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Total Talk - Week 2

September 14, 2013

Week 1 Recap

Even though the first week of the NFL season watched every nationally televised game go ‘over’ the number, the total results from the opening weekend was a stalemate at 8-8. Bettors saw the ‘under’ go an eye-opening 8-1 in the early games on Sunday and the majority of the results were clear-cut. This past Thursday the Patriots beat the Jets 13-10 and most sportsbooks were probably pleased to see the primetime ‘over’ run come to an end.

What should total bettors expect going forward? I hate to use a line from women and compare it to sports betting but it’s fair to say that 40 is the new 30, especially when looking at totals. In the opening weekend, 15 of the 16 games had totals listed at 40 or more points and three were in the fifties. In Week 2, the same scenario is playing out and you could see all games be listed above 40 with the Jacksonville-Oakland matchup hovering around 39 points.

Three more games are listed above 50 points this week and that doesn’t necessarily mean shootouts. In Week 1, the ‘under’ went 2-1 with the high numbers, the lone winner being the Monday Night matchup between Philadelphia and Washington. The Eagles are catching a lot of buzz right now for their pace but at the end of the day, they only put up 31 points from their offense. This week, Philadelphia welcomes San Diego and you can see below that the early money has already poured in on the ‘over.’

Line Moves

Here are all of the line moves of 1 ½ points or more at CRIS as of Saturday.

San Diego at Philadelphia – Line opened 51 ½ and jumped to 54
Cleveland at Baltimore – Line opened 42 and jumped to 43 ½
Tennessee at Houston – Line opened 41 and jumped to 42 ½
Washington at Green Bay – Line opened 48 and jumped to 50
Minnesota at Chicago – Line opened 40 and jumped to 41 ½
Detroit at Arizona – Line opened 46 and jumped to 48 1/2
Jacksonville at Oakland – Line opened 41 and dropped to 39 ½
Denver at N.Y. Giants – Line opened 52 ½ and jumped to 55

Divisional Matchups

The ‘over’ went 4-2 in divisional games last week. Including Thursday’s game between the Jets and Patriots, Week 2 features six more divisional battles.

Cleveland at Baltimore
The ‘under’ is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Baltimore has won 11 straight in this series and during this domination, Cleveland has been held to 17 points or less 10 times.

Tennessee at Houston
The ‘over’ is 3-1 the past two seasons. During this span, the Texans have averaged 31.3 points per game.

Minnesota at Chicago
The ‘under’ is on a 3-0 run in this series. However, Chicago has posted 28, 39, 27 and 36 points in its last four encounters at home against the Vikings.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Seven of the last eight meetings between this pair have seen the ‘under’ cash. Last season, New Orleans put up 41 and 35 against Tampa Bay. The total has ranged between 49 and 54 points in the last four meetings but this week’s number is hovering around 47, which could tell you that the oddsmakers are starting to notice the aforementioned trend.

San Francisco at Seattle (See Below)

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (See Below)

Under the Lights

San Francisco at Seattle
The number on this game is bouncing around 44, which is the highest total this matchup has seen since 2003 when Jeff Garcia and Matt Hasselbeck were going head-to-head for the 49ers and Seahawks respectively. Fast forward 10 years and quarterbacks Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson will attempt to light up the scoreboard. The past three years, the Seahawks and 49ers have seen the total go 1-1 in their regular season matchups. In Jim Harbaugh’s first year in San Francisco, the team was more known for its defense but that changed last year and so did the total results. The 49ers watched the ‘over’ go 9-1 in their final 10 games of the 2012-13 regular season and playoffs. Also, last week’s 34-28 home win against Green Bay in Week 1 was an easy ‘over’ ticket. Seattle has a great defensive unit but it will be missing key parts to that group on Sunday night.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
As of Saturday, this total was hovering between 40 and 41 points, which is the second lowest number on the board. The ‘under’ has gone 3-0 in the last three meetings and after watching Pittsburgh’s offense (194 yards, 7 points) struggle at home in Week 1, not many bettors are expecting an explosion on Monday against a sound Cincinnati defense. The Bengals watched the ‘under’ go 6-2 at home last season and even though Cincinnati allowed 24 points to Chicago last week, its defense played very well up until the end of the game.

Fearless Predictions

We turned a profit in this section last season and hope to churn out more winning tickets in 2013. If you’re new to TT, all wagers are based on one-unit and we play a nine-point teaser at even money (+100). As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Denver-N.Y. Giants 54

Best Under: Tennessee-Houston 43

Best Team Total: Over N.Y. Giants 26

Three-Team Total Teaser:
Over Denver-N.Y. Giants 45
Under Jacksonville-Oakland 38.5
Under Pittsburgh-Cincinnati 50

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Chargers (0-1) @ Eagles (1-0)—Both teams played Monday, but Chargers blew 28-7 lead and lost at home; Iggles are off road divisional win at Washington, when they ran ball for 263 yards and had 53 offensive plays, just in first half. San Diego ran 51 plays in the whole game Monday. Since ’08, Chargers are 12-8-1 as road dogs; they’ve lost three of four visits here, losing by 16-10-3, with only win in ’95, as home teams won eight of last nine series games. Philly defense forced five 3/outs vs offense with rusty QB who hadn’t played in preseason, which helped them get a 19-yard advantage in average field position, a huge edge. Eagles are 6-12 as home favorites last three years, 1-6 as non-divisional HF last two years- they were 0-8 vs spread at home LY, when it was obvious Reid wasn’t coming back as HC. Eagles covered once in last five games as a favorite in their home opener.

Browns (0-1) @ Ravens (0-1)—Baltimore won last ten series games, with seven of 10 wins by 10+ points; Browns are 3-11 here, losing last five, with three of those five by 7 or less points. Ravens had three extra days to prepare after giving up 445 passing yards and seven TDs in Thursday night opener; they’ve won last eight home openers (6-2 vs spread), with over 6-1-1 in those eight games. Over is 9-3 in Browns’ last 12 road openers. Baltimore is 4-9-1 as divisional home favorite under Harbaugh, who is replacing defensive leaders Lewis/Reed off LY’s Super Bowl champs. Browns threw 53 passes last week, ran it only 13 times in 23-10 loss where they outgained Miami; would expect both sides to try and run more here, since Flacco threw 63 passes last week. Since ’07, Cleveland is 9-6-1 as a divisional road dog. Over last decade, teams that lost Thursday night opener are xx-xx in their Week 2 games.

Titans (1-0) @ Texans (1-0)—Houston rallied from down 28-7 to win at San Diego late Monday night, using no-huddle offense and defensive TD by Cushing to forge unlikely comeback; Texans won six of last eight series games, winning 38-24/24-10 LY, just their second series sweep in last 11 years. Titans are 2-3 in last five visits to their old home (Titans used to be Houston Oilers); five of their last seven visits here were decided by 3 or less points, or in OT. Texans won last three home openers by 10-27-20 points; six of their last eight home openers stayed under total. Titans held Pitt to 32 yards rushing, forced five 3/outs on ten drives last week and had whopping 21-yard edge in average field position- they’re 7-6 as a road dog under Munchak. Look for Texans to get Foster more involved in running game; Tate played lot down stretch Monday. Houston is 6-1 as divisional home favorite last three years.

Dolphins (1-0) @ Colts (1-0)— Indy was outgained by 98 yards last week- they had trouble with mobile QB Pryor, who had most of Oakland’s 171 rushing yards, but Dolphins don’t have QB like Pryor. Last week was Miami’s first cover in last five road games; they ran ball for only 20 yards, but since 2004, Dolphins are 28-12-2 as non-divisional road dogs. Indy won last four series games, but all four were decided by six or less points. Dolphins lost last two visits here 27-22/23-20; LY, they beat Miami 23-20 (+1.5), with 419 passing yards, outgaining Fish by 151 yards. Colts covered eight of last 11 home games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites with Luck at QB. Miami was very good on third down last week, converting 8-16 chances, holding Browns to 1-14, but they had only one play of 20+ yards- league average was 3.97 per team. Dolphins were +2 in turnovers last week, good news after being -36 over last four years.

Panthers (0-1) @ Bills (0-1)—Since 2007, Carolina is surprisingly good 7-2 as road favorite; they’re 5-3 vs spread vs AFC teams under Rivera. Buffalo covered four of last six games as home dog; in last eight years, they’re 11-18-3 in last 32 games vs NFC teams. Panthers outrushed Seattle 124-70 last week, but had only 119 passing yards and one play of 20+ yards- Newton lost road opener by 7-6 points in his first two NFL seasons. Buffalo was outgained 431-286 by Patriots, had ten penalties for 75 yards, which led to Pats having 8-yard advantage in average field position- NE converted 11-20 on 3rd down- their only two TD drives were just 16-32 yards. Bills won four of five series games, winning two of three played here- Carolina last visited here in ’05. Panthers lost last four road openers (0-4 vs spread), losing by average score of 26-17.

Rams (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)—Steven Jackson faces his old teammates in his Atlanta home opener; Falcons are 21-11-1 as home favorites under Smith, 13-4 in last 17 as non-divisional HF. Atlanta lost 23-17 in Superdome last week, as last drive ended on Saints’ 3-yard line; they were just 3-11 on 3rd down. Rams came back from 11 down to nip Arizona 27-24 at gun, despite a hideous pick-6 by Bradford and four personal foul penalties. Rams did average 7.9 yards per pass attempt as new TE Cook (141 rec yards) proved to be potent weapon. In his last six seasons as a HC, Fisher is 22-10-1 vs spread as a road dog; Rams were 7-1 in that role LY, with only one road loss (23-6 at Chicago) by more than seven points. Rams lost last 11 road openers, going 2-5 vs spread in last seven as dog in AO. Five of Rams’ last seven road openers stayed under the total.

Redskins (0-1) @ Packers (0-1)—RGIII looked rusty in first half Monday, little sharper in second but game was mostly out of reach by then; Washington seemed unprepared for Philly’s fast-paced offense, now they’re travelling on short week, playing team that scored four TDs at Candlestick last week, but also had six 3/outs that led to 13-yard deficit in average field position. Green Bay covered five of last six home openers, four of five when favored; over last four years, they’re 20-10 as home favorites, 12-5 as non-divisional HF. Packers won four of last five series games; Redskins lost last three visits here by combined score of 84-23, with their last visit here in ’07- they lost four of last five road openers, but covered four of last five as an underdog in AO’s. Washington is 13-7 vs spread as a road underdog under Shanahan.

Cowboys (1-0) @ Chiefs (1-0)—Solid KC debut for Andy Reid, holding Jaguars without TD in 28-2 win; Chiefs have struggled in home openers, losing four of last five, going 0-4-1 as favorites. Since 2007, Chiefs are 3-14-1 as home faves; Reid was 9-15 as home favorite his last four years in Philly. Dallas was outgained 478-331 last week, partially because they had two pick-6’s which gave Giants two extra possessions; Romo’s ribs are issue here, he played second half in pain Sunday night. Cowboys are 4-2 in last six road openers, covering five of the six games. Pokes won six of nine against Chiefs, winning last two meetings by FG each; they’ve split four visits to Arrowhead. Reid lost six of his last nine games vs Dallas while coaching Eagles. Cowboys are 8-4 as road dogs under Garrett. Over last 22 years, under is 17-3-2 in Chiefs’ home openers; 12 of last 16 Dallas road openers went over.

Vikings (0-1) @ Bears (1-0)—Chicago won six of last seven series games, with four of last five wins by 14+ points; Vikings lost last five visits here, losing 39-10/28-10 here last two years. Peterson had 78-yard TD run on first play last week, then had 15 yards on 17 carries rest of game; until Ponder can present legit threat in passing game, defenses will stack up against Viking run game, especially with FB Felton suspended for first four games. Bears are 6-10-1 in last 17 games as home favorites, but over last four years, they’re 4-2 as divisional HF. Since ’08, Vikings are 3-8 as divisional road dogs, 2-5 under former Bear Frazier, who is 1-3 coaching against his old team. Last week, Chicago had three takeaways (+2) and was 3-3 scoring TDs in red zone- they had 14-yard edge in average field position. Vikings allowed 469 yards in Detroit, 352 thru air (8.0 yards/attempt).

Saints (1-0) @ Bucs (0-1)—Payton’s return to sideline last week was success, thanks to last-minute goal-line stand; Saints are 15-12 as road favorite under Payton, 6-5 in divisional games. Brees averaged 9.2 yards/pass attempt last week. Over last four years, Bucs are 3-12-1 as home underdog, 2-5-1 vs NFC South foes. Tampa was all set for road win to start season last week until needless personal foul on last play put Jets in position to kick game-winning FG, tough way to start season; they had 13 penalties for 102 yards, lost to rookie QB, now they’re facing one of NFL’s best. Bucs lost last three games with Saints, including 41-0 debacle in last meeting at Superdome LY, when Bucs gained 367 yards but were -5 in turnovers. Saints won three of last four visits here; they’re 2-4 in last six road openers, with last five going over total. Tampa Bay is 5-3 in last eight home openers, with under 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Lions (1-0) @ Cardinals (0-1)—Arizona was 30-18 SU at home in Whisenhunt era; not sure I would’ve fired only coach to bring me to Super Bowl, but that’s me. Home side won nine of last ten series games, with eight of ten totals 42+; Redbirds won last four series games by average score of 29-16- they scored 31+ in last three meetings. Lions lost last six visits here- their last win in desert was 20 years ago; they’re 3-10 in last 13 road openers- under is 6-1-1 in last eight road openers. Arizona won five of last six home openers, with five of last seven going over total- they had 24-13 lead in second half at St Louis last week before losing at gun- Arians’ offense was 7-14 on 3rd down, averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt, but was hurt by 10-yard deficit in average field position. Lions had four takeaways last week (+2), outgained Vikings 469-330 as Stafford passed for 352 yards.

Jaguars (0-1) @ Raiders (0-1)— New QB Pryor was better than expected in opener at Indy last week, throwing for 217 yards, running for 112 more and converting 7-13 on 3rd down in narrow 21-17 loss, but Oakland has lost six of last eight home openers, going 0-5 vs spread as a favorite. Over last decade, Raiders are 9-23 vs spread as home favorites, 7-15 in non-divisional games. Jaguars lost last five road openers, but they’re 7-3 vs spread as dog in AO; Jax is 15-20 as road dogs last five years, but Bradley is also their third HC in three years, so not sure how much trends mean with them. Oakland outgained Colts by 98 yards but -2 turnover ratio did them in; still impressed by 7-13 on 3rd down with basically a rookie QB. Not only did Jax offense get shut out last week, only one of four KC TDs came on a drive longer than 24 yards. Jags won four of six in series, splitting four visits here; average total in last three meetings is 66.

Broncos (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)— Probably last Manning Bowl, unless teams meet in Super Bowl; Denver had 3+ extra days to prepare after gaining 510 yards vs Ravens in 49-27 opening win, but over last eight years, teams that won mid-week season opener are 3-5 SU, 1-7 vs spread in Week 2 game. Home side won last five series games; Broncos lost four of last five here vs Giants, with last three losses by total of 8 points. Denver is 13-6-1 as favorite under Fox, 6-2 on foreign soil, 5-1 outside division. Giants are home dog for just 4th time in last five years; since ’07, they’re 4-2 vs spread as a home dog. Hard to tell awful lot about Giant defense after offense gave up two TDs and Romo played second half with damaged ribs. Broncos lost last three road openers, by 7-3-6 points; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road openers. Giants won four of last five home openers, with three of last four going over.

49ers (1-0) @ Seahawks (1-0)—This has become intense rivalry because coaches don’t like each other; Harbaugh once upset Carroll as a 42-point dog in Stanford-USC days. Seattle is 17-7 vs spread at home under Carroll; Niners are 10-6 on road under Harbaugh. 49ers won four of last five in series where home teams won seven of last eight; Niners lost three of last four in Seattle, losing by 3-25-29 points. Seattle outgained Panthers by 127 yards last week, but 109 penalty yards and lousy red zone offense (6 points on 3 trips) held them back in 12-7 nailbiter (Panthers fumbled on Seattle 8 with 5:25 left). 49ers were +2 in turnovers, 9-18 on 3rd down but also had 85 yards in penalties as they held off Pack 34-28- three of their four TD drives were 80+ yards, as WR Boldin had big day in SF debut. Niners won five of last six road openers, covered six of last seven, with over 6-3-1 in their last 10. Hawks won four in row, nine of last ten home openers, with under 10-1-1 in their last 12. In Carroll era, Seattle is just 1-5 as favorite of 3 or less points.

Steelers (0-1) @ Bengals (0-1)—This is most points Bengals have been favored by over Pitt since 1989, but with C Pouncey out for year, heart/soul of Steeler OL is gone. Steelers won five of last six games in series where six of last eight games were decided by 7 or less points. Pitt won last three visits here, by 6-7-7 points- they’re 9-7 as road dog under Tomlin, but 5-6 in divisional games. Since ’08, Cincy has been consistent money burner as HF, going 6-15-1 vs spread, 4-11 in division games. Pitt offense didn’t score until last 2:00 at home last week, gaining 195 yards, running for 32- they went 3/out five of 10 drives, leading to huge 21-yard deficit in average field position. Bengals averaged 8.1/pass attempt, outgained Bears, but were -2 in turnovers and came up short- they started eight of ten drives 80+ yards from goal line, also going 3/out on five of 10 drives. Bengals are 0-3-1 in last four tries as favorite in home opener; Steelers are 2-4 in last six road openers, scoring 19 or less points in all six games. Over last five years, Bengals are 14-21-3 vs spread in game following a loss; over last three years, Steelers are 11-4-1 vs spread in same role.

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NFL

Week 2

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Trend Report
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Sunday, September 15

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
St. Louis is 8-15-1 SU in its last 24 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. KANSAS CITY
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games at home

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. GREEN BAY
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games

4:05 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. ARIZONA
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

4:25 PM
DENVER vs. NY GIANTS
Denver is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Denver
NY Giants are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home

4:25 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. OAKLAND
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


Monday, September 16

8:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

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NFL

Sunday, September 15

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Sunday's NFL Week 2 betting cheat sheet: Early action
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St. Louis Rams at Atlanta Falcons (-6.5, 47)

Sam Bradford benefited from former top overall pick Jake Long's presence and was not sacked in the Week 1 victory. Daryl Richardson, who replaced visiting RB Steven Jackson as the primary back in St. Louis, rushed for 63 yards on 20 carries in last week's win. Richardson likely will have company in the backfield on Sunday as Isaiah Pead returns from a one-game league suspension.

Matt Ryan could use some better protection after being sacked three times while being put under duress on 25-of-38 passing in the season opener. Ryan also has question marks at wide receiver as veteran Roddy White effectively serves as a decoy as he tries to work through a high ankle sprain. Pro Bowler Julio Jones has been limited in practice with a knee injury despite reeling in seven catches for 76 yards and a touchdown last week.

LINE: Opened Atlanta -7.5 and bet down to -6.5. Total steady at 47.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Rams (+2.5) + Falcons (-4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Falcons -9.5
WEATHER: N/A
TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Atlanta.
* Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.


San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5, 55)

Philip Rivers completed only 14-of-29 passes against the Texans, including a 1-for-7 performance with a pick-six in the decisive fourth quarter. Rivers did throw four touchdown passes, but to provide a comparison, the Chargers ran a total of 51 plays against the Texans – two fewer than Philadelphia ran in the first half alone. San Diego, which was ravaged by injuries to its receivers in the preseason, did not have a player catch more than three passes or go over 50 yards against Houston.

Under the direction of Chip Kelly’s high-flying offense, the Eagles ran 53 first-half plays against the Washington Redskins on Monday night and extended their lead to 33-7 in the opening two minutes of the third quarter. After his team ran 77 plays and finished with 443 yards against Washington, Kelly actually said of the Eagles’ offense, “I felt like it was too slow, to be honest with you.”

LINE: Eagles opened -7.5 and bet down to -7. Total moved from 53 to 55.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chargers (+2.5) - Eagles (+1.0) + home (-3.0) = Eagles -4.5
WEATHER: Temps mid 70s. Clear skies. Winds west 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Chargers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following SU loss.
* Eagles are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.


Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46.5)

Kansas City Chiefs first-year head coach Andy Reid will make his home debut Sunday against a team he knows all too well in the Dallas Cowboys. Reid was 17-12, including the playoffs, versus Dallas in his 14 years at the helm in Philadelphia. The Chiefs have lost their last two home openers by a combined score of 81-31.

Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo (bruised ribs) and wide receiver Dez Bryant (foot) are on target to play through their respective injuries. Dallas rode its defense to a 36-31 win over the New York Giants on Sunday in a game that saw the Cowboys force six turnovers, two of which they returned for touchdowns.

LINE: Chiefs opened as low as -1.5 and moved to -3. Total steady at 46.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cowboys (-2.5) + Chiefs (0.0) + home (-3.0) = Chiefs -0.5
WEATHER: Temps in low 80s. 34 percent chance of thundershowers. Winds SSW 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 2.
* Under is 17-5 in Chiefs' last 22 home games.


Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (-1, 43.5)

he first order of business for Miami is to fix a running game that averaged less than a yard per carry and saw starter Lamar Miller held to three yards on 10 attempts. Wide receiver Mike Wallace, the high-priced offseason acquisition that was brought in to provide Tannehill with a deep threat, also made headlines following the game by grousing about his role in the passing attack (one catch, 15 yards).

Colts QB Andrew Luck, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 draft, was sacked four times by the upset-minded Oakland Raiders but ran for the winning touchdown with just under 5 1/2 minutes to play - the eighth time he has directed a comeback win in the fourth quarter or overtime. Defense was also a concern for the Colts, who allowed Oakland to possess the ball for nearly 33 minutes.

LINE: Colts opened -3.5 moved as low as -2.5. Total moved from 42.5 to 43.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Dolphins (+1.0) - Colts (+1.5) + home (-3.0) = Colts -2.5
WEATHER: N/A
TRENDS:

* Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Indianapolis.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.


Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-9, 43)

The Titans' defense held the Steelers to 195 total yards and kept them off the scoreboard until Jerricho Cotchery caught a 4-yard touchdown pass with 1:23 remaining in the fourth quarter. Tennessee needed the strong defensive performance as its offense gained only 229 yards and produced just one touchdown and three field goals.

Controversy could be brewing in the Texans' backfield as Arian Foster was visibly upset after being waved off the field by backup Ben Tate during a fourth-quarter drive on Monday. Coach Gary Kubiak stated Foster, who missed the entire preseason with a calf injury, will be sharing the workload with Tate until he works his way back into form.

LINE: Houston opened -8.5 and moved as high as -10.5. Total moved from 42 to 43.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Titans (+3.5) + Texans (-4.5) + home (-3.0) = Texans -11
WEATHER: N/A
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Houston.
* Titans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Houston.


Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers (-9.5, 49.5)

Washington's defense couldn't slow down the Eagles' frenetic offense, falling behind 33-7 before mounting a huge second-half rally in a 33-27 loss. Robert Griffin III looked like a player who missed virtually the entire preseason Monday night. The former Heisman winner was relegated to a pocket passer, perhaps by design, as Washington looked to protect his surgically repaired knee.

Aaron Rodgers was sharp in Green Bay's opener but aside from a couple flashes of speed out of the backfield from rookie Eddie Lacy (14 carries, 41 yards), the Packers were forced to resort to their one-dimensional air attack. Rodgers is nearly unbeatable at Lambeau Field, winning 19 of his last 20 starts there. Green Bay could be without tight end Jermichael Finley, who missed practice during the week due to a toe injury.

LINE: Packers opened -9 and moved to -7. Total moved from 49.5 to 50.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Redskins (+1.0) + Packers (-6.0) + home (-3.0) = Packers -10
WEATHER: Temps low 60s. 60 percent chance of rain. Winds west 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings.


Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5, 44)

Defending Cleveland’s offense will be a bit easier as second-year quarterback Brandon Weeden is still trying to establish himself as a viable NFL signal caller. Weeden threw three interceptions and was sacked six times while completing 26-of-53 passes for 289 yards and one touchdown. The Ravens have defeated the Browns by an average of 12.9 points during the 10-game winning streak.

The Baltimore Ravens attempt to defeat Cleveland for the 11th consecutive time during John Harbaugh’s head coaching tenure when they host the Browns. Quarterback Joe Flacco put the ball in the air a career-high 62 times while passing for 362 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions against Denver. Getting Ray Rice untracked will be a priority as Baltimore’s top running back had just 71 total yards (36 rushing, 35 receiving) on 20 touches against Denver.

LINE: Ravens opened -7 and moved to -6.5. Total moved from 42 to 43.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Browns (+5.5) + Ravens (-1.5) + home (-3.0) = Ravens -10
WEATHER: Temps in low 70s. Clear skies. Winds south 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
* Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Road team is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.


Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills (+1, 44)

Carolina needs to get something going down the field - Newton was 16-for-23 for a career-low 125 yards against Seattle - to open things up for the running game. The pass defense struggled a week ago and needs to pressure Bills QB E.J. Manuel after sacking Russell Wilson only once in the opener.

Buffalo had limited success on offense in Week 1 but needs more from electric running back C.J. Spiller, who fumbled on his second carry and was limited to 41 yards on 17 rushes. The Bills were just 4-for-13 on third down, which led to a lopsided time of possession (37:43) in favor of the Patriots, and it showed as the defense wore down in the fourth quarter.

LINE: Bills moved from as high as +3 to +1. Total moved from 44.5 to 43.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Panthers (+1.5) - Bills (+5.5) + home (-3.0) = Bills +1
WEATHER: Temps in high 60s. Partly cloudy skies. Winds WSW 9 mph.
TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
* Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
* Bills are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 2.


Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-5.5, 42)

Minnesota regularly sees eight-man defensive fronts with Peterson in the backfield, but quarterback Christian Ponder has yet to prove that he can take advantage of the single coverage on the outside. Ponder threw three interceptions and lost a fumble in a 34-24 Week 1 loss at Detroit and is facing a Chicago defensive backfield that forced three turnovers last week and led the NFL in that category a year ago.

The most encouraging thing about Chicago’s 24-21 victory over the Bengals may have been the spot on Cutlers stat line that read: sacks-0. Cutler was sacked 148 times in the last four seasons but the Bears rebuilt the offensive line with four new faces for 2013. Trestman, who specializes in a short passing game, is also trying to get the ball out of Cutler’s hands quickly and to receivers like Brandon Marshall, who caught eight passes for 104 yards and a score against the Bengals.

LINE: Chicago opened -5 and moved as high as -6. Total moved from 40.5 to 42.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Vikings (+2.5) + Bears (-2.0) + home (-3.0) = Bears -7.5
WEATHER: Temps in mid 60s. 64 percent chance of thundershowers. Winds SSW 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
* Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Sunday, September 15

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Sunday's NFL Week 2 betting cheat sheet: Late action
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New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5, 47)

Drew Brees passed for 357 yards and a pair of touchdowns in Week 1 and torched Tampa Bay for 307 yards and four scores in that Dec. 16 meeting last season. The biggest test for the Saints secondary this week will be against wide receiver Vincent Jackson, who is the best playmaker on Bucs' offense

Tampa Bay was called for five penalties that led to first downs against the Jets, including a personal foul call on linebacker Lavonte David that set up the winning field goal with two seconds left. Freeman completed less than 50 percent of his passes (15-for-31), threw an interception and fumbled the ball out of the back of the end zone for a safety in the contest.

LINE: Saints opened -3.5 and moved to -3. Total moved from 46.5 to 47.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Saints (-3.0) + Bucs (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Bucs +4
WEATHER: Temps in low 90s. 30 percent chance of thundershowers. Winds east 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
* Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Road team is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 meetings.

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals (+1, 48.5)

Detroit came out of Week 1 healthy but is likely another week away from getting receiver Ryan Broyles back from a knee injury. The Lions can survive without Broyles thanks to a bevy of offensive weapons including Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush, who had 90 rushing yards and 101 receiving yards in his Detroit debut.

New starting quarterback Carson Palmer had a solid outing in Week 1, passing for 327 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw an interception and was sacked four times. The Cardinals might be without two major offensive weapons as receiver Larry Fitzgerald and running back Rashard Mendenhall both are questionable with hamstring injuries.

LINE: Game opened pick and moved to Detroit -1. Total moved from 46.5 to 48.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Lions (0.0) + Cardinals (+5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Cardinals +2
WEATHER: N/A
TRENDS:

* Home team is 9-0 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* Over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
* Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-5.5, 39)

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be without quarterback Blaine Gabbert when they visit the Oakland Raiders on Sunday. The second-year quarterback suffered a nasty laceration on his throwing hand that required 15 stitches during a season-opening 28-2 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs and veteran Chad Henne will start against the Raiders.

Oakland QB Terrelle Pryor was just the eighth quarterback since the 1970 merger to pass for at least 200 yards and run for 100 in the same game. Getting Darren McFadden untracked is crucial after the sixth-year back had only 48 yards – and a paltry 2.8 average – against the Colts. McFadden was limited to 53 yards (and a 2.8 average) by the Jaguars last season. Oakland recorded four sacks in the opener, a welcome development after having just 25 last season.

LINE: Oakland opened -7 and has moved to -5.5. Total moved from 39.5 to 39.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jaguars (+7.5) - Raiders (+7.0) + home field (-3.0) = Raiders -3.5
WEATHER: Temps in mid 70s with clear skies. Winds WSW 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Raiders' last four home games.

Denver Broncos at New York Giants (+4.5, 55)

Denver QB Peyton Manning won the previous two matchups SU and ATS versus his brother Eli when he was a member of the Indianapolis Colts. The Broncos run game remains in flux but the defense had four sacks and two interceptions despite the absences of Pro Bowlers Von Miller (suspension) and Champ Bailey (foot).

New York has serious concerns about its running game after starter David Wilson lost two fumbles and was benched and backup Da'Rel Scott was injured, necessitating the signing of former Giants back Brandon Jacobs. New York's receiving corps showed it has the requisite firepower to keep up with the Broncos, getting three touchdown receptions from Victor Cruz. The Giants could be shorthanded in the defensive backfield after cornerback Prince Amukamara suffered a concussion versus Dallas.

LINE: Denver opened -2 and moved to -4.5. Total moved from 53.5 to 55.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Broncos (-8.0) - Giants (-2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Giants +2.5
WEATHER: Temps in low 70s. Partly cloudy skies. Winds WSW 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Giants are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 2.
* Under is 17-7 in Giants' last 24 games overall.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3, 44)

San Francisco's Colin Kaepernick was sensational in Week 1, throwing for a career-best 412 yards and three touchdowns against an overwhelmed Packers defense. The 49ers were the only NFC West team with a winning road record last season (5-3). San Francisco WR Anquan Boldin, who erupted for 208 receiving yards and a touchdown in his 49ers debut.

When it comes to home-field advantage, no team enjoyed a bigger one last season than the Seahawks. They finished 8-0 at CenturyLink in 2012 and were especially dominant in their final four home games of the campaign, outscoring opponents by a 148-33 margin over that stretch. The home effect was evident when San Francisco visited last season, as the noisy crowd forced Kaepernick to call two first-quarter timeouts.

LINE: Seattle opened -2.5 and moved to -3. Total moved from 44.5 to 44.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: 49ers (-8.0) - Seahawks (-8.0) + home field (-3.0) = Seahawks -3
WEATHER: Temps in high 60s. 43 percent chance of showers. Winds SW 11 mph.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Seahawks are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 home games.

[StarDust Bum]

Where the action is: NFL Week 2's biggest line moves

Manning Bowl III headlines Week 2 of the NFL schedule. Peyton Manning is 2-0 versus his little brother but they last met almost three years ago when the Colts defeated the Giants 38-14 on Sept. 19, 2010.

We talk to oddsmakers about the flow of action coming in on some of Sunday's NFL games.

Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills - Open: +3

Action on this matchup has sharps and the betting public divided. The Bills are coming off a reasonably strong performance against the Patriots in Week 1, but succumbed to a 23-21 defeat. The Panthers hung around with the Seahawks in a 12-7 loss despite QB Cam Newton not performing at his best.

"Sharp and public money are not seeing eye-to-eye on one of the worst match ups of the weekend," an oddsmaker with BetDSI told Covers. "Sharps are backing Buffalo at +3 (-115) and the the public is all over Carolina at -3 (+100)."


St. Louis Rams at Atlanta Falcons - Open: 47, Move: 47.5, Move: 47

This one has the sharps and public divided as well. The Rams posted a 27-24 Week 1 victory over the Arizona Cardinals while the Falcons were dropped 23-17 by their NFC South rivals the New Orleans Saints.

"There is also a sharp versus public contrast on the St. Louis versus Atlanta match up with public coin backing the Over 47 and sharps coin backing the Under 47.5," an oddsmaker from BetDSI said.


Denver Broncos at New York Giants - Open: +6, Move: +5.5, Move: +4

The third edition of the Manning Bowl is set for Sunday afternoon and sharps are backing Eli as the home dog. The younger Manning finished 27-of-42 for 450 yards in New York's Week 1 loss to the Cowboys.

"Denver opened -6 and Tuesday got sharp play on the dog, so moved to 5.5," Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com told Covers. "Another wiseguy played the Giants +5.5 so moved to current number of 4."


New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Open: +3

One matchup from this weekends schedule which sharps and the public can agree on is the Saints at the Bucs. Drew Brees and the Saints are coming off a big win at home versus the Falcons, and after a particularly dreadful performance against the Jets, nobody is giving the Bucs any love at all.

"Sharps hit the Saints -3 (-105) and the moneyline at -155 and the public is on the Saints too," says BetDSI.com. "There has been close to zero buy back on Tampa as of yet."

[StarDust Bum]

NFL betting: Week 2 injury watch

Here is a look at the notable injuries for Week 2 of the NFL schedule.

St. Louis Rams at Atlanta Falcons

Rams:

- DE Chris Long (hip) is questionable.
- RB Daryl Richardson was a limited participant in practice Thursday as he nurses a foot injury and is probable.

Falcons:

- CB Asante Samuel is questionable with a thigh injury.
- WR Roddy White is questionable as he deals with an ankle injury. He did not practice Thursday.
- LB Sean Weatherspoon is questionable with a knee injury.
- WR Julio Jones is questionable with a knee injury.


Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills

Panthers:

- LB Jon Beason (knee) is probable.
- WR Domenik Hixon (hamstring) is probable.
- S Mike Mitchell (calf) is probable.

Bills:

- S Jairus Byrd (plantar fasciitis) is doubtful.
- K Dustin Hopkins (groin) is out.


Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Vikings:

- DT Kevin Williams (knee) did not practice Friday but is probable.
- LB Erin Henderson (heel) is probable.
- CB Josh Robinson (quad) is probable.

Bears:

- DE Julius Peppers (illness) is probable.
- CB Charles Tillman (knee) is probable.


Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers

Redskins:

- S Brandon Meriweather (groin) is probable.
- K Kai Forbath (groin) is questionable.
- CB David Amerson (back) is probable.
- RB Chris Thompson (ankle) is probable.

Packers:

- TE Jermichael Finley (toe) is probable.
- LB Nick Perry (neck) is probable.
- S Morgan Burnett (hamstring) is questionable.


Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

Dolphins:

- TE Dion Sims (groin) is probable.
- CB Dimitri Patterson (groin) is questionable.
- DE Dion Jordan (shoulder) is probable.

Colts:

- TE Dwayne Allen (hip) is doubtful.
- LB Kavell Conner (ankle) is questionable.
- WR David Reed (quad) is out.
- LB Pat Angerer (concussion) practiced Friday and is probable.
- LB Erik Walden (hamstring) is questionable.
- RB Vick Ballard is out for the remainder of the season after injuring his knee in practice Thursday.


Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs

Cowboys:

- WR Dez Bryant (foot) is probable.
- QB Tony Romo (ribs) is probable.
- CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder) is probable.
- DE Anthony Spencer (knee) is questionable.
- RB Lance Dunbar (foot) is probable.

Chiefs:

- RB Jamaal Charles (quad) is probable.
- TE Travis Kelce (knee) is questionable.


Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Browns:

- WR Travis Benjamin (hamstring) is questionable.
- DB T.J. Ward (shoulder) is questionable.
- DL Ahtyba Rubin (calf) is doubtful.
- LB Barkevious Mingo (bruised lung) is questionable.

Ravens:

- WR Deonte Thompson (foot) is doubtful.
- OT Michael Oher (ankle) is probable.
- DE Arthur Jones (illness) is questionable.
- RB Bernard Pierce (thigh) is questionable.


Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Titans:

- RB Shonn Greene (knee) is questionable.
- WR Damian Williams (hamstring) is questionable.
- LB Zaviar Gooden (ankle) is probable.

Texans:

- DE JJ Watt (quad) is probable.
- TE Owen Daniels (back/groin) is probable.
- LB Darryl Sharpton (concussion) is probable.
- WR DeVier Posey (Achilles') is probable.
- S Shiloh Keo (heel) will start, according to the Houston Chronicle.


San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles

Chargers:

- LB Manti Te'o (foot) has been ruled out.
- WR Eddie Royal is probable.

Eagles:

- CB Bradley Fletcher (concussion) has been ruled out.


Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals

Lions:

- RB Reggie Bush (thumb/groin) is probable after participating in practice Thursday.
- DT Nick Fairley (shoulder) is questionable.
- S Louis Delmas (knee) is probable.

Cardinals:

- WR Larry Fitzgerald will reportedly be a game-time decision.
- RB Rashard Mendenhall (hamstring) is probable.
- WR Andre Roberts (quadriceps) is probable.
- TE Rob Housler (ankle) is questionable.


New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Saints:

- WR Marques Colston (foot) is probable.
- S Roman Harper (knee) is questionable.
- CB Jabari Greer (back) is questionable.
- CB Patrick Robinson (foot) is questionable.
- LB Curtis Lofton (knee) is probable.
- LB Martez Wilson (elbow) is probable.
- LB Junior Galette (hamstring) is probable.

Bucs:

- G Carl Nicks (foot) is questionable.
- DE Adrian Clayborn (hip) is probable.
- TE Tom Crabtree (ankle) has been ruled out.
- RB Jeff Demps is out.
- CB Michael Adams is out.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders

Jags:

- WR Cecil Shorts (groin) is probable.
- TE Marcedes Lewis (calf) is questionable.
- RB Jordan Todman (shoulder) is probable.
- WR Mike Brown (back) is questionable.
- CB Alan Ball (groin) is questionable.
- G Will Rackley (knee) is probable.

Raiders:

- K Sebastian Janikowski (right calf) is probable.
- TE David Ausberry (shoulder) is out.
- S Tyvon Branch (shoulder) is probable.
- OT Menelik Watson is out.


Denver Broncos at New York Giants

Broncos:

- WR Wes Welker (ankle) is probable.
- WR Eric Decker (shoulder) is probable.
- CB Champ Bailey (foot) is out.
- TE Joel Dreessen (knee) is out.
- LB Wesley Woodyard (ankle) is probable.

Giants:

- RB Da'Rel Scott (knee) is probable.
- CB Prince Amukamara (concussion) is questionable.
- S Antrel Rolle (groin) is questionable.
- TE Adrien Robinson (foot) is out.
- C David Baas (knee) is probable.
- LB Dan Connor (neck) was placed on season-ending IR.


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

49ers:

- RB LaMichael James (knee) is questionable.
- LB Nick Moody is out.

Seahawks:

- WR Sidney Rice (knee) is probable.
- DE Chris Clemons (knee) is questionable.
- S Jeron Johnson (hamstring) is doubtful.
- DE Cliff Avril (hamstring) is doubtful.
- CB Brandon Browner (hamstring) is questionable.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL weather report: Sunday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your NFL bets for Sunday's matchups:

Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills (+3, 45.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s and skies will be partly cloudy over Ralph Wilson Stadium. Wind will blow from SW across the field at 11 mph.


Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-5.5, 42)

There is a 90 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-60s.


Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5, 43.5)

Skies will be clear and temperatures will be in the low-70s. Wind will blow across the field at 5 mph.


Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers (-9, 50)

There is a 72 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-60s and wind will blow from the north toward the south end zone at 6 mph.


Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-70s and there is currently a 47 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from SW across the field at 9 mph.


New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3, 47.5)

There is a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-90s and wind will blow from the south toward the north end zone at 5 mph.


Denver Broncos at New York Giants (+4, 55)

Skies will be clear over MetLife Stadium and temperatures will be in the mid-70s. Wind will blow from SW across the field at 7 mph.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-5.5, 39.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow from the west at 9 mph.


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3, 44)

There is a 58 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow from SW at 13 mph.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Sunday, September 15

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Broncos at Giants: What bettors need to know
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Denver Broncos at New York Giants (+4, 54.5)

Chapter III of the Manning Bowl takes center stage on Sunday when Eli Manning and the New York Giants host older brother Peyton and the Denver Broncos. That the game will be played at MetLife Stadium - the venue for this season's Super Bowl - only adds to the hype for the sibling rivalry that has seen Peyton win the previous two matchups when he was a member of the Indianapolis Colts. Denver is coming off a 49-27 dismantling of the reigning Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens.

The Broncos were already among the prohibitive favorites to come out of the AFC this season and did little to quell such lofty expectations behind Peyton Manning's record-tying seven-touchdown performance. The Giants, meanwhile, stumbled through a mistake-filled 36-31 loss at Dallas that featured six turnovers, including three interceptions by Eli Manning. Still, he passed for 450 yards and four TDs and had New York in position for the victory until he was picked off with under two minutes to play.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: The Giants opened as 5.5-point home dogs and the line has moved to +4. The total is currently 54.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with clear skies.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (1-0): Denver erased a three-point deficit with a spectacular second-half performance as Peyton Manning threw for five of his seven scoring passes and finished with 462 yards overall. Free-agent signee Wes Welker had nine catches for 67 yards and two TDs in his Broncos debut and athletic tight end Julius Thomas added another electrifying dimension to an already high-powered attack with five receptions for 110 yards and two scores. The run game remains in flux but the defense had four sacks and two interceptions despite the absences of Pro Bowlers Von Miller (suspension) and Champ Bailey (foot).

ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-1): New York has serious concerns about its running game after starter David Wilson lost two fumbles and was benched and backup Da'Rel Scott was injured, necessitating the signing of former Giants back Brandon Jacobs. New York's receiving corps showed it has the requisite firepower to keep up with the Broncos, getting three touchdown receptions from Victor Cruz and five catches and over 100 yards each from Cruz (118), Hakeem Nicks (114) and Rueben Randle (101) despite the slew of turnovers. The Giants could be shorthanded in the defensive backfield after cornerback Prince Amukamara suffered a concussion versus Dallas.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Giants are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 2.
* Over is 8-3 in the Broncos last 11 road games.
* Under is 6-0 in the Giants last six versus a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Broncos are riding a 12-game regular-season winning streak, the longest in the NFL.

2. Eli Manning has thrown for 12 TDs and the Giants have averaged 44 points in winning their last three home games.

3. Welker has 20 catches in his last two regular-season games versus New York.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Consensus Picks

September 15, 2013 »

Sides (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

1:00 PM Miami +2.5 1308 28.91% Indianapolis -2.5 3217 71.09% View View

4:25 PM Jacksonville +4.5 1210 29.46% Oakland -4.5 2897 70.54% View View

1:00 PM Cleveland +7 1288 29.92% Baltimore -7 3017 70.08% View View

1:00 PM St. Louis +5.5 1417 32.07% Atlanta -5.5 3002 67.93% View View

1:00 PM Tennessee +8 1651 43.82% Houston -8 2117 56.18% View View

1:00 PM Carolina -3.5 2080 49.87% Buffalo +3.5 2091 50.13% View View

1:00 PM San Diego +7.5 1964 50.51% Philadelphia -7.5 1924 49.49% View View

1:00 PM Minnesota +6 2122 51.17% Chicago -6 2025 48.83% View View

1:00 PM Dallas +3 2357 54.26% Kansas City -3 1987 45.74% View View

1:00 PM Washington +9 2294 60.07% Green Bay -9 1525 39.93% View View

4:25 PM Denver -4 2586 60.07% N.Y. Giants +4 1719 39.93% View View

8:30 PM San Francisco +3 2602 60.62% Seattle -3 1690 39.38% View View

4:05 PM Detroit -1 2756 63.93% Arizona +1 1555 36.07% View View

4:05 PM New Orleans -3 3403 77.43% Tampa Bay +3 992 22.57% View View



Totals (Over/Under)

Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total
Under Pct Detail Odds

1:00 PM Cleveland 43.5 1006 37.72% Baltimore 43.5 1661 62.28% View View

4:25 PM Jacksonville 40.5 1105 42.30% Oakland 40.5 1507 57.70% View View

1:00 PM Dallas 45.5 1211 45.15% Kansas City 45.5 1471 54.85% View View

1:00 PM Miami 43 1446 53.42% Indianapolis 43 1261 46.58% View View

8:30 PM San Francisco 44 1509 54.54% Seattle 44 1258 45.46% View View

1:00 PM Carolina 43.5 1499 55.09% Buffalo 43.5 1222 44.91% View View

1:00 PM Tennessee 43 1428 58.17% Houston 43 1027 41.83% View View

1:00 PM St. Louis 46.5 1697 60.33% Atlanta 46.5 1116 39.67% View View

4:05 PM Detroit 48.5 1544 61.44% Arizona 48.5 969 38.56% View View

1:00 PM Minnesota 41.5 1667 62.13% Chicago 41.5 1016 37.87% View View

1:00 PM San Diego 53.5 1755 63.13% Philadelphia 53.5 1025 36.87% View View

4:05 PM New Orleans 48 1863 68.82% Tampa Bay 48 844 31.18% View View

4:25 PM Denver 54.5 1979 70.28% N.Y. Giants 54.5 837 29.72% View View

1:00 PM Washington 50 2010 74.92% Green Bay 50 673 25.08% View View

[Spark]

Good Luck Bum

[StarDust Bum]

Back at ya Spark..........

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Consensus Picks

September 15, 2013 »


Sides (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

4:25 PM Jacksonville +4 1283 29.53% Oakland -4 3062 70.47% View View

1:00 PM Miami +2.5 1418 29.58% Indianapolis -2.5 3376 70.42% View View

1:00 PM Cleveland +6.5 1386 30.41% Baltimore -6.5 3172 69.59% View View

1:00 PM St. Louis +5.5 1511 32.24% Atlanta -5.5 3175 67.76% View View

1:00 PM Tennessee +8 1751 43.42% Houston -8 2282 56.58% View View

1:00 PM San Diego +7 2063 49.65% Philadelphia -7 2092 50.35% View View

1:00 PM Carolina -3.5 2198 49.75% Buffalo +3.5 2220 50.25% View View

1:00 PM Minnesota +6 2225 50.53% Chicago -6 2178 49.47% View View

1:00 PM Dallas +3 2493 54.09% Kansas City -3 2116 45.91% View View

4:25 PM Denver -4 2727 59.84% N.Y. Giants +4 1830 40.16% View View

1:00 PM Washington +9 2451 60.00% Green Bay -9 1634 40.00% View View

8:30 PM San Francisco +3 2728 60.31% Seattle -3 1795 39.69% View View

4:05 PM Detroit -1 2903 63.59% Arizona +1 1662 36.41% View View

4:05 PM New Orleans -3 3605 77.44% Tampa Bay +3 1050 22.56% View View




Totals (Over/Under)

Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds

1:00 PM Cleveland 43.5 1071 37.68% Baltimore 43.5 1771 62.32% View View

4:25 PM Jacksonville 40.5 1158 41.96% Oakland 40.5 1602 58.04% View View

1:00 PM Dallas 45.5 1276 44.63% Kansas City 45.5 1583 55.37% View View

1:00 PM Miami 43 1542 53.56% Indianapolis 43 1337 46.44% View View

8:30 PM San Francisco 44 1590 54.17% Seattle 44 1345 45.83% View View

1:00 PM Carolina 43.5 1597 55.13% Buffalo 43.5 1300 44.87% View View

1:00 PM Tennessee 43 1518 57.63% Houston 43 1116 42.37% View View

1:00 PM St. Louis 46.5 1825 60.81% Atlanta 46.5 1176 39.19% View View

4:05 PM Detroit 48 1654 61.74% Arizona 48 1025 38.26% View View

1:00 PM Minnesota 41.5 1775 62.11% Chicago 41.5 1083 37.89% View View

1:00 PM San Diego 53 1890 63.57% Philadelphia 53 1083 36.43% View View

4:05 PM New Orleans 48 1960 68.13% Tampa Bay 48 917 31.87% View View

4:25 PM Denver 54.5 2103 70.50% N.Y. Giants 54.5 880 29.50% View View

1:00 PM Washington 49.5 2162 74.97% Green Bay 49.5 722 25.03% View View

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/12/13 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
09/09/13 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
09/08/13 13-*12-*1 52.00% -*100 Detail
09/05/13 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

Totals 20-*13-*1 60.61% +2850

Sunday, September 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 1:00 PM ET St. Louis +5.5 500
Atlanta - Over 46.5 500

San Diego - 1:00 PM ET Philadelphia -7.5 500 POD # 4
Philadelphia - Under 53.5 500

Dallas - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City -3 500
Kansas City - Under 45.5 500

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Indianapolis -2.5 500 POD # 2
Indianapolis - Under 43 500

Tennessee - 1:00 PM ET Tennessee +8 500 POD # 3
Houston - Under 43 500

Washington - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay -9 500
Green Bay - Over 50 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland +7 500 POD # 1
Baltimore - Under 43.5 500

Carolina - 1:00 PM ET Carolina -3.5 500
Buffalo - Under 43.5 500

Minnesota - 1:00 PM ET Minnesota +6 500
Chicago - Over 41.5 500


Late Games will be up sometime after Halftiime.....Good Luck !

[StarDust Bum]

Your Late Game POD'S:


New Orleans - 4:05 PM ET New Orleans -3 500 POD # 3

Tampa Bay - Over 48 500

Detroit - 4:05 PM ET Arizona +1 500

Arizona - Under 48 500 POD # 2

Jacksonville - 4:25 PM ET Jacksonville +4 500 POD # 1

Oakland - Over 40.5 500

Denver - 4:25 PM ET N.Y. Giants +4 500 POD # 4

N.Y. Giants - Over 54.5


Sunday Night Game Up Later.....Good Luck !