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  • #31
    Preview: Texans (2-2) at 49ers (2-2)

    Date: October 06, 2013 8:30 PM EDT


    A decisive and much-needed victory helped the San Francisco 49ers end their recent two-game slide and regain some confidence.

    Now, they hope to prevent the Houston Texans from doing the same when the teams meet Sunday night at Candlestick Park.

    After being outscored 56-10 in consecutive losses to Seattle and Indianapolis, San Francisco (2-2) looked dominant on both sides of the ball during a 35-11 win at St. Louis on Sept. 26.

    "You want that response," coach Jim Harbaugh said. "I thought the team stared adversity in the face (with) a lot of grit and determination. The guys played with great energy and great toughness."

    After rushing for 142 yards in the first three games, Frank Gore ran for 153 and a touchdown against the Rams. Teammate Anquan Boldin caught five passes for 90 yards and a TD following the same two-game stretch in which he had six receptions for 74.

    Colin Kaepernick completed 47.3 percent of his passes while throwing four interceptions, no touchdowns and taking six sacks versus Seattle and Indianapolis. Against the Rams, he went 15 of 23 for 167 yards but threw two TDs without a pick.

    "We know the talent we have on this team," Kaepernick said. "We know what we're capable of."

    A defensive unit that gave up 356 rushing yards to the Seahawks and Colts held the Rams to 18 even without stars Patrick Willis and Aldon Smith in the lineup.

    "Really, a good team win when you look at the defense,' Harbaugh said. "... What was most impressive was the way the guys played together as a unit."

    As Smith remains out indefinitely while attending a rehab facility following his second drunken-driving arrest, it's uncertain if Willis will return from a groin injury. Offensive lineman Joe Staley is expected to play after he injured his leg at St. Louis.

    Like the 49ers, Houston (2-2) is a Super Bowl hopeful mired in a mediocre start and looking to avoid a third consecutive defeat.

    "We're not where we want to be, but there's a long, long way to go," Texans coach Gary Kubiak said. "We're a very capable football team, but we've got to be a more consistent football team."

    After beating San Diego and Tennessee by a combined nine points, the Texans were blown out 30-9 at Baltimore, then blew a 17-point halftime lead in last Sunday's 23-20 overtime loss to Seattle.

    That defeat prompted the team to hold a players-only meeting Monday.

    "This isn't fun, man. I was sick of it after one loss," said defensive end J.J. Watt, who has recorded all 3 1/2 of his sacks in the last three games.

    "We'll get it fixed. Everything that's wrong will be fixed. I can promise that."

    Quarterback Matt Schaub needs to show some improvement after throwing six interceptions already - one of which has been returned for a TD in three straight games.

    Despite those struggles, Kubiak has no plans to make a change.

    "He's our quarterback," he said. "I don't see a lack of confidence. I see poor decision-making situations. It's something he has to handle and something we have to help him handle."

    Schaub should remain comfortable relying on running back Arian Foster, who recorded 171 total yards last Sunday after totaling 227 in the first three games.

    Houston allowed an average of 91.3 rushing yards through the first three weeks of the season, but yielded 179 to the Seahawks.

    Stopping Kaepernick and Gore could be even tougher if linebacker Brian Cushing is unable to play after he suffered a concussion against Seattle. Cushing, who leads the team with 33 tackles, is being put through the league's mandatory concussion protocol.

    The Texans and 49ers split their previous two meetings with each winning at home by three points.

    In Houston's 24-21 victory over San Francisco in 2009, Schaub went 20 of 30 for 264 yards with two TDs and no interceptions. One of those touchdowns went to tight end Owen Daniels, who caught seven passes for 123 yards.

    Vernon Davis had three TD receptions for the 49ers in that contest, but Gore was held to 32 yards on 13 carries.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #32
      Preview: Chargers (2-2) at Raiders (1-3)

      Date: October 06, 2013 11:35 PM EDT


      While the San Diego Chargers' Philip Rivers and Antonio Gates have turned back the clock in coach Mike McCoy's up-tempo attack, the development of Oakland Raiders quarterback Terrell Pryor has been stunted a bit due to a concussion.

      Pryor appears to be on track to return as these banged-up AFC West rivals meet Sunday night with the Chargers looking to move above .500 by beating the Raiders for the 17th time in 20 meetings.

      This contest was moved to an 8:35 p.m. PDT kickoff because the Oakland Athletics are hosting Game 2 of the AL division series Saturday night and it takes too long to convert the Coliseum to play an afternoon game.

      The Raiders (1-3) hope to benefit from the switch as they try to recover from several injuries and prepare for a San Diego offense that has been difficult to stop under its new coach.

      "It's a divisional game, so we know it's going to be a tough, competitive football game," Oakland coach Dennis Allen told the team's official website. "I think they've got good players, and again, we're going to have to play well to beat them."

      Pryor, the team's second-leading rusher with 198 yards, completed 19 of 28 passes for a career-high 281 yards and a touchdown before being knocked out in a 37-21 loss at Denver on Sept. 23. He missed last Sunday's 24-14 loss to Washington.

      Pryor returned to practice Wednesday and was working with the first team. He is once again symptom free and appears on target to resume his starting role Sunday.

      He plans to be the same player he was before the injury, not worried about taking another hard hit.

      "I just try to make the right decisions and the smart decisions and be a smart person and player," Pryor said. "Obviously, if there's three guys coming cramming down on me I don't want to challenge all three of those guys so get down. Just be myself and play football. That's how I have to play."

      He made his first career start in last season's finale at San Diego, connecting on 13 of 28 attempts for 150 yards with two scores and one interception in a 24-21 loss.

      Leading rusher Darren McFadden (hamstring) and center Stefen Wisniewski (knee) are not expected to play against the Chargers (2-2), while fullback Marcel Reece (knee) does not have a timetable for his return.

      Rashad Jennings may have to assume the backfield duties after gaining 45 yards on 15 carries while catching eight passes for 71 yards against Washington.

      "If you have the right mentality nothing really changes," Jennings said. "You prepare that you're carrying the load always. We hope he's healthy. He's a big part of this team. Whatever role I'm asked to take on I'll be ready for it."

      San Diego also suffered a big loss when it had to place Dwight Freeney on injured reserve after the linebacker tore his quadriceps last weekend. Freeney leads the team with 15 quarterback hurries and three hits.

      "Anytime you lose a great player like Dwight Freeney, it's a blow to your team," McCoy said. "That's offense, defense, special teams, in your league. When you lose one of the greatest players of all-time on your team, with an injury like that, in a game, that's tough."

      McCoy, a former offensive coordinator with the Broncos, has certainly provided a lift for a San Diego team that ranks seventh in the NFL with 27.0 points per game and eighth in total offense with an average of 396.3 yards.

      Following a two-year stretch in which he threw 35 interceptions and posted an 88.7 passer rating, Rivers has returned to the form that has earned him four trips to the Pro Bowl.

      He completed 35 of 42 passes for 401 yards with three scores and one pick in last Sunday's 30-21 win over Dallas. Rivers' 83.3 percent completion rate was the highest in NFL history for a 400-yard passing game.

      He's only been intercepted twice while ranking second in the league in completion percentage (73.9), touchdowns (11) and passer rating (118.8), trailing Denver's Peyton Manning in each category.

      "I feel in sync," Rivers said. "I have a rhythm and I'm comfortable in the pocket when we get that no-huddle going."

      Rivers is 6-1 as a starter in Oakland and has thrown for 306.0 yards per game with seven touchdowns and two picks in his last four there.

      Gates has particularly benefited from Rivers' resurgence with 23 receptions for 315 yards and two scores in his last three games. The five-time All-Pro tight end had 10 catches - his most since 2007 - for 136 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys.

      He's hauled in a TD in four of his last six meetings with the Raiders.

      The Chargers have won 16 of 19 in the series but took last year's two meetings by a combined 11 points.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #33
        Week 5 Tip Sheet

        October 6, 2013


        Chiefs (-3, 38 ½) at Titans - 1:00 PM EST

        Kansas City: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS
        Tennessee: 3-1, 3-0-1 ATS

        Last week's results: The Chiefs dominated the winless Giants, 31-7, the third victory by double-digits this season. Kansas City has won all three games against NFC East opponents, while allowing 16 points in each of its four contests this season. The Titans cruised past the Jets as 3 ½-point favorites, 38-13, the fourth straight home victory since the end of last season.

        Previous meeting result: Kansas City crushed Tennessee, 34-14 in December 2010 as four-point home favorites. Dwayne Bowe hauled in 153 yards receiving and one touchdown, while Chris Johnson was limited to 58 yards on the ground for the Titans. Tennessee has won each of the last two meetings with Kansas City at LP Field.

        Betting notes: Since Week 10 of last season, the Chiefs are 10-1-1 to the 'under' the past 12 contests, including a 5-0-1 'under' mark on the highway. The Titans have cashed in just two of the last six opportunities in the home underdog role, while losing three of those games by double-digits.

        Patriots (-1, 45) at Bengals - 1:00 PM EST

        New England: 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS
        Cincinnati: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS

        Last week's results: New England put together another solid performance in a 30-23 road triumph at Atlanta last Sunday night. The Patriots cashed outright in their first underdog role of the season, while racking up 448 yards of offense to even up their ATS mark at 2-2. Cincinnati's roller-coaster season continued after getting shut down at Cleveland as short away favorites, 17-6. The Bengals gained only 266 yards of offense, while dropping to 0-2 on the highway.

        Previous meeting result: The Patriots have won each of the last four matchups, including a 38-24 victory in the 2010 season opener as five-point home 'chalk.' New England dominated Cincinnati in each of the past two visits to Paul Brown Stadium, winning by 21 and 25 points.

        Betting notes: New England has failed to cover four of the last six games in the road favorite role, but the Pats are 5-1 straight-up in this stretch. The Bengals have won five of their previous six home contests, while posting a 7-2 mark to the 'under' in the last nine games at Paul Brown Stadium.

        Seahawks (-3, 44) at Colts - 1:00 PM EST

        Seattle: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
        Indianapolis: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS

        Last week's results: Seattle rallied to stun Houston in overtime, 23-20, erasing a 20-3 deficit to cash as one-point road favorites. The Seahawks won in spite of being outgained by 206 yards, while covering nine of 10 games since last December. The Colts routed the hapless Jaguars, 37-3 for their second straight win, while outscoring their last two opponents, 64-10.

        Previous meeting result: Indianapolis crushed Seattle at Lucas Oil Stadium in 2009 by a 34-17 count as 10-point favorites. The teams have split the last eight matchups since 1991, with a majority of those games coming when the Seahawks played in the AFC.

        Betting notes: Seattle is seeking road wins in successive weeks for the first time since 2007, while posting a 5-10 SU record on the highway under Pete Carroll when coming off a victory. The Colts won and covered in all four opportunities as a home underdog last season.

        Saints (-1, 50 ½) at Bears - 1:00 PM EST

        New Orleans: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS
        Chicago: 3-1 SU, 1-2-1 ATS

        Last week's results: The Saints took care of the previously unbeaten Dolphins on Monday night, 38-17 as seven-point home favorites. New Orleans has cruised to three victories at the Superdome, while limiting each of its four opponents to 17 points or less. The Bears were stymied early in last Sunday's 40-32 defeat at Detroit, as Chicago trailed by as many as 24 points. Chicago turned the ball over four times, while hitting the 'over' for the fourth time in four games.

        Previous meeting result: The Bears have won each of the last three matchups against the Saints at Soldier Field, but New Orleans destroyed Chicago at the Superdome back in 2011. The Saints took care of the Bears, 30-13 in Week 2 of the '11 season, which included three touchdown passes by Drew Brees.

        Betting notes: New Orleans owns a 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS record in the last seven games in the road favorite role, with the lone SU win/ATS loss coming at Tampa Bay in Week 2. The Bears have drilled the 'over' in six straight games since last December, while posting a 1-6-1 ATS record the past eight games at Soldier Field.

        Broncos (-7 ½, 57 ½) at Cowboys - 4:25 PM EST

        Denver: 4-0 SU, 3-0-1 ATS
        Dallas: 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS

        Last week's results: The Broncos' offense continues to look unstoppable after trouncing the Eagles, 52-20. Denver has topped the 37-point mark in all four games this season, while easily cashing the 'over' each time. The Cowboys blew a 21-10 lead in a 30-21 setback at San Diego last Sunday as a short road favorite, as Dallas hasn't been able to win consecutive games this season.

        Previous meeting result: Denver rallied past Dallas as a short home underdog in 2009 by scoring the final 10 points of a 17-10 triumph. Even though these teams meet infrequently, the Broncos have won each of the last four matchups dating back to 1998.

        Betting notes: The Broncos have cashed the 'over' in seven of the last eight games since Week 15 of last season, while winning seven consecutive road contests. The Cowboys have covered two of their last three opportunities as a home 'dog since 2010, but have lost each contest straight-up.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #34
          SNF Doubleheader

          October 6, 2013


          **Texans at 49ers**

          --As of early this morning most spots were listing San Francisco (2-2 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) as a six-point favorite with a total of 42.5. The Texans are available on the money line for a +230 return (risk $100 to win $230). For first-half bets, the 49ers are favored by 3.5 with a total of 21.

          --Houston (2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS) is looking to bounce back from a gut-wrenching home loss to Seattle. The Texans led 20-3 at halftime and 20-6 midway through the fourth quarter. After a Marshawn Lynch touchdown run made it 20-13, Gary Kubiak’s team was driving with less than three minutes remaining. However, Richard Sherman intercepted an across-the-field pass and returned it 58 yards for a TD. In overtime, Steven Hauschka buried a 45-yard field goal to lift the Seahawks to a 23-20 triumph as one-point road favorites.

          --Schaub threw for 255 yards and two touchdowns against Seattle, but two interceptions were costly. Arian Foster ran for 102 yards in the losing effort, while Andre Johnson had nine receptions for 110 yards.

          --For the season, Schaub has an 8/6 TD-INT ratio. Johnson has 34 catches for 368 yards but has yet to score a touchdown. Foster has 292 rushing yards and one TD, but he’s averaging a mere 3.8 yards per carry. Meanwhile, back-up RB Ben Tate has 228 rushing yards and a 6.7 YPC average.

          --Houston LB Brian Cushing leads the team in tackles with 25. He also has a pick-six, 1.5 sacks and one forced fumble. DE J.J. Watt has 3.5 sacks and is second on the team with 17 tackles.

          --After dropping back-to-back games in blowout fashion, San Francisco went into St. Louis last Thursday in dire need of a victory. Without Pro-Bowl LB Patrick Willis and pass-rushing specialist Aldon Smith (rehab), Jim Harbaugh’s team captured a 35-11 victory as a three-point road favorite. Frank Gore rushed for 153 yards and one TD, while Colin Kaepernick threw a pair of TD passes without an interception.

          --Willis remains ‘questionable’ with a groin injury and starting CB Nnamdi Asomugha is also a question mark due to a sprained. Like Willis, Asomugha did not play against the Rams. Smith will be out at least three more games. On the bright side, starting OT Joe Staley is ‘probable’ after hurting his knee at St. Louis.

          --Kaepernick struggled mightily in consecutive losses at Seattle (29-3) and vs. Indianapolis (27-7) when he was intercepted four times and the 49ers scored only 10 combined points. The Nevada product has a 5/4 TD-INT ratio for the season. Kaepernick has yet to rush for a score. He has a 15/7 career TD-INT ratio.

          --San Francisco ranks third in the NFL in total defense and pass defense. However, the 49ers are just 18th in scoring defense, allowing 23.8 points per game.

          --Houston is the NFL’s top-ranked defense in terms of total yards allowed and also is tops in pass defense. But it somehow is just 23rd in scoring defense, giving up 26.2 PPG. In similar fashion. the Texans are fifth in total offense, seventh in rushing yards and ninth in passing. Nevertheless, they are only 19th in scoring offense with a 22.5 PPG average. --The 'over' is 3-1 for Houston with its games playing to the following combined point totals: 59, 54, 39 and 43.

          --Totals have been a wash for San Francisco both overall (2-2) and in its home games (1-1).

          --Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. Eastern on NBC.

          **Chargers at Raiders**

          --This game has been moved to an 11:35 p.m. Eastern kick since the A’s host a playoff game on Saturday night. NFL Network will have the telecast.

          --As of early this morning, most books had the Chargers favored by five with a total of 45. Gamblers can back the Raiders to win outright for a +180 return (risk $100 to win $180). For first-half wagers, San Diego is a three-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 22.

          --San Diego (2-2 SU, 3-0-1 ATS) bounced back from a tough loss at Tennessee to knock off Dallas 30-21 last week as a one-point home underdog. The 51 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 47-point total. Philip Rivers produced another stellar performance, completing 35-of-42 passes for 401 yards and three touchdowns. Antonio Gates hauled in 10 receptions for 136 yards and one TD, while Danny Woodhead made a pair of TD grabs.

          --Rivers has been sensational this season, completing 73.9 percent of his throws for 1,199 yards with an 11/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Gates has also returned to All-Pro form with a team-high 25 catches for 262 yards and two TDs. Eddie Royal is enjoying a breakout campaign with 15 receptions for 190 yards and five TDs. Danny Woodhead has been a key addition with the way he can catch the ball out of the backfield. Woodhead is averaging 4.7 yards per carry and has 22 catches for 162 yards and two TDs.

          --Oakland (1-3 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) has dropped back-to-back games since beating Jacksonville 19-9 in Week 2. The Raiders let a 14-0 first-quarter advantage get away in last week’s 24-14 loss to Washington as 3.5-point home underdogs. With Terrelle Pryor sidelined (concussion), Matt Flynn struggled and threw a crucial pick-six that completely altered the momentum of the game. Flynn has subsequently been demoted to third-string. Pryor returns and will start, while undrafted rookie Matt McGloin will be the No. 2 QB.

          --Oakland RB Darrren McFadden suffered a hamstring injury against the Redskins and is listed as ‘doubtful.’ McFadden has run for 215 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.

          --Pryor played surprisingly well in starting the Raiders’ first three games. He completed 65.4 percent of his throws for 624 yards with a 2/2 TD-INT ratio. The athletic Pryor has also rushed for 198 yards with a 7.6 YPC average. --San Diego has beaten Oakland in the last three head-to-head meetings, going 2-1 ATS.

          --The ‘over’ is 3-1 overall for the Chargers, 1-1 in their road games.

          --The ‘under’ is 3-1 overall for Oakland, 2-0 in its home games.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #35
            NFL
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Week 5

            Eagles (1-3) @ Giants (0-4)—Both teams in freefall; winless Giants have 12 turnovers (-9) in four games, have been outscored 100-21 in last five halves and have only one TD on 25 drives in last two games, as banged-up OL can’t open holes or protect immobile QB Manning. Big Blue has been inside opponents’ 20-yard line once in last two games. Philly has been outscored 131-74 in last seven halves, as gimmicky fast-break offense flopped because defense can’t keep other team off field- they’ve allowed first down on 21 of last 41 3rd plays) and special teams allowed two TDs last week in Denver. Eagles are 17-8 vs spread in last 25 games as road underdog (1-1 this year); since ’09, Giants are 10-18-1 as a home favorite. Philly won eight of last ten series games, splitting last four; their 42-7 loss here LY was their first in last six visits to Swamp. Home favorites in divisional games are 9-4 vs spread so far this season. Three of four Eagle games went over the total.

            Chiefs (4-0) @ Titans (3-1)—Unbeaten KC was 2-14 LY, so great story being written by Reid, canned after 14 (mostly good) years in Philly; Chiefs (+9) have 12 takeaways already, have given up only four TDs on 51 drives, allowing opponent inside its red zone four times (one TD, two FGs). On offense, they’ve run ball for 120.8 ypg, converted 24-59 (40.7%) of 3rd down plays, using scatback McCluster on key plays. Titans are off to solid 3-1 start, but lost QB Locker (hip) last week; in steps veteran Fitzpatrick, making 68th (23-41-1 W-L as starter Rams/Bills) NFL start, so he’s decent backup. Tennessee is also +9 in turnovers, with no giveaways in four games. Home side lost four of last six series games; Chiefs split two visits here, with last one in ’04. AFC West teams are 11-2 vs spread outside its division, 6-1 when favored; AFC South teams are 3-8 outside its division, 2-4 as an underdog (0-2 as HU). All four Chief games stayed under the total.

            Ravens (2-2) @ Dolphins (3-1)—Well-coached Miami is 7-3 vs spread under Philbin in games where spread was 3 or less points; they’re 6-4 in last 10 games as home favorite (3-2 under Philbin). Fish lost first game Monday night, getting torched by Brees’ (30-39/397) passing- they won only home game so far on last-minute TD vs Falcons. Flacco threw five picks in 23-20 loss at Buffalo last week; Ravens covered once in last five games as a road dog- they’re 0-2 on foreign soil this year, converting just 11-38 on 3rd down—think Flacco misses Boldin/Pitta? Would expect Harbaugh to try and run ball more; they had only nine carries for 24 yards at Buffalo, with 54 dropbacks. Baltimore won last three series games by 14-18-16 points; they’ve won last two visits here, after losing four of previous five. Eight of last ten series totals were 38 or less. Last three Miami games went over the total; last three Raven games stayed under.

            Jaguars (0-4) @ Rams (1-3)— Immense pressure on disappointing Rams to win this game, after getting smoked last three weeks, trailing 21-0/24-0/24-3 in three games; St Louis is double digit favorite for first time since ’04- they have total of 122 rushing yards in last three games, so expect them to try to establish some type of run game early on, vs Jaguar defense that allowed 177 rushing ypg in its last three tilts. Jax has been outscored 75-8 in first half of games, and that includes safety they got on blocked punt for first score of season. Rams won two of last three series games, with home side winning all three, all decided by a FG. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 4-1 vs spread this season; AFC South teams are 3-8 vs spread outside their division. Three of four Jaguar games stayed under total; three of four St Louis games went over. Jags owner Kahn tried to buy Rams but Kroenke had first dibs, as former minority (40%) owner.

            Patriots (4-0) @ Bengals (2-2)—You get feeling Brady could have Tweeter from Varsity Blues as a WR and Pats would still score 30 points; they’ve only turned ball over once in last three games (+5) while converting 13-28 on third down in last two games. Unbeaten NE’s run defense will miss NT Willfork (achilles); they’ve allowed total of 155 rushing yards in last two games. Bengals scored 20-34 points in winning their two home games; they’re 4-2-1 in last seven games as home favorites, after being 3-13 in 16 games prior to that. Cincy lost field position battle in all four games, in part due to converting just 8 of last 25 third down plays. Pats are 7-2 in last nine games where spread was 3 or less points; Bengals are 16-8-1 in their last 25. Bengals lost four in row and seven of last eight series games, allowing 36.3 ppg in last four. Three of four NE games stayed under total, as Patriots allowed only one TD, four FGs on opponents’ last eight red zone drives.

            Seahawks (4-0) @ Colts (3-1)—Unbeaten Seattle was down 20-3 at half in Houston last week, but defense shut Texans out in second half, scored tying TD with pick-6 in last 3:00 before they won with FG in OT, their ninth straight regular season win. Hawks ran for average of 169 ypg last three weeks, with mobile QB Wilson doing as much damage with his legs as his arm. Seattle is 3-2 in last five series games but lost two of three visits here; they’re 3-4 as road favorites under Carroll, 2-0 this year (won 12-7/23-20). Indy allowed one TD on 21 drives in sweeping road swing, including impressive 27-7 win at SF; they’re 7-4 as home dogs in post-Manning era, 8-2 SU at home under Pagano. Three of four Indy games stayed under the total. NFC South teams are 3-8 vs spread outside its division; NFC West teams are 7-4, 4-1 when favored. NFL-wide, non-divisional home underdogs are 9-6 vs spread this season.

            Lions (3-1) @ Packers (1-2)—Green Bay won 14 of last 15 series games (Rodgers didn’t play in loss), taking last four by average score of 31-24; Lions have lost 22 games in a row in Wisconsin, 19 in row at Lambeau, with last three all by 7 or less points. Last Lion win at Lambeau was 1991. Pack won its last four post-bye games, scoring 31.5 ppg, but they’re 1-2 this season, despite scoring 11 TDs on 34 drives- they lost last game in Cincinnati on fumble return for TD by Bengals in last 4:00. Detroit scored 27+ points in all three of its wins; they’ve averaged 7.4+ yards/pass attempt in three of four games. Lions had four TDs last week; one by defense, other three on drives of 51 or less yards, so defense/special teams are creating easier chances for what is a good offense. Bush returned to spark run game (159 yards) last week (76.3/first three games). NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 9-5 vs spread this year, 3-3 if spread is more than five points. All three Packer games went over the total.

            Saints (4-0) @ Bears (3-1)—Curious to see Saints in second road (outdoor) game; offense was dominant (11 TDs/31 drives) in three home wins, but they were lucky to win 16-14 on stormy Week 2 day in Tampa, kicking three FGs on four trips in Bucs’ red zone, plus throwing a pick-6. Lack of running game (81.3 ypg) could hurt here by prolific Bear team scoring 31.8 ppg (9 TDs on last 37 drives, plus three defensive TDs in last three games). Chicago has 3+ takeaways in all four games (+5). NO is 9-5 in last 14 games where spread was 3 or less points, 6-4 in last ten non-divisional road games. Home side won last five series games with average total in last four, 51.3; Saints lost last6 three visits here by 25-8-3 points. NFC South road teams are 0-4 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC North teams are 3-4-1 outside their division. All four Chicago games went over total, with average total, 60.3; three of four New Orleans games stayed under total.

            Panthers (1-2) @ Cardinals (2-2)—Carolina won seven of last nine series games, winning four of last five visits here; Rivera is 0-2 in post-bye games, losing 30-2/19-14. Panthers are 5-14 in first half of season in his tenure, 9-7 in second half. Carolina’s two losses are by total of six points, as Bills drove length of field in last minute to nip Carolina 24-23 in its only road game. Arizona beat Detroit in its only home game, despite giving up a defensive TD; three of their four games were decided by 4 or less points. Cardinals 2-0 in games with spreads of 3 or less points this year, after being 4-10-1 in last 15 such games under Whisenhunt. NFC South non-divisional road teams are 0-4 vs spread this season; NFC West teams are 7-4 outside their division. Arizona struggled on offense (two TDs/24 drives) in splitting pair on road last two weeks; they’re 7-34 on 3rd down last three games, but Fitzgerald had strong half last week, as Redbirds rallied from 10-0 down at half to win at Tampa.

            Chargers (2-2) @ Raiders (1-3)—San Diego won last three series games by 12-8-3 points; they’ve won eight of last nine visits here, with only loss in ’10. Three of Bolts’ four games were won by exactly three points; Rivers seems rejuvenated (25-50 on 3rd down, only two INTs), averaging 8.6/6.7/8.2 yards/pass attempt in last three games. Flynn was disappointing (18-31/217, two turnovers) in first Oakland start; Raiders are 3-7-1 in last 11 games as a home underdog- they’ve had only 13 plays of 20+ yards in first four games. Chargers scored 28+ points in three of four games, and lost fourth game in last minute in Nashville- they’re 7-12 in last 19 games as a road favorite. Divisional home dogs are 4-2 vs spread this season. Three of four Charger games went over total; three of four Oakland games stayed under. Game has been pushed back to 11:30 ET Sunday night because of time needed to switch from baseball configuration to football.

            Broncos (4-0) @ Cowboys (2-2)—Dallas plays Tampa 2 defense which Colts ran when Dungy coached there, so Manning practiced against it for seven years; Rivers was 35-42/392 against Cowboys last week, what will #18 do here? Chargers averaged 8.2 yards/pass attempt vs Dallas, Eli Manning averaged 9.5 in opener; Pokes will need to play their A game to stay in this one. Denver is a juggernaut right now, scoring 39.8 ppg in first four games (20 TDs on 44 drives, only eight 3/outs, with three special teams TDs as well). Broncos wear defenses out; they’ve scored 31+ second half points in three of four games and have 13 TDs, one FG in 17 red zone drives. Dallas scored 67 points in winning its two home games this year; they’re 4-2 as home dogs since ’06, 2-1 under Garrett. Broncos are 7-2 as road favorites under Fox, 14-2 as favorites with Manning at QB. NFC East teams are 3-9 vs spread outside the division, 2-5 on road, 1-4 if getting points.

            Texans (2-2) @ 49ers (2-2)—Schaub has thrown pick-6 in three straight games, including horrific one last week in last 3:00 while Houston was in Seattle territory nursing 20-13 lead; brutal loss for Texans, who led 20-3 at half and have struggled beating the better teams. Houston has only two TDs on 24 drives in last two games; they had 6-0 lead at Baltimore in Week 3 before giving up TDs on offense/special teams in 90-second span, so they’ve been beating themselves. 49ers scored 34-35 points in two wins, 3-7 in two losses; they turned ball over seven times (-6) in two losses. Niners are 12-4-1 as home favorites under Harbaugh, 1-1 this year. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 4-1 vs spread; AFC South teams are 3-8 outside the division, 2-4 on road, 2-4 as underdogs. Home side won only two games in series, with both games decided by FG. Non-divisional home favorites of 7+ points are 7-4 vs spread. Three of four Houston games went over the total.

            Jets (2-2) @ Falcons (1-3)—Jets are making way too many mistakes to win, and its not all the rookie QB; they’ve turned ball over 12 times (-10) and in last three games, they committed 38 penalties for 300 yards, which helped create field position deficits of 16-9-18 yards. Two takeaways in four games ( none in last three games) isn’t good. Atlanta failed in last-minute red zone drives on offense in Weeks 1,4, on defense in Week 3, or else they could just as easily be 4-0; Smith is 19-5 vs spread coming off loss, but something is missing with Atlanta, which is 22-12-1 as home favorite under Smith. Would expect Atlanta to try and run ball more; they’ve run ball more than 16 times in only one of four games with Jackson out of lineup. Jets are 7-12 as road underdogs under Rex Ryan, 1-7 in last eight as a non-divisional road dog. Atlanta was torched (9.2/10.2 yards/attempt) by two quality QBs they faced (Brees/Brady) but Smith isn’t in that category—Falcons held Bradford/Tannehill to 6.4/4.9.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #36
              Where the action is: Broncos most popular play

              Week 5 in the NFL features a slew of tight pointspreads and a few totals north of 50. We talk with sportsbooks about the biggest line adjustments, betting trends and where the odds will end up come kickoff Sunday.

              New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears - Open: -1, Move: +1

              The Saints haven't won at Soldier Field since 2002 but are a very popular play heading into Sunday. Uncharacteristically, the Saints own a strong defense, as they displayed strength on that side of the ball against Miami one week ago.

              "Chicago will need to get Jay Cutler playing better but the New Orleans pass rush will have a lot to say," Aron Black of Bet365 told Covers. "Close game to call, but New Orleans being flipped to small faves is probably right. This may go more to them as the Bears are being swerved so far."


              New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals - Open: Pick, Move: +1.5

              One of the handful of games that opened as a pick at various shops. The Patriots have essentially owned the Bengals over the years, winning seven of eight matchups and coming out victorious all four with Tom Brady. The Pats are always one of the most popular plays amongst public bettors and this week is no different.

              "New England has been one of the best public teams in regular season play and this weekend the punters are showing faith in them with mostly all of our ATS and SU action on NE at pick or +1," Black said. "Cincy needs to find some better play from QB Andy Dalton, and limit turnovers, either way, if there is a coach who can find a way to beat a team, its Bill Belichick."


              Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers - Open: -6.5, Move: -7.5

              The Green Bay Packers look to extend their dominance over the Detroit Lions at Lambeau Field. The Lions haven't won in Wisconsin since 1991 and sharps and the betting public are both loving the Cheese in this NFC North matchup.

              "Wiseguys and the heavy majority of betting public are both on the Pack, who opened -6.5 and are now -7.5," Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag tells Covers. "We got sharp action on Green Bay -6.5 on Monday and on Friday we decided to move to -7.5 as 73 percent of cash on the number 7 was backing Green Bay."


              Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants - Open: -3, Move: -2

              A terrible start to the season both SU (0-4) and ATS (0-4) has bettors staying away from the Giants this week. Early sharp money on Philly had moved the line to under a field goal.

              "Sharp play on the underdog Eagles at +3 on Tuesday caused us to move to New York -2," Perry said. "Seventy percent of cash is coming in on the Eagles. Giants are 0-4 ATS this season."


              Jacksonville Jaguars at St. Louis Rams - Open: 41.5, Move: 41

              Talk about a snoozer. Both of these squads don't have much to offer on either side of the ball, especially on offense. Not the most appealing of matchups, but bettors are backing the under between these two anemic offenses.

              "The under is getting played here as this game could be painful to watch, and a battle of who can run the ball less," says Black. "St. Louis has looked very ordinary and were not offering much offensively last week, but Jacksonville has been just plain awful."


              Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys - Open: -7, Move: -9

              The Broncos are one of four teams (Seattle, San Diego and Tennessee) to not suffer an ATS defeat thus far on the season and are being backed rigorously. They opened as TD faves at Dallas, but were rapidly bet up to -9.

              "Being one of only two games that kickoff around 4 p.m. ET, this game has a good chance to be the biggest decision for the shop on Sunday," says Perry. "Denver opened -7 and quickly went to -9. Seventy-nine percent of cash on Broncos."

              Aron Black suggests Cowboys' backers should hold off and wait until closer to kickoff.

              "Those who have faith in Dallas are probably best to wait as most likely this line goes to Denver before Sunday," he says. "Of all games we have this week, Denver is the most popular play - ATS, fave, dog or otherwise.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #37
                NFL

                Sunday, October 6

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Sunday's NFL Week 5 betting cheat sheet: Early action
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals (-1, 45)

                New England has not won its first five games since running the table in its 16-0 season of 2007, but it will have to overcome a major injury. Pro Bowl nose tackle Vince Wilfork was lost for the season with a torn right Achilles' tendon.

                Cincinnati managed only 266 total yards in the loss to Cleveland but will likely make a concerted effort to get the ground game going to exploit the absence of the massive Wilford in the middle. Former Patriot BenJarvus Green-Ellis is averaging a paltry 2.7 yards per carry and could be supplanted soon by rookie Giovani Bernard, who averages 4.6 yards a pop and has 10 catches the past two weeks.

                LINE: Opened pick and moved to Bengals -1. Total steady at 45.
                WEATHER: Low 70s, 77% chance of thunder showers, winds SW 8 mph.
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New England (-6.0) - Cincinnati (-1.5) + home field (-3.0) = Patriots -1.5
                TRENDS:

                * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
                * Patriots are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
                * Under is 10-3 in Bengals last 13 games overall.


                Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-7.5, 53.5)

                The Lions have scored 122 points, putting them third in the league behind Denver (179) and Chicago (127). Detroit QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson both set career highs at Green Bay on Jan. 1, 2012. Stafford passed for 520 yards while Johnson had 244 yards receiving.

                Green Bay, which is coming off its bye week, has won 22 consecutive home meetings with Detroit and 14 of the last 15 overall matchups. The Lions have not been victorious in Green Bay since Dec. 15, 1991. Aaron Rodgers is undefeated against Detroit in eight career starts with a minimum of 15 passing attempts, going 169-of-246 for 2,239 yards and 18 touchdowns with only four interceptions.

                LINE: Opened Packers -7.5. Total moved 52 to 53.5.
                WEATHER: Mid 50s, 21% chance of rain, winds WSW 8 mph.
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Detroit (-1.0) - Green Bay (-5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Packers -7
                TRENDS:

                * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
                * Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
                * Lions are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Green Bay.


                Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts (+1, 43.5)

                Seattle leads the NFC with a plus-seven turnover differential and has notched multiple interceptions in three consecutive games. The Seahawks hope to have defensive end Michael Bennett (2.5 sacks) available after he was removed from the field via stretcher with a back injury against Houston.

                Veteran sack master Robert Mathis is wreaking havoc after a three-sack outing against the Jaguars and is tied for the NFL lead with 7.5. Indianapolis has a plus-six margin in takeaways and is allowing 12.8 points per game, fourth-best in the NFL.

                LINE: Opening Seattle -2.5 and moved to -1. Total moved 43 to 43.5.
                WEATHER: N/A
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Seattle (-8.0) - Indianapolis (-2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Seahawks -2.5
                TRENDS:

                * Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.
                * Colts are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
                * Under is 22-8 in Colts last 30 games overall.


                Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-2.5, 43.5)

                Pro Bowler Ray Rice has been held in check this season, rushing for just 89 yards on 30 carries. While Rice's numbers have dipped, wideout Torrey Smith continues to benefit from the departure of Anquan Boldin to San Francisco by amassing a career-high 166 yards and a touchdown in last week's loss to the Bills.

                While Ravens QB Joe Flacco has been sacked 12 times, that number pales in comparison to the league-high 18 that Miami QB Ryan Tannehill has endured. While coach Joe Philbin dismisses the premise of a disconnect between Tannehill and offseason addition Mike Wallace, there is no denying that the two have struggled to get on the same page. The electric and outspoken wideout has just 15 receptions for 176 yards this season

                LINE: Opening Miami -3.5 and moved to -2.5. Total moved 42.5 to 43.5.
                WEATHER: Mid 80s, 30% chance of thunder showers, winds SSE 11 mph.
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Baltimore (-0.5) - Miami (0.0) + home field (-3.0) = Dolphins -2.5
                TRENDS:

                * Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Miami.
                * Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
                * Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.


                New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (Pick, 48.5)

                While the Saints' offense has been garnering the headlines, the defense quietly has been much improved under new coordinator Rob Ryan, ranking sixth in yards allowed (304.5 per game) and fifth in points (13.8). QB Drew Brees has never won in Chicago, throwing for seven TDs and six interceptions in four career games there.

                Jay Cutler is coming off a four-turnover performance in a 40-32 loss at Detroit. Despite the four turnovers at Detroit, Cutler rallied the team from a 40-16 deficit to make it a one-possession game late in the contest. He has a career-high 64.2 completion percentage under new coordinator Aaron Kromer — who was the Saints' interim coach for six games last season.

                LINE: Opened pick and moved to Bears +1 at some books. Total moved 47.5 to 48.5.
                WEATHER: Mid 50s, 17% chance of rain, winds W 14 mph
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New Orleans (-5.5) - Chicago (-2.0) + home field (-3.0) = Saints -0.5
                TRENDS:

                * Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Chicago.
                * Home team is 4-0-2 ATS in their last six meetings.
                * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.


                Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-1, 53)

                Giants QB Eli Manning is leading the league with nine interceptions through four games. Some of that is due to poor pass protection. David Diehl is scheduled to make his first start of the season at right guard. The Giants are dealing with injuries on the defensive side, with tackles Linval Joseph, Cullen Jenkins and Shaun Rogers, cornerbacks Corey Webster, Jayron Hosley and Aaron Ross all dealing with injuries.

                Michael Vick started out strong for Kelly in the first two weeks with a total of eight touchdowns but slumped to a combined 27-for-57 for 449 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions in the last two weeks. The Eagles insist they are moving forward defensively and will get a chance to prove that against turnover-prone New York.

                LINE: Opened New York -2.5 and moved to -1. Total moved 55 to 53.
                WEATHER: Mid 70s, 19% chance of rain, winds SSE 6 mph.
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Philadelphia (+2.0) - New York (+5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Pick
                TRENDS:

                * Eagles are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
                * Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in New York.
                * Underdog is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings.


                Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans (+2.5, 38.5)

                Several factors have contributed into the Chiefs' stunning start to the season, but strong second-half performances are at the top of the list. Kansas City is outscoring opponents 34-10 after the break, and has put together clock-killing drives in the fourth quarter of each of its last three games to protect slim leads.

                Titans QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been thrust into the No. 1 role after regular starter Jake Locker suffered a hip injury in the win over the Jets and will miss several weeks. Fitzpatrick appeared in 55 games with the Buffalo Bills before being cut in March, showing that the 30-year-old is no stranger to the starting role.

                LINE: Opened Chiefs -3 and moved to -2.5. Total moved 39 to 38.5.
                WEATHER: Low 70s, 79% chance of rain, winds SSW 9 mph.
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Kansas City (-2.5) + Tennessee (+1.0) + home field (-3.0) = Chiefs -0.5
                TRENDS:

                * Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
                * Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
                * Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall.


                Jacksonville Jaguars at St. Louis Rams (-11.5, 41)

                The Jaguars rank last in the NFL in scoring and 30th in scoring defense. Among the positives on the Jacksonville side this week is the return of standout wide receiver Justin Blackmon, who was suspended for the first four games of the season for violating the league's substance abuse policy.

                St. Louis is the only team in the NFL with a worse rushing attack than Jacksonville, as the Rams average only 47.3 yards on the ground. With virtually no complimentary ground game against the 49ers, Sam Bradford completed only 19-of-41 passes, was sacked five times and turned the ball over twice.

                LINE: Opened Rams -14 and moved to -11.5. Total moved 42 to 41.
                WEATHER: N/A
                COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jacksonville (+11.0) - St. Louis (+6.5) + home field (-3.0) = Rams -7.5
                TRENDS:

                * Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
                * Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
                * Over is 6-1 in Rams last seven home games.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #38
                  NFL

                  Sunday, October 6

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Sunday's NFL Week 5 betting cheat sheet: Late action
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (+1, 41.5)

                  After losing its first two games by a total of six points, Carolina turned in a dominant performance against the Giants, rolling up 402 total yards and holding New York to 150. Williams has rushed for 417 yards and two TDs in four meetings with Arizona, including three 100-yard games.

                  The Arizona defense has been dominant against the run - ranking second in the league - but will have its work cut out against a Panthers team averaging 151 yards on the ground, though unit should be bolstered by the return of linebacker Daryl Washington after he missed the first four games for violating the league's substance abuse policy.

                  LINE: Opened pick and moved to Arizona +1. Total moved 42 to 41.5.
                  WEATHER: N/A
                  COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Carolina (+2.0) - Arizona (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Cardinals -1
                  TRENDS:

                  * Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
                  * Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
                  * Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.


                  Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (+7.5, 56)

                  Denver is putting up 44.8 points and nearly 500 yards of offense. That offense is masking some potential issues on the other side of the ball, where the Broncos rank in the bottom third of the league in total defense. The Broncos have won 15 consecutive regular-season games, each by seven points or more.

                  Dallas is down two defensive starters in linebacker Justin Durant (groin) and defensive end George Selvie (concussion), who are uncertain for Sunday’s game. That puts even more pressure on Tony Romo and the offense to put up points. Romo is completing 72.4 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and one interception but could be missing WR Miles Austin (hamstring) questionable.

                  LINE: Opened Denver -7 and moved as high as -8.5. Total moved 54 to 56.
                  WEATHER: N/A
                  COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Denver (-9.5) - Dallas (-2.0) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -4.5
                  TRENDS:

                  * Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
                  * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
                  * Cowboys are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.


                  Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 41.5)

                  Houston ranks second in the AFC in total offense (410.3 yards per game) and leads the NFL in total defense (254.3) but is minus-4 in turnover margin. The Texans expect linebacker Brian Cushing to clear the concussion protocol on Friday and be eligible to play after leaving last week's game in the third quarter.

                  Colin Kaepernick has been limited in the ground game but rebounded from a pair of poor passing games to throw two touchdown passes against St. Louis. The 49ers lead the NFC in total defense (299.8 yards per game) despite playing without star linebacker Patrick Willis (groin) last week, but they plan to have Willis back Sunday.

                  LINE: Opened Houston -6.5 and moved to -6. Total moved 42.5 to 41.5.
                  WEATHER: Mid 60s, clear skies, winds W 6 mph.
                  COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Houston (-1.5) - San Francisco (-4.0) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -5.5
                  TRENDS:

                  * Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
                  * 49ers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 home games.
                  * Over is 7-1 in 49ers last eight home games.


                  San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+4, 45)

                  San Diego and its already-suspect defense lost linebacker Dwight Freeney for the rest of the season with a torn quadriceps last week. Despite missing WR Malcom Floyd (neck), QB Philip Rivers and the passing game is ranked fifth in the NFL as receiver Eddie Royal (five) and tight end Antonio Gates (two) have already combined for seven receiving touchdowns.

                  Raiders RB Darren McFadden is questionable with a hamstring injury and RB Marcel Reece is listed as doubtful with a knee injury. Their possible absence will force third-stringer Rashad Jennings into action and put a bigger onus on the unproven shoulders of Pryor, who was fairly impressive throwing for 624 yards and rushing for 198 more in his first three starts of the season.

                  LINE: Opened Chargers -6 and moved to -4. Total moved 44 to 45.
                  WEATHER: Mid 60s, clear skies, winds W 2 mph.
                  COVERS POWER RANKINGS: San Diego (0.0) + Oakland (+6.0) + home field (-3.0) = Chargers -3
                  TRENDS:

                  * Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oakland.
                  * Underdog is 8-0 ATS in their last eight meetings.
                  * Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    NFL

                    Sunday, October 6

                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Broncos at Cowboys: What bettors need to know
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (+7.5, 56)

                    The Denver Broncos are setting a historic offensive pace and quarterback Peyton Manning appears to be three steps ahead of every defense he faces. The Dallas Cowboys, who host Manning and the Broncos on Sunday, are averaging 33.5 points in two home wins and could need at least that much to stay close. Manning has thrown 16 touchdowns and no interceptions through four games and is on pace to shatter the single-season TD mark.

                    Denver is putting up 44.8 points and nearly 500 yards of offense and is coming off a 52-20 drubbing of the Philadelphia Eagles. That offense is masking some potential issues on the other side of the ball, where the Broncos rank in the bottom third of the league in total defense. The Cowboys are not much better on defense and gave up 506 yards while squandering a lead in a 31-20 loss at San Diego last week.

                    TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
                    LINE: The Broncos opened as 5-point road faves and are now -7.5. The total is 56.
                    WEATHER: N/A

                    ABOUT THE BRONCOS (4-0): Manning formed a quick connection with Wes Welker and has weapons spread across the field in wide receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker and tight end Julius Thomas. That passing attack opens up the ground game for a trio of backs in Knowshon Moreno, Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman. Denver still thinks it can get better on the offensive side of the ball and is due for an upgrade on the defensive side, where linebacker Von Miller has yet to play while sitting out a six-game suspension and cornerback Champ Bailey (foot) is still waiting to make his season debut.

                    ABOUT THE COWBOYS (2-2): Dallas is down two defensive starters in linebacker Justin Durant (groin) and defensive end George Selvie (concussion), who were both missing from practice on Thursday and are uncertain for Sunday’s game. That puts even more pressure on Tony Romo and the offense to put up points, which they failed to do while being shut out in the second half of last week’s loss. Romo is completing 72.4 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and one interception but could be missing one of his weapons with wideout Miles Austin (hamstring) questionable.

                    TRENDS:

                    * Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
                    * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
                    * Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last six home games.
                    * Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.

                    EXTRA POINTS:

                    1. The Broncos have won 15 consecutive regular-season games, each by seven points or more.

                    2. Romo is 4-1 with 14 TD passes and one INT in his last five home games.

                    3. Denver LB Danny Trevathon was carted off the field at practice on Wednesday with a knee injury but came through an MRI exam clean and could make Sunday‘s game.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      NFL

                      Sunday, October 6

                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Lions at Packers: What bettors need to know
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-7, 53.5)

                      The well-rested Green Bay Packers attempt to continue their dominance of the Detroit Lions when the NFC North rivals meet at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Green Bay, which is coming off its bye week, has won 22 consecutive home meetings with Detroit and 14 of the last 15 overall matchups. The Lions have not been victorious in Green Bay since Dec. 15, 1991.

                      The Packers have had 100-yard rushers in back-to-back games after going 44 straight regular-season contests without one, but they are just 1-1 in those games after suffering a 34-30 loss at Cincinnati in Week 3. Detroit handed Chicago its first loss of the season last Sunday, posting a 40-32 home victory to pull into a tie atop the division with the Bears. The Lions have scored 122 points, putting them third in the league behind Denver (179) and Chicago (127).

                      TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

                      LINE: The Packers opened -7. The total opened at 52 and is up to 53.5.

                      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 17 percent chance of rain.

                      ABOUT THE LIONS (3-1): After watching his team end a 21-game road losing streak against Washington in Week 3, Detroit coach Jim Schwartz looks to do the same in Green Bay on Sunday. "Close doesn't count. We're not trying to play close games, even though we have," he said. Each of the Lions' last three losses to the Packers have been by seven or fewer points. With receivers Nate Burleson (forearm) and Patrick Edwards (ankle) battling injuries, Detroit signed Kevin Ogletree on Wednesday - one day after he was released by Tampa Bay.

                      ABOUT THE PACKERS (1-2): James Starks and rookie Johnathan Franklin each reached the century mark in rushing yards for Green Bay this season, but the former won't get the chance to repeat the feat as he is expected to miss several weeks with a sprained knee suffered in the loss to Cincinnati. The Packers' backfield receives a boost this week, however, as rookie Eddie Lacy returns from a concussion. Safety Morgan Burnett could also be back from his hamstring injury, but linebacker Clay Matthews is questionable with a similar ailment.

                      TRENDS:

                      * Lions are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Green Bay.
                      * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
                      * Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
                      * Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a bye week.

                      EXTRA POINTS:

                      1. Aaron Rodgers is undefeated against Detroit in eight career starts with a minimum of 15 passing attempts, going 169-of-246 for 2,239 yards and 18 touchdowns with only four interceptions.

                      2. The Lions' lone win in their last 15 meetings with the Packers was a 7-3 home triumph on Dec. 12, 2010.

                      3. Detroit QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson both set career highs at Green Bay on Jan. 1, 2012. Stafford passed for 520 yards while Johnson had 244 yards receiving.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Essential betting tidbits for Week 5 of the NFL

                        We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Sunday's NFL action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

                        - The last time the New England Patriots were 5-0 to start a season, they finished 16-0 (2007). The are in Cincy to face the Bengals with the line as a Pick.

                        - Speaking of those Bengals, they have lost seven of eight versus the Pats and have lost all four with Tom Brady under center.

                        - Where were you when....the Detroit Lions last won in Green Bay? The Pack have won 21-straight football games at Lambeau versus the Lions and are 15-5-1 ATS in that stretch. The last Lions victory at Green Bay was in 1991.

                        - Despite Green Bay's home dominance over the Lions, Matthew Stafford tossed a career-high 520 yards at Lambeau in the regular season finale tow seasons ago.

                        - The Seattle Seahawks defense has seven interceptions on the season and have recorded multi-INT games in three straight. The Seahawks are 1-point road faves in Indy Sunday.

                        - The Colts defense is 29th in the NFL allowing opponents to score on 75 percent of their trips inside the red zone.

                        - Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has completed just three-of-nine passes of 20 yards or more this season. Only the Chiefs, Jags and Lions have completed fewer.

                        - The Dolphins host the Baltimore Ravens with a total of 43.5 Sunday. The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Miami.

                        - The hot New Orleans Saints are in Chicago to face the Bears. The two teams have combined to play over the total in five straight meetings in the Windy City. Sunday's total is 50.

                        - Drew Brees' 59.4 percent completion percentage against the Chicago Bears is his second lowest against any opponent. Only a 57.4 clip against Washington is worse.

                        - The dog is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings between the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants. Philly is currently a 1-point road dog Sunday.

                        - The Kansas City Chiefs are the top consensus play at 74 percent. The Chiefs are 2.5-point road faves at Tennessee.

                        - The Chiefs at Titans matchups looks to be a defensive battle. The Chiefs allow a league-low 10.3 points per game and the Titans rank seventh, allowing 17.3.

                        - The Jacksonville Jaguars and St. Louis Rams have faced each other three times. The Rams are 3-0 ATS in those three meetings.

                        - The Jags' 31 points scored is the lowest - by 13 - in the league thus far.

                        - Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams has rushed for 417 yards and two TDs in four meetings with Arizona, including three 100-yard games.

                        - The Denver Broncos are in Dallas Sunday as 7.5-point faves. The Broncos have won 15 consecutive regular-season games, each by seven points or more.

                        - 49ers S Donte Whitner has changed his name to Donte Hitner. This is a thing that happened.

                        - The Houston Texans struggle against the spread in Week 5 for some reason. They are 0-8 ATS in their last eight Week 5 games. They'll give it a shot Sunday as 6-point road dogs in San Fran Sunday night.

                        - Because of Sunday Oakland A's playoff game, the Chargers/Raiders game has switched t 11:35 p.m. ET Sunday night.

                        - The Chargers have won 16 of 19 meetings with the Raiders and are 4.5-point road faves for this late tilt.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                        • #42
                          NFL betting weather report: Sunday's forecasts

                          Find out how weather will impact your NFL bets for Sunday's matchups:

                          New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals (Pick, 45)

                          There is a 90 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.


                          Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-7, 53.5)

                          Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 17 percent chance of rain.


                          Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-2.5, 43.5)

                          Forecasts in Miami are calling for a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.


                          New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (Pick, 50)

                          Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a small chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 8 mph.


                          Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-1, 53)

                          There is a slight 18 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.


                          Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans (+2.5, 38.5)

                          Forecasts in Nashville are calling for an 80 percent chance of thunderstorms.


                          Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 41.5)

                          Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.


                          San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 45)

                          Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • #43
                            How goes Kapt??

                            Did you love that DOUBLE POD yesterday DOG??
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Bum

                              Originally posted by StarDust Bum View Post
                              How goes Kapt??

                              Did you love that DOUBLE POD yesterday DOG??
                              was gonna come in and say thanks..........PLAYED that BAD BOY, didn't post it, cause I got it from you.....hell of a

                              DOUBLE POD Call....can't wait to see your TRIPLE POD.....thanks POPDNA....good luck today....

                              sure wish they could fix it back where we can

                              BOLD FACE
                              SIZE UP
                              COLOR

                              our replies, and Posts again..........

                              made it easy to pick out your POD's, whether single or double ones....LMAO


                              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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                              • #45
                                And here i thought i had a computer problem with the BOLD PRINT....so it is the site huh??
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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