The Bum's July's MLB POD'S-Stats-News

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Nationals (47-44) at Phillies (45-47)
Game: 4
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Date: July 11, 2013 7:05 PM EDT


While Jordan Zimmermann remains unbeaten at home, the road hasn't proven as kind to him.

The ballpark hasn't made much difference for Kyle Kendrick, who has been hit hard in his last two starts.

Zimmermann takes the mound opposite Kendrick as the Washington Nationals try to salvage a four-game split against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday night.

Zimmermann (12-3, 2.57 ERA) is tied for the NL lead in wins, and the Nationals (47-44) have won his last seven starts and 15 of 18 overall. Each of those losses, though, have come on the road, where he's gone 3-3 with a 3.88 ERA - more than two runs higher than his home mark of 1.75.

Zimmermann has been especially bad in his last two starts in opposing stadiums, going 0-1 while allowing 13 runs in 11-plus innings.

The right-hander wasn't very sharp Saturday at home. He allowed three runs over 5 1-3 innings in a 5-4 win over San Diego but didn't get a decision.

"It's been going on for a little while, but I'll be fine," Zimmermann said of his lingering neck stiffness.

Zimmermann is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Phillies (45-47), but he's 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in three career outings in Philadelphia.

Kendrick (7-6, 3.90), meanwhile, gave up four runs and 10 hits in six innings in a 6-1 loss at Dodger Stadium on June 30, then surrendered six runs and a career-high 12 hits in five innings Saturday in a 13-4 home defeat to Atlanta.

"He had the ball up. His fastball and his changeup were up," manager Charlie Manuel told MLB's official website. "It was the first time I saw him having trouble keeping the ball down."

Kendrick has dropped three straight starts once in his career, June 6-17, 2012.

The right-hander has posted mixed results versus Washington, going 4-6 with a 4.69 ERA over 19 starts. He has allowed two runs or fewer in 10 of those games while posting a 9.80 ERA in the others.

Kendrick yielded one run and two hits in 7 2-3 innings but didn't factor in the decision of a 6-2, 11-inning loss to the Nationals on June 19.

While Bryce Harper has gone 7 for 14 with a homer and three doubles against Kendrick, Jayson Werth is 2 for 17 and Adam LaRoche is 4 for his last 24 in their matchups.

The Nationals were limited to four runs in dropping the first two games of this set before hitting four homers in Wednesday's 5-1 victory. Anthony Rendon and Wilson Ramos hit back-to-back shots in the fifth inning before Ryan Zimmerman and Werth went back-to-back in the sixth.

"This park should make you more aggressive," said manager Davey Johnson, whose team entered Wednesday having dropped four of five and nine of 12 at Citizens Bank Park.

Filling in for injured first baseman Ryan Howard, Darin Ruf provided all of Philadelphia's offense with his first homer of the year. Ruf has hit safely in all five games since getting called up Saturday, going 5 for 13 with two RBIs and four runs.

Despite Wednesday's loss, the Phillies are 11-5 at home since June 2.


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SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Nationals at Phillies
Mon, Jul 8 Final 2 to 3
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Nationals at Phillies
Tue, Jul 9 Final 2 to 4
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 3
Nationals at Phillies
Wed, Jul 10 Final 5 to 1
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 4
Nationals at Phillies
Thu, Jul 11 - 7:05PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Reds (51-40) at Braves (52-39)
Game: 1
Venue: Turner Field
Date: July 11, 2013 7:10 PM EDT


No matter what happens in their final series of the first half, the Atlanta Braves will head into the All-Star break atop the NL East.

That lead could have been bigger had they done a better job supporting Tim Hudson.

The right-hander tries to build on his first victory in two months Thursday night in the first of four against the visiting Cincinnati Reds.

Although Braves starters had a 4.21 ERA on a 3-3 trip that ended with Wednesday's 6-2 loss to Miami, that group's 3.52 ERA is a major reason why the team owns baseball's largest divisional lead.

Atlanta (52-39) has held at least a share of the top spot in the East since April 5.

Hudson (5-7, 4.03 ERA) has the worst ERA among Braves starters, but he's posted a 2.28 ERA in his last seven outings with opponents batting .207. He has a team-worst 3.42 run-support average while going 1-3 during that stretch, even after Atlanta set season highs for runs and hits (19) in Saturday's 13-4 victory at Philadelphia.

Hudson, working on six days' rest due to a sore neck, was 0-6 in his previous 10 starts.

"It makes my job a lot easier when we're able to put up some crooked runs," he told the Braves' official website after yielding one run and walking none in seven innings.

Hudson, 3-0 with a 2.68 ERA in eight home starts, gets his first look at the Reds (51-40) since their last game in Atlanta, a 6-2 Braves victory May 15, 2012.

Atlanta took two of three from the Reds from May 6-8.

The Reds will now try to hand the Braves a season high-tying third straight home defeat after ending their three-game skid with Wednesday's 6-2 victory at Milwaukee. Cincinnati scored four runs during its slide.

"It would have been a graveyard in here if we didn't pull this one out," starter Mike Leake said.

The Reds continue their trip with Mat Latos (8-2, 3.18) on the mound. The right-hander permitted four runs and a season high-tying four walks but struck out 11 over six innings in Saturday's 13-4 victory over Seattle.

"The offense picked me up," said Latos, who received four runs of support in his previous three starts. "Thirteen runs is always good, especially when I put us in a 2-0 hole."

Latos, 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts in Atlanta, should be especially careful with Chris Johnson, who's batting .409 with nine RBIs during an 11-game hitting streak. Johnson, 7 for 15 with a homer and three doubles off Latos, was hitless in five at_bats against the Reds in May.

Teammate Andrelton Simmons went 8 for 13 with two homers and four RBIs.

Chris Heisey, who was sidelined for that series with a hamstring injury, is questionable for Cincinnati after getting hit on the left arm by a pitch Tuesday and missing Wednesday's game. Heisey is 9 for 11 in five career games in Atlanta.

Shin-Soo Choo, who has hit safely in a team-best eight straight, will play his first game there. The center fielder hit two homers, including a walkoff shot, in a 5-4 victory May 7.

Brandon Phillips is 3 for 21 when facing Hudson, while fellow All-Star starter Joey Votto is 1 for 10.


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SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Reds at Braves
Thu, Jul 11 - 7:10PM EDT

GAME 2
Reds at Braves
Fri, Jul 12 - 7:30PM EDT

GAME 3
Reds at Braves
Sat, Jul 13 - 4:05PM EDT

GAME 4
Reds at Braves
Sun, Jul 14 - 1:35PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Brewers (37-53) at Diamondbacks (47-44)
Game: 1
Venue: Chase Field
Date: July 11, 2013 9:40 PM EDT


The Arizona Diamondbacks are rumored to be interested in trading for Milwaukee's Yovani Gallardo.

In the meantime, the right-hander looks to remain undefeated against the Diamondbacks and help the visiting Brewers hand the NL West leaders a fourth straight defeat Thursday night.

For the first time in his seven-year career, Gallardo (7-8, 4.85 ERA) is the subject of some serious trade talk while Milwaukee (37-53) sports one of the majors' worst records.

Clinging to a 1 1/2-game division lead and looking to perhaps bolster a rotation that's minus injured starters Trevor Cahill and Brandon McCarthy, Arizona (47-44) appears to be one of those teams vying for Gallardo's services.

"It's a little bit different. I wouldn't say that it's tough," Gallardo told the Brewers' official website of dealing with the rumors. "The only thing I can do is go out there and pitch.

"There's certain things that you really can't control. It's out of my hands."

What Gallardo can control is trying to improve on his 7-0 record and 1.55 ERA in 10 regular-season and playoff starts against the Diamondbacks. He's also 4-0 with a 1.48 ERA at Chase Field, but hopes for a better outing after giving up four runs and nine hits in six innings of an 8-7, 11-inning home loss to Arizona on April 7.

Gallardo has allowed 17 runs in 13 innings while losing two of three overall, but earned the win Saturday after he gave up four in six innings of a 7-6 victory over the New York Mets.

"I've been feeling good for three or four starts now, and that's a good start," he said. "Now you just have to get everything working together - mechanics, release point, rhythm."

Milwaukee was swept by the Diamondbacks in April, and now looks to avoid a third consecutive loss at Chase Field, where Arizona was just swept by the surging Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks blew a one-run lead in the ninth then lost 7-5 in 14 innings on Thursday.

"We have to figure out some things so guys can get some outs later in the game," manager Kirk Gibson said.

The Brewers failed to record a sweep of their own with Wednesday's 6-2 loss to Cincinnati. Neither Ryan Braun nor Norichika Aoki played as Milwaukee was held to two runs and four hits for the second straight contest.

Batting .405 this month, Aoki is expected back after missing two straight games with elbow tightness. He's batted .457 (16 for 35) with three RBIs in eight career games versus Arizona.

Braun also is likely to play following a day to rest after he went 1 for 3 on Tuesday in his return from missing a month with a thumb injury. He's also dealing with the distraction of possibly facing a suspension for allegedly failing to cooperate with the investigation of the Biogenesis case.

Braun is 2 for 5 with two homers against scheduled Arizona starter Wade Miley (5-7, 4.06), who has allowed one run over 13 2-3 innings in his last two starts.

The left-hander went 0-2 despite posting a 2.76 ERA over a five-start stretch before he yielded a home run and four other hits in eight innings of an 11-1 win over Colorado on Saturday.

Miley improved to 2-1 and dropped his ERA to 6.89 against the Brewers after he gave up a homer to Jean Segura in six innings of a 3-1 victory at Milwaukee on April 5.

Arizona All-Star Paul Goldschmidt is batting .414 with seven RBIs in seven games, and has hit .400 (12 for 30) with six doubles, three homers and nine RBIs in eight career games versus Milwaukee. He is 3 for 3 with a double against Gallardo.


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SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Brewers at Diamondbacks
Thu, Jul 11 - 9:40PM EDT

GAME 2
Brewers at Diamondbacks
Fri, Jul 12 - 9:40PM EDT

GAME 3
Brewers at Diamondbacks
Sat, Jul 13 - 10:10PM EDT

GAME 4
Brewers at Diamondbacks
Sun, Jul 14 - 4:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Rockies (44-48) at Dodgers (45-45)
Game: 1
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: July 11, 2013 10:10 PM EDT


The Colorado Rockies are expected to have Dexter Fowler back from the disabled list in time for the series opener against one of the hottest teams in baseball. It's uncertain, though, if Troy Tulowitzki will get the chance to see the field that soon.

After getting Carlos Gonzalez back in the lineup their last time out, the Rockies are hoping that they're virtually at full strength when they face the Los Angeles Dodgers, winners in 15 of 18, on Thursday night.

Fowler hasn't played since June 25 because of an injured right hand, and Tulowitzki has been out since June 13 due to a broken rib. The two returned to the team Wednesday from rehab assignments at Triple-A Colorado Springs, but manager Walt Weiss wasn't ready to say if Tulowitzki would be ready for the series opener at Dodger Stadium.

The shortstop, one of the Rockies' two All-Star starters along with Gonzalez, had the NL's second-best average at .347 along with 16 homers and 51 RBIs before his injury. He's gone 6 for 14 in his last three games against the Dodgers.

"I'm expecting Dexter to be ready to go," Weiss said. "Sounds like his hand is doing fine. Tulo's going to go to L.A. It'll be more re-evaluating Tulo and going from there."

Gonzalez returned from a sprained finger Wednesday as the Rockies held on for their third win in 10 games, 5-4 over San Diego. Gonzalez went 1 for 5 while Charlie Blackmon had two hits and two RBIs, including a key triple in the eighth inning.

Colorado (44-48) will try to continue heading in the right direction with another strong showing against the struggling Chris Capuano (2-6, 5.19 ERA). The left-hander has lost his last four matchups with the Rockies with a 6.75 ERA, giving six runs over 4 1-3 innings in a 9-5 loss at Coors Field last Thursday.

That performance left Capuano at 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA in his last two starts.

The Rockies, though, will also have to face a surging Dodgers club that's 1 1/2 games behind Arizona for the NL West lead after a sweep of the Diamondbacks. Los Angeles (45-45) capped that series by rallying for a 7-5 victory in 14 innings Wednesday.

"Obviously, you want to come in and win a series, but to win three was big for us," manager Don Mattingly said.

Hanley Ramirez and A.J. Ellis provided solo homers in the final inning to finish off three-hit games. Ramirez is batting .464 with seven homers and 21 RBIs in his last 22 contests, and Ellis is 15 for 39 (.385) with 11 RBIs during a nine-game hit streak.

They will next try to add to Drew Pomeranz's woes. Pomeranz (0-2, 9.72) has not made it past the fifth inning in two starts since being recalled from the minors. He gave up five runs in four innings of an 11-1 loss to Arizona on Saturday, matching a career high with five walks.

The left-hander gave up six runs over four innings in his most recent matchup with Los Angeles, a 10-8 loss Aug. 29. Ramirez hit a two-run homer off him in that game.

The Rockies are hoping Tulowitzki will get the chance to thwart the Dodgers' attempt to move above .500 for the first time since April 15. He's 5 for 11 with two solo homers against Capuano.

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SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Rockies at Dodgers
Thu, Jul 11 - 10:10PM EDT

GAME 2
Rockies at Dodgers
Fri, Jul 12 - 10:10PM EDT

GAME 3
Rockies at Dodgers
Sat, Jul 13 - 7:15PM EDT

GAME 4
Rockies at Dodgers
Sun, Jul 14 - 4:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Giants (40-50) at Padres (41-51)
Game: 1
Venue: PETCO Park
Date: July 11, 2013 10:10 PM EDT


Since the San Francisco Giants took two of three from San Diego three weeks ago, little has gone right for the reigning World Series champions.

Things have not been much better for the Padres.

The Giants look to avoid a fifth consecutive defeat when they visit the struggling Padres on Thursday night.

After winning two straight at home over San Diego (41-51) on June 18-19, San Francisco was three games over .500 and 1 1/2 behind first-place Arizona in the NL West. Since then, the Giants (40-50) have averaged 2.3 runs while losing 16 of 19 to fall into last place in the division.

"It seems like everything is going wrong," losing pitcher Matt Cain said after Wednesday's 7-2 home loss to the New York Mets dropped the Giants 10 games under .500 for the first time since 2008. "We're not pitching, we're not fielding and we're not getting hits.

"This is a pretty bad skid and we need to find a way out of it.'

Cain failed to make it out of the first inning and the Giants didn't score until the seventh Wednesday en route to being swept at home for the first time since July 27-29.

"It's not exaggerated. When you're going through a streak, it wears on you mentally as much as physically," manager Bruce Bochy told the Giants' official website. "It's been a daily issue. We're playing and there's a lot of faith we'll get out of this."

Bochy, however, needs some of his top players to produce.

Hunter Pence is 5 for 51 with a homer and three RBIs in his last 13 games and Pablo Sandoval 6 for 53 with no home runs and two RBIs in his last 14.

Sandoval, however, is 10 for 22 with four RBIs in his last five versus San Diego.

San Francisco starting pitchers have a 7.07 ERA while the team's gone 1-8 in July, but scheduled starter Madison Bumgarner (9-5, 3.05 ERA) earned the only victory. The left-hander allowed a two-run homer and two other hits while striking out nine in seven innings of a 4-2 win over the surging Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.

The All-Star has a 2.25 ERA while winning five of six starts, and is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA on the road during that stretch.

Bumgarner is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two home starts this season against the Padres, but 2-3 with a 3.93 ERA in six all-time at Petco Park.

San Francisco is 5-4 versus San Diego this season, but was swept in San Diego in April. One night after snapping a 10-game slide, the Padres lost 5-4 to Colorado on Wednesday. Their offense hasn't been much better than the Giants, averaging 2.6 runs in their last 12 contests.

"The guys come in every day ready to play,' manager Bud Black said. "I don't see any bad signs during our at_bats or giving at_bats away. I'm not seeing fundamental plays not being made in the field. There are going to be physical mistakes, but there haven't been mental mistakes over the past couple of weeks.'

Scheduled starter Jason Marquis (9-4, 3.79) has a 1.93 ERA while winning his last two starts against Giants, including April 28 when he gave up two runs in 6 2-3 innings of a 6-4 victory.

However, he's 0-2 with a 4.37 ERA in his last four overall. The right-hander gave up three runs and eight hits in six innings while not factoring in the decision of a 5-4 loss at Washington on Saturday.

San Diego's Carlos Quentin is batting .320 with two homers and six RBIs in his last six games. He's 2 for 5 versus Bumgarner.


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SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Giants at Padres
Thu, Jul 11 - 10:10PM EDT

GAME 2
Giants at Padres
Fri, Jul 12 - 10:10PM EDT

GAME 3
Giants at Padres
Sat, Jul 13 - 10:10PM EDT

GAME 4
Giants at Padres
Sun, Jul 14 - 4:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Mets beat the Giants 7-2, sweeping them by the bay for the first time since way back in 1994. Mets play much better away from home.

-- Ole Miss suspended star guard Marshall Henderson because he failed multiple drug tests. The phrase "thin ice" is being used here, as far as the kid staying on the team, or even in school.

-- Rangers put Yu Darvish on the DL (shoulder); bad news for them.

-- Bruins signed goalie Tuukka Rask to a $56M, eight-year extension.

-- Yoenis Cespedes' mother, Estela Milanes, was a lefty pitcher for the Cuban Olympic softball team.

-- Josh Beckett had an operation to have a rib removed that was putting pressure on a nerve. He is expected to be ready next spring.


*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Some good ideas and bad ideas..........

Good Idea: Super Bowls should be played in good weather cities, so the quality of the game isn’t compromised: LA, San Diego, Dallas, Miami, New Orleans, Phoenix, Tampa. You know, either indoors or in warm weather.

Bad Idea: The Super Bowl is in New Jersey this February. At night. Outdoors. There could be a blizzard, or sub-zero temps, or generally hideous weather. Oy.

Good idea: All war veterans should get free medical care for the rest of their lives; for all I know, they might get it now thru the VA, but if they don’t, they should.

Bad idea: I’ve said this before, but if you can go to war at age 18, you should be able to drink at age 18. Having the drinking age at 21 is too high.

Good idea: FOX Sports1 hired Bill Raftery as its analyst for Big East games; this is a tremendous move. Raftery is great.

Bad idea: FOX hired self-promoting screamer Gus Johnson as the play/play guy to be Raftery’s partner; lot of people like Johnson’s act, and it is an act. I’m not one of them.

Good idea: The retractable domed stadium they built in Miami is very nice (are you listening Minnesota? “Retractable dome”); it’s a great ballpark to go and the late afternoon thunderstorm don't rain any games out.

Bad idea: MLB letting Jeffrey Loria own a ballclub is so hideous, so unfair to the people of Miami whose taxes are paying for that great stadium. You want to trade Ricky Nolasco? That’s your business, but could you get something for him, other than a salary dump? Loria is a scumweasel of the highest order.

Good idea: ESPN’s Insider content on the Internet is excellent, well worth what they charge for it. Well worth the knowledge.

Bad idea: To get the Insider stuff, you have to get ESPN the Magazine delivered to your house; I tried to have them not give me the magazine, because its not very good, but they said the only way they wouldn’t send it to me is if I cancelled the whole account, and I want the Insider stuff.

Their magazine could be some much better if they weren’t obsessed with being “edgy”. Nitwits.

Good idea: I’m convinced that as soon as the concussion lawsuit stuff gets settled, the NFL will go to an 18-game schedule, with the Super Bowl on Sunday night of Presidents’ Day weekend (hopefully not in New Jersey anymore). I like the 18-game schedule; they do it in the CFL. The more football there is to watch, the better for me. It’s a way for them to increase their rights fees from the networks.

Bad idea: Until the concussion lawsuits are settled, we’re stuck with four preseason games a year, because owners charge regular season ticket prices as part of the season ticket plans. This larceny has been going on for years; before 1976, teams played six exhibition games a year. Not good.

Good idea: I’m off to Las Vegas for vacation today; NBA Summer League, mornings by the pool, this is tremendously tremendous. Next time you hear from me, I’ll be lounging in an air conditioned suite with a view of the Strip. Vacation in the desert; there is nothing wrong with this idea.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Cincinnati at Atlanta
The Reds look to build on their 8-1 record in Mat Latos' last 9 starts in Game 1 of a series. Cincinnati is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 11

Game 951-952: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 16.599; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.136
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 16.929; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.875
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Under

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 17.079; Cubs (Jackson) 15.474
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); N/A

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.960; Arizona (Miley) 13.824
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+130); Under

Game 959-960: San Francisco at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 13.116; San Diego (Marquis) 13.987
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 961-962: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 13.269; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 16.779
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Under

Game 963-964: Toronto at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 14.945; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.186
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Under

Game 965-966: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pelfrey) 13.873; Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.282
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Over

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 14.936; Detroit (Sanchez) 16.557
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 16.195; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.366
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under

Game 971-972: Boston at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Dempster) 16.357; Seattle (Ramirez) 14.633
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Over

Game 973-974: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wolf) 14.816; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.923
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, July 11

National League

Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Zimmermann: Over is 7-3 in Zimmermann's last 10 road starts
Kendrick: Over is 9-1 in Kendrick's last 10 home starts

Cincinnati at Atlanta, 7:10 ET MLB
Latos: Over is 7-3 when Latos starts on the road in 2013
Hudson: Braves 8-0 SU when Hudson has started at home in 2013

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Westbrook: Over is 6-1 in Westbrook's road starts in 2013
Jackson: Cubs 2-6 SU when Jackson starts at Wrigley Field

Milwaukee at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Gallardo: Brewers 0-4 SU in last four openers to a road series
Miley: Over is 5-1 in Miley's home starts in 2013

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:10 ET
Bumgarner: Under is 7-3 in Bumgarner's last 10 road starts
Marquis:Padres 8-1 SU in Marquis' last nine starts at Petco Park

Colorado at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Pomeranz: Rockies 5-19 SU when facing southpaw on the road since last September
Capuano: Over is 9-3 in last 12 Capuano starts at Dodger Stadium


American League

Toronto at Cleveland, 12:05 ET
Buehrle: Blue Jays 15-2 SU as road favorite during day games last three years
Salazar: Over is 6-2 in last eight Indians games as an underdog

Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 12:10 ET
Pelfrey: Twins 2-10 SU when more than a +200 underdog since 2010
Moore: Under is 15-4 since 2008 when Rays are more than a -200 favorite during the day

Chicago White Sox at Detroit, 1:08 ET MLB
Sale: Under is 5-1 in 2013 when Sale starts a day game
Sanchez: Tigers 7-0 SU last seven times they've been favorites of more than -150 during the day

Kansas City at New York Yankees, 1:05 ET MLB
Santana: Under is 7-1 when Santana starts during the day for the Royals
Pettitte: Under is 10-4 when Yankees are playing final game of a home series in 2013

Boston at Seattle, 3:40 ET
Dempster:Red Sox 6-1 SU last seven times they've been road favorite during a day game
Ramirez: Mariners 1-5 SU last six day games at Safeco Field

Texas at Baltimore, 7:05 ET MLB
Wolf: Under is 6-2-1 this year in game after Rangers score less than three runs
Gonzalez: Orioles 11-0 last 11 Gonzalez starts at home
Reply With Quote

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 11

Hot pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 4-0, 3.76 in his last six starts.
-- Braves are 8-0 when Hudson starts at home (1-1, 2.81 in last four overall).
-- Jackson is 2-0, 3.09 in his last couple starts.
-- Miley is 1-0, 0.66 in his last two starts.
-- Bumgarner is 4-1, 2.83 in his last five starts.

-- Dickey is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two road starts.
-- Moore is 4-0, 1.40 in his last four starts. Pelfrey is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts on foreign soil.
-- Sanchez is 3-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.
-- Gonzalez is 4-1, 2.66 in his last six starts. Wolf won his only '13 start, back on May 22, allowing one run in five IP.

Cold pitchers
-- Kendrick is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts.
-- Latos is 2-2, 4.31 in his last five starts.
-- Westbrook is 1-2, 8.41 in his last four road starts.
-- Gallardo is 1-2, 9.00 in his last four starts.
-- Marquis is 0-2, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Capuano lost his last two home starts, allowing 13 runs in 8.2 IP. Pomeranz lost both '13 starts, allowing nine runs in 8.1 IP.

-- MLB debut for Salazar, who is 5-5, 3.08 in 17 minor league starts this year, with 100 strikeouts in 76 IP.
-- Sale is 0-6, 3.65 in his last seven starts; White Sox got shut out in three of the seven games, including the last two.
-- Pettitte is 1-3, 6.03 in his last five starts. Santana is 0-0, 4.74 in his last three starts.
-- Dempster is 1-2, 3.45 in his last five starts. Ramirez was 1-3, 3.36 in eight major league starts LY; he is 3-3, 3.09 in seven AAA starts this season.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. You're reading ***************.com. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Zimmerman 2-19; Kendrick 7-18
-- Latos 7-18; Hudson 3-18
-- Westbrook 3-11; Jackson 6-18
-- Gallardo 4-19; Miley 4-18
-- Bumgarner 1-18; Marquis 5-18
-- Pomeranz 0-2; Capuano 2-9

-- Dickey 5-19; Salazar 0-0
-- Pelfrey 6-15; Moore 6-18
-- Sale 6-17; Sanchez 2-14
-- Santana 8-18; Pettitte 5-15
-- Dempster 6-17; Ramirez 0-0
-- Wolf 0-1; Gonzalez 5-15

Totals
-- Last three Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven St Louis games went over the total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen San Francisco games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Toronto road games.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eleven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-2 in last six Bronx games.
-- Seven of last eleven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Baltimore games.

Hot teams
-- Phillies/Nationals both won five of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven games. Cubs are 7-4 in their last 11.
-- Dodgers won ten of their last twelve games.

-- Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 12 games.
-- Tigers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Kansas City won five of its last eight games.
-- Red Sox won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Rangers won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost six of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 3-5 in its last eight games overall.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost its last three games, allowing 19 runs.
-- Giants lost 13 of their last 15 games; San Diego lost 11 of last 12.
-- Colorado lost seven of its last ten games.

-- Indians lost six of last eight games; Toronto is 0-6 in game following its last six wins.
-- Twins lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Bronx lost three of its last four games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.
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[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, July 11

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Trend Report
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12:05 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

12:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

1:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games

1:08 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
Chi White Sox are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
Detroit is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing Chi White Sox

3:40 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games when playing Texas

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 23 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

9:40 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 17 of San Francisco's last 20 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of San Diego's last 20 games when playing at home against San Francisco

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 11

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WASHINGTON (47 - 44) at PHILADELPHIA (45 - 47) - 7:05 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 363-326 (+49.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
KENDRICK is 62-42 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 87-63 (+25.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-7 (+11.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-8 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-68 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 15-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ZIMMERMANN is 15-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ZIMMERMANN is 12-1 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ZIMMERMANN is 20-5 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 126-128 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-61 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 126-125 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-66 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-43 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 2-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.513.
His team's record is 2-5 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
KENDRICK is 4-6 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 8-10 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.6 units)

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CINCINNATI (51 - 40) at ATLANTA (52 - 39) - 7:10 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 67-50 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 267-165 (+45.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 154-67 (+47.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 45-18 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 255-153 (+49.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 67-27 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 150-108 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 636-709 (+55.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 150-108 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 415-459 (+37.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 459-512 (+43.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 319-332 (+47.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LATOS is 3-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HUDSON is 4-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

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ST LOUIS (55 - 34) at CHICAGO CUBS (40 - 49) - 8:05 PM
JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 74-93 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-14 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 47-22 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-150 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 692-659 (-151.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 44-76 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-150 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 45-78 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 943-1041 (-185.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 135-173 (-54.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
JACKSON is 18-31 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 4-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 17-31 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 6-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WESTBROOK is 6-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.328.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.9 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
JACKSON is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.555.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

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MILWAUKEE (37 - 53) at ARIZONA (47 - 44) - 9:40 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 37-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 49-74 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-16 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-22 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 153-126 (+24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-18 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 43-47 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 26-33 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GALLARDO is 7-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.55 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 9-1 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.3 units)

WADE MILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MILEY is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.89 and a WHIP of 1.595.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (40 - 50) at SAN DIEGO (41 - 51) - 10:10 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-50 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-30 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-48 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-32 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-34 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-27 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 68-59 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-59 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 36-27 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 16-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 15-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 36-27 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 22-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-46 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 38-48 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-4 (+0.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BUMGARNER is 5-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 10-4 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.5 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MARQUIS is 7-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 10-5 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.3 units)

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COLORADO (44 - 48) at LA DODGERS (45 - 45) - 10:10 PM
DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 181-237 (-57.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 138-241 (-52.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 68-148 (-64.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 2-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
COLORADO is 181-234 (-54.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-57 (-28.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 8-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 52-50 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CAPUANO is 42-54 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CAPUANO is 19-30 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
POMERANZ is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.363.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. COLORADO since 1997
CAPUANO is 5-9 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 5-10 (-7.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-7. (+0.2 units)

[StarDust Bum]

TORONTO (44 - 46) at CLEVELAND (47 - 44) - 12:05 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 70-78 (-35.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 47-44 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-41 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 83-61 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-13 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 25-14 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DICKEY is 19-7 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 111-120 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 9-24 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 (+1.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DICKEY is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (37 - 51) at TAMPA BAY (52 - 40) - 12:10 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 69-115 (-34.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-61 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 111-75 (+26.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 101-57 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MOORE is 14-4 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 19-16 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PELFREY is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MATT MOORE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MOORE is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.738.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (35 - 53) at DETROIT (50 - 40) - 1:05 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-53 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-32 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 79-94 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-48 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 19-33 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 489-498 (+43.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
DETROIT is 50-40 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 18-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 46-37 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 38-39 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-24 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SANCHEZ is 21-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANCHEZ is 20-26 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+1.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. DETROIT since 1997
SALE is 0-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.556.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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KANSAS CITY (43 - 45) at NY YANKEES (49 - 42) - 1:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 96-49 (+34.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-8 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 62-66 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 40-24 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SANTANA is 5-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 6-9 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.5 units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PETTITTE is 11-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.270.
His team's record is 14-5 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-1.3 units)

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BOSTON (56 - 37) at SEATTLE (40 - 51) - 3:40 PM
RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 107-118 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DEMPSTER is 15-24 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 56-37 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 23-12 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DEMPSTER is 62-49 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
DEMPSTER is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.954.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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TEXAS (53 - 38) at BALTIMORE (50 - 42) - 7:05 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 50-42 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 56-42 (+19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-14 (+13.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 74-54 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-34 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-25 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 36-28 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 76-69 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 31-20 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GONZALEZ is 20-11 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 16-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 113-64 (+31.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 22-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DARVISH is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

07/10/13 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1265 Detail
07/09/13 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*2005 Detail
07/08/13 11-*14-*1 44.00% -*1875 Detail
07/07/13 10-*17-*0 37.04% -*4135 Detail
07/06/13 10-*19-*1 34.48% -*4630 Detail
07/05/13 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*2965 Detail
07/04/13 10-*17-*0 37.04% -*3645 Detail
07/03/13 18-*12-*0 60.00% +*2750 Detail
07/02/13 12-*17-*1 41.38% -*2820 Detail
07/01/13 9-*4-*0 69.23% +*2425 Detail

Totals 126-*144-*3 46.67% -*11625



Thursday, July 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 12:05 PM ET Cleveland +114 500 POD # 1

Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

Minnesota - 12:10 PM ET Minnesota +203 500 POD # 2

Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

Kansas City - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -118 500

NY Yankees - Over 8 500

Chi. White Sox - 1:08 PM ET Detroit -150 500

Detroit - Over 7.5 500 POD # 4

Boston - 3:40 PM ET Boston -125 500

Seattle - Over 8 500 POD # 3

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, July 11

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Thursday's American League betting notes and tips
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Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians (+118, 9)

Cold pitcher: Jays starter R.A. Dickey allowed six earned runs in seven innings of work versus the Minnesota Twins his last time out.

Cold bat: Cleveland's Mark Reynolds is 0-for-8 in his career against Dickey.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s and mostly sunny skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 11.

Key betting stat: The over is 7-0 in Dickey's last seven starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.


Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-205, 8)

Hot pitcher: Rays starter Matt Moore has won his last four starts and has posted a 1.40 ERA in those appearances.

Cold batter: Rays star Evan Longoria has just one hit in eight ABs against Minnesota pitching this season.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting stat: The Rays are 12-3 in Moore's last 15 starts as a favorite.


Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees (-132, 8.5)

Cold pitcher: Royals starter Ervin Santana carries a career 7.71 ERA at the new Yankee Stadium into his start Thursday.

Hot batter: Royals slugger Billy Butler has four extra base hits in 16 career at bats versus Yankee starter Andy Pettitte.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at six mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 9-1 in Santana's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.


Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-161, 7.5)

Cold pitcher: The White Sox have lost six of SP Chris Sale's last seven starts overall this season.

Batter: Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera is just 1-for-11 in his career versus Sale.

Weather: Mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Wind will blow out to center field at 10 mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 16-5 in Sale's last 21 road starts.


Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (+125, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Sox starter Ryan Dempster has surrendered three or less earned runs in his last eight starts.

Cold batter: Seattle's Jason Bay is 2-for-26 (.125) in his career versus Dempster.

Weather: Roof may be open for the game with temperatures in the high-60s and sunny skies.

Key betting stat: The Mariners are 0-7 in their last seven games with umpire Jeff Nelson calling balls and strikes behind home plate.


Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles (+117, NA)

Hot pitcher: O's starter Miguel Gonzalez is tied for the team lead in quality starts with 11 this season.

Cold batter: O's slugger Chris Davis is 0-for-10 against Texas thus far this season. The Rangers are the only team he has yet to record a hit against.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from left to right at five mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Baltimore.

[StarDust Bum]

Evening POD'S

Texas - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +117 500 POD # 3
Baltimore - Over 9.5 500

Washington - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia +126 500 POD # 1
Philadelphia - Under 8 500

Cincinnati - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati +102 500 POD # 2
Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET St. Louis -125 500
Chi. Cubs - Under 8.5 500

Milwaukee - 9:40 PM ET Arizona -132 500
Arizona - Under 9 500

Colorado - 10:10 PM ET Colorado +144 500 POD # 4
LA Dodgers - Under 8 500

San Francisco - 10:10 PM ET San Francisco -133 500
San Diego - Under 7 500