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**StarDust Bum** · 10-01-2013, 01:35 AM

NFL odds: Week 5 opening line report

If your sportsbook is currently dealing Kansas City as a 3-point favorite in Tennessee this Sunday, take a picture. According to one Las Vegas oddsmaker, it’s not going to last long.

The 4-0 Chiefs opened as field-goal faves visiting a Titans squad that just lost its hottest player. Tennessee QB Jake Locker was lighting up the scoreboards before being carted off with a hip injury during Week 4’s blowout win against the Jets.

“We originally sent out Kansas City as a short favorite but since the Locker injury, we’ve suggested a move to Chiefs -3,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, tells Covers. “Books should likely get off three pretty quickly. With the combo of Kansas City’s success and Tennessee losing their quarterback, I don’t know where the Titans money is going to come from.”

The Chiefs have been dominant in their last two outings and coming off a 31-7 beating of the winless Giants Sunday. Korner says Kansas City may be peaking too early, but doesn’t see it taking a step back against a Tennessee team turning to veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick as its backup.

“Fitzpatrick is probably a better option at backup than most teams have,” says Korner. “He’s been there before and the team will rally around him. But if things keep going K.C.’s way, why not take the Chiefs as a field-goal fave?”

Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts (+2.5, 43)

Korner’s stable of oddsmakers sent out Indianapolis as a 3-point home underdog but the early action has trimmed that spread by half a point at some books. Seattle looked human for most of Sunday’s game with Houston, but turned it on down the stretch and squeaked out an OT win to improve to 4-0.

“We’re a little worried about two road games in a row,” Korner says of the Seahawks’ schedule. “Being on that key number was important for us. Seattle’s tight game Sunday should help keep the Seahawks money in check a bit this week.”

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (+7, 55)

This is shaping up to be the biggest game of the week, with the NFL’s best team taking on its most popular. Korner says the Cowboys faithful will show up but doesn’t think it will be enough to keep this spread from crossing the key number of 7.5.

“Denver looks as impressive as any team we’ve seen in recent seasons,” he says. “We had three guys bring Denver -3 to the table and one said Denver -6. We all immediately agreed on Denver -6. The Broncos can pile it on anywhere. They sky is the limit with this line.”

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 42.5)

This Sunday Night Football line could have been very different if Houston had of hung on against Seattle. But, that letdown and a sharp performance from the Niners on Thursday have oddsmakers thinking twice about San Francisco’s early struggles.

“That (Thursday) win put it in the minds of people that San Francisco can put it all together,” says Korner. “I don’t know if they’re back on track yet but if they can handle Houston, it would seem like they’re back track. On paper it should be a good game, but after Houston lost that one Sunday…”

Korner says Northern Nevada books, which get a lot of bettors from the Bay Area, should add a couple more points to this spread and hike the parlay card line to 8.5.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-01-2013, 01:40 AM

Against the Spread Rankings

NFL ATS RANKINGS

Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under

Team Total Home Away Total Home Away Total Home Away

Arizona Cardinals 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-3-0 0-1-0 1-2-0

Atlanta Falcons 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0

Baltimore Ravens 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0

Buffalo Bills 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0

Carolina Panthers 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0

Chicago Bears 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 1-2-1 0-1-1 1-1-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0

Cincinnati Bengals 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 2-1-1 2-0-0 0-1-1 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

Cleveland Browns 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0

Dallas Cowboys 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

Denver Broncos 4-0-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 3-0-0 1-0-0

Detroit Lions 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0

Green Bay Packers 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0

Houston Texans 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0

Indianapolis Colts 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 2-0-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0

Jacksonville Jaguars 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0

Kansas City Chiefs 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0

Miami Dolphins 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0

Minnesota Vikings 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0

New England Patriots 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0

New Orleans Saints 3-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0

New York Giants 0-4-0 0-1-0 0-3-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 0-3-0 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0

New York Jets 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

Oakland Raiders 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0

Philadelphia Eagles 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0

Pittsburgh Steelers 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

San Diego Chargers 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-1 2-0-0 1-0-1 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0

San Francisco 49ers 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

Seattle Seahawks 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

St. Louis Rams 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0

Tennessee Titans 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 3-0-1 1-0-1 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

Washington Redskins 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0

Updated: Mon, Sep 30, 2013 at 11:55 PM EDT

**StarDust Bum** · 10-01-2013, 04:38 PM

NFL line watch: Don't play on Packers until Sunday

Spread to bet now

Jacksonville Jaguars (+13.5) at St. Louis Rams

If you think that Jacksonville can keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door vs. the Rams, then you should consider jumping on this line as soon as possible. It opened at -14 but is already dropping fast. There are still some 13.5s out there, but there are also a couple of 13s and even some 11s on the board.

Things don't get any easier for either team as St. Louis is on the road for two straight in Houston and Carolina, while Jacksonville will be in Denver next weekend, likely as the biggest underdog of the last 10 years.

The Jags have put 20 points on the board in two straight losses, while the Rams have mustered just 18 in two straight setbacks.

Jacksonville fought tough versus Seahawks on road for a half and it appears that both the public and the sharps feel that the Jaguars still have some fight left in them. Note that Jacksonville is 0-4 for the third time in franchise history and that the team has never started 0-5.

Spread to wait on

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers(-7)

If you think the Packers can handle business versus their division rival at home then you should consider waiting until closer to game time before getting involved with this contest.

The line opened at 7.5, but quickly dropped. Green Bay is now a 7-point favorite, but there are even a few 6.5s creeping onto the board.

Divisional contests are always the most important games of the season and doubly so for the home side. The Packers are coming off their bye, having lost to the Bengals the week before.

The fact that Green Bay has surrendered 88 points over its first three games and that the Lions won 40-32 over the Bears last week is likely a big reason why both the sharps and the public continue to hammer the visitors in this one.

Total to watch

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (55)

If you’re a fan of the Over consider waiting a bit closer to kickoff before hammering this one. This line opened at 55 but a few 54.5s have hit the board. It's obvious that neither the public nor the sharps believe these teams can muster much of an offensive attack.

Hard to blame them though as the G-Men have posted a miserable seven total points in back-to-back losses (they put up 54 over their first two setbacks), while the Eagles have managed just 36 (after posting 63 in their first two games). Despite having one win between them after the first four weeks, amazingly, the NFC East is still up for grabs

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 06:29 PM

Thursday, October 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Buffalo - 8:25 PM ET Buffalo +3.5 500 POD # 1

Cleveland - Over 41 500 POD # 2

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:31 PM

October Trends

October 2, 2013

September

Although the rosters change with each season, NFL teams have a tendency of repeating themselves – especially when it comes to the point-spread wars.

With the leaves starting to fall, let’s take a look at some of the ‘Good’ and ‘Bad’ pro football team trends that have occurred in the month of October in the NFL since 1990.

HOME TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good): Pittsburgh will definitely be tested to keep this long stretch of excellent play going (28-15 ATS) with this year’s squad. They will be home just once and that will be a bitter battle with Baltimore.

Even when Kansas City has been dreadful, they have still managed to play well at Arrowhead with a 27-18 ATS mark. They will have three chances to improve on this record with Oakland, Houston and Cleveland coming to town for barbeque and football.

Keep an eye on (Bad): After making the playoffs the past two years, and starting 2-0 SU and ATS at Paul Brown Stadium in 2013, Cincinnati will be after real improvement on a 14-27 ATS mark this month again New England and the Jets.

AWAY TEAMS

Good: Atlanta has been regarded as a Play On home team for a number of years now, but actually they are 27-13 ATS as visitors in October. They will have one chance to prove themselves the last Sunday of the month in the Arizona desert.

Keep an eye on (Good): The last time the New York Giants looked this bad was the latter two-thirds of the 2009 season. Nevertheless, the G-Men have been money on the road and they will seek to improve upon 26-14 ATS record. They will undoubtedly be catching points at Chicago and at Philadelphia.

New England is a crisp 25-16 ATS in road affairs and tough test in Cincinnati and a return match in New Jersey with the Jets, where they are 12-2 ATS.

Bad: Arizona is a historically odious road team no matter the time of year, but this month, they are an insufferable 12-24 ATS. The lone trip to Frisco does not figure to be pleasant for the Redbirds.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Here we find two teams with a lousy past in October. One figures to improve and the other, not so much. Seattle (16-31 ATS) will be in the road uniforms three times, twice against division foes Arizona and St. Louis.

Thanks to a bye week, Tampa Bay (14-26 ATS) only has to travel to Atlanta for a road excursion this month of year.

FAVORITES

Keep an eye on (Good): Given how St. Louis has played this season, it be difficult for them to improve on 19-11 ATS record this month. Looking at the schedule, they will only have one chance when they are home against Jacksonville on Oct. 6.

Bad: Because of a Halloween encounter, Cincinnati will play five games in October. The Bengals have been inconsistent and might not be favored as often as was once presumed. They will likely be a small favorite versus Buffalo and a larger favorite at home against the Jets. This is probably more than enough as Cincy is 8-18 ATS supplying others with points.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Tampa Bay is in the midst of another miserable campaign, which is exactly how they play in the role of favorite with a 15-25 ATS mark. We will see what oddsmakers think of the Bucs at home against Philadelphia and Carolina and wager accordingly.

DOGS

Good: Given how Pittsburgh and the New York Giants have played thus far, their past history acknowledges they are almost nicely suited to be underdogs. The Steelers are 20-7 ATS and the Giants are 20-9 ATS, unfortunately in most cases it was with far better teams than what we have seen in 2013.

Keep an eye on (Good): For years, Carolina has relished the underdog role in the second month of the season with a 25-14 spread record. Depending on circumstances, they might not have many opportunities, with trip to Minnesota and Tampa Bay the only possibilities.

Keep an eye on (Bad): The Vikings are 12-22 ATS on the receiving end of points and could in this role at the N.Y. Giants and home versus Green Bay the second half of the month.

DIVISION

Keep an eye on (Good): Atlanta may be off is a disappointing start, yet is 20-11 ATS in division conflicts and has the Buccaneers at home on Oct. 20.

The New York football Giants are 23-12 ATS and will have two chances to turn their season around with a home and home against the Eagles.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:34 PM

Tech Trends - Week 5

October 2, 2013

Thursday, Oct. 3 - NFL, 8:20 p.m. EST

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns Browns "under" 14-4 at home since 2011. Bills 6-11-1 last 18 vs. line on road. Slight to "under" and Browns, based on "totals" and team trends.

Sunday, Oct. 6 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Teams are a combined 7-0-1 vs. line first three weeks. Chiefs "under" 4-0 TY and "under" 26-11 since late 2010. Slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins Dolphins 3-1 SU and vs. line TY after NO last Monday. Harbaugh 20-14 as road dog since 2008. Miami covered vs. Falcs but still 11-23 last 34 as home chalk. Dolphins also "under" 26-15 last 41. Ravens and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Jacksonville Jaguars at St. Louis Rams Jags 0-4 SU and vs. line, 1-8 last 9 on board since late 2012. Rams 0-4 vs. line TY and 1-5 last 6 as home chalk since 2011. Slight to Rams, based on Jag negatives.

New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals If Belichick a dog note 11-3-1 mark in role since 2006. NE "under" first three TY after "over" 35-12-1 in reg. season 2010-12. Cincy 9-2-1 last 11 on board since late 2012. Tech edge-slight to Patriots, if dog, based on Belichick trends.

Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts Pete Carroll 4-0 SU and vs. line TY, 11-1 SU and vs. line since late 2012. Indy 4-0 as home dog since LY, "under" 22-7-1 last 30 since 2011. Seahawks and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers Lions haven't won SU at Green Bay since the Wayne Fontes era in 1991. Pack has covered last four in series and 17-8 as home chalk since 2010. Tech edge-Pack, based on series trends.

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears If Bears dog note 4-3 mark in role at home in reg. season since 2010. Bears 29-15 SU at home since 2008. Saints 11-15 vs. line away since 2010. Slight to Bears, based on team trends.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants NYG 0-4 SU and vs. line TY, but have covered 3 of last 4 in series. G-Men 13-20-1 vs. line at home since 2009. Birds have covered 5 of last 6 on road vs. G-Men. Birds "over" 3-1 TY and 8-2 last ten since late 2012. "Over" and Eagles, based on "totals" and team trends.

Sunday, Oct. 6 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals Panthers "over" 11-6 last 17 away. Big Red "over" 15-9 at home since 2010. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys Broncos "over" 4-0 TY and 13-4 last 17 since early 2012, also "over" 41-19-2 since late 2009. Broncos have also won and covered last 9 in reg. season and 13-2 last 15, Dallas 5-13 last 18 vs. line as host. Also "over" 7-3 last 10 at home. Broncos and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

Sunday, Oct. 6 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers Texans 0-4 vs. line TY but Kubiak is 7-4 last 11 as dog. Harbaugh 14-5-1 as home chalk since taking over SF in 2011, though 49ers 2-4 last 6 in reg. season vs. line. Texans, based on Kubiak dog marks.

Sunday, Oct. 6 - NFL, 11:35 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders Chargers 9-2 vs. line last 11 at Oakland, note road team has covered last seven in series. Bolts also "over" 15-5 last 20 on road. Chargers and slight to "over," based on series trends .

Monday, Oct. 7 - ESPN, Game to start at 8:30 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons Rexy 3-1 vs. line TY, though only 4-8 in role past two seasons. Falcs 24-12-1 as home chalk since 2007. Falcs "under" 7-3 at home LY but now "over" last three at Georgia Dome. Falcons, based on extended team trends.

Teams on Bye - Week 5
Minnesota Vikings Pittsburgh Steelers Tampa Bay Buccaneers Washington Redskins

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:35 PM

Inside The Stats

October 3, 2013

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards.

Here are this week’s findings…

Pitch Forked

Heading into last week’s Arizona State-USC showdown, both the Sun Devils and the Trojans had held every opponent to a season-low yardage mark this year.

When the final dust settled, each team surprisingly managed to gain season-high yards in the contest.

It not only sent USC packing but ASU also stuck the final fork in Lane Kiffin’s career with the Trojans.

Thus, heading into the month of October, six college football teams remain that have held EVERY opponent to a season-low yardage mark.

They include: Arizona, Florida, Michigan State, Ohio State, Virginia Tech and Washington.

On the flip, New Mexico State has allowed season-high yards in every game.

It should also be noted that Fresno State has surrendered season high yards in each of its three games verse FBS opponents this year as well.

Freshen Up - Again

Last week our ‘Smart Box’ examined the benefit of backing college football teams playing with a week of rest in Game Four of the season when off a win in Game Three.

Following a 3-0 ATS performance by last week’s qualifying teams (Buffalo, Oregon and Central Florida), we thought it would be wise to revisit the sagacious square once again this week.

To recap, our powerful database instructs us to ‘Play On’ these reinvigorated home teams when taking the field off a win with a week of rest in Game Four of the season as they now a super-strong 73-33-1 ATS in these games since 1980.

This week finds Baylor, Kansas and Memphis playing with renewed confidence.

When bringing these rested Game Four hosts in with a measure of revenge, they rocket to 27-9 ATS. All three of the aforementioned teams will be looking to avenge losses from previous meetings this week!

And if they dress up as either a favorite or as a dog of 10 or less points, they zoom to 21-4 ATS.

With that we expect Baylor will be loaded for ‘bear’ this Saturday.

Smoke And Mirrors

We enjoy examining teams who won their most recent game on the scoreboard, but lost the yards on the stat sheet.

We call it winning ‘inside-out’, or with smoke and mirrors.

College football teams playing this week who won the game but lost the stats in their previous game include: Kansas, Northern Illinois, Northwestern, Ohio State, Rice, Utah and West Virginia.

In the NFL, the ‘inside-out’ winners included: Detroit, New England, Seattle and Tennessee.

Note: The Seahawks were out yarded by 206 yards in their win over the Texans.

Balance Beam

After four week in the NFL, the oddsmakers have done a good job with the Over/Under totals. There have been 32 OVERS and 31 UNDERS.

From our NFL Totals Tipsheet, here is the weekly breakdown …

Week One: 8-8 O/U
Week Two: 8-8 O/U
Week Three: 7-9 O/U
Week Four: 9-6 O/U

From a league perspective, the best OVER situation has been in non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) as these games have gone 15-7 OVER.

The best UNDER situation has occurred in same conference non-division games, going 7-15 UNDER.

Stat Of The Week

Since joining the Big 10, Penn State is 1-16 ATS in its first conference game when facing an opponent with at least one win on the season.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:42 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Thursday, October 3

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BUFFALO (2 - 2) at CLEVELAND (2 - 2) - 10/3/2013, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 6

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 0) at TENNESSEE (3 - 1) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (2 - 2) at MIAMI (3 - 0) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (0 - 4) at ST LOUIS (1 - 3) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 129-166 ATS (-53.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 129-166 ATS (-53.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (4 - 0) at CINCINNATI (2 - 2) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 154-115 ATS (+27.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 112-145 ATS (-47.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (4 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 1) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (3 - 1) at GREEN BAY (1 - 2) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 0) at CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 3) at NY GIANTS (0 - 4) - 10/6/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 151-116 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 2-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 2) - 10/6/2013, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 3) - 10/6/2013, 11:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 0) at DALLAS (2 - 2) - 10/6/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (2 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 2) - 10/6/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, October 6

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NY JETS (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 3) - 10/7/2013, 8:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:43 PM

NFL

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 3

8:25 PM
BUFFALO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

Sunday, October 6

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHICAGO
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. GREEN BAY
Detroit is 5-15-2 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Green Bay's last 25 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. CINCINNATI
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. ST. LOUIS
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games
Indianapolis is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the NY Giants last 17 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Giants are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

4:05 PM
CAROLINA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

4:25 PM
DENVER vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 11 games
San Francisco is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home

11:30 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
San Diego is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
Oakland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

Monday, October 7

8:40 PM
NY JETS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Jets last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:44 PM

Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

The NFL Week 5 lines have been among the most volatile of the season, with numerous spreads and totals jumping way off their original post.

We talk to Peter Childs of Sportsbook.com and Las Vegas veteran oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro about the biggest adjustments on the Week 5 board and where the lines could end up come kickoff:

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears – Open: Pick, Move: -1.5, Move: +1

Despite an awesome performance on Monday Night Football, the Saints opened a pick for their trip to the Windy City and have moved to 1.5-point underdogs at some books. However, money is coming in hard on New Orleans and some shops are dealing the Saints as favorites with 80 percent of the action on the road side.

“We opened the Saints-Bears a pick’em and sure enough, our bettors are all over the Saints in this game,” says Childs. “Just this morning we made the Saints a small 1-point road favorite.”

Jacksonville Jaguars at St. Louis Rams – Open: -14, Move: -11.5

Bettors didn’t think the Rams were good enough to be two-touchdown favorites, even if they are hosting the Jaguars Sunday. Action on Jacksonville has taken this spread down as many as 2.5 points at some markets.

“Overpriced is a term that doesn’t seem to fit the Jaguars any more. Early action has come in on Jacksonville the last few weeks,” says Vaccaro. “You kind of have to play defense with these bad teams. People have been betting the big spreads on teams like Seattle and Denver. So while the Jaguars line will come down, it could be right where it started on Sunday.”

New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals – Open: Pick, Move: -1.5

Some books have moved off a pick to Bengals to -1.5 while others opened Cincinnati -1.5 and moved to pick’em. According to Childs, Sportsbook.com went from Cincy -1.5 to Pick with the betting public eating up New England after a strong showing Sunday night. So far, 75 percent of the action is on the Pats.

“None of that action was sharp, it’s all public money but when our bettors all land on the same side of a game our liability gets a bit out of control, so we’ve been aggressive with this game,” he says. “I wouldn’t be surprised if the Patriots are eventually the favorite come Sunday.”

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals – Open: Pick, Move: +2

Another tight spread which opened at a pick’em at most shops has moved in favor of the road side. Arizona squeaked out a win over Tampa Bay in Week 4 while the Panthers enjoyed a bye week after crushing the Giants the week before.

“It’s the same old thing (with bye weeks),” says Vaccaro. “It can’t hurt them. But everything is in the number now, so there’s no real edge in betting these teams coming off the bye. If you’re betting this game, and betting a team because they’re coming off the bye… well, let’s put it this way. You aren’t going to retire soon.”

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys – Open: +7, Move: +9

Oddsmakers opened Dallas as a touchdown underdog hosting the NFL’s hottest team. That wasn’t enough for early bettors, who pumped this line up as many as two points. The Cowboys are one of the most public teams in football betting and have begun to see buyback with the spread sitting at +9.

“Unless a sharp betting group hammers the Cowboys, I doubt we’ll move off our current number,” says Childs. “But it’s still very early and all the wiseguys are just sitting on the sideline for now waiting to see how high this line will get. In my opinion, they’re going to jump all over the Cowboys at some point, especially now that the game is over a TD in our shop and most of our competitors are getting there as well.”

“This is by far the biggest bet game at this point in the week, with 80 percent of the action on the road favorite,” he adds.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:45 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 5

Buffalo at Cleveland
The Browns look to follow up their 17-6 win over the Bengals last weekend and build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Cleveland is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Browns favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 3

Game 301-302: Buffalo at Cleveland (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 128.637; Cleveland 135.701
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 7; 44
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3 1/2); Over

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 6

Game 413-414: Kansas City at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 134.440; Tennessee 129.302
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 5; 34
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-3); Under

Game 415-416: Baltimore at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 133.136; Miami 138.252
Dunkel Line: Miami by 5; 39
Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 43 1/2;
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2 1/2); Under

Game 417-418: Jacksonville at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 115.243; St. Louis 124.746
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 11 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+11 1/2); Over

Game 419-420: New England at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.949; Cincinnati 140.852
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 45
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1); Over

Game 421-422: Seattle at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 141.063; Indianapolis 131.826
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 9; 40
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-2 1/2); Under

Game 423-424: Detroit at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 129.625; Green Bay 141.654
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 12; 57
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7); Over

Game 425-426: New Orleans at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 140.703; Chicago 135.290
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Pick; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans; Under

Game 427-428: Philadelphia at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 130.236; NY Giants 126.619
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+2 1/2); Over

Game 429-430: Carolina at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 130.490; Arizona 131.499
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+2); Under

Game 431-432: San Diego at Oakland (11:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.189; Oakland 126.352
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 7; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4; 45
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-4); Under

Game 433-434: Denver at Dallas (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 143.106; Dallas 138.718
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Denver by 8; 56
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+8); Over

Game 435-436: Houston at San Francisco (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 131.061; San Francisco 140.064
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 9; 45
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 437-438: NY Jets at Atlanta (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 130.924; Atlanta 135.950
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 39
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 10; 43
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+10); Under

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:46 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 3

Buffalo at Cleveland, 8:25 ET
Buffalo: 16-6 ATS off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less
Cleveland: 17-6 UNDER after the first month of the season

Sunday, October 6

Kansas City at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 8-21 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less
Tennessee: 41-22 OVER in October games

Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 49-31 UNDER in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
Miami: 6-0 UNDER in October games

Jacksonville at St Louis, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 4-12 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
St Louis: 11-1 ATS in home games after 4 or more ATS consecutive losses

New England at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
New England: 100-70 ATS in road games
Cincinnati: 30-48 ATS in October games

Seattle at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 71-15 OVER when they score 28 or more points
Indianapolis: 80-17 OVER when they allow 28 or more points

Detroit at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 1-10 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game
Green Bay: 11-2 ATS versus division opponents

New Orleans at Chicago, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 12-3 ATS off a home win
Chicago: 19-34 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 0-6 ATS off a non-conference game
NY Giants: 6-0 ATS in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders

Carolina at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 51-30 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Arizona: 13-4 OVER after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points

San Diego at Oakland, 11:35 ET
San Diego: 57-36 ATS after 2 or more consecutive ATS wins
Oakland: 21-40 ATS in home games versus division opponents

Denver at Dallas, 4:25 ET
Denver: 14-5 ATS in all lined games
Dallas: 0-6 ATS in home games off 1 or more straight overs

Houston at San Francisco, 8:30 ET
Houston: 21-9 ATS in games played on a grass field
San Francisco: 6-18 ATS after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game

Monday, October 7

NY Jets at Atlana, 8:40 ET
NY Jets: 0-8 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Atlanta: 17-5 UNDER after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

**StarDust Bum** · 10-03-2013, 11:47 PM

Capping the calendar: October's best/worst NFL bets

Although the rosters change with each season, NFL teams have a tendency of repeating themselves – especially when it comes to the pointspread wars.

With the leaves starting to fall, let’s take a look at some of the good and bad pro football team trends that have occurred in the month of October in the NFL since 1990.

HOME TEAMS

• Keep an eye on (Good): Pittsburgh will definitely be tested to keep this long stretch of excellent play going (28-15 ATS) with this year’s squad. They will be home just once and that will be a bitter battle with Baltimore.

Even when Kansas City has been dreadful, it still managed to play well at Arrowhead with a 27-18 ATS mark. The Chiefs will have three chances to improve on this record with Oakland, Houston and Cleveland coming to town.

• Keep an eye on (Bad): After making the playoffs the past two years, and starting 2-0 SU and ATS at Paul Brown Stadium in 2013, Cincinnati will be after real improvement on a 14-27 ATS mark this month again New England and the Jets.

AWAY TEAMS

• Good: Atlanta has been regarded as a great bet at home team for a number of years now, but actually the Falcons are 27-13 ATS as visitors in October. They will have one chance to prove themselves in Arizona the last Sunday of the month.

• Keep an eye on (Good): The last time the New York Giants looked this bad was the latter two-thirds of the 2009 season. Nevertheless, the G-Men have been money on the road and they will seek to improve upon 26-14 ATS record. They will undoubtedly be catching points at Chicago and at Philadelphia.

New England is a crisp 25-16 ATS in road affairs and tough test in Cincinnati and a return match in New Jersey with the Jets, where they are 12-2 ATS.

• Bad: Arizona is a historically odious road team no matter the time of year, but this month, the Cardinals are an insufferable 12-24 ATS. The lone trip to San Francisco does not figure to be pleasant for the Cards.

• Keep an eye on (Bad): Here we find two teams with a lousy past in October. One figures to improve and the other, not so much. Seattle (16-31 ATS) will be in the road uniforms three times, twice against division foes Arizona and St. Louis.

Thanks to a bye week, Tampa Bay (14-26 ATS) only has to travel to Atlanta for a road excursion this month of year.

FAVORITES

• Keep an eye on (Good): Given how St. Louis has played this season, it be difficult for the Rams to improve on 19-11 ATS record this month. Looking at the schedule, they will only have one chance when they are home against Jacksonville on Oct. 6.

• Bad: Because of a Halloween encounter, Cincinnati will play five games in October. The Bengals have been inconsistent and might not be favored as often as was once presumed. They will likely be a small favorite versus Buffalo and a larger favorite at home against the Jets. This is probably more than enough, as Cincy is 8-18 ATS supplying others with points.

• Keep an eye on (Bad): Tampa Bay is in the midst of another miserable campaign, which is exactly how the Bucs play in the role of favorites with a 15-25 ATS mark. We will see what oddsmakers think of the Bucs at home against Philadelphia and Carolina and wager accordingly.

UNDERDOGS

• Good: Given how Pittsburgh and the New York Giants have played thus far, their past history acknowledges they are almost nicely suited to be underdogs. The Steelers are 20-7 ATS and the Giants are 20-9 ATS, unfortunately in most cases it was with far better teams than what we have seen in 2013.

• Keep an eye on (Good): For years, Carolina has relished the underdog role in the second month of the season with a 25-14 spread record. Depending on circumstances, the Panthers might not have many opportunities, with trips to Minnesota and Tampa Bay the only possibilities.

• Keep an eye on (Bad): The Vikings are 12-22 ATS on the receiving end of points and could be in this role at the N.Y. Giants and home versus Green Bay the second half of the month.

DIVISION

• Keep an eye on (Good): Atlanta may be off is a disappointing start, yet is 20-11 ATS in division conflicts and has the Buccaneers at home on Oct. 20.

The New York football Giants are 23-12 ATS and will have two chances to turn their season around with a home and home against the Eagles.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-04-2013, 02:40 PM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some NFL trends with Week 3 upon us........

-- New Orleans is 3-8-1 in last 12 games as a road underdog.

-- New England covered seven of last eight as a road underdog.

-- Packers covered nine of last ten post-bye games.

-- Arizona is 13-4 as a non-divisional home underdog.

-- Raiders are 1-5 in last six divisional home games.

-- Texans are 1-5 in last six non-divisional road games.

*****

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend……

13) A’s-Tigers; no other baseball matters at Armadillo World HQ. A’s had Detroit by the tail in playoffs LY but let them slip away. Hopefully this year will be different, but the Tigers are a formidable opponent.

12) Winner of Chief-Titan game will be NFL’s early Cinderella story. KC is running ball more than the Eagles did under Reid, thanks to Jamaal Charles.

11) How good is Northwestern? Ohio State visits Evanston Saturday night; will Northwestern alum Brent Musberger and former Buckeye QB Kirk Herbstreit scuffle in the broadcast booth?

10) Unbeaten Seahawks have been unsteady winners on the road; they visit the 3-1 Colts, who whacked the 49ers in Candlestick two weeks ago. Super Bowl preview?

9) Vandy-Mizzou is the James Franklin Bowl; Mizzou’s QB and Vandy’s coach are both named James Franklin. Don’t know much about Missouri yet; we’ll know more after this game.

8) Bears have forced 3+ turnovers in all four games; they’re scoring lot of points under offensive guru Trestman. Short week and travel off Monday night game for Saints, who struggled in outdoor game so far this season.

7) Maryland is improved, but by how much? They’re 15-point dogs at Florida State, which slept thru first 20:00 at BC last week ,before pulling away for a methodical win. This is a good yardstick for the Terps.

6) Terrelle Pryor is back at QB for Oakland in this 11:30 Sunday night game; if this game gets good TV ratings, could we see Sunday night doubleheaders in the next TV contract?

5) Arizona State-Notre Dame are playing at Jerry World in Dallas, for some reason. ASU’s schedule must’ve been made by Evel Knievel, or somebody who despises Todd Graham. Wisconsin-Stanford-USC-ND on consecutive Saturdays. Not easy.

4) Matt Schaub has thrown a pick-6 in three consecutive games, throwing the Texans and my fantasy team into the ashcan; now he goes to San Francisco to face a 49er team that had three extra days to rest/prepare after waxing the Rams in St Louis last Thursday.

3) Washington Huskies are a well-coached veteran team, but so is Stanford. This should be a really good game. Cardinal crushed Wazzu in Seattle last week and no one else had done that so far this season.

2) Broncos’ juggernaut visits Jerry World on Sunday; problem for Dallas is that their defense is the same one Peyton Manning practiced against for seven years with the Colts. Game is on turf though and Cowboys have scored 67 points in two home games, so this could be a fun 4:25 game Sunday.

1) Yeah, there are three other playoff series besides the most important one; TV network execs will be rooting against Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh and the A’s. Yup, three of the five lowest payrolls made it to the playoffs this year. So did three of the five highest payrolls. Go figure.

Announcement

The Bum's October NFL POD'S + Trends + Stats & News !

The Bum's October NFL POD'S + Trends + Stats & News !

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