after missing Saturday's game with strep throat. Fortunately for the Spurs, they don't count on much offensive output from the center position thanks to five other players averaging double digits in scoring with Tony Parker (17.7 points, 6.2 assists) and Tim Duncan (14.2 points, 9.5 rebounds) leading the way.

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (15-18, 13-19-1 ATS): Memphis dominated the second half of a 112-84 win at Detroit on Sunday and has won five of its last eight following a five-game skid. The Grizzlies certainly miss Gasol, especially at the defensive end, but they still have a strong inside-outside duo with point guard Mike Conley (17.2 points, 6.3 assists) and bruiser Zach Randolph (17.1 points, 10.5 rebounds). Jon Leuer has shown signs of becoming a bigger contributor at the offensive end - the third-year forward matched his career high with 23 points against the Pistons.

TRENDS:

* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Memphis.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Grizzlies reportedly have reached a deal to send G Jerryd Bayless to Boston in exchange for G Courtney Lee.

2. Spurs G Danny Green, a 39.4 percent shooter from 3-point range, is 3-for-19 from beyond the arc over the last four games.

3. Memphis G Tony Allen (hand) sat out against Detroit and is day-to-day.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

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January's Record

*****............. 8 - 4

DOUBLE PLAYS....4 - 3

TRIPLE PLAYS.....3 - 2 - 1


Tuesday, January 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Washington -1.5 500 *****
Charlotte - Under 189.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +6 500 *****
Cleveland - Over 208 500

Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Toronto +9 500
Indiana - Under 187 500

New Orleans - 7:30 PM ET Miami -8 500
Miami - Over 203 500

Detroit - 7:30 PM ET New York -3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
New York - Over 199.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Phoenix - 8:00 PM ET Chicago +1 500 *****
Chicago - Over 191 500

San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET San Antonio -5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Over 195.5 500

Golden State - 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee +10 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Under 201 500

L.A. Lakers - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -9.5 500
Dallas - Under 208 500 *****

Boston - 9:00 PM ET Denver -7.5 500
Denver - Under 202.5 500

Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Utah +6.5 500
Utah - Over 196 500 *****

Portland - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento +4.5 500 *****
Sacramento - Over 215 500 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday Tips

January 7, 2014


Mavericks at Spurs - 7:00 PM EST

Dallas: 19-15 SU, 18-16 ATS
San Antonio: 26-8 SU, 18-16 ATS

Both the Spurs and Mavericks enter Wednesday's action with no rest as the two Lone Star State rivals meet for the second time this season. San Antonio defeated Dallas at the American Airlines Center the day after Christmas, 116-107 to cash as 2 ½-point favorites for its sixth straight win in the series, including three consecutive victories in Dallas. The Spurs took three of four on their recent homestand, while scoring at least 101 points in each of those contests ('over' 3-0-1).

The Mavericks have played extremely well on the highway of late, winning four straight games, including a perfect 3-0 trip at Chicago, Minnesota, and Washington. Rick Carlisle's club owns a sterling 8-1 ATS record the last nine opportunities in the road underdog role, while going 4-1 ATS the past five on the highway with no rest. The defense has stepped up of late for Dallas, allowing 98 points or less in four of the last five games, while cashing the 'under' four times in this stretch.

Pistons at Raptors - 7:00 PM EST

Detroit: 14-20 SU, 14-19-1 ATS
Toronto: 16-16 SU, 18-14 ATS

The Raptors are the only team in the Atlantic Division currently sitting at .500, as Toronto has won seven of its past nine games. Dwane Casey's team saw its five-game winning streak snapped in Sunday's 102-97 defeat at Miami on Sunday, but the Raptors covered their sixth straight game as 6 ½-point underdogs. Toronto is playing just its fourth home contest since December 14, as the Raptors have captured three of its past four games at the Air Canada Center.

The Pistons are unraveling before our eyes by dropping four in a row, while giving up at least 106 points in defeats to the Wizards twice, Magic, and Grizzlies. Detroit has found a way to win as heavy road underdogs at Miami and Indiana, but five of its last seven losses have come by double-digits. The 'over' is currently on a 12-2 run the past 14 trips to the court for the Pistons, but Maurice Cheeks' squad has drilled the 'under' in each of the last two road contests. Detroit and Toronto split four games last season with each team winning on its home court once and winning on the road once.

Pacers at Hawks - 7:30 PM EST

Indiana: 27-6 SU, 23-10 ATS
Atlanta: 18-17 SU, 19-16 ATS

These two teams are meeting up for the first time their six-game series in last season's opening round of the playoffs. Indiana won three games at home in the series, while going 1-2 at Philips Arena, including the series-clincher victory in Game 6 in Atlanta, 81-73. The Pacers play on the second of a back-to-back after Tuesday's home contest against Toronto, as Indiana is 2-4 SU/ATS the last six road games with no rest this season. The defensive-minded Pacers are riding a 7-1 stretch to the 'under,' including three straight 'unders' on the highway.

The Hawks look to snap a three-game skid following Monday's 91-86 setback at Brooklyn. Atlanta has dropped four of six contests since Al Horford suffered a season-ending pectoral injury, while going 'under' the total in four straight games. However, the Hawks own a 7-2 mark to the 'over' in the last nine games at Philips Arena, including last Friday's one-point setback to Golden State. Since late November, Atlanta has won eight of its past 10 home contests, while going 3-1 ATS this season as a home 'dog.

Suns at Wolves - 9:35 PM EST

Phoenix: 20-12 SU, 23-8-1 ATS
Minnesota: 17-17 SU, 19-15 ATS

The Suns continue their road trip through the frigid Midwest, as Phoenix is 15-3 ATS as an underdog this season. Jeff Hornacek's club plays with no rest after Tuesday's contest against short-handed Chicago, as the Suns have won each of their last three games on the second of a back-to-back. Eric Bledsoe continues to be out of the Phoenix lineup with a knee injury as the Suns have split eight games this season without the guard.

The Wolves have been up and down as of late, alternating wins and losses in each of their five games, coming off a 126-95 rout of the Sixers on Monday. Minnesota has won and covered four straight contests as a favorite of at least five points, while Rick Adelman's team has scored at least 117 points in each of their last five victories. Last season, the Wolves took three of four meetings from the Suns, including a pair of wins at the Target Center.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

January 8, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 0-10 ATS (-10.35 ppg) since Jan 25, 2007 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which they blocked at least 10 shots.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 0-13 OU (-15.23 ppg) since Mar 02, 2000 as a dog with no rest after a win on the road in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 0-9 ATS (-10.22 ppg) since Apr 09, 2013 after Nene took fewer than 10 shots on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Timberwolves are 0-13 ATS (-6.62 ppg) since Apr 03, 2007 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which they shot at least 13 three-pointers and made at least half of them.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Timberwolves are 0-8 OU (-8.75 ppg) since Mar 09, 2013 after Ricky Rubio shot worse than 33% from the field in a win.

-- The Magic are 8-0 OU (10.31 ppg) since Jan 18, 2005 after Jameer Nelson decreased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games after playing on the road.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Brooklyn
The Warriors bring their 13-9 road record into Brooklyn tonight to face a Nets team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams with a winning road mark. Golden State is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 8

Game 701-702: Detroit at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 116.889 Toronto 120.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Dallas at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.578; San Antonio 127.209
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7); Over

Game 705-706: Golden State at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 126.494; Brooklyn 116.246
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 10; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 200
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6); Over

Game 707-708: Indiana at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 124.070; Atlanta 123.268
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Washington at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.770; New Orleans 118.989
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 194
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Under

Game 711-712: Phoenix at Minnesota (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 123.171; Minnesota 125.118
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: LA Lakers at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 110.542; Houston 121.316
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 715-716: Orlando at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.139; Portland 129.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 17; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-12 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Boston at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 109.716; LA Clippers 124.700
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 15; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 8

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DETROIT (14 - 21) at TORONTO (16 - 17) - 1/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (20 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (27 - 8) - 1/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-92 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 98-74 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 124-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 417-350 ATS (+32.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 66-50 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 297-233 ATS (+40.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 207-164 ATS (+26.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 155-118 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 432-365 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 139-104 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (24 - 13) at BROOKLYN (13 - 21) - 1/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (28 - 6) at ATLANTA (18 - 17) - 1/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
INDIANA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (15 - 17) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 18) - 1/8/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 63-49 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (20 - 13) at MINNESOTA (17 - 17) - 1/8/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (14 - 21) at HOUSTON (22 - 13) - 1/8/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (10 - 24) at PORTLAND (26 - 9) - 1/8/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (13 - 22) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 13) - 1/8/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 8

Hot teams
-- San Antonio won five of its last six games. Mavericks won/covered last four road games.
-- Raptors won five of last seven games (7-0 vs spread).
-- Pacers won eight of their last nine games.
-- Warriors won last ten games, covering four of last five. Nets won last three games, by 2-7-5 points.
-- Rockets won three of last four at home (1-3-1 vs spread last five at home).
-- Minnesota won four of its last six games. Suns won six of last nine games, are 12-4 vs spread on road.
-- Clippers won three of last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Detroit lost seven of last eight games (0-5 vs spread last five).
-- Hawks lost last three games, by 1-7-5 points.
-- Wizards/Pelicans both lost three of their last four games.
-- Lakers lost eight of last nine games, covered one of last five.
-- Magic is 2-7 in last nine games, SU/ATS. Portland lost four of its last six games, covered twice in last ten.
-- Celtics lost last five games (1-7 vs spread last eight).

Series records
-- Spurs won their last six games with Dallas.
-- Pistons won seven of last ten games with Toronto.
-- Pacers won six of last eight games with Atlanta- they beat Hawks in six games in playoffs last spring.
-- Warriors won seven of last ten games with Brooklyn.
-- Wizards won their last three games with New Orleans.
-- Lakers lost four of last five visits to Houston.
-- Suns lost four of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Magic lost four of last six games with Portland.
-- Boston-Clippers split their last ten meetings (visitor 4-2 last six).

Totals
-- Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Brooklyn games.
-- Five of last seven New Orleans games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Houston games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Phoenix games. Over is 5-1-1 in Wolves' last seven games.
-- Eight of last ten Portland games went over total.
-- Six of last nine Clipper games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, January 8

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 14 games at home

7:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. BROOKLYN
Golden State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Brooklyn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Golden State

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
Indiana is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Indiana
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

9:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix

10:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PORTLAND
Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Orlando is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Portland is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
Portland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

10:30 PM
BOSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the LA Clippers last 15 games when playing Boston
LA Clippers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, January 8

Detroit at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 1-10 ATS after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less
Toronto: 8-1 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6

Dallas at San Antonio, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 28-15 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 4-16 ATS in home games after having won 4 of their last 5

Golden State at Brooklyn, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 32-17 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Brooklyn:

Indiana at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Indiana: 13-5 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5
Atlanta: 70-45 OVER in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

Washington at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Washington: 20-8 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
New Orleans: 21-37 ATS after a non-conference game

Phoenix at Minnesota, 9:35 ET
Phoenix: 15-4 ATS as an underdog
Minnesota: 50-76 ATS at home after 2 games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds

LA Lakers at Houston, 8:05 ET
LA Lakers: 36-62 ATS in road games
Houston: 12-3 ATS as a home underdog

Orlando at Portland, 10:05 ET
Orlando: 9-1 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points
Portland: 4-13 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses

Boston at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Boston: 9-19 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
LA Clippers: 13-4 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3

[StarDust Bum]

NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

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January's Record

*****............. 14 - 5

DOUBLE PLAYS....5 - 6

TRIPLE PLAYS.....3 - 2 - 1


Wednesday, January 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Dallas - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio -5.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Antonio - Under 206 500

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -6 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Toronto - Over 197.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Indiana - 7:30 PM ET Indiana -4.5 500 *****
Atlanta - Under 188 500

Golden State - 7:30 PM ET Golden State -6 500 *****
Brooklyn - Over 197.5 500

Washington - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -3.5 500 *****
New Orleans - Under 192 500

L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET Houston -14.5 500
Houston - Under 212 500

Phoenix - 9:30 PM ET Phoenix +7.5 500
Minnesota - Over 216.5 500 *****

Orlando - 10:00 PM ET Portland -12.5 500 *****
Portland - Under 206.5 500

Boston - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -10.5 500
L.A. Clippers - Under 197 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

January 9, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 13-0-1 ATS (12.00 ppg) since Jan 13, 2011 with at most one day of rest after a double digit win when their DPS was at least plus 15 points in their previous game.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 11-0-1 OU (11.67 ppg) since Jan 06, 2006 at home with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 0-10 OU (-16.05 ppg) since Mar 01, 2013 at home after Timofey Mozgov scored fewer than 10 points in a win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Thunder are 10-0 OU (10.65 ppg) since Mar 07, 2010 as a favorite with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they had at least 12 steals.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Thunder are 7-0 OU (16.00 ppg) since Dec 29, 2009 on the road after Thabo Sefolosha shot worse than 33% from the field the last two games.

-- The Knicks are 0-7 OU (-11.29 ppg) since Apr 28, 2012 after a game in which more than 70% of their baskets were assisted.

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint

January 9, 2014


Now that the college football season is over and the NFL only has seven games left to bet, sportsbooks are catering to the serious bettors and the majority of those individuals are betting the NBA. The Association is a grind but certainly a fun one to follow and bet. With that being said, let’s bring you up to speed on this week before we break down Thursday’s card, which will feature a pair of contenders against two clubs that appear to be turning the corner.

Since Monday, we’ve seen favorites go 17-7 straight up and 15-9 against the spread. The books finally saw the underdogs show up on Wednesday with a 5-4 ATS mark and that included four outright wins. A few notable upsets were Brooklyn’s 102-98 victory over Golden State and Phoenix’s 104-103 road win at Minnesota as an eight-point ‘dog. With that win, the Suns own the best ATS record (24-9) in the league.

Total players have watched the ‘under’ go 16-8 since Monday.

Miami at New York (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

The Heat (27-8 SU, 16-19 ATS) and Knicks (12-22 SU, 14-20 ATS) will collide from MSG tonight and even though the game looks like a mismatch based on records, New York has been in better form lately.

Mike Woodson’s team has won three of four games and the lone loss during this stretch came by two points at Houston (102-100). Despite the recent run, some bettors might have trouble backing a team that is just 5-12 SU and 4-13 ATS at home. Plus, it’s even harder to fade the two-time defending

champions. To no surprise, Miami is laying points (Opening Line 6 ½) on the road and it’s proven to be a solid team to back in this spot. The number has already moved up to 8 ½ and it's climbing. As a road favorite, the Heat have gone 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS this season.

Also, New York has struggled as a home underdog this season, going 1-5 both SU and ATS. The lone win during this span came in mid-December when the Knicks defeated the Hawks 111-106 as one-point ‘dogs.

Miami has gone 17-6 versus the Eastern Conference this season. However, the club is just 10-13 ATS. On the road against the East, the Heat have gone 6-4 both SU and ATS. Against the Atlantic Division, Miami is 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS.

This will be the first meeting between the two teams this season. Last year, the Knicks took three of four against the Heat and the lone loss was by six points. The total went 2-2.

The Heat could be without Shane Battier (quad) and Mario Chalmers (Achilles) for tonight. Both are listed as ‘questionable’ and so are the Knicks’ Keynon Martin (illness), Tyson Chandler (illness) and Beno Udrih (back).

This will be the first of a six straight games on the road for the Heat, all of them on the East Coast. After this game, the Knicks will head to Philadelphia on Saturday.

Oklahoma City at Denver (TNT, 10:35 p.m. ET)

Similar to the Knicks, the Nuggets (17-17 SU, 15-18 ATS) have also underachieved this season but they’ve been starting to heat up. After dropping eight straight, Denver has bounced back with three consecutive victories, the last two coming by 22 and 31 points against the Lakers and Celtics respectively.

Oklahoma City (27-8 SU, 19-16 ATS) is on a much higher level than Los Angeles and Boston, which was noted in the opening number. Despite being banged up, the Thunder opened as short road favorites and that number could be based on the recent encounters between the pair.

Oklahoma City has already defeated Denver twice this season, winning 115-113 at home on Nov. 18 before capturing a 105-93 road win on Dec. 17. For what it’s worth, Denver took three of four from Oklahoma City last season but both teams had completely different rotations and players.

It is rare to see Denver catching points at the Pepsi Center but it’s happened six times so far this season. Unfortunately for the Nuggets, they’ve gone 2-4 both SU and ATS. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in these situations.

Meanwhile, bettors should be aware that Oklahoma City has been a strong road favorite, going 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS. However, they’ve gone 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS in their last two games as a road ‘chalk’ which might make you believe that things are starting to balance out. Keep an eye on the fatigue factor for OKC as well, since it will be playing its fourth game in six days tonight.

The opening number on the total came out at 208. The Nuggets have watched their last four games go ‘over’ the number and OKC is on a decent 3-0 ‘over’ run as well.

OKC forward Serge Ibaka (illness) missed Tuesday’s loss at Utah and is listed as ‘questionable’ for tonight. Nuggets forward Wilson Chandler (groin) is listed as ‘questionable’ as well.

The Thunder will return home on Saturday to face Milwaukee. Denver will host Orlando on Saturday.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 9

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MIAMI (27 - 8) at NEW YORK (12 - 22) - 1/9/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (27 - 8) at DENVER (17 - 17) - 1/9/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 9

Hot teams
-- Miami won five of its last six games (1-4 last five AF). Knicks won three of last four games, but are 4-13 vs spread at home.
-- Denver won its last three games, by 3-22-31 points.

Cold Teams
-- Thunder lost three of their last five games.

Series records
-- Knicks won three of last four games with Miami.
-- Thunder is 2-0 vs Denver this year, winning by 2-12 points.

Totals
-- Last three New York games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Denver games went over the total.




NBA

Thursday, January 9

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW YORK
Miami is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Miami
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oklahoma City is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Denver
Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Denver is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games


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NBA

Thursday, January 9

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Heat at Knicks: What bettors need to know
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Miami Heat at New York Knicks

The last thing the stumbling New York Knicks need is a distraction - but they have one looming as they prepare to host the Miami Heat on Thursday evening. The Knicks are reportedly looking to deal enigmatic guard J.R. Smith following his latest discretion - untying Greg Monroe's shoe during New York's 89-85 win over Detroit and earning a $50,000 fine in the process. The Knicks will have their hands full with a Heat team looking to build on its three-game winning streak.

While the Knicks continue their slow implosion in a year when a top-4 seed in the East is up for grabs, the Heat are rolling along in what looks more than ever like a showdown with the Indiana Pacers in the conference finals. The two-time defending NBA champions steamrolled the New Orleans Hornets 107-88 on Tuesday night to improve to 3-1 in the new year. Not even home-court advantage is on the side of the Knicks, who are 5-12 at Madison Square Garden.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE HEAT (27-8): Miami has long been known for using a small-ball lineup, but head coach Erik Spoelstra isn't afraid to clog the paint. With Chris Bosh and Chris Andersen in at the same time, the Heat limited New Orleans to one offensive rebound over the final 24 minutes of the rout. "It wouldn't be as effective now if (Bosh) hasn't had the evolution that he's had," Spoelstra told the Miami Herald. "He knows how to play on the perimeter now, he knows how to play with another big that doesn't compromise our spacing and he can still get to the rim."

ABOUT THE KNICKS (12-22): Smith's tumultuous tenure with the Knicks appears to be coming to an end following his shenanigans against the Pistons. Head coach Mike Woodson referred to Smith's tactics as "unacceptable" in an interview on an ESPN New York radio show. "I'm not happy about this, because he was warned, he comes back and he makes the same mistake, and it's not right," Woodson said. "It's just got to stop. I keep saying this every time something pops up, but it's got to stop."

TRENDS:

* Under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in New York.
* Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Over is 9-2 in Heat last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. New York has won four of the previous six meetings, while the road team has prevailed in three straight.

2. Bosh averages 20.3 points and 8.7 rebounds in 36 career games against the Knicks.

3. Miami is 21-5 when scoring 100 or more points, while New York is just 7-5.


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NBA

Thursday, January 9

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Thunder at Nuggets: What bettors need to know
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

Kevin Durant is doing his part to make up for the loss of Russell Westbrook but the Oklahoma City Thunder are still finding it more difficult to win. The Thunder will look to bounce back from a tough loss when they visit the red-hot Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Durant put up an NBA season-high 48 points at Minnesota on Saturday and matched that number at Utah on Tuesday, but Oklahoma City only got the win in one of those contests.

The Thunder won their first two after Westbrook went down but dropped three of the next five, including the 112-101 loss at Utah on Tuesday in which they were burned down the stretch by Gordon Hayward. “That’s not how we play,” coach Scott Brooks said of the poor defensive effort. “That’s not what makes us successful. I knew the guys were going to battle back and make a game out of it. We had a chance to cut it to two or three but our defense gave up 58 percent shooting.” Oklahoma City will need to tighten things up against a Nuggets squad averaging 125.7 points during a three-game winning streak.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE THUNDER (27-8): Durant has gone for 33 or more points in five of the seven games since Westbrook went out with a knee injury and Reggie Jackson is producing in the point guard spot but the absence of Serge Ibaka (flu-like symptoms) on Tuesday hurt the defense. “(I want to see) toughness and even more toughness and some fight,” Durant said. “We just have to stay together. We lost a basketball game on the road. It’s not the end of the world. … We just have to regroup and be better next game.” Oklahoma City had won eight in a row on the road before falling to the Jazz.

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (17-17): Denver cleared the air with a series of meetings around the New Year and is surging in the last three games. The Nuggets destroyed the Boston Celtics 129-98 on Tuesday after putting up 137 points on the Los Angeles Lakers in the previous contest. “Coach let us hoop,” forward Kenneth Faried said of the difference the last few games. “He just let us get out and play. He figured out that this altitude (in Denver) is a killer for teams and the personnel that we have is people who will get out and run, play great defense, and it’s fun when we do that instead of just calling plays all the time.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in Denver.
* Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last four overall.
* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a S.U. loss.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Thunder won in Denver 105-93 on Dec. 17 and have taken each of the first two meetings this season.

2. Faried is averaging 18 points on 69 percent shooting over the past three games.

3. Oklahoma City G Thabo Sefolosha is dealing with a finger injury and is just 5-for-22 from the field in the last three games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, January 9

Miami at New York, 8:00 ET
Miami: 13-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points
New York: 4-13 ATS in home games

Oklahoma City at Denver, 10:35 ET
Oklahoma City: n/a
Denver: n/a